The Lebron Thread (Pt. 2)

[IG2]

LeBron's been missing a lot of around the basket shots he'd usually make though.

Something I've noticed in his career is that he's really mediocre at finishing after getting an offensive rebound. Don't know why that is, but he blows a lot of tip-ins/putbacks and it has been a career-long thing for him.

[moses22]

Lebron was playing out of this world in February and his stats were amazing but in march his stats are really on the decline...it's a shame that when you look back at his raw stats it won't really show how great of a season he had

[colts18]

18/10/5 in the last 18 minutes of the game. 6 offensive rebounds.

LeBron had 19/10/7 in the 2nd half. That's what Magic Johnson averaged per game during his career except with 1 extra assist.

[PCProductions]

Lebron completely commanded that game with amazing pick n rolls and good instincts on D. Also, I loved that heat check near the end of the 4th, reminded me of some of that 2009 Cleveland Lebron.

25 and counting... Amazing.

[SideshowBob]

Miami's season split in half. SRS adjusted for HCA

First 34 Games

Record: 23-11

111.1 ORTG (+5.5)
106.0 DRTG (+0.4)

+4.2 SRS

Lebron ON Court ORTG: 112.6
Lebron ON Court NET RTG: +7.2

Last 34 Games

Record 31-3

115.9 ORTG (+10.3)
104.3 DRTG (-1.3)

+10.5 SRS

Lebron ON Court ORTG: 119.7
Lebron ON Court NET RTG: +17.0

[Tim_Hardawayy]

Lebron completely commanded that game with amazing pick n rolls and good instincts on D. Also, I loved that heat check near the end of the 4th, reminded me of some of that 2009 Cleveland Lebron.

25 and counting... Amazing.

This is the best regular season game I've ever seen him play in Miami, if you count defense as well. He was calling things out on every other possession and covering insane distances with his help D, he's easily the best player in the NBA at closing on a 3-point shooter without taking himself out of the play.

He made every other player on the court look like they belonged in a lower league.

[SideshowBob]

Miami's season split in half. SRS adjusted for HCA

First 34 Games

Record: 23-11

111.1 ORTG (+5.5)
106.0 DRTG (+0.4)

+4.2 SRS

Lebron ON Court ORTG: 112.6
Lebron ON Court NET RTG: +7.2

Last 34 Games

Record 31-3

115.9 ORTG (+10.3)
104.3 DRTG (-1.3)

+10.5 SRS

Lebron ON Court ORTG: 119.7
Lebron ON Court NET RTG: +17.0

Now looking at Lebron's performance as a split.

First 34 Games

Code: Select all

MP    PTS    TRB    AST    STL    BLK    TOV   TS%    eFG%   GmSc   ORTG
38.6  26.0   8.4    6.9    1.5    0.9    2.9  .609   .576    22.8   119

Last 34 Games

Code: Select all

MP    PTS    TRB    AST    STL    BLK    TOV   TS%    eFG%   GmSc   ORTG
38.1  27.3   8.0    7.6    1.9    0.9    3.1  .650   .609    25.4   127

[SideshowBob]

Miami's performance during the streak.

Record: 25-0

116.2 ORTG (+10.6)
104.0 DRTG (-1.6)

+10.0 SRS

With Lebron ON the court

119.6 ORTG
102.7 DRTG

+16.9 Net

[toodles23]

Interesting to note is how "low" Miami's point differential has been during this win streak, it's only +11 ppg over their opponents. Seems like most teams that went on long 16+ game win streaks had differentials more in the 14-15 ppg range.

Not that it's bad or anything, that's a great number (obviously) and they're utterly destroying teams in crunch time, it's just interesting how they've done it without having many huge blowouts.

[SideshowBob]

Interesting to note is how "low" Miami's point differential has been during this win streak, it's only +11 ppg over their opponents. Seems like most teams that went on long 16+ game win streaks had differentials more in the 14-15 ppg range.

Not that it's bad or anything, that's a great number (obviously) and they're utterly destroying teams in crunch time, it's just interesting how they've done it without having many huge blowouts.

Yeah I was thinking the same thing. They're not giving themselves enough time to really create separation because they're playing games so close. Even teams on high single digit game winning streaks tend to hit the mid-teens in terms of MOV. They'll get to statpad against Charlotte tomorrow though.

