Peaks project update: #4

Moderators: Clyde Frazier, Doctor MJ, trex_8063, penbeast0, PaulieWal

User avatar
Odinn21
Analyst
Posts: 3,514
And1: 2,942
Joined: May 19, 2019
 

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#21 » by Odinn21 » Wed Jul 10, 2019 2:28 pm

E-Balla wrote:Really? I'd give a large edge to Kobe. Shaq was +55 in 44 minutes per game in that series while Kobe was +66 in 40 mpg. Looking at the boxscore Shaq put up 27/16/3 on 53 TS% and a 113 ORTG (9 TOV% and 18 offensive boards in 3 games saved his overall efficiency) while Kobe put up 25/4/8 on 57 TS% with an absolutely absurd 122 ORTG (8 TOV%!!! while nearly averaging 8 assists a night).

In 2nd round against the Kings, Shaq played better.

What makes you say this? Kobe averaged 35/9/4 while being more efficient and he had a higher +/- than Shaq in the series and in each game other than game 1.

We agree the rest of the way but I think Kobe's performance is the only difference between 01 and 00. If Shaq in 00 played just as hard and played with 01 Kobe playing that hard to prove himself LA in 2000 is the GOAT regular season team. That's the main difference between the two years IMO.

Kobe averaged 31.6/7.0/6.2, had over a 30 PER, a 24.2 GameScore, a 121 ORTG, and was better than Shaq statistically in all 3 series if we just go off aggregate stats like PER and Game Score. I think that postseason run by Kobe is so underrated, he was playing like early 90s Jordan for those few weeks, maybe a bit better since he's a better passer than MJ. To this day I'm pretty sure outside of the 2017 Warriors Kobe has the highest postseason on/court rating of any player to make the Finals since 01.

Shaq's gravity helped Kobe so much in that year. Kobe performed great, there's no doubt about that. And Shaq took advantage of it. But as for the advantages taken, I think Kobe's the one that got the bigger. Shaq's efficiency sucked in the 1st round, especially compared to his usual self. Kobe was the more efficient one and his ast/tov ratio is great. Shaq scored more despite efficiency issues and 15.7 rebounds are no joke.

BTW, I usually go by EFF over PER and Game Score. Especially over game score. If I ever mention it, I simply use it in case of anyone cares and wants to see it. To me, it's even more useless than PER. Shaq was 28.7 in the series and Kobe was 25.7 and their eff per min ratio is nearly identical. So, Shaq is the more productive and the better one for me.

TBH, I watched the series at the time, I don't remember exactly how it went down and I don't want put effort to looking for full games. Maybe one of them performed better in a way more decisive game or moment and that's more conclusive than we reading box scores in this one.
I have searched and watched most of 2000, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007 etc, even way after they happened. But there are some seasons like I do not put much effort into it for some reason.


In 2nd round, the gap is bigger than the 1st round. The 1st round was a toss up mostly but I find Shaq's stats considerably more impressive in this one. (Their ts is nearly identical btw. Kobe wasn't more efficient than Shaq despite Shaq's ft performance)
Kobe, 31.8 eff and 0.734 eff/m. Shaq, 36.5 eff and 0.890 eff/m. PER and GmSc can't convince me this is close enough for a debate. And I remember some footages of this series a bit, Shaq was a very troubling defensive presence.

The last 2 are already agreed upon.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
User avatar
E-Balla
RealGM
Posts: 35,822
And1: 25,116
Joined: Dec 19, 2012
Location: The Poster Formerly Known As The Gotham City Pantalones
   

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#22 » by E-Balla » Wed Jul 10, 2019 4:01 pm

Odinn21 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:Really? I'd give a large edge to Kobe. Shaq was +55 in 44 minutes per game in that series while Kobe was +66 in 40 mpg. Looking at the boxscore Shaq put up 27/16/3 on 53 TS% and a 113 ORTG (9 TOV% and 18 offensive boards in 3 games saved his overall efficiency) while Kobe put up 25/4/8 on 57 TS% with an absolutely absurd 122 ORTG (8 TOV%!!! while nearly averaging 8 assists a night).

In 2nd round against the Kings, Shaq played better.

What makes you say this? Kobe averaged 35/9/4 while being more efficient and he had a higher +/- than Shaq in the series and in each game other than game 1.

We agree the rest of the way but I think Kobe's performance is the only difference between 01 and 00. If Shaq in 00 played just as hard and played with 01 Kobe playing that hard to prove himself LA in 2000 is the GOAT regular season team. That's the main difference between the two years IMO.

