'17-'18 POY discussion

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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#441 » by E-Balla » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:12 am

MO12msu wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
MO12msu wrote:How do you know what I see hasn't dictated my opinion? Pretty weak to act like I've come to my conclusions without watching games and doing my own research.

Here's my Harden clearly top of the league argument: He leads the league in all those major boxscore measures that I understand you don't care about in addition to being in the top tier in the league in the on-off metrics as well. The offense that he is the main conductor of is putting up literally GOAT level numbers and it is entirely predicated on him destroying people in iso situations with amazing spacing.

The team that he is leading is proving to be a viable threat to maybe the greatest collection of talent in NBA history.

Harden versus Oladipo: In addition to everything above, Harden is way more efficient. Both are putting up impressive on-off metrics, but I'd argue it's harder to post those kind of on-off numbers when Chris Paul is you're back up point guard and the team is performing at +8-9 SRS level. That's not to say Oladipo is impressive, but it shows that what Harden is doing is more impressive because it's on a greater scale for a team with higher goals which should probably count for something in itself.

I'd argue that Harden is a significantly better playmaker and shooter than Oladipo and the basic numbers bare that out. In addition to the constant pressure that Harden's ability to draw fouls puts on the defense. Offensively I don't think it's all that close really. And I don't think Oladipo makes a big enough defensive impact to close the gap in any way that is substantial.

Still waiting of the Westbrook over Harden argument.

None of that sounded like an argument for Harden over the pack when almost everything you said applies to Chris Paul. That sounded like an argument for why Harden is in contention which is why like I said he's close as hell to Giannis to me.

I want to hear what makes him so much better than everyone else that its a travesty to not have him at 1?

And I care about how the team plays with the player on the floor not off. Oladipo has Indy playing at a +7.5 level with him on the floor and their 104.4 DRTG with Dipo would rate 2nd in the league if they played like that without him and he's their best defender by far (he's in the 91.3rd percentile of iso defenders and the 87.7th percentile of PNR defenders). Westbrook prior to Roberson's injury had OKC playing at a +7.4 level with him on the floor (now its down to +5.4) and OKC was playing great on both ends of the floor. Neither of them have Chris Paul, who is another legitimate top 5 level player. That's a legitimate knock against Harden in comparison to the others. Houston is 11-7 (+4.9) when CP3 is out and Harden has played every game CP3 missed. 18 games isn't a small sample either and his supporting cast is still very good without CP3.

Now he still averaged 33.8/5.3/10.3 on 62.9 TS% without CP3 so it's not like I'm saying he relies on CP3 for his own production. I'm saying that his team is so great because there's another player that's just as good as he is on the team.

Good points.

The thing that separates Harden from Paul for me is the load that Harden carries; more usage, more games played, Paul's minutes as the lead orchestrator are against more bench orientated lineups compared to Harden. CP is my favorite player all time, but at this stage of his career(or really any stage post 08) I don't think Paul could handle the load that Harden carries at all for a season.

I never said it was a travesty to not have Harden #1 but I did want to understand the thought process behind not even naming the consensus #1 in your original post at all.

The Westbrook stuff just tells me how important Roberson was to the team, which doesn't surprise me because I thought he was a legit DPOY candidate this season.

And I don't think it's fair to show Oladipo and Westbrook's net ratings with them on the floor and then compare how Harden's entire team did in an 18 game sample size without CP3. Why not just use Harden's net rating without CP3 for the whole year?

I originally looked those numbers up but NBAWOWY is on the fritz and sending wonky and obviously wrong lineup data for Houston. It puts him at a +9 overall without CP3 but it also puts Houston at a 119.9 ORTG without Harden on the floor (bball ref has them at an estimated 111.3). Those numbers are way too off to be trusted and I know the bball ref numbers are obviously closer to the real ones.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#442 » by bondom34 » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:16 am

K_chile22 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:Harden on, Cp off is +9.

Russ on, Adams on, PG on, Melo on, thunder are +8.3

There's 0 argument for Russ over Harden

Not arguing anything here at all but wanted to make a totally un POY related note.

Check that without Melo.

