Retro POY '07-08 (Voting Complete)

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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#61 » by bastillon » Wed Apr 28, 2010 9:52 pm

That said, LeBron's postseason +30.9 on-court/off-court plus minus was telling to me. He might not have been efficient, he might have been grinding, but dangit he made a lot of people in Boston hold their breaths. To me, that was more impressive than what Kobe accomplished under better circumstances.


LeBron played essentially every minute of that postseason... aside from blowouts. I don't see why you would base your analysis off of that sample.

I'm not sure why anyone would penalize Garnett for blowing out the competition. try playing a lot of minutes when you're outscoring your opponents by 10.2 PPG on average. in the playoffs similar thing happened as Celtics blew out the Hawks in all 4 wins and every series there was at least one blow out in either way too. can't blame him for playing too well, right ? why would I put LBJ higher just because he played on a crappier team, huh ? :roll:
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#62 » by Doctor MJ » Wed Apr 28, 2010 9:55 pm

My take on Nash - I think it's a really tough year year to judge. Throwing aside what happened with the trade, the team started out really great and then stumbled toward the end of the year which resulted in them not being a top 4 seed, and not putting up a great show in the playoffs.

Nash's +/- was totally through the roof (APM doesn't look as good, but he's totally dominating his teammates there), and his shooting efficiency was still jaw dropping for the last time in his career. Doing that while winning 54 games is a huge accomplishment, but of course the year feels like a failure. A question arises of what it says about Nash's season that the team decided to throw away an elite record on a massive gamble with Shaq. I'll be going back & forth on that well after this project is done.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#63 » by mysticbb » Wed Apr 28, 2010 9:56 pm

semi-sentient wrote:What puts Kobe over the edge above the other players is how he performed in the playoffs, simply put. That's where there is a clear separation. NO ONE expected the Lakers to make the Finals that year, not even after we got Gasol, but they got there and gave the Celtics a good run for their money (well, first few games at least) so I like Kobe's overall body of work over CP3's.


I strongly disagree with that part. First of all, the most analysts saw the Lakers as a contender and best team in the West after that trade, example: http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/news?slug=a ... kers020108
Saying it was surprising the Lakers made the finals is somewhat weird.
Also look up what Bryant did against the Celtics in the finals. Blowing a big lead at home, and Bryant played bad in that 2nd half, and also his game 6 performance was awful. James gets punished for his performance against the Celtics, but his average game score against them was 17.5, Bryant had 16.4 against the Celtics. I just want to point out that Bryant's finals performance overall was worse than Nowitzki in 2006. And no, I don't let the "good defense" here be an excuse. If Bryant is the clear cut best player in the league, he would have found a way to win at least all home games.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#64 » by drza » Wed Apr 28, 2010 9:57 pm

Silver Bullet wrote:Okay. You guys are getting carried away here.

Consider this:

How many people have ever won the MVP award playing less than 2400 minutes in a season ?
Nobody. Ever.

And then Consider the last 6 big men to win the MVP award, including KG himself.

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Please tell me how are you guys even considering putting him at 1. He's pulling 18 points and 9.7 boards, compared to some of the seasons we have, like O Neal in 99-00 at 30 and 13.6 -


The thing is, he isn't competing with Shaq in 2000. He's competing with '08 LeBron, Kobe and Paul. For those that give credence to advanced stats, many have already been posted to suggest that on-court in the regular season Garnett was right there with the others. He may not have played a huge number of regular season minutes, but he did play a lot of postseason minutes and led his team on a championship run . Considering this is supposed to be a total season award, Garnett certainly has a strong case.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#65 » by Doctor MJ » Wed Apr 28, 2010 9:58 pm

Silver Bullet wrote:How many people have ever won the MVP award playing less than 2400 minutes in a season ?
Nobody. Ever.


Two words my friend: Bill Walton.

That is relevant, and for some of the same reason: If you're team is doing well enough, and while you play you are the best player around, you can argue that even significant missed time shouldn't count against you.

