People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind?

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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#621 » by penbeast0 » Sat Oct 1, 2022 10:10 pm

Stalwart wrote:Why would you dump the ball into Bill Cartwright with 5 seconds left? Thats setting him and your team up for failure. Is that being an unwilling passer or having situational awareness?


Going to an open or single covered Bill Cartwright under the basket is probably a higher percentage shot than taking a doubled midrange in the teeth of opposition coverage, even for Jordan. Remember that before Cartwright came to Chicago, he was a scoring center averaging over 25 pp/100 possessions on better than .550 shooting in New York. Just because Jordan says he couldn't score didn't make it so.

Teams don't let weak scorers play hero ball usually so it tends to be the strong ones but still studies have found that multi-polar scoring offenses tend to be more efficient than unipolar scoring offenses as Jordan found out when Phil Jackson and Tex Winter came in and moved Chicago's offense from middle of the pack (12th, 9th, 12th of 25 in last 3 years of Collins) to strong (5th, 1st, 1st in initial 3 years of playing triangle).
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#622 » by Stalwart » Sat Oct 1, 2022 10:16 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
Stalwart wrote:Why would you dump the ball into Bill Cartwright with 5 seconds left? Thats setting him and your team up for failure. Is that being an unwilling passer or having situational awareness?


Going to an open Bill Cartwright under the basket is probably a higher percentage shot than taking a doubled midrange in the teeth of opposition coverage, even for Jordan. Remember that before Cartwright came to Chicago, he was a scoring center averaging over 25 pp/100 possessions on better than .550 shooting in New York. Just because Jordan says he couldn't score didn't make it so.


Was Jordan talking about a wide open Cartwright under the basket or a covered, out of position Bill Cartwright?
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#623 » by penbeast0 » Sat Oct 1, 2022 10:21 pm

Stalwart wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:
Stalwart wrote:Why would you dump the ball into Bill Cartwright with 5 seconds left? Thats setting him and your team up for failure. Is that being an unwilling passer or having situational awareness?


Going to an open Bill Cartwright under the basket is probably a higher percentage shot than taking a doubled midrange in the teeth of opposition coverage, even for Jordan. Remember that before Cartwright came to Chicago, he was a scoring center averaging over 25 pp/100 possessions on better than .550 shooting in New York. Just because Jordan says he couldn't score didn't make it so.


Was Jordan talking about a wide open Cartwright under the basket or a covered, out of position Bill Cartwright?


He had said not to pass the ball to Cartwright, ever, under any circumstance so . . . . both. Now, to a large extent it was hyperbole by Jordan, trashing his own teammates again because Cartwright had dropped a pass. But to some extent it was also because Jordan was pissed off that the team had traded his buddy Oakley for Cartwright and because he was still not fully bought in to the triangle in 1990 if it took place then the way I think it did.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#624 » by Stalwart » Sat Oct 1, 2022 10:41 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
Stalwart wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:
Going to an open Bill Cartwright under the basket is probably a higher percentage shot than taking a doubled midrange in the teeth of opposition coverage, even for Jordan. Remember that before Cartwright came to Chicago, he was a scoring center averaging over 25 pp/100 possessions on better than .550 shooting in New York. Just because Jordan says he couldn't score didn't make it so.


Was Jordan talking about a wide open Cartwright under the basket or a covered, out of position Bill Cartwright?


He had said not to pass the ball to Cartwright, ever, under any circumstance so . . . . both. Now, to a large extent it was hyperbole by Jordan, trashing his own teammates again because Cartwright had dropped a pass. But to some extent it was also because Jordan was pissed off that the team had traded his buddy Oakley for Cartwright and because he was still not fully bought in to the triangle in 1990 if it took place then the way I think it did.


I forgot about that. That's true. He didn't like Cartwright and let it be known. He would call him "Medical Bill" because he was always injured. That was until the day Cartwright threatened to break his legs if he kept disrespecting him.

So yes, Jordan, for a time, was a bit unwilling to pass the ball specifically to Cartwright. But is that the same as being a unwilling passer with a lack of court vision?