Kobe averaged 31.6/7.0/6.2, had over a 30 PER, a 24.2 GameScore, a 121 ORTG, and was better than Shaq statistically in all 3 series if we just go off aggregate stats like PER and Game Score. I think that postseason run by Kobe is so underrated, he was playing like early 90s Jordan for those few weeks, maybe a bit better since he's a better passer than MJ. To this day I'm pretty sure outside of the 2017 Warriors Kobe has the highest postseason on/court rating of any player to make the Finals since 01.

Shaq's gravity helped Kobe so much in that year. Kobe performed great, there's no doubt about that. And Shaq took advantage of it. But as for the advantages taken, I think Kobe's the one that got the bigger. Shaq's efficiency sucked in the 1st round, especially compared to his usual self. Kobe was the more efficient one and his ast/tov ratio is great. Shaq scored more despite efficiency issues and 15.7 rebounds are no joke.

BTW, I usually go by EFF over PER and Game Score. Especially over game score. If I ever mention it, I simply use it in case of anyone cares and wants to see it. To me, it's even more useless than PER. Shaq was 28.7 in the series and Kobe was 25.7 and their eff per min ratio is nearly identical. So, Shaq is the more productive and the better one for me.

TBH, I watched the series at the time, I don't remember exactly how it went down and I don't want put effort to looking for full games. Maybe one of them performed better in a way more decisive game or moment and that's more conclusive than we reading box scores in this one.
I have searched and watched most of 2000, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007 etc, even way after they happened. But there are some seasons like I do not put much effort into it for some reason.


In 2nd round, the gap is bigger than the 1st round. The 1st round was a toss up mostly but I find Shaq's stats considerably more impressive in this one. (Their ts is nearly identical btw. Kobe wasn't more efficient than Shaq despite Shaq's ft performance)
Kobe, 31.8 eff and 0.734 eff/m. Shaq, 36.5 eff and 0.890 eff/m. PER and GmSc can't convince me this is close enough for a debate. And I remember some footages of this series a bit, Shaq was a very troubling defensive presence.

The last 2 are already agreed upon.

I guess we'll have to agree to disagree because I hate efficiency, it values all positive contributions and negative contributions as equal when we all know they aren't. A steal, block, or assist is worth more than a single point. A missed FT isn't worth the same as a missed shot. It's just overly simple.

Beyond that I only mentioned the numbers to bolster the argument, but it seems the real disconnect here is that you're giving Shaq credit for getting more defensive attention and I wouldn't deny that at all. I just think Kobe's play regardless of the attention Shaq got was still amazing and a step above Shaq who was going all out defensively but not offensively until the Finals.
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 12,503
And1: 8,139
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#23 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jul 10, 2019 5:24 pm

1st ballot - '00 Shaquille O'Neal - He was just unstoppable down low around this point in his career. Avg 38.1 pts/100 (in 40 mpg) at nearly 58% TS (which was around +6% to league avg for that year, iirc), and that with half or whole team defenses collapsing on him constantly; but it was still too late if he'd already received the ball down low. That Curry-level gravity down low helped others out too (no wonder he had some wicked ORAPM's in '00 and surrounding years).
Combined with that, he had likely the single-best defensive year of his career, anchoring a league-best -5.9 rDRTG; things they were best at are the very things a rim-protecting big can effect most: DREB% (5th of 29) and opp eFG% (1st of 29). Awarded All-Defensive 2nd team and was 2nd [albeit distantly so] in DPOY voting this year (and even that is arguably undercrediting him).


2nd ballot - '77 Kareem Abdul-Jabbar - In scaled [PER and WS/48] terms, '77 Kareem comes out looking like potentially the best season ever (with a couple of Wilt's seasons being comparable [or arguably better] once we factor in mpg [as these are rate metrics]). But best ever scaled figures (while avg 36.8 mpg in rs and 42.5 in the playoffs) really puts this version in the mix of things. This version of Kareem is scoring very high volume at near-ridiculous efficiency (especially in the playoffs), despite doing so primarily in post isolations, in an era with crap spacing, playing with limited ancillary scoring threats, and facing double [and triple] teams all night long.
He's still capable of near DPOY-level defense [in spurts, at least] at this stage too, and is one of the better/best big man passers in the league. And he doesn't miss a single game.


