Who is in your GOAT tier?

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Who has an argument for the GOAT?

1-KAJ
85
21%
2-MJ
96
24%
3-LBJ
89
22%
4-Russell
57
14%
5-Wilt
33
8%
6-Duncan
13
3%
7-Shaq
4
1%
8-Magic
9
2%
9-Bird
8
2%
10-other
5
1%
 
Total votes: 399

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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#21 » by OhayoKD » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:03 am

70sFan wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:I've got MJ, LeBron, Kareem and Russell as GOAT candidates. Wilt and Duncan are on the fringes, I think they belong in the conversation but I have a hard time seeing them take the #1 spot.

I think I agree with these, I have 4 players on the clear GOAT tier, but Duncan and Wilt are very close behind... and actually, I have Hakeem and Shaq very close to them as well. My top 8 is well established.

if your life hung in the balance, how would you make the case for jordan, hakeem, and/or shaq being better than all three of bill, kareem, and lebron
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#22 » by penbeast0 » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:10 am

OhayoKD wrote:Well, for Mikan he would have had to dominated the league more than Russell did, right?

Also what are you considering "individual dominance" if it's not "effect on winning"


The numbers from Mikan are so limited and primitive and I never saw him so it's tough to say more than he was the clear dominant player in the league for several years to the point where the first of those All-time greatest projects I even heard of saw him rated him over Wilt and Russell. I don't have the citation for it though, sorry.

And I'm differentiating individual dominance from creating team goodness when looking at reasons to rate Wilt as GOAT. He could outplay any individual put up against him and win his matchup . . . but still not have the team impact on defense and winning as Bill Russell.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#23 » by OhayoKD » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:20 am

Colbinii wrote:Would you consider a player who you see as a Top 5-6 player ever and has arguments for players above him but could never be #1 as a GOAT candidate?

Who is this referring to
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#24 » by eminence » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:47 am

OhayoKD wrote:
eminence wrote:LBJ and Russell for me are the two with reasonable GOAT arguments, though I do rank a few other players above Russell (Duncan and KAJ).

you don't think kareem's case is reasonable?


If somebody has their own criteria I can see them making an argument for him, but by my preferences I don't see it as a very strong case, maybe reasonable wasn't the right word. LeBrons case is just so damn strong at this point by my values.

I usually wind up preferring Duncan over KAJ when comparing those two directly as well.

Russell will always have the 'All I do is win' case that I can fully respect even if I don't subscribe (Mikan kind of has it too in a weaker era).
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#25 » by Colbinii » Sun Nov 13, 2022 5:16 am

OhayoKD wrote:
Colbinii wrote:Would you consider a player who you see as a Top 5-6 player ever and has arguments for players above him but could never be #1 as a GOAT candidate?

Who is this referring to


Garnett.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#26 » by 70sFan » Sun Nov 13, 2022 8:42 am

ty 4191 wrote:
70sFan wrote:I think I agree with these, I have 4 players on the clear GOAT tier, but Duncan and Wilt are very close behind... and actually, I have Hakeem and Shaq very close to them as well. My top 8 is well established.


Hi Brother,
Who are your top 8, in order?

Also, I voted for:
Wilt
Kareem
Russell
LeBron
Jordan

They all have very strong cases, IMHO. For very different reasons.

Kareem
LeBron
Russell
Jordan
Duncan
Wilt
Hakeem
Shaq

I expect to move James ahead of Kareem after this season, but I have not reevaluated this comparison since a long time.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#27 » by 70sFan » Sun Nov 13, 2022 8:52 am

OhayoKD wrote:
70sFan wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:I've got MJ, LeBron, Kareem and Russell as GOAT candidates. Wilt and Duncan are on the fringes, I think they belong in the conversation but I have a hard time seeing them take the #1 spot.

I think I agree with these, I have 4 players on the clear GOAT tier, but Duncan and Wilt are very close behind... and actually, I have Hakeem and Shaq very close to them as well. My top 8 is well established.

if your life hung in the balance, how would you make the case for jordan, hakeem, and/or shaq being better than all three of bill, kareem, and lebron

I can't make a case for Shaq for all of them, which is why I don't have him in GOAT tier. Same for Hakeem.

