2023-24 NBA Season Discussion

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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3341 » by lessthanjake » Tue May 21, 2024 12:09 am

sp6r=underrated wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Boston winning would be interesting because the debate about tatum would intensify even more, but a ring would still get him serious respect he doesnt really get right now


Tatum would get a boost but the important impact of Boston crushing their way to the title would negate the theory that a GOAT team needs to be built around a guy who clearly best in the league.


The way I think of it, it’s less that an all-time great team needs to be built around a very-top-tier superstar, and more that that’s the *easiest* route to building a great team.

I think in the past we’ve seen title teams that were incredible but didn’t have one of the very top superstars. Instead, their model was to have a large number of all-star level guys on one team and good depth. I’m thinking of teams like the Bad Boys Pistons, 2004 Pistons, and 2014 Spurs.

Those teams were *really* good. So I think it’s not really that that model doesn’t work. It’s probably more that that model is harder to achieve. I think a big reason for this is how salaries are structured in the NBA. With a max contract, the top-tier guys are actually underpaid compared to what they’re worth. So when you have them, you’re really getting more than you’re paying for. The flip side is that if you don’t have one of those guys and instead have a bunch of all-star level guys, you need to pay all of them like all-star level players, and all-star level players typically command at or near the max contracts, which makes it almost impossible to stack up a bunch of them on the same team (and even harder to do so while retaining depth).

In the past, I think these sorts of teams got around this by having one or two really good contracts. For instance, for the 2014 Spurs, they had Kawhi on a very cheap contract, and Manu on a pretty good contract too. So they weren’t really paying for as many all-star level guys as they had. The same was true of the Bad Boys Pistons, I believe. And no one on the 2004 Pistons was paid a ton. These teams just managed to get a bunch of all-stars on a bargain. And that’s not really a model that teams can actually rely on getting. So the more reliable way to build a great team is to get a couple major superstars who are worth more than they’re paid.

But I wonder if this multiple-all-star model is as difficult to achieve right now. The Celtics don’t really have anyone on the cheap. The salary cap is just high and non-strict enough that they are able to pay for all these guys, even without having them on incredible deals. At the same time, the existence of super maxes maybe makes major superstars actually be less of a bargain than they have been at times in the past. I’m not sure this will be possible moving forwards, with the way stuff will be changing in this regard, but given all this stuff, this year it may just be that the multiple-all-star model is actually genuinely the best model.

Of course, we’ll see. The actual basketball explanation for needing a major superstar is that you need such a person to generate offense against the best playoff defenses. That may ultimately prove to be true if the Celtics face the Timberwolves, but in general I think things are slanted enough offensively that generating an advantage against great playoff defenses may not be the exclusive realm of the top few guys, and might extend a bit downwards to guys like Tatum, with the real concern being whether the team has people who can convert on that advantage before the defense stabilizes (which is something the Celtics are very well built to do).
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3342 » by Special_Puppy » Tue May 21, 2024 1:09 am

I don’t seriously know how you can pin that series on Jokić. This really does seem to be a case of his supporting cast letting him down
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3343 » by Special_Puppy » Tue May 21, 2024 1:10 am

Jamal Muray played like a top 15 player last post-season and was *catastrophically* bad this post-season (probably due to injuries). Not sure there is much more to it than that
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3344 » by Texas Chuck » Tue May 21, 2024 1:13 am

Special_Puppy wrote:Jamal Muray played like a top 15 player last post-season and was *catastrophically* bad this post-season (probably due to injuries). Not sure there is much more to it than that



IT's just do I like this player or not. KG couldn't advance and the narrative was he had the worst teams of all-time despite playing with plenty of all-stars. Curry missed the playoffs completely twice and not a single word about it being his play.

Jokic takes a team that is being called the best modern defense of all-time to game 7 with his 2 offensive co-stars being terrible and we are calling him a regular season player only.

