lebron3-14-3 wrote:Where do you rank Lebron right now? I'm talking about the GOAT list. Specify after what players
If he wins a chip this year, he’ll be top 5 in my book
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lebron3-14-3 wrote:Where do you rank Lebron right now? I'm talking about the GOAT list. Specify after what players
Ron Swanson wrote:Yes, guys like Lebron and to a lesser extent, Kareem and Wilt, would dominate in any era. But Jordan absolutely did not play in the "perfect era" for his talents. It's become such an overly mythologized notion at this point that Jordan "made the league more perimeter oriented"
Jaqua92 wrote:Duncan over MJ?eminence wrote:I currently have him #1, though I'll still debate 1-3 with Duncan/Russell (Russell usually winds up #4 on my list, but he undeniably has an argument for #1).
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freethedevil wrote:Ron Swanson wrote:Yes, guys like Lebron and to a lesser extent, Kareem and Wilt, would dominate in any era. But Jordan absolutely did not play in the "perfect era" for his talents. It's become such an overly mythologized notion at this point that Jordan "made the league more perimeter oriented"
So in otherwords, a player who derived much of his value from iso and man d got to play in an era where his matchups weren't nearly as good as other positional mathcups, and this somehow made the era...harder... for jordan?
:/
It was most definitely the perfect era for jordan. And that's before we get to expansion letting jordan compete for mvp's with 34 year olds.
Lebron won 4 mvp's in 5 years, Jordan won 3 in 6. It was jordan's era that allowed him to retroactively boost his peak(his only claim for goathood) by stat padding extra accolades in a watered down league and a co-star signed to a vet minimum.
Ron Swanson wrote: Jordan only has 3 "legitimate" MVP's while Lebron has 4 "legitimate" MVP's going up against such steep competition like Dwight Howard, Derrick Rose, and 30-34 year old Dirk and Kobe. The bizarro realities that some people like to live in.
Post by Ron Swanson » Today 8:31 am
Jesus, that is such cherry-picked nonsense.
So in otherwords, a player who derived much of his value from iso and man d got to play in an era where his matchups weren't nearly as good as other positional mathcups, and this somehow made the era...harder... for jordan?
Can you explain how the league being weak at jordan's position made jordan's era harder for jordan?
freethedevil wrote:Ron Swanson wrote: Jordan only has 3 "legitimate" MVP's while Lebron has 4 "legitimate" MVP's going up against such steep competition like Dwight Howard, Derrick Rose, and 30-34 year old Dirk and Kobe. The bizarro realities that some people like to live in.
Huh? What are you on?
Dirk was 26-30 as an mvp candidate, right smack dam in the middle of what should be his prime. Kobe was one from 27-31, again right in the middle of his prime. Dwight challenged for an mvp at 25, Rose, 23, durant, 23-26, wade from 25-28, harden from 28-30, and curry from 25-27, and nash from 31-33.
With the exception of nash(who stopped being a serious candidate by the time james starting winning mvp's) All the players listed were either in the smack dab on their primes or a year or two away.
Now let's look at jordan's competition when he came back during an expansion thinned league for his 11th season:
1994-1995
-> robinson (29)
-> shaq(22)
-> malone (31)
-> ewing (32)
-> hakeem (32)
-> barkley (31)
-> pippen (29)
-> stockton (32)
There's two players who would be in their logical primes, a 22 year old, and a bunch of players who should be over the hill at this point. Defending this with "they're all time great's" is really just running away since we're not comparing players relative to era, we're comparing eras, so hanging your hat on how they excelled in their eras is rather pointless. Something that is consistent through basketball(and sports really),(with the notable exception of the exansion weakened league) and hence can actually be used in an era comparison is that players almost always peak physically from 24-28 with an overlap in experience allowing for that to extend to 30. The fact that only two players listed here fit that age range raises serious questions about the depth of talent here. Questions with an obvious explanation in the fact that the league expanded, something commentators of the time agreed had devastated the "overall quality of the nba" in the mid-90's:
This is what the mvp race looked like in Lebron's 11th season:
-> Durant (25)
-> Lebron (29)
-> Griffin (24)
-> Noah (28)
-> Harden (24)
-> Curry (25)
-> Chris Paul (28)
Maybe you have acesss to a bizarro reality where you saw these players teleported to the 90's and they somehow proved to be less worthy competition, but until you do, there's no way to get around the fact that one set of players were predomiantly made up of guys in their 30's, and the other set of players was almost entirely made of players at their biological apex.
