Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation

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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#481 » by VanWest82 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 5:13 pm

colts18 wrote:How the hell did Lebron quit in Game 6 vs the 2010 Celtics if he had 21 shot attempts, 12 Free Throw attempts, 19 rebounds, 10 assists, 9 turnovers, 3 steals, 1 blocks while holding Paul Pierce to 13 points on 4-13 shooting? Who gets 19 rebounds in a game they quit? That doesn't sound like the effort level of a "quit".


It's hard to comprehend in hindsight given everything he did in game 6 but you have literally millions of fans who watched that game saying his body language was awful and that he quit in the second half. Maybe it's because his body language was awful and he quit in the second half. Game 5 no show at home was weird too.

Maybe you could dismiss it if it was the only time it happened but we've seen Lebron exhibit bad body language and stop trying as hard a number of times now (2010 Celtics, 2011 Finals, 2015 RS, 2018 leading up trade deadline, 2018 G1 OT, etc.). It does seem like as soon as he knows he can't win he gives up some of the time.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#482 » by Cavsfansince84 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 5:20 pm

VanWest82 wrote:
You don't think game 4 was at least partially a result of a little extra-curricular behavior by the Bulls players? I think those guys let loose in Seattle a little bit and were running in quicksand that game.

Game 5 MJ tried to close them out but Scottie tanked the game. Game 6 was Father's Day. I believe MJ's mom who described him as an emotional wreck that day. Presumably it had some impact.

I also give credit to George Karl for moving Payton off ball starting in game 4 when McMillan came back. They ran MJ through 100 screens the next three games and Phil didn't make any adjustments. That as much as anything is why he got gassed.

But mainly, it's just so hard to take those three games seriously after Bulls went 72-10 and then 14-1 to get within one game of the season being over. It was done. It's not BS to suggest those guys started celebrating a little early and took their foot off the pedal.


It is possible that there is context for off court things that played into why the Bulls played badly in games 5&6 just as there is for why LeBron played badly in some of his series. Such as him flying around during the 07 finals due to the birth of his first child, the supposed affair between Delonte West and his mom in the 2010 ecf leading him to quitting mentally but those things are usually not accepted as reliable reasons for his bad series when they are mentioned as criticisms for LeBron. So I don't think that excuse can work for MJ here either unless you think it should go both ways.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#483 » by VanWest82 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 5:33 pm

Cavsfansince84 wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
You don't think game 4 was at least partially a result of a little extra-curricular behavior by the Bulls players? I think those guys let loose in Seattle a little bit and were running in quicksand that game.

Game 5 MJ tried to close them out but Scottie tanked the game. Game 6 was Father's Day. I believe MJ's mom who described him as an emotional wreck that day. Presumably it had some impact.

I also give credit to George Karl for moving Payton off ball starting in game 4 when McMillan came back. They ran MJ through 100 screens the next three games and Phil didn't make any adjustments. That as much as anything is why he got gassed.

But mainly, it's just so hard to take those three games seriously after Bulls went 72-10 and then 14-1 to get within one game of the season being over. It was done. It's not BS to suggest those guys started celebrating a little early and took their foot off the pedal.


It is possible that there is context for off court things that played into why the Bulls played badly in games 5&6 just as there is for why LeBron played badly in some of his series. Such as him flying around during the 07 finals due to the birth of his first child, the supposed affair between Delonte West and his mom in the 2010 ecf leading him to quitting mentally but those things are usually not accepted as reliable reasons for his bad series when they are mentioned as criticisms for LeBron. So I don't think that excuse can work for MJ here either unless you think it should go both ways.


Of course it should go both ways assuming the reasons are legitimate. I'd believe the thing with Delonte and his mom impacted his play. I don't believe the birth of his child impacted him negatively.

The reasons for poor play are so important. Sonics didn't stumble into a secret weakness in Mike's game outside of do everything to tire him out and guard him with the best defensive player in the league. Spurs came to the same conclusion in 13 & 14 (though Spo wasn't dumb enough to also have Lebron chasing Danny Green and Patty Mills around all game). But in 2010 Lebron still couldn't shoot and Celtics switched tactics part way through the series to cut off his driving lanes and exploit that. That's different and it was part of a trend. I don't think we can use Delonte to cover up a years long trend of good defenses exploiting Bron's shaky jumper.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#484 » by Cavsfansince84 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 6:15 pm

VanWest82 wrote:
Of course it should go both ways assuming the reasons are legitimate. I'd believe the thing with Delonte and his mom impacted his play. I don't believe the birth of his child impacted him negatively.