None of it should be taken seriously.
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3345 » by OhayoKD » Tue May 21, 2024 1:39 am

Texas Chuck wrote:
Special_Puppy wrote:Jamal Muray played like a top 15 player last post-season and was *catastrophically* bad this post-season (probably due to injuries). Not sure there is much more to it than that



IT's just do I like this player or not. KG couldn't advance and the narrative was he had the worst teams of all-time despite playing with plenty of all-stars

Fascinating you think the all-star media selections are real but the team going completely winless without him in two seperate seasons is a narrative
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3346 » by rk2023 » Tue May 21, 2024 4:16 am

Ron Swanson wrote:It's just one season thus far but the Wolves certainly seem to have taken the baton from the 2019-2023 Bucks as far as dominant era-relative defenses go (yes, I'm jealous). You saw Jokic's biggest weaknesses exploited in this series (conditioning/foot speed, paint defense) and that's what great defenses do. Forcing him into the role of high volume, mid-efficiency shot-creator is easier said than done, but they have an embarrassment of riches in defensive personnel to make it work. Game 7 seemed like a textbook Popovich Spurs vs. Nash/Amare Suns playoff battle.


PHX hung a 114 ORTG on the Spurs in 2005, a 107.8 in 2007, 104ish in 2008, and 116 in 2010. I get what you’re saying and don’t want to derail from the good overall points being made, but Nash and his Suns gave the Spurs more fits than Denver did this series to Minny
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3347 » by Heej » Tue May 21, 2024 1:34 pm

Helluva first post Simon, welcome to the board. It is interesting how much the supporting cast defense around Jokic gets left out as people tend to hyper-fixate on offense. It is worth noting that in the new era you need to be able to have a dialed up defensive scheme in your back pocket to throw out there when you need to try and take out your opposition's main guy. Jokic can't play any coverage other than drop and maybe a catch hedge on occasion, but the Nuggets were lucky the Wolves didn't spam double drags at him to get Ant going at Jokic. The team does need to sell out a lot to cover for that particular deficiency.

As far as assists go, I do think there is some tolerance for the low difficulty Rondo assists Jokic racks up, as a lot of guys who are primary playmakers will naturally have system assists thrown in the mix. Do I think Jokic racks up more system assists than others? Maybe. But his DHO game is in part effective because he's a good ballhandler for a center and possesses a lot of heft. I'm more interested in the other finer points, specifically about how Jokic is a maestro diming to guys in the dunker spot but he's a very middling skip passer.

That's actually been something that stood out to me watching the Ham defense work its magic on Jokic because one of the better counters would be to sling a rope over the defense right into the shooting pocket of a corner shooter the way Luka, Lebron, Harden, and even Curry on occasion does. It is a little weird to me that Jokic with all his size and arm talent isn't ever really punishing teams with his skip passes. And it makes me appreciate guys like LeBron and Luka who have all time pace on their passes and can get them to shooters one step faster than nearly anyone in league history. I'll likely have to re-evaluate how high I place him on my list of all-time passers because this is a pretty glaring "weakness" if you will compared to other GOAT level offensive engines. But hey like I always say, nowadays playoff basketball is about finding one weakness and spamming stuff to avoid it. You're much better off being a jack of all trades than a specialist now due to the evolution of zone concepts over time in the NBA imo.

As far as Jamal goes, I do agree he's essentially the ideal archetype of PnR partner, especially because he's such a savvy off-ball mover who can work DHOs and back cuts off of Joker. He has been fairly inconsistent due to injury this postseason, and his shooting splits have been awful so Jokic fans are right to criticize him.

You bring up a good point though about the shot diet for him. Part of maturing in my basketball takes for me is trying to undo all the brainwashing of the last decade regarding mid-range shots and accepting that you need a steady diet of mid-range shots to keep defenses honest so I do appreciate the distinction in Murray's required shot diet not being accounted for just from looking at efficiency. Dunno how much more I would weight that but part of the game within the game of basketball is getting yourself easier shots which I think Murray failed to do. However one can just say Murray was the only reliable on-ball creator for most of the series as Jokic wasn't really breaking the TWolves' primary scheme and functioned more as a play finisher and connector. Albeit an extremely dominant one.

As far as Giannis getting more criticism than Jokic for his glaring weakness, I suppose that's because a glaring weakness on offense is a great deal easier to see than a glaring weakness on defense imo. And because I think Jokic is still a straight up better player than Giannis anyway. Agreed on Wemby though. He seems like the next evolution if his ballhandling continues to improve as he ages and actually scales vs playoff level defenses. For me personally I have Wemby Luka and Zion as the highest ceiling guys in the league. I'm most confident that Wemby reaches his though.
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3348 » by OhayoKD » Tue May 21, 2024 3:01 pm

Why were two posts offering the best break down of Jokic's performance just deleted?
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3349 » by Heej » Tue May 21, 2024 3:03 pm

Special_Puppy wrote:I don’t seriously know how you can pin that series on Jokić. This really does seem to be a case of his supporting cast letting him down

Inclined to agree but there are valid criticisms to be made of Jokic that game as well in regards to fading away during crucial stretches of the game and generally getting his creation schemed out by the Wolves. He was still able to put up gaudy box score numbers, as he's probably the most effective box score stuffer we've seen in a very long time.

