(Lock Please) The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread - (Part 3)

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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#421 » by Heej » Tue May 9, 2023 12:51 pm

RRR3 wrote:
Heej wrote:
RRR3 wrote:Which 10 guys?

I don’t base where I rank Curry off his rings btw

Bron
Jordan
Kareem
Russell
Timmy
Magic
Hakeem
Shaq

All of those are locks imo.

Bird
Wilt
Kobe
West
Baylor
Walton (career likely ends up way different with 2010s medical advancements)
Dr J

This tier either had guys who performed just as well as Steph with comparable teammate and opponent luck or overall got way worse than median outcomes for their careers as far as environment goes while matching Steph in impact.

I look at guys based on EV. Plain and simple. If you simulate someone's career 1000x, over 30 timespans on 30 teams whose career was blessed with above average teammate EV. Steph is one of those guys who (coincidentally like Jordan) has easily experienced a top 10 percentile outcome as far as environment goes (there's easily a Bill Walton-esque timeline out there where he blows his ankles out and never sniffs the top 40).

Honestly Steph might have had the luckiest situation out of anyone on that entire list because of KD (which was responsible for Wiggins). Not to mention his freakish outlier opponent injury luck.

When you're comparing him to all time greats you need to look at the offensive mastery while also understanding he is getting hunted on defense more than ANY of them and has among the worst crunch time decision-making out of all the primary ballhandlers on the list.

Just goes to show how good he is because top 15 is stacked and he's right up there. But people saying top 5 are smoking crack and people saying top 10 lock are getting sucked up in recency bias and doing a poor job contextualizing historical player environments and where their environment ranks relative to baseline environments for all time greats.

Baylor? Seriously? He wasn't a good team player at all. And Walton's peak was amazing but he had 2 elite years, he's not even top 100 in total career value. Don't see how Kobe was better than Curry at all personally. Kobe isn't winning with the 2022 Warriors. Don't think Dr. J or West are either. I can't say Russell was better than Curry due to his offensive issues. I know Curry isn't a great defender but he's also a point guard and not a center. And he is the best offensive player of all time IMO.

Typo from being cracked out at 4 in the.morning. Baylor is definitely meant to be Big O who had below average teammate luck. Kobe was a legitimate 2 way guy who peaked during the toughest defensive time period in NBA history. Every title Curry wins Kobe is winning imo, and that 2015-19 defense is probably GOAT caliber if he replaces Curry

Dr J was proto LeBron from everything I've heard, and we never got to see him in in the NBA in his prime, and West's luck is more akin to LeBron's than Currys. Russell had similar teammate luck to Curry and vastly outperformed him. And I think his size and decision making ultimately holds him back from actually being the best offensive player all time in the playoffs otherwise why hasn't he led GOAT level playoff offenses despite having one of the best aggregate supporting casts ever offered to an all time great?

As I was saying, people calling him a top 10 lock were falling into recency bias. He's a top 15 guy with top 10 arguments. And the ones going top 5 will look even more insane if Lakers close this out.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#422 » by Greatness » Tue May 9, 2023 12:55 pm

I still don't think this series is over and the Lakers will have a hell of a time closing this Warriors team out. But if they do, I 100% believe they got past their toughest matchup remaining.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#423 » by rk2023 » Tue May 9, 2023 1:04 pm

Heej wrote:
As I was saying, people calling him a top 10 lock were falling into recency bias. He's a top 15 guy with top 10 arguments. And the ones going top 5 will look even more insane if Lakers close this out.


Bolded what I feel to be the most true, overall and overarching summary here. Think this is the most proper answer by far in evaluating Curry's career - and (1) this is no knack at him and (2) with how I view players, Curry can keep climbing as he builds some rather impressive longevity. At this point, I feel like he has a very good case to be on my Mt Rushmore for the guard position. Candidates for me in this regard are Jordan and Magic (locks imo), Kobe, West, Curry, Oscar. When factoring in career valuation (through impact, peak, prime consistency / body of work, skill-set), I feel like these six are comfortably over the rest.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#424 » by rk2023 » Tue May 9, 2023 1:06 pm

McBubbles wrote:Yaaaas, was extremely confident that Lakers would win an ultra close possession game, likely by 1. Just woke up to see they won by 3, wish I could have placed a bet.


