Retro POY '94-95 (Voting Complete)

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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#61 » by kaima » Tue Jun 1, 2010 1:18 pm

DavidStern wrote:
mysticbb wrote:4. John Stockton
5. Karl Malone


Very interesting. Guys, any other thoughts on that subject? Because after mysticbb post I consider changing my votes and put Stockton in top 5. But above Malone? That’s really interesting.


I'll say this about Stockton, he was amazing in some very unique ways, which just adds to the amazement.

I don't know if I've seen another PG that could control a game as well as he could. His ability to make a ten point lead feel like twenty was always impressive to watch. Yet, again, we have something that is hard to quantify.

Stockton will likely be underrated because many of his gifts were not tracked by the usual numbers.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#62 » by kaima » Tue Jun 1, 2010 1:22 pm

mysticbb wrote:
DavidStern wrote:
mysticbb wrote:4. John Stockton
5. Karl Malone


Very interesting. Guys, any other thoughts on that subject? Because after mysticbb post I consider changing my votes and put Stockton in top 5. But above Malone? That’s really interesting.


When you take a look at the boxscore Stockton in that season is very similar to Nash. Not as many points and a bit less creative, but overall we know that Stockton was a better defender.


To me, Nash is a product of the system, while Stockton, along with Malone, made the system.

Pace-control alone makes me much more impressed with Stockton. Nash is controlled by pace, whereas Stockton controlled it.

Meaning that Nash needs a definite speed to optimize his game, whereas Stockton can play at any speed and manipulates outcome by changing pace depending on moment.

I think Stockton was transcendent. Unfortunately, I think that same point may make him hard to rank in a system such as this.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#63 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Jun 1, 2010 1:24 pm

Problem I have is that people get down on Barkley for losing a seven game series by a point -- while playing pretty banged up near the end, mind you -- while David Robinson is given a free pass on another matchup meltdown due to his team's regular season.

[...]

That is, one is far more responsible for the loss than the other. I do think people simplify winning and losing, in that we have the idea that Shaq's series against Olajuwon is a greater mark against him, because he was swept, than Robinson's latest playoff disaster is against him, simply because Robinson's team lasted longer.


I don't think anybody is arguing Shaq/Barkley deserve more criticism for their playoff losses in 95 than Robinson. Robinson's 95 is a GOAT contender for most lambasted seasons and reputation wrecking seasons, along with Wilt 67, Malone 97, Dirk 07
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#64 » by kaima » Tue Jun 1, 2010 1:28 pm

tha_rock220 wrote:
Silver Bullet wrote:
I mean, how much do you wanna reward a guy for one series -


That said, I think the Admiral did take an awful lot of flack for the Olajuwon series. Hakeem had arguably the best series ever for a player. DRob did plenty that season. He was as good as ever on defense and a beast on offense.


Don't you see how the two portions of that paragraph contradict each other?

Malone might have been able to move up if he had played better in the playoffs.


I don't fully understand this point.

Malone played well, despite his team losing. Is team result the only standard for the individual?

Looking at the Rockets' opponents, the Jazz pushed them and that was mainly because of Karl (at least as far as statistical tracking which, to be fair and extrapolated, is how we're largely judging all these guys).

Meanwhile, the Spurs were fairly easily taken out, and that's mainly because of how badly Robinson played against Olajuwon.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#65 » by lorak » Tue Jun 1, 2010 1:29 pm

kaima wrote:Nash is controlled by pace, whereas Stockton controlled it.


Nice said.

But kaima, would you put Stockton higher than Malone – in this or any other season?

I would also like to see your top 5 for this year (or every other in the future), because maybe I don’t agree with you here and there, but your contribution to this project in last few threads is no doubt great.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#66 » by kaima » Tue Jun 1, 2010 1:37 pm

Dr Mufasa wrote:
Problem I have is that people get down on Barkley for losing a seven game series by a point -- while playing pretty banged up near the end, mind you -- while David Robinson is given a free pass on another matchup meltdown due to his team's regular season.

