RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #99 (Walt Bellamy)

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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #99 

Post#21 » by Clyde Frazier » Tue May 18, 2021 11:34 pm

Vote 1 - Bernard King
Vote 2 - Chris Webber
Vote 3 - Tiny Archibald

DeBusschere > Bellamy > Beaty > Mullin > Jerry Lucas > Dandridge > Aldridge > Kemp > Lowry > Brand > Price > Dennis Johnson > Hawkins > Penny > Johnston > Walton > Heinsohn


At his peak, king was one of the most dynamic scorers the league had seen. He was more methodical than flashy, but he knew what he was good at and kept going to it. His turnaround jumper was so lethal that he didn't even have to look at the hoop when releasing the shot. It was all in 1 quick motion where the defender really had no chance to block it. He was also very bull-like in the open court. Not a high leaper, but extremely powerful with long strides getting to the rim.

From 79-85 he put up the following:

Regular Season
23.6 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 3.2 APG, 1.1 SPG, .3 BPG, 55.1% FG, 70.1% FT, 58.7% TS, .153 WS/48, 111 ORtg

Playoffs
30.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 2.8 APG, 1 SPG, .3 BPG, 56.8% FG, 72% FT, 60.9% TS, .213 WS/48, 122 ORtg

His prime was obviously cut short by injuries, but he still put together 11 seasons of solid production when it was all said and done. When he tore his ACL, his career was largely thought to be over given the era he played in. He went on to make an improbable comeback which culminated with him getting back to All NBA status in 90-91 with the bullets. I've alluded to this with other players in the project, but the amount of determination it takes to come back from major injuries and still perform at a high level is really impressive.

[As an aside, the Knicks stupidly released him because he wanted to do his rehab on his own instead of at the knicks training facility. Always would've loved to see even a lesser version of King get to play with Ewing. Could've been a great match.]

He was probably best known for his 1st round game 5 clincher against the pistons in 84:

In a critical and decisive Game 5, Bernard King was his usual unstoppable self putting up 40 points as the Knicks held a double-digit lead with under two minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. Then Thomas decided to take things into his own hands by putting on a performance of epic proportions, tallying 16 points within the game’s final 94 seconds, to force overtime. King and Thomas exchanged offensive blows like a heavyweight title fight, with King getting the final blow by jamming an offensive put-back in the games final moments, giving him a game high 46 points and the Knicks a 3-2 series win. King showed a national audience that he would become one of the game’s most prolific scoring machines before injuries robbed him of his explosiveness. Game 5 was also arguably the moment that put a young “Zeke” on par with the NBA’s elite.



http://www.theshadowleague.com/articles/the-epic-battle-of-bernard-king-vs-isiah-thomas

Notice the splints on both of King's hands...



The Knicks would go on to lose to the eventual NBA champion celtics in 7 games, as he played through injuries and still averaged 29.1 PPG on 59.7% TS in the series. The guy was just relentless.

"The key was his preparation," said former Knicks coach and ESPN analyst Hubie Brown.

Part of that preparation included practicing thousands of shots from what King called his "sweet spots." In the half court, he identified three points along the baseline out to the sideline, then extended an imaginary line from a halfway point up the lane to the sideline with three more, then three more extended from the foul line to the sideline. He did the same on the other side of the lane.

Within the lane he identified four spots from the rim to the top of the key. These 22 spots, all within 18 feet of the basket, created a matrix of areas from which he felt supremely confident he could score. If a team tried to deny him the ball on offense, he would move from one sweet spot to another.

"He had the ability to see what all five positions were doing. That's how he could handle double- and triple-teams, because he knew where everyone would be," Brown said. "He knew how to create space for the high-percentage shot or find the guy who was open."


http://espn.go.com/nba/halloffame13/story/_/id/9653879/bernard-king-ahead
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #99 

Post#22 » by trex_8063 » Wed May 19, 2021 12:16 am

Doctor MJ wrote:Re: "conjecture". I wouldn't agree with that word, but I could see using a word like "subjective".


I feel that's sort of semantically splitting hairs, but OK.

My point is: a statement like, "His career really doesn't matter for any team he's ever played for. A brief summary of both franchises shouldn't mention his name".....
Would be kinda like me saying "Annie Hall is not one of the best movies of the 1970s. A list of notable movies from that decade should not mention this film."

Maybe you disagree [about Annie Hall], but who can say which of us is right? We're talking about art; it's purely subjective.

You can try to argue it's not an apt analogy because basketball's not purely art, and we have actual measurable indicators of how good someone is at basketball.
But you have essentially distilled it to a purely subjective opinion, very similar to one a person can have regarding a movie.