3rd ballot - '03 Tim Duncan - TD at his peak was an absolute monster. 23.3/12.9/3.9 with 2.9 bpg (and this at an absolute slogging 90.0 pace) and good shooting efficiency and anchoring a 3rd-rated defense. In the playoffs he went for 24.7 ppg [on even better shooting efficiency than in rs], 15.4 rpg, 5.3 apg, 3.3 bpg en-route to a title, with a not overwhelming supporting cast (I'll not use the term "carry", because it's WAAAY overused [especially recently :wink: ] and I generally loathe the term). Fantastic locker-room/bench leader, too.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
Gibson22
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,918
And1: 909
Joined: Jun 23, 2016
 

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#24 » by Gibson22 » Wed Jul 10, 2019 10:56 pm

1) Shaq 00: He had his fair share of votes for the #1 place, he placed #2 in the 2015 and 2012 voting, very close to the win in the last 2 threads. Obviously a monster season and a step ahead of his other all time seasons because of defense.
2) Kareem 1977: you can basically copy and paste clyde's reasoning
3) Kareem 1971: for a moment it escaped my mind that you can vote for more than one season per player, so I was going to vote for 62/65 bill over 03 duncan or 94 hakeem, but yeah there's still hakeem. To me shaq, hakeem, and kareem's peak seasons are the only seasons by who reach that all time (but not mj, lebron, bird, curry etc goat level) level on the offensive end. I could confortambly pick some other seasons by him that I'm pretty comfortable picking overy any season by anybody but bill russell. Again, he didn't do it against the best competition ever, but. Whe are at this stage where these seasons are basically perfect and there isn't much to say. Monster numbers, all-defensive 2nd team, great playoffs, anchored a goat team that went 12-2 in the playoffs and 66-16 in the RS with a 11.9 SRS. KAJ was super-close to getting in before wilt in 2015, and I'm guessing he will be screwed by the voting system (in the sense that with the old one he would win pretty easily) but he should really get the next spot
Gibson22
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,918
And1: 909
Joined: Jun 23, 2016
 

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#25 » by Gibson22 » Wed Jul 10, 2019 10:59 pm

Ok, given that:
1) 48 hours have passed, the rule for this project is 60 but 48 is a standard for most projects
2) Everyone but 3 voters have shaq at the first place
3) At this stage people have already argued for shaq, kareem or duncan, so there's not much discussion going on

We can declare shaq as the winner. If you wanted to discuss your opinion tbh everything about shaq 00 is already pretty much said, you can discuss your other choices in the next threads
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 29,599
And1: 24,920
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#26 » by 70sFan » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:59 am

Maybe too late, but my picks are:

1. 1977 Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

2. 1974 Kareem Abdul Jabbar

3. 2003 Tim Duncan


Why Duncan over Shaq? Much better defensive pressence even to peak (2000) Shaq. His offense isn't as great, but it was great enough to make very limited Spurs roster one of the best offensive teams in the league and he improved in playoffs. His series against the Lakers, the Mavs and the Nets are all ATG performances.

Why Kareem over Shaq? Again, defense but I also believe that Kareem was better offensively than Shaq. Better and more dominant scorer, slightly better passer and very consistent. Both of his PS runs are just as good as 2000 Shaq.

Why Kareem over Duncan? Because his offensive gap is even higher than in Shaq's case and his defensive gap is smaller. It's all fluid but I feel comfortable with it.
Bel
Sophomore
Posts: 246
And1: 533
Joined: Jan 24, 2019
 

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#27 » by Bel » Thu Jul 11, 2019 6:15 am

1. 03 Duncan
2. 62 Russell
3. 86 Bird


I think that Bird is really getting slept on here. He was a highly disadvantageous position in his era yet he's arguably the best player in history at incorporating talent around him and maximizing everyone. Larry rightfully takes a hit on the all-time rankings for his very short career, but he was clearly the fulcrum around arguably the best offense across several seasons in league history, with quite an underrated D. How many of the guys we are considering here had arguably the league's best GM use this reasoning to reject a high contract? Other than Jordan its all centers pre 05/06, or wings post 05/06: guys who were in the perfect time period for their position.

"Woolf [Bird's agent] suggested a million a year, and Auerbach, apoplectic at that, countered with half a million, maybe, if you counted the perks. He said, "It's been proven. A cornerman can't dominate the game. A big man, occasionally even a guard. But one man playing a corner can't turn a franchise around."
ardee
RealGM
Posts: 15,320
And1: 5,397
Joined: Nov 16, 2011

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#28 » by ardee » Thu Jul 11, 2019 7:37 am

1. 2000 Shaq

Been over this guy quite a bit, it's an easy vote. I think him, LeBron, Jordan and Wilt are a clear top 4 peaks in some order or the other.

