RealGM 2017 Top 100 List #47 (Ray Allen)

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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 List #47 

Post#81 » by Winsome Gerbil » Sat Sep 30, 2017 6:16 am

trex_8063 wrote:
Winsome Gerbil wrote:
trex_8063 wrote:

I did not invoke Richmond here, you did.
And while you did not put him up for consideration, you did [paraphrasing] say that he's essentially an equal candidate to Ray Allen. I went about explaining why that is not really the case, showing that there is a small but clear separation in the numbers (and that's before even going into the extra four seasons, and the chasm in team success---luck or no), and thus emphasizing that outing Richmond as a valid candidate here doesn't really rule Allen out at all (i.e. somewhat a strawman to bring up in the first place).



You are rather famously Boogie's biggest champion on this forum and have stated you'd support him in this top 100 project. So while you were deriding Paul Pierce's candidacy so early, I invoked Boogie to try to reach you in a different manner regarding a player on the table at that time (Pierce). I outlined how Pierce had done a nearly equal "lifting" with crap casts for TWICE as long as Boogie, then also noted his 2nd/(3rd) banana roles on contender teams as evidence of Pierce's candidacy.

I was basically saying "if accomplishing X is sufficient to give Boogie top 100 consideration, then surely accomplishing 2*X + Y is sufficient to give Pierce top 50 consideration". I felt I was pretty clear on that.


I raise Boogie and Richmond and draw direct correlations in the numbers precisely because I know this little group is quite biased against them.



I'm a touch wowed at this point. I'm going to summarize the exchange thus far (as it pertains to Allen, the guy currently on the table):

1st: You draw these "direct correlations", indicating you believe that A basically equals B, or in this case: Richmond's numbers equal Allen's.

2nd: I then point out some inappropriate slants in the numbers you presented--->I instead go with Allen's first 14 seasons---because that's all Richmond played; and while you don't have to laud players for longevity, it's not fair to penalize them for it---and also noting raw FG% is inappropriate because of a gross difference in 3PAr. Upon presenting a more "apples to apples" data comparison, I think I adequately showed----in pure black and white numbers----that there is a small but clear edge to Ray Allen (i.e. the "direct correlation" is actually not too direct).......and this was before noting the significant difference in the quality of teams these big numbers are put up for (this is something I'd mentioned in many other places: it's one thing to put up certain numbers for a team that struggles to get 30 wins, quite another to do it for a solid playoff team, or perhaps even a .500 team), and also before acknowledging the additional FOUR [pretty good] seasons Allen played.

3rd: You nonetheless reply still referring to it as a "direct correlation" and claim [with the condescending reference to this "little group"] that it's everyone else that isn't seeing it clearly.


I don't know what to do with this. So I'm going to do my best to just disengage and agree to disagree on some points. We're clearly just spinning our wheels at each other. Our criteria/value systems are clearly quite different, and even when on the same page we seem to view the evidence very differently. Hopefully someone has benefited from this exchange, but I doubt we are anymore.



I would agree as to the general argument and will keep this short.

However, specifically here you are continuing to argue about Ray vs. Mitch Richmond...and actually the fact that you had to work on that is kind of the point I was making. I admitted in my first post on the matter that I likely considered Ray > Mitch myself, and would have no problem if they appeared later in this project within perhaps 5-10 places of each other, with Ray taken first. But it's no blowout.

This isn't about Ray vs. Mitch though. Mitch just serves as what should be a grounding point for Ray. If it takes some work to show a small advantage for Ray + some longevity...that still in absolutely no way elevates Ray up above the hyperscoring MVP candidates who exceeded him in every way. Put up bigger numbers, achieved more accolades, won more games, despite rarely having teammates as good as Ray's. Well, I take that back in Westbrook's case, until last year when his very best teammate was Victor Oladipo and put up an all time statline that Ray couldn't match if you locked him in a gym all by himself.