I mean, I've been presenting those measurable indicators for scrutiny, and you've in essence said they don't matter. In your prior statements it's implied [one of the most] the important thing[s] is how many people appreciated him in the stops of his career [which is just about the only indicator you could use for a movie, too: how many people agree with you that a movie is good, great, mediocre, or poor?].


You might counter by saying this "process" is about rendering a subjective opinion on the value of a player's career; and it is to a degree. But I tend to fall back on measurable points of argumentation because opinions are like, well......you know. Everyone's got 'em, and everyone thinks his is the best. Throwing up some relatively non-subjective support is my go-to method of making a point.

I guess I'm just unable to walk SO FAR from the objective(ish) measures that I can simply note that Player A "measures out" better than Player B in nearly every single indicator I'd care to select.......and still shrug it off and say, "whatever, I still think Player B's better".
If it WAS my initial impression [that Player B's better], there's only so much stuff I can look at before I begin to think gee wiz, maybe I'm wrong.


Doctor MJ wrote:Re: "lacks cool success story". You make this sound like I'm talking about something that lacks meaningful substance. Go tell that to folks in Portland.


This is again harkens to a notion that how many people appreciate him is more important than how good he was on a basketball court.
fwiw, I seem to recall you being relatively low on Bob Cousy (like outside your top 100 entirely???).....though I would say few were loved MORE by their city [and league-wide fans in general].



Doctor MJ wrote: I'm all for guys switching teams if they want to, but there's a cost when you do this just as there is when you switch the organization you work for. And when fundamentally the reasons for leaving speak to a person's own insecurities preventing them from taking their places among a franchise's pantheon, well, there's a void where something more should be in Aldridge's career.

Re: DJ. I'm not looking to argue for DJ - worth noting that I haven't been advocating for any of those Sonics and am on the record calling them one of the weakest champs in history - but it's meaningful that he won championships on two different teams - once as Finals MVP, and once taking a smaller role on a greater team. In the end, there's something there for DJ.

Re: has narrative. I might suggest you're reducing "team accomplishments" to "narrative", and I would suggest that this is antithetical to an NBA-based focused project.


wrt the bolded portion, there's a frequently a razor-thin difference between the two, at least given how they're often used.

To my point of view, you're doing it yourself above, but don't seem to realize it.

You say it's notable that DJ won a title with the Sonics and that he won the FMVP [which I don't disagree with, btw].......but a) you don't ask the question about whether his FMVP was even deserved [it is certainly debatable; he could even be argued down to third (or 2b)]; b) you allow the implication [that he was their best player (because he won the FMVP)] to linger without acknowledging that he most definitely was NOT their best player in the full playoff run and was probably only 3rd-best in the rs.
And c) [probably most importantly] is that this kind of off-hand statement declares that being a part of that particular team is heads and tails more important [by default] than being a part of any equal or potentially better team that just doesn't go the distance [usually as result of less favourable circumstance].

In these ways, some of these bullet-point [and often team, not individual] accomplishments are cited as essentially narrative props, without taking it to the granular level or answering those concerns.

I think LMA was the fairly clear 2nd-best player on no fewer than TWO teams that were better than the '79 Sonics. You yourself have ackowledged they're one of the weakest champions in the last half-century.

I have no reservations whatsoever in suggesting that the '16 Spurs would beat the '79 Sonics rather handily/easily in a 7-game series.
This was a 67-win, +10.28 SRS team, which then in the playoffs swept an admittedly mediocre Grizzlies team by 22 pts/game, and then played a contender-level Thunder team to a stand-still.
sansterre's version 1.0 top team formula pegged this squad as the 23rd best team of all-time, and the 2nd-best team in arguably the superest of super-team years ever.

However, "an unsuspectingly all-time great team when you really look closely [to that granular level]" just doesn't have the same narrative umpha! as "championship team".
But I'm nonetheless exceedingly comfortable saying they were better than the '79 Sonics.
I have little doubt [bearing no fluky injury to Kawhi] that the '17 Spurs could dismantle the '79 Sonics too.

For that matter, I'm not 100% confident the '79 Sonics were notably better than the '14 Blazers.


So Aldridge was the 2nd-best player for at least two [possibly even three???] teams that were better than the team DJ was the [probably] 3rd-best player for.......but DJ will get FAR more credit on the basis of two words: "championship" and "FMVP".

To me, that's narrative. It's NOT looking at the nitty gritty context.


wrt his role on the great '86 Celtic team.....was he even the 4th-best player on that team? My wife was recently purging some junk and came across some "collector's edition" sports release about the Bulls '91 title and Jordan's rise to the top of the league [by Bob Sacomato]. In it, he writes about the seasons leading up to '91, including '86. When reaching the part about the Celtics squad, he makes a point of mentioning their stacked line-up of Larry Bird, Kevin McHale, Robert Parish......and Danny Ainge.
It's just one author, but he mentions four guys and DJ is NOT one of them [let's not forget 6MOY Walton is on this team too].

