[Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz

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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#41 » by LA Bird » Mon May 17, 2021 7:11 pm

Odinn21 wrote:
LA Bird wrote:I don't see the point of using the supporting cast excuse for Dantley when the Jazz weren't playing all that much better with him anyway. It's not like they were 40 wins with him and only 10 wins without him. Dantley's combination of scoring volume and efficiency is indeed crazy but his overall impact is a little questionable.

Some WOWY stats:
80~86 Jazz were at 34.7 win pace with Dantley, 29.0 win pace in 113 games without him.
04~06 Jazz were at 41.4 win pace with Kirilenko, 19.8 win pace in 58 games without him.

WOWY must be one of the most controversial approach to look at impact. Also open to different interpretations. Kirilenko's missed games overlapped with good chunk of other main rotation players missing games, more so than what Dantley got, and he's more impactful because of it?

It's an approach so controversial for me that I do not even want to state that Dantley outscales Kirilenko in ElGee's WOWYR numbers with +4.3 to +2.1 for Dantley's case. If you have an explanation for either interpretations, I'm all ears.

Kirilenko's WOWYR is not that great because he only played at a high level from 04-06 so his overall score is dragged down by the larger sample in his weaker years later on (07-13). Strictly looking at his 3 year peak though, here are the on/offs for the Jazz players who averaged the most minutes:

2004 Jazz
+11.4 Kirilenko
+3.0 Harpring
+0.7 Arroyo
-2.5 Stevenson
+4.1 Ostertag

2005 Jazz
+12.7 Kirilenko
+3.5 Boozer
-4.4 Harpring
-2.2 Bell
+0.3 Okur

2006 Jazz
+12.3 Kirilenko
+3.2 Okur
-0.2 Boozer
+0.3 Williams
-0.1 Harpring

Kirilenko was head and shoulders above everyone else every year. If he had great teammates, then you can maybe talk about multicollinearity but in this case, what difference does it make if a teammate with minimal impact missed games that overlap with his? If you think this is not granular enough, adjusted +/- has Kirilenko rated among the top in the league during this 3 year stretch as well. There is pretty good evidence of Kirilenko's impact.

Dantley on the other hand doesn't have such clear impact. The usual argument is that his team results was only poor because he was carrying bum teams but his teams didn't actually do that badly when he was out. ElGee's full WOWY spreadsheet lists the individual runs and Dantley's Jazz only declined by 1.7 SRS in 83 and 1.5 SRS in 85 without him. The Pistons played better without Dantley than with him. For a guy who was such an incredible scorer, something doesn't quite add up here. Either his defense was worse than we though or his offense was not that dominant despite his scoring.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#42 » by ShotCreator » Mon May 17, 2021 8:03 pm

1. 97 Malone
2. 88-91 Stockton
3. 21 Gobert
4. 05 AK47
5. 12 Millsap

Almost put 21 Conley 5th but I remembered 12 Utah made the playoffs on a pretty good offense led by Millsap and baby Hayward. And a defense held down by him too.

Deron Williams was a low-leverage scoring threat and overall playmaker with bad defense. Boozer the same. Dantley was flawed as well.

I rememberer coming away from analyzing the 08 and 09 Jazz convinced young Millsap, AK, and Brewer playing the kind of two-way level they did was really why Utah was so good at home.

I may be biased toward defense and two-way play but I’ve been pretty sure about this ranking before I even thought of it in terms of all-time Utah guys.

Hell 17 George Hill peaked high and good as a two way guy as well and is at least as good as D-Will to me.


Utah is really had an underrated past 35 years as a franchise. Several eras and styles of winning for a while now.
Swinging for the fences.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#43 » by HeartBreakKid » Mon May 17, 2021 8:05 pm

ShotCreator wrote:1. 97 Malone
2. 88-91 Stockton
3. 21 Gobert
4. 05 AK47
5. 12 Millsap

Almost put 21 Conley 5th but I remembered 12 Utah made the playoffs on a pretty good offense led by Millsap and baby Hayward. And a defense held down by him too.

Deron Williams was a low-leverage scoring threat and overall playmaker with bad defense. Boozer the same. Dantley was flawed as well.

I rememberer coming away from analyzing the 08 and 09 Jazz convinced young Millsap, AK, and Brewer playing the kind of two-way level they did was really why Utah was so good at home.

I may be biased toward defense and two-way play but I’ve been pretty sure about this ranking before I even thought of it in terms of all-time Utah guys.

Hell 17 George Hill peaked high and good as a two way guy as well and is at least as good as D-Will to me.


Utah is really had an underrated past 35 years as a franchise. Several eras and styles of winning for a while now.
2021 doesn't count for this project.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#44 » by Odinn21 » Mon May 17, 2021 8:46 pm

LA Bird wrote:Kirilenko was head and shoulders above everyone else every year. If he had great teammates, then you can maybe talk about multicollinearity but in this case, what difference does it make if a teammate with minimal impact missed games that overlap with his? If you think this is not granular enough, adjusted +/- has Kirilenko rated among the top in the league during this 3 year stretch as well. There is pretty good evidence of Kirilenko's impact.

And I just showed you were arguing with the tools those are not available for Dantley while making a comparison. I did not say Kirilenko was more or less impactful than Dantley. You made an argument based on WOWY which is an inherently flawed approach on many different levels and I addressed that by saying this;
Kirilenko's missed games overlapped with good chunk of other main rotation players missing games, more so than what Dantley got, and he's more impactful because of it?

This was intended to be an argument against WOWY concept, and not against Kirilenko or not for Dantley.

Also talked for further about it when Colbinii asked.

LA Bird wrote:Dantley on the other hand doesn't have such clear impact. The usual argument is that his team results was only poor because he was carrying bum teams but his teams didn't actually do that badly when he was out. ElGee's full WOWY spreadsheet lists the individual runs and Dantley's Jazz only declined by 1.7 SRS in 83 and 1.5 SRS in 85 without him.

Again, I have my reservations. I don't have access to ElGee's full WOWY spreadsheet.
What I see on what's available to me;
1983 Jazz had -4.2 SRS and -3.9 NRtg when Dantley missed 60 games.
1984 Jazz had +0.8 SRS and +1.1 NRtg with healthy Dantley.
1985 Jazz had -0.3 SRS and -0.3 NRtg when Dantley was injured on 3 different occasions and missed 27 games.

If the swing is that big and ElGee has those numbers, probably his evaluations of Dantley's teammates in Utah are just different than mine.

LA Bird wrote:The Pistons played better without Dantley than with him.