2. 1986 Bird

Spectacular season, I think he falls short of the top 4 by a tiny bit mainly because of his defense being only really good instead of great. But I'd consider Bird to have a top 4 offensive peak along with LeBron, Magic and Jordan.

His numbers were spectacular, 26/10/7 on 50/42/90 in the RS, playing on a pretty loaded team. Getting 10 rpg as an SF, playing alongside McHale and Parish, is incredibly impressive. After LeBron he's probably the best passer/playmaker as a non PG ever. Very useful help defender, watch game 6 of the Finals and see how much he affected Hakeem.



It definitely still comes down to his offense though, and just how key he was to that Celtics team which might still be the best team ever (I have a hard time seeing Durant and Draymond from '17 guarding McHale and Parish down low). So the first 28 games of the season (Christmas), the Celtics were 21-7. Good but hardly GOAT caliber. Bird had been nursing back issues and averaged only 23.8/9.4/6.1 on 52.5% TS.

He got rolling after that, and led them to a 43-6 record in the next 49 games, averaging 27.6/10.2/7.2 on 61% TS. 43-6!! The team cooled down towards the end, this could've EASILY been a 70 win team, and it all revolved around Bird. McHale got injured on Jan 22nd, and basically sat until Feb 26th. In that span Bird picked up the rebounding slack, taking his averages to 26.8/12.6/7.1 and during a time the team could've faltered led them to key double digit wins over other contenders, the Lakers (twice) and the Bucks, in a 14-3 stretch.

Can't say enough about this guy and this season honestly. One of my favorites, absolutely deserves top 5.

3. 1987 Larry Bird

Was having a huge Hakeem/Duncan debate in my head (always sided with 'Keem but E-Balla's posts have made me consider Duncan more) but then I realized I could just go here.

Almost the same player more or less, just slightly worse defensively IMO (the eye test doesn't show me that harassing quality he had from the previous year) and his 3 didn't fall as well in the Playoffs. That's it. Otherwise he's still GOAT caliber. Had possibly the best 3 game stretch against an elite defense until 2016 Finals LeBron in the last 3 games of the Detroit series. 36/10/7 on 66% TS :bowdown: :bowdown: :bowdown:

Get the Legend in the top 5 folks.
ardee
RealGM
Posts: 15,320
And1: 5,397
Joined: Nov 16, 2011

Re: Peaks project update: #4 

Post#29 » by ardee » Thu Jul 11, 2019 7:41 am

E-Balla wrote:
Odinn21 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:It is about results but the Lakers dominated the postseason in 01 not necessarily Shaq who probably wasn't even their best player until the Finals series. Kobe did a lot of heavy lifting in 01 that he couldn't do in 00 if they wanted him to.

Isn't that a bit going overboard?
In 1st round against the Blazers, they had similar impact. I'd give a slight edge to Shaq.

Really? I'd give a large edge to Kobe. Shaq was +55 in 44 minutes per game in that series while Kobe was +66 in 40 mpg. Looking at the boxscore Shaq put up 27/16/3 on 53 TS% and a 113 ORTG (9 TOV% and 18 offensive boards in 3 games saved his overall efficiency) while Kobe put up 25/4/8 on 57 TS% with an absolutely absurd 122 ORTG (8 TOV%!!! while nearly averaging 8 assists a night).

In 2nd round against the Kings, Shaq played better.

What makes you say this? Kobe averaged 35/9/4 while being more efficient and he had a higher +/- than Shaq in the series and in each game other than game 1.

We agree the rest of the way but I think Kobe's performance is the only difference between 01 and 00. If Shaq in 00 played just as hard and played with 01 Kobe playing that hard to prove himself LA in 2000 is the GOAT regular season team. That's the main difference between the two years IMO.

Kobe averaged 31.6/7.0/6.2, had over a 30 PER, a 24.2 GameScore, a 121 ORTG, and was better than Shaq statistically in all 3 series if we just go off aggregate stats like PER and Game Score. I think that postseason run by Kobe is so underrated, he was playing like early 90s Jordan for those few weeks, maybe a bit better since he's a better passer than MJ. To this day I'm pretty sure outside of the 2017 Warriors Kobe has the highest postseason on/court rating of any player to make the Finals since 01.


Dude, keep this locked and loaded and waiting. In about 8 spots I'm going to need you to rip out all your best Kobe posts to help me get him in :lol:

Return to Player Comparisons