RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 (Steve Nash)

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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#21 » by iggymcfrack » Mon Dec 7, 2020 8:12 am

Dutchball97 wrote:I'm the only one who has even mentioned Kawhi as up for consideration so far so I'd like to ask people in what range they're thinking of voting for him.

He's 4th in career play-off WS/48 behind MJ, LeBron and Mikan. He's 3rd in career play-off BPM behind MJ and LeBron. Both these stats don't take longevity into account but in terms of WS and VORP in the play-offs he's 24th and 17th respectively as well. Which is better than several players who are already voted in and definitely good enough to complement his insane peak impact considering we're voting for the #27 spot now.

In the regular season he's not as legendary on a per game basis as in the play-offs but he still makes the top 10 for both career WS/48 and BPM once again. However, the main argument against him is his lack of regular season longevity.

When I look at what Kawhi has done in his career I'm looking at a guy who has elite impact in the regular season and somehow manages to step it up even further in the play-offs. Despite not having the best longevity, he more than makes up for it in my eyes with the accumulated play-off stats.

Are you guys just a few spots off for voting him or does his so-so regular season longevity keep you from voting him top 50? I can understand people being a lot lower on him than I am due to the regular season stuff but I'd like to know what I'm up against here. Don't want to vote for him for like 30 spots straight, while feeling like nobody is listening to my arguments like how I felt when I voted KD/Curry for like 10 spots straight, while things went more and more antagonistic as time went on.


Thanks for the reminder on Kawhi. I almost forgot to list him (and didn't worry THAT much since I had Wade ahead of him anyway), but I think he absolutely deserves consideration and I would have him in the next spot in the likely event that Wade goes next.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#22 » by Baski » Mon Dec 7, 2020 10:54 am

Dutchball97 wrote:I'm the only one who has even mentioned Kawhi as up for consideration so far so I'd like to ask people in what range they're thinking of voting for him.

He's 4th in career play-off WS/48 behind MJ, LeBron and Mikan. He's 3rd in career play-off BPM behind MJ and LeBron. Both these stats don't take longevity into account but in terms of WS and VORP in the play-offs he's 24th and 17th respectively as well. Which is better than several players who are already voted in and definitely good enough to complement his insane peak impact considering we're voting for the #27 spot now.

In the regular season he's not as legendary on a per game basis as in the play-offs but he still makes the top 10 for both career WS/48 and BPM once again. However, the main argument against him is his lack of regular season longevity.

When I look at what Kawhi has done in his career I'm looking at a guy who has elite impact in the regular season and somehow manages to step it up even further in the play-offs. Despite not having the best longevity, he more than makes up for it in my eyes with the accumulated play-off stats.

Are you guys just a few spots off for voting him or does his so-so regular season longevity keep you from voting him top 50? I can understand people being a lot lower on him than I am due to the regular season stuff but I'd like to know what I'm up against here. Don't want to vote for him for like 30 spots straight, while feeling like nobody is listening to my arguments like how I felt when I voted KD/Curry for like 10 spots straight, while things went more and more antagonistic as time went on.

Around where Westbrook ends up for me: high 40s to low 60s. Kawhi has had pretty much the perfect team situation for any star ever from day 1 while being a less than capable leader. For all of his successes, there's always an element of "Player X could do this too if he had it so easy". His low career totals and individual accolades support this as well as the general notion that he didn't "pay his dues" compared to his contemporaries.
Of course a lot of it is fueled by a necessary (imo) pushback on his greatly exaggerated status all time due to the LeBron factor.
It also can't help that the one time his situation was 80% perfect instead of 100% (let's not kid ourselves, any other superstar would kill for the 2020 Clippers cast behind them), they went out in a disappointing (or rather, mortal) fashion.
Basically Kawhi is what some people wrongly think Tim Duncan is. And given how the discussions on Durant, Wilt, LeBron, Hakeem, CP3 and Curry have gone so far, Kawhi's personality flaws are going to have a lot of spotlight.
Given all of this I'd be surprised to see him get serious consideration anytime soon, but I've already been surprised on this project so I guess we'll see.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#23 » by Dutchball97 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 11:01 am

Baski wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:I'm the only one who has even mentioned Kawhi as up for consideration so far so I'd like to ask people in what range they're thinking of voting for him.

He's 4th in career play-off WS/48 behind MJ, LeBron and Mikan. He's 3rd in career play-off BPM behind MJ and LeBron. Both these stats don't take longevity into account but in terms of WS and VORP in the play-offs he's 24th and 17th respectively as well. Which is better than several players who are already voted in and definitely good enough to complement his insane peak impact considering we're voting for the #27 spot now.

In the regular season he's not as legendary on a per game basis as in the play-offs but he still makes the top 10 for both career WS/48 and BPM once again. However, the main argument against him is his lack of regular season longevity.