Jordan, well if you are not particulary high on defense and longevity, then Jordan's case is fine. He's extremely consistent in RS (much more than LeBron) and he anchored some of the best teams ever with strong, but not GOAT-level tier. Still have a hard time picking him over both Russell and LeBron, but a case can be made.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#28 » by Jaivl » Sun Nov 13, 2022 1:04 pm

LeBron beats every "quality of play" and "value added" case, even Kareem's at this point.

And Russell handily beats every "acomplishments" case.

You can add Kareem and Jordan to the mix if you twist and turn your criteria around.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#29 » by Dutchball97 » Sun Nov 13, 2022 3:07 pm

Jaivl wrote:LeBron beats every "quality of play" and "value added" case, even Kareem's at this point.

And Russell handily beats every "acomplishments" case.

You can add Kareem and Jordan to the mix if you twist and turn your criteria around.


Only being able to include Jordan if you twist your criteria is another one of those overcorrections imo. Jordan's quality of play is still the best ever and if even if you disagree it's at the very least at the same level as LeBron and Kareem and much more consistent on a year to year basis.

On one hand it should be acceptable for someone to not have Jordan as one of their GOAT candidates but it's starting to look like people are suddenly trying to downplay Jordan out of nowhere just because there are still people refusing to consider anyone other than Jordan.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#30 » by AEnigma » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:06 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:
Jaivl wrote:LeBron beats every "quality of play" and "value added" case, even Kareem's at this point.

And Russell handily beats every "acomplishments" case.

You can add Kareem and Jordan to the mix if you twist and turn your criteria around.

Only being able to include Jordan if you twist your criteria is another one of those overcorrections imo. Jordan's quality of play is still the best ever and if even if you disagree it's at the very least at the same level as LeBron and Kareem and much more consistent on a year to year basis.

On one hand it should be acceptable for someone to not have Jordan as one of their GOAT candidates but it's starting to look like people are suddenly trying to downplay Jordan out of nowhere just because there are still people refusing to consider anyone other than Jordan.

What makes his quality of play “the best ever”. Eye test? Box score aggregates? Scoring myopia? Jaivl separated that from value added, so will leave that aside as best I can, but the only area where I would entertain Jordan as being at the true “GOAT” tier would be volume scoring specific. But he is not at that tier as a playmaker. You have said you are less in on Magic/Nash playmaking than some of us, alright, but for those of us who think that type of playmaking is better correlated with top offensive quality of players, Jordan is not “GOAT” tier there. He is one of the best pure wing defenders, but that feels about as inherently meaningful as saying Tim Duncan was one of the best post-scoring bigs. Marking Lebron as a better evolution is not downplaying anything anymore than it would be to have marked Jordan as a better evolution of Erving or West who preceded him.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#31 » by Dutchball97 » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:19 pm

AEnigma wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
Jaivl wrote:LeBron beats every "quality of play" and "value added" case, even Kareem's at this point.

And Russell handily beats every "acomplishments" case.

You can add Kareem and Jordan to the mix if you twist and turn your criteria around.

Only being able to include Jordan if you twist your criteria is another one of those overcorrections imo. Jordan's quality of play is still the best ever and if even if you disagree it's at the very least at the same level as LeBron and Kareem and much more consistent on a year to year basis.

On one hand it should be acceptable for someone to not have Jordan as one of their GOAT candidates but it's starting to look like people are suddenly trying to downplay Jordan out of nowhere just because there are still people refusing to consider anyone other than Jordan.

What makes his quality of play “the best ever”. Eye test? Box score aggregates? Scoring myopia? Jaivl separated that from value added, so will leave that aside as best I can, but the only area where I would entertain Jordan as being at the true “GOAT” tier would be volume scoring specific. But he is not at that tier as a playmaker. You have said you are less in on Magic/Nash playmaking than some of us, alright, but for those of us who think that type of playmaking is better correlated with top offensive quality of players, Jordan is not “GOAT” tier there. He is one of the best pure wing defenders, but that feels about as inherently meaningful as saying Tim Duncan was one of the best post-scoring bigs. Marking Lebron as a better evolution is not downplaying anything anymore than it would be to have marked Jordan as a better evolution of Erving or West who preceded him.