Expansion was real, ignoring it only works in made up alternate histories.Post by Ron Swanson » Today 8:31 am
Jesus, that is such cherry-picked nonsense.
Speaking of cherrypicking, is there a reason you didn't respond to this:So in otherwords, a player who derived much of his value from iso and man d got to play in an era where his matchups weren't nearly as good as other positional mathcups, and this somehow made the era...harder... for jordan?
Can you explain how the league being weak at jordan's position made jordan's era harder for jordan?
freethedevil wrote:Ron Swanson wrote:Yes, guys like Lebron and to a lesser extent, Kareem and Wilt, would dominate in any era. But Jordan absolutely did not play in the "perfect era" for his talents. It's become such an overly mythologized notion at this point that Jordan "made the league more perimeter oriented"
So in otherwords, a player who derived much of his value from iso and man d got to play in an era where his matchups weren't nearly as good as other positional mathcups, and this somehow made the era...harder... for jordan?
:/
It was most definitely the perfect era for jordan. And that's before we get to expansion letting jordan compete for mvp's with 34 year olds.
Lebron won 4 mvp's in 5 years, Jordan won 3 in 6. It was jordan's era that allowed him to retroactively boost his peak(his only claim for goathood) by stat padding extra accolades in a watered down league and a co-star signed to a vet minimum.
Hal14 wrote:freethedevil wrote:Ron Swanson wrote: Jordan only has 3 "legitimate" MVP's while Lebron has 4 "legitimate" MVP's going up against such steep competition like Dwight Howard, Derrick Rose, and 30-34 year old Dirk and Kobe. The bizarro realities that some people like to live in.
Huh? What are you on?
Dirk was 26-30 as an mvp candidate, right smack dam in the middle of what should be his prime. Kobe was one from 27-31, again right in the middle of his prime. Dwight challenged for an mvp at 25, Rose, 23, durant, 23-26, wade from 25-28, harden from 28-30, and curry from 25-27, and nash from 31-33.
With the exception of nash(who stopped being a serious candidate by the time james starting winning mvp's) All the players listed were either in the smack dab on their primes or a year or two away.
Now let's look at jordan's competition when he came back during an expansion thinned league for his 11th season:
1994-1995
-> robinson (29)
-> shaq(22)
-> malone (31)
-> ewing (32)
-> hakeem (32)
-> barkley (31)
-> pippen (29)
-> stockton (32)
There's two players who would be in their logical primes, a 22 year old, and a bunch of players who should be over the hill at this point. Defending this with "they're all time great's" is really just running away since we're not comparing players relative to era, we're comparing eras, so hanging your hat on how they excelled in their eras is rather pointless. Something that is consistent through basketball(and sports really),(with the notable exception of the exansion weakened league) and hence can actually be used in an era comparison is that players almost always peak physically from 24-28 with an overlap in experience allowing for that to extend to 30. The fact that only two players listed here fit that age range raises serious questions about the depth of talent here. Questions with an obvious explanation in the fact that the league expanded, something commentators of the time agreed had devastated the "overall quality of the nba" in the mid-90's:
This is what the mvp race looked like in Lebron's 11th season:
-> Durant (25)
-> Lebron (29)
-> Griffin (24)
-> Noah (28)
-> Harden (24)
-> Curry (25)
-> Chris Paul (28)
Maybe you have acesss to a bizarro reality where you saw these players teleported to the 90's and they somehow proved to be less worthy competition, but until you do, there's no way to get around the fact that one set of players were predomiantly made up of guys in their 30's, and the other set of players was almost entirely made of players at their biological apex.
