Shaq vs Ewing vs DRob vs Hakeem vs Zo on Man Defense
Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2013 5:10 pm
Since those 5 are generally considered the best centers of the 90's, I wanted to compare they rate when it comes when Man defense. I started off from 93, the year that Zo and Shaq were drafted and looked until 2000.
From 93-96:
Here are how starting centers who played at least 30 MP in a game vs. each of these centers fared.
Shaq: 18 PPG, .495 TS%, 10 reb, 1.03 AST-TOV
Ewing: 17.6 PPG, .541 TS%, 10.2 reb, 0.75 AST-TOV
Zo: 19.1 PPG, .564 TS%, 10.9 reb, 1.16 AST-TOV
Robinson: 18.1 PPG, .538 TS%, 10.2 reb, 0.93 AST-TOV
Hakeem: 15 PPG, .541 TS%, 11 reb, 0.89 AST-TOV
league average in this situation: 18.4 PPG, .564 TS% 10.5 reb, 0.87 AST-TOV
*note: I normalized all of their opponent FT% to the league average (69.8 FT%) so that all of them are on an even playing field when it comes to something they can't control (FT%).
Based on that, Zo is the worst in these situations. Hakeem is the best in suppressing FGA which is why his PPG is low. But Shaq is by the best at suppressing efficiency. His men were -6.9 TS% from the center league average. Interestingly enough Shaq allowed 15.8 FGA compared to Hakeem's 11.9. I'm not sure what hakeem is doing, but he is doing a good job forcing the action away.
Here is how they did vs. each other plus Brad Daughtery (the only other 20 PPG center in the league at the time):
Shaq: 25.1 PPG, .501 TS%, 11.7 reb, 1.10 AST-TOV (37.9% of his games were vs. them)
Ewing: 27.9 PPG, .579 TS%, 12.3 reb, 0.83 AST-TOV (32.4% of games)
Zo: 30.7 PPG, .593 TS%, 12.3 reb, 1.31 AST-TOV (31.1% of games)
Robinson: 24.8 PPG, .519 TS%, 11.1 reb, 0.93 AST-TOV (32.5% of games)
Hakeem: 20.5 PPG, .519 TS%, 12.4 reb, 0.94 AST-TOV (29.7% of games)
average: 25.7 PPG, .574 TS%, 11.7 Reb, 0.93 AST-TOV
The same story here. Zo gets murdered by the top guys. Hakeem suppresses their volume at an unbelievable rate. Shaq once again limits their efficiency. This time he limits it even more than he does to normal guys (-7.3 TS%). Robinson looks good too.
97-00:
Shaq: 14.6 PPG, .473 TS%, 9.8 reb, 0.99 AST-TOV
Zo: 13.3 PPG, .504 TS%, 9.5 reb, 0.77 AST-TOV
Robinson; 14.9 PPG, .511 TS%, 8.7 reb, 0.69 AST-TOV (from 98-00 for Robinson)
League average: 16.1 PPG, .549 TS%, 10.1 reb, 0.80 AST-TOV
This time Zo improved his defense a lot. Robinson looks really good in all of the categories including forcing a lot more turnovers than assists. Shaq once again does a good job suppressing efficiency, this time by -7.6 TS%
Here is what they did vs. Shaq/Zo/Robinson/Hakeem/Ewing:
Shaq: 18.4 PPG, .449 TS%, 10.3 reb, 0.93 AST-TOV (26.7% of games)
Zo: 22.5 PPG, .508 TS%, 11.5 reb, 0.71 AST-TOV (20.5% of games)
Robinson: 23.5 PPG, .549 TS%, 10.2 reb, 0.44 AST-TOV (20.2% of games)
average: 23.8 PPG, .564 TS%, 11.5 reb, 0.75 AST-TOV
This time Zo shines again. But Shaq's numbers vs. these guys is outrageous. He is suppressing their PPG by -5.4 PPG, -1.2 reb, and taking away -11.5 TS%. To put that TS% number into perspective, Shaq is saving 4.7 PPG from the average solely on that TS%. But once again Shaq's ast-TOV allowed numbers are mediocre. While Robinson's AST-TOV ratio numbers are outrageous.
If you were curious, here is how Shaq compares vs. the league average from 01-04 a period where he was in his late prime:
Shaq: 11.4 PPG, .510 TS%, 9.3 reb, 1.27 AST-TOV
avg: 14.3 PPG, .552 TS%, 9.8 reb, 0.92 AST-TOV
Diff: -2.9 PPG, -4.2 TS%, -0.5 reb, +0.35 AST-TOV
Once again its the same story. Shaq takes away the efficiency and gobbles away rebounds, but he has negative effect on the passing numbers.
Conclusions:
-Hakeem might be the GOAT at limiting opponent's volume
-Shaq is arguably the greatest post defender in history. No one limits opponent efficiency like him
-Ewing and Robinson were awesome at preventing assists and forcing turnovers
-Mourning was a mediocre defender early in his career but awesome from 97-00
-Hakeem was awesome vs. other great big men. So was Shaq
-Young Mourning regularly got abused by the top centers.