So to be absolutely as clear as I can be, in shorthand THIS is what the debate is about (and notably I would be just as aghast if somebody had thrown up Mitch Richmond in this position insead):

Iverson 26.7pts 3.7reb 6.2ast Per100 33.7pts 4.7reb 7.8ast 20.9PER; 7x All-NBA (3/3/1) MVP 1.567mvpshares 71playoff gms
Westbr 22.7pts 6.2reb 7.9ast Per100 33.8pts 9.2reb 11.8ast 23.8PER; 6x All-NBA (2/4/0) MVP 1.531mvpshares 87 playoff gms
Wilkins 24.8pts 6.7reb 2.5ast Per100 34.7pts 9.3reb 3.5ast 21.6PER; 7x All-NBA (1/4/2) .845mvpshares 55playoff gms*
RAllen 18.9pts 4.1reb 3.4ast Per100 28.0pts 6.0reb 5.0ast 18.6PER; 2x All-NBA (0/1/1) .038mvpshares 37playoff gms**

* as main guy before 1gm at age 39 with Orlando
** pre-Boston as main guy
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 List #47 

Post#82 » by Dr Positivity » Sat Sep 30, 2017 6:45 am

Winsome Gerbil wrote:So here is a challenge for you, just to expose the problem that I am seeing again and again: make an argument against DeMarcus Cousins that does NOT involve his lack of winning (or metrics which rely heavily on winning). That should make you think a bit, because it's virtually impossible. He's one of the most productive players in NBA history. But the winning issue, in absolutely brutal circumstances too, trumps EVERYTHING with him. At least for some.


Cousins ranks in BPM, WS/48 and RPM since 2014:

2014 - 10th BPM, 27th WS/48, 127th RPM
2015 - 15th BPM, 58th WS/48, 9th RPM
2016 - 36th BPM, 83rd WS/48, 14th RPM
2017 - 12th BPM, 51st WS/48, 19th RPM

It's not just the winning. Cousins has hurt himself with inefficiency, turnovers and inconsistent defensive effort. And yes having horrendous intangibles makes a difference.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 List #47 

Post#83 » by pandrade83 » Sat Sep 30, 2017 12:56 pm

Winsome Gerbil wrote:2 of the 3 guys won league MVPs and made NBA Finals as the main man.

The 3rd guy barely made All League and made a single playoffs as the main man.


Reed wasn't the best player on his Finals teams; Frazier was the guy who closed out the Finals - Frazier is the guy who led them in WS - both regular season & playoffs and PER.

Allen was the best player on every team he made the playoffs on until he played for Boston.

WRT the MVPs, - I know that they won them; but there's no way you would vote for either in hindsight. One wasn't the best player on his own team. On Iverson - I'll just say that he was very fortunate that Shaq, Kobe, Duncan, Payton, Kidd, Webber, KG - arguably the 7 best guys in the league that particular year - were all in the West.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #47: RUNOFF! Reed vs. Iverson vs. Allen 

Post#84 » by scrabbarista » Sat Sep 30, 2017 3:33 pm

47. Iverson

Iverson was Top 5 in MVP voting three times. Allen never was, and while Reed was three times as well, Iverson's statistical accomplishments were greater as seen by the fact that he was Top 5 in the seven major categories a total of 16 times, compared to Reed's 4 (and Allen's 1). In the lesser categories, Iverson leads Reed 11-5.

If you ask anyone who the best player these guys played with was, they'll immediately say Frazier for Reed - a fairly clear-cut Top 50 guy - but for Iverson, the answer is less obvious. They might say Melo, Deke, or Billups, but the point is that Iverson wasn't always surrounded by the most talent.

Where Iverson really separates himself from Reed is in longevity. In the five major stat categories, Iverson's career regular season totals are

35,533.

Reed's are

21,816.

That's 62% more total production for Iverson. Reed's edge in peak - if he had one - isn't enough for me to put him over Iverson given this gap.