Kobe would do the same things to certain teammates he didn't respect or didn't feel like he could trust. If he felt like you were out of shape or not on your game he felt as though you didn't deserve the ball. This was Jordans view of Cartwright in the beginning.

One can debate the logic or effectiveness of that approach as a,leader. But that's entirely different than lacking court vision, being an unwilling passer, or being unwilling to "be coached and to play in a team system in order to achieve something bigger" as Gooner stated. The entire reason Mazter brought up that quote was in an effort to rebut Gooners characterization of Jordan. The truth is that's literally what Jordan did in the middle of his prime. He gave up the ball, trusted and utilized his teammates, and embraced a team system. When Lebron was teamed up with great players he made them give up the ball, reinvent their games, and adjust to him. Who is really the team player here?
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#625 » by Gooner » Sun Oct 2, 2022 7:25 am

AEnigma wrote:
Gooner wrote:
AEnigma wrote:Spacing has certainly evolved with time, although 2009-14 Lebron was not exactly seeing perpetually open driving lanes. Again though we come back to player weaknesses and team structure. If Jordan could be given complete defensive attention with aggressive and active help, does he have the passing vision to take proper advantage? Would he sacrifice his shots, or would he try to take them anyway? Possibly. But the more that makes him look like Kobe, the more his mystique dies down…

If anyone was given the full attention with agressive and active help, it was Jordan. And yes, Jordan had an elite passing vision. Elite.
The most underrated part of his game is playmaking. He is underrated beacuase of his APG, and today you have players getting triple doubles on regular basis so his assist numbers look unimpressive.

It has to be remembered though that he was not a point guard or a point forward. He played for the most part in a triangle system which is based on multiple players making plays for each other and it doesn't have a traditional playmaker who runs everything. It was the same thing in LA with Phil Jackson, Derek Fisher was their point guard.

When Jordan played in a system where everything went through him, he was getting triple doubles aswell. It's not like he was not capable of playing like that, but he was willing to be coached and to play in a team system in order to achieve something bigger.

Either you have a low bar for “elite” passing or you need to watch more point guards. Jordan could make basic reads and in the triangle he did that extremely well. If he had the ball put in his hands, he could do that at volume, and putting the ball in his hands at least gives you a fair bit of stability, but without the vision and creativity of actually elite passers, you are hitting your ceiling a lot more quickly. I know it is popular for the stans to just extrapolate him as a better Westbrook or Harden, because the myth of Jordan needs him to be infallible to maintain itself at all, but as a passer he was never close to either, and even Kobe showcased more passing acumen and better vision and creativity than he did.


You are underestimating Jordan's playmaking a lot. He was a better passer than Kobe. I don't even compare him to ballhogging statpadders like Westbrook or Harden. Making basic reads is what you need to do pretty much. Great players make things look simple.

Mazter wrote:
Gooner wrote:When Jordan played in a system where everything went through him, he was getting triple doubles aswell. It's not like he was not capable of playing like that, but he was willing to be coached and to play in a team system in order to achieve something bigger.


Hmmm yeah, about that...

Jordan wasn't a fan of that at first, going as far as to say, "Everybody has an opportunity to touch the ball, but I didn't want Bill Cartwright to have the ball with five seconds left. That's not equal-opportunity offense, that's f--king bulls--t."


Doesn't sound willing to me, more like he was force fed. But hey, whatever you want to believe...


OK, he was sceptical at first, and he expressed it very clearly in his typical fashion. But once he saw how it worked, he bought in.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#626 » by Antinomy » Sun Oct 2, 2022 7:19 pm

When are ppl going to acknowledge that Jordan was box score watching when he went on that triple-double streak? It’s well-documented.

Also, I saw some guy saying elite scorers had it “harder under illegal defense rules”— couldn’t be further from the truth.

Elite ISO scorers had it EASIER. There’s a reason why teams would clear out one side of the floor for their best players so often — it was so frequent that they had to create an illegal offense rule.

