tsherkin wrote:falcolombardi wrote:pre 80's ball averaged 102~ points per 100 at best, 2020's ball averaged 112
what was good enough scoring pre 80's is a -10 offense today, and that is before accounting for modern players not playing a midrange based game so they wouldnt be as good at playing that kind of basketball
playing a pre 80's style game spacing inside and shot profile wise is basically a 10~ point handicap
I don't think that was his point. I think he was noting that the number of defenders in space down in the paint was something manageable for a lot of the more powerful/creative finishers, etc
i think here is relevant to remember why is it thst we use relative to league average efficiency when comparing across eras. is because if we used raw numbers we would have to see that julius erving was a bad efficiency scorer or than the average center today is a better finisher than wilt
if julius erving played today and scored equally and exactly as well as in his peak with the nets he would quickly find himself as a bench player, meaning that for him to be as good as he was in the 70's he would need to have a better shot profile with more 3's and easier spacing for him, his 70's scoring wouldnt be good enough today
but if you're able to get TO the basket for a high-efficiency finish and/or drawn contact, then that's something else.
the heat player who can do that was injured and airballing jumpers as a consequence, their other guys are more limited by weaker athletism or skill
so we've seen teams like the Warriors who are able to do a little more in between are more resilient offenses.
are you maybe thinking of the suns? warriors are one of the most "3 or lay ups" teams today, they go about it in a unusual way by not spamming pick and roll but almost all their shots end as 3's or drives/cuts to the paint
suns and bulls were maybe the most "do stuff in between the paint and 3 point line" in the playoffs. the suns offense collapsed and the bulls one was outright murdered by bucks D
doing more stuff in the middle is not automatically gonna give you a higher offense floor but a lower ceiling, you could just as easily end up shooting 35% in 2 point jumpers instead of 30% on 3's and make the whole thingh even worse
Miami was a +1.8% rTS team at 113.7 ORTG (+1.7), ranked 10th in the league on O. Butler and Lowry look very much hampered by injury.
this^, miami was not a great offense, they are facubg a great defense, and did so with by far their best offensive player hurt, it was always gonna be ugly unless their other players stepped up, which they didnt



















