New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone

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New Franchise?

Kevin Garnett
34
53%
Moses Malone
30
47%
 
Total votes: 64

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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#61 » by ceiling raiser » Wed Jan 22, 2014 7:47 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:
fpliii wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:Advanced stats are what happened on the court. Just because you don't understand something, and it doesn't support your favorite player doesn't mean it's made up. :rofl:

Pretty much. I think results do matter, but in small sample sizes they can be distorted. There will always be a fair amount of noise and chance involved, and this can not be ignored. Looking at W/L, PPG, APG, RPG, and FG% on their own, devoid of context, doesn't tell us all that much.


Mhmm, I totally agree. Luckily, in the case of Garnett, where advanced stats are derided, we have plenty of data (pushing like 60,000 minutes?) over multiple teams, with a ton of different lineups.

Also, KG at C this year.. still getting it done ;)

His impact on the defensive end is almost too big for statistics to grasp, but let’s give it a shot: since January 1st, the Nets have allowed opponents to score 107.2 points per 100 possessions with Garnett off the floor, and 87.9 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor.

I fear stating the numbers doesn’t quantify how ridiculous they are, so let’s make some comparisons. Indiana’s league-best defense allows teams to score 92.8 points per 100 possessions. The Garnett-led Nets in 2014 are nearly a full five points better than that. Utah’s league-worst defense clocks in at around 107.6 points per 100 possessions, just a hair below the Garnett-benched Nets.

In sum: with Kevin Garnett on the floor, the Nets make the league’s best defense look average. With Garnett off the floor, the Nets look like the league’s worst defense. It’s that significant.

In 2014, the Nets allow 47.5 percent shooting on 17.8 attempts per 48 minutes in the restricted area with Garnett on the floor, and 58.7 percent shooting on 25.9 attempts per 48 minutes in the restricted area with him off. The difference is staggering.

- See more at: viewtopic.php?f=6&t=1296155&start=30#sthash.KIo8k6XD.dpuf

Amazing stuff!

I'm not a huge proponent of positional designations, but it seems moving him to center made a big difference. Was it partially the spacing defensively with Brook on the floor that was problematic?
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#62 » by NO-KG-AI » Wed Jan 22, 2014 8:05 pm

I think they're just both big, and more suited to roaming the paint area. KG is amazing at chasing pick and rolls still, but playing man to man defense far away from the basket on athletic face up guys is not something you want him doing anymore. With so many stretch 4's, Brook and KG are both wasted chasing those types out to the line.

From what I've seen, KG's jumper has been ice cold this year too, so playing his spacing role on offense was killing his stats and the offense. Moving closer and playing the post has shot that up. I think he's shooting 68% this month.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#63 » by Chicago76 » Wed Jan 22, 2014 8:10 pm

fpliii wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
fpliii wrote:Pretty much. I think results do matter, but in small sample sizes they can be distorted. There will always be a fair amount of noise and chance involved, and this can not be ignored. Looking at W/L, PPG, APG, RPG, and FG% on their own, devoid of context, doesn't tell us all that much.


Mhmm, I totally agree. Luckily, in the case of Garnett, where advanced stats are derided, we have plenty of data (pushing like 60,000 minutes?) over multiple teams, with a ton of different lineups.

Also, KG at C this year.. still getting it done ;)

His impact on the defensive end is almost too big for statistics to grasp, but let’s give it a shot: since January 1st, the Nets have allowed opponents to score 107.2 points per 100 possessions with Garnett off the floor, and 87.9 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor.

I fear stating the numbers doesn’t quantify how ridiculous they are, so let’s make some comparisons. Indiana’s league-best defense allows teams to score 92.8 points per 100 possessions. The Garnett-led Nets in 2014 are nearly a full five points better than that. Utah’s league-worst defense clocks in at around 107.6 points per 100 possessions, just a hair below the Garnett-benched Nets.

In sum: with Kevin Garnett on the floor, the Nets make the league’s best defense look average. With Garnett off the floor, the Nets look like the league’s worst defense. It’s that significant.

In 2014, the Nets allow 47.5 percent shooting on 17.8 attempts per 48 minutes in the restricted area with Garnett on the floor, and 58.7 percent shooting on 25.9 attempts per 48 minutes in the restricted area with him off. The difference is staggering.