Btw, Jordan isn’t on the same planet as guys like Magic, Lebron & Bird as passers.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#627 » by LukaTheGOAT » Sun Oct 2, 2022 8:53 pm

The best 3-year offenses and defense (minimum of 20 games played across three postseason trips), we see the following unique team peaks in playoff offense per common offensive rating (cORTG) via Backpicks since 1984 (but only other potential contenders would be if you go back to Mikan days).

Common offensive rating is comparing a team’s postseason play to other teams against that same given opponent (for that particular PS). The rORTG is also listed on the side too for those who, where a team’s playoff offensive rating is compared to it’s opponent’s regular season defensive ratings. The Cavs have the best common offensive rating of the time period.

Team Year cORTG rORTG
CLE 2015-17 13.0 9.5


MIA 2012-14 9.7 8.7


CHI 1991-93 8.8 8.4

CHI 1994-96 8.3 6.9
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#628 » by penbeast0 » Sun Oct 2, 2022 9:26 pm

Antinomy wrote:...

Btw, Jordan isn’t on the same planet as guys like Magic, Lebron & Bird as passers.


Not on Earth? You've been watching Space Jam again, haven't you.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#629 » by homecourtloss » Sun Oct 2, 2022 10:33 pm

LukaTheGOAT wrote:The best 3-year offenses and defense (minimum of 20 games played across three postseason trips), we see the following unique team peaks in playoff offense per common offensive rating (cORTG) via Backpicks (since 1984 but only other potential contenders would be if you go back to Mikan days).

Common offensive rating is comparing a team’s postseason play to other teams against that same given opponent (for that particular PS). The rORTG is also listed on the side too for those who, where a team’s playoff offensive rating is compared to it’s opponent’s regular season defensive ratings.

Team Year cORTG rORTG
CLE 2015-17 13.0 9.5


MIA 2012-14 9.7 8.7


CHI 1991-93 8.8 8.4

CHI 1994-96 8.3 6.9


Wow. Is +13.0 the highest 3 year cORTG there is? This is with injured-back ‘15 LeBron missing Love for most of the playoffs and Kyrie playing limited minutes.
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#630 » by LukaTheGOAT » Sun Oct 2, 2022 10:52 pm

homecourtloss wrote:
LukaTheGOAT wrote:The best 3-year offenses and defense (minimum of 20 games played across three postseason trips), we see the following unique team peaks in playoff offense per common offensive rating (cORTG) via Backpicks (since 1984 but only other potential contenders would be if you go back to Mikan days).

Common offensive rating is comparing a team’s postseason play to other teams against that same given opponent (for that particular PS). The rORTG is also listed on the side too for those who, where a team’s playoff offensive rating is compared to it’s opponent’s regular season defensive ratings.

Team Year cORTG rORTG
CLE 2015-17 13.0 9.5


MIA 2012-14 9.7 8.7


CHI 1991-93 8.8 8.4

CHI 1994-96 8.3 6.9


Wow. Is +13.0 the highest 3 year cORTG there is? This is with injured-back ‘15 LeBron missing Love for most of the playoffs and Kyrie playing limited minutes.


It would be at least #1 back to then 1950s I would imagine. It is calculated since 1984....Some of Mikans's Lakers maybe could challenge it though I would have to calculate it. But yeah, it is at least #1 for the parts of basketball history where all the generally "offensive GOAT talents" played.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#631 » by falcolombardi » Sun Oct 2, 2022 11:29 pm

LukaTheGOAT wrote:The best 3-year offenses and defense (minimum of 20 games played across three postseason trips), we see the following unique team peaks in playoff offense per common offensive rating (cORTG) via Backpicks since 1984 (but only other potential contenders would be if you go back to Mikan days).

Common offensive rating is comparing a team’s postseason play to other teams against that same given opponent (for that particular PS). The rORTG is also listed on the side too for those who, where a team’s playoff offensive rating is compared to it’s opponent’s regular season defensive ratings. The Cavs have the best common offensive rating of the time period.

