Players with long, consistent careers . . . mainly wings: English, Dantley, Sam Jones, Vince Carter, etc. Robert Parish would fall into this group, so would Nique. Numbers say Dantley, my head says English, my heart says Jones, and eye test says Carter. Would like to see some comps between these guys.
Players with reasonable but not long careers and some peak seasons: Dave Cowens, Tracy McGrady, Kevin Johnson, Chauncey Billups.
Players with unreasonably short peaks but who were really extraordinary and special. Bill Walton, Connie Hawkins, Sidney Moncrief. Walton only had 1 year where he made it to the playoffs as a starter; Hawkins similarly only 1 great year though 1 pretty good year after reinventing his game following his first big knee injury; Moncrief 4-5 good years but not as good as the other two.
Vote: Alex English but willing to change my mind.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Wed Nov 5, 2014 11:04 pm
by ronnymac2
Vote: Tracy McGrady
T-Mac's quality of prime is Kobe-level though much shorter compared to Bryant. In his prime, he combined amazing pick-n-roll play with low turnovers, 3-point shooting, super-high volume/USG%, and solid defense. He never got to prove it really, but I think his game would flourish next to offensive talent.
His final Toronto year shouldn't be discounted either. He was a really good 2-way player with great rebounding and defensive activity.
Spoiler:
Bigs: Dikembe Mutombo, Nate Thurmond, Dave Cowens, Ben Wallace, Bob Lanier, Bob McAdoo, Robert Parish,
Worms: Dennis Rodman
Wings: Vince Carter, Allen Iverson, Ray Allen, Tracy McGrady, Paul Arizin, Alex English, Dominique Wilkins, Penny Hardaway, Manu Ginobili, Sidney Moncrief
Point Guards: Nate Archibald, Kevin Johnson, Chauncey Billups, Deron Williams, Mark Price
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Wed Nov 5, 2014 11:05 pm
by Clyde Frazier
penbeast0 wrote:Three different groups have my attention now:
Players with long, consistent careers . . . mainly wings: English, Dantley, Sam Jones, Vince Carter, etc. Robert Parish would fall into this group, so would Nique. Numbers say Dantley, my head says English, my heart says Jones, and eye test says Carter. Would like to see some comps between these guys.
Players with reasonable but not long careers and some peak seasons: Dave Cowens, Tracy McGrady, Kevin Johnson, Chauncey Billups.
Players with unreasonably short peaks but who were really extraordinary and special. Bill Walton, Connie Hawkins, Sidney Moncrief. Walton only had 1 year where he made it to the playoffs as a starter; Hawkins similarly only 1 great year though 1 pretty good year after reinventing his game following his first big knee injury; Moncrief 4-5 good years but not as good as the other two.
Vote: Alex English but willing to change my mind.
What are your general thoughts on mcadoo?
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Wed Nov 5, 2014 11:11 pm
by Owly
From the last thread, a longlist based on the best at each position in each decade
Owly wrote:Some guys I'm thinking of based on the numbers Parish, Lanier, Dantley.