When I look at what Kawhi has done in his career I'm looking at a guy who has elite impact in the regular season and somehow manages to step it up even further in the play-offs. Despite not having the best longevity, he more than makes up for it in my eyes with the accumulated play-off stats.

Are you guys just a few spots off for voting him or does his so-so regular season longevity keep you from voting him top 50? I can understand people being a lot lower on him than I am due to the regular season stuff but I'd like to know what I'm up against here. Don't want to vote for him for like 30 spots straight, while feeling like nobody is listening to my arguments like how I felt when I voted KD/Curry for like 10 spots straight, while things went more and more antagonistic as time went on.

Around where Westbrook ends up for me: high 40s to low 60s. Kawhi has had pretty much the perfect team situation for any star ever from day 1 while being a less than capable leader. For all of his successes, there's always an element of "Player X could do this too if he had it so easy". His low career totals and individual accolades support this as well as the general notion that he didn't "pay his dues" compared to his contemporaries.
Of course a lot of it is fueled by a necessary (imo) pushback on his greatly exaggerated status all time due to the LeBron factor.
It also can't help that the one time his situation was 80% perfect instead of 100% (let's not kid ourselves, any other superstar would kill for the 2020 Clippers cast behind them), they went out in a disappointing (or rather, mortal) fashion.
Basically Kawhi is what some people wrongly think Tim Duncan is. And given how the discussions on Durant, Wilt, LeBron, Hakeem, CP3 and Curry have gone so far, Kawhi's personality flaws are going to have a lot of spotlight.
Given all of this I'd be surprised to see him get serious consideration anytime soon, but I've already been surprised on this project so I guess we'll see.


You think Kawhi only did what he did because of his teams? Were the 2019 Raptors an All-Time great supporting cast? Because Kawhi's performance in the play-offs sure was. Also putting all of the blame for the 2020 2nd round exit on Kawhi feels really disingenous. Sure, he wasn't some amazing leader that got everyone on the same path but the same can be said for many guys already voted in.

I'm a bit worried Kawhi is going to get the same treatment as KD. They've been the only two players so far where I've seen people argue they should be ranked lower because people don't like them. So, double standards.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#24 » by 70sFan » Mon Dec 7, 2020 11:05 am

Still don't see not voting for Kawhi/KD as a result of dislike. Kawhi is among my favorite players today, but I don't have him inside my top 40.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#25 » by The Master » Mon Dec 7, 2020 11:42 am

Kawhi as a leader has four postseason appearances (16-17, 19-20):
- so-so against Thunder in 2016
- got injured in 2017
- all-time great run in 2019
- so-so against Nuggets in 2020

And three-four appearances as an elite role player (12-15).

In order to have him in top30, you have to be very peak-oriented, but then there's some contradiction considering half of Kawhi's career is valuable because of his role player-quality. And you have to have Steph Curry or Bill Walton much higher than average based on the same methodology.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#26 » by Dutchball97 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 11:53 am

The Master wrote:Kawhi as a leader has four postseason appearances (16-17, 19-20):
- so-so against Thunder in 2016
- got injured in 2017
- all-time great run in 2019
- so-so against Nuggets in 2020

And three-four appearances as an elite role player (12-15).

In order to have him in top30, you have to be very peak-oriented, but then there's some contradiction considering half of Kawhi's career is valuable because of his role player-quality. And you have to have Steph Curry or Bill Walton much higher than average based on the same methodology.


I had Curry in my top 15 and I'll consider Walton inside the top 50 as well, while other posters have already stated they'll likely not vote him at all in the project.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#27 » by 70sFan » Mon Dec 7, 2020 12:05 pm

Yeah, the problem with Kawhi is that he has only 4 prime seasons and in two of them he dealt with injuries. This is not top 40 career in my opinion and I'm big Kawhi fan.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#28 » by penbeast0 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 12:22 pm

I also think that while there are fans that are definitely prejudiced against great players they didn't watch; there are also the "late adapters" that take a while to realize how great current players are. I'm one, I feel I sleep on current players sometimes. Of course, there are also cases like Dwight Howard who, the moment he gets voted in, exposes all his weaknesses and makes you look silly for it (exaggerating the DHo case for effect here).
“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination,” Andrew Lang.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#29 » by Baski » Mon Dec 7, 2020 2:18 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:
Baski wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:I'm the only one who has even mentioned Kawhi as up for consideration so far so I'd like to ask people in what range they're thinking of voting for him.

He's 4th in career play-off WS/48 behind MJ, LeBron and Mikan. He's 3rd in career play-off BPM behind MJ and LeBron. Both these stats don't take longevity into account but in terms of WS and VORP in the play-offs he's 24th and 17th respectively as well. Which is better than several players who are already voted in and definitely good enough to complement his insane peak impact considering we're voting for the #27 spot now.