Team Year cORTG rORTG
CLE 2015-17 13.0 9.5


MIA 2012-14 9.7 8.7


CHI 1991-93 8.8 8.4

CHI 1994-96 8.3 6.9



This is why i think the "ceiling raising" criticisms on lebron are so weird and aesthetically biased

His teams, speciallt when it counts (playoffs) just get as good or better results that all the theorically more ceiling raising and portable players he is criticized in comparision with

The "ultimate floor raiser" compliments feel so backhanded because of this, he is -also- one of the highest ceiling raisers too
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#632 » by falcolombardi » Sun Oct 2, 2022 11:33 pm

homecourtloss wrote:
LukaTheGOAT wrote:The best 3-year offenses and defense (minimum of 20 games played across three postseason trips), we see the following unique team peaks in playoff offense per common offensive rating (cORTG) via Backpicks (since 1984 but only other potential contenders would be if you go back to Mikan days).

Common offensive rating is comparing a team’s postseason play to other teams against that same given opponent (for that particular PS). The rORTG is also listed on the side too for those who, where a team’s playoff offensive rating is compared to it’s opponent’s regular season defensive ratings.

Team Year cORTG rORTG
CLE 2015-17 13.0 9.5


MIA 2012-14 9.7 8.7


CHI 1991-93 8.8 8.4

CHI 1994-96 8.3 6.9


Wow. Is +13.0 the highest 3 year cORTG there is? This is with injured-back ‘15 LeBron missing Love for most of the playoffs and Kyrie playing limited minutes.


But how -portable- is he at meshing with other offensive talent :noway:

Criticisms on lebron as a ceiling raiser are the weirdest criticism since ben taylor criticized magic/nash ball dominance for limiting the offense ceiling to only the best offense dinasties ever
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#633 » by Stalwart » Sun Oct 2, 2022 11:50 pm

falcolombardi wrote:
LukaTheGOAT wrote:The best 3-year offenses and defense (minimum of 20 games played across three postseason trips), we see the following unique team peaks in playoff offense per common offensive rating (cORTG) via Backpicks since 1984 (but only other potential contenders would be if you go back to Mikan days).

Common offensive rating is comparing a team’s postseason play to other teams against that same given opponent (for that particular PS). The rORTG is also listed on the side too for those who, where a team’s playoff offensive rating is compared to it’s opponent’s regular season defensive ratings. The Cavs have the best common offensive rating of the time period.

Team Year cORTG rORTG
CLE 2015-17 13.0 9.5


MIA 2012-14 9.7 8.7


CHI 1991-93 8.8 8.4

CHI 1994-96 8.3 6.9



This is why i think the "ceiling raising" criticisms on lebron are so weird and aesthetically biased

His teams, speciallt when it counts (playoffs) just get as good or better results that all the theorically more ceiling raising and portable players he is criticized in comparision with

The "ultimate floor raiser" compliments feel so backhanded because of this, he is -also- one of the highest ceiling raisers too


If Lebron teams perform so well then how come we always here about how he needs more help?
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#634 » by AEnigma » Mon Oct 3, 2022 12:32 am

Stalwart wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
LukaTheGOAT wrote:The best 3-year offenses and defense (minimum of 20 games played across three postseason trips), we see the following unique team peaks in playoff offense per common offensive rating (cORTG) via Backpicks since 1984 (but only other potential contenders would be if you go back to Mikan days).

Common offensive rating is comparing a team’s postseason play to other teams against that same given opponent (for that particular PS). The rORTG is also listed on the side too for those who, where a team’s playoff offensive rating is compared to it’s opponent’s regular season defensive ratings. The Cavs have the best common offensive rating of the time period.

Team Year cORTG rORTG
CLE 2015-17 13.0 9.5


MIA 2012-14 9.7 8.7


CHI 1991-93 8.8 8.4

CHI 1994-96 8.3 6.9



This is why i think the "ceiling raising" criticisms on lebron are so weird and aesthetically biased

His teams, speciallt when it counts (playoffs) just get as good or better results that all the theorically more ceiling raising and portable players he is criticized in comparision with

The "ultimate floor raiser" compliments feel so backhanded because of this, he is -also- one of the highest ceiling raisers too


If Lebron teams perform so well then how come we always here about how he needs more help?

