Jokic v. Bird

Moderators: Doctor MJ, trex_8063, penbeast0, PaulieWal, Clyde Frazier

Better career, peak

Bird for both
9
15%
Bird for career, Jokic for peak
31
53%
Bird for peak, Jokic for career
2
3%
Jokic for career and prime
17
29%
 
Total votes: 59

tsherkin
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 93,344
And1: 32,787
Joined: Oct 14, 2003
 

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#61 » by tsherkin » Fri Aug 22, 2025 2:33 pm

lessthanjake wrote:I think one can look at impact and ability in depth without entirely losing sight of the fact that having team success matters a great deal when ranking a player’s greatness in a team sport.


Some can, sure. It's less common than you might think, though.

People have always ranked players based on some combination of the eye test, a player’s personal stats/accolades, and their team success.


Absolutely. We use the tools available to us, after all. And until comparatively recent years, we've only really had so many tools. Even something as simple as range-specific shooting data, right?

In other words, I think we get a better assessment of a player’s statistical case by looking at not just raw box stats but also impact data and whatnot.


Yes, the broader the collection of data, generally speaking the more we learn. Raw box score stuff is only so useful. Individual numbers of any sort are only so useful, so the more we can look at what's happening in-depth, the better off our understanding, I agree.

That ends up being to the benefit of certain players whose impact data looks better than their box data (and vice versa is the case too). But that doesn’t mean that team success goes by the wayside when assessing a player’s all-time place. It just means that we’ve honed the tools we have to assess one of the other major pillars of player greatness (i.e. the statistical element). Becoming better at assessing individual statistical data does not mean team success stops mattering IMO.


Sure, but again... look at this comparison. The differences in roster context are pretty vast. And then individual playoff performance isn't exactly Bird's resting strength. He has a bunch of high-profile rough performances in his core responsibility area than one would generally like, so are the two extra titles really showcasing a gap of any meaningful sort, or are we just articulating that he was able to contend more because he had more help?

You know?

Bird was amazing, and Jokic isn't without his own "coming up short as a scorer" kind of moments. But if I'm looking at these two guys in particular, then the nature of the question being asked becomes so very important. The phrasing suggests who was better on career value, which isn't the same as "who won more." Now, pen can correct me any time because I'm no telepath and don't know exactly what he meant of course. But I doubt he wanted a discussion just based around who had a career with more team success, right? And in this specific context, the rings don't really illuminate anything about the two stars involved so much as their teammates.
SNPA
General Manager
Posts: 9,298
And1: 8,655
Joined: Apr 15, 2020

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#62 » by SNPA » Sat Aug 23, 2025 3:29 am

tsherkin wrote:
SNPA wrote:Again, I love Jokic. Fantastic player. I'm not trying to say a single thing bad about him. But...he'd have to deliver big time on the MVP/All 1st team fronts and really another title (unless he can blow us away with MVPs) to stack up to Bird.


Why?

With such a massive difference in surrounding talent, why does Jokic have to do more with less to stack up?

Look at who they beat to win the title. It’s not exactly the Showtime Lakers and Bad Boy Pistons.
tone wone
Pro Prospect
Posts: 962
And1: 728
Joined: Mar 10, 2015

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#63 » by tone wone » Sat Aug 23, 2025 4:41 am

Jokic has a better peak and is on pace for a better prime imo.

We're in the middle of an unprecedented level of parity. Its been 6 damn years since a defending champ has made it past the 2nd round. I dont think it's wise to compare present-day team accomplishments to that of the freaking 80s. The league couldn't be more different.

But I understand why those picking Bird would wanna go that route instead of comparing their actual games.
SinceGatlingWasARookie wrote:I don’t think LeBron was as good a point guard as Mo Williams for the point guard play not counting the scoring threat. In other words in a non shooting Rondo like role Mo Williams would be better than LeBron.
migya
General Manager
Posts: 8,208
And1: 1,519
Joined: Aug 13, 2005

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#64 » by migya » Sat Aug 23, 2025 11:03 am

tone wone wrote:Jokic has a better peak and is on pace for a better prime imo.

We're in the middle of an unprecedented level of parity. Its been 6 damn years since a defending champ has made it past the 2nd round. I dont think it's wise to compare present-day team accomplishments to that of the freaking 80s. The league couldn't be more different.

But I understand why those picking Bird would wanna go that route instead of comparing their actual games.