In the regular season he's not as legendary on a per game basis as in the play-offs but he still makes the top 10 for both career WS/48 and BPM once again. However, the main argument against him is his lack of regular season longevity.

When I look at what Kawhi has done in his career I'm looking at a guy who has elite impact in the regular season and somehow manages to step it up even further in the play-offs. Despite not having the best longevity, he more than makes up for it in my eyes with the accumulated play-off stats.

Are you guys just a few spots off for voting him or does his so-so regular season longevity keep you from voting him top 50? I can understand people being a lot lower on him than I am due to the regular season stuff but I'd like to know what I'm up against here. Don't want to vote for him for like 30 spots straight, while feeling like nobody is listening to my arguments like how I felt when I voted KD/Curry for like 10 spots straight, while things went more and more antagonistic as time went on.

Around where Westbrook ends up for me: high 40s to low 60s. Kawhi has had pretty much the perfect team situation for any star ever from day 1 while being a less than capable leader. For all of his successes, there's always an element of "Player X could do this too if he had it so easy". His low career totals and individual accolades support this as well as the general notion that he didn't "pay his dues" compared to his contemporaries.
Of course a lot of it is fueled by a necessary (imo) pushback on his greatly exaggerated status all time due to the LeBron factor.
It also can't help that the one time his situation was 80% perfect instead of 100% (let's not kid ourselves, any other superstar would kill for the 2020 Clippers cast behind them), they went out in a disappointing (or rather, mortal) fashion.
Basically Kawhi is what some people wrongly think Tim Duncan is. And given how the discussions on Durant, Wilt, LeBron, Hakeem, CP3 and Curry have gone so far, Kawhi's personality flaws are going to have a lot of spotlight.
Given all of this I'd be surprised to see him get serious consideration anytime soon, but I've already been surprised on this project so I guess we'll see.


You think Kawhi only did what he did because of his teams? Were the 2019 Raptors an All-Time great supporting cast? Because Kawhi's performance in the play-offs sure was. Also putting all of the blame for the 2020 2nd round exit on Kawhi feels really disingenous. Sure, he wasn't some amazing leader that got everyone on the same path but the same can be said for many guys already voted in.

I'm a bit worried Kawhi is going to get the same treatment as KD. They've been the only two players so far where I've seen people argue they should be ranked lower because people don't like them. So, double standards.

I think he did what he did because he's Kawhi. But it's extremely hard to deny/ignore how favourable his team situations have been for his entire career that enable him to simply "do what he does" and not worry about the rest. I don't know what you mean by ATG supporting cast, but the 2020 Raptors minus Kawhi didn't drop off in the RS and went just as far as he did with an even more talented team. Their defense was freakishly good, historically good and it's pretty much a fact that defense is what wins championships, not offense. On the flipside, their offense did not depend on Kawhi in the classical sense. They were able to effortlessly switch between Kawhiso and their more movement-oriented system when the situation called for it. I remember feeling completely flabbergasted watching their games.

We're talking about a player with a glaring playmaking flaw that has been masked by every team he's been on for all but one year of his career. There are virtually no other superstars who have been afforded the freedom to just do what they're comfortable doing and leave the rest to the team, and zero others who can choose when to play and have their team maintain a steady winning pace without them, twice.

I'm not putting the full blame for the Nuggets loss on Kawhi. I don't think you can really do that with any player. But I am saying that his flaws as a player and leader were on full display in that series-scratch that-this entire season, and they just couldn't talent it out against the Nuggets like his teams have done previously. It was a full on team-wide mental collapse, on par with the 2015 Clippers, with him valiantly leading the charge. Before this event, the general sentiment was that this was simply impossible for Kawhi (Look at how he carried the perpetual choker Raptors to a title amirite?). Now we're wiser, but shouldn't have taken us this long. LeBron effect.

For all of KDs unfair treatment, he's been voted in as a top 20-25 guy even though his career is far from over. Most of us are over the "dislike" phase. At least, I've come to appreciate some of his finest moments as a Warrior and I think he got a lot of support in the voting thread despite what you'd expect.

It's kind of ironic that you're saying Kawhi is "disliked", considering he's been outed as the biggest diva of the past 3 seasons and hasn't been blasted half as much as LeBron and KD have in the same time period. KD's burner account thread was longer than the longest Kawhi-bashing thread ever. For obvious reasons, I dislike him, but I feel confident that I can speak on his weaknesses (and strengths if I have to). It actually confuses me when people act like his transgressions are no big deal, which leads me to the below quote:

"Sure, he wasn't some amazing leader that got everyone on the same path but the same can be said for many guys already voted in. "

I'm actually interested in this. Who has been voted in that's as incapable/damaging a leader as Kawhi is?