Expansion was real, ignoring it only works in made up alternate histories.Post by Ron Swanson » Today 8:31 am
Jesus, that is such cherry-picked nonsense.
Speaking of cherrypicking, is there a reason you didn't respond to this:So in otherwords, a player who derived much of his value from iso and man d got to play in an era where his matchups weren't nearly as good as other positional mathcups, and this somehow made the era...harder... for jordan?
Can you explain how the league being weak at jordan's position made jordan's era harder for jordan?
lol love when people use "Jordan played in expansion era" yet even including the expansion teams, the league still had less teams than the 30 team league that LeBron's played his whole career in
Hal14 wrote:freethedevil wrote:Ron Swanson wrote: Jordan only has 3 "legitimate" MVP's while Lebron has 4 "legitimate" MVP's going up against such steep competition like Dwight Howard, Derrick Rose, and 30-34 year old Dirk and Kobe. The bizarro realities that some people like to live in.
Huh? What are you on?
Dirk was 26-30 as an mvp candidate, right smack dam in the middle of what should be his prime. Kobe was one from 27-31, again right in the middle of his prime. Dwight challenged for an mvp at 25, Rose, 23, durant, 23-26, wade from 25-28, harden from 28-30, and curry from 25-27, and nash from 31-33.
With the exception of nash(who stopped being a serious candidate by the time james starting winning mvp's) All the players listed were either in the smack dab on their primes or a year or two away.
Now let's look at jordan's competition when he came back during an expansion thinned league for his 11th season:
1994-1995
-> robinson (29)
-> shaq(22)
-> malone (31)
-> ewing (32)
-> hakeem (32)
-> barkley (31)
-> pippen (29)
-> stockton (32)
There's two players who would be in their logical primes, a 22 year old, and a bunch of players who should be over the hill at this point. Defending this with "they're all time great's" is really just running away since we're not comparing players relative to era, we're comparing eras, so hanging your hat on how they excelled in their eras is rather pointless. Something that is consistent through basketball(and sports really),(with the notable exception of the exansion weakened league) and hence can actually be used in an era comparison is that players almost always peak physically from 24-28 with an overlap in experience allowing for that to extend to 30. The fact that only two players listed here fit that age range raises serious questions about the depth of talent here. Questions with an obvious explanation in the fact that the league expanded, something commentators of the time agreed had devastated the "overall quality of the nba" in the mid-90's:
This is what the mvp race looked like in Lebron's 11th season:
-> Durant (25)
-> Lebron (29)
-> Griffin (24)
-> Noah (28)
-> Harden (24)
-> Curry (25)
-> Chris Paul (28)
Maybe you have acesss to a bizarro reality where you saw these players teleported to the 90's and they somehow proved to be less worthy competition, but until you do, there's no way to get around the fact that one set of players were predomiantly made up of guys in their 30's, and the other set of players was almost entirely made of players at their biological apex.
Expansion was real, ignoring it only works in made up alternate histories.Post by Ron Swanson » Today 8:31 am
Jesus, that is such cherry-picked nonsense.
Speaking of cherrypicking, is there a reason you didn't respond to this:So in otherwords, a player who derived much of his value from iso and man d got to play in an era where his matchups weren't nearly as good as other positional mathcups, and this somehow made the era...harder... for jordan?
Can you explain how the league being weak at jordan's position made jordan's era harder for jordan?
lol love when people use "Jordan played in expansion era" yet even including the expansion teams, the league still had less teams than the 30 team league that LeBron's played his whole career in
trex_8063 wrote:Hal14 wrote:freethedevil wrote:Huh? What are you on?