It's parity because there hasn't been repeat champions in some time but there are teams that are stacked, such as the Celtics. It's some underperforming and some injuries that has derailed them but they are perhaps more loaded than most teams in modern history, going by the standard of era and opposition. Jokic should be credited for being able to win a championship with low talent on his team but some of those players did step up that season and playoffs. Bird's team did have great competition in his era, such as Lakers, 76ers and Bucks, among others.
tsherkin
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 93,344
And1: 32,787
Joined: Oct 14, 2003
 

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#65 » by tsherkin » Sat Aug 23, 2025 11:42 pm

SNPA wrote:Look at who they beat to win the title. It’s not exactly the Showtime Lakers and Bad Boy Pistons.


My question stands.
SNPA
General Manager
Posts: 9,298
And1: 8,655
Joined: Apr 15, 2020

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#66 » by SNPA » Sun Aug 24, 2025 4:21 am

tsherkin wrote:
SNPA wrote:Look at who they beat to win the title. It’s not exactly the Showtime Lakers and Bad Boy Pistons.


My question stands.

The question has some presuppositions I didn't infer. My response does address the root of it though, Bird got his in a brutal fashion. Jokic, while people will say plays in a more competitive league (separate debate), got his title going through some teams that had serious flaws compared to the 80s juggernauts.

Try this, look at all the teams the Nuggets beat on their title run. Start with Miami and work back. Look at the 3-5 players by minutes played. Then tell me those guys stack up to the 3-5 guys Bird had to beat. I like Max Straus, nice player but I think you'll get my point. The third best player on L.A. was James Worthy.
tone wone
Pro Prospect
Posts: 962
And1: 728
Joined: Mar 10, 2015

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#67 » by tone wone » Sun Aug 24, 2025 1:19 pm

The 3rd & 4th best players on those Celtics were Robert Parish and Dennis Johnson!
SinceGatlingWasARookie wrote:I don’t think LeBron was as good a point guard as Mo Williams for the point guard play not counting the scoring threat. In other words in a non shooting Rondo like role Mo Williams would be better than LeBron.
tsherkin
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 93,344
And1: 32,787
Joined: Oct 14, 2003
 

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#68 » by tsherkin » Sun Aug 24, 2025 1:46 pm

SNPA wrote:The question has some presuppositions I didn't infer. My response does address the root of it though, Bird got his in a brutal fashion. Jokic, while people will say plays in a more competitive league (separate debate), got his title going through some teams that had serious flaws compared to the 80s juggernauts.


Sure, but his peripheral talent was commensurately less than what Bird enjoyed, and performance is considerably more variable in lesser players.

Try this, look at all the teams the Nuggets beat on their title run. Start with Miami and work back. Look at the 3-5 players by minutes played. Then tell me those guys stack up to the 3-5 guys Bird had to beat. I like Max Straus, nice player but I think you'll get my point. The third best player on L.A. was James Worthy.


And again I say, Bird was playing with considerably more talent, so him beating better teams makes a similar amount of sense, as does his persistent contention.
Peregrine01
Head Coach
Posts: 6,754
And1: 7,694
Joined: Sep 12, 2012

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#69 » by Peregrine01 » Sun Aug 24, 2025 1:55 pm

SNPA wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
SNPA wrote:Look at who they beat to win the title. It’s not exactly the Showtime Lakers and Bad Boy Pistons.


My question stands.

The question has some presuppositions I didn't infer. My response does address the root of it though, Bird got his in a brutal fashion. Jokic, while people will say plays in a more competitive league (separate debate), got his title going through some teams that had serious flaws compared to the 80s juggernauts.

Try this, look at all the teams the Nuggets beat on their title run. Start with Miami and work back. Look at the 3-5 players by minutes played. Then tell me those guys stack up to the 3-5 guys Bird had to beat. I like Max Straus, nice player but I think you'll get my point. The third best player on L.A. was James Worthy.


Parity greatly diminishes the chances for any one team to win. A team that has a 90% probability to win each playoff round from 1-3 but only a 50% chance to win the finals still ends up with a 50% higher likelihood to win the whole thing compared to a team with a 70% probability to win each playoff series. Though the 90/90/90/50 odds probably better describes Magic's Lakers in the 80s compared to Bird's Celts since the East was a lot more competitive than the West then.
SNPA
General Manager
Posts: 9,298
And1: 8,655
Joined: Apr 15, 2020

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#70 » by SNPA » Sun Aug 24, 2025 4:35 pm

tsherkin wrote:
SNPA wrote:The question has some presuppositions I didn't infer. My response does address the root of it though, Bird got his in a brutal fashion. Jokic, while people will say plays in a more competitive league (separate debate), got his title going through some teams that had serious flaws compared to the 80s juggernauts.