I'm not saying you can't have Jordan outside your GOAT tier (as long as you're GOAT tier is only 2-3 players big though), I'm just disagreeing with needing to twist and turn criteria to be able to involve Jordan in that tier.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#32 » by migya » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:20 pm

AEnigma wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
Jaivl wrote:LeBron beats every "quality of play" and "value added" case, even Kareem's at this point.

And Russell handily beats every "acomplishments" case.

You can add Kareem and Jordan to the mix if you twist and turn your criteria around.

Only being able to include Jordan if you twist your criteria is another one of those overcorrections imo. Jordan's quality of play is still the best ever and if even if you disagree it's at the very least at the same level as LeBron and Kareem and much more consistent on a year to year basis.

On one hand it should be acceptable for someone to not have Jordan as one of their GOAT candidates but it's starting to look like people are suddenly trying to downplay Jordan out of nowhere just because there are still people refusing to consider anyone other than Jordan.

What makes his quality of play “the best ever”. Eye test? Box score aggregates? Scoring myopia? Jaivl separated that from value added, so will leave that aside as best I can, but the only area where I would entertain Jordan as being at the true “GOAT” tier would be volume scoring specific. But he is not at that tier as a playmaker. You have said you are less in on Magic/Nash playmaking than some of us, alright, but for those of us who think that type of playmaking is better correlated with top offensive quality of players, Jordan is not “GOAT” tier there. He is one of the best pure wing defenders, but that feels about as inherently meaningful as saying Tim Duncan was one of the best post-scoring bigs. Marking Lebron as a better evolution is not downplaying anything anymore than it would be to have marked Jordan as a better evolution of Erving or West who preceded him.


You certainly haven't watched much of Jordan, there are plenty of games of him in YouTube. He was a great playmaker and passer but had to score for his teams to win and the did that well.

Recently watched games of early career Jordan and he managed to get the most out of his low talented teams, made Corzine and Oakley look like good scorers. His defense was elite but one must know what that looks like, it's not all about stopping penetration with teammates helping on the wing.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#33 » by Jaivl » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:47 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:
Jaivl wrote:LeBron beats every "quality of play" and "value added" case, even Kareem's at this point.

And Russell handily beats every "acomplishments" case.

You can add Kareem and Jordan to the mix if you twist and turn your criteria around.


Only being able to include Jordan if you twist your criteria is another one of those overcorrections imo. Jordan's quality of play is still the best ever and if even if you disagree it's at the very least at the same level as LeBron and Kareem and much more consistent on a year to year basis.

On one hand it should be acceptable for someone to not have Jordan as one of their GOAT candidates but it's starting to look like people are suddenly trying to downplay Jordan out of nowhere just because there are still people refusing to consider anyone other than Jordan.

Oh, don't get me wrong, I think Jordan had probably the GOAT tier peak and is a GOAT tier guy.

But it's extremely hard to buy a value added case over LeBron unless you arbitrarily restrict the time frame, and obviously Russell sweeps in "winning". There's a balance to accomodate him as #1 (we want the best, most consistent player, but let's only considering n number of years, and actual rings kinda have to matter to not diverge too much from reality, but not as much so that Russell runs with it // that or thinking he's a much much better player than anybody else, that doesn't feel realistic). It's not undefensible by any means, but ehhhh, feels forced.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#34 » by AEnigma » Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:56 pm

migya wrote:
AEnigma wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:Only being able to include Jordan if you twist your criteria is another one of those overcorrections imo. Jordan's quality of play is still the best ever and if even if you disagree it's at the very least at the same level as LeBron and Kareem and much more consistent on a year to year basis.

On one hand it should be acceptable for someone to not have Jordan as one of their GOAT candidates but it's starting to look like people are suddenly trying to downplay Jordan out of nowhere just because there are still people refusing to consider anyone other than Jordan.

What makes his quality of play “the best ever”. Eye test? Box score aggregates? Scoring myopia? Jaivl separated that from value added, so will leave that aside as best I can, but the only area where I would entertain Jordan as being at the true “GOAT” tier would be volume scoring specific. But he is not at that tier as a playmaker. You have said you are less in on Magic/Nash playmaking than some of us, alright, but for those of us who think that type of playmaking is better correlated with top offensive quality of players, Jordan is not “GOAT” tier there. He is one of the best pure wing defenders, but that feels about as inherently meaningful as saying Tim Duncan was one of the best post-scoring bigs. Marking Lebron as a better evolution is not downplaying anything anymore than it would be to have marked Jordan as a better evolution of Erving or West who preceded him.