I'm not so sure about this. Can't talk much about regular season games because I had very limited number of reg. season games, but I had all the Pistons postseason games from 1985 to 1991 and I can argue that 1987 and 1988 versions were better than the title winning versions. Sometimes there are more to it than MoV derivative numbers. I see the Bad Boys in the '80s similar to the mid '00s Pistons in a sense. For example Larry Brown's Pistons in 2005 were clearly better to me than any version of Flip Saunders' Pistons despite having worse metrics.
If Dantley was a clear negative impact player, shouldn't have they improved more? That's what I'd ask.

1986 Pistons without Dantley; +1.1 NRtg (8th), 1st round exit against +2.4 NRtg Hawks (5th).
1987 Pistons with Dantley; +3.4 NRtg (6th), conference finals exit against +6.7 NRtg Celtics (3rd). And there is a good chance they could've won the game if Dantley was on the floor in 4th q of game 7.
1988 Pistons with Dantley; +5.2 NRtg (3rd), lost in the NBA Finals in 7 against +5.9 NRtg Lakers (2nd). They would've won it in 6 if it weren't for phantom call on Kareem.
1989 Pistons with Aguirre instead of Dantley; +6.0 NRtg (4th), won the NBA Finals against +7.1 NRtg Lakers (3rd) with Magic going down.
1990 Pistons with Aguirre; +6.4 NRtg (3rd), won the NBA Finals against +6.1 NRtg Blazers (4th).

Going back to eye-test, as much as it should be taken with a grain of salt, the Pistons did not improve without Dantley and with Aguirre. They stayed on the same level and the competition got worse, which was a situation translated into title success.

Now, I'm sure you'll point out the Pistons going 10-3 without Dantley in 1987-88 regular season. And I have to agree that that's not a good look for Dantley. On the flip side, if Dantley's impact was not there, how can we explain the team's track record from 1987 to 1990? Especially looking at how well they did in competitive series in ECF and NBA Finals?
In 1987, they lost to +6.7 NRtg Celtics and they were on the verge of winning the series. Dantley's injury in game 7 played a part in that.
In 1988, they got the better of +6.0 NRtg Celtics in ECF and they lost the title to +5.9 NRtg Lakers in a similar fashion to 2013 Spurs. So close yet so far type of situation with single play having a huge effect.
In 1989, they lost 2 games to +1.5 NRtg Bulls in ECF and dominated arguably the weakest team in NBA Finals history with Magic's injury.
In 1990, they lost 3 games to +3.3 NRtg Bulls in ECF and dominated +6.1 NRtg Blazers which was the only competitive series the Pistons won convincingly in their repeat playoffs.

If the Pistons played better without Dantley, why would the postseason track record do not support that claim? There are two sides, one going against Dantley with the Pistons going 10-3 without him 1987-88 regular season and one going for Dantley with the Pistons' track record in 1989 and 1990 playoffs.

LA Bird wrote:For a guy who was such an incredible scorer, something doesn't quite add up here. Either his defense was worse than we though or his offense was not that dominant despite his scoring.

I think it adds up well but we see the player from entire different perspectives.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#45 » by 70sFan » Mon May 17, 2021 8:52 pm

Another thing to point out is that Dantley was far removed from his prime in 1989. It doesn't tell us much about prime Dantley. Besides, Detroit got better and better as the season went on, so I find it highly unlikely that they would be significantly worse with Dantley instead of Aguirre.

Don't even mention playoffs, 1989 Pistons faced all-time bad competition. They would win the title with Wiggins in place of Aguirre.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#46 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 17, 2021 8:53 pm

Odinn21 wrote:Dantley must be one of the most disrespected players ever.

No, he did not hold the ball too long.

The amount of sh.t he gets for Zeke throwing a tantrum because the Detroit FO brought Dantley over his buddy is just uncanny.
Also here's an alternate reality scenario to consider;
Kareem doesn't get a phantom call to save that title in 1988. The Pistons win with Dantley.
Magic doesn't get injured and the Pistons do not win the 1989 title.
Two things totally out of Dantley's control and no one would bat an eye about Dantley's fit.

---

It was indeed bad offensive teammates.
John Drew was a cocaine addict with negative offensive impact despite the high scoring numbers.
Darrell Griffith was just meh. He must be one of the rarest players that managed to get into 20+ ppg territory with negative OBPM, he did that in his rookie season and never broke past 1.0 OBPM mark.
And these 2 were the next highest scorers on the team.

Bad offensive teammates, thus bad spacing were the issues for those subpar rORtg results.

I think many of you should take a trip to Dantley footages on our beloved 70sFan's YouTube channel.



So clearly there's been some haymakers thrown about Dantley in this thread, and understandably so. I've yet to hear anyone really figure everything out in a way that leaves me feel like I can be confident in a precise assessment.

I think what's definitely the case is that Dantley was having positive offensive impact on teams with otherwise bad offenses. It's not a question of whether Dantley was net good or bad on offense, he was a net good.

However:

1. To my knowledge, we never see him lead elite offenses.
2. His coaches seemed to get driven nuts by the way the offenses went stagnant as teammates just looked to get Dantley the ball.
3. Despite people saying as Dantley went along that his previous teams clearly made a mistake letting him go, history didn't really seem to prove this correct and meanwhile those who acquired Dantley seemed to go from "We got an amazing steal!" to trading him as a matter of course.

I'll also say: You say he didn't hold the ball too much, but he certainly did at times. Was it as big of an issue as it was made out to be? I don't know, but it happened.

There's also the matter that despite the fact that Dantley could attack from the perimeter, he's most known for that post game which tended to require high risk passes to get him the ball there.

And there's the matter that Dantley clearly had tunnel vision issues. It wasn't even just him going into his scoring attempt and forcing a tough shot (which he'd hit better than most), but him wandering around with the ball looking to find a scoring attempt when his initial move was stymied.

Dantley was willing to pass out of double teams, but seems like a case of a volume scorer who didn't make attacking passes in those circumstances so much as he passed it out for a reset.

Saying all this, I want to say again: I don't know exactly how much this hurt his teams, and I also don't know how much better things could have been with Dantley's teams with better offensive strategy and fitting teammates.

Dantley seems like he may be a guy who truly never had offensive superstar impact creating elite team offense in reality, but could have gotten there if better utilized.

At the same time: You can't argue that his teams weren't trying to feature him. The Jazz were trying to build around him as their franchise player for more than half a decade, with the same GM (Layden) who basically bet his career on Dantley right from the start and would eventually take over as coach trying to make it all work. How did it end? With Layden cutting his losses with Dantley and successfully building a true contender with his next group. And with Dantley feeling like he'd been treated badly by Layden despite Layden trying to build everything around him for years.