I had a while writeup to show how bad a leader he's been since 2016, but it's probably too early in the project to go that deep. I will say though that I'm as stunned at how downplayed Kawhi's transgressions are as Doc MJ was that Curry didn't get in till 24.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#30 » by Jordan Syndrome » Mon Dec 7, 2020 2:34 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:
Baski wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:I'm the only one who has even mentioned Kawhi as up for consideration so far so I'd like to ask people in what range they're thinking of voting for him.

He's 4th in career play-off WS/48 behind MJ, LeBron and Mikan. He's 3rd in career play-off BPM behind MJ and LeBron. Both these stats don't take longevity into account but in terms of WS and VORP in the play-offs he's 24th and 17th respectively as well. Which is better than several players who are already voted in and definitely good enough to complement his insane peak impact considering we're voting for the #27 spot now.

In the regular season he's not as legendary on a per game basis as in the play-offs but he still makes the top 10 for both career WS/48 and BPM once again. However, the main argument against him is his lack of regular season longevity.

When I look at what Kawhi has done in his career I'm looking at a guy who has elite impact in the regular season and somehow manages to step it up even further in the play-offs. Despite not having the best longevity, he more than makes up for it in my eyes with the accumulated play-off stats.

Are you guys just a few spots off for voting him or does his so-so regular season longevity keep you from voting him top 50? I can understand people being a lot lower on him than I am due to the regular season stuff but I'd like to know what I'm up against here. Don't want to vote for him for like 30 spots straight, while feeling like nobody is listening to my arguments like how I felt when I voted KD/Curry for like 10 spots straight, while things went more and more antagonistic as time went on.

Around where Westbrook ends up for me: high 40s to low 60s. Kawhi has had pretty much the perfect team situation for any star ever from day 1 while being a less than capable leader. For all of his successes, there's always an element of "Player X could do this too if he had it so easy". His low career totals and individual accolades support this as well as the general notion that he didn't "pay his dues" compared to his contemporaries.
Of course a lot of it is fueled by a necessary (imo) pushback on his greatly exaggerated status all time due to the LeBron factor.
It also can't help that the one time his situation was 80% perfect instead of 100% (let's not kid ourselves, any other superstar would kill for the 2020 Clippers cast behind them), they went out in a disappointing (or rather, mortal) fashion.
Basically Kawhi is what some people wrongly think Tim Duncan is. And given how the discussions on Durant, Wilt, LeBron, Hakeem, CP3 and Curry have gone so far, Kawhi's personality flaws are going to have a lot of spotlight.
Given all of this I'd be surprised to see him get serious consideration anytime soon, but I've already been surprised on this project so I guess we'll see.


You think Kawhi only did what he did because of his teams? Were the 2019 Raptors an All-Time great supporting cast? Because Kawhi's performance in the play-offs sure was. Also putting all of the blame for the 2020 2nd round exit on Kawhi feels really disingenous. Sure, he wasn't some amazing leader that got everyone on the same path but the same can be said for many guys already voted in.

I'm a bit worried Kawhi is going to get the same treatment as KD. They've been the only two players so far where I've seen people argue they should be ranked lower because people don't like them. So, double standards.


The 2019 Raptors is an all-time supporting cast, I'm surprised you don't think so.

The Raptors in 2018 were a 7.29 SRS team and 59-win team. They traded a mediocre starter in DeMar DeRozan and a young prospect on Jakob Poetl and replaced them with Kawhi Leonard and then upgrades Jonas Valanciunas to Marc Gasol. You had Pascal Siakam starting to grow into his own and in 2019 he was already better than any version of DeMar DeRozan.

The Raptors had 8 players in total with a positive BPM. The Raptors had 4 players not named Kawhi Leonard above 2 BPM (+2 BPM is a "good starter").

The 2019 Raptors were the deepest Finals team in the modern Era with multiple players in the top 8-10 of their position. While the team wasn't a LeBron/Davis/role player cast it was still loaded.

The 2011 Dallas Mavericks are often compared to the 2019 Raptors. For comparison, the Mavericks had 1 player other than Dirk at +2 BPM and 6 players in total with a positive BPM.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#31 » by Dutchball97 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 2:34 pm

Baski wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
Baski wrote:Around where Westbrook ends up for me: high 40s to low 60s. Kawhi has had pretty much the perfect team situation for any star ever from day 1 while being a less than capable leader. For all of his successes, there's always an element of "Player X could do this too if he had it so easy". His low career totals and individual accolades support this as well as the general notion that he didn't "pay his dues" compared to his contemporaries.
Of course a lot of it is fueled by a necessary (imo) pushback on his greatly exaggerated status all time due to the LeBron factor.
It also can't help that the one time his situation was 80% perfect instead of 100% (let's not kid ourselves, any other superstar would kill for the 2020 Clippers cast behind them), they went out in a disappointing (or rather, mortal) fashion.
Basically Kawhi is what some people wrongly think Tim Duncan is. And given how the discussions on Durant, Wilt, LeBron, Hakeem, CP3 and Curry have gone so far, Kawhi's personality flaws are going to have a lot of spotlight.
Given all of this I'd be surprised to see him get serious consideration anytime soon, but I've already been surprised on this project so I guess we'll see.