With that said, part of Walton's case is that his team totally fell apart with out him, and another part is that '78 might be the weakest MVP year in history since Kareem also missed a ton of time.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#66 » by An Unbiased Fan » Wed Apr 28, 2010 9:59 pm

drza wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:
drza wrote:I'm having trouble evaluating Paul, LeBron and Kobe. My feeling is that LeBron was the best of them in the regular season, with Paul second and Kobe third. In the postseason LeBron obviously wasn't efficient against the Celtics, but he came awfully dang close to toppling that team and I credit him for that. So I guess I'm talking myself into having him above the other two.

When it comes to Kobe vs Paul, I'm torn. The stats tell me that Paul was significantly better. I thought that Kobe was pretty strong in the postseason, though. I do feel that he was given some of the credit for the Lakers' run that should have gone to the Gasol/Odom front line. Kobe was definitely the best player, but I think Gasol should have gotten a bit more love.

I'm interested to see if any particularly compelling arguments come to light for any of the above

The problem with Lebron is that he didn't play great defense in 2008, and led the Cavs to only 45 wins in a very weak East. In the playoffs he beat a 43 win Wiz team, but was very erratic on both offense & defense in the Celtic series. He ended up shooting 41% for the playoffs.

Kobe to me was the best. Paul had great numbers, but in the context of the opposing offensive schemes, I would say both were even. Kobe added defense to the equation though, and this along with his leadership, especially 2 weeks before the end of the season and the playoffs, give him the edge.


Re: postseason. I have some experience paying close attention to what happens to a lone-superstar that is expected to do everything when he is leading a team without a lot of talent against great opposition in the playoffs. In most cases your efficiency gets a lot lower, which makes your boxscore stats not as impressive. But I tend to look more at overall impact than purely what the box scores show, which is one of the things I like about the +/- stats. They aren't perfect, but they often seem to show when a player is having a big impact that the box scores don't catch.

That said, LeBron's postseason +30.9 on-court/off-court plus minus was telling to me. He might not have been efficient, he might have been grinding, but dangit he made a lot of people in Boston hold their breaths. To me, that was more impressive than what Kobe accomplished under better circumstances.

Lebron had a horrible series against the Celtics. I don't see how his postseason was more impressive than Kobe's. Lebron beat a 43 win team and proceeded to shoot 35.5% against Boston and averaged 5.3 turnovers a game.

Kobe led his team without Bynum to 3 series wins against 50+ win opponents and had a better series against Boston than Lebron.

If the Finals were a 2-2-1-1-1 format, LA/Bos would have gone 7 games too.

Boston vs Celveland 2008:

Game 1 - Lebron 12 points (2-18) FG, 9 ast, 9 rebs, 10 turnovers
Game 2 - Lebron 21 points (6-24) FG, 6 ast, 5 rebs, 7 turnovers
Game 3 - Lebron 21 points (5-16) FG, 8 ast, 5 rebs, 2 turnovers
Game 4 - Lebron 21 points (7-20) FG, 13 ast, 6 rebs, 4 turnovers
Game 5 - Lebron 35 points (12-25) FG, 5 ast, 3 rebs, 4 turnovers
Game 6 - Lebron 32 points (9-23) FG, 6 ast, 12 rebs, 8 turnovers
Game 7 - Lebron 45 points (14-29) FG, 6 ast, 5 rebs, 2 turnovers

26.7 ppg/7.6 apg/6.4 rpg/ 5.3 tos 35.5% FG

Boston vs LA 2008:

Game 1 - Kobe 24 points (9-26) FG, 6 ast, 3 rebs, 4 turnovers
Game 2 - Kobe 30 points (11-23) FG, 8 ast, 4 rebs, 4 turnovers
Game 3 - Kobe 36 points (12-20) FG, 1 ast, 7 rebs, 3 turnovers
Game 4 - Kobe 17 points (6-19) FG, 10 ast, 4 rebs, 2 turnovers
Game 5 - Kobe 25 points (8-21) FG, 4 ast, 7 rebs, 6 turnovers
Game 6 - Kobe 22 points (7-22) FG, 1 ast, 3 rebs, 4 turnovers

25.7 ppg/5 apg/4.7 rpg/3.8 tos 40.5% FG
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#67 » by mysticbb » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:03 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:If the Finals were a 2-2-1-1-1 format, LA/Bos would have gone 7 games too.