In the end, the reason why Dantley got traded from team to team was quite clearly because he never had the kind of offensive impact his volume & efficiency would indicate. Full stop. People back then saw those stats too. They weren't missing it. They were trying and it wasn't working that well. We might be able to, if we had all the granular data, pinpoint all of the reasons why Dantley just got unlucky, but as NBA fans we're used to top guys being so good we rarely have to dive into these details to justify players. Chances are, there was a hitch in the giddy up.

As for my Top 5, I'm going to chew on it further, but I'll say this:

I think it's clear that up to a certain point Dantley was the Jazz GOAT. Nobody from the '70s need apply.

But I struggle putting Dantley ahead of Eaton, one sided specialist who actually was the most valuable player of his generation at his side of the court. I might find that on a peak basis I like Dantley's best year better than Eaton's, but Dantley's offense never had the kind of impact Eaton's defense did - from anything I've seen - and that's just how it goes.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#47 » by 70sFan » Mon May 17, 2021 9:02 pm

If anyone wants to get more familiar with prime Dantley, I can post some 1982-86 Jazz games here. I have quite big collection, as I am hunting for Dantley games.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#48 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 17, 2021 9:16 pm

70sFan wrote:He didn't hold the ball longer than majority of modern offensive stars like Melo or Kawhi. He wasn't that ball-dominant, majority of his work came from off-ball game.


I have zero issue putting Dantley over Melo. I'd also rather have Kyle Korver than Melo, so, yeah.

I think the Kawhi mention though is a great one for discussion because it really seems like Dantley should have been able to be comparably effective to Kawhi on offense (Kawhi has a massive advantage on defense of course), so the question is why he wasn't.

One clear aspect of it is that when Dantley played to post-up, his team was using high risk passes. This sort of issue is a more general thing, but to my mind it's got everything to do with why post-up-based offense is dead in the modern strategically-competent era.

If you take that part away from Dantley's game - which is the area I think he's got the clear advantage over Kawhi - Dantley still has quite a lot of what Kawhi offered starting from the perimeter. I think it is worth asking if Dantley could have been as good or better offensively with a Kawhi-like scheme around him, and teammates like Kawhi had.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#49 » by Odinn21 » Mon May 17, 2021 9:17 pm

Going by point by point.

Doctor MJ wrote:However:

1. To my knowledge, we never see him lead elite offenses.

Not many did though. It's a rare sight to high usage, high scoring players leading elite offenses. I mean will we be holding 2003 McGrady back when we come to the Magic thread? I guess it's been so long about this because Dantley is a polarizing figure about this topic.

2. His coaches seemed to get driven nuts by the way the offenses went stagnant as teammates just looked to get Dantley the ball.

Well, as I keep saying, as an outsider to the US, getting my hands on games were a lot easier than getting off-court material. Especially off-court material that did not make the highlights. If you have any about this topic, please share with me. I'd like to see them.

3. Despite people saying as Dantley went along that his previous teams clearly made a mistake letting him go, history didn't really seem to prove this correct and meanwhile those who acquired Dantley seemed to go from "We got an amazing steal!" to trading him as a matter of course.

Dantley was in Utah for 7 seasons. We know about him and Zeke in Detroit. I can not say much about his time in LA but I think this is a bit unfair assessment like as if he was late-career Shaq jumping from team to team in his prime.

I'll also say: You say he didn't hold the ball too much, but he certainly did at times. Was it as big of an issue as it was made out to be? I don't know, but it happened.

Oh, like any other ISO scorers, he sure did at times. He did not do it long enough for to earn such reputation though. That was how I intended. It was not to say it did not happen. For example Carmelo Anthony held the ball far more than Dantley did but he does not have a reputation for it as much as Dantley has.

There's also the matter that despite the fact that Dantley could attack from the perimeter, he's most known for that post game which tended to require high risk passes to get him the ball there.

And there's the matter that Dantley clearly had tunnel vision issues. It wasn't even just him going into his scoring attempt and forcing a tough shot (which he'd hit better than most), but him wandering around with the ball looking to find a scoring attempt when his initial move was stymied.

I certainly agree with this. For a player that his first instinct was to score from the low post, he was like Olajuwon before Rudy T in this regard (but Dantley was not the defender Olajuwon was of course, lol).

Dantley was willing to pass out of double teams, but seems like a case of a volume scorer who didn't make attacking passes in those circumstances so much as he passed it out for a reset.

Saying all this, I want to say again: I don't know exactly how much this hurt his teams, and I also don't know how much better things could have been with Dantley's teams with better offensive strategy and fitting teammates.

Dantley seems like he may be a guy who truly never had offensive superstar impact creating elite team offense in reality, but could have gotten there if better utilized.

Looking at Harden under D'Antoni's coaching, I think Dantley would be one of the most benefited players from more coaching tools. In terms of his strengths and weaknesses, he was underutilized in some aspects or was utilized totally wrong.

At the same time: You can't argue that his teams weren't trying to feature him. The Jazz were trying to build around him as their franchise player for more than half a decade, with the same GM (Layden) who basically bet his career on Dantley right from the start and would eventually take over as coach trying to make it all work. How did it end? With Layden cutting his losses with Dantley and successfully building a true contender with his next group. And with Dantley feeling like he'd been treated badly by Layden despite Layden trying to build everything around him for years.

This also depends on the coach. Popovich tried to build a team around Duncan and did one hell of a job. Saunders tried to build a team around Garnett and he did not do well in that regard.
I don't think it's given that Layden did a good job with Dantley. Like I said, I do not know much about the team's situation. Just voicing my scepticism around this premise. It may be true and it also may not be true.

In the end, the reason why Dantley got traded from team to team was quite clearly because he never had the kind of offensive impact his volume & efficiency would indicate. Full stop. People back then saw those stats too. They weren't missing it. They were trying and it wasn't working that well. We might be able to, if we had all the granular data, pinpoint all of the reasons why Dantley just got unlucky, but as NBA fans we're used to top guys being so good we rarely have to dive into these details to justify players. Chances are, there was a hitch in the giddy up.

As for my Top 5, I'm going to chew on it further, but I'll say this:

I think it's clear that up to a certain point Dantley was the Jazz GOAT. Nobody from the '70s need apply.

But I struggle putting Dantley ahead of Eaton, one sided specialist who actually was the most valuable player of his generation at his side of the court. I might find that on a peak basis I like Dantley's best year better than Eaton's, but Dantley's offense never had the kind of impact Eaton's defense did - from anything I've seen - and that's just how it goes.

Lack of available data about him is one of the reasons why it's so hard to agree when the topic is Dantley. But I'll say this, if his impact in the sense we usually take matched his efficiency, especially on that scoring volume, he'd probably a top 25 ever. It's obvious that he isn't. But I also do not see the point of being overly critical of him because those critics usually too much imo.