In the post season, Iverson has a 28% lead (about 2900 to 2300). This smaller gap can be attributed to the fact that Reed had better teammates, allowing him to make deeper post season runs. But the advantage is still Iverson's.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #47: RUNOFF! Reed vs. Iverson vs. Allen 

Post#85 » by trex_8063 » Sat Sep 30, 2017 3:53 pm

Thru post #84:

Ray Allen - 6 (pandrade83, LABird, Dr Positivity, Doctor MJ, SactoKingsFan, trex_8063)
Willis Reed - 3 (dhsilv2, Clyde Frazier, euroleague)
Allen Iverson - 3 (Outside, Winsome Gerbil, scabbarista)


No one has an outright majority, and I can't eliminate the 3rd place guy since we have a tie for 2nd. We need one more vote to break this stalemate.

eminence wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

Clyde Frazier wrote:.

PaulieWal wrote:.

Colbinii wrote:.

Texas Chuck wrote:.

drza wrote:.

Dr Spaceman wrote:.

fpliii wrote:.

euroleague wrote:.

pandrade83 wrote:.

Hornet Mania wrote:.

Eddy_JukeZ wrote:.

SactoKingsFan wrote:.

Blackmill wrote:.

JordansBulls wrote:.

RSCS3_ wrote:.

BasketballFan7 wrote:.

micahclay wrote:.

ardee wrote:.

RCM88x wrote:.

Tesla wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

LA Bird wrote:.

MyUniBroDavis wrote:.

kayess wrote:.

2klegend wrote:.

MisterHibachi wrote:.

70sFan wrote:.

mischievous wrote:.

Doctor MJ wrote:.

Dr Positivity wrote:.

Jaivl wrote:.

Bad Gatorade wrote:.

andrewww wrote:.

colts18 wrote:.

Moonbeam wrote:.

Cyrusman122000 wrote:.

Winsome Gerbil wrote:.

Narigo wrote:.

wojoaderge wrote:.

TrueLAfan wrote:.

90sAllDecade wrote:.

Outside wrote:.

scabbarista wrote:.

janmagn wrote:.

Arman_tanzarian wrote:.

oldschooled wrote:.

Pablo Novi wrote:.

john248 wrote:.

mdonnelly1989 wrote:.

Senior wrote:.

twolves97 wrote:.

CodeBreaker wrote:.

JoeMalburg wrote:.

dhsilv2 wrote:.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #47: RUNOFF! Reed vs. Iverson vs. Allen 

Post#86 » by penbeast0 » Sat Sep 30, 2017 3:57 pm

OK, didn't have strong opinions here between the three so I was staying out but I will throw a vote for Ray Allen. He has both the game to fit a championship team and the longevity though I think it's too early for him.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #47: RUNOFF! Reed vs. Iverson vs. Allen 

Post#87 » by trex_8063 » Sat Sep 30, 2017 4:04 pm

Thru post #86:

Ray Allen - 7 (pandrade83, LABird, Dr Positivity, Doctor MJ, SactoKingsFan, trex_8063, penbeast0)
Willis Reed - 3 (dhsilv2, Clyde Frazier, euroleague)
Allen Iverson - 3 (Outside, Winsome Gerbil, scabbarista)


We have a majority then. Calling it for Allen, will have the next thread up in a moment.

eminence wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

Clyde Frazier wrote:.

PaulieWal wrote:.

Colbinii wrote:.

Texas Chuck wrote:.

drza wrote:.

Dr Spaceman wrote:.

fpliii wrote:.

euroleague wrote:.

pandrade83 wrote:.

Hornet Mania wrote:.

Eddy_JukeZ wrote:.

SactoKingsFan wrote:.

Blackmill wrote:.

JordansBulls wrote:.

RSCS3_ wrote:.

BasketballFan7 wrote:.

micahclay wrote:.

ardee wrote:.

RCM88x wrote:.

Tesla wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

LA Bird wrote:.

MyUniBroDavis wrote:.

kayess wrote:.