Oh yay I love this cycle.
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=64&t=2224933&p=101312848&hilit=Help#p101312848
AEnigma wrote:
Stalwart wrote:Or did Lebron need more help from all time greats like Horace Grant and John Paxson? I'm just trying to figure this out.

Where was this claimed. Lebron could have used better defensive support than Love from 2015-18, but the biggest issue was running into the Warriors — a substantially better team than any Jordan faced outside of his brief encounter with the 1986 Celtics. He could have used better team fit, depth, and scheming in 2011, but most acknowledge that he needed to adjust his game and that the Finals proved to him why (although the way you tell it, Lebron never changed and in fact it was everyone else :roll:). He could have used better overall team fit, health, and uh aging in 2014, but again the bigger issue was running into an all-time postseason squad beyond pretty much any Jordan encountered.

Please let me know if you ever become interested in good faith, non-hagiographic analysis of the sport.

Cool to see all these pages later how you still have absolutely nothing new to add.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#635 » by Stalwart » Mon Oct 3, 2022 1:33 am

AEnigma wrote:
Stalwart wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:

This is why i think the "ceiling raising" criticisms on lebron are so weird and aesthetically biased

His teams, speciallt when it counts (playoffs) just get as good or better results that all the theorically more ceiling raising and portable players he is criticized in comparision with

The "ultimate floor raiser" compliments feel so backhanded because of this, he is -also- one of the highest ceiling raisers too


If Lebron teams perform so well then how come we always here about how he needs more help?

Oh yay I love this cycle.
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=64&t=2224933&p=101312848&hilit=Help#p101312848
AEnigma wrote:
Stalwart wrote:Or did Lebron need more help from all time greats like Horace Grant and John Paxson? I'm just trying to figure this out.

Where was this claimed. Lebron could have used better defensive support than Love from 2015-18, but the biggest issue was running into the Warriors — a substantially better team than any Jordan faced outside of his brief encounter with the 1986 Celtics. He could have used better team fit, depth, and scheming in 2011, but most acknowledge that he needed to adjust his game and that the Finals proved to him why (although the way you tell it, Lebron never changed and in fact it was everyone else :roll:). He could have used better overall team fit, health, and uh aging in 2014, but again the bigger issue was running into an all-time postseason squad beyond pretty much any Jordan encountered.

Please let me know if you ever become interested in good faith, non-hagiographic analysis of the sport.

Cool to see all these pages later how you still have absolutely nothing new to add.


Youre trying to have it both ways. Lebron's team perform at historically high levels with his teammates all being properly utilized. But he also needs more help. You got to pick one and stick to it.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#636 » by prolific passer » Mon Oct 3, 2022 2:08 am

Well you know what I think.......I got nothing.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#637 » by tsherkin » Mon Oct 3, 2022 2:08 am

Stalwart wrote:Youre trying to have it both ways. Lebron's team perform at historically high levels with his teammates all being properly utilized. But he also needs more help. You got to pick one and stick to it.


It's quite possible that his teams performed at an extremely high level... and then situationally weren't able to do too much. Take, for example, the Cleveland teams that are topping this list, yes? They won in 2016, so we don't need to worry about that season, because it all worked out, but what about 2015 and 2017? And we're ignoring 2018 primarily because it's not the 3-year window in the given list, yes?

2015: 12-2 through the EC, nice and smooth. Ran into the Golden State Warriors, who were a 67-win team, the 2nd-best offense and the best defense in the league. Legitimately the best team in the league. Held GSW 4 points below their RS ORTG, but Cleveland sucked ass on offense that series, under 100 ORTG themselves (more than an 11-point drop relative to the RS, when CLE was the 3rd-best offense in the league).

Was it Lebron? His scoring efficiency was < 48% TS, but he was also posting about 36/13/9 on 40.8% USG. So that touches some on the old Iverson "bolstering his team with insane usage and crap efficiency argument."

