Post#51 » by f4p » Wed Aug 31, 2022 4:51 pm
i haven't had a chance to read this thread, but i assume it's not dissimilar from the last: it's weird to see the people that get ranked over harden. people without rings, people with seemingly even more playoff drop-off. people who made it further than ever only after joining harden.
kevin durant showed even less playoff resiliency in OKC than harden over his career, but we're supposed to be impressed because he did well when life was easy? if steph and KD are so much better, why was 2018 looking really bad for them and why was 2019 super close even with chris paul looking like crap for most of the series? was it really pj tucker holding it together? the one time harden got a super team, he had a 75 TS% in his one healthy playoff round. this board loves creation abilities when tied to other offensive skills but harden's don't seem as important (see the Nets for what it meant). was KD really better in the regular season than 2017-2020 harden?
chris paul never saw the good side of the 2nd round until he joined harden. he has blown not 1, not 2, not 3, not 4, but 5 2-0 series leads in his career (threw in a 3-1 for good measure). 9-9 as an SRS favorites in the playoffs, which is amongst the worst marks ever (10-3 for harden). even 5-5 as a +2 SRS favorite, which is the worst number i saw other than Oscar, and even then that's only if you factor out the Kareem years (and even then it was only 1-2 so a smaller sample). for pure favorites, only t-mac (0%) and pre-Kareem Oscar (33%) are lower with dominique (50%) tied.
westbrook? won't rehash the debate that he wasn't even better than harden in 2017, which would be maybe harden's 4th best regular season, but he doesn't even have the corroborating surrounding seasons that people have been looking for even in a peaks project. the claim was that he was a high volume, moderate efficiency guy who couldn't translate this style to having better teammates seemed to be perfectly backed up in subsequent seasons where his team basically did no better with paul george and didn't get out of the 1st round. even his insane 2017 playoff stats don't even grade out as amazing as you would think in a volume stat like PER (27.4). the fact he never got out of the 1st round without durant or harden (and he didn't really play the 1st round) makes it weird to pick him over a guy who has basically had the 2nd round as his floor for 8 years and who basically only loses to the champion or 60+/70+ win teams.
also, since i saw luka mentioned in the previous round, i'm starting to think i should have started thinking of him earlier. from the previous thread, it seemed like he was already getting the kawhi nit-pick everything and ignore what happened treatement. but he's literally the leading scorer in playoff history and that list is basically MJ with a huge lead over 2nd place. huge 1st rounds against the clippers, where he was putting up 40 point triple doubles with game winners. huge series against a 64 win #1 seed where he basically just clowned them in a game 7, seeming to thrive from the tip off like it was a fun challenge while they all shrunk in the moment (who was their leader again?), with him scoring 30 in the 1st half, more than the suns. then he played the #1 defense in the league and was putting up 30 and 40 point massive games and giving them everything they wanted. maybe a few dings for slow starts in the regular season, but how much did phoenix's fast start help them? luka is probably next on my list, and frankly, only because i hadn't started considering him due to recency bias (and because my picks never come off the board so i'd probably have luka higher in an absolute sense). he's going to be a top 15 minimum and probably top 10 guy in history and his peak being super low will look weird in the future.
1. 1983 Moses Malone (alternate 1982)
Fo Fo Fo, blah blah blah.
Dominated the regular season, dominated the playoffs for one of the best teams ever. Dr J didn't even play well in the playoffs, so if there was ever going to be a test of the "Moses is just joining a great team, he's not really that good", then this would be it. And well, the 12-1 record doesn't lie. But his PIPM is low?
2. 2011 Dirk Nowitzki
In some ways doesn't feel as good as 2006, with the epic Spurs series and being great against the Suns. But in one finals he crumbled, while in 2011 he was great. He might have had the GOAT clutch playoffs. I wanna say he had a 90+ TS% in the clutch through the WCF. Maybe it was a few games into the WCF, I don't know, but it felt like he never missed a shot in the clutch in those playoffs. Faced down the Heatles and came out on top. Though it wasn't actually a particularly great series compared to the rest of the playoffs, he still seemed amazing in the clutch. Weight of the world and his legacy on the line with this being the last realistic shot and he came through.
3. 2019 James Harden (alternate 2018, then 2020)
2018 summary: Led league in PER, WS, WS48, BPM, team easily won the most games, won MVP. When healthy, Rockets went an incredible 44-5 with a +11.0 SRS when Harden and Paul played (42-3 and +12.0 when Harden/CP3/Capela played). Dominated first 2 rounds and then got up 3-2 on a seemingly unbeatable team that went 28-3 in the playoffs in 2017 and 2018 when not facing the Rockets, including easy trouncings of prime Lebron. And arguably only lost because Chris Paul got hurt and the Rockets were down to a 5.5 man rotation for the last 2 games, where Harden still averaged 32/7.5/6.5 in games where his team averaged 88.5 ppg. Anybody else is beloved for this amazing season and heroic challenge of Goliath. then followed it up with...
Greatest scoring season in history per 100. Took an 11-14 team that cratered at the beginning of the season because the owner got cheap and thought Michael Carter Williams and Carmelo Anthony could replace Trevor Ariza and Luc Mbah-a-moute (narrator: they couldn't). I was at opening night when we lost by a million. I knew we would do nothing until we got rid of them. Well, it took a few extra games after we got rid of them, but then The Unguardable Tour started. 32 consecutive games of 30+ points, just mind-boggling. A total of a 46 game stretch averaging 39.7/7.0/7.3 where the rockets went 33-13 after looking out of it and with guys in and out of the lineup. Seriously, read that again. 39.7 ppg for 46 straight games, doing way more winning than 1987 Jordan or 2006 Kobe.
On January 14th and 16th, Harden I believe became the first person since Wilt to score 57+ in back to back games. On March 20th and 22nd, James Harden became the first person since James Harden to score 57+ in back to back games. Insane how easy he made scoring look. You'd just look up and he'd have 31 with 4 minutes to go in the 3rd and you'd barely remember him being hot because it was just a normal night. Eventually made the playoffs and put up 35/7/5.5 against the Warriors in arguably his best series ever (why I choose it over 2018). Played toe to toe with KD, who was on fire, and easily outplayed Steph. Did everything he could with Chris Paul not looking great. An amazing season. Again, anyone but Harden has this season and people are drooling over it.