---

ShotCreator wrote:1. 97 Malone
2. 88-91 Stockton
3. 21 Gobert
4. 05 AK47
5. 12 Millsap

All votes are welcome but please follow the rules.
One season per player. You need to specify your season selection for Stockton.
Explanations are required for each selections even in short form. Explanations are not just for the players missed the cut.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#50 » by Owly » Mon May 17, 2021 9:30 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
Odinn21 wrote:Dantley must be one of the most disrespected players ever.

No, he did not hold the ball too long.

The amount of sh.t he gets for Zeke throwing a tantrum because the Detroit FO brought Dantley over his buddy is just uncanny.
Also here's an alternate reality scenario to consider;
Kareem doesn't get a phantom call to save that title in 1988. The Pistons win with Dantley.
Magic doesn't get injured and the Pistons do not win the 1989 title.
Two things totally out of Dantley's control and no one would bat an eye about Dantley's fit.

---

It was indeed bad offensive teammates.
John Drew was a cocaine addict with negative offensive impact despite the high scoring numbers.
Darrell Griffith was just meh. He must be one of the rarest players that managed to get into 20+ ppg territory with negative OBPM, he did that in his rookie season and never broke past 1.0 OBPM mark.
And these 2 were the next highest scorers on the team.

Bad offensive teammates, thus bad spacing were the issues for those subpar rORtg results.

I think many of you should take a trip to Dantley footages on our beloved 70sFan's YouTube channel.



So clearly there's been some haymakers thrown about Dantley in this thread, and understandably so. I've yet to hear anyone really figure everything out in a way that leaves me feel like I can be confident in a precise assessment.

I think what's definitely the case is that Dantley was having positive offensive impact on teams with otherwise bad offenses. It's not a question of whether Dantley was net good or bad on offense, he was a net good.

However:

1. To my knowledge, we never see him lead elite offenses.
2. His coaches seemed to get driven nuts by the way the offenses went stagnant as teammates just looked to get Dantley the ball.
3. Despite people saying as Dantley went along that his previous teams clearly made a mistake letting him go, history didn't really seem to prove this correct and meanwhile those who acquired Dantley seemed to go from "We got an amazing steal!" to trading him as a matter of course.

I'll also say: You say he didn't hold the ball too much, but he certainly did at times. Was it as big of an issue as it was made out to be? I don't know, but it happened.

There's also the matter that despite the fact that Dantley could attack from the perimeter, he's most known for that post game which tended to require high risk passes to get him the ball there.

And there's the matter that Dantley clearly had tunnel vision issues. It wasn't even just him going into his scoring attempt and forcing a tough shot (which he'd hit better than most), but him wandering around with the ball looking to find a scoring attempt when his initial move was stymied.

Dantley was willing to pass out of double teams, but seems like a case of a volume scorer who didn't make attacking passes in those circumstances so much as he passed it out for a reset.

Saying all this, I want to say again: I don't know exactly how much this hurt his teams, and I also don't know how much better things could have been with Dantley's teams with better offensive strategy and fitting teammates.

Dantley seems like he may be a guy who truly never had offensive superstar impact creating elite team offense in reality, but could have gotten there if better utilized.

At the same time: You can't argue that his teams weren't trying to feature him. The Jazz were trying to build around him as their franchise player for more than half a decade, with the same GM (Layden) who basically bet his career on Dantley right from the start and would eventually take over as coach trying to make it all work. How did it end? With Layden cutting his losses with Dantley and successfully building a true contender with his next group. And with Dantley feeling like he'd been treated badly by Layden despite Layden trying to build everything around him for years.

In the end, the reason why Dantley got traded from team to team was quite clearly because he never had the kind of offensive impact his volume & efficiency would indicate. Full stop. People back then saw those stats too. They weren't missing it. They were trying and it wasn't working that well. We might be able to, if we had all the granular data, pinpoint all of the reasons why Dantley just got unlucky, but as NBA fans we're used to top guys being so good we rarely have to dive into these details to justify players. Chances are, there was a hitch in the giddy up.

As for my Top 5, I'm going to chew on it further, but I'll say this:

I think it's clear that up to a certain point Dantley was the Jazz GOAT. Nobody from the '70s need apply.

But I struggle putting Dantley ahead of Eaton, one sided specialist who actually was the most valuable player of his generation at his side of the court. I might find that on a peak basis I like Dantley's best year better than Eaton's, but Dantley's offense never had the kind of impact Eaton's defense did - from anything I've seen - and that's just how it goes.

In the final para there's some stuff that doesn't necessarily follow.

Dantley's offense never had the kind of impact Eaton's defense did ... sure but Dantley's defense wasn't Eaton's offense.

-3.2 career offensive win shares. BPM, with replacement level figures to have OBPM replacement level at or circa -1. Eaton is -3.1. His PER, which includes some positive defensive stuff is below positional replacement level. The details of how aren't any prettier. Two sub -100 TS add seasons (despite just 13 and 11.3 usage), a career TOV% at 19.8.


Also do you have Bol as the same generation (and is "value" a minutes based thing). The Philly on-off based rtg approximates on this board (if accurate) suggested he really killed both offenses (-20.1 then -11.8 "offensive net", -14.0 then -17.1 "defensive net" for '91 and '92).
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#51 » by 70sFan » Mon May 17, 2021 9:33 pm

Doctor MJ wrote: I think it is worth asking if Dantley could have been as good or better offensively with a Kawhi-like scheme around him, and teammates like Kawhi had.

It's critical to ask that, because Dantley didn't have as good teammates as Kawhi who never played even with average supporting cast. It's not like Dantley sucked in Detroit or Lakers and he wasn't in his prime then.

For all this talk of how he couldn't play next to talented players, he did fairly well in Pistons and Lakers clearly missed him in 1979 when he missed games - in 60 games he played in, Lakers were 37-23 (51 wins pace) but without him they were 10-12 (37 wins pace). Nobody relevant missed significant time among Lakers rotation other than him. Their offense got visibly worse without him and he played next to Kareem, which was supposedly a bad fit (I'm not sure I agree based on games I've seen).

Dantley had his share of faults, but criticism he takes is getting way too far. Some people talk about him like he wasn't even average player, which is ridiculous. He peaked as one of the best players in the league in 1984.

I wonder why nobody questions King's impact at the same time, his teams were usually far worse offensively than 1984 Jazz.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#52 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 17, 2021 9:33 pm

70sFan wrote:Indeed, Dantley played like Pistons MVP in 1988 finals. I'd add another one - Dantley had unfortunate collision at the end of game 7 of 1987 ECF. He played very well throughout the series and it's possible that Pistons would have beaten Celtics with Dantley on the floor in the 4th quarter.