I hate everything.

I did, it was my first thought lol they're worse without Melo. Just +5.8, which was surprising

Actually surprised me.

If you take Adams out of both it swaps.

PG/Russ is better than PG/Russ/Melo.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#443 » by E-Balla » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:17 am

K_chile22 wrote:Harden on, Cp off is +9.

Russ on, Adams on, PG on, Melo on, thunder are +8.3

There's 0 argument for Russ over Harden

Well like I said a quick glance at those Houston numbers and you'd see they're way off.

K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote: Houston is 11-7 (+4.9) when CP3 is out and Harden has played every game CP3 missed. 18 games isn't a small sample either and his supporting cast is still very good without CP3.

The net rating is bad there because the minutes Harden is off are deep in the red. That's some hardcore cherrypicking. Just use Harden on, Paul off for the season, him not playing at all doesn't make a difference there. They are -6 without either on the floor, and most of the time CP3 missed was pre-gerald Green


Actually on NBAWOWY if you used that they're -10.1 without CP3 and give up a 130.1 DRTG despite only allowing a 57.1 TS% and overall Houston has a 119.7 ORTG according to NBAWOWY. I wouldn't cite those numbers at all right now until that gets fixed.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#444 » by K_chile22 » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:19 am

E-Balla wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:Harden on, Cp off is +9.

Russ on, Adams on, PG on, Melo on, thunder are +8.3

There's 0 argument for Russ over Harden

Well like I said a quick glance at those Houston numbers and you'd see they're way off.

K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote: Houston is 11-7 (+4.9) when CP3 is out and Harden has played every game CP3 missed. 18 games isn't a small sample either and his supporting cast is still very good without CP3.

The net rating is bad there because the minutes Harden is off are deep in the red. That's some hardcore cherrypicking. Just use Harden on, Paul off for the season, him not playing at all doesn't make a difference there. They are -6 without either on the floor, and most of the time CP3 missed was pre-gerald Green


Actually on NBAWOWY if you used that they're -10.1 without CP3 and give up a 130.1 DRTG despite only allowing a 57.1 TS% and overall Houston has a 119.7 ORTG according to NBAWOWY. I wouldn't cite those numbers at all right now until that gets fixed.

Im not using NBA wowy, using cleaning the glass which is about as accurate as it gets (uses play by play data so has actual possession counts, not estimates and cleans up garbage time noise, only downside being pbp has only existed from 03 onward), but I can't mess with date ranges there. Has them at 115.6 overall, 115 with CP , without Harden, 116.4 with Harden, no CP3
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#445 » by Ballerhogger » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:20 am

Harden so far is my front runnner
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#446 » by E-Balla » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:43 am

K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:Harden on, Cp off is +9.

Russ on, Adams on, PG on, Melo on, thunder are +8.3

There's 0 argument for Russ over Harden

Well like I said a quick glance at those Houston numbers and you'd see they're way off.

K_chile22 wrote:The net rating is bad there because the minutes Harden is off are deep in the red. That's some hardcore cherrypicking. Just use Harden on, Paul off for the season, him not playing at all doesn't make a difference there. They are -6 without either on the floor, and most of the time CP3 missed was pre-gerald Green


Actually on NBAWOWY if you used that they're -10.1 without CP3 and give up a 130.1 DRTG despite only allowing a 57.1 TS% and overall Houston has a 119.7 ORTG according to NBAWOWY. I wouldn't cite those numbers at all right now until that gets fixed.

Im not using NBA wowy, using cleaning the glass which is about as accurate as it gets (uses play by play data so has actual possession counts, not estimates and cleans up garbage time noise, only downside being pbp has only existed from 03 onward), but I can't mess with date ranges there. Has them at 115.6 overall, 115 with CP , without Harden, 116.4 with Harden, no CP3

Ok then. I will say Russell-PG13-Melo isn't comparable because Roberson was the clear 2nd most impactful player on the team. Melo looks old and PG is being completely misused by Donovan so Roberson was really a big key and Roberson-Westbrook's 2 man lineup was over +11 iirc.