The reasons for poor play are so important. Sonics didn't stumble into a secret weakness in Mike's game outside of do everything to tire him out and guard him with the best defensive player in the league. Spurs came to the same conclusion in 13 & 14 (though Spo wasn't dumb enough to have Lebron chasing Danny Green and Patty Mills around all game). But in 2010 Lebron still couldn't shoot and Celtics switched tactics part way through the series to cut off his driving lanes and exploit that. That's different and it was part of a trend. I don't think we can use Delonte to cover up a years long trend of good defenses exploiting Bron's shaky jumper.


The idea that he 'still couldn't shoot in 2010' isn't fully backed up by the numbers though. His shooting had been trending up almost every year from different distances and in the 2010 rs he shot career high's from 3 different ranges and second best from another. That can't all just be swept under the rug in favor of a 'LeBron still couldn't shoot' narrative. Especially when he shot the lights out in the series before that. I'd give Boston credit for defending him well but saying he couldn't shoot is just too much. It's something being said for dramatic effect imo. I would say he had a bad shooting series against a good team and that there was extra drama involved with his mother along with frustration from the amount of help he had while going against the Boston big 4 and probably having already decided he was done in Cleveland. So I think it all snowballed to where he just wanted it to be over with. So people can rightfully bring it up but I do think there was a decent amount of added context for why it happened the way it did. There was multiple things going on.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#485 » by VanWest82 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 6:31 pm

Cavsfansince84 wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
Of course it should go both ways assuming the reasons are legitimate. I'd believe the thing with Delonte and his mom impacted his play. I don't believe the birth of his child impacted him negatively.

The reasons for poor play are so important. Sonics didn't stumble into a secret weakness in Mike's game outside of do everything to tire him out and guard him with the best defensive player in the league. Spurs came to the same conclusion in 13 & 14 (though Spo wasn't dumb enough to have Lebron chasing Danny Green and Patty Mills around all game). But in 2010 Lebron still couldn't shoot and Celtics switched tactics part way through the series to cut off his driving lanes and exploit that. That's different and it was part of a trend. I don't think we can use Delonte to cover up a years long trend of good defenses exploiting Bron's shaky jumper.


The idea that he 'still couldn't shoot in 2010' isn't fully backed up by the numbers though. His shooting had been trending up almost every year from different distances and in the 2010 rs he shot career high's from 3 different ranges and second best from another. That can't all just be swept under the rug in favor of a 'LeBron still couldn't shoot' narrative. Especially when he shot the lights out in the series before that. I'd give Boston credit for defending him well but saying he couldn't shoot is just too much. It's something being said for dramatic effect imo. I would say he had a bad shooting series against a good team and that there was extra drama involved with his mother along with frustration from the amount of help he had while going against the Boston big 4 and probably having already decided he was done in Cleveland. So I think it all snowballed to where he just wanted it to be over with. So people can rightfully bring it up but I do think there was a decent amount of added context for why it happened the way it did. There was multiple things going on.


You're right - saying he couldn't shoot is way over-doing it. He was (slowly) trending in the right direction. But it still happened vs. Celtics and then happened again the following year vs. Mavs. When teams aren't afraid to switch a little guy on you and can get away with backing off and flooding strong side driving lanes, basically daring you to shoot from distance, and you can't make them pay that's not just a cold streak. That's you getting game planned out of a series due to a (perceived) weakness. This is also why I don't totally buy the 09 Lebron narrative despite him going on a heater in the first three rounds. His jumper wasn't totally fixed yet.

His biggest leap as a shooter happened 11-12-13 and you couldn't use the Mavs/Celtics/Spurs blue print anymore. That's when I knew he was truly the best player in the world even though he'd already been that in most situations the previous two years.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#486 » by sansterre » Tue Sep 28, 2021 7:11 pm

VanWest82 wrote:
Cavsfansince84 wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
Of course it should go both ways assuming the reasons are legitimate. I'd believe the thing with Delonte and his mom impacted his play. I don't believe the birth of his child impacted him negatively.