[...]

That is, one is far more responsible for the loss than the other. I do think people simplify winning and losing, in that we have the idea that Shaq's series against Olajuwon is a greater mark against him, because he was swept, than Robinson's latest playoff disaster is against him, simply because Robinson's team lasted longer.


I don't think anybody is arguing Shaq/Barkley deserve more criticism for their playoff losses in 95 than Robinson. Robinson's 95 is a GOAT contender for most lambasted seasons and reputation wrecking seasons, along with Wilt 67, Malone 97, Dirk 07


I actually think that's a bit unfair.

And by that I mean that Robinson gets off too easily.

His three best seasons involve him getting taken down in a matchup with a superior post player come playoff time. Considering that, I don't buy that Robinson's performance in the 95 WCF was some kind of fluke or outlier that's being used against his whole career or peak.

Fact is, that was his peak.

Dirk's 07 post-season is the closest parallel, because it's a matchup issue as well.

Playing worse than you did in the regular season isn't a dramatic or odd occurrence even for great players, and it's happened to the best (including this year's clear number 1). But losing head to head matchups wherein your scoring average drops as low as 19 and you give up as many as 35 points per game, over the course or as the undoing (nadir as apotheosis) of your three best seasons? Come on.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#67 » by kaima » Tue Jun 1, 2010 1:40 pm

DavidStern wrote:
kaima wrote:Nash is controlled by pace, whereas Stockton controlled it.


Nice said.

But kaima, would you put Stockton higher than Malone – in this or any other season?

I would also like to see your top 5 for this year (or every other in the future), because maybe I don’t agree with you here and there, but your contribution to this project in last few threads is no doubt great.


I agree, that my not giving a vote is kind of cowardly.

I simply didn't want to barge in where I hadn't asked, and hadn't been invited.

As far as Stockton, I would very seriously consider him. Particularly at his peak.

What's going to work against him there is team success. When Stockton was at his best, Utah had some truly dreadful rosters. Further, are people going to be more impressed with 13-14 assist seasons on ridiculous efficiency, or Malone's 31 ppg?

Stockton to Malone? Try Stockton V Malone. That could be fun.

As far as my vote on this thread, Robinson is key. I know who I'd place over him, but even after that I have questions. It's an issue of just how I should weight his regular season, seeing as I think many of the numbers from it matter less than what we saw out of him in a matchup context.

I'm deeply bothered by a guy being so badly outplayed in a matchup he directly had say in on both ends.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#68 » by sp6r=underrated » Tue Jun 1, 2010 2:30 pm

Kaima wrote:I find it odd as well.


Choking isn't just about the last minutes of a game. It is about performing up to your talent level, and beating the teams you are supposed to beat. How do you fall down 0-2 to the 93 Lakers?

I'd say he has a valid point about underachievement, especially looking at the talent level (between teams that over and underachieve, based on roster depth, I'd say the early-mid 90s Suns are the latter), but choking can be a rather vague precedent.

Did the Rockets choke because they went down three-one? Or is that not possible for them, because of their record?

But that returns to an argument and follow-through of underachievement leading to the conclusion of choking, right?

Did the Rockets overachieve in the playoffs, or massively underachieve during the season?

The Drexler trade made that season for them.


The Rockets overachieved in the playoffs.

There is a big problem with the idea the Drexler trade made the Rockets. They didn't pick it up at all after the trade.

They finished the RS 14-13 after the Drexler trade, with 15 games at home 12 on the road against 16 teams that made the playoffs (Disclosure: I excluded the games Hakeem missed.) Their point differential was + 2.

They were the champs and maybe the greatest Cinderella story in NBA history. Good for them but let's not pretend this was anything other than one of the weaker champs in NBA history.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#69 » by kaima » Tue Jun 1, 2010 3:12 pm

sp6r=underrated wrote:
Kaima wrote:I find it odd as well.


