Post#204 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Jun 22, 2021 6:45 pm
So some thoughts now that we're through 2 rounds:
POY
This is the only award I really put a lot of thought into ranking in the regular season (because of MVP), so let me share first my Top 5 MVP guys:
1. Jokic
2. Gobert
3. Curry
4. Embiid
5. Giannis
At this point, I'm not sure if I would change anything on the list, but I will keep thinking on all these guys. Most notably, I'm really going to be thinking hard about Gobert for all the reasons I'm sure y'all know.
Giannis being the only one still active of the bunch is the obvious candidate to knock Jokic off his perch. We'll see what happens.
There are many other great players in this league who would be in the argument for Top 10, but I don't any already eliminated player who isn't currently on that list is going to move up into the list. In terms of guys from still-alive teams other than Giannis, who is the clear Bucks representative:
Suns - Booker & Paul. These are the two guys to discuss here clearly. I maintain what I said before that it's easier to see Booker exploding to reach these heights than Paul. Most likely neither guy quite gets there even if the Suns win the title.
I do want to say that some have scoffed at the notion that Booker be ranked above Doncic, and while I've emphasized that Booker still being a candidate because he's still playing doesn't mean I'm ranking him higher than Doncic, Booker does have a clear path to surpass Doncic. If he rips the Clippers apart all series like he did in Game 1, that probably does it for me.
But I also want to say this: While Doncic does things that screams "basketball genius" in a way I wouldn't ascribe to Booker, I find Doncic's play quite sloppy. Booker, like all of the Suns, seem like they are playing "coach-approved smart basketball". Obviously Paul is the savviest Sun with all the tools he's bringing with his established toolset, but the Suns in general are playing a tight game that really makes use of everybody on the court's strengths.
And meanwhile Doncic was out there publicly dressing down his coach, one of the best in the game who has now resigned. I don't think Doncic demanded him to be fired, but I do think that if Carlisle thought Doncic were more coachable, he'd have wanted to stay.
Clippers - Kawhi & George. There seemed to be a clear path for Kawhi to rise to the top before his injury, and then he gets hurt and the team actually seemed better. Ouch. Now, I'm not suggesting the Clippers should cut Kawhi - I don't think there's any doubt that he's the best individual offense player and best individual defensive player on the roster. But the way the ball flowed out there without Kawhi, Kawhi needs to see that and try to blend in going forward.
He also needs to see the way George looked like the George in OKC that he thought he was getting and realize that George still has it, so the issue is how to get that from George when the two are sharing the floor.
I included George's name here because logically if the Clippers end up winning the title without Kawhi, we're going to be talking about him seriously. He'll need to be incredible though.
Hawks - Trae. I really don't want to imply I'm rating Trae as a top tier contender here just because the Hawks beat the 76ers. But I do think it's a distinct possibility that Trae puts up video game numbers against the Bucks. Maybe it won't happen - Bucks have Jrue, and this is Jrue's time to shine - but the Bud's defensive scheme has exploits.
Of course, Trae would have to follow that up against the Western champs, and I feel like those coaches are more likely to find a successful vise for Trae even if they can't find any one defender to act as the clamp.
OPOY
Felt like Jokic, Steph & Dame were the guys in the regular season. Again thought Kawhi had a shot before injury.
Something I will say though for a couple guys I mentioned before: Booker & Trae have been putting up big On-Court ORtg numbers all year. Booker's currently clocking at 120.2, Young 119.4. Either guy if he explodes in the next couple series with big box score and big On-Court ORtg is going to become a serious challenger.
DPOY
I'm at such a loss here. I thought Gobert was the clear cut guy in the RS, and was fine with Simmons & Draymond as the next two. But now what?
We can put blame on Gobert's defensive supporting cast sure, but Snider's defensive system is built on the theory of a Gobert. Gobert is supposed to allow you to play weaker defenders around him. He's supposed to be a floor-raiser, and the Clippers just torched the Jazz with a 130 ORtg.
To say that the door is open for someone to surpass Gobert is a bit of an understatement...but I don't feel great about any particular candidate to do so.
It's possible the answer is the obvious one: Simmons. Certainly you're talking about with Simmons a great defender who seems more suited to defending in space than Gobert. Not that excited about this though. Maybe it's just the intensity of the bitter aftertaste the Atlanta series left in my mouth due to his offense, in which case, I shouldn't let that bleed in to evaluating his defense.
I'll be looking at how Trae & the Hawks fares against Milwaukee with great interest. If in the end Philly ends up looking like they did about as good a job on them as you can, Simmons will probably be a strong candidate.
Of course, if the Bucks shut down the Hawks, then Giannis or Jrue might end up as really strong contenders.