- See more at: viewtopic.php?f=6&t=1296155&start=30#sthash.KIo8k6XD.dpuf

Amazing stuff!

I'm not a huge proponent of positional designations, but it seems moving him to center made a big difference. Was it partially the spacing defensively with Brook on the floor that was problematic?


No idea when the original on-off Garnett Nets work was done, but this may be a function of sample size at the time it was written over all else.

Per 82games as of today: Nets Drtg Off Court = 112.4. When Garnett is on the court, it improves to only 107. +5.4 is nothing to sneeze at, although, I'd argue that a decent defensive big playing with a team that poor without him should have that type of impact.

Hibbert improves team D from 99 to 94.8, or +4.2 on a much better defensive team.
Bogut improves team D from 102.9 to 101.3.

Teammate rotations and opponent quality when a player is in will also have an impact. For example, Drtg declines when Drummond and Noah are on the court for their respective teams. Not a little. A lot. Roughly 8 pts per 100 poss. I have a hard time believing that at worst, even if they are gambling, playing poor positionally for a stretch of 30 games for whatever reason, either of these two guys are any worse than a net zero defender.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#64 » by NO-KG-AI » Wed Jan 22, 2014 8:14 pm

Oh definitely, it's a sample size thing in part. He's still only playing around 23 minutes this month, and it's a small sample of games. ^
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#65 » by Jonny Blaze » Wed Jan 22, 2014 9:21 pm

bastillon wrote:btw, Celtics record in 2008 postseason is very misleading. they weren't squeeking out wins like the record would suggest.

postseason only per 100 possessions:
2008 Celtics 109.4 vs opponents 103.3
1983 Sixers 108.0 vs opponents 101.4

this is the prime example of lazy analysis. the results of this ridiculous analysis was that Celtics 2008 were the weakest champion in NBA history. the fact that you would think you would fool anybody with a statement like that is unbelievable. I think everybody knows those Celtics were one of the best teams of all-time. everybody who watched tchem play remembers their ridiculous defensive rotations and intensity. everybody remembers how they were embarassing one superstar after another forcing turnovers and low efficiency from the field. everybody remembers how they were piling up 3s like crazy and blowing out another all-time great team in the finals by 40 (FORTY) points. so to me anybody who tries to minimize the greatness of those Celtics by pointing out to one cherry-picked stat (team record in the postseason) is a total waste of my time.

as you can see, after looking at the margin of victory you can see that Celtics were one of the most dominant teams ever. they are basically toe-to-toe with Sixers here, despite the difference in W-L. turns out Sixers scored 6.6 more points than their opponents per 100 possessions, and Celtics scored 6.1 more points than their counterparts. is that a significant difference? I would say no.

either way the result is there for anybody to see. it's not a perfect measure because it doesn't take strenght of opponents into consideration. I would say Celtics had a tougher road to the finals. both Hawks and Cavs got hot at the end of the season and continued their progress in later years. Atlanta Hawks despite their record had virtually the same team that was putting up around 50W for the next three years. Cavs were obviously one of the best RS teams ever in 09-10 (though LeBron became a much better player), but even before they went to the finals in 07. they were certainly no scrubs (I'd say they had a strength of a 50-53W team in 08 playoffs). Detroit was coming off 6 straight conference finals and were playing the best basketball since 05 (legit 60W playoff contender). Lakers were incredibly hot after Gasol's trade, steamrolled through the western conference and obviously went on to win back2back titles with injured KG in 09-10 (legit 60-65W team). considering all of the above I would say Celtics had a very tough opposition that year. after Ray Allen came back to life in the middle of conference finals, they were pretty much unstoppable.

and yet despite all that, Celtics still only put up a very similar playoff performances to 83 Sixers. so it is not enough for you to point out to the Celtics record. analysis like that isn't legit. you need to look at all of the factors that mentioned above and only then will you be able to compare those teams.


With a 16-10 record the 2008 Celtics have the worst post season record of any champion in NBA History.

