why is Wilt ranked above Oscar and West?

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Re: why is Wilt ranked above Oscar and West? 

Post#61 » by RSCD3_ » Tue Feb 23, 2016 3:14 pm

ThaRegul8r wrote:
RSCD3_ wrote:I personally also believe that in 67 he should have shot more as he went from chucking to being kind of gun shy for all his size/ability he had.


They won the title with the best single-season record in NBA history at the time, and were voted the best single-season team in NBA history in 1980. Why on earth would you do anything different?

The object of the game is to help your team win. Period. Just like the job of any employee is to help the company they work for (in whatever it is that that respective company does). If "Player X should have done _________" is for any reason other than "it would have helped the team win" then it's irrelevant to the ultimate objective.


Well when lebron learned to post up and hit spot up threes he didnt abandon his dribble drive game where as wilt even in 1967 wasnt agressive enough scoring wise IMO, after 67( and in theory since 62 ) he started shooting less and less and since he was at the swing spot of athleticism/strength it's odd to see him reducing his volume to 20.7 PTS PER 100 POSSESSIONS which is the same rate as last years marcin gortat or this years Jordan Hill/Luis Scola
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Re: why is Wilt ranked above Oscar and West? 

Post#62 » by 70sFan » Tue Feb 23, 2016 4:06 pm

RSCD3_ wrote:
ThaRegul8r wrote:
RSCD3_ wrote:I personally also believe that in 67 he should have shot more as he went from chucking to being kind of gun shy for all his size/ability he had.


They won the title with the best single-season record in NBA history at the time, and were voted the best single-season team in NBA history in 1980. Why on earth would you do anything different?

The object of the game is to help your team win. Period. Just like the job of any employee is to help the company they work for (in whatever it is that that respective company does). If "Player X should have done _________" is for any reason other than "it would have helped the team win" then it's irrelevant to the ultimate objective.


Well when lebron learned to post up and hit spot up threes he didnt abandon his dribble drive game where as wilt even in 1967 wasnt agressive enough scoring wise IMO, after 67( and in theory since 62 ) he started shooting less and less and since he was at the swing spot of athleticism/strength it's odd to see him reducing his volume to 20.7 PTS PER 100 POSSESSIONS which is the same rate as last years marcin gortat or this years Jordan Hill/Luis Scola


How many minutes do Hill/Scola/Gortat play? How many touches they get during the game? How many times they are double teamed?

Numbers don't tell the whole story. Wilt shooting 15 shots in 45 minutes is still main guy on offense. Alk offense was based on him. Besides, Wilt averaged 20 ppg on great efficiency against Russell and Celtics. He averaged 28 against Royals. Next year he scored greatly against Reed/Bellamy duo. All with 10 apg and 20+ rebounds PER100. You can compare PER100 stats only with guys who play similar numbers of minutes. Wilt did what his team needed for him. And he did it better than anybody in history of the game.
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Re: why is Wilt ranked above Oscar and West? 

Post#63 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Feb 23, 2016 7:05 pm

countryboy667 wrote:A nice, thoughtful post...I sometimes wonder if Bastillon is an older guy like me and maybe Wilt stole a girlfriend from him or something...no disrespect...just my feeble attempt at humor.

Very interesting interview with Rick Barry on Fox Sports talk show tonight...Barry is full of opinions, but he's also a straight shooter (no pun intended.) When asked if he would be a star in today's NBA in his prime, he stated he would actually be better today than back in his era, with the clear implication that many of the other stars of his era would be as well, given the advantages in training, medicine, nutrition, travel, and equipment players enjoy today. He also said that players today depend far too much on athleticism that they often don't temper with solid fundamentals and don't emphasize the fundamentals and philosophy of team ball.

Assuming Barry is correct...and he's a pretty sharp and perceptive guy with no obvious axes to grind in his analysis, you have to wonder just how good a prime Wilt would be in today's game where the money is absolutely insane.

One point Barry made, although obliquely, is one of my own pet peeves that is seldom mentioned here on RealGM and by today's fans—what absolutely putrid free-throw shooters all too many of today's players are. There is absolutely no excuse for a professional player shooting less than 70% from the line, and yes, that's a legitimate criticism of Wilt, unlike some of the others I've seen posted here.


To be honest, my first thought when an old timer says he'd do better at X today, or that guys back then were better, is that this is a person who is not objective. I've seen guys do this with every type of sport, with all sorts of business, with all sorts of art, etc. Someone from yesteryear who is not truly inspired by the new things that have come about today is typically approaching everything from a lens where the priority is their own ego.

With that said, I think Rick Barry might have been better today. He's an interesting situation where there's clear evidence of a sky high BBIQ and a willingness/ability to transition away from volume scoring, but who often had terrible efficiency when he played in an era where efficiency wasn't well quantified. If I were to group player in 3 categories along these lines then it would be:

1) The guys who get everything instinctively.
2) The guys who seem to learn quickly and permanently when something new is presented to them.
3) Guys who struggle at learning or changing, and often seem to resist it outright.

Of the 3 groups, it's the middle one that could be argued to benefit the most from playing in a smarter era, and I don't know if there's any better archetype for that middle group than Barry.

Also, this isn't to say the other groups wouldn't have individuals who were more effective today.

