Owly wrote:OhayoKD wrote:Owly wrote:Seen it before (so not presently looking to rewatch, if you want to point something out that's fine).
Krause was tight (with Jerry R's money ... some think Jerry R is tight). He made some ... self-interested ... suggestions (supposedly suggested to Majerle he should make his stock slip so he could be picked up in ... like the third round or something ... Majerle ... rightly was ... again apparently ... like "and this benefits me ... how?" and passed. All paraphrased and otoh. So that JK would want to try to pay him like an 8th pick seems entirely plausible. Don't suspect otoh that he took less because of it (now there's no rookie scale so he could have got less than later picks) and if he did I'd say that's on him and his agent ... and they would have some leverage ... rookie holdouts were not unheard of and at the time some teams were hoping Robinson would use his military obligations to re-enter the draft to make his way to them. Otoh Krause (otoh, could have been Jerry R, but think it''s Krause) self-reported as saying he begged Pippen not to take it and that the Bulls wouldn't renegotiate. That's probably hyperbole on the former (and I don't think Krause is above reproach as a source) but ... this still very much seems like his choices. Were the Bulls more hard-line on re-negotiations with Pippen than other teams with stars ... yes. Did that cost them goodwill with him ... yes (though he would return). Were there reasonable motivations to opt for security ... probably, yes ... but that's his choice and he's the one best informed about that ... very unfortunate but not the Bulls' problem if Pippen takes the contracts and they're willing to live with some resentment.
My understanding is Pippen twice sacrificed freedom to maximize total cash by betting on himself (and changes in market) for longer term contract giving greater security).
Do I think this constitutes exploitation ... no (and the Bulls would have been on the hook for more cash if he failed than him going on shorter contracts). Was Toni coveted by Krause ... yes. Was he putting more effort into getting a new piece than keeping old one's happy? Yes. Per above is there an indication that Kukoc is a replacement ... not really.
So I'm open to watching again or checking other sources but I'd stand by what I said as of right now.
I'm not sure that (if I'm reading you correctly) that Krause's tightness was an anchor that affected Pippen on court. I guess Krause pursuing Kukoc might have impacted the sit-down but I'm not sure Krause did anything wrong in pursuing Kukoc.
Don't want to get into morality weeds honestly. My larger point is there was a bunch odd off-court drama that wouldn't typically happen. If it's Pippen's decision, fine, but that doesn't change that there were external factors outside of Pippen that allowed that scenario(and Pippen's response) to happen in the first place.
Simply put, if Pippen is on another team, most of this probably doesn't happen anyway. If you are only interested in assessing Pippen's capacity as a team-leader on the 90's Bulls, cool. If not, then consider that the amount of off-court hostility present was unusual(at this point teams usually combust) and all of it is not going to show up in every single scenario Pippen could play in. IOW, 94/95 can be argued to be a low-end for what Pippen is capable of as the best player on a team. If it's plausible that such drama would not have occurred had he just been drafted by the first team that was planning to pick him or one of his siblings didn't experience life-long paralysis, then Pippen and the team he's leading potentially performs better in other situations
The Bulls best player was threatening to leave for consecutive seasons and went ahead and filed a trade request. The Bulls still did pretty well(58-win srs 1 year, 53-win srs with second best player leaving). Doing that well in such a scenario establishes a pretty high floor for a Pippen-led team(or at least Pippen with whatever amount of help he had in Chicago)
Okay well without wanting to go too into the weeds either
1) I'd stand by all I said regarding "replacement" and "exploitation". And I suppose that I'm not sure that the off court stuff was an anchor on it.
2) Bulls as the low end outcome seems very ... bullish (pun semi-intentional). First though, I'm very much not one of those "MJ made Pippen" guys. But the idea that this was the worst possible scenario ... maybe there's intended to be nuance because we're talking about one (or two, I'd read the slash as "the 94-95 season" but could be both) but I'd say it's all part of a package and the issues are created earlier. So unless this is specific to "we take Pippen's development as a given and then trade him immediately as MJ retires ..." which isn't a line of thinking that seems optimal to me...