The Lakers lost game 4 at home. They would have went back to Boston being down 1-3. The series would have been over in 5!
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#68 » by wigglestrue » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:05 pm

Garnet had a pretty big impact for the Celtics, but the fact that they were able to win consistently without him was somewhat telling. His defensive intensity and hunger was a pretty big part of why the Celtics were so dominant defensively, but I do believe that them being healthy and adding other strong defenders had just as much to do with it. The reason I can't put Garnet higher is because he played only 32.8 MPG in addition to missing 11 complete games, which tells me he didn't mean as much to his team as other players seeing as how they didn't really miss a beat. Certainly he didn't have to carry them on offense the way the others did, and I'm not convinced that they wouldn't have still been a strong (although not all-time elite) defensive team with even a solid PF replacing Garnet. At the same time, how big of an impact does he truly have when you consider how poor the Wolves were just one season earlier? I don't think Garnet was good enough to led a weaker cast (such as those that the 3 above him had), so he can have the #4 spot.


Already refuted. Above.

How many people have ever won the MVP award playing less than 2400 minutes in a season ?
Nobody. Ever.


Except. For. Bob. Cousy. In. 1957. And. Bill. Walton. In. 1978.

All it takes is a quick perusal of the web.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/awards/mvp.html

...and Nash only had 2573 minutes in '05 (but that's the magic of you arbitrarily picking 2400, right?)
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#69 » by An Unbiased Fan » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:06 pm

mysticbb wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:If the Finals were a 2-2-1-1-1 format, LA/Bos would have gone 7 games too.


The Lakers lost game 4 at home. They would have went back to Boston being down 1-3. The series would have been over in 5!

That's debatable. the whole dynamic of the series would have been different. I could see it going 5 or 7.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#70 » by bastillon » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:07 pm

Garnet had a pretty big impact for the Celtics, but the fact that they were able to win consistently without him was somewhat telling. His defensive intensity and hunger was a pretty big part of why the Celtics were so dominant defensively, but I do believe that them being healthy and adding other strong defenders had just as much to do with it. The reason I can't put Garnet higher is because he played only 32.8 MPG in addition to missing 11 complete games, which tells me he didn't mean as much to his team as other players seeing as how they didn't really miss a beat. Certainly he didn't have to carry them on offense the way the others did, and I'm not convinced that they wouldn't have still been a strong (although not all-time elite) defensive team with even a solid PF replacing Garnet. At the same time, how big of an impact does he truly have when you consider how poor the Wolves were just one season earlier? I don't think Garnet was good enough to led a weaker cast (such as those that the 3 above him had), so he can have the #4 spot.


I'm questioning whether you even read the discussion. why have this discussion anyway when you're just ignoring facts ?

Celtics didn't skip a beat because they played against lottery competition. +/- tells you a vastly different story from what you're presenting here. if anything, playing 32.8 MPG and STILL have so big impact to win 66 games is even more impressive. imagine how many games would the Celts win had he played ~40 MPG that he was accustomed to and had he not missed those 11 games ? 70 definitely isn't out of the question. now that's not that relevant here anyway, but you can't ignore how many they won, and how large impact Garnett had on them.

some posts topic-related:
drza wrote:If you're looking for a "why KG deserved the 2008 MVP" case I wrote a pretty in depth one back in the day, but I'll see what I can remember from it.

1) MVP voting precedence

a) The Celtics had the best record in the NBA by 7 full games over the team in second and 66 wins overall. IIRC no team has ever dominated the league like that and not had the MVP come from their ranks.

b) The Celtics obliterated the record for best turnaround in NBA history that year, and though there were other factors (just like in every one of those big turnaround cases) every other player considered the main new addition in one of the top-5 win turnarounds won either MVP or ROY (if they were a rookie).