It got me thinking about how it's not absurd at all to suggest Dennis Johnson was only the 5th-best or most important player on that team. tbh, discussing whether or not he was only 6th-best player on the team might be a viable debate.
The fact is, you could replace Dennis Johnson with just about ANY starting guard in the entire league that year, and the Celtics STILL would likely have come out champions.

Don't get me wrong: role players are important on championship teams [I believe I've been vocal on that point in the past]. But let's not overstate what DJ was, specifically, to that particular team.
To me, this is again kind of using certain team achievements as narrative props for DJ which oversell his actual value.



Doctor MJ wrote:
We absolutely see floor-raising differently, and that's okay.


Yeah, and this is definitely a point upon which we'll have to agree to disagree, because it's a divergence down to a very fundamental level.
I mean, sure: ideally you love a guy who can do BOTH [e.g. Jordan or Lebron]. For me, I guess that a ceiling-centric view feels too much like saying: "If you're not first, you're last." I just don't agree. The spirit of competition [to me] is about doing the best you can with what you've got. And most "best/near-best on the team" players will simply NOT have the necessary pieces around them to contend anyway; about a quarter are going to have trash supporting casts.......but what they do with those circumstances can still be admirable achievements [imo].

Although longevity is the bigger issue for me/my criteria where Draymond Green [for example] is concerned, his utter lack of floor-raising ability is another.
Give him an all-time tier cast, and he can do some amazing things. Take that talent away, and.....well, we saw it last year didn't we: the literally rock-bottom team in the entire league by all measures.

And I'm not saying floor-raising is MORE important than ceiling-raising. But they're pretty close to equal footing in my eyes.

EDIT: I'll take a page out of sansterre's book and quote some Tolkein [or at least the movies made from his work], specifically Gandalf's reply to Frodo when Frodo is lamenting having become the ring-bearer......

If a player says "I have no chance of achieving better than a middling playoff team here. I wish I had a better team."
I [Gandalf] might say: "So do all who live to see such times, but that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given to us."



Doctor MJ wrote:Well let's make sure we're not confusing "Kawhi led a contender" with "Kawhi & Aldridge synergized really well".

I'm not aware of any +/- data that indicates that Kawhi's WOWY data with Aldridge was particularly "wow".


OK, perhaps "mesh" or similar was not the best word.
However, you made a statement that LMA is a player who basically ensures you do NOT contend for a title.

My point was: that right there was a team [on which LMA was the 2nd-best player] that absolutely was in the mix for a title; a team that would actually be the odds-on favourite many years in NBA history.......I think they'd rip the '79 league apart, for example.

For me, that's the proof that you CAN potentially have a title-team that features Aldridge heavily.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #99 

Post#23 » by trex_8063 » Wed May 19, 2021 2:40 am

Doctor MJ wrote:.

Hal14 wrote:.


Sure would be helpful if you guys would provide a complete Condorcet list that includes Lowry, Dandridge, and Penny [and any others missing].
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #99 

Post#24 » by trex_8063 » Wed May 19, 2021 3:08 am

Thru post #23:

LaMarcus Aldridge - 1 (trex_8063)
Connie Hawkins - 1 (Doctor MJ)
Walt Bellamy - 1 (Odinn21)
Kyle Lowry - 1 (sansterre)
Bernard King - 1 (Clyde Frazier)
Dennis Johnson - 1 (Hal14)
Penny Hardaway - 1 (Dutchball97)
Bob Dandridge - 1 (penbeast0)
Bill Walton - 1 (HeartBreakKid)


9 votes for 9 players leaves this entirely to the all-around Condorcet leader…...which tentatively is Walt Bellamy. I cannot say to an absolute certainty that would hold, as a couple of posters did not get everyone relevant added to their condorcet lists.
And if everything went just perfectly for Lowry, it might have swung the result to Kyle.
However, for the record, Doctor MJ DID give me leave to assume any player he fails to list would have been BEHIND whomever I’m comparing him to. While I sort of doubt that’s the case vs Bellamy for Doc, that is the green light he gave me.

For whatever it’s worth [if indeed I’m right that Doc would prefer Lowry over Bellamy], Bellamy would likely still tie [at least] Lowry in all-around Condorcet record, AND have more total “condorcet points”.......so his victory here is not without validity regardless. Anyway, updated lists were [first] requested like 12 hours ago, so…..

Calling it for Bellamy.


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"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire

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