2klegend wrote:.

MisterHibachi wrote:.

70sFan wrote:.

mischievous wrote:.

Doctor MJ wrote:.

Dr Positivity wrote:.

Jaivl wrote:.

Bad Gatorade wrote:.

andrewww wrote:.

colts18 wrote:.

Moonbeam wrote:.

Cyrusman122000 wrote:.

Winsome Gerbil wrote:.

Narigo wrote:.

wojoaderge wrote:.

TrueLAfan wrote:.

90sAllDecade wrote:.

Outside wrote:.

scabbarista wrote:.

janmagn wrote:.

Arman_tanzarian wrote:.

oldschooled wrote:.

Pablo Novi wrote:.

john248 wrote:.

mdonnelly1989 wrote:.

Senior wrote:.

twolves97 wrote:.

CodeBreaker wrote:.

JoeMalburg wrote:.

dhsilv2 wrote:.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #47: RUNOFF! Reed vs. Iverson vs. Allen 

Post#88 » by Winsome Gerbil » Sat Sep 30, 2017 4:07 pm

penbeast0 wrote:OK, didn't have strong opinions here between the three so I was staying out but I will throw a vote for Ray Allen. He has both the game to fit a championship team and the longevity though I think it's too early for him.


You just described Derek Fisher.

Iverson 26.7pts 3.7reb 6.2ast Per100 33.7pts 4.7reb 7.8ast 20.9PER; 7x All-NBA (3/3/1) MVP 1.567mvpshares 71playoff gms
Westbr 22.7pts 6.2reb 7.9ast Per100 33.8pts 9.2reb 11.8ast 23.8PER; 6x All-NBA (2/4/0) MVP 1.531mvpshares 87 playoff gms
Wilkins 24.8pts 6.7reb 2.5ast Per100 34.7pts 9.3reb 3.5ast 21.6PER; 7x All-NBA (1/4/2) .845mvpshares 55playoff gms*
RAllen 18.9pts 4.1reb 3.4ast Per100 28.0pts 6.0reb 5.0ast 18.6PER; 2x All-NBA (0/1/1) .038mvpshares 37playoff gms** RGM Great

* as main guy before 1gm at age 39 with Orlando
** pre-Boston as main guy
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 List #47 

Post#89 » by Winsome Gerbil » Sat Sep 30, 2017 5:22 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:
Winsome Gerbil wrote:So here is a challenge for you, just to expose the problem that I am seeing again and again: make an argument against DeMarcus Cousins that does NOT involve his lack of winning (or metrics which rely heavily on winning). That should make you think a bit, because it's virtually impossible. He's one of the most productive players in NBA history. But the winning issue, in absolutely brutal circumstances too, trumps EVERYTHING with him. At least for some.


Cousins ranks in BPM, WS/48 and RPM since 2014:

2014 - 10th BPM, 27th WS/48, 127th RPM
2015 - 15th BPM, 58th WS/48, 9th RPM
2016 - 36th BPM, 83rd WS/48, 14th RPM
2017 - 12th BPM, 51st WS/48, 19th RPM

It's not just the winning. Cousins has hurt himself with inefficiency, turnovers and inconsistent defensive effort. And yes having horrendous intangibles makes a difference.


I didn't want to respond to this until after the polls closed so as not to turn the thread into another Boogie debate, but now feel free.

As I've mentioned before win shares is heavily modified by being on winning teams. Actually, BPM carries a winning differential team modifier too, but it's less prominent, so let's go ahead and work with that.

BPM
We just voted in some also ran, a sub-historical level player unfortunately still in his recency honeymoon period. Fine -- well, not fine. That's a flat glaring ahistorical mistake that I cannot and never will sign off on. But hey, you guys insisted, so again, let's at least aim for some CONSISTENCY:

Ray Allen's best ever BPM? 5.6. His career average BPM? 3.0.
Demarcus Cousins' best ever BPM? 6.6. His career average BPM? 2.6.