Things that helped Scottie about the Bulls
1) The Bulls were invested in him. They gave him long contracts. They traded up to get him. They knew he was going to be around and they actively persued him.
1a) They were invested in him ... when others might not have been. Krause likes to make a big deal of discovering guys. They traded up so either their interest leaked or others were plausibly interested. That said the narrative story of Pippen emphasizes he started as equipment manager, didn't go to a big school, grew taller but even on draft night the announcer talk about how you might not have heard of Scot Pippen. It's somewhat possible that without Krause's interest he goes lower.
2) Krause was invested in him. See above. It suited him for one of his picks ... an unheralded one ... to be a star, especially given MJ wasn't "his".
3) Bulls weren't completely "win now". Krause dumped (distressed) assets for additional picks that became Pippen, King, Armstrong, (maybe one could add Oakley, where Bulls sent Whatley to get the pick they wanted). For the most part their moves suggested they saw their timeline as the team of the 90s (Ooakley out for Cartwright the obvious exception).
All the above could mean greater minutes and resource investment into developing Pippen. And he was not a finished product on arrival by any means.
3) Coaching: Don't claim to know the ins and outs of staff as development coaches. But I'd guess Jackson as part of the team and then his team (Winter, Bach) were pretty solid.
4) Fit: I'd be inclined to think Pippen looks worse if his early evaluation and effort is with him requiring more focus on offense and perception is guided by his capacity as an offensive "alpha" or similar.
It's super noisy. We're dealing with hypotheticals about human beings. I don't think there's one single, specific outcome even if we were to say Pippen lands on team X at this pick. And I'm avoiding the MJ "made" him stuff. I do think given the vast array of possible outcomes and my uncertainty that there was any great cost on court to the friction with the organization (and honestly the main incident ... ignoring a coach's instruction and sitting out when you don't get the play called for you ... is hard not to say was wrong, childish, on him etc ... it's one game, he was forgiven, they won ... it doesn't end up mattering but ... [and it's not like Kukoc wasn't a better shooter and hadn't taken and made clutch buzzer beaters earlier in the season - it shouldn't have been a a surprise]) ... it would just seem like a surprise to me is there weren't many worse situations where he doesn't pan out as well.
I'm not even on the Kawhi-Spurs thing where "he's so lucky to be with a good organization". These two were good players, not everyone developed as they did etc. But I don't really see a good argument for "low-end" (not really convinced it's low-side, if forced to guess based on some of the above [plus maybe some regression to the mean for stars in general, e.g. maybe they land on a cheap club with weak medical staff, or no one cares] I think I'd tilt higher side, granting significant uncertainty). At the margins too, there's an argument that his legacy and perception benefits substantially from being on the Bulls and that that is in play in how we perceive his peak and perceived it at the time. He's better and more aggressive but could could I see a scenario with (more offenisvely active) McKey comp being floated in some scenarios ... it doesn't seem that wild (as an opinion that could bet thrown out ... could be worse if his offense develops less well) - and if that were a perspective, he'd clearly be being viewed as a very different tier than he is or was after titles.
That's how it comes to me at the moment anyhow. Don't have time to develop/revise/edit further. This is otoh.
I'm not concerned with why or how Pippen became the player he is and I'm not sure why we're getting into that. I'm concerned with Pippen the player and how he would do on different teams. The point wasn't "well if we replace pippen with this other version of pippen he'd be better". Take Pippen, as he was, and then answer these two questions:
1. Would Pippen as the no.1 going to have trade-request inducing beef with the fo and his "help" on every single team he played on every single year?
2. Does a team's best player actively beefing with management help or hurt team performance. Does a team's best player filing a trade request help or hurt team performance?
If the answer to 1 is no and the answer to 2 is yes, then 94/95 does not demonstrate the full capacity of what Pippen could do as a no.1. And if Pippen was not at full capacity in Chicago and Chicago still played 58-win ball with their best two players and 53-win ball without their second best player.
"How would he develop" isn't really relevant