The reasons for poor play are so important. Sonics didn't stumble into a secret weakness in Mike's game outside of do everything to tire him out and guard him with the best defensive player in the league. Spurs came to the same conclusion in 13 & 14 (though Spo wasn't dumb enough to have Lebron chasing Danny Green and Patty Mills around all game). But in 2010 Lebron still couldn't shoot and Celtics switched tactics part way through the series to cut off his driving lanes and exploit that. That's different and it was part of a trend. I don't think we can use Delonte to cover up a years long trend of good defenses exploiting Bron's shaky jumper.


The idea that he 'still couldn't shoot in 2010' isn't fully backed up by the numbers though. His shooting had been trending up almost every year from different distances and in the 2010 rs he shot career high's from 3 different ranges and second best from another. That can't all just be swept under the rug in favor of a 'LeBron still couldn't shoot' narrative. Especially when he shot the lights out in the series before that. I'd give Boston credit for defending him well but saying he couldn't shoot is just too much. It's something being said for dramatic effect imo. I would say he had a bad shooting series against a good team and that there was extra drama involved with his mother along with frustration from the amount of help he had while going against the Boston big 4 and probably having already decided he was done in Cleveland. So I think it all snowballed to where he just wanted it to be over with. So people can rightfully bring it up but I do think there was a decent amount of added context for why it happened the way it did. There was multiple things going on.


You're right - saying he couldn't shoot is way over-doing it. He was (slowly) trending in the right direction. But it still happened vs. Celtics and then happened again the following year vs. Mavs. When teams aren't afraid to switch a little guy on you and can get away with backing off and flooding strong side driving lanes, basically daring you to shoot from distance, and you can't make them pay that's not just a cold streak. That's you getting game planned out of a series due to a (perceived) weakness. This is also why I don't totally buy the 09 Lebron narrative despite him going on a heater in the first three rounds. His jumper wasn't totally fixed yet.

His biggest leap as a shooter happened 11-12-13 and you couldn't use the Mavs/Celtics/Spurs blue print anymore. That's when I knew he was truly the best player in the world even though he'd already been that in most situations the previous two years.

Would you mind elaborating on the coaching change?

To a peasant like me, I'd think "After the 2007 Finals, it became fairly apparent what defenses needed to try to do to stop LeBron." And I'd also think "The 2010 Celtics had already played LeBron in 2008, so they probably had a good grasp of how to stop him." Can you help me understand how the Celtics 'discovered' how to stop LeBron late in the 2010 series after having played him only two years before, and after seeing what the Spurs did in 2007?

I'm not saying it's wrong, I'm just saying that I'm not enough of an x's and o's person to have an intuitive grasp of how this would work.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#487 » by Texas Chuck » Tue Sep 28, 2021 7:21 pm

VanWest82 wrote: This is also why I don't totally buy the 09 Lebron narrative despite him going on a heater in the first three rounds.


Is is just maybe possible that if you have an MVP caliber RS(I know you might not agree but for argument's sake since he was after all named the MVP) and then play 3 great playoff rounds(I think you mean 2 since he only played 3 total?) that its that 3rd series that is the outlier?

Not that he was actually bad offensively against Orlando mind you scoring nearly 40 ppg on nearly 60% TS......


You keep dismissing entire great seasons of Lebron based on continually flimsier and flimsier reasoning. Now it appears because shot 11/37 from 3 over a 6 game stretch that we must eliminate Lebron from seasons worthy of being included when discussing potential GOAT's.

I'm starting to wonder what exactly Lebron has to do(other than being Michael Jordan obviously) for a season to be worthy in your opinion?
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#488 » by falcolombardi » Tue Sep 28, 2021 7:27 pm

now that texas chuck brings it up i kind a want to ask

why is the evaluation of a player season diminished or justified respecrively based on the surrounding ones?

like 2009 lebron played all time level basketball all season long including the orlando series, how admiteddly streaky junpshoot was good basically all year long

and he scores 39 a game on strong efficiency against a league best defense while playing great defense...but it has to be diminished because the years before and after were not as good?

what is the point of evaluating seasons individually then if we are gonna use surrounding seasons to discredit what was done in them?

it may be an outlier but it still happened
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#489 » by Cavsfansince84 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 7:29 pm

VanWest82 wrote:
You're right - saying he couldn't shoot is way over-doing it. He was (slowly) trending in the right direction. But it still happened vs. Celtics and then happened again the following year vs. Mavs. When teams aren't afraid to switch a little guy on you and can get away with backing off and flooding strong side driving lanes, basically daring you to shoot from distance, and you can't make them pay that's not just a cold streak. That's you getting game planned out of a series due to a (perceived) weakness. This is also why I don't totally buy the 09 Lebron narrative despite him going on a heater in the first three rounds. His jumper wasn't totally fixed yet.