2) On-court impact: Bastillion already posted the article that went through all of the major advanced stats and found that KG was #1 in the NBA that season. People get too caught up on only box score stats when now there are so many other, often better ways, to gauge a player's impact.

3) Off-court impact: Everyone from inside the Celtics' organization credited KG with changing everything about that team. He made them practice harder. He made them stay focused on defense. The young players credited him as one of the main mentors that made their transition to the NBA easier, and the older players credited him for changing the way they approached the game. If you listed adjectives to describe the 08 Celtics, you'd probably use some combo of "defense", "unselfish", "hard working", "edgy". Words that, before 08, you wouldn't have used to describe Pierce or Allen but that have always been used to describe KG.

Bottom line, KG has a strong statistical argument. He was the best player on a team that hit the milestones that almost always guarantee their best player an MVP award. And his off-court impact changed the entire culture in Boston to make the team stronger than the sum of it's parts. In short, he has one of the stronger MVP cases that we've seen in recent memory, especially among players that didn't win it.


bastillon wrote:
And how do you explain his team going 9-2 without him that season?


look at the piece-of-crap teams they beat(their records at the time of facing the Celtics):

Code: Select all

@Miami Heat                   9-34
Dallas Mavericks             31-13
Los Angeles Clippers         15-30
@Minnesota Timberwolves      10-37
San Antonio Spurs            32-16
@Indiana Pacers              21-30
New York Knickerbockers,     15-37
@Charlotte Bobcats           29-47
@New York Knickerbockers     23-57


starting line-ups:

Code: Select all

M. Blount   ▪ U. Haslem   ▪ D. Wade     ▪ J. Williams  ▪ D. Wright
E. Dampier  ▪ J. Howard   ▪ E. Jones    ▪ D. Nowitzki  ▪ J. Terry
S. Cassell  ▪ C. Kaman    ▪ C. Maggette ▪ Q. Ross      ▪ A. Thornton
C. Brewer   ▪ R. Gomes    ▪ M. Jaric    ▪ A. Jefferson ▪ S. Telfair
B. Bowen    ▪ T. Duncan   ▪ M. Ginobili ▪ F. Oberto    ▪ J. Vaughn
T. Diener   ▪ M. Dunleavy ▪ J. Foster   ▪ D. Granger   ▪ T. Murphy
J. Crawford ▪ E. Curry    ▪ F. Jones    ▪ Z. Randolph  ▪ Q. Richardson
M. Carroll  ▪ J. Davidson ▪ R. Felton   ▪ E. Okafor    ▪ J. Richardson
W. Chandler ▪ J. Crawford ▪ J. Jeffries ▪ D. Lee       ▪ Z. Randolph


combined record of 185-301, on 31W pace per 82 games
we can see two groups in these teams:
good teams - Spurs and Mavs with combined record of 63-29, 56W pace
deep lottery teams - the rest with combined record of 122-272, 25W pace

so they beat a hell lot of DEEP LOTTERY teams and 2 respectable good teams... but those good teams were playing without their key players - Devin Harris and Tony Parker and to replace them, they had to use combo of Eddie Jones and Jose Barea(Mavs) or Jacques Vaughn and Damon Stoudemire(Spurs). they had the record on 56W pace, but were they that good ? the answer is no, not even close. without those key players with absolutely noone who could replace them with any kind of positive production, they were much worse... maybe 50W teams... maybe 45W... I think the Spurs without Tony Parker for the entire season wouldn't win more than around 45 games. neither would Mavs without Devin Harris. and I think that's conservative still...

so the Celtics without Garnett beat a hell lot of extremely poor teams with a combined record of 25W and two respectable teams without their key players who were as powerful as maybe 45W teams. that's not really a great company.

who did they lose to ?