Dirk was 26-30 as an mvp candidate, right smack dam in the middle of what should be his prime. Kobe was one from 27-31, again right in the middle of his prime. Dwight challenged for an mvp at 25, Rose, 23, durant, 23-26, wade from 25-28, harden from 28-30, and curry from 25-27, and nash from 31-33.
With the exception of nash(who stopped being a serious candidate by the time james starting winning mvp's) All the players listed were either in the smack dab on their primes or a year or two away.
Now let's look at jordan's competition when he came back during an expansion thinned league for his 11th season:
1994-1995
-> robinson (29)
-> shaq(22)
-> malone (31)
-> ewing (32)
-> hakeem (32)
-> barkley (31)
-> pippen (29)
-> stockton (32)
There's two players who would be in their logical primes, a 22 year old, and a bunch of players who should be over the hill at this point. Defending this with "they're all time great's" is really just running away since we're not comparing players relative to era, we're comparing eras, so hanging your hat on how they excelled in their eras is rather pointless. Something that is consistent through basketball(and sports really),(with the notable exception of the exansion weakened league) and hence can actually be used in an era comparison is that players almost always peak physically from 24-28 with an overlap in experience allowing for that to extend to 30. The fact that only two players listed here fit that age range raises serious questions about the depth of talent here. Questions with an obvious explanation in the fact that the league expanded, something commentators of the time agreed had devastated the "overall quality of the nba" in the mid-90's:
This is what the mvp race looked like in Lebron's 11th season:
-> Durant (25)
-> Lebron (29)
-> Griffin (24)
-> Noah (28)
-> Harden (24)
-> Curry (25)
-> Chris Paul (28)
Maybe you have acesss to a bizarro reality where you saw these players teleported to the 90's and they somehow proved to be less worthy competition, but until you do, there's no way to get around the fact that one set of players were predomiantly made up of guys in their 30's, and the other set of players was almost entirely made of players at their biological apex.
Expansion was real, ignoring it only works in made up alternate histories.
Speaking of cherrypicking, is there a reason you didn't respond to this:
Can you explain how the league being weak at jordan's position made jordan's era harder for jordan?
lol love when people use "Jordan played in expansion era" yet even including the expansion teams, the league still had less teams than the 30 team league that LeBron's played his whole career in
The single-biggest driving factor influencing average player quality in the NBA is size of player pool.
Let's look at their respective rookie years ('85 and '04)......
The U.S. population increased from 240.5M in 1985 to 292.35M in 2004 (a 21.6% increase).
The world population increased from 4.86 billion in 1985 to 6.46 billion in 2004 (a 32.9% increase).
The NBA increased from 23 teams to 30 (a 30.4% increase).
If we look at their respective 5th seasons ('89 [because that's the first time it expanded in MJ's career] and '08).....
The U.S. population increased from 249.7M in 1989 to 303.5M in 2008 (a 21.5% increase).
The world population increased from 5.24 billion to 6.79 billion (a 29.6% increase).
The NBA increased in size by a somewhat smaller 20% (30 teams vs. 25 in '89 [and it would then expand by two more teams the following year]).
Let's look at that following year (Jordan's 6th in the NBA) vs. Lebron's 6th in the NBA.....
The U.S. population increased from just under 248.7M in 1990, to just under 305.5M in 2009 (an increase of 22.8%).
The world population increased from just under 5.33 billion in 1990, to just under 6.87 billion in 2009 (an increase of 28.9%).
Meanwhile, the size of the NBA was just 11.1% bigger (30 teams vs. 27).
And then 6 years later [after '90] it expanded AGAIN by another two teams (so we'll move 6 years along in Lebron's career too...):
The U.S. population increased from 268.3M in 1996 to 320M in 2015 (a 19.3% increase).
The world population increased from 5.825 billion in 1996 to 7.38 billion in 2015 (a 26.7% increase).