His biggest leap as a shooter happened 11-12-13 and you couldn't use the Mavs/Celtics/Spurs blue print anymore. That's when I knew he was truly the best player in the world even though he'd already been that in most situations the previous two years.


See, I don't think there is a narrative when it comes to LeBron's 09 season+playoff run. Narratives are things which are meant to go beyond what numbers tell us to put things in a larger context. The numbers and bb metrics all tell us that in 09 LeBron had one of the greatest regular seasons of all time followed by one of the greatest playoff runs of all time. The narrative if anything is imo what you are trying to say which is that he was still a guy that defenses could scheme out of being an effective #1 scorer in spite of what he actually did by saying that had the Cavs beaten the Magic he still would have had a bad finals and not defeated the Lakers due to the first 3 rounds just being a streaky hot stretch. That narrative is what I see as harder to justify. Sometimes you just need to give a guy credit for what he does without trying to diminish it just because it fell between a few series in 08, 10 and 11 that weren't as good. LeBron's career is harder to evaluate than MJ's but the whole way in which he was on the SI cover at 16 and then thrown onto a trash team with a trash roster and hc's is also part of his story. MJ got semi lucky to get Phil, Tex and Johnny Bach as his coaches from 90 onward.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#490 » by sansterre » Tue Sep 28, 2021 7:37 pm

Cavsfansince84 wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
You're right - saying he couldn't shoot is way over-doing it. He was (slowly) trending in the right direction. But it still happened vs. Celtics and then happened again the following year vs. Mavs. When teams aren't afraid to switch a little guy on you and can get away with backing off and flooding strong side driving lanes, basically daring you to shoot from distance, and you can't make them pay that's not just a cold streak. That's you getting game planned out of a series due to a (perceived) weakness. This is also why I don't totally buy the 09 Lebron narrative despite him going on a heater in the first three rounds. His jumper wasn't totally fixed yet.

His biggest leap as a shooter happened 11-12-13 and you couldn't use the Mavs/Celtics/Spurs blue print anymore. That's when I knew he was truly the best player in the world even though he'd already been that in most situations the previous two years.


See, I don't think there is a narrative when it comes to LeBron's 09 season+playoff run. Narratives are things which are meant to go beyond what numbers tell us to put things in a larger context. The numbers and bb metrics all tell us that in 09 LeBron had one of the greatest regular seasons of all time followed by one of the greatest playoff runs of all time. The narrative if anything is imo what you are trying to say which is that he was still a guy that defenses could scheme out of being an effective #1 scorer in spite of what he actually did by saying that had the Cavs beaten the Magic he still would have had a bad finals and not defeated the Lakers due to the first 3 rounds just being a streaky hot stretch. That narrative is what I see as harder to justify. Sometimes you just need to give a guy credit for what he does without trying to diminish it just because it fell between a few series in 08, 10 and 11 that weren't as good. LeBron's career is harder to evaluate than MJ's but the whole way in which he was on the SI cover at 16 and then thrown onto a trash team with a trash roster and hc's is also part of his story. MJ got semi lucky to get Phil, Tex and Johnny Bach as his coaches from 90 onward.

I've always felt like the '08 and '09 runs were a lot like Jordan from '87-90. ATG-level performances, ATG-level playoffs and simply didn't have the team/coaching to get them all the way.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#491 » by Cavsfansince84 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 7:43 pm

sansterre wrote:I've always felt like the '08 and '09 runs were a lot like Jordan from '87-90. ATG-level performances, ATG-level playoffs and simply didn't have the team/coaching to get them all the way.