But he wasn't consistently generating an onslaught of advantages every possession for his teammates to finish the way we've seen him do before. That matters. These teams weren't all that uneven talent-wise imo. People are gonna blame MPJ for shooting poorly but that dude is a pure 3&D guy who subsists off Jokic and Murray creating for him, and in this game Jokic wasn't creating many high quality looks for teammates or converting at a high rate on his own.

His teammates let him down and Jokic could've played better. It is what it is. Take it on the chin and learn from it to come back energized next year.
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3350 » by therealbig3 » Tue May 21, 2024 3:07 pm

I'm curious then, for the people that seem to hold the opinion of Jokic having a great peak, but clearly a level or two below the greatest peaks, where would you rank him as far as all time peaks? I'm curious how long the list is and which players you'd rank ahead.

Heej, OhayoKD, mainly directed at you guys, but anyone is welcome to answer, but I know both of you have generally been a little more critical (in a fair way) than most other posters re: Jokic.
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3351 » by Colbinii » Tue May 21, 2024 3:11 pm

therealbig3 wrote:I'm curious then, for the people that seem to hold the opinion of Jokic having a great peak, but clearly a level or two below the greatest peaks, where would you rank him as far as all time peaks? I'm curious how long the list is and which players you'd rank ahead.

Heej, OhayoKD, mainly directed at you guys, but anyone is welcome to answer, but I know both of you have generally been a little more critical (in a fair way) than most other posters re: Jokic.


I think around Dirk Nowitzki makes sense as a lower-bound Peak. Higher-bound being Larry Bird. I could definitely be sold he is Top 10.
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3352 » by Heej » Tue May 21, 2024 3:12 pm

therealbig3 wrote:I'm curious then, for the people that seem to hold the opinion of Jokic having a great peak, but clearly a level or two below the greatest peaks, where would you rank him as far as all time peaks? I'm curious how long the list is and which players you'd rank ahead.

Heej, OhayoKD, mainly directed at you guys, but anyone is welcome to answer, but I know both of you have generally been a little more critical (in a fair way) than most other posters re: Jokic.

Comfortably in the top 5-10 range for me I'd say. To me he's Big Bird with all the associated strengths and weaknesses of that particular archetype. I'm significantly higher on his peak than people might suspect, I just don't think it's a real GOAT peak.
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3353 » by Bidofo » Tue May 21, 2024 4:00 pm

What exactly are the "Rondo assists" that Jokic is supposedly racking up? Are people talking about his DHOs? Because while statkeepers may be a bit liberal in what counts as an assist, to compare those to Rondo getting assists from Allen coming off screens is absurd. Jokic getting his ball handlers open off his own screens has great value.
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3354 » by Heej » Tue May 21, 2024 4:32 pm

Bidofo wrote:What exactly are the "Rondo assists" that Jokic is supposedly racking up? Are people talking about his DHOs? Because while statkeepers may be a bit liberal in what counts as an assist, to compare those to Rondo getting assists from Allen coming off screens is absurd. Jokic getting his ball handlers open off his own screens has great value.

Rondo assists get the reputation they do because of the idea that they're assists many players in that position can replicate in that system. This idea is really not all that dissimilar to the assists Jokic racks up in the Nuggets system via DHOs. But much like those petty assists Rondo got, the DHOs don't always scale well in the face of contender level competition as far as clearing the playmaking threshold necessary to generate consistent quality looks. I do agree that it's a better play in general than Rondo waiting for someone to come off a screen though, but by how much?
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3355 » by OhayoKD » Tue May 21, 2024 5:00 pm

For Posterity, here was the assist breakdown from a post I think the website glitched out for some reason. Fortunately,
Simonpegg31 wrote:Going through Jokic’s assists really make his playmaking far less impressive


Game 7:

Fantastic weakside pass to KCP off a double (Missed rotation by the wolves)