Hit a Knicks Heat Parlay ($5 for a $26 payout) last night and figured I would try to chase the high with taking Lakers ML. That's certainly enough for me for the time being :lol: :lol: :lol:
Mogspan wrote:I think they see the super rare combo of high IQ with freakish athleticism and overrate the former a bit, kind of like a hot girl who is rather articulate being thought of as “super smart.” I don’t know kind of a weird analogy, but you catch my drift.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#425 » by dooki667 » Tue May 9, 2023 1:29 pm

Greatness wrote:
dooki667 wrote:
IG2 wrote:
He couldn't make a shot and is a shell in general but I thought LeBron's determination was huge in LA's multiple comebacks in this game. He poured his heart out on the floor today. Probably the most determined I've ever seen him, honestly.

Game 6 Boston and game 1 2018 finals for me

4th quarter of game 6 in the 2013 finals for me. People forget because of the two turnovers in the final minute and the Allen 3, but the entire quarter prior to that was a man playing the hardest, most determined basketball on both ends I've ever seen.

Yesss your absolutely right after he took the lead they had a close up of his face and you could see the intensity.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#426 » by Heej » Tue May 9, 2023 2:18 pm

dooki667 wrote:
Greatness wrote:
dooki667 wrote:[/b]
Game 6 Boston and game 1 2018 finals for me

4th quarter of game 6 in the 2013 finals for me. People forget because of the two turnovers in the final minute and the Allen 3, but the entire quarter prior to that was a man playing the hardest, most determined basketball on both ends I've ever seen.

Yesss your absolutely right after he took the lead they had a close up of his face and you could see the intensity.

Lol I remember when he got those TOs his legacy looked cooked once again. How many legacy games will this guy keep having lmao
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#427 » by Baski » Tue May 9, 2023 2:22 pm

Heej wrote:Can we invoke the "LeBron-ball" criticism card on Steph for spamming high pnrs and taking his teammates out of rhythm making Klay worse. It's only fair right.

I'm more disappointed that posters here were giving props to the Lakers role players instead of claiming it was the gravity of LeBron and culture he fosters that's allowed them to come up big this season. That's what a Curry Stan would do.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#428 » by JLei » Tue May 9, 2023 2:54 pm

ardee wrote:This Lakers unit feels like a team of destiny.

Things like this Lonnie Walker performance... They don't happen for teams that aren't on the pathway to something historic.

They will win this series, whether it's in 5 or 6, the Warriors don't look like they have any aces left to pull.

Both the Suns and Nuggets in the WCF would be beatable, though I'm not sure who the preferred opponent is.


Yah they played their trump card and it was pretty gimmicky and they lost (they needed to get a game off the gimmick since it probably doesn't work as well the next game given Lakers could review film). Lakers finally adjusted (I'm screaming at the beginning of the 3rd quarter to get Vanderbilt off the damn court) and righted the ship.

AD has forced them to play extremely small in order for them to open up their offense. Lakers were letting them get away with it by having crap spacing and unable to drive (those Lebron jumper jacks in the 3rd quarter were killing me, get Vanderbilt off the court!). I did not think Lebron bum hunting was going to be the solution (thought it was gonna be AD inside) but makes sense. Lebron facing no rim protection and enough with spacing is why he's the GOAT.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#429 » by dcstanley » Tue May 9, 2023 2:54 pm

I hate the Warriors as much as the next guy but I don't think there are 10 players better than Curry. If he wasn't such a late bloomer I don't think it would be all that controversial.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#430 » by Baski » Tue May 9, 2023 3:36 pm

dcstanley wrote:I hate the Warriors as much as the next guy but I don't think there are 10 players better than Curry. If he wasn't such a late bloomer I don't think it would be all that controversial.

Not sure what you mean by that last statement. Being a late bloomer is part of why he's not a lock for top 10:

1. Fewer ATG seasons than many in that tier
2. It could be argued that he "bloomed" due to extremely fortunate circumstances lining up for him.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#431 » by Colbinii » Tue May 9, 2023 3:50 pm

dcstanley wrote:I hate the Warriors as much as the next guy but I don't think there are 10 players better than Curry. If he wasn't such a late bloomer I don't think it would be all that controversial.


I don't think there are 10 players better than Bill Walton :wink:
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#432 » by homecourtloss » Tue May 9, 2023 4:03 pm

Heej wrote:Can we invoke the "LeBron-ball" criticism card on Steph for spamming high pnrs and taking his teammates out of rhythm making Klay worse. It's only fair right.


:rofl: :rofl: It sounds so utterly ludicrous, yet this is the criticism lobbed at Bron.
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#433 » by homecourtloss » Tue May 9, 2023 4:07 pm

Baski wrote:
Heej wrote:Can we invoke the "LeBron-ball" criticism card on Steph for spamming high pnrs and taking his teammates out of rhythm making Klay worse. It's only fair right.