So with slightly different scenario that wouldn't even include Dantley playing better, AD would have finished with 3 finals appeariances in a row with 2 rings.



This is where things are so tough given Dantley's previous track record.

When you already have a history of being traded away by teams who sure seem like they were wise to trade you away if they wanted to win titles, and then it happens again in Detroit, it's hard not to draw a throughline.

I agree that if things had gone a little bit differently it would cause a major shift in the narrative of Dantley's career.

I'm also not a big Isiah guy and really wouldn't be shocked if the Pistons were just as good if not better if they traded Isiah instead of
Dantley. The team was winning with defense after all, so it's not like there's reason to think Isiah's offense was magically necessary.

With that said, there's the issue that Dantley was a front court dude, and the front court is where defense lives. From the perspective of finding a way to find more and more opportunity for Rodman, trading Isiah I don't think was really an option.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#53 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 17, 2021 10:39 pm

Odinn21 wrote:Going by point by point.

Doctor MJ wrote:However:

1. To my knowledge, we never see him lead elite offenses.

Not many did though. It's a rare sight to high usage, high scoring players leading elite offenses. I mean will we be holding 2003 McGrady back when we come to the Magic thread? I guess it's been so long about this because Dantley is a polarizing figure about this topic.


Oh yes, without hesitation. I consider TMac to be quite overrated by most tied to the NBA.

Now, I will say that in this particular project we can focus on one year, and TMac is noteworthy for his peak year also being the only year when his efficiency wasn't a problem. Given the greater body of work though, I think we can confidently say that it was largely an accident that TMac was efficient that year. It was the year everything was going in for him, and even there, his efficiency was nothing impressive by current standards.

To be clear: Obviously Dantley's efficiency is amazing so I'm not saying efficiency alone would let TMac off the hook. I do however get frustrated when people talk about TMac's proto-heliocentrism through the misguided lens of being a great facilitator for others. TMac was a very good player, but I would not say that the Big Sleep played the game with great levels of awake-ness.

Odinn21 wrote:
2. His coaches seemed to get driven nuts by the way the offenses went stagnant as teammates just looked to get Dantley the ball.

Well, as I keep saying, as an outsider to the US, getting my hands on games were a lot easier than getting off-court material. Especially off-court material that did not make the highlights. If you have any about this topic, please share with me. I'd like to see them.


Well first thing I want to say is that even when I'm vehement about stuff like this I can admit there's much I don't know, so I don't want to talk like you'd agree with me if you just knew all the things I've heard over time. I might just be wrong.

But here's some stuff.

From Sports Illustrated in 1979:

Journey's End for AD? His Fourth Team in Four Seasons should be Adrian Dantley's Last - unless, of course, the struggling Utah Jazz, like the Braves, Pacers, and Lakers, up-and-trade him too.

If Dantley is puzzled by his forced march around the NBA, he isn't the only one. "He's a great player and we worked hard to get him," says Utah General Manager Frank Layden. "Three other teams made serious mistakes about him."


On the whole, Wilkes has never been either the scorer or rebounder Dantley is, so eyebrows were raised when Wilkes was kept and Dantley was let go. "I don't think anybody in the league thinks Wilkes is a better player than Dantley," says Utah Coach Tom Nissalke. "I think they made a real mistake with A.D."


In the manner of all good wheeler-dealers, Layden can't help gloating over the steal he got in Dantley. "I think his market value right now is much greater than it was three months ago," Layden says. "We could get a lot more than Spencer Haywood for him now. But, of course, Adrian's not going anywhere. Right after he got to Salt Lake City a rumor went around that we were thinking of trading him, so I went to Adrian and told him there's no way we'd trade him. We want to build around him. We want Adrian Dantley to finish his career here."


(Worth noting it was Jerry West that Layden & Nissalke was accusing of making this mistake.)

A retrospective on '83-84:

‘You gotta have heart’: The Utah Jazz’s first playoff run was their most important. Here’s why.

“Frank did a masterful job of coaching and making everybody buy in to what he was doing. And it resulted in winning a division and having a banner raised,” Griffith said. “So to me, that was probably the foundation of the Jazz’s playoff success. That made us relevant, that made the fans realize that, ‘Hey, we’ve got a good team here.’ It woke everybody up in the NBA.”


(Leydon, who had only been GM before, was now coach, and won NBA Coach of the Year this year.)

From 1986:

Dantley Is Relieved To Finally Leave Utah

Dantley's problems with Layden began in earnest the following season. During Dantley's preseason holdout for a new contract, Layden, who also serves as the team's general manager, accused Dantley of "trying to hold the team hostage," and stripped him of his position as team captain.

Late last season, the two clashed again after Dantley defended then-rookie Karl Malone in a locker room altercation with Layden. A short time later, Layden suspended Dantley for one game, reinstating him only after a lengthy meeting with team officials. After his reinstatement, Dantley held a news conference explaining his position in the situation, an action that infuriated Layden.


(I'll be the first to say that Layden being furious may just be about Layden having anger issues, but of course if the team had been winning while this was happening, things may play out differently.)

To 1988:

TIRED OF ALL THAT JAZZ
COACH FRANK LAY DEN, WHO MADE A POOR NBA TEAM A GOOD ONE, QUIT BECAUSE THE GAME CEASED BEING FUN


Why did Layden quit when everything seemed to be going so well? "The game actually consumes you," he says. "You are no longer in charge of your life. After a while, the ball dribbles you. I decided I'd have more fun hitting golf balls in Palm Springs."

Says Jazz general manager Dave Checketts ruefully, "Finally, at last, we have built a team that has credibility and respectability, and the sucker bails out on me." Karl Malone, the Jazz's All-Star forward, told SI's Steve Rushin, "Frank is one of the greatest coaches and motivators in the game, and he just hangs it up. I already miss him. I dedicate the rest of my career to him." The Mailman is now wearing basketball shoes with FRANK printed on each heel.


Layden's wife, Barbara, says, "One night Frank came home and asked me, "What happened to the dignity I had in this wonderful game? I'm so unhappy." Fans are really cruel. I just can't imagine getting so upset that you would spit on someone over a game."


The second major reason Layden quit is Adrian Dantley, which may seem strange considering that Dantley has been with Detroit since the start of the 1986-87 season. But before the 1984-85 season, Dantley wanted to renegotiate his Jazz contract, which still had a year to run at $550,000. He refused to come to training camp until it was done. Layden, taking a firm stand, said that inasmuch as he had a valid contract, Dantley would have to play, and then discussions could begin. Dantley missed camp, nine preseason games and six regular-season games. He showed up when Sam Battistone, then the club's owner, undermined Layden by acceding to Dantley's demands. Last week Battistone admitted, "I'm sure it was difficult for Frank."

