ThaRegul8r wrote:It's the invincible ignorance fallacy: once one's mind is already made up on something, nothing will change it.
Exactly.
Moderators: penbeast0, PaulieWal, Clyde Frazier, Doctor MJ, trex_8063
ThaRegul8r wrote:It's the invincible ignorance fallacy: once one's mind is already made up on something, nothing will change it.
Sedale Threatt wrote:I also knocked Wilt a bit. Here are some passages from Cherry's "Wilt: Larger Than Life."
"You can't discredit Wilt. He played as well as he could. He was simply stopped by Reed and an overall defensive performance that I would have to call our best in some time." -- Dave DeBusschere.
"Reed would hobble up and down the court, unable to rebound, unable to do anything except set picks, but he was able to lean on Chamberlain and keep Chamberlain from the basket. He leaned and he leaned and when he got into foul trouble, Nate Bowman came in and leaned. It was effective." -- reporter George Kiseda.
"It is easy to forget Chamberlain is only three months out of a hip-length cast, and only six months away from an operation for a ruptured tendon in his right knee. He can no longer go overtop a center the way he used to. He has to get around defenders. Reed wouldn't let him do it." Kiseda.
"What beat us that night was a combination of several things, not the least of which was the subconscious, unspoken, but nonetheless inescapable feeling that no matter what the Lakers did, individually and collectively, the Knicks would find a way to win, and we would find a way to lose." Chamberlain himself.
Then the author: "Wilt played well, if not spectacularly. He deserves credit, which he never received, for returning from a devastating injury, playing in 18 playoff games, and helping his team reach the Finals -- six months after a major knee injury."
The author also notes that Frazier did most of his damage against others besides Jerry West, especially Garrett. For whatever that's worth.
So it seems there are many others who think Chamberlain deserves more credit. But the fact remains -- he missed so much RS time, can he seriously get much consideration here. This wasn't 15 or 20 games, which I'd normally ignore in a heartbeat. But it was almost the entire season. That's not a small thing.
I do find Chamberlain's comment interesting. Wonder if Jordan or Magic or Bird would have admitted that.
Doctor MJ wrote:Manuel Calavera wrote:Absolutely not. You can't seriously tell me one game where Chamberlain scores a lot and his team wins is the most correlating thing you can find, for one, if it was then they'd have made a more concentrated effort to get him the ball in game 7, which has never been established. I only see people blaming him for not repeating his 45 point explosion in the rest of the series, even though nobody can tell me why that's Chamberlain's fault. Chamberlain can't pass himself the ball, and even if he could he should do work within the offense that the coach has set forward, unless you're advocating he chuck the ball against the coaches wishes at every opportunity.
Do you really think he scored 45 without them making a concerted effort to get him the ball?
After seeing him score 45 and the team win in a blow out, you really think the team didn't think getting Wilt the ball was a priority?
I put myself in the place of the coaches, and I don't see more than one answer to either of those questions.
The point about Wilt not getting the ball be possibly more other people's fault than his is absolutely the opening I was trying to give you earlier. I want to watch more before I come to a conclusion on that.
Something I will say though: Blaming Wilt's perimeter teammates for not being good enough to get through the Knick defense to give him the ball, only make sense if there were other perimeter players in existence that could have done significantly better. If you can only do something with the ball from a couple spots on the floor, and a good defense makes it too hard for any perimeter offense to get you the ball consistently without turnover, then that's on you.
Doctor MJ wrote:ElGee wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:My perspective on this one is a general conclusion that was decided by following series in my lifetime. Teams don't care how much the opposing star is going off as long as their strategy is working - and so to let statistical changes based on short series that didn't result in team success have huge impact on how I view a player's season-long impact just seems foolish to me.
What series do you have in mind? I actually think of performances by Malone, Garnett and James in defeat in which, watching the series unfold, I thought "wow, they are playing *amazing* basketball, but the team just isn't good enough." I never categorized it as "the better teams don't care about those stars..."
Btw, I'm very much viewing Kareem as *not* the Kareem of 1971 as well...
The most recent one to come to mind was Westbrook against the Lakers this year. You've actually got people who think that Westbrook is the true star of the team now, based on one series where the Thunder lost with the opposing team doing everything they can to stop Durant. It's crazy.
Amare's series against the Spurs in '05 is another one.