DHO

Pass out to murray, who hit a stepback 3 against a high double + Bump

Pass out to murray against high help, ANT makes a late rotation
DHO for a contested midrange pullup for KCP

DHO for a off balance floater by murray

Good pass to murray in the corner off ANT ball watching where he attacked the closeout well (A minute left of game 7)



Game 6:

Aaron Gordon DHO

A pass to Braun off a pop when both the BH and screener defender committed to Jamal


Game 5:

Zoom action DHO

Throwing it to KCP early transition at the start of the shot clock who pulls up early

P&R pass to reggie

Throws it to reggie in transition, who beats NAW in front of him

Good transition pass to braun

Good pass to Aaron Gordan cutting after getting inside position on Jaden Mcdaniels in early mismatched transition

Good pass to Braun in transition (3 on 2)

Jamal Murray DHO

Kickout to MPJ with ANT ball watching a tad (Trademark contested 3 here)

Good transition pass to cutting AG after a mismatch causes KAT to help

Good pass to KCP before the double comes

Kevin Love esque transition pass

Throws it to an Open Braun in transition with the wolves not matching up


Game 4: (Soft doubles)

Box and elbows, good pass to MPJ with Mcdaniels ball watching
Great pass in the post to a cutting AG

Great skip pass to KCP in the post (Soft double)

Transition pass to an open MPJ who beat everyone up the floor

DHO for murray heavily contested pullup midrange over towns

DHO for murray hitting a contested three over the arms of Jaden Mcdaniels

Great pass to AG off the double


Game 3:

Good pass to AG at the dunker on a Murray Jokic DHO

Pass to KCP for the contested midrange C&S over Jaden mcdaniels

Good pass to braun at the dunker on a Murray Jokic DHO

Good pass to MPJ on a Horns Chin set (so like, a designed easy one)

Kickout Pass to Murray who takes a contested pullup low shot clock middy over Naz

KCP causes his defender to fall, passes to an open jokic who passes it to the open man after the scramble (Jamal for three)

Passes it to Aaron Gordan at the wing who Gobert was sagging off of on an off ball screen with Murray

DHO for an Aaron Gordan three

Good lob for the AG cut


Game 2:

Pass to a cutting AG, KAT kind of gets a hand on it so AG just has to post up KAT and makes a good hook

Pass to AG open from the wing from three (since theyre sagging)

Pass to a cutting AG who hits the midrange shot over KAT

Good pass to Justin Holiday in the WS corner who hits a crazy contested 3 over ANT

Murray DHO who gets by everyone despite stepping back first

Good Lob to AG, Anderson caught sleeping

Good WS pass to justin Holiday

Transiiton pass to MPJ


Game 1:

Contested DHO pullup 3 for MPJ

Contesed DHO stepback pullup 3 for Reggie Jackson

Pass to a cutting braun in transition

Great weakside pass to KCP in the post (caught sleeping)

Pass to cutting Aaron Gordan on the short roll JokicXMurray

Great Lob to AG inverted P&R

Good pass to an open justin holiday

DHO to Jamal Murray

Contested DHO to MPJ pullup 3


14/55 assists were DHOs

8 were pretty basic transition passes, and thats being somewhat generous

4 or so were other players collapsing the D and him making the right second pass off the scramble rotations



Bidofo wrote:What exactly are the "Rondo assists" that Jokic is supposedly racking up? Are people talking about his DHOs? Because while statkeepers may be a bit liberal in what counts as an assist, to compare those to Rondo getting assists from Allen coming off screens is absurd. Jokic getting his ball handlers open off his own screens has great value.


Great value is an empty term without some sort of comparative frame. DHO's require your teammates to do more, and take out less defenders than the average lead playmaker assist, and that is not considering what those playmakers can be doing to the defenses before they make the final pass.

If you compare Jokic's playmaking to someone like say, Luka, he is taking out less defenders and is requiring his teammates to successfully do more things for his passes to turn into scores.


Consequently, relative to someone like Luka, his assist average significantly overstates what he's actually creating.


therealbig3 wrote:I'm curious then, for the people that seem to hold the opinion of Jokic having a great peak, but clearly a level or two below the greatest peaks, where would you rank him as far as all time peaks? I'm curious how long the list is and which players you'd rank ahead.