Checketts says Layden "was never the same" after that. A year later the Jazz traded Dantley. Most Jazz insiders have little doubt that the Dantley deal was the beginning of the end for Layden, who felt he held the moral high ground and that it was ripped from under him. Current owner Larry Miller says that the Dantley experience "soured" Layden on the business aspects of pro ball.

3. Despite people saying as Dantley went along that his previous teams clearly made a mistake letting him go, history didn't really seem to prove this correct and meanwhile those who acquired Dantley seemed to go from "We got an amazing steal!" to trading him as a matter of course.


To finish up here: It's unfair to attribute Dantley with being so problematic that he'd drive any coach out of basketball, but what's absolutely the case is that Layden built everything around Dantley for years and over time he soured on Dantley and this was part and parcel to the entire experience souring on him.

The man who drafted Stockton & Malone and clearly believed in them both would hire Jerry Sloan as the new coach and step back into the shadows serving as Utah Jazz President through 1999.

Odinn21 wrote:
I'll also say: You say he didn't hold the ball too much, but he certainly did at times. Was it as big of an issue as it was made out to be? I don't know, but it happened.

Oh, like any other ISO scorers, he sure did at times. He did not do it long enough for to earn such reputation though. That was how I intended. It was not to say it did not happen. For example Carmelo Anthony held the ball far more than Dantley did but he does not have a reputation for it as much as Dantley has.


I think this is mostly about differences in era. Lord knows I've been talking about what's wrong with Melo as a scorer for forever.

Odinn21 wrote:
And there's the matter that Dantley clearly had tunnel vision issues. It wasn't even just him going into his scoring attempt and forcing a tough shot (which he'd hit better than most), but him wandering around with the ball looking to find a scoring attempt when his initial move was stymied.

I certainly agree with this. For a player that his first instinct was to score from the low post, he was like Olajuwon before Rudy T in this regard (but Dantley was not the defender Olajuwon was of course, lol).


Yeah and it makes sense to ask what Dantley could do with a bunch of 3-point shooters around him.

Odinn21 wrote:
Dantley was willing to pass out of double teams, but seems like a case of a volume scorer who didn't make attacking passes in those circumstances so much as he passed it out for a reset.

Saying all this, I want to say again: I don't know exactly how much this hurt his teams, and I also don't know how much better things could have been with Dantley's teams with better offensive strategy and fitting teammates.

Dantley seems like he may be a guy who truly never had offensive superstar impact creating elite team offense in reality, but could have gotten there if better utilized.

Looking at Harden under D'Antoni's coaching, I think Dantley would be one of the most benefited players from more coaching tools. In terms of his strengths and weaknesses, he was underutilized in some aspects or was utilized totally wrong.


Well, thing is Harden was quite clearly the smartest man on the floor back when he was on OKC. I still remember Jeff Van Gundy frothing at the mouth just gushing how good this 6th man was at a time when the basketball world was still thinking of Harden as a disappointment as a mere bench player on the Durant/Westbrook Thunder.

While I think D'Antoni could have done good things with Dantley, Dantley was no Harden.

Odinn21 wrote:
At the same time: You can't argue that his teams weren't trying to feature him. The Jazz were trying to build around him as their franchise player for more than half a decade, with the same GM (Layden) who basically bet his career on Dantley right from the start and would eventually take over as coach trying to make it all work. How did it end? With Layden cutting his losses with Dantley and successfully building a true contender with his next group. And with Dantley feeling like he'd been treated badly by Layden despite Layden trying to build everything around him for years.

This also depends on the coach. Popovich tried to build a team around Duncan and did one hell of a job. Saunders tried to build a team around Garnett and he did not do well in that regard.
I don't think it's given that Layden did a good job with Dantley. Like I said, I do not know much about the team's situation. Just voicing my scepticism around this premise. It may be true and it also may not be true.


Well, Layden was the only GM ever to decide to make Dantley his franchise player, and as noted, when he took over at coach, he won Coach of the Year. Add in that as GM he was busy acquiring Stockton & Malone and the Jazz would continue to have him be the big basketball boss in the shadows all through their glory years in the '90s and I think what we've got to say is that Layden was smarter than most coaches/GMs of the day and gave Dantley more opportunity than anyone else.

For him to end up souring so badly on Dantley is pretty sad given all of this. He surely didn't sour on Stockton & Malone the same way.

Odinn21 wrote:
In the end, the reason why Dantley got traded from team to team was quite clearly because he never had the kind of offensive impact his volume & efficiency would indicate. Full stop. People back then saw those stats too. They weren't missing it. They were trying and it wasn't working that well. We might be able to, if we had all the granular data, pinpoint all of the reasons why Dantley just got unlucky, but as NBA fans we're used to top guys being so good we rarely have to dive into these details to justify players. Chances are, there was a hitch in the giddy up.

As for my Top 5, I'm going to chew on it further, but I'll say this:

I think it's clear that up to a certain point Dantley was the Jazz GOAT. Nobody from the '70s need apply.

But I struggle putting Dantley ahead of Eaton, one sided specialist who actually was the most valuable player of his generation at his side of the court. I might find that on a peak basis I like Dantley's best year better than Eaton's, but Dantley's offense never had the kind of impact Eaton's defense did - from anything I've seen - and that's just how it goes.

Lack of available data about him is one of the reasons why it's so hard to agree when the topic is Dantley. But I'll say this, if his impact in the sense we usually take matched his efficiency, especially on that scoring volume, he'd probably a top 25 ever. It's obvious that he isn't. But I also do not see the point of being overly critical of him because those critics usually too much imo.


So, you're starting from the stats you trust and then you're rounding down based on lack of team success, etc.

I'd be more likely to look at it in terms of whether I'm confident that Dantley as he was playing was able to be a true high-ceiling raiser. If in the end you're talking about with Dantley as a floor-raiser who can lead a good but not great offense, then to me, that's what he was, at least in the game at the time.

I'll also say that it does strike me that Utah basically represented "the most things going right" for Dantley, and still stuff was going wrong. It makes me look at those other places he played and think "Yeah, they saw something it's hard for us to see."

I want to go back to the Lakers here for a second:

I think the apparently simplest answer to the confusion there was that West understood that with a Kareem led team, they needed an off-ball player like Wilkes more so than an on-ball scorer like Dantley. Taken just with that information we can argue that Dantley was the better player but the worse fit.