Their road record of 3-9 in the 2008 Post Season is also the very worst road record of any champion in NBA history.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#66 » by WhateverBro » Wed Jan 22, 2014 9:30 pm

Jonny Blaze wrote:With a 16-10 record the 2008 Celtics have the worst post season record of any champion in NBA History.

Their road record of 3-9 in the 2008 Post Season is also the very worst road record of any champion in NBA history.


Exactly what does that prove?
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#67 » by Jonny Blaze » Wed Jan 22, 2014 9:35 pm

Jonny Blaze wrote:
With a 16-10 record the 2008 Celtics have the worst post season record of any champion in NBA History.

Their road record of 3-9 in the 2008 Post Season is also the very worst road record of any champion in NBA history.


I also forgot to mention that the 2008 Celtics got taken 7 games by a team that went 37-45 in the regular season.

They never won the title again.

They are one of the weaker NBA champions in my lifetime.

I would only rank them ahead of the 2006 Miami Heat.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#68 » by WhateverBro » Wed Jan 22, 2014 9:52 pm

Jonny Blaze wrote:
I also forgot to mention that the 2008 Celtics got taken 7 games by a team that went 37-45 in the regular season.

They never won the title again.

They are one of the weaker NBA champions in my lifetime.

I would only rank them ahead of the 2006 Miami Heat.


You cannot be serious :lol:

2008 Celtics are one of the most dominant teams of all-time.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#69 » by lorak » Wed Jan 22, 2014 10:01 pm

Chicago76 wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
His impact on the defensive end is almost too big for statistics to grasp, but let’s give it a shot: since January 1st, the Nets have allowed opponents to score 107.2 points per 100 possessions with Garnett off the floor, and 87.9 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor.

I fear stating the numbers doesn’t quantify how ridiculous they are, so let’s make some comparisons. Indiana’s league-best defense allows teams to score 92.8 points per 100 possessions. The Garnett-led Nets in 2014 are nearly a full five points better than that. Utah’s league-worst defense clocks in at around 107.6 points per 100 possessions, just a hair below the Garnett-benched Nets.

In sum: with Kevin Garnett on the floor, the Nets make the league’s best defense look average. With Garnett off the floor, the Nets look like the league’s worst defense. It’s that significant.

In 2014, the Nets allow 47.5 percent shooting on 17.8 attempts per 48 minutes in the restricted area with Garnett on the floor, and 58.7 percent shooting on 25.9 attempts per 48 minutes in the restricted area with him off. The difference is staggering.

- See more at: viewtopic.php?f=6&t=1296155&start=30#sthash.KIo8k6XD.dpuf


No idea when the original on-off Garnett Nets work was done, but this may be a function of sample size at the time it was written over all else.

Per 82games as of today: Nets Drtg Off Court = 112.4. When Garnett is on the court, it improves to only 107. +5.4 is nothing to sneeze at, although, I'd argue that a decent defensive big playing with a team that poor without him should have that type of impact.


It says "since January 1st", not whole season. And in 2014 (9 games, including games vs OKC, MIA, GSW or hot TOR) KG's defensive impact indeed looks fantastic:
on the floor: 95.7 drtg
off the floor: 109.7 drtg
net: -14.0 drtg

And for whole season he is a little bit better than 82games numbers suggest: 104.3 on, 111.3 off, -7.0 net drtg.

Hibbert improves team D by 3.2 drtg - 98.1 off and 94.9 on. So over the whole season Roy is definitely better, but KG in January has bigger defensive impact than Hibbert, because Nets with KG on the floor play basically at the same level (95.7 vs 94.9 drtg) as Pacers with Hibbert, while Indiana is much better defensively without Hibbert than Nets without Garnett, so what KG is doing in January is even more impressive.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#70 » by MisterWestside » Wed Jan 22, 2014 10:19 pm

The Nets are devoid of interior defense without KG on the roster. Brook Lopez was actually solid, but he's out for the season. Who else is anchoring their defense? Andray Blatche? A smaller and past his prime Kirilenko?

Roy Hibbert could do something similar, especially for teams that lack paint defense.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#71 » by G35 » Wed Jan 22, 2014 11:12 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:
G35 wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:Josh Smith won more games against them than Kobe could manage. You know what that says....dotdotdot...