Either way Harden is +9 without CP3 overall but according to cleaning the glass Houston is a +7.8 without Harden even on the floor excluding garbage time and I can't get the numbers without both CP3 and Harden (its not letting me input people) but -6 in 700+ minutes doesn't sound right at all unless CP3 without Harden is leading the best lineups in the league.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#447 » by K_chile22 » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:47 am

E-Balla wrote:Either way Harden is +9 without CP3 overall but according to cleaning the glass Houston is a +7.8 without Harden even on the floor excluding garbage time and I can't get the numbers without both CP3 and Harden (its not letting me input people) but -6 in 700+ minutes doesn't sound right at all unless CP3 without Harden is leading the best lineups in the league.

Can you explain this logic? I'm not following. They are good with only one, and awful without both. 600 outta 3200 isn't all that much, if I am understanding what you are trying to say. +6.2 with just Paul off, Don't know how them being good with CP3 affects them being awful without he and Harden. It's -6, looking at it right now. Most used lineup is Gordon-LMAM-Tucker-Ryno-Black at a -20.7

I think you are underestimating how bad the third PG situation is lol went from Demetrius Jackson, to Weber, and they just gave up and went with Gordon eventually lol
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#448 » by E-Balla » Wed Mar 14, 2018 11:53 am

K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:Either way Harden is +9 without CP3 overall but according to cleaning the glass Houston is a +7.8 without Harden even on the floor excluding garbage time and I can't get the numbers without both CP3 and Harden (its not letting me input people) but -6 in 700+ minutes doesn't sound right at all unless CP3 without Harden is leading the best lineups in the league.

Can you explain this logic? I'm not following. They are good with only one, and awful without both. 600 outta 3200 isn't all that much, if I am understanding what you are trying to say. +6.2 with just Paul off, Don't know how them being good with CP3 affects them being awful without he and Harden. It's -6, looking at it right now. Most used lineup is Gordon-LMAM-Tucker-Ryno-Black at a -20.7

I think you are underestimating how bad the third PG situation is lol went from Demetrius Jackson, to Weber, and they just gave up and went with Gordon eventually lol

The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#449 » by Missing Rings » Wed Mar 14, 2018 2:30 pm

E-Balla wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:Either way Harden is +9 without CP3 overall but according to cleaning the glass Houston is a +7.8 without Harden even on the floor excluding garbage time and I can't get the numbers without both CP3 and Harden (its not letting me input people) but -6 in 700+ minutes doesn't sound right at all unless CP3 without Harden is leading the best lineups in the league.

Can you explain this logic? I'm not following. They are good with only one, and awful without both. 600 outta 3200 isn't all that much, if I am understanding what you are trying to say. +6.2 with just Paul off, Don't know how them being good with CP3 affects them being awful without he and Harden. It's -6, looking at it right now. Most used lineup is Gordon-LMAM-Tucker-Ryno-Black at a -20.7

I think you are underestimating how bad the third PG situation is lol went from Demetrius Jackson, to Weber, and they just gave up and went with Gordon eventually lol

The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?


Chris Paul has missed nearly 1/3 of the season (18 games). He is certainly a top 10 player this season, but missed time is something most people (fortunately) haven't missed.

If I am reading this correctly you are penalizing Harden because Chris Paul is great and the line-us the Rockets use do a great job at staggering Chris Paul and Harden. You are literally penalizing Harden because Chris Paul does a great job primarily against the opponents "2nd" unit.

Not having Harden in your top 5 right now while justifying guys like Oladipo and Giannis over him is blasphemous. Those guys don't have close to the same impact as Harden and are less portable.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#450 » by Dr Spaceman » Wed Mar 14, 2018 2:48 pm

E-Balla wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:Either way Harden is +9 without CP3 overall but according to cleaning the glass Houston is a +7.8 without Harden even on the floor excluding garbage time and I can't get the numbers without both CP3 and Harden (its not letting me input people) but -6 in 700+ minutes doesn't sound right at all unless CP3 without Harden is leading the best lineups in the league.