Choking isn't just about the last minutes of a game. It is about performing up to your talent level, and beating the teams you are supposed to beat. How do you fall down 0-2 to the 93 Lakers?


But equally, what about the fact that they won three straight?

I understand your point, my issue is where to make the cutoff between underachievement and choking.

The Suns go down 0-2, then win out. The 94 Sonics go up 2-0, then lose out.

Are the Sonics chokers at all if they finish the series in five?

Did the Lakers choke in 00 when they let the Kings push them to a deciding game?

Choking almost becomes the norm if we go far enough with this. And the question then is, what's the true meaning and value of a choke?

This isn't just a question for you, but an issue of how easily we all throw that word around.

I agree with your premise, that it's beyond the moment wherein the initial choke occurs. But I part ways, in that I think it's how you respond.

It's back to the Nick Anderson outlook. A sequence that's so much bigger than itself as far as fallout.

Mental weakness is allowing the moment to destroy. Mental strength, win or lose broadly, is coming back from the crushing event.

I'd say he has a valid point about underachievement, especially looking at the talent level (between teams that over and underachieve, based on roster depth, I'd say the early-mid 90s Suns are the latter), but choking can be a rather vague precedent.

Did the Rockets choke because they went down three-one? Or is that not possible for them, because of their record?

But that returns to an argument and follow-through of underachievement leading to the conclusion of choking, right?

Did the Rockets overachieve in the playoffs, or massively underachieve during the season?

The Drexler trade made that season for them.


The Rockets overachieved in the playoffs.


But that's only based on their regular season record.

By the standard applied, isn't it possible that they underachieved more than they overachieved? And does that then make them chokers, based on the Barkley argument?

There is a big problem with the idea the Drexler trade made the Rockets. They didn't pick it up at all after the trade.


But like so many, I'm looking at what he did in the playoffs.

Houston loses the Utah series without Drexler stepping up. Most likely, they lose the Phoenix series.

And as it turned out, those were their two toughest opponents.

They were the champs and maybe the greatest Cinderella story in NBA history. Good for them but let's not pretend this was anything other than one of the weaker champs in NBA history.


But that's again based on the precedent of the regular season.

The other side of it is that they beat three 60 win teams, one 59 win team, and all without home court.

That's a pretty strong record. Granted, they had specific advantages, including at least one key injury. Probably two, in that Utah was without a starting C.

The fact that the injuries were suffered by Houston's toughest opponents does raise a flag.

The Sonics always loom large as far as Houston's titles as well.

But the striking thing is that the con arguments are far more typical than the pro.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#70 » by sp6r=underrated » Tue Jun 1, 2010 3:44 pm

My grief with the Suns isn't just this series, rather it is their three year body of work from 93-95.

On to the Rockets:

1. It isn't like they steamrolled through the playoffs. They played 5 elimination games. Their point differential was absurdly low for a team that won a title. This happened with almost all of the Rockets key players playing over their head. Normally a team doesn't have everyone get hot. What would happen when the rockets players played as they normally do? They are not contending for a title.

I'm not strictly a RS guy when it comes to evaluating team, but RS performance is critical when it comes to evaluating the strengths. I make an exception for the 01 lakers who had pretty weak point differential. But notice the difference, the 01 lakers destroyed the competition. The next year LA had very strong point, won loss record, and won a title.

The closest parallel I could find for the mid 90s Rockets were the Sonics of 78 and 79. Except in 1980 the Sonics actually played like an NBA champion in the RS and made it to Conference Finals.

2. A good example of everyone getting hot is the 95 NBA finals. Mario Elie was always an efficient scorer at a low volume (8-10ppg). In the finals that year he averaged 16ppg on an absurd .785 ts%. That wasn't anything more than a player getting hot at the right moment.

