AussieBuck wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:
It would be more helpful if you explained in detail how he was better, why the team defense was so much worse than in earlier years, and why it went back to elite come playoff time.
Re: these days. I've been using +/- since before you were on RealGM.
The team outside of the top guys was lowkey crappy this past season. The primary reasons for this were a lack of playmaking and rim protection. A third reason was that we had decent role players not giving the value they should have because they were forced to play out of position. If you want to ding anyone for not taking the regular season seriously enough that's on the front office/owners who didn't want to spend money or assets on improving either thing during the season trusting in veterans getting healthy and shorter rotations in the playoffs solving the issue.
It shouldn't surprise that the defense was worse than in previous seasons given that for almost the entire season we had Giannis as the sole rim defender with Bobby Portis as the only other big guy. After those two guys Pat Connaughton was the main third big at 6'5 followed by a series of young guys, washouts and team mascot Thanasis. On a team where the defensive philosophy is to defend the rim as first, second and third priority it's clearly not an ideal bunch. As a result of the above we had to have everyone crowd the paint and we simply gave up defending any threes outside of the corner. We were a terrible three point defense team. Rebounding was obviously a challenge too.
The other major deficiency in the team was the lack of point guards, I won't get into how that effected the offense because it's not the focus here but not having competent point of attack defense was a huge sink on the team D. Jrue obviously is an excellent defender but he played 56% of team minutes, Hill is close to washed up but had a massive positive impact when healthy but sadly he wasn't playing for most of the season.
Tying into the lack of guards on the team is how Giannis is used by the coach to hold lineups together. We play two types of non-starter linueps, the non-Giannis lineup typically features the 4 other starters and the 6th man/backup big. The other lineup is Giannis and bench guys. This season we had to ration playmaking minutes so Giannis typically had to do without a PG in non-starter minutes because the other lineup needs a setup guy, this means that not only did we not have a big playing with Giannis, we also didn't have anyone to defend the point of attack.
Re defense being better in the playoffs, we knocked off a ton of terrible small ball minutes, played our 4 best defenders Giannis, Jrue, Wes and Lopez a ton more and banished awful defenders like Nwora altogether The team minutes are entirely different:
Regular season
Giannis 56%
Jrue 56%
Khris 54%
Bobby 51%
Grayson 46%
Pat 43%
Hill 32%
Nwora 30%
Wes 25%
(various scrubs omitted)
Lopez 8%
Playoffs
Jrue 80%
Giannis 78%
Wes 60%
Brook 58%
Pat 55%
Grayson 53%
Carter 22%
Hill 13%
Khris 12%
In short the team was thin on minutes to competent players, guys played out of position and we were both small and slow in the regular season. Probably would have won 5 more games if the team didn't cheap out and cut Cousins even.
First off, thank you for your reply, and know that me having Giannis as low as I do in my awards (at least at this moment, maybe something will convince me to change) is the #1 thing that bothers me when I look at them. As such, I expect I'll be continuing to chew on this after these ballots need to be tabulated.
Second, I'm glad you posted the minutes, but that's part of what I mean when I take issue of the regular season. Case in a nutshell:
Do we really think Giannis sits in the last game of the year with seeding in play (seeding relative to the team that would eventually eliminate them in Game 7 on their home court), if he and the Bucks were as focused on maxing the regular season as they were in the playoffs?
I really doubt it, and this all goes in to what I'm talking about. Possibly my choice of words up to this point has made it seem like stuff like wasn't in the category of what I'm talking about, but I certainly intend it to be.
Re: "Giannis as the sole rim defender", I'm aware of this, and it makes sense as a response to why the Bucks didn't have a more elite defense, but we would expect the on/off based metrics to find more impressive if this is the case, and if the metrics actually said that, then we wouldn't be having this conversation right now. The open question is how (apparently, based on the data) Giannis managed not to prove able to differentiate himself from his defensive teammates all that well given the fact that he was the only rim defender among them.
Re: Giannis was played strategically without point of attack defender. This is also something where I'd expect it to show up in the RAPM, but I'll acknowledge we might be getting into the territory where collinearity really messes with us.
Regardless of anything I've said that is a riposte Aussie, I want you to know I appreciate your team-specific insight, and also want you to know that I don't mean to claim I know the Bucks better than you. In the end though, I can't outsource my assessment to someone else, even if I think there's an excellent chance they are right and I am wrong simply based on their knowledge in the domain.




