SRS or MOV over this particular regular season doesn't seem to be very indicative for Miami though. They haven't managed to put offense and defense together consistently over a stretch of games yet, and I can't imagine they won't do so in the postseason. I think they're more truly a +11-12 SRS team than a +7 one.

[Mutnt]

Sideshow, do your thing

[SideshowBob]

Miami's season split in half. SRS adjusted for HCA

First 34 Games

Record: 23-11

111.1 ORTG (+5.5)
106.0 DRTG (+0.4)

+4.2 SRS

Lebron

Code: Select all

MP    PTS    TRB    AST    STL    BLK    TOV   TS%    eFG%   GmSc   ORTG
38.6  26.0   8.4    6.9    1.5    0.9    2.9  .609   .576    22.8   119

Last 35 Games

Record 32-3

116.0 ORTG (+10.4)
103.6 DRTG (-2.0)

+10.8 SRS

Lebron

Code: Select all

MP    PTS    TRB    AST    STL    BLK    TOV   TS%    eFG%   GmSc   ORTG
38.0  27.4   8.0    7.7    1.9    0.9    3.1  .655   .613    25.7   128

[SideshowBob]

He's kicked back into his February gear. 40.2 PER in his last 4 games. 39.2 in his last 5.

[toodles23]

He's kicked back into his February gear. 40.2 PER in his last 4 games. 39.2 in his last 5.

Looking like he might end up breaking that PER record after all. It's probably like 31.2 after this game?

Btw, Miami just needs to win 2 more games to lock up the #1 seed in the East.

[SideshowBob]

Between 31.3 and 31.4, haven't done the exact calculations. It's definitely a possibility that he takes it.

On another note. I'm really looking forward to just how high this Miami offense can go in the postseason. They're been at 116 for over half the season now, and it looks like this is the beginning of a 2.5 year regular season stretch where they sustain that level or higher. Considering the fact that the Big 3 + Battier/Allen are going to see their minutes go up in the postseason, I think there's a reasonable chance we see them hit or get really close to 120.

[SideshowBob]

Miami Offensive 4 Factors Breakdown

Code: Select all

Games        eFG%      ORB%      TOV%      FT/FGA         ORTG

1-34         54.1%     21.0%     13.3%    .224            111.1
35-69        55.7%     23.5%     12.3%    .228            116.0

Miami Defensive 4 Factors Breakdown

Code: Select all

Games        OppeFG%   DRB%      OppTOV%   OppFT/FGA      DRTG

1-34         48.5%     72.5%     12.9%    .203            106.1
35-69        49.0%     72.9%     15.4%    .208            103.6

[ardee]

Today was quite a sick game. He was playing February-level offense and he ramped it up defensively too.... It's like he can just choose to shoot 70-80% whenever he feels like

[mitrandil20]

in this game Bron cut to the rim conquering position pretty easily with his size and weigth, having and easy shot. Miami should try this play mor often: 4 players on a side, one pg/ball handler on the other, lebron cuts beasting his opponent, layup/dunk, and-one, championship.

[JordansBulls]

Today was quite a sick game. He was playing February-level offense and he ramped it up defensively too.... It's like he can just choose to shoot 70-80% whenever he feels like

If he played against Charlotte every day he would probably have like a 45 PER.

[TheOUTLAW]

In the clutch, Miami is outscoring opponents by approximately 34.6 points per 100 possessions this season by NBA.com's estimations. That's only the 2nd best figure in the last 5 seasons.

Here's the top 10 since 1996-97. See if you notice a trend.

2009 Cavaliers: +39.9
2013 Heat: +34.6
2011 Mavericks: +29.5
2007 Mavericks: +29.0
2006 Clippers: +27.1
2010 Cavaliers: +26.4
1998 Lakers: +26.2
1999 Magic: +25.7
2008 Cavaliers: +24.2
2004 Pacers: +23.4

http://stats.nba.com/leagueTeamClutch.html?sortField=NET_RATING&sortOrder=DES&PerMode=Totals&MeasureType=Advanced

That what was so fun about that 2009 Cavs team. No matter how far behind we might have been we knew that we'd have a shot to win it in the 4th. It's kind of fun having those non clutch players on your team.