Can you explain this logic? I'm not following. They are good with only one, and awful without both. 600 outta 3200 isn't all that much, if I am understanding what you are trying to say. +6.2 with just Paul off, Don't know how them being good with CP3 affects them being awful without he and Harden. It's -6, looking at it right now. Most used lineup is Gordon-LMAM-Tucker-Ryno-Black at a -20.7

I think you are underestimating how bad the third PG situation is lol went from Demetrius Jackson, to Weber, and they just gave up and went with Gordon eventually lol

The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?


Or, y’know, you could credit the two best players on a team that plays at over a 70 win pace when healthy.

Personally I do have Paul at #3 and if he didn’t get injured he’d be in contention for #1. I still have Harden as solidly ahead of the field at #1. I have no idea why the two approaches would be inconsistent.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#451 » by E-Balla » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:11 pm

Dr Spaceman wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:Can you explain this logic? I'm not following. They are good with only one, and awful without both. 600 outta 3200 isn't all that much, if I am understanding what you are trying to say. +6.2 with just Paul off, Don't know how them being good with CP3 affects them being awful without he and Harden. It's -6, looking at it right now. Most used lineup is Gordon-LMAM-Tucker-Ryno-Black at a -20.7

I think you are underestimating how bad the third PG situation is lol went from Demetrius Jackson, to Weber, and they just gave up and went with Gordon eventually lol

The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?


Or, y’know, you could credit the two best players on a team that plays at over a 70 win pace when healthy.

Personally I do have Paul at #3 and if he didn’t get injured he’d be in contention for #1. I still have Harden as solidly ahead of the field at #1. I have no idea why the two approaches would be inconsistent.

They aren't. If you have Harden ranked that high you should have CP3 ranked that high too for the same reasons which was my point in asking. And who doesn't credit them its not like I said Harden and Paul are ass. Just that I don't see how anyone can say Harden is "well over the field" like many have said when he's not well over his own teammate. I asked and still haven't gotten a single argument that Harden is well over the rest of the league when that was what was originally said. Either there's a massive amount of hyperbole and me saying Harden is in contention but not there isn't a big deal, or someone somewhere can argue Harden is well above the field.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#452 » by E-Balla » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:15 pm

Missing Rings wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:Can you explain this logic? I'm not following. They are good with only one, and awful without both. 600 outta 3200 isn't all that much, if I am understanding what you are trying to say. +6.2 with just Paul off, Don't know how them being good with CP3 affects them being awful without he and Harden. It's -6, looking at it right now. Most used lineup is Gordon-LMAM-Tucker-Ryno-Black at a -20.7

I think you are underestimating how bad the third PG situation is lol went from Demetrius Jackson, to Weber, and they just gave up and went with Gordon eventually lol

The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?


Chris Paul has missed nearly 1/3 of the season (18 games). He is certainly a top 10 player this season, but missed time is something most people (fortunately) haven't missed.

If I am reading this correctly you are penalizing Harden because Chris Paul is great and the line-us the Rockets use do a great job at staggering Chris Paul and Harden. You are literally penalizing Harden because Chris Paul does a great job primarily against the opponents "2nd" unit.

Not having Harden in your top 5 right now while justifying guys like Oladipo and Giannis over him is blasphemous. Those guys don't have close to the same impact as Harden and are less portable.

So make an argument for it I'm all ears. I've been asking for an argument Harden was well over the field for 2 pages now and got one person who's attempted to make the argument (and even admitted I made good points in my rebuttal as to why I felt the argument he was over the field fell flat) and a bunch of other people posting useless crap like the bolded. If you really feel that way and want to change my opinion I'm all ears. If you're just being an **** go somewhere else with all that nonsense.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#453 » by Dr Spaceman » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:17 pm

E-Balla wrote:
Dr Spaceman wrote:
E-Balla wrote:The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?


Or, y’know, you could credit the two best players on a team that plays at over a 70 win pace when healthy.

Personally I do have Paul at #3 and if he didn’t get injured he’d be in contention for #1. I still have Harden as solidly ahead of the field at #1. I have no idea why the two approaches would be inconsistent.