You think Kawhi only did what he did because of his teams? Were the 2019 Raptors an All-Time great supporting cast? Because Kawhi's performance in the play-offs sure was. Also putting all of the blame for the 2020 2nd round exit on Kawhi feels really disingenous. Sure, he wasn't some amazing leader that got everyone on the same path but the same can be said for many guys already voted in.

I'm a bit worried Kawhi is going to get the same treatment as KD. They've been the only two players so far where I've seen people argue they should be ranked lower because people don't like them. So, double standards.

I think he did what he did because he's Kawhi. But it's extremely hard to deny/ignore how favourable his team situations have been for his entire career that enable him to simply "do what he does" and not worry about the rest. I don't know what you mean by ATG supporting cast, but the 2020 Raptors minus Kawhi didn't drop off in the RS and went just as far as he did with an even more talented team. Their defense was freakishly good, historically good and it's pretty much a fact that defense is what wins championships, not offense. On the flipside, their offense did not depend on Kawhi in the classical sense. They were able to effortlessly switch between Kawhiso and their more movement-oriented system when the situation called for it. I remember feeling completely flabbergasted watching their games.

We're talking about a player with a glaring playmaking flaw that has been masked by every team he's been on for all but one year of his career. There are virtually no other superstars who have been afforded the freedom to just do what they're comfortable doing and leave the rest to the team, and zero others who can choose when to play and have their team maintain a steady winning pace without them, twice.

I'm not putting the full blame for the Nuggets loss on Kawhi. I don't think you can really do that with any player. But I am saying that his flaws as a player and leader were on full display in that series-scratch that-this entire season, and they just couldn't talent it out against the Nuggets like his teams have done previously. It was a full on team-wide mental collapse, on par with the 2015 Clippers, with him valiantly leading the charge. Before this event, the general sentiment was that this was simply impossible for Kawhi (Look at how he carried the perpetual choker Raptors to a title amirite?). Now we're wiser, but shouldn't have taken us this long. LeBron effect.

For all of KDs unfair treatment, he's been voted in as a top 20-25 guy even though his career is far from over. Most of us are over the "dislike" phase. At least, I've come to appreciate some of his finest moments as a Warrior and I think he got a lot of support in the voting thread despite what you'd expect.

It's kind of ironic that you're saying Kawhi is "disliked", considering he's been outed as the biggest diva of the past 3 seasons and hasn't been blasted half as much as LeBron and KD have in the same time period. KD's burner account thread was longer than the longest Kawhi-bashing thread ever. For obvious reasons, I dislike him, but I feel confident that I can speak on his weaknesses (and strengths if I have to). It actually confuses me when people act like his transgressions are no big deal, which leads me to the below quote:

"Sure, he wasn't some amazing leader that got everyone on the same path but the same can be said for many guys already voted in. "

I'm actually interested in this. Who has been voted in that's as incapable/damaging a leader as Kawhi is?

I had a while writeup to show how bad a leader he's been since 2016, but it's probably too early in the project to go that deep. I will say though that I'm as stunned at how downplayed Kawhi's transgressions are as Doc MJ was that Curry didn't get in till 24.


I can understand it being a bit personal for you with the way Kawhi left the Spurs but I don't agree with his leadership being damaging. If anything, his style works well when he goes to teams with already established cultures like we saw first with the Spurs and then with the Raptors. I honestly don't think even someone like LeBron would've been able to fix the Clippers last year in Kawhi's place. You can't expect every great player to be a vocal leader. Neither is Durant, I'd say Barkley also fits the bill.

The line about him being "outed" as a diva is exactly what I meant when I said people are letting personal bias impact their decision on him. Kawhi acting like a star player was unexpected with how his quite persona had been built up in the media but to call him the biggest diva of the last 3 years? I don't know man, I don't think that's it. Transgressions seems like a phrase that isn't connected to objectiviy, considering the kind of transgressions certain other players have made.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#32 » by Dutchball97 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 2:37 pm

Jordan Syndrome wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
Baski wrote:Around where Westbrook ends up for me: high 40s to low 60s. Kawhi has had pretty much the perfect team situation for any star ever from day 1 while being a less than capable leader. For all of his successes, there's always an element of "Player X could do this too if he had it so easy". His low career totals and individual accolades support this as well as the general notion that he didn't "pay his dues" compared to his contemporaries.
Of course a lot of it is fueled by a necessary (imo) pushback on his greatly exaggerated status all time due to the LeBron factor.
It also can't help that the one time his situation was 80% perfect instead of 100% (let's not kid ourselves, any other superstar would kill for the 2020 Clippers cast behind them), they went out in a disappointing (or rather, mortal) fashion.
Basically Kawhi is what some people wrongly think Tim Duncan is. And given how the discussions on Durant, Wilt, LeBron, Hakeem, CP3 and Curry have gone so far, Kawhi's personality flaws are going to have a lot of spotlight.
Given all of this I'd be surprised to see him get serious consideration anytime soon, but I've already been surprised on this project so I guess we'll see.