Yeah it says that SRS doesn't mean anything.....


So wins are what matters. HAwks beat the champs more, means they are better than the Lakers. Hawks are better than LA, which means their best player is better than the Lakers best player.

Am I doing it right?


It means that the Celtics are one of the more vulnerable champions in the past 30 years.

I mean what do you think?...is 16-10 comparable to 12-1?

Or am I misunderstanding the impact?
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#72 » by G35 » Wed Jan 22, 2014 11:19 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:Oh definitely, it's a sample size thing in part. He's still only playing around 23 minutes this month, and it's a small sample of games. ^


He and Rudy Gay should be All NBA first team.....based on small sample sizes.....
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#73 » by rrravenred » Wed Jan 22, 2014 11:33 pm

BTW, are there any estimates as to how many of Malone's ORB were based off his own misses? I seem to recall someone commenting that a decent proportion of Moses' points were off alley-oop plays to himself...
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#74 » by NO-KG-AI » Thu Jan 23, 2014 2:03 am

G35 wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:
G35 wrote:
Yeah it says that SRS doesn't mean anything.....


So wins are what matters. HAwks beat the champs more, means they are better than the Lakers. Hawks are better than LA, which means their best player is better than the Lakers best player.

Am I doing it right?


It means that the Celtics are one of the more vulnerable champions in the past 30 years.

I mean what do you think?...is 16-10 comparable to 12-1?

Or am I misunderstanding the impact?


G35 wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:Oh definitely, it's a sample size thing in part. He's still only playing around 23 minutes this month, and it's a small sample of games. ^


He and Rudy Gay should be All NBA first team.....based on small sample sizes.....


:lol:

But seriously. drza just smashed your whole premise. Are they a superpowered team because of Pierce and Allen? Or are the early struggles of Pierce and Allen that caused them to go 7 games also KG's fault? You're the master of irrational arguments and shifting the goalposts, but they pretty thoroughly shredded your already flimsy arguing. Lets see how long you can drag this out.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#75 » by bastillon » Thu Jan 23, 2014 2:06 am

Jonny Blaze wrote:
Jonny Blaze wrote:
With a 16-10 record the 2008 Celtics have the worst post season record of any champion in NBA History.

Their road record of 3-9 in the 2008 Post Season is also the very worst road record of any champion in NBA history.


I also forgot to mention that the 2008 Celtics got taken 7 games by a team that went 37-45 in the regular season.

They never won the title again.

They are one of the weaker NBA champions in my lifetime.

I would only rank them ahead of the 2006 Miami Heat.


well you know what, if I didn't just give you detailed analysis of their postseason competition and point differential per possession, you could have a point. as it is, you are looking like a troll to me.

let me repeat one more time. it is not enough for you to show the Celtics record without any context whatsoever. numbers have a different meaning once they are put in the proper context. when Celtics won games, they were incredibly dominant. when they were losing, they were losing close games. their opposition (Hawks) might have had a bad RS record, but they went on to get around 50 wins in the next 3 years. I'm just telling you to take those things into consideration. why wouldn't you? would you rather ignore important pieces of information just because it doesn't suit your view? it is clear to me that once you consider pt differential, Celtics are on par with those Sixers. so why would you look at their record ignoring all of the circumstances that I just brought up?

once again, pt differential per 100 possessions:
Sixers 83 6.4
Celtics 08 6.1

put those numbers next to your thesis that Sixers were one of the most dominant champions ever and Celtics were one of the worst champions ever... yet they won the game by the same margin? how does that make any sense?

that being said, I've already brought it up and you still decided to ignore this and proceeded to bring up team record again. what transpires is that you are not interested in this discussion whatsover, you want to defend your boy no matter what and doing that with whatever fits your agenda. it shows me the level of ignorance you are bringing into this debate. for that reason, you are a complete waste of my time.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#76 » by G35 » Thu Jan 23, 2014 2:52 am

drza wrote:Many of Garnett's critics attempt to use the 2008 playoffs to criticize Garnett. I've always found this odd. So let's take a closer look at some of those criticisms, and what happens if you apply any logic at all during the thought process.