The Golden State upsets over Malone & Stockton's Jazz & Robinson's Spurs come to mind a bit further back.
drza wrote:Honestly, just from what I've seen in this thread, it seems to me that Alcindor was pretty solidly better than West even as a rookie. In the regular season their stats were relatively close, but when in doubt doesn't a big usually have a bigger non-statistical impact on a game than a wing? I recognize that West was a good perimeter defender, but big men defenders just have a bigger effect than wing defenders and Alcindor (even then) was recognized as an excellent defensive big that dominated the glass. Even if it we were just voting on the regular season I'd have Alcindor edging out West.
But in the postseason, it seems like Alcindor blew West out of the water. I mean, 35 points on 61% TS with 17 boards and 4 assists with a PER over 29? And he outplayed Reed, the MVP, head-to-head in their series? Even if Reed was forced to defend him 1-on-1 as opposed to receiving help as some type of "let him get his" strategy...the fact that he could explode all over the reigning MVP 1-on-1 is still a pretty big statement.
Even if West was injured for a part of the Finals, his postseason just doesn't even look comparable to Alcindor's. In fact, Alcindor's postseason was up several notches even from West's regular season.
I guess I'm just not seeing how West is winning by such a consensus in the votes so far. Am I missing something?
ElGee wrote:I would argue that the fundamental factor in those examples is a secondary player's performance was enabled by a star. Neither Westbrook nor Amare were the No. 1 offensive weapon for their teams. Kareem was.
In other words, I'm not sure how much precedent there is for a team "letting the star get his" vs. a strategy that enables secondary players to shine. Maxwell's Finals against Houston come to mind there as well.
Take Wade this year vs. Boston. There is a strange thread on the PC board right now about that series and some people claiming Boston didn't try as hard. Well, having studied that series, they *were* trying to take away Wade the way they do any perimeter star, and their defensive was incredible (comparable to the 2008 version -- in fact they had the best DRtg relative to average after 2 rounds in the 3-point era), only Wade still "got his." It wasn't a strategy thing. It was a "Wade's too quick to guard" thing. My guess, having seen an entire 1971 Bucks-Knicks game, is that Kareem was too tall to be affected by New York's defensive strengths (Reed and Frazier).
ElGee wrote:I added the league average to team stats on page 2. The Knicks were miles ahead of the second best team and a fantastic 6.3/100 better than average. I think their defense was considered their calling card even at the time...at least I remember reading something about that in an old article which I no longer can find.
Doctor MJ wrote:ElGee wrote:I would argue that the fundamental factor in those examples is a secondary player's performance was enabled by a star. Neither Westbrook nor Amare were the No. 1 offensive weapon for their teams. Kareem was.
In other words, I'm not sure how much precedent there is for a team "letting the star get his" vs. a strategy that enables secondary players to shine. Maxwell's Finals against Houston come to mind there as well.
Take Wade this year vs. Boston. There is a strange thread on the PC board right now about that series and some people claiming Boston didn't try as hard. Well, having studied that series, they *were* trying to take away Wade the way they do any perimeter star, and their defensive was incredible (comparable to the 2008 version -- in fact they had the best DRtg relative to average after 2 rounds in the 3-point era), only Wade still "got his." It wasn't a strategy thing. It was a "Wade's too quick to guard" thing. My guess, having seen an entire 1971 Bucks-Knicks game, is that Kareem was too tall to be affected by New York's defensive strengths (Reed and Frazier).
Hmm, the secondary star thing is a good point. Not sure I quite buy it with Amare, and Malone & Stockton both had bing numbers.
Your Wade example though makes me clear we just see this very differently though. Boston absolutely shut down Miami. Way better than they shut down any other team in the playoffs, way better than any other team got shut down in the playoffs.
Boston was satisfied with what their defense was doing.
Could they have shut down Wade more? I can't imagine there is any doubt. Every player in history can be stopped, it's just a question of whether it's worth it for the opposing team to apply enough pressure to do so, and thereby sacrificing their coverage of everyone else.
Now, is it possible that one player is so good that a team is applying what by normal standards is a lot of pressure and he's still tearing it up while his horrendous teammates are left open and still accomplishing nothing? Yes. However, when that player appears to be doing a hell of a better than he normally does in a series where his team is getting killed, it seems pretty bizarre to conclude that's the most likely explanation.
ElGee wrote:It's 1970. We're trying to infer what happened here. I'm with you to a certain degree when you say "when a player does better than normal and his team gets killed" you're viewing it a certain way. But doesn't that only make sense if the teams are comparable? The Celtics were a drastically superior team to Miami -- that's why they shut them down. And New York was clearly better than Milwaukee. They took four out of five meaningful regular season games. G2 was a 1 point Knicks win. They "broke serve" once in G4 and held in G5.
