jdzimme3 wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:jdzimme3 wrote:I think people under rate the luxury provided by being able to count on a single guy on one end of the floor. He wasn’t the most efficient but iverson alone was enough to produce a middle of the road offense. That allowed the team to build a terrific defense by focusing all other playerS on that end. Deke, Lynch, snow, mckie.... all the players around AI are there to build a terrific defense. No way you can build that defense without a guy who can carry the load night in and night out on the other end.
We should acknowledge that iversons efficiency was low in part because of what his role was and went up when he went to Denver and there was less reliance on him. Iverson is horribly underrated by realgm because of a failure to understand the situation and a propensity to believe that advanced metrics tell the whole story.
I notice you're not talking about floor vs ceiling raising, portability, scalability, or regression data while you accuse people here of failing to understand something much more basic.
What I find again and again is that people desperately want to believe that all this stuff they don't understand somehow leads to wrong conclusions that casual observers intuitively get right. It's frustrating because all of us were those casual observers before we started taking this stuff seriously.
I hate that the divergence is so great that I probably just come off as an arrogant close-minded nerd, but y'know, 20 years ago I was making all sorts of similar arguments for Iverson that you are now, and I can tell you that while back then I absolutely knew more than pretty much everyone I came into contact with, I knew very little compared to what I know now, in part because nobody knew then what is known now.
There's been an arms race of knowledge that's grown so fast that it's leaving people who didn't happen to jump on board behind, even if they are passionate and intelligent.
A lot of assumptions in your post and no response to my point that situations matter and provide critical perspective to the numbers. Just so you don’t have to keep assuming everyone that disagrees with you doesn’t understand data analytics I will let you know that my career (15 years) is actually in data analytics and the most common mistake I see, from smart people, is over reliance on the numbers because it is easier to take them at face value than it is to analyze the situation.
Dude, everything in my first sentence is a response to your point. I mean, when I say the phrase "floor raising" that's me literally attaching the long-established label to the concept you've described. I'm not sure where to go next here in this discussion. If I've used phrases you don't understand, ask me what I mean.
Re: you work in data analytics. Okay, then let me say: Don't think of me as an analytics guy. Think of me as a guy who rage quit on the APBRmetrics community in 2005 because I diagnosed them with the precisely the sort of problems you're talking about with analytics folks.
None of this changes the fact that Iverson's regression impact turned out to be negligible compared to what I thought it was back when I was cheering him on in 2001.
In terms of the most common mistake I see from smart people, if we're going beyond the whole "I know basketball, I've been watching since I was a kid and now I'm an educated middle class intellectual so I can't possibly be ignorant", I'd say the next two things are 1) the thing you've described and I mentioned about the APBRmetrics-community back then, but also 2) the feeling that if you've gone one layer deeper than someone you disagree with that you can assume others who superficially appear the same to you fall prey to the same misconceptions.
ftr, with that last point, that's something that I'm in danger of like anyone else. But if you're trying to argue Iverson over Nash, well, this is unlikely to be one of those time for me. Want to prove me wrong? Then dive deeper into the areas I've already specified, show me you understand what I'm talking about and point out something subtle that I'm missing. But if you're think you've already done that then you don't know how much you don't know.





