1) 2008 Celtics were stacked. Usually some version of "most stacked team in history"

2) 2008 Celtics had to go 7 games against the Hawks in the 1st round and the Cavs in the 2nd round which led to them having the "worst" playoff record of any champ.

3) Garnett doesn't deserve much credit for barely winning a title on a stacked team, and/or Pierce/Allen deserve more credit


Those points were paraphrased, but they should sound familiar if you've read this thread (or really any of the Garnett criticism threads on this board). But here's the kicker: It's categorically impossible for all three of the above statements to be true. Despite that detail, these points are argued simultaneously (ad nauseum) by several posters to support a stance against Garnett. The barest application of logic and research disabuses it, whether you're a Garnett fan or not. Consider:

The '08 Celtics played 26 playoffs games. Over the first 13 games they went 7 - 6, while over the last 13 games they went 9 - 4 against much better competition.

So, the entirety of point (2) above (e.g. the Celtics' "poor" playoff performance) focuses on those first 13 games, correct? Now, let's look at those 13 games:

Garnett: 20.9 ppg (52.1% FG, 84% FT), 9.6 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.7 TO/game
Pierce: 17 ppg (40.7% FG, 77% FT), 4.8 rpg, 4.1 apg, 2.8 TO/game
Allen: 13.4 ppg (39.4% FG, 97% FT), 3.6 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.2 TO/game

Outside of the boxscore, we also know at this time that Garnett was playing amazing defense (with clear agreement between statistics and accolades) and was the on-court focal point of the defense.

Now, can there be any argument that through those 13 games, Garnett is the ONLY reason that they survived? That Pierce and Allen were not contributing nearly to their level, and that were Garnett one whit less effective the team is out of the playoffs within those first 13 games? That, in fact, if Garnett wouldn't have carried them through those 13 games, they would NOT have made even the conference finals (let alone won a title) in 2008? If there is such an argument, now would be the time to voice it so that all those that read this discussion can really assess the points being made.

Conclusion: I kept this extremely basic, and purposefully didn't include any type of "advanced" stats. But check my logic:

IF Garnett doesn't deserve credit because those Celtics were historically stacked, then how come they ONLY made it out of those 13 games due to Garnett's brilliance in the face of a struggling cast?

IF the Celtics were a "weak" champion because of those first 13 games, and they were "weak" over those first 13 games because of the play of Pierce and Allen, then how could they be so "historically stacked" that Garnett doesn't get credit?

It's a double-edged sword. People argue that the team was weak in the postseason as an indictment of KG, then simultaneously want to say that the team was strong and use THAT as an indictment of KG as well. But Garnett was the constant, it was the support...the team around him that alternated wildly between great and struggling. Pierce had a superstar Game 7 against the Cavs and Game 5 against the Lakers along with many other moments both good and bad...Ray had a huge game 5 against the Pistons and a number of big offensive moments in the Finals after his earlier struggles. Over those last 13 games, especially, the other Celtics finally raised their game to the level of support expected of a team capable of +10 SRS in the season and exclamation point victories over strong competition in the last two series. But KG was there the whole time.

In that single playoffs, KG showed the ability to lift his game when necessary and also to allow his teammates to shine when they were ready to perform. The team may have fluctuated as the support did, but Garnett's impact on the team and influence on their winning was consistent, large, and measurable over that postseason. It was every bit worthy of a superstar centerpiece on a championship run. The logic of his critics melts away in the face of the barest common sense application, leaving the double-edged sword blunt all-the-way-around.



I'm sorry NO I missed this argument. Now if you want to say that KG was the best defensive player on the Celtics you won't get an argument from me but you cannot play both sides of the coin. This is REALGM Players Comparison board and we have already established that ONE PLAYER is not entirely responsible for a teams defense good or bad. How do we know this?

12 years of KG in Minnesota and he didn't have nearly the impact as he had in Boston. It was his teammates fault that he his teams posted mediocre to terrible Drtg's.