Robert Horry managed to play 47mpg in the finals. He only turned the ball over 5 times. His stat line 17.8 (ppg), 10.0 (rpg), 3.8 (apg), 3.0 (spg), 2.3 (bpg), on .570 ts. Horry played over his head.

3. RS W-L, RS Point Differential, PS # of elimination games, PS point differential points to them being among the worst NBA champions of all time. 1996 is very telling. They struggled through out the RS and never looked like an NBA champion. They went out with a sweep.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#71 » by sp6r=underrated » Tue Jun 1, 2010 3:52 pm

Quick response to your other points that I missed, comparing getting taken to a 5th game by the 93 lakers to the 94 Nuggets and the 00 Kings.

1. Yes. I would consider the Sonics mentally soft for getting taken to a 5th game by the 94 Nuggets.

1. The 93 lakers unit never amounted to anything with that unit. That season they went 39-43. 2000 Kings by contrast went 44-38, and an expected won-loss record of 49-33. This was the core of a unit that would go on to be serious title contenders, something you can't say about the 93 lakers.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#72 » by Manuel Calavera » Tue Jun 1, 2010 3:58 pm

I never would have thought it but I'm heavily leaning towards putting DRob ahead of Hakeem for the year, nice posts guys.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#73 » by semi-sentient » Tue Jun 1, 2010 3:58 pm

DavidStern wrote:
mysticbb wrote:4. John Stockton
5. Karl Malone


Very interesting. Guys, any other thoughts on that subject? Because after mysticbb post I consider changing my votes and put Stockton in top 5. But above Malone? That’s really interesting.


Look at Stockton's numbers in the playoffs. His TS% dropped from .651 to .546, and his assists fell from 12.3 to 10.2 despite playing 3.6 more minutes. Malone's TS% also dropped, but it was nowhere near as bad and he picked it up in the rebounding scoring/rebounding departments.

It is just one series, but I think they were close enough in the regular season where it gives Malone a slight edge.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#74 » by sp6r=underrated » Tue Jun 1, 2010 4:05 pm

Would the people considering Stockton over Malone explain why essentially no one thought Stockton was ever better than Malone?

This has to be addressed. The overwhelming consensus was that Malone was better than Stockton in 1995 and every other season they played together.

Why did everyone make a massive error in analysis for a decade?
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#75 » by Manuel Calavera » Tue Jun 1, 2010 4:07 pm

sp6r=underrated wrote:Would the people considering Stockton over Malone explain why essentially no one thought Stockton was ever better than Malone?

This has to be addressed. The overwhelming consensus was that Malone was better than Stockton in 1995 and every other season they played together.

Why did everyone make a massive error in analysis for a decade?

He's a short white guy that they can relate too while Malone was a big black guy that molested a 13 year old girl.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#76 » by sp6r=underrated » Tue Jun 1, 2010 4:11 pm

Manuel Calavera wrote:
sp6r=underrated wrote:Would the people considering Stockton over Malone explain why essentially no one thought Stockton was ever better than Malone?

This has to be addressed. The overwhelming consensus was that Malone was better than Stockton in 1995 and every other season they played together.

Why did everyone make a massive error in analysis for a decade?

He's a short white guy that they can relate too. Malone was a big black guy that impregnated a 13 year old girl, and refused to be a father to the child. First thing he told the child when they met was don't expect any money. Also helped railroad out one of the greatest players of all time from the NBA when he still had something left in the tank for no good reason.


Fixed

Still was a better player.

BTW, that story hurt when it came out because I enjoyed Malone as an interview and was generally sympathetic to him. I can never look at him quite the same.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#77 » by ronnymac2 » Tue Jun 1, 2010 4:13 pm

DavidStern wrote:Fair enough and more or less I agree. But look at my post (that one with the screenshot). Robinson was constantly double teamed, sometimes even triple teamed. So it seems Rudy T knew something that many realGMers (I’m not talking about you) don’t realize – that Robinson was also dangerous on offensive end and you need team effort to stop him, because even great Akeem can’t do it alone. I hope I would have some time at the end of this week and I’ll watch all WCF games from that year (and maybe I’ll do some video of HO vs DR plays), but for now, after re watching G6 it seems that Bob Hill was badly outcoached by Tomjanovich.