I agree. I think that 09-10 LeBron is very comparable to 89-90 MJ. MJ was the better all around scorer but LeBron was still close to being his equal imo. Just like people bring up the 2010 Bos series but MJ's 89-90 Det series had lots of bad games in them. In the 89 series I would even say 3 of his 6 games were semi terrible by the standards we use for both players. It gets dismissed though because Grant and Pippen weren't good enough.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#492 » by falcolombardi » Tue Sep 28, 2021 7:44 pm

sansterre wrote:
Cavsfansince84 wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
You're right - saying he couldn't shoot is way over-doing it. He was (slowly) trending in the right direction. But it still happened vs. Celtics and then happened again the following year vs. Mavs. When teams aren't afraid to switch a little guy on you and can get away with backing off and flooding strong side driving lanes, basically daring you to shoot from distance, and you can't make them pay that's not just a cold streak. That's you getting game planned out of a series due to a (perceived) weakness. This is also why I don't totally buy the 09 Lebron narrative despite him going on a heater in the first three rounds. His jumper wasn't totally fixed yet.

His biggest leap as a shooter happened 11-12-13 and you couldn't use the Mavs/Celtics/Spurs blue print anymore. That's when I knew he was truly the best player in the world even though he'd already been that in most situations the previous two years.


See, I don't think there is a narrative when it comes to LeBron's 09 season+playoff run. Narratives are things which are meant to go beyond what numbers tell us to put things in a larger context. The numbers and bb metrics all tell us that in 09 LeBron had one of the greatest regular seasons of all time followed by one of the greatest playoff runs of all time. The narrative if anything is imo what you are trying to say which is that he was still a guy that defenses could scheme out of being an effective #1 scorer in spite of what he actually did by saying that had the Cavs beaten the Magic he still would have had a bad finals and not defeated the Lakers due to the first 3 rounds just being a streaky hot stretch. That narrative is what I see as harder to justify. Sometimes you just need to give a guy credit for what he does without trying to diminish it just because it fell between a few series in 08, 10 and 11 that weren't as good. LeBron's career is harder to evaluate than MJ's but the whole way in which he was on the SI cover at 16 and then thrown onto a trash team with a trash roster and hc's is also part of his story. MJ got semi lucky to get Phil, Tex and Johnny Bach as his coaches from 90 onward.

I've always felt like the '08 and '09 runs were a lot like Jordan from '87-90. ATG-level performances, ATG-level playoffs and simply didn't have the team/coaching to get them all the way.


87 jordan is to 88 kind of what 08 lebron is to 09 lebron

i would have 87 jordan and 08 LeBron as comparable, both a big distance below 88 jordan which i have a tad below 09 lebron

both were already among the truly best players in the league but jumped into all time level in their first mvp seasons
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#493 » by falcolombardi » Tue Sep 28, 2021 7:55 pm

VanWest82 wrote:
colts18 wrote:How the hell did Lebron quit in Game 6 vs the 2010 Celtics if he had 21 shot attempts, 12 Free Throw attempts, 19 rebounds, 10 assists, 9 turnovers, 3 steals, 1 blocks while holding Paul Pierce to 13 points on 4-13 shooting? Who gets 19 rebounds in a game they quit? That doesn't sound like the effort level of a "quit".


It's hard to comprehend in hindsight given everything he did in game 6 but you have literally millions of fans who watched that game saying his body language was awful and that he quit in the second half. Maybe it's because his body language was awful and he quit in the second half. Game 5 no show at home was weird too.

Maybe you could dismiss it if it was the only time it happened but we've seen Lebron exhibit bad body language and stop trying as hard a number of times now (2010 Celtics, 2011 Finals, 2015 RS, 2018 leading up trade deadline, 2018 G1 OT, etc.). It does seem like as soon as he knows he can't win he gives up some of the time.


i still dont understand why we are evaluating a player performance based on perceived body language instead of their actual impact on court

in not small part also because how subjective and prime to bias it is to evaluate body language and armchair psychoanalize
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#494 » by Cavsfansince84 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:29 pm

falcolombardi wrote:
87 jordan is to 88 kind of what 08 lebron is to 09 lebron

i would have 87 jordan and 08 LeBron as comparable, both a big distance below 88 jordan which i have a tad below 09 lebron

both were already among the truly best players in the league but jumped into all time level in their first mvp seasons