I have already shown this before:

Defensive Rating 2008

1. Kevin Garnett-BOS 93.8
2. Tim Duncan-SAS 96.6
3. Chuck Hayes-HOU 96.7
4. Kendrick Perkins-BOS 97.3
5. James Posey-BOS 98.0
6. Rasheed Wallace-DET 98.1
7. Marcus Camby-DEN 98.3
8. Rajon Rondo-BOS 98.4
9. Dwight Howard-ORL 98.8
10. Yao Ming-HOU 99.4
11. Paul Pierce-BOS 99.7



How is it that 5 of the top 11 players in 2008 were on the Celtics but all of the credit is going to KG? Nobody can make a defense #1 by themself and when it clearly shows that KG had a lot of help on that end. He was not some one man show. That doesn't even take in account Tony Allen or Glen Davis who were also rated at 99 on defense. That is a stacked team on defense.

For comparison's sake another similar built team that had multiple all stars and were built around their defense the 2004 Pistons. They had DPOY winner Ben Wallace.

Defensive Rating
1. Ben Wallace-DET 87.5
2. Tim Duncan-SAS 88.5
3. Kevin Garnett-MIN 91.6
4. Rasho Nesterovic-SAS 92.2
5. Kenyon Martin-NJN 93.1
6. Manu Ginobili-SAS 93.1
7. Jermaine O'Neal-IND 93.1
8. Hedo Turkoglu-SAS 93.8
9. Mehmet Okur-DET 94.7
10. Kelvin Cato-HOU 95.1
11. Marcus Camby-DEN 95.3
12. Jeff Foster-IND 95.6
13. Metta World Peace-IND 96.0
14. Donyell Marshall-TOT 96.6
15. Samuel Dalembert-PHI 96.8
16. Jason Kidd-NJN 96.8
17. Yao Ming-HOU 96.9
18. Andrei Kirilenko-UTA 97.3
19. Bruce Bowen-SAS 97.3
20. Tayshaun Prince-DET 97.7


In comparison there were only 3 Pistons in the top 20 while there were 5 in the top 11 for the Celtics? Care to explain how no one is saying that Ben Wallace had all time Bill Russell like impact......anyone?


Also, KG did not lift his game at all. How? His stats are still pedestrian EVEN IF HE WAS THE BEST PLAYER! And I still want to see how KG raised his game or anyone's game in these 2 games:

Game 7 vs the Cavaliers
Game 6 vs the Pistons

KG doesn't bring you back from down under. He doesn't put a team away on his own. He doesn't dominate individually. He can't; it's not his game. He can't go mano-a-mano with another teams superstar. He's the support not the main point......
I'm so tired of the typical......
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#77 » by Jonny Blaze » Thu Jan 23, 2014 3:05 am

bastillon wrote:
Jonny Blaze wrote:
Jonny Blaze wrote:
With a 16-10 record the 2008 Celtics have the worst post season record of any champion in NBA History.

Their road record of 3-9 in the 2008 Post Season is also the very worst road record of any champion in NBA history.


I also forgot to mention that the 2008 Celtics got taken 7 games by a team that went 37-45 in the regular season.

They never won the title again.

They are one of the weaker NBA champions in my lifetime.

I would only rank them ahead of the 2006 Miami Heat.


well you know what, if I didn't just give you detailed analysis of their postseason competition and point differential per possession, you could have a point. as it is, you are looking like a troll to me.

let me repeat one more time. it is not enough for you to show the Celtics record without any context whatsoever. numbers have a different meaning once they are put in the proper context. when Celtics won games, they were incredibly dominant. when they were losing, they were losing close games. their opposition (Hawks) might have had a bad RS record, but they went on to get around 50 wins in the next 3 years. I'm just telling you to take those things into consideration. why wouldn't you? would you rather ignore important pieces of information just because it doesn't suit your view? it is clear to me that once you consider pt differential, Celtics are on par with those Sixers. so why would you look at their record ignoring all of the circumstances that I just brought up?

once again, pt differential per 100 possessions:
Sixers 83 6.4
Celtics 08 6.1

put those numbers next to your thesis that Sixers were one of the most dominant champions ever and Celtics were one of the worst champions ever... yet they won the game by the same margin? how does that make any sense?

that being said, I've already brought it up and you still decided to ignore this and proceeded to bring up team record again. what transpires is that you are not interested in this discussion whatsover, you want to defend your boy no matter what and doing that with whatever fits your agenda. it shows me the level of ignorance you are bringing into this debate. for that reason, you are a complete waste of my time.