Oh, no doubt Robinson was doubled. It would be dumb for HOU to not double him. He's the guy that gets the ball the most in SA's offense, and considering his style of offense can be controlled with help coverage and hard doubles (with little retribution from Robinson's effect on the game considering he isn't putting pressure on the defense by setting up on the block effectively). Sure, Robinson can make the swing pass and share the ball, and it's the right thing to do.

Like I said, that's fine if you're not the man. You need to give me something else. Duncan, Jabbar, Shaq, and Hakeem were swarmed at various times in their careers, too. Take KAJ in 77 against the Blazers. He barely could get the ball because his guards didn't even play in the series (literally...IIRC, they were injured, and their replacements sucked). He still produced. He still helped his teammates on offense.

David Robinson did not do this in 1995 because of a fundamental flaw in his game. This must count against him.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#78 » by Sedale Threatt » Tue Jun 1, 2010 4:39 pm

1. Olajuwon. The epitome of a POY, to me. Outstanding regular season, then even better in the postseason en route to a repeat title, while destroying a top rival's reputation along the way. What more do you want?

2. O'Neal. Great RS, great postseason -- just didn't think he was as great as Olajuwon, no matter what the advanced metrics say. Also played much better in the Finals than many give him credit for.

3. Robinson. Tremendous RS followed by historic flameout in the playoffs, which is pretty consistent with his M.O. All the cases in his defense smack of excuse-making to me. Yeah, he put up nice numbers. They still pale in comparison to what they guy he was guarding did.

4. Malone. Thought he was a better two-way player than Barkley. Going out in the first round hurts, but at least he went down swinging.

5. Barkley. Neck and neck with Malone, but Karl was better all-around, in my opinion. Plus, Charles was too inconsistent as his team blew 2-0/3-1 leads in a playoff ouster.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#79 » by Optimism Prime » Tue Jun 1, 2010 4:58 pm

Here's what I keep coming back to with the Olajuwon-Robinson matchup. That became THE defining moment of each of their careers. One guy rose to the occasion, another guy crumbled.

Don't believe me? Run a search on Google for "David Robinson" and hit videos.

Top three results:

-David Robinson Hall of Fame Speech
-Twilight - David Robinson Mix
-Olajuwon Dominates Robinson

Do the same thing with Olajuwon.

-Olajuwon Dominates Robinson
-Hakeem "The Dream" Olajuwon's Greatest Hits
-Hakeem Olajuwon Top Ten Plays

In the eyes of Google, that series mattered more to Robinson's legacy than his 71-point game.
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Re: Retro POY '94-95 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#80 » by kaima » Tue Jun 1, 2010 5:17 pm

Optimism Prime wrote:Here's what I keep coming back to with the Olajuwon-Robinson matchup. That became THE defining moment of each of their careers. One guy rose to the occasion, another guy crumbled.

Don't believe me? Run a search on Google for "David Robinson" and hit videos.


And that still means David is getting off easy.

94's matchup against Malone resulted in a ratio of 9 ppg between the two, and a loss of production from Robinson of a parallel 9 points between regular season and playoffs.

In the eyes of Google, that series mattered more to Robinson's legacy than his 71-point game.


I think that conflates. What is the 71 point game, other than David posing as Goliath against a pathetic opponent, stuffing his stats and arguably stealing the scoring title in the process?

Then he gets into the playoffs, and Malone kicks his ass up and down the court.

Next season? He wins the MVP over Shaq, puts up great stats, and then gives up 35.3 ppg to Ojauwon while averaging 23.

And then there's 96...

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