imo 08 LeBron was better than 87 MJ. I think he was the more complete player and physically much more imposing. Which goes into his defense as well. MJ's efficiency wasn't that good either at that point. He had a ts+ of 104 and ts add of only 129 despite scoring over 3000 pts. LeBron in 08 had a ts+ of 105, ts add of 109 and also led the league in scoring while playing in a significantly slower league. So even as a scorer I don't think the gap is that big and I think LeBron was better at nearly everything else.
This to me gets to where the real comparison is between these two players, namely 87-90 vs 08-11 and 96-98 vs 16-18. The most common narrative based stuff is that MJ is clearly above him in the former years and above him in the latter years because he got 3 rings and 2 mvps. I think its very close in the former and in LeBron's favor in the latter while LeBron has the pre 08 and post 18 years in his backpocket. Which is why I now think LeBron deserves to be ranked ahead of MJ. In 2018 I think it was close enough that I gave MJ the push due to his consistent playoff greatness from 90-93 and things like 10 scoring titles but now it's just too far in LeBron's favor for me though I can still respect if people want to put MJ ahead or whoever out of the top guys. So long as people can honestly stand by their reasoning.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#495 » by sansterre » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:42 pm

falcolombardi wrote:
VanWest82 wrote:
colts18 wrote:How the hell did Lebron quit in Game 6 vs the 2010 Celtics if he had 21 shot attempts, 12 Free Throw attempts, 19 rebounds, 10 assists, 9 turnovers, 3 steals, 1 blocks while holding Paul Pierce to 13 points on 4-13 shooting? Who gets 19 rebounds in a game they quit? That doesn't sound like the effort level of a "quit".


It's hard to comprehend in hindsight given everything he did in game 6 but you have literally millions of fans who watched that game saying his body language was awful and that he quit in the second half. Maybe it's because his body language was awful and he quit in the second half. Game 5 no show at home was weird too.

Maybe you could dismiss it if it was the only time it happened but we've seen Lebron exhibit bad body language and stop trying as hard a number of times now (2010 Celtics, 2011 Finals, 2015 RS, 2018 leading up trade deadline, 2018 G1 OT, etc.). It does seem like as soon as he knows he can't win he gives up some of the time.


i still dont understand why we are evaluating a player performance based on perceived body language instead of their actual impact on court

in not small part also because how subjective and prime to bias it is to evaluate body language and armchair psychoanalize

I have long felt that thoughts like these arise from the cognitive dissonance of seeing a player who is so great still fall short.

It is inconceivable that a player as good as Jordan in '88, LeBron in '09 and Kareem in '74 (or '77) could lose. But they do. All the time. Sometimes it's because they aren't as good in the playoffs as in the regular season (Karl Malone, Garnett, Robinson), but more often it's simply because their teammates/coaching/league environment conspires against them. And I think our unconscious struggles to process that kind of a pattern. So it looks for answers.

Jordan has the perfect story. He gathers himself, like a phoenix taking flight, his gaudy stats only an indication that the butterfly of winning is about to emerge from his cocoon of losing. And sure enough, once he spreads his wings he simply doesn't lose (I mean, yeah, '95, but that's an outlier for several reasons).

So with Jordan we can explain away his '87-90 seasons (which, by the way, should require zero explanation) by saying "that wasn't losing, it was preparing to dominate as nobody in the modern era has ever done".

That doesn't work for LeBron. There is no such elegant arc. His '08 and '09 playoffs are certainly comparable to Jordan in '87-90. And in 2010 he seems just as good . . . but still falls short to the Celtics in the playoffs. And then, instead of spreading his wings as Jordan did, he goes to a new team!

The thing is, because Jordan stayed on the Bulls the entire time, it feels like the only meaningful change was him. That's not true of course, as Pippen and Grant hitting their age 25 season helped a ton and Phil Jackson (et al) coming on board was another big help. So it wasn't only Jordan changing. But it *felt* that way.

LeBron jumping to Miami broke the story. It would be like if Jordan lost in 1990 and then went to Philadelphia to join forces with Charles Barkley and Alvin Robertson. Would Jordan have won rings with that team? Heck yes! Would he have been the obvious best player on that team? Yes (well, especially if Barkley starts getting injured and is only a shadow of himself by 1993). So he'd still be amazing, and he'd still be winning, but that narrative of ascension is broken. Now it looks like Jordan won because he went to the Sixers, not because he's the best. Now, in both cases (real '91 Bulls and imaginary '91 Sixers) the teammate support improved and Jordan went on to win, but as long as he stayed with the Bulls the illusion that it was merely Jordan rising to his rightful place in the heavens was plausible.