I'm more disappointed that posters here were giving props to the Lakers role players instead of claiming it was the gravity of LeBron and culture he fosters that's allowed them to come up big this season. That's what a Curry Stan would do.


:rofl: :rofl:
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#434 » by dcstanley » Tue May 9, 2023 4:15 pm

Baski wrote:
dcstanley wrote:I hate the Warriors as much as the next guy but I don't think there are 10 players better than Curry. If he wasn't such a late bloomer I don't think it would be all that controversial.

Not sure what you mean by that last statement. Being a late bloomer is part of why he's not a lock for top 10:

1. Fewer ATG seasons than many in that tier
2. It could be argued that he "bloomed" due to extremely fortunate circumstances lining up for him.

I think he's done enough to be considered a top 10 player but I understand why folks are hesitant to rank him as such because of the relatively pedestrian start to his career.

Elaborate on that. I mean, Magic and Kobe were both drafted to near perfect situations and Jordan peaked during the least competitive era in NBA history. Some players are just luckier than others.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#435 » by parapooper » Tue May 9, 2023 4:46 pm

rk2023 wrote:Curry can keep climbing as he builds some rather impressive longevity.


At his current pace Curry will reach Lebron's career minutes as early as 2035 and his career playoff VORP around 2039
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#436 » by homecourtloss » Tue May 9, 2023 4:52 pm

viewtopic.php?f=6&t=2208928&start=40

Strange, I haven’t read “Klutch” at all today.
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#437 » by Heej » Tue May 9, 2023 4:54 pm

JLei wrote:
ardee wrote:This Lakers unit feels like a team of destiny.

Things like this Lonnie Walker performance... They don't happen for teams that aren't on the pathway to something historic.

They will win this series, whether it's in 5 or 6, the Warriors don't look like they have any aces left to pull.

Both the Suns and Nuggets in the WCF would be beatable, though I'm not sure who the preferred opponent is.


Yah they played their trump card and it was pretty gimmicky and they lost (they needed to get a game off the gimmick since it probably doesn't work as well the next game given Lakers could review film). Lakers finally adjusted (I'm screaming at the beginning of the 3rd quarter to get Vanderbilt off the damn court) and righted the ship.

AD has forced them to play extremely small in order for them to open up their offense. Lakers were letting them get away with it by having crap spacing and unable to drive (those Lebron jumper jacks in the 3rd quarter were killing me, get Vanderbilt off the court!). I did not think Lebron bum hunting was going to be the solution (thought it was gonna be AD inside) but makes sense. Lebron facing no rim protection and enough with spacing is why he's the GOAT.

Exactly my thoughts. Masterful stroke by Kerr pulling out his ace in the hole during the turning point of the series. It won't work as well the rest of the series but for one game it gave the Warriors what they needed. Fortunately, the Warriors big 3 fell short down the stretch.

I don't like that they keep needing random role player games to grind out wins. Will we ever see lebron and AD close out a game this postseason.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#438 » by trickshot » Tue May 9, 2023 5:01 pm

Actually come away with a new found respect for the Warriors. I can absolutely see how Celtics folded in the finals. Lakers are mental beasts to have overcome double digit leads in 2 straight games. I think even some of us gave up at least once.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#439 » by Baski » Tue May 9, 2023 5:05 pm

dcstanley wrote:
Baski wrote:
dcstanley wrote:I hate the Warriors as much as the next guy but I don't think there are 10 players better than Curry. If he wasn't such a late bloomer I don't think it would be all that controversial.

Not sure what you mean by that last statement. Being a late bloomer is part of why he's not a lock for top 10:

1. Fewer ATG seasons than many in that tier
2. It could be argued that he "bloomed" due to extremely fortunate circumstances lining up for him.

I think he's done enough to be considered a top 10 player but I understand why folks are hesitant to rank him as such because of the relatively pedestrian start to his career.

Elaborate on that. I mean, Magic and Kobe were both drafted to near perfect situations and Jordan peaked during the least competitive era in NBA history. Some players are just luckier than others.

Kobe is outside of the top 10 by most lists I've seen on this site. Even with the few that have him in there, he's not a lock, similar to Curry.
Magic hit the ground running.

I think the first point is clear, but by the 2nd I'm saying that it's not crazy to think that had a few things gone differently teamwise, Steph would not be as successful as he has been. It's true for every player, but easier to see for Steph.

And you said it yourself. He had a pedestrian start. Part of what defines the top 10 is exactly the opposite of that.
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Re: The LeBron James - 22-23 NBA Playoff Thread- (Part 3) 

Post#440 » by Homer38 » Tue May 9, 2023 5:08 pm

It was amazing by LBJ!

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