Was it the team? JR Smith, Dellevadova, Shumpert, James Jones and Kendrick Perkins were all under 50% TS. Tristan Thompson at 52.8%. Kyrie Irving played one game out of the 6 in the series, which would have looked very different if he'd been healthy. Injuries happen, and Lebron could certainly have played better. He stank at the foul line, was weak from 3 taking 7 per game, and shot under 40% FG on the series. But he also had literally nothing going on around him. The team shot 29.3% from 3. They were 36/125 from 3 apart from Lebron, which is 28.8%. The team shot 38.4% overall, shooting 118/315 apart from Lebron, or 37.5%.

So basically, they lost Kyrie and the team crapped the bed really bad around Lebron, who then couldn't bootstrap his injured Cavs over the best defense in the league (which was also the 2nd-best offense in the RS). Not a surprising loss, all told.

Two years later in 2017, the Warriors had added Kevin Durant, so I don't think I really need to explain that. The Cavs were a nearly 115 ORTG offense in the 2017 Finals, but the Warriors roflstomp'd them at just over 121 ORTG because they had the filthiest team imaginable. Again a 67-win team, and this time the best offense and the 2nd-best defense. Lebron needed more help in order to tackle the Warriors, who were a +11.35 SRS squad. Dunno what anyone thought he was going to do about that with Kyrie, Love, JR Smith and Richard Jefferson. Irving was pretty good on O in that series; nothing special, but certainly not bad. Lebron balled out like a madman (~ 34/12/10 on 63% TS now that he wasn't working with almost nothing and no second scorer), but it just didn't matter because they had no hope of guarding the Warriors. And it was the same the year after.

So yeah... against everyone except the ATG absurdity of Golden State's Durant-era offense, the Cavs were a high-performing support cast. 4 straight Finals appearances sort of speaks to that. And if Irving had been healthy in 2015, there's the possibility that the Cavs might have actually won. But Lebron needed more in the 2015 Finals, and anyone else would have also needed more in order to compete with Golden State in the following 2 seasons.

So those aren't really competing notions in this particular case.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#638 » by AEnigma » Mon Oct 3, 2022 2:48 am

Stalwart wrote:
AEnigma wrote:
Stalwart wrote:
If Lebron teams perform so well then how come we always here about how he needs more help?

Oh yay I love this cycle.
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=64&t=2224933&p=101312848&hilit=Help#p101312848
AEnigma wrote:Where was this claimed. Lebron could have used better defensive support than Love from 2015-18, but the biggest issue was running into the Warriors — a substantially better team than any Jordan faced outside of his brief encounter with the 1986 Celtics. He could have used better team fit, depth, and scheming in 2011, but most acknowledge that he needed to adjust his game and that the Finals proved to him why (although the way you tell it, Lebron never changed and in fact it was everyone else :roll:). He could have used better overall team fit, health, and uh aging in 2014, but again the bigger issue was running into an all-time postseason squad beyond pretty much any Jordan encountered.

Please let me know if you ever become interested in good faith, non-hagiographic analysis of the sport.

Cool to see all these pages later how you still have absolutely nothing new to add.

Youre trying to have it both ways. Lebron's team perform at historically high levels with his teammates all being properly utilized. But he also needs more help. You got to pick one and stick to it.

He “needs” healthier teammates and/or not top 1-20 all-time opponents. :roll: How exactly did Jordan fare against 8+ SRS opponents? Do you think Jordan’s teammates were just so inspired by his otherworldly brilliance that their bodies held up better than Lebron’s teammates’ did?

It does not matter how great your team is if they are debilitated while also going up against a much better one. Evidently the two biggest mistakes of Lebron’s career are 1) not ensuring the cap jump was too low for Golden State to sign Durant, and 2) not hiring literal wizards as team doctors.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#639 » by Djoker » Mon Oct 3, 2022 7:20 pm

I'm a bit late to this discussion but I just want to chyme in on a few points that were raised.