And then James, once in Miami, had a poop-tastic series against the Mavericks! Sure, Jordan had (and would have) flawed series against good defenses (as the Mavs were) but he never had a series quite like that. We all though LeBron was going to be the next Jordan . . . what happened?

And yes, after 2012 LeBron has a fairly standard GOAT-level career arc. He wins four rings in the next ten years, and is the undisputed best player in the playoffs pretty much every year until 2019 (you could argue about Durant in '17 and '18, but you get my point). And if those ten years had all been with the Cavs (and the 2011 Finals had never happened), his story would basically be Jordan's, just a little clumsier.

The terrible thing about Jordan's story is it basically suggests that greatness needs no examination. Kareem was great, everybody knows. But his support in Milwaukee flagged and he struggled to win rings (despite clearly being the best player in the league) and then he went to the Lakers and still struggled to win rings (despite clearly being the best player in the league) until Magic Johnson came along and the level of teammate support increased. With Kareem, you'd think "Yeah, we know he was the best player in the league for a decade or so, but that doesn't necessarily equal rings. Look at how rough his teammate situation was for most of the 70s." Kareem's career forces us to separate greatness from rings. You can't point at the 1974 season and say anything besides "Kareem was *obviously* the best player in the league and it simply wasn't enough". Kareem's career is realistic, it's how careers normally are. It's basically how LeBron's career has gone (give or take).

Jordan's career simply broke that "greatness <> rings" idea. Jordan played at an insane level for ten seasons, and he won championships in his last six. "Forget that whole idea of having to evaluate a player's performance as independent of his team's success, look at Jordan! You're telling me that being a GOAT-level player doesn't automatically lead to championships but LOOK AT JORDAN! HE FREAKING MADE THEM AUTOMATIC!"

Will there be players as great as Jordan was individually? There are certainly reasonable arguments that LeBron, Kareem, Wilt and Russell have all reached that level, or come close.

But nobody is *ever* going to have a career that lines up that neatly. It is the GOAT career, pure and simple.

But LeBron had all the pieces to do it, in theory. He dragged his motley crew to the Finals through the Pistons! He nearly beat the Celtics in 2008 single-handedly! In 2009 and 2010 he had regular seasons as good as, or better than, any that have ever come before. WHY DID HE NOT HAVE A CAREER LIKE JORDAN!? AND WTF WAS UP WITH THE 2011 FINALS!?

I think, on some level, we keep looking for reasons. Flaws in his character that explain why he fell short. And I think that's one of the reasons the beatification of Jordan's competitiveness has occurred, just as the questioning of LeBron's attitude and body language became rife around that time. Those were the moments when we started to realize that LeBron, regardless of his obviously GOAT-level abilities, was not going to have Jordan's career. And I think some of it is simple backlash at the sacrilege; how DARE this imposter pretend to the throne!? I'm not saying that it's fabricated; if LeBron had stayed in Cleveland and won six titles over the next eight years, I think that Jordan fans would take it reasonably in stride.

But there is no question that LeBron's career (which is significantly determined by team success and narrative coherence) fell short. And a lot of us wonder why, on a subconscious level. Some intellectualize it, remember Kareem, and try to separate LeBron's performance from his team's success. And some simply reject him holistically for having the theoretical ability to have a career like Jordan's, and simply falling short.

Whew, I went long on this one. Pontification over.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#496 » by Cavsfansince84 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:53 pm

sansterre wrote:
Jordan's career simply broke that "greatness <> rings" idea. Jordan played at an insane level for ten seasons, and he won championships in his last six. "Forget that whole idea of having to evaluate a player's performance as independent of his team's success, look at Jordan! You're telling me that being a GOAT-level player doesn't automatically lead to championships but LOOK AT JORDAN! HE FREAKING MADE THEM AUTOMATIC!"

Will there be players as great as Jordan was individually? There are certainly reasonable arguments that LeBron, Kareem, Wilt and Russell have all reached that level, or come close.

But nobody is *ever* going to have a career that lines up that neatly. It is the GOAT career, pure and simple.