In fact, if you knock off a seriously awful rookie BPM of -1.4, put up while Boogie was 2 years younger than Ray Allen even first appeared in the league, his career BPM is 3.2.

So again, explain to me how those numbers remotely disqualify Boogie. If you're being consistent you should love him. Apparently he's clearly on pace to be a Top 50 all time guy.

Here are the Top 5 combined BPMs of RGM's 47th Greatest Player, Ray Allen (career 3.0), and Boogie Cousins:
1) 6.6 Cousins 16-17
2) 5.6 Allen 00-01
3) 4.7 Cousins 13-14
4) 4.7 Cousins 14-15
5) 4.3 Allen 01-02

Here are the Top 6 combined BPMs of RGM's 43th Greatest Player, Paul Pierce (career 3.3), and Boogie Cousins:
1) 6.6 Cousins 16-17
2) 4.9 Pierce 01-02
3) 4.7 Cousins 13-14
4) 4.7 Pierce 07-08
5) 4.7 Cousins 14-15
6) 4.7 Pierce 10-11

Here are the Top 5 combined BPMs of RGM's 40th Greatest Player, Kevin Mchale (career 2.5), and Boogie Cousins:
1) 6.6 Cousins 16-17
2) 5.2 McHale 86-87
3) 4.7 Cousins 13-14
4) 4.7 Cousins 14-15
5) 4.6 McHale 85-86

Here are the Top 5 combined BPMs of RGM's 39th Greatest Player, Isiah Thomas (career 2.2), and Boogie Cousins:
1) 6.6 Cousins 16-17
2) 5.2 Thomas 84-85
3) 4.7 Cousins 13-14
4) 4.7 Cousins 14-15
5) 4.3 Thomas 83-84

What's the problem again?


RPM
The 2014 RPM isn't a good number -- RPM intentionally stabilizes itself by using a guy's previous year against or for him. So the first year any player (not just Boogie) gets good, RPM lags and is not reflective of that. Basically it doesn't believe it until Yr 2. But the last 3 years are ok. There is some sort of error with the DRPM this past season, but it barely matters for these purposes.

So:
2015 - 9th RPM
2016 - 14th RPM
2017 - 19th RPM
average: 14th

And this was advanced in support of the narrative that "Cousins has hurt himself with inefficiency, turnovers and inconsistent defensive effort. And yes having horrendous intangibles".

Ok then, if we're being consistent then I guess that description might also apply to well known underachievers and cancers like:

Anthony Davis
2015 - 4th RPM
2016 - 61st RPM
2017 - 17th RPM
average: 27th

Kevin Durant
2015 - 24th RPM
2016 - 8th RPM
2017 - 11th RPM
average: 14th

Marc Gasol
2015 - 31st RPM
2016 - 96th RPM
2017 - 36th RPM
average: 54th

James Harden
2015 - 3rd RPM
2016 - 16th RPM
2017 - 13th RPM
average: 11th


I mean, if we're going to be consistent right?


In fact really now, how do we feel about poor Anthony Davis if Boogie's numbers are being advanced as an indication that he is unworthy?:

Cousins
2014 - 10th BPM, 127th RPM
2015 - 15th BPM, 9th RPM
2016 - 36th BPM, 14th RPM
2017 - 12th BPM, 19th RPM

Davis:
2014 - 13th BPM, 98th RPM
2015 - 6th BPM, 4th RPM
2016 - 45th BPM, 61st RPM
2017 - 26th BPM, 17th RPM


I would much rather people get the history of the league right, but on issues like Cousins I would settle for consistency in treatment. Without even knowing it, half this board, even the well meaning members, involves itself in the narrative rather than the numbers. Narrative is for Kardashian watchers and clickbait for writers in need of hype. It's not basketball analysis.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 List #47 (Ray Allen) 

Post#90 » by trex_8063 » Sat Sep 30, 2017 9:48 pm

I know I said I was going to try to disengage, but I wanted to respond to a few points, and since it will no longer be a derail [as you mentioned].....
And fwiw, I'm feeling less "testy" or confrontational today.