Sure, but his peripheral talent was commensurately less than what Bird enjoyed, and performance is considerably more variable in lesser players.

Try this, look at all the teams the Nuggets beat on their title run. Start with Miami and work back. Look at the 3-5 players by minutes played. Then tell me those guys stack up to the 3-5 guys Bird had to beat. I like Max Straus, nice player but I think you'll get my point. The third best player on L.A. was James Worthy.


And again I say, Bird was playing with considerably more talent, so him beating better teams makes a similar amount of sense, as does his persistent contention.

My point is it cuts both ways.
tsherkin
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 93,344
And1: 32,787
Joined: Oct 14, 2003
 

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#71 » by tsherkin » Sun Aug 24, 2025 4:57 pm

SNPA wrote:My point is it cuts both ways.


I don't really think so.

Yes, Jokic had a relatively easy path to the title, but he basically had a 94 Rockets type of situation. When we speak of persistent contention, you need guys to maintain a given level of play, which his peripheral guys have not done. Bird's did, which is a large part of why he was able to return to the Finals multiple times. It's that level of contextual appreciation which changes things in this situation. And that's even before you start to look at how the Celtics were occasionally able to overcome a rough performance from Bird, and how there was far less tolerance for that with Jokic on the Nuggets.
SNPA
General Manager
Posts: 9,298
And1: 8,655
Joined: Apr 15, 2020

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#72 » by SNPA » Sun Aug 24, 2025 5:38 pm

tsherkin wrote:
SNPA wrote:My point is it cuts both ways.


I don't really think so.

Yes, Jokic had a relatively easy path to the title, but he basically had a 94 Rockets type of situation. When we speak of persistent contention, you need guys to maintain a given level of play, which his peripheral guys have not done. Bird's did, which is a large part of why he was able to return to the Finals multiple times. It's that level of contextual appreciation which changes things in this situation. And that's even before you start to look at how the Celtics were occasionally able to overcome a rough performance from Bird, and how there was far less tolerance for that with Jokic on the Nuggets.

The guy with more titles against tougher competition has the advantage. Add that Bird has better MVP votes, is better defensively and Jokic still has some work to do. He can do it though, we’ll see.
tsherkin
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 93,344
And1: 32,787
Joined: Oct 14, 2003
 

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#73 » by tsherkin » Sun Aug 24, 2025 5:54 pm

SNPA wrote:The guy with more titles against tougher competition has the advantage. Add that Bird has better MVP votes, is better defensively and Jokic still has some work to do. He can do it though, we’ll see.


I don't actually think he was that much better defensively. And they have the same number of MVPs at the end of the day. And Bird won his before MJ really got going, so his only authentic competition was Magic, so I don't know if comparing their specific voting tallies means too much.

Jokic's career isn't over, for sure. But ultimately, the whole essence of this conversation is that the weight of Bird's titles looms large, right? But he had much better teams, which is what enabled persistent competition. So it's hard for me to overlook that in the context of this discussion.
SNPA
General Manager
Posts: 9,298
And1: 8,655
Joined: Apr 15, 2020

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#74 » by SNPA » Sun Aug 24, 2025 6:28 pm

tsherkin wrote:
SNPA wrote:The guy with more titles against tougher competition has the advantage. Add that Bird has better MVP votes, is better defensively and Jokic still has some work to do. He can do it though, we’ll see.


I don't actually think he was that much better defensively. And they have the same number of MVPs at the end of the day. And Bird won his before MJ really got going, so his only authentic competition was Magic, so I don't know if comparing their specific voting tallies means too much.

Jokic's career isn't over, for sure. But ultimately, the whole essence of this conversation is that the weight of Bird's titles looms large, right? But he had much better teams, which is what enabled persistent competition. So it's hard for me to overlook that in the context of this discussion.

In the years I listed the other MVPs were KAJ, Dr. J, Moses (twice), Magic (twice) and Jordan. The competition was more than just Magic.

This is where Jokic has a chance, if he can get another MVP that’d be huge for him. If he can get a couple second place finishes…that’d be a big help too. If he fades to 4th or lower that’s not going to catch Bird. He already has a ninth place finish during his prime stretch which hurts him in a comparison to Bird.