You think Kawhi only did what he did because of his teams? Were the 2019 Raptors an All-Time great supporting cast? Because Kawhi's performance in the play-offs sure was. Also putting all of the blame for the 2020 2nd round exit on Kawhi feels really disingenous. Sure, he wasn't some amazing leader that got everyone on the same path but the same can be said for many guys already voted in.

I'm a bit worried Kawhi is going to get the same treatment as KD. They've been the only two players so far where I've seen people argue they should be ranked lower because people don't like them. So, double standards.


The 2019 Raptors is an all-time supporting cast, I'm surprised you don't think so.

The Raptors in 2018 were a 7.29 SRS team and 59-win team. They traded a mediocre starter in DeMar DeRozan and a young prospect on Jakob Poetl and replaced them with Kawhi Leonard and then upgrades Jonas Valanciunas to Marc Gasol. You had Pascal Siakam starting to grow into his own and in 2019 he was already better than any version of DeMar DeRozan.

The Raptors had 8 players in total with a positive BPM. The Raptors had 4 players not named Kawhi Leonard above 2 BPM (+2 BPM is a "good starter").

The 2019 Raptors were the deepest Finals team in the modern Era with multiple players in the top 8-10 of their position. While the team wasn't a LeBron/Davis/role player cast it was still loaded.

The 2011 Dallas Mavericks are often compared to the 2019 Raptors. For comparison, the Mavericks had 1 player other than Dirk at +2 BPM and 6 players in total with a positive BPM.


The 2019 Raptors were a good team even without Kawhi but the way people judge Kawhi for it, you'd think he joined the Warriors.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#33 » by Cavsfansince84 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 2:45 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:I'm the only one who has even mentioned Kawhi as up for consideration so far so I'd like to ask people in what range they're thinking of voting for him.


I don't really know where I'm going to place him as of right now but top 40 still seems too high. It will be much easier for me to justify him as a top 40 or top 30 guy 5 years from now I think. As of right now he has 4 high level seasons. That doesn't cut it with me and I think its also fair to bring up his somewhat obvious limitations as a leader.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#34 » by Dutchball97 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 3:00 pm

Anyway, like I said everybody's criteria are different so I guess I'll just have to come to terms with having Kawhi on my ballot for like 20 more rounds. I don't think I'll be the only one who faces this as I doubt guys like Reggie Miller and George Gervin will make the top 40 either. Here is my ballot from last round and my official vote once again:

1. Dwyane Wade - Wade's incredible performance in the 2006 play-offs alone should be enough to get him considered. I also don't think Wade's longevity is that bad. I'd have liked to see a bit more consistency in his prime but other than that is his longevity that much worse than Bird's longevity? I understand why he's not voted in yet but at this point I see him as the best candidate left by quite a bit.

2. Kawhi Leonard - I'll likely be voting him for a while but I'm alright with that. We all have different criteria but in my eyes he's a guy I can't not vote for here. He's been elite with 3 different teams and is one of the most consistently great play-off performers in the NBA. Even though people have been trying to devalue Kawhi's performances by saying he's a diva or he only excelled by playing on stacked teams, I think that's a cop out. Sure if you really care about the regular season I can see why voting for Kawhi in the late 20s feels a bit soon but in terms of play-offs he's just about the strongest candidate left.

3. Elgin Baylor - I think Baylor gets overhyped sometimes but that doesn't mean he wasn't a great player. He was absolutely elite in his prime. Since I'm looking at voting for players who had incredible peaks and decent longevity I think Baylor is a solid option.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#35 » by 70sFan » Mon Dec 7, 2020 3:02 pm

To have Kawhi that high you either have to discount longevity argument at all, or to believe that his peak is truly on top 15 level. Personally, I'm not even sure he has the best peak left here.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#36 » by Dutchball97 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 3:10 pm

70sFan wrote:To have Kawhi that high you either have to discount longevity argument at all, or to believe that his peak is truly on top 15 level. Personally, I'm not even sure he has the best peak left here.


