fpliii wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:As someone who had been using +/- stats for over a decade...no. I can see an argument for Green still deserving a shot at Finals MVP if he plays well enough in Game 6/7, but it doesn't make sense to say "They'd fall apart without him" here to me.
You mention how Green's absence let them get in the groove, but there's a lot more to it than that. It was clear that LeBron went into this game thinking, "I'm just going to have to take those shots". Clearly much of his issue is with confidence, and while Green's absence helped him be more confident, LeBron's confidence isn't a game issue, it's a season issue which LeBron had the courage to turn the corner on because his team was in an elimination game.
Even if GS struggling in his absence doesn't improve his FMVP case, does it do anything for him in terms of your POY ballot? Or is it too hard to un-see him struggling against KD and having to essentially relinquish ball-handling duties in that series, on top of OKC is preventing Green from playing the 5 for heavy minutes while being effective against their frontline?
Hard for me to unsee that. Very hard. I'll try though when I read others arguments.
Just to summarize for others:
I came into the playoffs looking to strongly consider Green not simply for the Top 5 but actually for #1. I had one big question though:
Is this GOAT record team relying on a pseudo-big man's mismatches in a way that isn't sustainable against teams with truly solid front court's? And watching the OKC series, the answer was a clear yes. OKC is an amazing team no doubt, but it's not the only team in history that would leave Green unable to play the 4 or the 5, and that's a problem for the Warriors.
Now, one might ask: Does that reflect on the other guys on the team as well? I could see the argument, but Curry & Klay aren't really relying on lineup mismatches to do their thing the way Green is, and realistically it's not that hard to get your head around the idea that someone who can shoot like those guys can would be insanely valuable in today's game. Green was the surprise, and while it's not like I dismiss him as a star now, he is someone who I think is matchup dependent in a way we frankly expect with role players. The phrase "superstar role player" was used last year and I wasn't sure if I liked it because it's thesis was in part that the player in question was only having superstar-impact within a given context. I'm more comfortable with that now.
To be clear: This doesn't mean Green couldn't ever make my Top 5, but it's a strong year for the competition given that I don't think even Chris Paul makes my ballot.