Winsome Gerbil wrote:
I didn't want to respond to this until after the polls closed so as not to turn the thread into another Boogie debate, but now feel free.

As I've mentioned before win shares is heavily modified by being on winning teams.


Very true.
However, I just want to point out a couple of mitigating factors:
1) Those additional win shares ascribed to a winning team (as opposed to a poor team) are often going to have a greater proportion accounted for by the supporting cast (which is presumably better than that of the poor team....that's why they're winning). The star doesn't always have quite the lion's share as he may have with a garbage cast.
For example, in recent years Cousins (pro-rated for 82 games) was always commanding at least a little >20% of the Kings' total win shares, and occasionally as much as 27%.......the latter is a larger proportion than pro-rated '17 Lebron or even '16 (rs) Steph Curry. It's highly indicative that that proportion is not sustainable for him on an actual good team.
If he went from some Kings team that won 29 games to a team that won 58 games, his individual win shares don't simply double (even if his production and efficiency were exactly the same, which they likely will not be [see #2 below]) because his now better teammates absorb a greater proportion of the WS.

2) As a star player moves up the ladder from garbage casts to average casts to good casts, his role is likely to become smaller as well. I mean a star is still a star, but well.....we've seen this repeatedly with other stars in recent years: Bosh joining Lebron and Wade, Wade being joined by Lebron and Bosh, Love joining Lebron and Kyrie, Durant joining the Warriors, Curry after Durant joined the Warriors, DeMarcus when he joined the Pelicans.
Better teammates essentially means less is required of the star. So while win shares are heavily influenced by the number of wins a team has, it's also still a function of his production (which will generally go down in more "winning" environments).


These considerations somewhat [but not completely] balance out the winner's bias effect you're referring to. And fwiw, WS/48 and BPM both have higher correlation with actual impact indicators (like RAPM) than PER does.


Winsome Gerbil wrote: Actually, BPM carries a winning differential team modifier too, but it's less prominent, so let's go ahead and work with that.

BPM
We just voted in some also ran, a sub-historical level player unfortunately still in his recency honeymoon period. Fine -- well, not fine. That's a flat glaring ahistorical mistake that I cannot and never will sign off on. But hey, you guys insisted, so again, let's at least aim for some CONSISTENCY:

Ray Allen's best ever BPM? 5.6. His career average BPM? 3.0.
Demarcus Cousins' best ever BPM? 6.6. His career average BPM? 2.6.

In fact, if you knock off a seriously awful rookie BPM of -1.4, put up while Boogie was 2 years younger than Ray Allen even first appeared in the league, his career BPM is 3.2.


And if we look at only Ray Allen's first seven seasons, minus his rookie year, his career BPM is +3.6 (on avg 37.7 mpg too, fwiw, vs 32.7 for '12-'17 Cousins; let's not forget these are rate metrics after all). This is while missing barely 3 games per season on average during that span, whereas Cousins is missing about 12 games per year on average.


Winsome Gerbil wrote:So again, explain to me how those numbers remotely disqualify Boogie. If you're being consistent you should love him. Apparently he's clearly on pace to be a Top 50 all time guy.


If we were to base things on BPM only, sure.....with "on pace" being the operative portion of that statement......if he manages to maintain similar after an 18-year career.
And that's the catch. The big difference in this correlation you're trying to draw is the massive gap in how long a span it covers. I'll say it again: comparing career numbers for a 7-year career to the career numbers of an 18-year career is not exactly apples to apples. Whereas DC's career is over at that point (thus far), Allen's went on for 11 years more. You don't have to value longevity, but you can't force others to ignore it either. That's really the only sticking point I have here.



