Silver Bullet wrote:drza wrote:
I think your final conclusion is actually the opposite of the point I was making. What I was saying is that even if I thought that some of the players that you named might have been better than Manu in '05, that I didn't have anything to support that.
*In the '04 Olympics (which don't officially count, I know, but they go towards my impressions of the players) Manu was by-far the best player on the court against a US team that included Wade, LeBron and Duncan. And it wasn't all because of the international rules...Manu was just taking it to them.
*Every time I watched the Spurs in '05 Manu impressed me. Before that year, when Barkley would yell "GINOBILI!!!" I didn't know what he was talking about, but that year as I watched I found myself agreeing that Manu was the truth. And in 2005 I knew little, if anything, about advanced stats, so those weren't swaying my thought process. This was just from watching, my impression was that this guy was really good.
*In the playoffs, especially in the Finals, I felt from observation that Manu was often the best player on the court.
*Years later, once I got more into advanced stats, I see that they fully support my observations...Manu was playing at an extremely high level that year.
Maybe some of the bigger names may have been better players, but I don't have any evidence from what I saw that season or from what the advanced stats tell me to prove it to myself. Not enough for me to jump them over him, anyway. This is the only year where that's the case, as by the next year LeBron and Wade had taken giant leaps and Ginobili never maintained both this level of play and health again. But for just this year, I do think Manu deserves a spot in the top-5.
I honestly wouldn't have had a problem with you voting for Manu, if the guys above and below him were reasonable - but your whole list is suspect.
I don't quite see how you have 1 guy that took the team from 23 wins from 66 wins (disclaimer: Elgee, I didn't check the numbers on basketball reference, it's possible, they are off) - I mean, okay, what is your explanation for the Suns insane improvement ?
You voted for Garnett because he took the Celtics from 23 wins to 66 or somewhere thereabouts - even though the Celtics overhauled their roster, added another guy who had led his teams to 50+ wins before, got another (arguably) top 10 player in the league healthy, added a defensive maestro of an assistant head coach (who's not even an assistant on the Celtics anymore, he's the associate head coach - as far as I know that is unprecedented in the NBA) and made a host of other changes -
But when it comes to Nash - you don't use the same criteria and then your accusing me of being a hypocrite ? I mean, aren't you totally totally relying on advanced stats alone - because there is ... okay we'll get back to this once you answer this:
1. What is your explanation for the Suns turnaround other than Nash
2. Why are you penalizing Shaq and Wade for missing games and not penalizing Ginobili who missed just as many games
1. I think Nash played a big part in the Suns turnaround. As I mentioned in my post, that (through the arguments in this thread) in addition to his stronger postseason is what got him on my list at all. I don't think Nash was as good of a player as Dirk definitely and Shaq probably in '05, but the fact that much of the turnaround credit goes to him moved him ahead of those players.
2. Because Shaq and Wade missed their games at the wrong time. Wade had his injury issues in the ECF, which IMO directly contributed to his team not getting as far as they could have. Shaq missed his time in the 2nd round, which isn't as bad, but presumably his health issues contributed to him posting lesser numbers in the postseason than he did in the regular season. Ginobili missed his games in the regular season when it didn't matter, and by the playoffs was picking up his game and helping ensure that his team won a title.
3) (not directly asked, but I can get the gist of where you were going). As I hashed out with Doctor MJ, I thought there were many similarities between '08 KG and '05 Nash (again, this is what got Nash onto my list when he wasn't there originally). That said, in every way that I look at it KG was just a bit better.
*Both KG and Nash were the catalysts in huge turnarounds, but neither were the only big change. I don't know why that is recognized for KG and not for Nash. No matter how you look at it, the Suns changed drastically from '04 to '05. Marbury was nominally their best player to enter '04...he played thirty-something games for that team and was gone by mid-season. So those in the "Marbury was a top-5 PG" camp must admit, then, that the '04 Suns were without their top-5 point guard for more than half of the season. And those in the "Marbury sucks and the team would have sucked with him anyway" camp have to face that almost universally, when a great point guard replaces Marbury the team immediately gets much better. And no matter which view you take, the '04 Suns were without any point guard at all for more than half of the '04 season. And Stoudemire, their young ROY talent, was hurt for half of the season as well. And whether people like to admit it or not, yes, the D'Antoni offense that the Suns runs does benefit the point guard. No, you can't put a scrub like Duhon into it and make him a stud, but if you put an already very good point guard into it then yes, it can help him move up a notch.
Meanwhile, yes, in Boston Pierce got healthy and they swapped Jefferson (and all of their role players) essentially for Ray Allen in addition to Garnett. And yes, Thibideau is a talented assistant. So no, Garnett shouldn't get credit for all 42 games of the Celtics improvement. Just like Nash shouldn't get credit for all 33 games of Suns improvement. At the end of the day, both (to me) get credit for being the most important pieces in a huge turnaround. And the Celtics' turnaround was bigger.
*I believe Garnett in '08 to just be a better basketball player than Nash in '05. And the advanced stats back me up, as Garnett measured better in both the regular and postseason across the body of available advanced stats
*Garnett was a better 2-way player than Nash. Nash was among the best offensive players in the league, but Garnett was the best defender. And while some may be willing to overlook that Nash doesn't give you much on defense, Garnett on the other hand was the leading scorer and a key offensive cog for his team as well. In this kind of comp, that hurts Nash.
*Garnett was able to carry his team when his other options were giving him nothing, and eventually he led them to a title. Nash was excellent in the playoffs, especially against the Mavs, but he couldn't get them past the Spurs even with Amare losing his mind.
So on the whole, while Nash and KG shared the "catalyst in a huge team turnaround" aspect, in my view Garnett in '08 was just better across any direction I would look at it. His on-court impact was larger. He was a better player. If I did the hypothetical "swap" question, he would have won that as well. He led his team to a title. Those are some of the main reasons that Garnett was #1 on my list while Nash only made the top-5.