Overall good post but the bolded part I don't fully agree with. Outside of marrying scoring titles with great defense and rings I still would say that Russell from a purely holistic view had the better career. Two titles in college, followed by moving to the pros and immediately winning rings, 11 in 13 years, plus the mvps, plus winning rings as the favorites as well as the underdog in the 66-69 years. Also winning as player/coach and which doesn't even get into how many dpoys he might have gotten had it existed or fmvps. So to me Russell what is closer to a perfect career. MJ has the starting at the bottom then getting to the top thing but Russell by his sheer presence made his teams near the top. At the very least MJ's can't be looked at as clearly above it.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#497 » by Texas Chuck » Tue Sep 28, 2021 9:06 pm

I think Tim Duncan could be argued as well to have the GOAT career. Enters the league as an MVP and DPOY level player, makes his team an immediate contender, wins 5 championships as the best player along the way of a 2 decade career where his team is at least a fringe contender every year, much more that basically every year and still wins 67 games his final season and still anchoring the best defense in the league.

We've decided the Jordan narrative is best, but we don't have to decide that at all. Russell, Lebron, Kareem, and Timmy all have career arcs that are different but no less impressive.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#498 » by Cavsfansince84 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 9:14 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:I think Tim Duncan could be argued as well to have the GOAT career. Enters the league as an MVP and DPOY level player, makes his team an immediate contender, wins 5 championships as the best player along the way of a 2 decade career where his team is at least a fringe contender every year, much more that basically every year and still wins 67 games his final season and still anchoring the best defense in the league.

We've decided the Jordan narrative is best, but we don't have to decide that at all. Russell, Lebron, Kareem, and Timmy all have career arcs that are different but no less impressive.


I think Duncan was within a few injuries to himself and/or teammates from being right there in that LBJ, MJ, KAJ, Russell group. He had like 4-5 years where either injuries or things like a Fisher/Allen 3 may have cost him a ring.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#499 » by Texas Chuck » Tue Sep 28, 2021 9:30 pm

Cavsfansince84 wrote: I think Duncan was within a few injuries to himself and/or teammates from being right there in that LBJ, MJ, KAJ, Russell group. He had like 4-5 years where either injuries or things like a Fisher/Allen 3 may have cost him a ring.


Sorry, I might not have been clear. While I do think Duncan is one of 5 players with a GOAT case, I think he and Kareem's cases are actually weaker than the other 3.

What I meant was in simply in terms of narrative. The story of his career is pretty flawless.(people can lose me with but he didn't win b2b--which is a Jordan narrative) Same team for 19 years, great at the beginning, still very much a positive and still elite defender at the very end. His team did nothing but win and win and win and win. While we bicker back and forth a bit about how much Mike or Lebron helped his teammates, universally everyone who ever played with Tim plus Pop all say to a person that Tim Duncan was THE reason for the Spurs sustained success.

I think the narrative of his career is pretty flawless even if I think Russell, Lebron, and Mike had "greater" careers.
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Re: Jordan v Lebron - A civilised conversation 

Post#500 » by Cavsfansince84 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 9:43 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:
Cavsfansince84 wrote:
Sorry, I might not have been clear. While I do think Duncan is one of 5 players with a GOAT case, I think he and Kareem's cases are actually weaker than the other 3.

What I meant was in simply in terms of narrative. The story of his career is pretty flawless.(people can lose me with but he didn't win b2b--which is a Jordan narrative) Same team for 19 years, great at the beginning, still very much a positive and still elite defender at the very end. His team did nothing but win and win and win and win. While we bicker back and forth a bit about how much Mike or Lebron helped his teammates, universally everyone who ever played with Tim plus Pop all say to a person that Tim Duncan was THE reason for the Spurs sustained success.

I think the narrative of his career is pretty flawless even if I think Russell, Lebron, and Mike had "greater" careers.


I think Duncan is given a fair amount of credit though getting to play with older DRob and Popovich for 20 years was a pretty uniquely good situation to be in. Plus Tony and Manu. Which isn't to discredit Duncan but just part of why I'm not much a fan of the whole narrative view of looking at players' careers. As I said, I think just based on what he actually did and what could have easily been he would be seen as in that goat group(which some would put Wilt or Magic in). Some do but I wouldn't say its a common thing for the average fan. I have him at 5th and only half a step down from that group but if injuries don't happen and he had finished with 6-7 rings it would change that.

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