Heej, OhayoKD, mainly directed at you guys, but anyone is welcome to answer, but I know both of you have generally been a little more critical (in a fair way) than most other posters re: Jokic.


To make things simple I'll keep this era-relative(.

Tier 0

1. Bill Russell

Tier 1

2. Lebron
3. Kareem

(Mikan goes somewhere here)

Tier 2

4. Duncan
5. Hakeem
6. Jordan
7/8. Wilt/Magic
9/10. KG/Shaq

Tier 3
11/12/13. Giannis/Steph/Jokic
14/15. Oscar/West


Tier 4
14/15/16. Kobe/Bird/Wade
17/18. James Harden/Steve Nash
20/21/22. David Robinson/Kevin Durant/Cp3
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3356 » by parsnips33 » Tue May 21, 2024 5:33 pm

Is requiring your teammates to do less inherently more valuable? That doesn't seem self-evident to me
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3357 » by Texas Chuck » Tue May 21, 2024 5:36 pm

parsnips33 wrote:Is requiring your teammates to do less inherently more valuable? That doesn't seem self-evident to me


Requiring? I'm not even sure what that means in this context. But enabling them to do less on one end or the other so you can get a better player at the other end? Feels super valuable. Dirk's ability to drive great offense allowed Dallas to start a very limited offensive team in the playoffs in their title year getting really good defenders on the court. Gobert allowed Utah to play offense only perimeter guys leading to good records and elite offenses(though it wasn't playoff resiliiant).
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3358 » by Colbinii » Tue May 21, 2024 5:39 pm

parsnips33 wrote:Is requiring your teammates to do less inherently more valuable? That doesn't seem self-evident to me


Of course it is.

It makes constructing a title team significantly easier, since you can acquire a large array of players.
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3359 » by Special_Puppy » Tue May 21, 2024 5:41 pm

OhayoKD wrote:For Posterity, here was the assist breakdown from a post I think the website glitched out for some reason. Fortunately,
Simonpegg31 wrote:Going through Jokic’s assists really make his playmaking far less impressive


Game 7:

Fantastic weakside pass to KCP off a double (Missed rotation by the wolves)

DHO

Pass out to murray, who hit a stepback 3 against a high double + Bump

Pass out to murray against high help, ANT makes a late rotation
DHO for a contested midrange pullup for KCP

DHO for a off balance floater by murray

Good pass to murray in the corner off ANT ball watching where he attacked the closeout well (A minute left of game 7)



Game 6:

Aaron Gordon DHO

A pass to Braun off a pop when both the BH and screener defender committed to Jamal


Game 5:

Zoom action DHO

Throwing it to KCP early transition at the start of the shot clock who pulls up early

P&R pass to reggie

Throws it to reggie in transition, who beats NAW in front of him

Good transition pass to braun

Good pass to Aaron Gordan cutting after getting inside position on Jaden Mcdaniels in early mismatched transition

Good pass to Braun in transition (3 on 2)

Jamal Murray DHO

Kickout to MPJ with ANT ball watching a tad (Trademark contested 3 here)

Good transition pass to cutting AG after a mismatch causes KAT to help

Good pass to KCP before the double comes

Kevin Love esque transition pass

Throws it to an Open Braun in transition with the wolves not matching up


Game 4: (Soft doubles)

Box and elbows, good pass to MPJ with Mcdaniels ball watching
Great pass in the post to a cutting AG

Great skip pass to KCP in the post (Soft double)

Transition pass to an open MPJ who beat everyone up the floor

DHO for murray heavily contested pullup midrange over towns

DHO for murray hitting a contested three over the arms of Jaden Mcdaniels

Great pass to AG off the double


Game 3:

Good pass to AG at the dunker on a Murray Jokic DHO

Pass to KCP for the contested midrange C&S over Jaden mcdaniels

Good pass to braun at the dunker on a Murray Jokic DHO

Good pass to MPJ on a Horns Chin set (so like, a designed easy one)

Kickout Pass to Murray who takes a contested pullup low shot clock middy over Naz

KCP causes his defender to fall, passes to an open jokic who passes it to the open man after the scramble (Jamal for three)

Passes it to Aaron Gordan at the wing who Gobert was sagging off of on an off ball screen with Murray

DHO for an Aaron Gordan three

Good lob for the AG cut


Game 2:

Pass to a cutting AG, KAT kind of gets a hand on it so AG just has to post up KAT and makes a good hook