For me, if Jokic got another title and another MVP…then we’re having a discussion. His team this year isn’t exactly an underdog long shot…he has a prime contending team. Let’s see what he does with it.
Cavsfansince84
RealGM
Posts: 15,312
And1: 11,676
Joined: Jun 13, 2017
   

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#75 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sun Aug 24, 2025 6:44 pm

The one thing I'd add on top of the whole team talent/results argument is that I think it gets harder to keep getting results after a team has success. Not only due to drive to keep winning but the toll that long playoff runs take on teams. So that's part of the pro Bird argument imo. It's one of those things that's hard to put a value on but I think it's part of what makes Magic/Bird/Russell and LeBron's careers so special.
SNPA
General Manager
Posts: 9,298
And1: 8,655
Joined: Apr 15, 2020

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#76 » by SNPA » Sun Aug 24, 2025 8:29 pm

For me the whole Bird/Jokic thing just answers the question, what would a three inch taller and fifty pounds heavier center version of Bird be like in the modern era. Answer: best player in the world for at least half a decade. So it’s the same answer as PF Bird in the 80s.

I value portability. That’s an edge to Bird. It’s hard to imagine a team Bird doesn’t fit with. Also, it is my opinion that in the modern spread out game Bird could operate more like a hub like Jokic in addition to his off ball game.
Cavsfansince84
RealGM
Posts: 15,312
And1: 11,676
Joined: Jun 13, 2017
   

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#77 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sun Aug 24, 2025 9:36 pm

SNPA wrote:For me the whole Bird/Jokic thing just answers the question, what would a three inch taller and fifty pounds heavier center version of Bird be like in the modern era. Answer: best player in the world for at least half a decade. So it’s the same answer as PF Bird in the 80s.

I value portability. That’s an edge to Bird. It’s hard to imagine a team Bird doesn’t fit with. Also, it is my opinion that in the modern spread out game Bird could operate more like a hub like Jokic in addition to his off ball game.


Something Jokic has though that Bird doesn't is a very resilient post game and he's hard to stop as a finisher with his length and size. Bird's body also didn't hold up well. The stuff like Bird running 5-6 miles before games and a degenerative back condition plus the bone spurs all took its toll on him. Jokic has more left in the tank for the playoffs I would say. If his prime can extend a couple more years I'd have trouble saying I'd take Bird over him under much of any circumstances. It'd be different maybe if Bird hadn't had the health issues and remained a better defender.
User avatar
Jaivl
Head Coach
Posts: 7,153
And1: 6,801
Joined: Jan 28, 2014
Location: A Coruña, Spain
Contact:
   

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#78 » by Jaivl » Sun Aug 24, 2025 10:03 pm

tsherkin wrote:
SNPA wrote:My point is it cuts both ways.


I don't really think so.

Yes, Jokic had a relatively easy path to the title, but he basically had a 94 Rockets type of situation.

Similarly to 2022 Curry, that may be true on paper, considering the average quality of the players involved over the surrounding years, but far from true in the actual postseason in question.

As a quick and dirty measurement, his cast provided 2.5 wins over replacement by BPM on the playoffs. That's far from good historically, but it's exactly the same as the Heat sans Butler. The Celtics, a notably fantastic cast which also played 20 games, managed a 3.1 WOR without Tatum.

Of course, Bird had arguably the most loaded non-Warriors cast ever relative to the league, but that's another story.
This place is a cesspool of mindless ineptitude, mental decrepitude, and intellectual lassitude. I refuse to be sucked any deeper into this whirlpool of groupthink sewage. My opinions have been expressed. I'm going to go take a shower.
tsherkin
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 93,344
And1: 32,787
Joined: Oct 14, 2003
 

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#79 » by tsherkin » Mon Aug 25, 2025 2:21 am

Jaivl wrote:Similarly to 2022 Curry, that may be true on paper, considering the average quality of the players involved over the surrounding years, but far from true in the actual postseason in question.


My point was more that they played well in the playoffs. Better than they had in the RS. Murray absolutely lit up the Lakers, and that was big for them during the run.
Peregrine01
Head Coach
Posts: 6,754
And1: 7,694
Joined: Sep 12, 2012

Re: Jokic v. Bird 

Post#80 » by Peregrine01 » Tue Aug 26, 2025 4:09 pm

tsherkin wrote:
Jaivl wrote:Similarly to 2022 Curry, that may be true on paper, considering the average quality of the players involved over the surrounding years, but far from true in the actual postseason in question.


My point was more that they played well in the playoffs. Better than they had in the RS. Murray absolutely lit up the Lakers, and that was big for them during the run.


Murray is and always has been the wildcard. His highs and lows are rather extreme. I struggle to think of another player with more variance.

Return to Player Comparisons