Code: Select all

@Cleveland Cavaliers         27-20
@Orlando Magic               28-18


Code: Select all

D. Gooden ▪ L. Hughes ▪ Z. Ilgauskas ▪ L. James ▪ I. Newble
C. Arroyo ▪ M. Evans  ▪ D. Howard    ▪ R. Lewis ▪ H. Turkoglu


on 48W pace, good teams, not great teams.

so as we can see the Celtics without KG had pretty bad opponents if you consider that the best team in that 11-game stretch were Orlando Magic who were good team that year, but not even close to great and on the other hand, they were playing a lot of really crappy teams, then it's nothing surprising they were able to win against them. probably Spurs without Parker or any 45-50W team could've won just as many games with these opponents. prbably any 35W team could be above .500 in that stretch. those teams simply sucked.


bastillon wrote:
1. The team's dramatic turn around: First off, I would like to point out that in 2007, when the team only had 24 wins, Pierce missed 35 games and Al missed 13. Secondly, and most importantly, THE TEAM WAS COMPLETELY DIFFERENT. The only players that stayed was Pierce, Rondo, Perkins and Tony Allen. So why does KG get all the credit for the turnaround, when the team was not even close to the same as the year before.. Its not like he turned that 07 team into a title winner. The team changed dramactically, much more than just adding KG.


although I agree KG wasn't the only addition, I have to point out that Boston gave up a lot for Allen and KG. they gave up 20/10 big and 6 other players for KG and Delonte with Szczerbiak for Allen. but you're right - it's not like they were coming there to be the missing pieces - they were building this team from the ground.

on the other hand, to ilustrate you how big of a factor KG was, look at Wolves 07 and 08:
KG is traded for Ryan Gomes, Gerald Green, Al Jefferson, Theo Ratliff, Sebastian Telfair(and 2 future 1st rounders - Flynn and Ellington, but they don't matter here), so you wouldn't expect them to be much worse since there were so many players coming for Garnett... and still Wolves went from 32W to 22W so the difference was clear.

and yes, there were other roster changes that year for Wolves... for the better. Ricky Davis wasn't cancering there anymore and he played 3000 mins in '07, Mark Blount wasn't cancering there anymore and he played 2500 mins, Trenton Hassell although not a cancer, but still poor player played 2200 mins, Mike James played 2000... I mean that '07 squad was Garnett and BIG TIME cancers. look at what happened to those guys after that year:

Ricky Davis and Blount went to Heat and unsurprisingly they won only 15 games(and I know there were other factors but this one was a huge blow to them too).

Trenton Hassell became a deep bench player

Mike James was first in Houston, then a 'back-up' (ask NOH fans) and then he was cancering Wizzards right to the lottery(19W).

these guys weren't just terrible, they were helping the other team. you put Al Jefferson on that team and I don't think they win 15 games(he won 22 with MUCH better supporting cast). so well... if we compare the 2007 Wolves with 2008 Wolves, there were other roster changes than just KG for those guys swap but other changes were CLEARLY positive(any time you get rid of Ricky Davis, Blount, Mike James and Hassell at the same time, it's HUGE positive) and still...

despite trading Garnett for multiple ok players and 20/10 big, despite getting rid of cancers, despite the fact that young Wolves players were developing, they still won 10 less games. it shows how HUGE KG's impact was if you consider all these circumstances. show me another ANY example in history where trade made such a huge impact on BOTH teams.

the 2-way turnaround was easily the greatest of all-time.


... and that's regular season. in the playoffs Garnett outplayed both James and Bryant very clearly and Paul achieved vastly less.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#71 » by drza » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:07 pm

bastillon wrote:
That said, LeBron's postseason +30.9 on-court/off-court plus minus was telling to me. He might not have been efficient, he might have been grinding, but dangit he made a lot of people in Boston hold their breaths. To me, that was more impressive than what Kobe accomplished under better circumstances.


LeBron played essentially every minute of that postseason... aside from blowouts. I don't see why you would base your analysis off of that sample.