I've already explained that in terms of play-offs WS and VORP he is higher up than a lot of guys already voted in, I think that's much more important than regular season longevity. I also truely believe his peak is top 15, there really aren't a lot of guys with a better post-season than Kawhi in 2019. I'd be interested to know which guys that are still around do you think peaked higher than Kawhi.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#37 » by Jordan Syndrome » Mon Dec 7, 2020 3:11 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:
Jordan Syndrome wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
You think Kawhi only did what he did because of his teams? Were the 2019 Raptors an All-Time great supporting cast? Because Kawhi's performance in the play-offs sure was. Also putting all of the blame for the 2020 2nd round exit on Kawhi feels really disingenous. Sure, he wasn't some amazing leader that got everyone on the same path but the same can be said for many guys already voted in.

I'm a bit worried Kawhi is going to get the same treatment as KD. They've been the only two players so far where I've seen people argue they should be ranked lower because people don't like them. So, double standards.


The 2019 Raptors is an all-time supporting cast, I'm surprised you don't think so.

The Raptors in 2018 were a 7.29 SRS team and 59-win team. They traded a mediocre starter in DeMar DeRozan and a young prospect on Jakob Poetl and replaced them with Kawhi Leonard and then upgrades Jonas Valanciunas to Marc Gasol. You had Pascal Siakam starting to grow into his own and in 2019 he was already better than any version of DeMar DeRozan.

The Raptors had 8 players in total with a positive BPM. The Raptors had 4 players not named Kawhi Leonard above 2 BPM (+2 BPM is a "good starter").

The 2019 Raptors were the deepest Finals team in the modern Era with multiple players in the top 8-10 of their position. While the team wasn't a LeBron/Davis/role player cast it was still loaded.

The 2011 Dallas Mavericks are often compared to the 2019 Raptors. For comparison, the Mavericks had 1 player other than Dirk at +2 BPM and 6 players in total with a positive BPM.


The 2019 Raptors were a good team even without Kawhi but the way people judge Kawhi for it, you'd think he joined the Warriors.


I think once again you are missing the interpretation of others and simply categorizing everyone as a "hater" as you did Kevin Durant.

Here is my negative view on Kawhi Leonard and why I don't view him in the same light as other players here.

1) Sit out an entire season in his prime because he was unhappy with the Spurs organization then forces a trade out of the organization.

2) Sits out 22 games in 2019 as his body can't handle anywhere close to an 82-game regular season on top of a deep playoff run. We see his body start breaking down in the 2019 post-season reinforcing this idea many of us here have--Kawhi is a "Play 75% of a season player."

3) Kawhi isn't a catalyst offensively. He is best used as a scorer and defender and requires a floor manager to control the tempo and pace of the game.

4) I'm really unhappy with everything that happened in LA this season. Kawhi came in and started demanding things a player shouldn't and I hold that against him as I do with players who do similar things. I have held similar things against LeBron earlier in his career when he wasn't the best leader and I did the same for Young Jordan (which is why I am not as high on early Jordan as others, even though his box-score is remarkable).

Kawhi Leonard has a chance to change in my view--everyone does. Currently Kawhi is a player who I see as lesser than multiple players who peaked lower than him. The story is still being written on Kawhi but right now he isn't seen in a good light in my book.

Here is a great comparison: LeBron through 2011 versus Kawhi's total career. Who do you take?
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#38 » by Odinn21 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 3:13 pm

26. Dwyane Wade
We're at a point, we've run out of players with 7+ seasons of prime. So, I can not knock Wade for not having an extended prime. His postseason resilience, especially against the toughest defenses, is the main reason I have him over anyone else left on the board.
I'd like to see Wade in the top 25. Personally I have him over Durant, Curry and Paul and my desire to see him in the top 25 could lead me to change my vote but I should stick my initial ranking.

Coming from the #25 thread about how hard Wade carried the Heat in 2006;
Spoiler:
Odinn21 wrote:I ran some simple numbers in the last half hour or so.
It was about vorp share on a team. Looking at vorp share is more about to see how hard a player carried his team, instead of making a claim about saying directly "he's the best since he has the highest numbers".

And I also looked at a small pool of title winning runs.

(vorp share in regular season / vorp share in playoffs / vorp share in total / season, player)

46.50% / 44.74% / 46.15% / 1980 Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
43.20% / 55.56% / 46.19% / 1984 Larry Bird
41.67% / 39.58% / 41.25% / 1987 Magic Johnson
54.27% / 52.73% / 53.94% / 1991 Michael Jordan
58.29% / 51.92% / 56.83% / 1993 Michael Jordan
48.34% / 50.98% / 49.01% / 1994 Hakeem Olajuwon
45.23% / 42.62% / 44.62% / 2000 Shaquille O'Neal
45.56% / 50.82% / 46.96% / 2003 Tim Duncan
48.97% / 49.09% / 49.00% / 2006 Dwyane Wade
31.72% / 41.27% / 34.14% / 2009 Kobe Bryant
55.07% / 43.66% / 51.20% / 2012 LeBron James
52.66% / 46.88% / 51.19% / 2013 LeBron James
37.09% / 34.92% / 36.59% / 2015 Stephen Curry

I wanted to have no duplicates on the list but couldn't deny Jordan's and James' multiple 50+ seasons.
Nowitzki's 2011 run is not on there because BPM (thus VORP) design doesn't like off-ball oriented Nowitzki. 2019 Leonard did not match my 30+% share requirement (his regular season share was 29.19%).