-Looking at the average numbers, you can see how much the centers declined. They went from 18-11, 56 TS% in 93-96 all the way to 14-10, 55 TS% with worse ast-tov ratio.
From 93-96:
Here are how starting centers who played at least 30 MP in a game vs. each of these centers fared.
Shaq: 18 PPG, .495 TS%, 10 reb, 1.03 AST-TOV
Ewing: 17.6 PPG, .541 TS%, 10.2 reb, 0.75 AST-TOV
Zo: 19.1 PPG, .564 TS%, 10.9 reb, 1.16 AST-TOV
Robinson: 18.1 PPG, .538 TS%, 10.2 reb, 0.93 AST-TOV
Hakeem: 15 PPG, .541 TS%, 11 reb, 0.89 AST-TOV
league average in this situation: 18.4 PPG, .564 TS% 10.5 reb, 0.87 AST-TOV
*note: I normalized all of their opponent FT% to the league average (69.8 FT%) so that all of them are on an even playing field when it comes to something they can't control (FT%).
Based on that, Zo is the worst in these situations. Hakeem is the best in suppressing FGA which is why his PPG is low. But Shaq is by the best at suppressing efficiency. His men were -6.9 TS% from the center league average. Interestingly enough Shaq allowed 15.8 FGA compared to Hakeem's 11.9. I'm not sure what hakeem is doing, but he is doing a good job forcing the action away.
Here is how they did vs. each other plus Brad Daughtery (the only other 20 PPG center in the league at the time):
Shaq: 25.1 PPG, .501 TS%, 11.7 reb, 1.10 AST-TOV (37.9% of his games were vs. them)
Ewing: 27.9 PPG, .579 TS%, 12.3 reb, 0.83 AST-TOV (32.4% of games)
Zo: 30.7 PPG, .593 TS%, 12.3 reb, 1.31 AST-TOV (31.1% of games)
Robinson: 24.8 PPG, .519 TS%, 11.1 reb, 0.93 AST-TOV (32.5% of games)
Hakeem: 20.5 PPG, .519 TS%, 12.4 reb, 0.94 AST-TOV (29.7% of games)
average: 25.7 PPG, .574 TS%, 11.7 Reb, 0.93 AST-TOV
The same story here. Zo gets murdered by the top guys. Hakeem suppresses their volume at an unbelievable rate. Shaq once again limits their efficiency. This time he limits it even more than he does to normal guys (-7.3 TS%). Robinson looks good too.
97-00:
Shaq: 14.6 PPG, .473 TS%, 9.8 reb, 0.99 AST-TOV
Zo: 13.3 PPG, .504 TS%, 9.5 reb, 0.77 AST-TOV
Robinson; 14.9 PPG, .511 TS%, 8.7 reb, 0.69 AST-TOV (from 98-00 for Robinson)
League average: 16.1 PPG, .549 TS%, 10.1 reb, 0.80 AST-TOV
This time Zo improved his defense a lot. Robinson looks really good in all of the categories including forcing a lot more turnovers than assists. Shaq once again does a good job suppressing efficiency, this time by -7.6 TS%
Here is what they did vs. Shaq/Zo/Robinson/Hakeem/Ewing:
Shaq: 18.4 PPG, .449 TS%, 10.3 reb, 0.93 AST-TOV (26.7% of games)
Zo: 22.5 PPG, .508 TS%, 11.5 reb, 0.71 AST-TOV (20.5% of games)
Robinson: 23.5 PPG, .549 TS%, 10.2 reb, 0.44 AST-TOV (20.2% of games)
average: 23.8 PPG, .564 TS%, 11.5 reb, 0.75 AST-TOV
This time Zo shines again. But Shaq's numbers vs. these guys is outrageous. He is suppressing their PPG by -5.4 PPG, -1.2 reb, and taking away -11.5 TS%. To put that TS% number into perspective, Shaq is saving 4.7 PPG from the average solely on that TS%. But once again Shaq's ast-TOV allowed numbers are mediocre. While Robinson's AST-TOV ratio numbers are outrageous.
If you were curious, here is how Shaq compares vs. the league average from 01-04 a period where he was in his late prime:
Shaq: 11.4 PPG, .510 TS%, 9.3 reb, 1.27 AST-TOV
avg: 14.3 PPG, .552 TS%, 9.8 reb, 0.92 AST-TOV
Diff: -2.9 PPG, -4.2 TS%, -0.5 reb, +0.35 AST-TOV
Once again its the same story. Shaq takes away the efficiency and gobbles away rebounds, but he has negative effect on the passing numbers.
Conclusions:
-Hakeem might be the GOAT at limiting opponent's volume
-Shaq is arguably the greatest post defender in history. No one limits opponent efficiency like him
-Ewing and Robinson were awesome at preventing assists and forcing turnovers
-Mourning was a mediocre defender early in his career but awesome from 97-00
-Hakeem was awesome vs. other great big men. So was Shaq
-Young Mourning regularly got abused by the top centers.
-Looking at the average numbers, you can see how much the centers declined. They went from 18-11, 56 TS% in 93-96 all the way to 14-10, 55 TS% with worse ast-tov ratio.