The 2008 Celtics had a post season road record of 3-9.

No other NBA champion in the history of the league has ever had a worse road record.

Im not intending to hurt your feelings. Im just posting facts.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#78 » by NO-KG-AI » Thu Jan 23, 2014 3:15 am

G35, I know you've seen the data before, but there is plenty of stats that show KG was giving a massive lift to the Timberwolves defense, and they were epic levels of bad when he was off the floor, hence the mediocre ratings.

You're stuck on the idea that every bad to mediocre defense is equally bad or mediocre, thus when a player leads a team of seemingly "average" defenders to a top5 rating, he must be better.

Wallace's defensive rating is nice. Show me where the Pistons fall into epic levels of fail when he leaves the floor.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#79 » by bastillon » Thu Jan 23, 2014 3:38 am

G35, you are operating under the assumption that individual drtg has any value. it is trying to measure defense with boxscore stats. it's dividing the credit for team defense based on boxscore stats. KG's defensive impact is non-boxscore stuff (contesting shots, help-D, pnr D, QBing the defense). you are misinterpreting the results. in no way does that tell me KG had a lot of help defensively. individual drtg is useless in terms of player evaluation. matter of fact any boxscore-based metric fails when it comes to defense, that's why we need to turn to per-possession metrics.

that being said, his defensive supporting cast was great, there is a good reason why they were probably the best overall defense in league's history. but at the same time we have all kinds of samples with Garnett not playing and it is obvious just how much difference it made. the results are there. Celtics without Garnett were nowhere near great defense. it's just that simple.
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Re: New Franchise: Kevin Garnett vs Moses Malone 

Post#80 » by G35 » Thu Jan 23, 2014 3:53 am

NO-KG-AI wrote:G35, I know you've seen the data before, but there is plenty of stats that show KG was giving a massive lift to the Timberwolves defense, and they were epic levels of bad when he was off the floor, hence the mediocre ratings.

You're stuck on the idea that every bad to mediocre defense is equally bad or mediocre, thus when a player leads a team of seemingly "average" defenders to a top5 rating, he must be better.

Wallace's defensive rating is nice. Show me where the Pistons fall into epic levels of fail when he leaves the floor.



I'm not stuck on it. What I'm doing is looking at the stats and it showed that KG did not lead the Wolves to any sort of high level defense.

8 times the Wolves were rated 15th or worse defensively
3 times the Wolves were rated 20th or worse defensively

Then he goes to a team that was not a terrible team defensively, had several great perimeter defenders, had several good post defenders, and that allowed KG to do what he does best. In fact this is like a Steve Nash situation where Garnett went to a team that was perfect for his skill set. Thibodeau's defense is great without a player like KG as he has shown in Chicago. With a player like KG that defense was able to reach great heights. Yes, KG is unique in his ability to guard big men and get out on the perimeter. He has an excellent ability to read offenses and anticipate rotations. Yes, I do think he is the part of the defense that is unique, however without Perkins manning the middle vs the bigger centers, without Rondo/Posey/Allen guarding the Lebrons/Kobes/Wades of the league KG would not be able to roam as well as he did.

It's en vogue to attribute all the of the defensive credit to KG but imo that disrespects Thibodeau and Doc Rivers. Then it minimizes the contributions of Pierce/Tony Allen/Posey/Perkins/Rondo.

If we really are going to not be swayed by emotion/rhetoric/narrative and focused on impact. ESPECIALLY when you factor in Garnett:

- only played 71 games that year
- he was 3rd in minutes played/mpg
- KG led the team in defensive win shares at 6.2 but Pierce was second at 5.7, Rondo was 3rd at 4.9, and Perkins was 4th at 4.3

What I find funny is that people are criticizing the crap out of Moses for not having a versatile game, getting too many offensive rebounds, not playing enough defense.....and not one excuse is made for him. It's like it's just accepted as fact. Even though he has 3 MVP's, won a finals MVP with Julius Erving on his team, and led one of the most dominating playoff runs ever. I can't understand how winning is one stat that is derided on this board but leading a teams defense is the final say on a players impact....
I'm so tired of the typical......

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