Doctor MJ wrote:ElGee wrote:It's 1970. We're trying to infer what happened here. I'm with you to a certain degree when you say "when a player does better than normal and his team gets killed" you're viewing it a certain way. But doesn't that only make sense if the teams are comparable? The Celtics were a drastically superior team to Miami -- that's why they shut them down. And New York was clearly better than Milwaukee. They took four out of five meaningful regular season games. G2 was a 1 point Knicks win. They "broke serve" once in G4 and held in G5.
I don't see what the superiority of the opposing team matters to be honest. I actually think it helps hammer the point home. People are talking about how Kareem killed the Knicks here, and people have talked about how Wade killed the Celtics - in series where the Knicks & Celtics were superior teams, knowing they were on their way to the next round without really breaking a sweat. Can you imagine interviewing Kevin Garnett after they won the series over the Heat, and asking him if he was embarrassed by how bad Wade made the Celtics look? He'd look at you like you were crazy (and then bark at you).
I would certainly not use these series to knock Kareem or Wade. It's just, if I'm trying to evaluate how good a player actually was, how much of a boost am I really going to give a guy's entire season, based on a short, team unsuccessful, series?
HomoSapien wrote:Warspite, the greatest poster in the history of realgm.
Code: Select all
1. New York 92.9
2. Baltimore 96.9
3. San Francisco 97.4
4. Philadelphia 98.0
5. Boston 98.5
6. Chicago 98.8
6. San Diego 98.8
8. Milwaukee 98.9
9. Los Angeles 99.2
LEAGUE AVG. 99.2
10. Cincinnati 100.4
11. Seattle 102.4
12. Atlanta 102.6
13. Detroit 103.5
14. Phoenix 103.6
Quotatious wrote: Bastillon is Hakeem. Combines style and substance.
TrueLAfan wrote: snipped rankings
tsherkin wrote:You can run away if you like, but I'm not done with this nonsense, I'm going rip apart everything you've said so everyone else here knows that you're completely lacking in basic basketball knowledge...
bastillon wrote:seriously what am I missing here ?
bastillon wrote:hi, haven't been here for a while.
what I remember from analysing that season before is that Reed torched Kareem's ass in that series (on offense). Reed scored 24, 36, 21, 26, 32 and was like WAY above his average. it says a lot about Kareem's defense in that series. he averaged just 21.7 PPG that year and 27.8 against KAJ in the playoffs. that's the main reason why Knicks won so easily against them, despite being very close in RS wins.
drza, given this and this:
Elgee's chart for estimated pace-adjusted drtgCode: Select all
1. New York 92.9
2. Baltimore 96.9
3. San Francisco 97.4
4. Philadelphia 98.0
5. Boston 98.5
6. Chicago 98.8
6. San Diego 98.8
8. Milwaukee 98.9
9. Los Angeles 99.2
LEAGUE AVG. 99.2
10. Cincinnati 100.4
11. Seattle 102.4
12. Atlanta 102.6
13. Detroit 103.5
14. Phoenix 103.6
there is absolutely no reason to make it seem like Kareem was anything like a great defender. he played on a team with decent defenders and they were average. he wasn't recognized as great defender at the time either and in the most important moment of the season he didn't seem to handle Reed at all, in fact Willis played against him a better series than against anyone else.
there's very little evidence supporting that rookie KAJ > West on defense.
I wonder who was responsible for NYK's dominance on defense. was it Frazier or was it Reed ? I'd imagine that a shotblocker with that crazy rebound rate (vast majority on defense because he was a jumpshooting big who never really attacked offensive boards) would be much more valuable to team defense than a perimeter defender without astronomic steal numbers. (we have data of Frazier's steals post '73 and there was nothing to brag about).
I've got no idea why Reed is being so disrespected here. the consensus seems to be that Frazier was retro finals MVP while Reed still outscored him 23-17.6 and then obviously he was the one limiting Chamberlain which is obvious by the game in which he was absent (45/27...). Frazier played excellent finals but he wasn't more valuable to that team. Reed was still more impactful defender too as a shotblocking/rebounding big, and which is evidenced by 135 points Lakers put up in G6 in his absence.
I have no idea why Frazier is getting so much love on this board. at the time he wasn't recognized as TOP5 player. raw stats don't recognize him as anywhere near TOP5 player. team success doesn't make him a TOP5 player either if you look at what he has done post '73. seriously what am I missing here ?
Quotatious wrote: Bastillon is Hakeem. Combines style and substance.