I'm not sure why anyone would penalize Garnett for blowing out the competition. try playing a lot of minutes when you're outscoring your opponents by 10.2 PPG on average. in the playoffs similar thing happened as Celtics blew out the Hawks in all 4 wins and every series there was at least one blow out in either way too. can't blame him for playing too well, right ? why would I put LBJ higher just because he played on a crappier team, huh ? :roll:


Good point on the fact that LeBron didn't sit very much in the postseason, making the +/- stat harder to gauge. I'm not saying that LeBron having a big net +/- in the postseason makes me think he's the best...I was coming from the opposite direction. From watching the playoffs, I thought that he had a huge impact even when his efficiency went down the toilet, and the net +/- stat was something quantitative that seemed to reflect that.

That said, I do agree that KG was better than him in the postseason. One interesting thing is how forgotten it is that Pierce and Allen were EPICALLY bad against the Cavs before game 7. Pierce had a great game 7, and I'm glad he did, but you see people (even in this thread) saying that he battled LeBron, but the reality is that if the Celtics were relying on Pierce and Allen to lead them they never would have gotten close to a game 7.

Through the first 6 games of that series Pierce averaged 15.8 points on 36% FG (1.1 pps) and had as many turnovers (20) as assists (20). Allen averaged 10.2 points on 35% FG (1.1 pps) without making any other impact. You can make the strong case that LeBron was getting more from his supporting cast through 6 games than KG was, but KG was outplaying LeBron individually and thus keeping his team in it.

So in summary, I do think LeBron was having a big postseason impact even when his efficiency went through the floor. But I think Garnett's was larger.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#72 » by An Unbiased Fan » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:09 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:Regular Season:

5) Duncan - All-D(1st), had a stellar year

-Duncan's all-around play took SA to 56 wins in a tie with No for 2nd in the West. Offense, Defense, leadership, he delivered enough to crack the Top 5.


I'm not going to say Duncan's not a worthy pick, he's a reasonable choice. That said I think it has to be noted there was a pretty major fall off from the previous year. His shooting % went way down, and he wasn't the team's leading scorer in either the regular or post-season. It was indeed a stellar year, but it was a poor year by Duncan standards.

True, but his defense anchored that SA team. In many ways his role was similiar to KG's in Boston. Duncan is one of those players whose impact isn't fully reflected in the boxscore.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#73 » by Silver Bullet » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:18 pm

drza wrote:
Silver Bullet wrote:Okay. You guys are getting carried away here.

Consider this:

How many people have ever won the MVP award playing less than 2400 minutes in a season ?
Nobody. Ever.

And then Consider the last 6 big men to win the MVP award, including KG himself.

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Please tell me how are you guys even considering putting him at 1. He's pulling 18 points and 9.7 boards, compared to some of the seasons we have, like O Neal in 99-00 at 30 and 13.6 -


The thing is, he isn't competing with Shaq in 2000. He's competing with '08 LeBron, Kobe and Paul. For those that give credence to advanced stats, many have already been posted to suggest that on-court in the regular season Garnett was right there with the others. He may not have played a huge number of regular season minutes, but he did play a lot of postseason minutes and led his team on a championship run . Considering this is supposed to be a total season award, Garnett certainly has a strong case.


That is not true. Advanced stats like PER and WS favor big men, so it only makes sense to compare him to other big men.

I mean, you can't even make a case that he was better than any of the other big men that year.

Consider This:
Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

I mean, compare him to Duncan - You certainly can't make a case, that he's eons better defensively than Duncan is. Yet Duncan puts up nearly the same stats while playing nearly 300 minutes extra. If I were to look at Totals, KG would be very the 2nd worst player in this group statistically.

And he's certainly no match for Amare statistically (using the same advanced stats you are propagating, mind you), even on a per game basis.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#74 » by mysticbb » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:18 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:Kobe led his team without Bynum to 3 series wins against 50+ win opponents and had a better series against Boston than Lebron.


James was able to led his team to 3 wins against the Celtics, he also nearly beat them alone on the road by putting up 45 pts.
Bryant still had Gasol as his sidekick, the Lakers as a team had a ts% without Bryant of 55.1, Bryant had 50.5 for that series.

Bryant got 68.1/32.5/14.3 per game on 55.1 TS% from his teammates, James got 58.4/31.1/10.1 on 51.8 TS% from his teammates. Bryant clearly had more help than James had and still wasn't able to beat the Celtics.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#75 » by mysticbb » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:25 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:That's debatable. the whole dynamic of the series would have been different. I could see it going 5 or 7.