In group (1) you've got a guy like Oscar who above all else was an incredible decision maker. Decision making is more valuable today than it was back then, so he may be more valuable.

In group (3) you've got a guy like Wilt who actually was pretty good at learning things that were well quantified. His issue was in understanding the intangible stuff. In an era where more things were tangible, his unique brain may well become a clear asset.

And of course, all that's before we get into the impact of 3-point shooting. It's conceivable that Jerry West would be scary, scary good today.

Re: free throws & Barry. I'm with him and you here. It's unforgivable that no bad shooter after Barry is willing to do the underhanded free throw. It is basically a given that anyone shooting under 70% is actively hurting their team on that front every single game for no reason other than pride.

And this is one of the interesting things this year:

I'm among the group who thinks that Steph Curry may indeed be having the greatest season of all time this year...

but if Shaq had shot underhanded free throws, he may well have been well beyond Curry or anyone else.
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Re: why is Wilt ranked above Oscar and West? 

Post#64 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Feb 23, 2016 7:25 pm

ThaRegul8r wrote:
RSCD3_ wrote:I personally also believe that in 67 he should have shot more as he went from chucking to being kind of gun shy for all his size/ability he had.


They won the title with the best single-season record in NBA history at the time, and were voted the best single-season team in NBA history in 1980. Why on earth would you do anything different?

The object of the game is to help your team win. Period. Just like the job of any employee is to help the company they work for (in whatever it is that that respective company does). If "Player X should have done _________" is for any reason other than "it would have helped the team win" then it's irrelevant to the ultimate objective.


I'm firmly of the belief that the extreme nature of Wilt's shift away from volume scoring would never make sense if you had a player who was better able to handle the game's nuances.

I see something analogous with Kobe. Kobe periodically goes through point guard phases where he's looking to pass a lot, which then inevitably go back to him in scoring mode. His ideal way to play should be somewhere in between the two, and I think that's pretty clear given that in one way we see all the passes he doesn't pass, and the other way we see all the shots he doesn't shoot. The ideal basketball mind is constantly judging all the options on the floor, and picking the right one with high accuracy. And for such a player, if they are talented enough to be the focal point of the team's offense, it basically doesn't make sense to even ask that they change much.

I think, therefore, that if say, Oscar, had had Wilt's body, he'd have scored somewhere in between the volume of Wilt before and after his transition, and hence ideally Wilt would have done this as well. It's jaw dropping how effective Wilt was in the non-volume scoring mode, but realistically it's hard for me to imagine he wasn't to some degree passing up good scoring opportunities.

More than that: I think that realistically part of the success of that approach came because defenses were so scared of him as a scorer. When defenses are used to a player playing one way all the time, a massive change competently done can often work great. That doesn't mean the effect is permanent though, and frankly I have to wonder if a part of the major offensive fall off the '68 76ers saw was due to defense just being better prepared for the new Wilt.
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Re: why is Wilt ranked above Oscar and West? 

Post#65 » by JordansBulls » Tue Feb 23, 2016 11:00 pm

Why Wilt is better than Oscar and West?

Because he was better on both ends of the floor, has better stats, more accolades as well.
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Re: why is Wilt ranked above Oscar and West? 

Post#66 » by bastillon » Wed Feb 24, 2016 12:35 pm

JordansBulls wrote:Why Wilt is better than Oscar and West?

Because he was better on both ends of the floor, has better stats, more accolades as well.


So why did Oscar's and West's teams always led the league offensively? Why did Lakers regress offensively after adding Wilt to the roster? The idea that Wilt was somehow better than Oscar or West on offense is flat out ridiculous. There is no data whatsoever that would suggest that Wilt helped his team offensively more than Oscar/West. Wilt had many years when his offensive impact was almost non-existent or downright negative (65, 69-71).
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Re: why is Wilt ranked above Oscar and West? 

Post#67 » by tsherkin » Wed Feb 24, 2016 1:47 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:but if Shaq had shot underhanded free throws, he may well have been well beyond Curry or anyone else.


Great post in general. Barry is also a guy I'd think would benefit from this era. On the basis of focusing in on 3pt shooting, playing slightly fewer minutes and then the usual nutrition/exercise/travel conditions stuff, I think he'd be fantastic in this era.

Does that mean "better" or does that mean "his stardom would translate into more era-appropriate numbers," though? Is that really a 'better' player or more reflective of what those things do for players relative to their absence?


Anyway. I mostly quoted you to look at Shaq from 93-03 with 80% FT shooting. :D

Actual Shaq:

93-03: 742 GP, 27.6 ppg, 57.7% FG, 10.6 FTA/g, 54.2% FT, 58.4% TS

If he shot 80% at the line?

He took 7832 FTA during that time frame and made 4242. 80% exactly would be 6265.6, so we can go with 6265 or 6266.

He took 14072 FGA and scored 20475 points. We're talking about him leaving over 2,000 points on the board shooting as poorly as he did.

+2023: 64.2% TS (.6421366)
+2024: 64.2% TS (.6421651)

So you're talking about basically +6% TS over that period if Shaq could have managed 80% at the line by shooting underhanded. If he got as good at it as Barry was basically a 90% shooter, it just grows scarier.

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