Meanwhile, the NBA got just 3.4% bigger (going from 29 teams to 30).
So with the exception of their first four seasons (where the growth in league size is relatively equitable to population growth, or maybe marginally "in favour of" Jordan [given the league wasn't terrible international yet]), the rest of their respective careers the U.S. and global population dynamics would suggest it's a tougher crowd during Lebron's career.
And this is ALL assuming the the proportion of the population playing basketball seriously and/or pursuing it as a career has remained the same over these few decades.......which it very obviously hasn't.
The very cultural phenomenon that Jordan was saw to that: he was the primary driving factor in propelling basketball to a level of global popularity that is far and away above what it was 30-35 years ago.
The player pool the NBA is now selecting from is probably [quite literally] about TWICE the size it was during Jordan's career (while the actual league size has only increased by 3.4 to 30.4%).
Owly wrote:Hal14 wrote:freethedevil wrote:Huh? What are you on?
Dirk was 26-30 as an mvp candidate, right smack dam in the middle of what should be his prime. Kobe was one from 27-31, again right in the middle of his prime. Dwight challenged for an mvp at 25, Rose, 23, durant, 23-26, wade from 25-28, harden from 28-30, and curry from 25-27, and nash from 31-33.
With the exception of nash(who stopped being a serious candidate by the time james starting winning mvp's) All the players listed were either in the smack dab on their primes or a year or two away.
Now let's look at jordan's competition when he came back during an expansion thinned league for his 11th season:
1994-1995
-> robinson (29)
-> shaq(22)
-> malone (31)
-> ewing (32)
-> hakeem (32)
-> barkley (31)
-> pippen (29)
-> stockton (32)
There's two players who would be in their logical primes, a 22 year old, and a bunch of players who should be over the hill at this point. Defending this with "they're all time great's" is really just running away since we're not comparing players relative to era, we're comparing eras, so hanging your hat on how they excelled in their eras is rather pointless. Something that is consistent through basketball(and sports really),(with the notable exception of the exansion weakened league) and hence can actually be used in an era comparison is that players almost always peak physically from 24-28 with an overlap in experience allowing for that to extend to 30. The fact that only two players listed here fit that age range raises serious questions about the depth of talent here. Questions with an obvious explanation in the fact that the league expanded, something commentators of the time agreed had devastated the "overall quality of the nba" in the mid-90's:
This is what the mvp race looked like in Lebron's 11th season:
-> Durant (25)
-> Lebron (29)
-> Griffin (24)
-> Noah (28)
-> Harden (24)
-> Curry (25)
-> Chris Paul (28)
Maybe you have acesss to a bizarro reality where you saw these players teleported to the 90's and they somehow proved to be less worthy competition, but until you do, there's no way to get around the fact that one set of players were predomiantly made up of guys in their 30's, and the other set of players was almost entirely made of players at their biological apex.
Expansion was real, ignoring it only works in made up alternate histories.
Speaking of cherrypicking, is there a reason you didn't respond to this:
Can you explain how the league being weak at jordan's position made jordan's era harder for jordan?
lol love when people use "Jordan played in expansion era" yet even including the expansion teams, the league still had less teams than the 30 team league that LeBron's played his whole career in
Trex has covered the broader point in the previous post (250) and it's tangential to the broader point but (and given you only did a one line response it becomes more pertinent)...
You're wrong (and Trex threw off [a little bit of] his math accepting your inaccuracy at face value).
LeBron played in a 29 team league in his first year (03-04). The Bobcats came in his second year.
Rookie
Hal14 wrote:Owly wrote:Hal14 wrote:
lol love when people use "Jordan played in expansion era" yet even including the expansion teams, the league still had less teams than the 30 team league that LeBron's played his whole career in
Trex has covered the broader point in the previous post (250) and it's tangential to the broader point but (and given you only did a one line response it becomes more pertinent)...