That is not debatable. The structure until that game 4 is exactly the same as in normal playoff rounds. The 3rd game at home in the row is were the dynamic changes. The Lakers would have been out in 5, no doubt about that. They had no chance in Boston. All games in Boston that season were lost, the average scoring margin was 17.4.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#76 » by An Unbiased Fan » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:26 pm

mysticbb wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:Kobe led his team without Bynum to 3 series wins against 50+ win opponents and had a better series against Boston than Lebron.


James was able to led his team to 3 wins against the Celtics, he also nearly beat them alone on the road by putting up 45 pts.
Bryant still had Gasol as his sidekick, the Lakers as a team had a ts% without Bryant of 55.1, Bryant had 50.5 for that series.

Bryant got 68.1/32.5/14.3 per game on 55.1 TS% from his teammates, James got 58.4/31.1/10.1 on 51.8 TS% from his teammates. Bryant clearly had more help than James had and still wasn't able to beat the Celtics.

The Cav's strength was their defense. To say Lebron did anything alone would be a fallacy when they were able to push Boston to 7 games, with Lebron shooting a dismal 32.5% through the first 6 games of the series and averaging almost as many turnovers as assists.

Kobe won 3 series and made the Finals, I don't see a case for Lebron here. Gasol was good, but LA had no Bynum or Ariza.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#77 » by mysticbb » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:36 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:Kobe won 3 series and made the Finals, I don't see a case for Lebron here. Gasol was good, but LA had no Bynum or Ariza.


Bryant would have been out in the 2nd round, if he would have faced the Celtics in that round. Punishing James, even though he had a rather bad overall series, but not punishing Bryant for his even worse finals performance against the same team is called hypocrysis.
But well, we all knew how your voting list would look like in the first place. I really have no idea what you are trying to accomplish with that. You should have already noticed that the most people aren't taking you serious anyway. It is similar to JordanBulls.

I have to apologize to all other readers/posters in this thread. I shouldn't try pointless argumentations in the first place.
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#78 » by Silver Bullet » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:38 pm

mysticbb wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:Kobe led his team without Bynum to 3 series wins against 50+ win opponents and had a better series against Boston than Lebron.


James was able to led his team to 3 wins against the Celtics, he also nearly beat them alone on the road by putting up 45 pts.
Bryant still had Gasol as his sidekick, the Lakers as a team had a ts% without Bryant of 55.1, Bryant had 50.5 for that series.

Bryant got 68.1/32.5/14.3 per game on 55.1 TS% from his teammates, James got 58.4/31.1/10.1 on 51.8 TS% from his teammates. Bryant clearly had more help than James had and still wasn't able to beat the Celtics.


First of all, the Boston team that the Lakers played and the Boston team that Cavaliers played were two totally different outfits. The Celtics were still finding thier groove up until atleast midway through the conference finals. They were firing on all cylinders by the time the Finals rolled around. Ray Allen was practically missing the first 3 rounds of the playoffs, he was on fire in the finals.

Second, the reason why the Cavs took the Celtics to 7 games had a lot more to do with the Cavs defense than anything else. The Cavaliers rank right up there with some of the greatest defensive teams in history - if you doubt that, I can do a detailed post later. Regardless, see game 6, where they held the Celtics to 69 points, or game 5 where they held the Celtics to 77 or even game 1 which they lost, but held the Celtics to 76. The Celtics crossed the 90 pt mark just twice in 7 games. Compare that to the Finals, where the Celtics crossed the 90 pt mark in 5 out of 6 games.