The first one is the apparent contradiction in saying Jordan > Lebron because he won 6 rings compared to Lebron's 4 rings but then ranking Jordan above Russell who has 11 rings as the best player. Me personally I rank Jordan and Russell on the same tier as the two greatest players in history and the order can go either way and you won't see me bat an eye. However, the limitation in Russell's GOAT argument is that he wasn't the individual force that a few others greats namely Wilt, Kareem, Jordan, Lebron were. Russell gave off more Duncan vibes. Not that it's a bad thing but people naturally gravitate towards superior individual production when ranking players. Russell just lacks in terms of individual dominance that to many people it just doesn't feel right to have him as the GOAT when ranking individual players. The fact that he was finishing as 2nd Team All-NBA in many of his prime years rubs people the wrong way. At the end of the day a GOAT list ranks individual players in a team-based sport. And for most people the idea of the greatest player ever is a guy who wins a ton of championships and is the best player in the league. Russell didn't regularly check that second box. Fair or not, Jordan is the guy who checks both of those boxes better than anyone else.

The second point that I'm about to raise comes down to my own personal views. A lot of people on this forum seem to judge the GOAT by total career value and so by that token Lebron is #1 all time (or at least will be very soon) and Kareem is #2 all time and that's pretty definitive. However I think this method or ranking does not consider that longevity is largely based on factors that have nothing to do with the player himself and their durability such as:
- coming to the NBA out of high school aids longevity
- more modern eras allow for better longevity because of superior nutrition, training, and medical advances
- the last decade allows for better longevity due to load management
- the last decade and a half allows for better longevity due to reduced physicality
- longevity is affected by off-court issues such as AIDS in Magic's case, father's murder in Jordan's case etc.

If we simply use longevity without adjusting for eras and circumstances we'll have a GOAT list composed of just modern players pretty soon. Guys like KD, Curry, Harden, Jokic, Luka, Giannis etc. won't have Lebron's longevity but historically speaking will probably end up with very impressive longevity. Curry this year was 34 years old. He's probably better than any 34 year old in history barring Jordan, Lebron, Kareem and possibly Duncan and Durant. And you could easily see him continue playing at a high level for a few years. Right now it's already looking difficult not to put Curry over Bird if you're at all high on longevity. I am of course not quite convinced.

Another problem is that the career value approach isn't universally applied. Karl Malone crushes a whole lot of guys in longevity. I see a lot of lists where Malone is either a fringe top 20 player or not even top 20 even though he has 11 1st Team All-NBA selections, 36k points etc. A ton of lists have him below Dr J, West, Oscar, Barkley etc. guys who like Malone also never won titles as the best players on their team. In that case "Those guys were better players." argument totally trumps longevity. Perhaps the inconsistent use of longevity comes from the realization that half of the top 10 will be current players very very soon and that undermines the credibility of such a list. And of course questions whether career value is used optimally to rank players.

Lastly should longevity factor in loyalty to a particular franchise? How valuable is someone's 25 year career if it's split among 3 different teams? For instance, saying that in a hypothetical draft you'd pick Lebron and Kareem ahead of Jordan, I think you're implicitly assuming that those players stay on your team their entire careers. But is that a fair assumption to make knowing that Kareem and Lebron did in fact leave their teams? Both left fairly solid team situations as well.
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Re: People who don't have Jordan as GOAT: What metric(s) would make you change your mind? 

Post#640 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Oct 3, 2022 7:34 pm

Djoker wrote:
Spoiler:
I'm a bit late to this discussion but I just want to chyme in on a few points that were raised.

The first one is the apparent contradiction in saying Jordan > Lebron because he won 6 rings compared to Lebron's 4 rings but then ranking Jordan above Russell who has 11 rings as the best player. Me personally I rank Jordan and Russell on the same tier as the two greatest players in history and the order can go either way and you won't see me bat an eye. However, the limitation in Russell's GOAT argument is that he wasn't the individual force that a few others greats namely Wilt, Kareem, Jordan, Lebron were. Russell gave off more Duncan vibes. Not that it's a bad thing but people naturally gravitate towards superior individual production when ranking players. Russell just lacks in terms of individual dominance that to many people it just doesn't feel right to have him as the GOAT when ranking individual players. The fact that he was finishing as 2nd Team All-NBA in many of his prime years rubs people the wrong way. At the end of the day a GOAT list ranks individual players in a team-based sport. And for most people the idea of the greatest player ever is a guy who wins a ton of championships and is the best player in the league. Russell didn't regularly check that second box. Fair or not, Jordan is the guy who checks both of those boxes better than anyone else.