You're wrong (and Trex threw off [a little bit of] his math accepting your inaccuracy at face value).
LeBron played in a 29 team league in his first year (03-04). The Bobcats came in his second year.
Rookie
ooooohh, no way, LeBron played a whopping 1 whole season in a 29 team league. Wow, you really showed me! lol That tiny detail is really going to move the needle...
Based on your logic, let's just make a blanket statement and say that the print media industry in the last 10 years is the best it's ever been. After all, higher population, means more potential news reporters, means better print media, right?
Coach PM wrote:lebron3-14-3 wrote:Where do you rank Lebron right now? I'm talking about the GOAT list. Specify after what players
If he wins a chip this year, he’ll be top 5 in my book
Dutchball97 wrote:In which realisty are 31 and 32 year olds considered over the hill in basketball? That's either late prime or the start of the decline. When you look at the guys listed this just has to be trolling.
32 year old John Stockton was firmly in his prime and would go on to play at a high level till he was 40. Not over the hill in the slightest. 32 year old Hakeem had won the MVP award the year before and won Finals MVP both years. If that counts as over the hill I don't know what LeBron is supposed to be right now at 35. 31 year old Karl Malone would go on to win 2 MVPs in the next 5 years and made his last All-Star appearance at 38 years old, while still averaging 22/9/4/2/1 with solid defense on top of that. 31 year old Barkley was still producing at nearly the same level as he did 2 years prior when he won MVP. 32 year old Patrick Ewing was also still in his prime and would continue to be as good for a few more years.
Writing off All-Time greats in their early 30s is a dumb thing to do. It's like saying Curry, KD, Harden, Westbrook and Butler to name a few would all be obsolete next season.
LookToShoot wrote:Melo is the only player that makes the Rockets watchable for the basketball purists. Otherwise it would just be three point shots and pick n roll.
RCM88x wrote:Dutchball97 wrote:In which realisty are 31 and 32 year olds considered over the hill in basketball? That's either late prime or the start of the decline. When you look at the guys listed this just has to be trolling.
32 year old John Stockton was firmly in his prime and would go on to play at a high level till he was 40. Not over the hill in the slightest. 32 year old Hakeem had won the MVP award the year before and won Finals MVP both years. If that counts as over the hill I don't know what LeBron is supposed to be right now at 35. 31 year old Karl Malone would go on to win 2 MVPs in the next 5 years and made his last All-Star appearance at 38 years old, while still averaging 22/9/4/2/1 with solid defense on top of that. 31 year old Barkley was still producing at nearly the same level as he did 2 years prior when he won MVP. 32 year old Patrick Ewing was also still in his prime and would continue to be as good for a few more years.
Writing off All-Time greats in their early 30s is a dumb thing to do. It's like saying Curry, KD, Harden, Westbrook and Butler to name a few would all be obsolete next season.
Well "over the hill" literally means late prime or declining, so you answered your own question here.
I think the argument is that late 80-90s stars all showed a particularly high level of "longevity" and play into their 30s relative to other eras, perhaps because of their era and the talent cycle of the league in the mid-late 90s.
The late 90s especially was a league dominated by old players. Is it just that these guys were special and would have done so no matter when they came up, or was it that the league in the late 90s was devoid of young talent which allowed these guys to remain at the top for longer.
That is the argument trying to be made here, which I think is fair. It really wasn't until the class of 96' came of age that the old guard was fully phased out, and by that point most of them were 35+.
Ironically of the guys you mentioned, basically all of them are on the back end of their prime, especially KD, Westbrook and Curry. Except for Harden, its quite unlikely any of those guys will contend for MVPs again. Maybe they will next season ('21) but I find it highly unlikely any will finish top 3 or even top 5.
IMO, the league was really weak from '96 till about '00. Expansion, lack of young MVP talent to push the old guard out, style of play, all sorta contributed to this. It's not a knock on any of the top players of that era, its just how the league was imo.