They aren't. If you have Harden ranked that high you should have CP3 ranked that high too for the same reasons which was my point in asking. And who doesn't credit them its not like I said Harden and Paul are ass. Just that I don't see how anyone can say Harden is "well over the field" like many have said when he's not well over his own teammate. I asked and still haven't gotten a single argument that Harden is well over the rest of the league when that was what was originally said. Either there's a massive amount of hyperbole and me saying Harden is in contention but not there isn't a big deal, or someone somewhere can argue Harden is well above the field.


Well I’ll just copy my post 2 pages ago:

I don’t see what the case is against Harden this year. He’s been break-even defensively which is a massive improvement from where he was even last year. His offense has taken another leap forward this year. He leads the league in every cumulative advanced metric known to man. Even impact stats are starting to sing his praises again


We started this season looking at a team that we all thought was going to cruise to another title, but the Rockets have played on par with the level of Golden State with Durant ever since Paul came back in November. That’s a big deal.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#454 » by K_chile22 » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:25 pm

E-Balla wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:Either way Harden is +9 without CP3 overall but according to cleaning the glass Houston is a +7.8 without Harden even on the floor excluding garbage time and I can't get the numbers without both CP3 and Harden (its not letting me input people) but -6 in 700+ minutes doesn't sound right at all unless CP3 without Harden is leading the best lineups in the league.

Can you explain this logic? I'm not following. They are good with only one, and awful without both. 600 outta 3200 isn't all that much, if I am understanding what you are trying to say. +6.2 with just Paul off, Don't know how them being good with CP3 affects them being awful without he and Harden. It's -6, looking at it right now. Most used lineup is Gordon-LMAM-Tucker-Ryno-Black at a -20.7

I think you are underestimating how bad the third PG situation is lol went from Demetrius Jackson, to Weber, and they just gave up and went with Gordon eventually lol

The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?

Cleaning the glass uses possessions, not minutes. They've played 2136 possessions without Harden, and 611 without both. That's not half. Looks like your mixing up some numbers or something. it's about 28%. They are +13 with CP3 and no Harden (most of those minutes being Paul v bench units, causing that really high number)
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#455 » by bondom34 » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:27 pm

K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:Can you explain this logic? I'm not following. They are good with only one, and awful without both. 600 outta 3200 isn't all that much, if I am understanding what you are trying to say. +6.2 with just Paul off, Don't know how them being good with CP3 affects them being awful without he and Harden. It's -6, looking at it right now. Most used lineup is Gordon-LMAM-Tucker-Ryno-Black at a -20.7

I think you are underestimating how bad the third PG situation is lol went from Demetrius Jackson, to Weber, and they just gave up and went with Gordon eventually lol

The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?

Cleaning the glass uses possessions, not minutes. They've played 2136 possessions without Harden, and 611 without both. That's not half. Looks like your mixing up some numbers or something

They also exclude garbage time. Depending on how Ben defines it it may throw things off a little between sites. I think CTG is just an easier interface.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#456 » by K_chile22 » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:31 pm

bondom34 wrote:
K_chile22 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:The Rockets are +7.8 without Harden in total with well over half their minutes without Harden being -6. Remember without Harden they've played about 1100-1200 minutes so a 700+ minute sample of -6 play has to be offset by something great. That would put CP3 without Harden in the +16 or up range to even it out. He might be in that range honestly but that sounds crazy high especially when the other way around Harden isn't nearly +16. It definitely doesn't dispel the issue I brought up earlier about how any argument for Harden is also true for CP3 which is a major reason he's not at that top spot. Serious question how many people with Harden at one don't have CP3 in their top 5?

Cleaning the glass uses possessions, not minutes. They've played 2136 possessions without Harden, and 611 without both. That's not half. Looks like your mixing up some numbers or something

They also exclude garbage time. Depending on how Ben defines it it may throw things off a little between sites. I think CTG is just an easier interface.

I believe he said once a team clears their bench, that's garbage time, so when players who don't normally and wouldn't normally play, enter the game. I think he's looking at minutes from BKref for Harden off minutes total, and assumed the possession counts on cleaning the glass were minutes (a mistake I make all the time and probably did in this very thread lol)
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#457 » by E-Balla » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:36 pm

Dr Spaceman wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
Dr Spaceman wrote:
Or, y’know, you could credit the two best players on a team that plays at over a 70 win pace when healthy.

