ElGee wrote:Unless I'm misunderstanding, this is drawing back to the RPOY philosophical differences,..value vs. goodness. Because when you say "outstanding" I can only mean you are referring to conditional value (and then you later reference his 09 impact).
Actually know, when I say "outstanding" I mean salient. I mean a player "popping". I mean watching LeBron in those '09 playoffs and thinking that the way he's consistently tearing each of these teams up through these playoffs is on a level I've never seen before. Not from Jordan, not from Shaq, not anybody.
Yes, the team results showed a very quick jolt of a turnaround, but as mentioned, LeBron still looked great, role players got cold and hot respectively, and after the fact we learn that those role players we were praising so much really couldn't do much without him.
So I'm seeing salience right along with the value and the stats, and when I look at all that, I have a very difficult coming up with any kind of coherent scale that puts LeBron '12 ahead of LeBron '09.
ElGee wrote:The final gray area I imagine you will address is the PS, which is highly variable bc of sample size. To that I suppose there is an element of "results-oriented" thinking that I do find very much unclear. If you're going to say "I know luck may be involved, but yes, I want to reward the guy who got hot in May," OK. Hard to see a clear balance to have there, other than to say opportunity still dictates stuff in the postseason! It's a lot harder to get hot when you're on a team of scrubs and the opponent triple-teams you every game than if you're a PnR PF playing with peak Steve Nash.
And none of this restricts 2012 LeBron AT ALL (32-11-6 58% TS 12% TOV 45 mpg and DPOY-level defense after Indy G3).
Here's where I see danger of logical pitfalls for myself on both sides. If this is just a player getting "hot" (for lack of a better term) , then I don't know whether that makes me think it's more worthy or less worthy. I can see arguments in both directions.
Part of it depends though on what we mean by "hot". The biggest differentiator between LeBron '09 & LeBron '10 is to me that LeBron got in his own head in '10. I understand that Boston's D had something to do with that, and even before that, Boston's D was chipping away at LeBron's ability to dominate, but I'm already factoring in degree of difficulty here. So bottom line, '09 beats '10 because of mental superiority.
Now, one might say: Hey, it's the same guy. Swap the two with a time machine and whoever is playing in '09 looks better. But that actually to me ties into why it's so dangerous in many situations to move to far into the abstract. We'd never be able to choose between '09 & '10 if we couldn't use the concrete there because it's so close to being the same guy. Forced to choose though, gotta be '09.
Okay, feels like I'm digressing here, I'll just say one more thing because it's on my mind as I write this:
It bothers me when people look at the two upsets of Cleveland like that was a regular season model getting exposed. In both years, we're talking about a team which happens to go up against the two best defenses in the league. Now, you can say:
"Hey, if you want to win a title, you've got to be able to beat the best defense."
But do we have any real confidence that the Heat are any more immune to elite teams? How would (will) they do against an elite team with great size? (Thinking of the Lakers right now)
Have they really accomplished that much more than those Cavs? And I'm particularly thinking offense here because that's the thing people are knocking LeBron for predominantly when they talk about a system exposed. LeBron's adapted to the Heat, but he still isn't leading all-world offenses.
In a nutshell: If Bosh doesn't come back at the right time, and Boston beats the Heat with LeBron playing the same way, do you still put him above LeBron '09.
Of course as I say this, someone could say: You're absolutely right, I pick '09 over '12, but the low ceiling issues you describe are why I rate LeBron significantly lower than you.