However it has to be noted that the Lakers had would soon enough hand control of the offense to Magic Johnson. While it may seem unfair to compare Dantley to Magic - you don't have to be as good as Magic to be the best player the Jazz have ever had - I'd be inclined to say that if Dantley had just found a way to synergize with Kareem, they would have kept him.

And as a 6'5" guy who can put the ball on the floor, when you join Kareem's team, isn't it obvious that your job is to synergize with Kareem?

What happened instead is that Dantley got less playing time as the year went on as the team chose instead to play Wilkes more.

His time in LA thus sure seems to represent a failed audition with the best eyes the sport of basketball has ever produced (West) as judge.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#54 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 17, 2021 10:56 pm

Owly wrote:In the final para there's some stuff that doesn't necessarily follow.

Dantley's offense never had the kind of impact Eaton's defense did ... sure but Dantley's defense wasn't Eaton's offense.

-3.2 career offensive win shares. BPM, with replacement level figures to have OBPM replacement level at or circa -1. Eaton is -3.1. His PER, which includes some positive defensive stuff is below positional replacement level. The details of how aren't any prettier. Two sub -100 TS add seasons (despite just 13 and 11.3 usage), a career TOV% at 19.8.


Also do you have Bol as the same generation (and is "value" a minutes based thing). The Philly on-off based rtg approximates on this board (if accurate) suggested he really killed both offenses (-20.1 then -11.8 "offensive net", -14.0 then -17.1 "defensive net" for '91 and '92).


A good point, and I'll say that it's hard for me to see Eaton thriving in today's game, whereas I think Dantley could.

With that said:

The ceiling of what Dantley's teams showed on offense wasn't much above what you could do with Eaton at the time.

With Eaton, while he would not be a positive offensive player, you could have a good offense and the best defense in the league led by him.

If I can't expect an elite offense with Dantley because his primacy lowers ceilings, then it makes sense to prefer the guy who gives you a super-high defensive ceiling and doesn't prevent you from having a solid offense.

Re: Bol. I'd note that he only had one year playing more than 24 MPG, and it was his rookie season. Eaton was actually playing starter level minutes, and was leading the most dominant defenses in the league.

Couple other points:

- Eaton was an absolute bear of a man. Bol was a giraffe. Both could block shots, but Eaton could withstand force too.

- A recurring theme I look for is signs that the NBA "figured you out". You can't always tell because health and other circumstances can cloud what we can easily see, but once a guy makes a mark on the league, the league tries to adapt, and thus we don't really know what a guy truly is until we've seen the arms race against him mature.

So for example, as much as I've loved Jokic from the beginning, I was very cautious about being too high on him because I thought he might get figured out. What we've seen instead is that he's the one who figures things out.

By contrast, much as I love Artis Gilmore, I think the simplest explanation for his dramatic loss in impact over time is that teams just learned to game plan against him. Yes he lost youthful explosion, and yes he remained a net positive for a long time, but opponents figured out over time what you could and couldn't do against him and this mitigated his imact.

I wonder about all three Bol, Eaton, and Dantley along these lines. I think it's quite clear that teams played with conscious awareness of all of these guys, so it's just a question of how effective they were in finding mitigating techniques against these guys.

While Dantley was certainly not the least of these players, he's the center of this discussion and I think it's quite clear that teams knew that if they let Dantley get the ball on the interior he was a bucket, so they adjusted their defense accordingly. It had to help some, but it might have helped more than we tend to realize.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#55 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 17, 2021 11:09 pm

70sFan wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote: I think it is worth asking if Dantley could have been as good or better offensively with a Kawhi-like scheme around him, and teammates like Kawhi had.

It's critical to ask that, because Dantley didn't have as good teammates as Kawhi who never played even with average supporting cast. It's not like Dantley sucked in Detroit or Lakers and he wasn't in his prime then.

For all this talk of how he couldn't play next to talented players, he did fairly well in Pistons and Lakers clearly missed him in 1979 when he missed games - in 60 games he played in, Lakers were 37-23 (51 wins pace) but without him they were 10-12 (37 wins pace). Nobody relevant missed significant time among Lakers rotation other than him. Their offense got visibly worse without him and he played next to Kareem, which was supposedly a bad fit (I'm not sure I agree based on games I've seen).

Dantley had his share of faults, but criticism he takes is getting way too far. Some people talk about him like he wasn't even average player, which is ridiculous. He peaked as one of the best players in the league in 1984.

I wonder why nobody questions King's impact at the same time, his teams were usually far worse offensively than 1984 Jazz.


Well, we can ask about the similarities and differences in his situation compared to Kawhi, but I'm not sure if we'll get clear answers. It's hard to know. And I say that for myself on the skeptical side. I may be too low on AD.

One thing I'd note is that there's also a quote from West in '77 marveling at Dantley and saying he should have been the first pick in the draft, and then two years later he's trading him away to the Jazz who can't believe he chose Wilkes over Dantley. I understand looking at the pure W/L records you can make a case that Dantley was fitting in well on the Lakers, but I have a real hard time buying that given my respect for West and the Lakers subsequent success.

I might ask this: What plays can you show from Dantley that impressed you where he was not the one shooting? And while I'm sure there have to be some good passes in there to Kareem, to me it just makes so much sense that pairing Kareem with a volume scorer with tunnel vision won't give you the highest ceiling.

Re: Pistons. I mean, I've already talked about it some, but there is the matter that saying "Well they'd have still won titles even if they hadn't kicked Dantley to the curb", even if true, isn't the most resounding praise a guy's ever been given. The fact of the matter is that the Pistons, like the Lakers and Jazz before them (to say nothing of the teams before the Lakers), decided they'd be better of getting rid of Dantley and not replacing him with anyone with the same kind of volume scoring talent, and in each case, hard to argue with the results.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#56 » by Djoker » Tue May 18, 2021 12:52 am

1. 1996-1997 Karl Malone

Easy choice IMO.

2. 1991-1992 John Stockton

Not super confident of this pick and I don't think Stockton had a historic peak but he was still a really good floor general who could shoot the ball pretty well, pressure the defense, and play defense. He's worse than his raw stats and his assists overrate his playmaking ability but he was still a really great player.

3. 1983-1984 Adrian Dantley

Guy was a great scorer with questionable intangibles. I still can't deny his raw talent. The combination of volume and efficiency that this man achieved was rarely replicated in the entire history of the NBA.

4. 2019-2020 Donovan Mitchell

He's a young player and one playoff series is probably clouding my judgment here somewhat but the man is a sensational talent with his speed, athleticism and relentlessness. If he further improves his shooting, I can't see how he isn't an all time great.

5. 2019-2020 Rudy Gobert

Fantastic defensive big man.