As you can see, Wade is the only player that performed a very significant carry job and is yet to make our list. Personally, I hadn't realized Wade's regular season also being a top notch carry job. His numbers are on the same level as 1994 Hakeem Olajuwon and only third to Jordan and James.

Wade was able to carry his team like a top 10 player ever (maybe even top 5), shame that his prime was hampered by many injuries and got cut short with another injury...

---

Some other notes about what I did; winning has its unique impact on these numbers, that's why I looked at only title winning runs and did not include runs like 1977 Abdul-Jabbar, 1990 Jordan or 2009 James. Being a one-man army as it can get while winning and being an entire one-man army are different things.


27. Patrick Ewing
I think his defense, performance/quality/impact wise, a bit underrated. With Riley, he was the centre piece of one of the best defensive teams ever. I don't have the exact numbers as of now but when I compared Nash led offense in playoffs in Phoenix and Ewing led defense in playoffs from '92 to '96, they were pretty much on par. And we all know how great that Phoenix offense was. We just do not acknowledge the defensive quality of the NY team enough. Ewing was not entirely suitable to carry an offense, similar to Robinson. But he was still productive and his offensive production was resilient enough.

28. Elgin Baylor
This may seem too old school. And I'd already concede that Baylor was not the highest impact player. But he still had pretty good impact and his on court production was great. I think it's quite forgotten that Baylor had a 41/18/4 series against the Celtics in '62. Bill Russell had to play arguably the best game 7 in the game history to deny Baylor and the Lakers. It's kind of unfair to Baylor, thinking that West gets so much love for '69 Finals but Baylor doesn't for '62 Finals.
Had he not gotten injured in '65, I think he'd be higher on this list.

-----

Leonard has no business of being a top 30 player. His peak is, but not his prime (only 4 seasons, 2 hampered by injuries), not his longevity and not his durability. Also his intangibles is a negative for him.
Leonard in his prime is a superstar that you can not rely on if you have a team like 2003 Magic or 2009 Heat and not everyone / every team gets to be that lucky to sit out their superstar for 25% of regular season.

I might take 2019 Leonard on a contending team over 1993 Ewing but not in many other scenarios.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#39 » by LA Bird » Mon Dec 7, 2020 3:16 pm

'People who don't rank X as highly as me have double standards because they don't like him'. This has somehow become a thing in the last few threads and it's only ever for young players being 'robbed' on all time lists. penbeast voted for Mikan forever before he was finally voted in and he didn't complain about how the rest of the board didn't vote for him because they dislike Mikan personally. Nah, he recognized that voters can have their own opinions and voted for his personal pick without making a fuss or attacking the objectivity of posters who voted differently from him.

And while I am on this tangent, I thought the Curry discussion towards the end of last thread was quite funny. 'It is worth studying the interesting phenomena of how this board suddenly turned against Curry to only place him at #24.' As though there is some secret cabal of Curry haters lurking here who pushed him down the all time list.
1. The first vote Curry received from anyone came in round #19 and he was voted in 5 rounds later. If Curry supporters are so upset about him being underrated by being ranked 24th, why weren't they voting for him themselves much earlier? It is not some great injustice that the majority opinion of this board doesn't align perfectly with those of the biggest Curry fans.
2. It is not inconsistent to rank Curry's individual seasons highly while not ranking his overall career as highly due to him having few high level seasons. POY shares was referenced to show how this board used to love Curry in 2013 before turning against him but if we look at career POY shares, Curry is only 19th (or 20th if the project had included Mikan and the pre-shot clock era). If this board board actually swung from being extremely high on Curry to being extremely low, how is Curry rated only a few places behind of his career POY shares despite the metric being very favorable to Curry because of its heavy bias towards peak over longevity?

Either longevity isn't a thing and this board just suddenly hate every young player in the league for no reason, or, voters who care about career value would just rather wait a few years before giving young players undue credit too early in their careers. Which of those two scenarios sounds more likely?

Edit: For the record, I am not voting for any of Kawhi, Davis, Giannis, or Lillard in the top 50 and it's nothing personal against any of them.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #27 

Post#40 » by Dutchball97 » Mon Dec 7, 2020 3:19 pm

I do wonder why my "feeling out posts" about players garner such hostile responses. My personal annoyance with this is that I explicitly didn't take personality into account for other players I have a dislike for for different reasons (LeBron, KG, Karl Malone the most significant examples) but reading some of these responses I can't help but feel this doesn't happen across the board.

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