Were the 2007 Wolves the worst ever?
Posted: Mon Dec 13, 2010 8:44 pm
Through the years, most discussions about Kevin Garnett at some point descend to a question about his supporting cast. His detractors will say things like "he only won 32 games at his peak, and his cast wasn't THAT bad". His supporters, like me, will say things like "the Wolves of 2006 and 2007 were an affront to society. They scared children. They caused grown men to cry. They were horrible. PLEASE BELIEVE ME!!!". Then, the majority of the more impartial observers reach a conclusion that is somewhere in the middle, that yes, those Wolves were bad but not to the epic extent that KG's supporters would suggest (after all, Ricky Davis could score 20 points/game!), and though it's hard to blame him when he had no help it still kind of tarnishes Garnett that he was missing the playoffs in his prime. And that's fine.
But a few minutes ago I was looking at an adjusted plus-minus list with five full years of data, taken over the years of 2005 - 2010. I was looking at the list for a different reason, but before I closed the file I noticed that old friend Ricky Davis' name was in front of me. And I happened to be looking at the bottom of the list, so that meant he measured out as among the worst players in that 5-year period. I was curious, so I checked out that whole Wolves roster. This is what the 5-year APM's looked like for the top-9 rotation players outside of KG on the 2007 Wolves:
Starters:
Ricky Davis: - 3.7 (818th out of the 826 players measured)
Trenton Hassell: -2.7 (798th out of 826)
Mark Blount: -2.3 (784th out of 826)
Mike James: -2.0 (765th out of 826)
Bench:
Randy Foye (rookie): -1.3 (688th out of 826)
Marko Jaric: -0.3 (493rd out of 826)
Craig Smith (rookie): 0.0 (392nd out of 826)
Troy Hudson: -2.65 (797th out of 826)
In summary, all of the starters besides KG measure out as among the worst 7% of players that played between 2005 - 1010. 7% = roughly 1 out of 14, so by this measure the other 4 starters should have been 14th men on the average NBA roster.
Repeat: by this measure the other 4 starters should have been 14th men on the average NBA roster.
Other things of note:
*Randy Wittman, who took over a .500 Wolves team after 40 games and led them to a 12 - 30 finish, has (I believe) one of the 5 worst win percentages among coaches in NBA history (for coaches with like 100 games coached...I can't find the stat, but I've heard it referenced several times)
*The office and coaching staff of the '07 Wolves actually needed to lose in order to keep their lottery draft pick, because they owed a top-10 protected draft pick to the Clippers from the Cassell/Jaric trade and would have lost it if their record slid above the 10th worst in the league.
*3 years later, none of the starters from that team are still in the NBA. In fact, of the 14-man 2007 Wolves roster, Smith and Foye are the only 2 still in the league. They were rookies in '07, and are currently the 10th and 11th man on the 5 - 20 Clippers.
So, question: do the 2007 non-KG Wolves have a reasonable argument as the worst team (including players, coach, and front office) in NBA history? If not, why don't they?
But a few minutes ago I was looking at an adjusted plus-minus list with five full years of data, taken over the years of 2005 - 2010. I was looking at the list for a different reason, but before I closed the file I noticed that old friend Ricky Davis' name was in front of me. And I happened to be looking at the bottom of the list, so that meant he measured out as among the worst players in that 5-year period. I was curious, so I checked out that whole Wolves roster. This is what the 5-year APM's looked like for the top-9 rotation players outside of KG on the 2007 Wolves:
Starters:
Ricky Davis: - 3.7 (818th out of the 826 players measured)
Trenton Hassell: -2.7 (798th out of 826)
Mark Blount: -2.3 (784th out of 826)
Mike James: -2.0 (765th out of 826)
Bench:
Randy Foye (rookie): -1.3 (688th out of 826)
Marko Jaric: -0.3 (493rd out of 826)
Craig Smith (rookie): 0.0 (392nd out of 826)
Troy Hudson: -2.65 (797th out of 826)
In summary, all of the starters besides KG measure out as among the worst 7% of players that played between 2005 - 1010. 7% = roughly 1 out of 14, so by this measure the other 4 starters should have been 14th men on the average NBA roster.
Repeat: by this measure the other 4 starters should have been 14th men on the average NBA roster.
Other things of note:
*Randy Wittman, who took over a .500 Wolves team after 40 games and led them to a 12 - 30 finish, has (I believe) one of the 5 worst win percentages among coaches in NBA history (for coaches with like 100 games coached...I can't find the stat, but I've heard it referenced several times)
*The office and coaching staff of the '07 Wolves actually needed to lose in order to keep their lottery draft pick, because they owed a top-10 protected draft pick to the Clippers from the Cassell/Jaric trade and would have lost it if their record slid above the 10th worst in the league.
*3 years later, none of the starters from that team are still in the NBA. In fact, of the 14-man 2007 Wolves roster, Smith and Foye are the only 2 still in the league. They were rookies in '07, and are currently the 10th and 11th man on the 5 - 20 Clippers.
So, question: do the 2007 non-KG Wolves have a reasonable argument as the worst team (including players, coach, and front office) in NBA history? If not, why don't they?