Personally I do have Paul at #3 and if he didn’t get injured he’d be in contention for #1. I still have Harden as solidly ahead of the field at #1. I have no idea why the two approaches would be inconsistent.

They aren't. If you have Harden ranked that high you should have CP3 ranked that high too for the same reasons which was my point in asking. And who doesn't credit them its not like I said Harden and Paul are ass. Just that I don't see how anyone can say Harden is "well over the field" like many have said when he's not well over his own teammate. I asked and still haven't gotten a single argument that Harden is well over the rest of the league when that was what was originally said. Either there's a massive amount of hyperbole and me saying Harden is in contention but not there isn't a big deal, or someone somewhere can argue Harden is well above the field.


Well I’ll just copy my post 2 pages ago:

I don’t see what the case is against Harden this year. He’s been break-even defensively which is a massive improvement from where he was even last year. His offense has taken another leap forward this year. He leads the league in every cumulative advanced metric known to man. Even impact stats are starting to sing his praises again


We started this season looking at a team that we all thought was going to cruise to another title, but the Rockets have played on par with the level of Golden State with Durant ever since Paul came back in November. That’s a big deal.

They're on par with Golden State with Durant because Golden State is cruising. The Golden State we saw in the playoffs last year is still on another level from any team I've ever seen.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#458 » by CBA » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:42 pm

CBA wrote:Just for the sake of entertainment, by what measures do you believe Westbrook has been a top 3 player and at about an equal level as the runaway MVP?


Though my question wasn't answered, that really was entertaining.
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#459 » by Dr Spaceman » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:59 pm

E-Balla wrote:
Dr Spaceman wrote:
E-Balla wrote:They aren't. If you have Harden ranked that high you should have CP3 ranked that high too for the same reasons which was my point in asking. And who doesn't credit them its not like I said Harden and Paul are ass. Just that I don't see how anyone can say Harden is "well over the field" like many have said when he's not well over his own teammate. I asked and still haven't gotten a single argument that Harden is well over the rest of the league when that was what was originally said. Either there's a massive amount of hyperbole and me saying Harden is in contention but not there isn't a big deal, or someone somewhere can argue Harden is well above the field.


Well I’ll just copy my post 2 pages ago:

I don’t see what the case is against Harden this year. He’s been break-even defensively which is a massive improvement from where he was even last year. His offense has taken another leap forward this year. He leads the league in every cumulative advanced metric known to man. Even impact stats are starting to sing his praises again


We started this season looking at a team that we all thought was going to cruise to another title, but the Rockets have played on par with the level of Golden State with Durant ever since Paul came back in November. That’s a big deal.

They're on par with Golden State with Durant because Golden State is cruising. The Golden State we saw in the playoffs last year is still on another level from any team I've ever seen.


Yeah I don’t actually think Houston will beat them.

Still you don’t think it’s notable that houston has matched the regular season performance of what you consider the GOAT team?
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Re: '17-'18 POY discussion 

Post#460 » by E-Balla » Wed Mar 14, 2018 6:05 pm

Dr Spaceman wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
Dr Spaceman wrote:
Well I’ll just copy my post 2 pages ago:



We started this season looking at a team that we all thought was going to cruise to another title, but the Rockets have played on par with the level of Golden State with Durant ever since Paul came back in November. That’s a big deal.

They're on par with Golden State with Durant because Golden State is cruising. The Golden State we saw in the playoffs last year is still on another level from any team I've ever seen.


Yeah I don’t actually think Houston will beat them.

Still you don’t think it’s notable that houston has matched the regular season performance of what you consider the GOAT team?

So has Toronto so nah not really. Golden State is clearly cruising at this point. Now if Houston was playing like full force Golden State I'd be shocked but the Clippers were like a +7ish team for 3 straight years when CP3 was there and Houston is way more talented than the Clippers minus CP3 were.

2 top superstars with a great supporting cast winning 60+ games is what's supposed to happen.

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