Draymond is tough because I do have more respect for him than any other defender in the league, but while there's no doubt he's still great, there's also no doubt that his reputation has everything to do with my respect, and I'd have really liked to see him impress in a playoff series to prove he's still what he always was.
As with Curry, it feels wrong the idea that a guy who doesn't play in the playoffs should move up past someone who does. Doesn't mean I won't do it, but it feels wrong.
Other guys on my mind is Clint Capela. The Hawks' defense has been rather shockingly impressive in the playoffs so far, and while I think Coach Nate and the rest of the team are part of this, Capela seems like a clear defensive candidate.
ROY
I don't think any rookie's really been big in the playoffs. Expecting to vote Ball, Edwards, Haliburton.
MIP
So, Randle's not going to be a candidate for me. I was actually really happy for him this year, but the praise heaped on him clearly seems to have been based on him taking on the helio role and doing it "okay" in the regular season, which along with the Thibs defense, was enough to give the Knicks surprising success. We saw in the playoffs though that this was entirely fool's gold, which was always the concern about Randle as a guy who always seemed to be the best fit as the alpha of a team in a lesser league.
Michael Porter was my pick in the regular season, and I'd say he's still my guy for the moment. Disappointing post-season, but I think that was about health. Still, health or no, it did leave the door a crack open for someone else.
I don't like Jerami Grant as a candidate. Like Randle, he's being given a ton of primacy which gives him the big numbers. Unlike Randle, the team stunk with or without him on the floor.
I think SGA screams "MIP" to me, but I just really don't want to give it to a guy who played less than half the season, and whose team seemed to do that to tank. Awards like this about shining a spotlight on players and teams that deserve it, and I'd rather not do that at the moment. Maybe someone can sway me that I'm just being too curmudgeonly there though, because SGA looks great.
I think the Suns duo of Bridges & Ayton deserve serious consideration here.
I think Trae Young may have a really good argument when all is said and done. Yes he scored more last year, but we've seen his ability to adapt this season to better teammates and playoff opponents. It's damn impressive.
6MOY
This is a place where playoffs tends to loom quite large, but to this point none of the bench players in the Final 4 are screaming for attention here, at least to me.
I said Joe Ingles during the RS. Still siding with him, with Clarkson as a candidate for one of the other Top 3 slots.
I think Hardaway makes a lot of sense as a candidate.
Thaddeus Young I also think deserves consideration.
I don't love Rose as a candidate because he only did his Thibs thing for part of the year. If he keeps this up - and stays a non-starter - next year, he'll be a very strong candidate.
COY
I had this as Monty, Quinn, Thibs during the regular season.
Thibs is flat out. I suspected his team wouldn't scale well to playoff competition, but wow. This is fool's gold.
I'd say Quinn Snider is eliminated from #1 consideration at this point, but may still make my Top 3.
I think my #1 spot will go to whoever is more impressive between Monty Williams and Ty Lue in the WCF, and the other guy will likely be #2, but I don't think any lower than #3. These two guys have really announced themselves as undeniably great coaches this year. Some will argue Lue already should have been seen like that, and I'm not going to say they're wrong, but I think they'd agree he's going to rise in stature now. I love the job Monty's done in Phoenix, and man, NO firing him years back hasn't aged well (and I'll admit, I thought it was time for them to try a different coach back then, but yeah, I don't think coaching was the problem).
The other coach becoming impossible to ignore is Nate McMillan. What a story, and yeah, turns out coaching wasn't the problem in Indiana.
EOY
To me this is probably between Sean Marks of Brooklyn and Travis Schlenk of Atlanta.
I've been giving the nod to Marks all year, and I still think he's a great candidate. He built the team that the entire rest of the league was terrified of, and we shouldn't forget that just because injuries brought them down.
With Atlanta performing not one but two upsets with a coach Schlenk hired then promoted midseason, and a bunch of role players Schlenk acquired this year to bolster the Trae-led core he assembled, he's definitely the guy who feels like everything he's touching turns to gold. (Dude's also the guy known for pushing for the Warriors to draft Draymond Green.)
James Jones obviously just won the official award, and to me he's a lesser candidate, but I think this very much depends on your philosophy, and I understand if people see me as cheating/fudging on this. It bothers me that Jones didn't actually build most of this Suns team. The reason to be super-excited about the Suns going forward is Booker/Ayton/Bridges, and Jones wasn't the GM when they drafted those guys. You put Jones on a team whose previous GM actually drafted terribly and there's no reason to think the Suns are anywhere right now.
I will acknowledge that the acquisition of Chris Paul has paid bigger dividends though this season than any other new acquisition. I don't think he's anywhere near as valuable as a get as Harden, and so I'd still be inclined to go with Marks over him if that's your criteria, but I can see the argument over Schlenk, even if I'm considerably more impressed by what I've seen from Schlenk as a GM to this point.
What do y'all think?
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