Third, I hope people don't dismiss this as some Kobe homer saying stupid stuff and watch the whole video. But there's not much better Kobe could have played in the Finals. What more did you want him to do ?
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nepmd2ygMK4[/youtube]
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#79 » by semi-sentient » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:39 pm

mysticbb wrote:I strongly disagree with that part. First of all, the most analysts saw the Lakers as a contender and best team in the West after that trade, example: http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/news?slug=a ... kers020108


Sorry, I'm referring primarily to the Lakers fan base. Most sports analysts are complete morons, as evidenced by the amount that favored the Cavs over last years Magic. I think most of us, going into the post-season, would have been ecstatic with reaching the WCF, but the general perception was that we were not going to get past the Spurs.

mysticbb wrote:Also look up what Bryant did against the Celtics in the finals. Blowing a big lead at home, and Bryant played bad in that 2nd half,


You're seriously going to blame Kobe for that collapse?

I'm not going to sit here and say that Kobe didn't play bad, but he was not the reason that the Lakers lost. In the 2nd half, here's how he played compared to everyone else:

Kobe: 14 PTS (6-15 FG, 2-2 FT), 4 AST
Team: 19 PTS (7-26 FG, 5-9 FT), 4 AST

mysticbb wrote:and also his game 6 performance was awful. James gets punished for his performance against the Celtics, but his average game score against them was 17.5, Bryant had 16.4 against the Celtics.


I don't even know what game score is, but I can take a wild guess and say that it's quite flawed to throw out series averages considering how well James played in Game 7. Neither of them played particularly well, but I recall Kobe being the slightly better player of the two. Kobe had some awful stretches, but nothing quite as awful as LeBron in his first two games. In fact, the Cavs barely lost game 1 with LeBron shooting 2-18 and having a "game score" of -0.7, whereas in Game 6 the Lakers got completely annihilated. That game wasn't even close to competitive from the 2nd quarter on.

mysticbb wrote:I just want to point out that Bryant's finals performance overall was worse than Nowitzki in 2006.


Sorry, but that's huge steaming pile of crap. The Celtics were a considerably better defensive team than the Heat and game-planned to stop Kobe, whereas Nowitzki just flat out couldn't get it done despite being favored and up 2 games. Do you want to sit here and tell me that he had anywhere near the defensive pressure that Kobe had or as large a role on the team?
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Re: Retro POY '07-08 

Post#80 » by drza » Wed Apr 28, 2010 10:42 pm

Silver Bullet wrote:
drza wrote:The thing is, he isn't competing with Shaq in 2000. He's competing with '08 LeBron, Kobe and Paul. For those that give credence to advanced stats, many have already been posted to suggest that on-court in the regular season Garnett was right there with the others. He may not have played a huge number of regular season minutes, but he did play a lot of postseason minutes and led his team on a championship run . Considering this is supposed to be a total season award, Garnett certainly has a strong case.


That is not true. Advanced stats like PER and WS favor big men, so it only makes sense to compare him to other big men.

I mean, you can't even make a case that he was better than any of the other big men that year.

Consider This:
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I mean, compare him to Duncan - You certainly can't make a case, that he's eons better defensively than Duncan is. Yet Duncan puts up nearly the same stats while playing nearly 300 minutes extra. If I were to look at Totals, KG would be very the 2nd worst player in this group statistically.

And he's certainly no match for Amare statistically (using the same advanced stats you are propagating, mind you), even on a per game basis.


Just looking at the chart you posted, Garnett was second in total Win Shares (a cumulative stat) despite playing fewer minutes. So in essence, what you posted would argue that in that particular stat Garnett did more in less time than these other guys could do in more.

Re: Amare. Across all the advanced stats that I know:
PER: KG 25.3, Amare 27.6
WS (per 48): KG 12.9 (.265), Amare 14.6 (.262)
Wins Produced (per 48): KG 17.9 (.370), Amare 16.3 (.291)
Roland Rating 82games.com: KG +14.5, Amare +8.7
Basketballvallue APM: KG +9.95, Amare -2.23
Ilardi's APM: KG +14.47, Amare +1.76

KG wins that one in a walk. In the box score stats he was as good in both ratio and volume (despite playing fewer minutes), but in the +/- stats that would factor in, you know, defense, KG SLAUGHTERS him.

Re: Duncan. I'm not going to post the same type of analysis, but KG measures better across the board. Duncan was great in '08, Garnett was better.
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