Winsome Gerbil wrote:Here are the Top 5 combined BPMs of RGM's 47th Greatest Player, Ray Allen (career 3.0), and Boogie Cousins:
1) 6.6 Cousins 16-17
2) 5.6 Allen 00-01
3) 4.7 Cousins 13-14
4) 4.7 Cousins 14-15
5) 4.3 Allen 01-02

Here are the Top 6 combined BPMs of RGM's 43th Greatest Player, Paul Pierce (career 3.3), and Boogie Cousins:
1) 6.6 Cousins 16-17
2) 4.9 Pierce 01-02
3) 4.7 Cousins 13-14
4) 4.7 Pierce 07-08
5) 4.7 Cousins 14-15
6) 4.7 Pierce 10-11

Here are the Top 5 combined BPMs of RGM's 40th Greatest Player, Kevin Mchale (career 2.5), and Boogie Cousins:
1) 6.6 Cousins 16-17
2) 5.2 McHale 86-87
3) 4.7 Cousins 13-14
4) 4.7 Cousins 14-15
5) 4.6 McHale 85-86

Here are the Top 5 combined BPMs of RGM's 39th Greatest Player, Isiah Thomas (career 2.2), and Boogie Cousins:
1) 6.6 Cousins 16-17
2) 5.2 Thomas 84-85
3) 4.7 Cousins 13-14
4) 4.7 Cousins 14-15
5) 4.3 Thomas 83-84

What's the problem again?


This is a somewhat more fair way of looking at it (rather than comparing career averages, when one career is 7 years while the others are 13-19 years in length). However, stopping at the top 5-6 is still kinda grading on a curve in a manner that neutralizes any longevity edge. Which again, I cannot force you to appreciate meaningful longevity, just as you cannot force me to disregard it. While Cousins typically has 3 of the top 5, if you listed the top 10 BPM between them, we might see that Cousins still only has three or perhaps four of the top 10.......and then maybe only four of the top 15, etc.....often while playing fewer mpg than the guys he's being compared to, too.

I mean, let's look at VORP, for example. VORP is directly derived from BPM. Pierce's career rs VORP is 61.5, Allen's is 58.1.......Cousins' is 18.1. Again: directly derived from BPM.
That should underscore the immense difference in span that we're talking about.

That's of significant relevance to many of us, whether it's a hill of beans to you or not.



Winsome Gerbil wrote:I would much rather people get the history of the league right, but on issues like Cousins I would settle for consistency in treatment. Without even knowing it, half this board, even the well meaning members, involves itself in the narrative rather than the numbers.


I think you undercredit and disrespect many by assuming [and accusing of] whimsical selections simply because they arrive at different conclusions than you.

fwiw, narrative matters relative little to me, and my methods are exceedingly numbers-based. We just don't like the same numbers.
I can (and have) cited numbers such as win shares (rs and playoff) or VORP (playoff and rs), for example, to use figures people are generally familiar with. But I have also mentioned formulas I utilize: from the uber-complex and all-inclusive, to more simple ones that measure cumulative value above replacement level player as measured by PER and WS/48 (giving them equal weighting, btw).
It's tools like these (almost exclusively numbers-based), and dozens of other studies I've conducted, that I use to guide me in my rankings, not narratives.

Your method seems heavily focused on volume stats (esp ppg, with limited attention to efficiency) and PER, and leans "peak-heavy" in it's consideration; also seems skeptical of impact metrics.
Mine is more "longview oriented", does not give preference to PER, and does utilize impact metrics (I'll compile with/without records and data on my own where they are not readily available, as with older era players).
Awards, honors, and MVP award shares also play a part in many of my formulations, fwiw. All of those nonetheless still put Allen and Pierce both in the top 50.

You may choose to believe that I [and others] must be looking at the numbers, seeing them direct us to a certain ranking for certain players......and then just ignoring it and placing them 20 places higher simply because we feel like it.
But I can assure you that that is not what is happening [at least in my case, and I tend to give other knowledgeable posters here the benefit of the doubt, too].
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire

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