You certainly haven't watched much of Jordan, there are plenty of games of him in YouTube. He was a great playmaker and passer but had to score for his teams to win and the did that well.

I have watched plenty. He was a good positional playmaker at volume. That does not mean he was a significant passer, and it certainly does not mean he chose to “sacrifice” his passing to score. He wanted to score, that was his thing, and that was his best trait.

But this is the usual reactionary Jordan response. If I say 1967/68 Wilt was not individually an all-time playmaker and passer even though he was at or near the top of the league in assists, far fewer people would reflexively try to jump down my throat to “correct” me. Jordan is much more in the vein of Wade or Kobe or Iverson. All good playmakers, but not at a GOAT level, no. And Jordan’s passing, whether you want to attribute it to era primitivism or to a fundamental lack of creative vision (imo a mix of both) was even less high-end.

Recently watched games of early career Jordan and he managed to get the most out of his low talented teams,

38 wins, injury year, 40 wins, 50 wins!, 47 wins. A lot more in line with what you would see from 2001-03 McGrady or 2006/07 Kobe than you would with 2009/10 Lebron or 2003/04 Garnett or 1994-96 Robinson or even 1993/94 Hakeem.

made Corzine and Oakley look like good scorers.

Both of them have all their best scoring years off the Bulls lmao.

His defense was elite but one must know what that looks like, it's not all about stopping penetration with teammates helping on the wing.

Singular elite wing defence is fundamentally not as meaningful as stopping penetration, no. And Jordan was really only at that tier of absolute no question top of the line elite wing defender for one season. Most of the rest, he was at your normal all-defensive guard/wing level, which is nice and gives him an advantage over guys like Magic or Nash but is not doing much on its own by comparison to all-defensive forwards and certainly not compared to all-defensive bigs, even without going a step beyond to those all-time multiple DPoY level defenders.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#35 » by Dutchball97 » Sun Nov 13, 2022 5:57 pm

Jaivl wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
Jaivl wrote:LeBron beats every "quality of play" and "value added" case, even Kareem's at this point.

And Russell handily beats every "acomplishments" case.

You can add Kareem and Jordan to the mix if you twist and turn your criteria around.


Only being able to include Jordan if you twist your criteria is another one of those overcorrections imo. Jordan's quality of play is still the best ever and if even if you disagree it's at the very least at the same level as LeBron and Kareem and much more consistent on a year to year basis.

On one hand it should be acceptable for someone to not have Jordan as one of their GOAT candidates but it's starting to look like people are suddenly trying to downplay Jordan out of nowhere just because there are still people refusing to consider anyone other than Jordan.

Oh, don't get me wrong, I think Jordan had probably the GOAT tier peak and is a GOAT tier guy.

But it's extremely hard to buy a value added case over LeBron unless you arbitrarily restrict the time frame, and obviously Russell sweeps in "winning". There's a balance to accomodate him as #1 (we want the best, most consistent player, but let's only considering n number of years, and actual rings kinda have to matter to not diverge too much from reality, but not as much so that Russell runs with it // that or thinking he's a much much better player than anybody else, that doesn't feel realistic). It's not undefensible by any means, but ehhhh, feels forced.


I get where you're coming from but I also feel like you're reducing the GOAT discussion to just team success and individual longevity/total value added. Jordan's case is pretty simple to me. He had the highest peak/prime (in my eyes and for probably a majority of basketball fans too) and did it for long enough and especially consistently enough for MJ to be viewed as the best player overall.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#36 » by ty 4191 » Sun Nov 13, 2022 6:01 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:I get where you're coming from but I also feel like you're reducing the GOAT discussion to just team success and individual longevity/total value added. Jordan's case is pretty simple to me. He had the highest peak/prime (in my eyes and for probably a majority of basketball fans too) and did it for long enough and especially consistently enough for MJ to be viewed as the best player overall.


Not saying I disagree here.

Just wondering why he had the greatest peak/prime ever, in your eyes. Which metrics do you use, for example?
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#37 » by Texas Chuck » Sun Nov 13, 2022 6:22 pm

So this is tough. It could be as many as 5(Lebron, Russ, Mike, Timmy, Kareem). But its pretty hard for me to find a case for those last two over all of the other 4. So we are down to 3. Except I can't really make a compelling case for Mike over Lebron at this point and I don't love the case for him over Russ though I could more readily make it. So now its two.

