trex_8063 wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:And if you are willing to basically dismiss the playoffs as noise, well, then you're really a rare basketball analyst indeed.
This line was a bit snide (I hope unintentionally). And realize I can just as easily turn this statement back on you (e.g. if you're willing to basically dismiss the rs as irrelevant for whatever reasons, well, then you're really a rare basketball analyst indeed

).
Well, there's an xkcd that's legendary:

I actually have a healthy respect for people who are more inclined to say "you're mistaking noise for signal" more than me. In general I'm always concerned that I'm taking something that was just luck as something real, and so if you were willing to go in that direction, I'd listen intently.
And to some degree I think you are: You're putting the RS above the PS here because of the sample size. Makes sense.
If I'm irrational with respect to sample size, it's probably because I want the playoffs to matter. I'm a pretty abnormal fan, but I'm still a fan, and so a philosophy that said the playoffs were simply too noisy to do analysis on even after a lengthy career just seems like no fun. I wouldn't refuse it if I saw enough evidence, but I'll admit that it just doesn't feel right to me.
Keep in mind though: I'm not saying to ignore Reggie's regular season. What I'm trying to do is explain the whole shebang, and my only stubbornness is insisting that you need a much better reason to ignore his playoff leap than "it doesn't make sense to me".
trex_8063 wrote:Your explanation re: playoffs seems potentially reasonable and valid. I always need to consider your soapbox posts very carefully, however. I'm not sure who you are in the world (and I don't wish to invade your personal privacy), but I tend to think of you as someone well-versed in debate, like potentially a university professor.
At any rate, I roughly consider you the "king of rhetoric" around here (and I don't mean that in a bad way, fwiw). However, it often means I have to seriously mull over your arguments to make sure they have solid merit (and don't just
seem like it because they're too damn articulate to
not have merit

).
So,

wow - and that's not a "laughing at your stupid idea" lol, it's a flabbergasted-but-flattered lol. I might actually sig that if you don't mind.
Okay, forgetting about it being me who said the stuff: Your "holding on to my wallet" approach is the right one. Something I try to re-iterate semi-frequently is that just because someone makes an argument that sounds good and you can't rebut doesn't mean you have to adopt the other person's opinion. Your opinion has to be something that makes sense to you.
What about the dangers with me here? I wouldn't see it as so much rhetoric so much as it is asymmetric analysis. While I'm data-oriented, and data applies to all players equally, there are some players that are more interesting to me to analyze than others, and so I look into them more. So, maybe if I came from a different perspective it would be someone other than Reggie right now I'd be championing with legit facts simply because I had them at the ready for that guy.
As I say all of this though: I'm not so much advocating for Reggie's place at the 37th (now 38th spot) as I am addressing the concerns of people such as yourself. None of what I said means he deserved this spot, it just means that those who think he should eliminated outright for the foreseeable future have a tougher time justifying it than they thought they would, and if I can get someone to say "Okay, he's not my vote, but I get why you see him in the discussion now", that's what I'm really after.