Pass to AG open from the wing from three (since theyre sagging)

Pass to a cutting AG who hits the midrange shot over KAT

Good pass to Justin Holiday in the WS corner who hits a crazy contested 3 over ANT

Murray DHO who gets by everyone despite stepping back first

Good Lob to AG, Anderson caught sleeping

Good WS pass to justin Holiday

Transiiton pass to MPJ


Game 1:

Contested DHO pullup 3 for MPJ

Contesed DHO stepback pullup 3 for Reggie Jackson

Pass to a cutting braun in transition

Great weakside pass to KCP in the post (caught sleeping)

Pass to cutting Aaron Gordan on the short roll JokicXMurray

Great Lob to AG inverted P&R

Good pass to an open justin holiday

DHO to Jamal Murray

Contested DHO to MPJ pullup 3


14/55 assists were DHOs

8 were pretty basic transition passes, and thats being somewhat generous

4 or so were other players collapsing the D and him making the right second pass off the scramble rotations



Bidofo wrote:What exactly are the "Rondo assists" that Jokic is supposedly racking up? Are people talking about his DHOs? Because while statkeepers may be a bit liberal in what counts as an assist, to compare those to Rondo getting assists from Allen coming off screens is absurd. Jokic getting his ball handlers open off his own screens has great value.


Great value is an empty term without some sort of comparative frame. DHO's require your teammates to do more, and take out less defenders than the average lead playmaker assist, and that is not considering what those playmakers can be doing to the defenses before they make the final pass.

If you compare Jokic's playmaking to someone like say, Luka, he is taking out less defenders and is requiring his teammates to successfully do more things for his passes to turn into scores.


Consequently, relative to someone like Luka, his assist average significantly overstates what he's actually creating.


therealbig3 wrote:I'm curious then, for the people that seem to hold the opinion of Jokic having a great peak, but clearly a level or two below the greatest peaks, where would you rank him as far as all time peaks? I'm curious how long the list is and which players you'd rank ahead.

Heej, OhayoKD, mainly directed at you guys, but anyone is welcome to answer, but I know both of you have generally been a little more critical (in a fair way) than most other posters re: Jokic.


To make things simple I'll keep this era-relative(.

Tier 0

1. Bill Russell

Tier 1

2. Lebron
3. Kareem

(Mikan goes somewhere here)

Tier 2

4. Duncan
5. Hakeem
6. Jordan
7/8. Wilt/Magic
9/10. KG/Shaq

Tier 3
11/12/13. Giannis/Steph/Jokic
14/15. Oscar/West


Tier 4
14/15/16. Kobe/Bird/Wade
17/18. James Harden/Steve Nash
20/21/22. David Robinson/Kevin Durant/Cp3


Can you elaborate on the Jordan placement? I have a hard time placing his 3-4 year peak outside the top 4
sp6r=underrated
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Re: 2023-24 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#3360 » by sp6r=underrated » Tue May 21, 2024 5:43 pm

Playoff Games

Code: Select all

Season             Games   OT Games   5 Points or Less   6 to 15 Points   16 to 24 Points   25 Points or Greater
2000 to 2009       81       5              23                     39                14                 6   
2010 to 2019       83       5              22                     39                14                 8   
2020 to 2023       85       4              19                     44                13                 9   
Average            83       5              22                     40                14                 8   


Playoff Games Average

Code: Select all

Season             Games   OT Games   5 Points or Less   6 to 15 Points   16 to 24 Points   25 Points or Greater
2000 to 2009       81       6%             29%                  48%                  17%                  7%   
2010 to 2019       83       6%             27%                  46%                  17%                  10%   
2020 to 2023       85       4%             22%                  51%                  15%                  11%
Average            83       6%             26%                  49%                  16%                  9%


Overall I'm less concerned about the blowout trend than I was before. I know the NBA's announcers' talking point has some truth to it (20 is the new 10) but (i) it doesn't feel that way when you're watching; (ii) if no comeback occurs the game is just miserable. But the uptick in blowouts isn't that pronounced. We're mainly seeing more 6-15 games rather than super blowouts.
Texas Chuck wrote:we watch super slow motion replay from 4 different angles and get angry if a ref missed something at full speed in real time . . . Newsflash to fans--it doesn't slow down matrix style for the refs as the game is going on

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