I think my true answer is two. Lebron and Russell. That's my GOAT tier. And while it looks less likely than it did two years ago, I think there is still a possibility that by the time he's done, its a tier of just Lebron James.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#38 » by Dutchball97 » Sun Nov 13, 2022 7:45 pm

ty 4191 wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:I get where you're coming from but I also feel like you're reducing the GOAT discussion to just team success and individual longevity/total value added. Jordan's case is pretty simple to me. He had the highest peak/prime (in my eyes and for probably a majority of basketball fans too) and did it for long enough and especially consistently enough for MJ to be viewed as the best player overall.


Not saying I disagree here.

Just wondering why he had the greatest peak/prime ever, in your eyes. Which metrics do you use, for example?


He consistently dominated the boxscore metrics in a way only a handful of players ever did. He has 7 straight seasons from 87 till 93 where he tops the league in PER, WS and BPM, which is the longest consecutive streak in NBA history. I think most here can also agree MJ is the best scorer of all-time with his 10 scoring titles but it's telling how well his scoring translated to the post-season. In the 13 seasons MJ made the play-offs, he led the league in PPG 10 times. The other years were when he had 29.3 PPG in his rookie year, when he came second in PPG in 88 despite averaging 36.3 PPG and when he came back in 95 to average 31.5 PPG. It's not only PPG though as MJ was a great playmaker and perimeter defender. His only real "weaknesses" were being a tough teammate, his 2 mid-career retirements and not being 7 feet.

In short it's his production, his domination of the boxscore stats, overwhelming team success, his consistency and play-off resiliency.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#39 » by OhayoKD » Sun Nov 13, 2022 11:35 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:
Jaivl wrote:LeBron beats every "quality of play" and "value added" case, even Kareem's at this point.

And Russell handily beats every "acomplishments" case.

You can add Kareem and Jordan to the mix if you twist and turn your criteria around.


Only being able to include Jordan if you twist your criteria is another one of those overcorrections imo. Jordan's quality of play is still the best ever and if even if you disagree it's at the very least at the same level as LeBron and Kareem

According to what? Coasting regular season second cavs lebron scores higher than any MJ sample in rapm and is winning more games with his second best player injured on a team that is worse without him. Lebron has muliple jordan or jordan + signals on teams with bad spacing.

Even Duncan has better rapm while winning 58 and 60 games with what are considered limited casts.

Less certainity with Kareem but I don't know where "same level of play" claim would even come from. When they joined similar teams Kareem immediately did better.

and much more consistent on a year to year basis.

Inconsistency isn't really a knock if off years are generating more or similar value(2015). And even if it did, this doesn't work with Russell who again
-> won way more than jordan
-> won with signifcantly less help at least once
-> never had a team do as well without him as the 94 bulls
-> managed an outcome jordan has never replicated(title with a bad team) as he was about to retire

On one hand it should be acceptable for someone to not have Jordan as one of their GOAT candidates but it's starting to look like people are suddenly trying to downplay Jordan out of nowhere just because there are still people refusing to consider anyone other than Jordan.

You can say it's "out of nowhere" but the arguments are straightforward and there's evidence to support them.
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Re: Who is in your GOAT tier? 

Post#40 » by OhayoKD » Sun Nov 13, 2022 11:44 pm

ty 4191 wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:I get where you're coming from but I also feel like you're reducing the GOAT discussion to just team success and individual longevity/total value added. Jordan's case is pretty simple to me. He had the highest peak/prime (in my eyes and for probably a majority of basketball fans too) and did it for long enough and especially consistently enough for MJ to be viewed as the best player overall.


Not saying I disagree here.

Just wondering why he had the greatest peak/prime ever, in your eyes. Which metrics do you use, for example?

box-score aggreates and bpm are pretty favorable for jordan though Lebron still has a strong postseason advantage there. His slashline also looks quite good.

The problem is
A. those are the least predictive metrics
B. Pretty much everything else suggests jordan isn't the "highest quality of play" or whatever

this includes
-> RAPM
-> On/Off
-> Real impact signals
-> PIPM
-> AUPM

Jordan's case is really the box-score.

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