The second point that I'm about to raise comes down to my own personal views. A lot of people on this forum seem to judge the GOAT by total career value and so by that token Lebron is #1 all time (or at least will be very soon) and Kareem is #2 all time and that's pretty definitive. However I think this method or ranking does not consider that longevity is largely based on factors that have nothing to do with the player himself and their durability such as:
- coming to the NBA out of high school aids longevity
- more modern eras allow for better longevity because of superior nutrition, training, and medical advances
- the last decade allows for better longevity due to load management
- the last decade and a half allows for better longevity due to reduced physicality
- longevity is affected by off-court issues such as AIDS in Magic's case, father's murder in Jordan's case etc.

If we simply use longevity without adjusting for eras and circumstances we'll have a GOAT list composed of just modern players pretty soon. Guys like KD, Curry, Harden, Jokic, Luka, Giannis etc. won't have Lebron's longevity but historically speaking will probably end up with very impressive longevity. Curry this year was 34 years old. He's probably better than any 34 year old in history barring Jordan, Lebron, Kareem and possibly Duncan and Durant. And you could easily see him continue playing at a high level for a few years. Right now it's already looking difficult not to put Curry over Bird if you're at all high on longevity. I am of course not quite convinced.

Another problem is that the career value approach isn't universally applied. Karl Malone crushes a whole lot of guys in longevity. I see a lot of lists where Malone is either a fringe top 20 player or not even top 20 even though he has 11 1st Team All-NBA selections, 36k points etc. A ton of lists have him below Dr J, West, Oscar, Barkley etc. guys who like Malone also never won titles as the best players on their team. In that case "Those guys were better players." argument totally trumps longevity. Perhaps the inconsistent use of longevity comes from the realization that half of the top 10 will be current players very very soon and that undermines the credibility of such a list. And of course questions whether career value is used optimally to rank players.

Lastly should longevity factor in loyalty to a particular franchise? How valuable is someone's 25 year career if it's split among 3 different teams? For instance, saying that in a hypothetical draft you'd pick Lebron and Kareem ahead of Jordan, I think you're implicitly assuming that those players stay on your team their entire careers. But is that a fair assumption to make knowing that Kareem and Lebron did in fact leave their teams? Both left fairly solid team situations as well.


I'm a career value guy. And a longevity guy. But I know its not as simple as you are making it sound. I don't just go well this guy played 20 years and this other guy 14 so I'm going with him. It's got a lot more nuance than you are trying to make it sound.

For instance I tend to still be higher on Bird than most and he doesn't have anything special in terms of longevity, but I am so high on him as a player, that he ranks above a guy like Dirk who crushes him on longevity.

For me what bothers me is those who champion a specific player with less than ideal longevity(say Mike to stay on topic) who then want to dismiss that Kareem or Duncan or Lebron were having massively impactful seasons for their teams outside of the fairly arbitrarily defined primes. Like best or 2nd best players on champions kind of impact. I just can't throw that away and say we should only judge X best seasons because this other player for whatever reason didn't. That's not punishing Mike(or Bird or whomever) btw. But it is recognizing the very real value those players were still providing their teams.

Now I'm not telling you or anyone else what to value or how much weight to assign to longevity. But please don't imply its that simplistic. Even those of us who value longevity are capable of nuanced analysis, just as I assume those who don't value it as much are. I mean Lebron James is a great example of a player one simply can't dismiss the longevity. This isn't Duncan who took a backseat offensively later in his career so the PPG guys can dismiss him. Or Kareem, whose defense was no longer elite. Or Mailman who was always a great player, but basically never the best player in the world. Lebron has all the peak and the insane longevity.
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