#13 Highest Peak of All Time (Julius '76 wins)
Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:52 am
Bill Walton '77 is enshrined. We move on.
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Miami
Mourning (the 2007, last legs version)
Haslem
Wright/Kapono
Wade
Payton (the 2007, last legs version), J Williams
33g In: 106.9 Ortg (+0.0), 0.2 SRS
7 g Out: 101.2 Ortg (-5.8), -11.2 SRS
Team stats in those 33 g
Wade 28.4 ppg 58% TS 7.8 apg 11.1 FTA 4.0 TOV 4.9 rpg 2.1 spg 1.2 bpg
Haslem 11.2 ppg 53% TS 8.6 rpg
Kapono 10.4 ppg 64% TS
Williams 10.2 ppg 53% TS 5.1 apg
Mourning 10.1 ppg 58% TS 5.7 rpg 2.9 bpg
Walker 8.8 ppg 48% TS
3-pt shooting outside Wade: 35.0%
FT shooting outside Wade: 69.6%
LA
Kwame/Bynum (19-year old Bynum)
Cook (or Vlad off the bench – basically a stretch 4)
Walton
Kobe
Smush
Controlling for Kobe...
52g In (Odom): 109.3 Ortg (+2.5), 0.7 SRS
25g Out (Odom): 108.5 Ortg (+3.2), -0.9 SRS
Kobe 30.0 ppg 59% TS 6.3 apg 10.4 FTA 3.4 TOV 5.8 rpg 1.1 spg 0.6 bpg
Smush 13.0 ppg 57% TS
Walton 10.8 ppg 50% TS 4.6 apg
Cook 9.5 ppg 58% TS
Evans 9.2 ppg 54% TS
Bynum 8.9 ppg 61% TS 6.8 rpg 2.0 bpg
3-pt shooting outside Kobe: 37.4%
FT shooting outside Kobe: 69.7%
Dr Positivity wrote:I'm leaning towards Wade having the highest peak of the players left. The question is, does 2010 Wade have a case over 2006 if we get away from the Winning Bias? 2009 Wade is clearly the best regular season albeit I can't vote for it because of the playoffs. I think he was right at Lebron's level in the 2009 regular season. 2010 may seem like a surprising choice because he was probably coasting that regular season, knowing the big moves would come that summer. However statistically he isn't any worse in it in the 2006 regular season. It's just in 2006 he was young vs seemingly saving himself in 2010. Also despite seeming like a worse player in 2010 than in 2009, this team was better - In fact winning 47 Gs and getting 2.0 SRS with Jermaine O'Neal, Michael Beasley, Haslem, Qrich, and a bunch of scraps is actually REALLY impressive impact. That supporting cast sucks for a comfortable playoff team, like at a KG Timberwolves/06 Lakers level of sucks. I think Wade was a much better defensive player in 2010 than 2006. In both seasons he's incredible in the playoffs. In fact 2010 against the Celtics might be the best playoff series performance of his career. The argument for 2010 Wade would be that he didn't lose anything from the 2009 RS which I think most agree is the most complete version of Wade we've seen, he just saved himself for the playoffs and then the real Wade came out
I'm probably going to have to change my vote but...
Vote 2010 Wade
thebottomline wrote:I totally get that Dr. J had a dominant playoff run of 13 games, 6 of which were against an all-time great defender, on his way to a championship.
But from strictly a value/skillset standpoint I'm having a hard time seeing Dr. J's inclusion with the "sacreds" (whose peaks, I would generally agree, are a step above the rest). Based on the discussion so far it seems like a given that he'll be voted #13...but why, exactly? To me he seems closer to the next group of guys (Robinson, Wade, Kobe, etc.) than he does to the top 12 assuming Walton takes this one... Offensively, a step or two down from guys like Wade, Kobe, McGrady; defensively it's harder to say but although I do think Dr. J was a disruptive defensive player I don't see his defense clearly pushing him over the Wade/Kobe group and into the top 12 group. Personally I wonder if I'd even have him top 15, again, from purely a value/skillset/impact perspective which is how I'm evaluating these players' peaks for my own personal list.
Lightning25 wrote:I think Kobe's name needs to start popping up but he is a tough because it's hard to determine his best season. You could argue '01, '03, '06, '07, '08, or '09. If you guys thought Lebron's peak was a pain, this will be 10x worse.
Dr Positivity wrote:I'm leaning towards Wade having the highest peak of the players left. The question is, does 2010 Wade have a case over 2006 if we get away from the Winning Bias? 2009 Wade is clearly the best regular season albeit I can't vote for it because of the playoffs. I think he was right at Lebron's level in the 2009 regular season. 2010 may seem like a surprising choice because he was probably coasting that regular season, knowing the big moves would come that summer. However statistically he isn't any worse in it in the 2006 regular season. It's just in 2006 he was young vs seemingly saving himself in 2010 but if the results are the same it's not a big deal. Also despite seeming like a worse player in 2010 than in 2009, this team was better - In fact winning 47 Gs and getting 2.0 SRS with Jermaine O'Neal, Michael Beasley, Haslem, Qrich, and a bunch of scraps is actually REALLY impressive impact. That supporting cast sucks for a comfortable playoff team, like at a KG Timberwolves/06 Lakers level of sucks. I think Wade was a much better defensive player in 2010 than 2006. In both seasons he's incredible in the playoffs. In fact 2010 against the Celtics might be the best playoff series performance of his career. The argument for 2010 Wade would be that he didn't lose anything from the 2009 RS which I think most agree is the most complete version of Wade we've seen, he just saved himself for the playoffs and then the real Wade came out
I'm probably going to have to change my vote but...
Vote 2010 Wade
An Unbiased Fan wrote:I would say 2006. To put this season in context, Kobe arguably had the two greatest scoring months in modern NBA history, in the same season. And did it at a 90.9 pace.
January 2006 - 43.4 ppg, on 61.1% TS
April 2006 - 41.6 ppg on 62.1% TS
LA had endless injuries to their frontcourt, and had Smush at PG, yet still put up an above average DRtg, and ended up with a 2.52 SRS(#7), which is rather remarkable considering how thin that team was. The other 6 teams who finished above LA had superior talent. To put things in perspective, LA would have had the #3 SRS in the Eastern Conference, and a much more favorable matchup than the #2 Suns at 5.48 SRS.
I would say 2006 Kobe was his best mix of athletic ability/skill/leadership.
Dr Positivity wrote:Well, the rest of the Heat were INSANELY bad offensively in that series. JO was one of the punchlines of the 1st round for his 4.2ppg 20.5% performance, Haslem was 6ppg 35%. Beasley Beasley'd at 10.4ppg 45%. Chalmers and QRrich somewhat showed up hitting 3s. In terms of PER Joel Anthony was 2nd at 11.6, QRich 3rd at 11.1, Chalmers at 10.3 and everyone else was under 10. The Heat were already rock bottom for offensive support beside Wade in 09 and 10, then JO, Beasley and Haslem not showing up for the series basically pushed them below the Mendoza line of ineptitude. Wade may have had less offensive support than any star... ever, playing against an incredible defensive team. I don't put it on him for the Heat's ORTG being poor.
Josephpaul wrote:intresting to put blame on kobe for 04-05 run.