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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#57 » by Doctor MJ » Tue May 18, 2021 4:23 am

1. '96-97 Karl Malone

2. '96-97 John Stockton

3. '95-96 Jeff Hornacek

4. '83-84 Adrian Dantley

5. '16-17 Rudy Gobert

Hoom okay. So what did I end up doing here?

Well, I was talking about Dantley vs Eaton. In the end I sided with '83-84 Dantley ahead of any by Eaton, then couldn't justify Eaton over Gobert.

Gobert, incidentally, will likely climb once '20-21 is in the books, but it was tough between him, Eaton, Kirilenko & Deron for the last spot here.

Clearly the big WTF is Hornacek here, but this is that same issue Dantley had in his career.

Just as the Lakers seem like they were right in picking Wilkes over Dantley, I think clearly the '90s Jazz would prefer Hornacek over Dantley. In fact, when you compare Hornacek to Wilkes, Hornacek looks like an improvement. I simply have to conclude that I think Hornacek is a better bet for being valuable on a serious title contender than Dantley is.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#58 » by Jaivl » Tue May 18, 2021 7:53 am

Excuse me, I'm late! Have not read the thread yet, hope to get involved again on the next few days.

1) 1993 K. Malone (+4.75)

You can't really go wrong here, like 4-5 seasons to pick from. I choose 1993 for... no real reason, really.

2) 1991 J. Stockton (+3.75)

Probably a bit worse of a shooter than his later years, but still clocked 3 3pg at .400 on the postseason. Younger legs, seems quicker, a bit more explosive, even more of a dynamic terror on defense than in his late prime. I like the extra scoring agression. Could go higher on him, honestly.

3) 2004 A. Kirilenko (+3.50)
4) 1984 A. Dantley (+3.50)
5) 2020 R. Gobert (+3.50)

Pick-em next to D-Will, maybe even Hornacek too. 2021 Gobert would have been ahead (and up to #2 IMO). I reeeeally like Kirilenko, an uber-role player who actually could somewhat lead a decent-ish offense as well (one point below average in 04 with a terrible roster), and probably even better defensively than the actual DPOY that year. 2005 was maybe even better, but injuries.
Dantley is always a very tough player to rate for reasons known to everyone (MONSTER scorer, dubious ancillary skills, weak-ish impact footprint). I'm probably overrating his impact, or maybe I'm underrating it, but Iverson-tier seems fine with me.
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#59 » by HeartBreakKid » Tue May 18, 2021 8:02 am

Jaivl wrote:Excuse me, I'm late! Have not read the thread yet, hope to get involved again on the next few days.

1) 1993 K. Malone (+4.75)

You can't really go wrong here, like 4-5 seasons to pick from. I choose 1993 for... no real reason, really.

2) 1991 J. Stockton (+3.75)

Probably a bit worse of a shooter than his later years, but still clocked 3 3pg at .400 on the postseason. Younger legs, seems quicker, a bit more explosive, even more of a dynamic terror on defense than in his late prime. I like the extra scoring agression. Could go higher on him, honestly.

3) 2004 A. Kirilenko (+3.50)
4) 1984 A. Dantley (+3.50)
5) 2020 R. Gobert (+3.50)

Pick-em next to D-Will, maybe even Hornacek too. 2021 Gobert would have been ahead (and up to #2 IMO). I reeeeally like Kirilenko, an uber-role player who actually could somewhat lead a decent-ish offense as well (one point below average in 04 with a terrible roster), and probably even better defensively than the actual DPOY that year. 2005 was maybe even better, but injuries.
Dantley is always a very tough player to rate for reasons known to everyone (MONSTER scorer, dubious ancillary skills, weak-ish impact footprint). I'm probably overrating his impact, or maybe I'm underrating it, but Iverson-tier seems fine with me.

That probably goes for at least 5 other players. :wink:
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Odinn21
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Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Jazz 

Post#60 » by Odinn21 » Tue May 18, 2021 10:27 am

Doctor MJ wrote:...

First, thanks a lot for the in depth response. :beer:

About the Dantley-Layden relationship, I do not know much about the NBA contract disputes in the '80s. Another major contract dispute was between Gus Williams and the Sonics. I'd prefer just knowing what happened without forming an opinion about it in these instances because there's no outright right or wrong in these situations and even if there's, I don't think the media goes/went far enough to properly uncover those situations.

Dantley asking for more money certainly caused a trouble but I'm highly sceptical that it's totally on one party, Dantley. I don't think it'd be wrong for an All-Star or superstar level player asking for more money when average player salary was 300k, the top 10 highest had an average of 1.5m and he was making 515k and ranked around 30-35. I looked at first salary cap season 1984-85 for these numbers. Calvin Natt earned more than Dantley in that season with 708k.

Coaching is one of the things I would consider with only related time frame. I would not interpolate Layden doing a good job by getting Malone and Stockton to Dantley's situation. This is not some player with a reliable metric over time. It's about human condition which is pretty intangible. Though like I said, I just prefer to know. I'm not saying these as being pro-Dantley or anything. The way I see it, this is a vague situation with insufficient info about it to get a healthy opinion. I wouldn't put it on anybody.
A quick example; Pat Riley is a legit goat head coach candidate, and he did not do a good job in Miami with Zo and Hardaway for instance. So, his situation with Ewing in NY or with Zo in Miami disproves the other?

I gained a lot of knowledge, but I guess I'm still sceptical about putting that situation on a person to single him out.

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I did not mention D'Antoni-Harden as Dantley was Harden. I just simply offered an example about a coach with such mind offering a huge difference.

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Layden was the only coach/GM to take Dantley as a franchise player. But the situations and timelines matter. Dantley was 22, 23 yo player on a team with Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in LA. Then he arrived Utah at his 24. Played 7 seasons for the team. Then he was traded to Detroit which also had their franchise player in Zeke and Dantley was at his 31. I mean it's not like Dantley jumped from an available ship for a new franchise player to another ship in the middle of his prime and Layden was the only taker.

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I'll also say that it does strike me that Utah basically represented "the most things going right" for Dantley, and still stuff was going wrong.

I do not agree with this because in the games I got to watch, I never had this impression that the team was properly built around Dantley to succeed and Dantley was failing to make a proper impact. I just saw a team badly constructured around a high volume scorer.

I agree with your conclusion on Wilkes-Dantley in LA. Though I do not agree with the one with Magic. On-ball duties one can expect from a non-ball handling F and from a primary ball-handler are totally different.

West acted on his team's best interests and Dantley did not fit in there. But the way you put it is kicking Dantley down a bit too much. There are instances a player not succeeding in certain situations and also being better than that. I don't know if you take Dantley as one of them but I do.

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By the way, we have nearly 4 and a half hours left on the clock for this one.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.

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