But for the discussion: Best at position within decade/on the long list radar if multiple players close to one another (though this is largely off the top of my head, a player being mentioned here doesn't mean he's better than all those that aren't just that he's probably closer to being the best not yet on the board for his time and position)
50's C Neil Johnston (elite stats peak, won a title fwiw, hard to know about D and some team failures but Macauley was probably a worse defender imo). PF Gallatin or Mikkelsen: Hard to split off the top of my head SF Arizin (great peak, but in pre-shot clock, if allowing for hypotheticals his total career output would have been better if not for military service) SG Sharman (big fan of his, deadly shooter, elite conditioning, based on peers he was a good defender and tough guy, and if you take his coaching as evidence it seems he had a high BBIQ) PG Cousy (more efficient than we now tend to think, at least he was more accurate than most other 50s pgs, playoff fall off in title years possibly a issue)
Sneaky under the radar guy: 6th man Frank Ramsey. Very efficient on the wing for the era anyway and some huge playoffs
60s C: Bellamy (the numbers pick with a high stats peak; but issues on D, reputation as a loser); Thurmond (the defense pick, but inefficient on O, and suffered injuries); maybe Beaty (underdog amongst this group, excellent ABA career) PF: Howell (Lucas, Heinsohn, DeBusschere and Hawkins - if you put him at this position and this decade - all arguably in contention; but Howell quietly had the best numbers and - later - team success) SF: Hagan (more consistent than Chet Walker and better than Twyman; has an amazing playoff peak and good career playoff numbers) SG: Sam Jones (Greer is the only "name" guy as competition and looking at the metrics it is no competition; Greer stayed on court longer, but Jones was substantially better and so imo mooved the needle more despite the minute defecit) PG: Wilkens (Guerin's peak slightly better but that was a one off, Wilkens was steady, smart etc and somehow once 2nd in MVP voting, though not 1st Team all-NBA. I've heard people argue for him as equivalent to and better than Jason Kidd. Still despite a name check here, not really on my radar).
70s C: Lanier / Cowens (Doesn't quite have the peak of McAdoo, close enough and with a longevity edge. I know a some question his D based on team performance. Still I've heard positive things for some years at least. Cowens has big historical status with MVP, 2 titles. Metrics see nothing special. Aesthetically from the bits I've seen I like him, but hard to know what to think) PF: Hayes (based on longevity and possibly D though hard to be confident how much impact he had. Negative intangiables aside he's a volume scorer who has five primarily 70s power forwards posting a better PER season, Haywood, McGinnis, Bob Kauffman, Wicks, Mickey Johnson, and Larry Kenon with a season equal. Okay not a perfect measure, and not always better by a large margin, but I think his peak is really low for this point in the discussion which limits the value of that longevity) SF: Bobby Jones (Cunningham the bigger name, but position and decade debates aside, Jones rates awesome by the metrics, plays D, passes and doesn't make mistakes which makes him a superb fit for a good team) SG: Bing (despite peaks being somewhat outliers, possibly due to injuries, he's the best combination of peak, which Westphal and Thompson also have, and more longevity based added value, where Monroe perhaps competes. I think Westphal would be my 2nd choice. Again Bing is not necessarily on my radar now though, a big drop off in that era after Gervin) PG: Archibald (Easily. Monster peak. Career added value might be close if not accounting for the value of a high peak, for instance Calvin Murphy has slightly more career Win Shares, but it's hard to win a title by being just above average for a long time)
Okay ... Not got time to go through this in detail so quick glance for the rest
80s Parish then Sikma Nance (strong career numbers, arguably comparable to McHale) probably Dantley, then maybe some version of English, Wilkins and Marques Johnson Moncrief then I guess Walter Davis Maurice Cheeks / Gus Williams
90s Mutombo Horace Grant/Kemp Hill (then maybe Schrempf) Hornacek, Richmond, Dumars in some order KJ (then Porter, Price and T Hardaway then perhaps Strickland, though Penny and Brandon have huge peaks)
post 2000 more rough and ready here trying to rememeber who has gone and my database isn't super up to date (including career EWA-type numbers that are quite old) Ming Brand/Gasol/Bosh (/Love?) no real order. Amare? (not a fan, but crazy numbers for his peak) Marion (Kirlenko? Peja?) Ginobili (Roy?) Billups (then Rose, Parker, Westbrook)
Might have missed people if I misremembered who's in. But there's somewhat of a longlist of candidates.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Wed Nov 5, 2014 11:46 pm
by trex_8063
Wow, seemed like Reed kinda came out of no where to take that one.
Anyway, I'll likely be voting for Parish once again, though also giving some consideration to Elvin Hayes, as well as Iverson, Cousy, Cowens, Wilkins, English and perhaps even McGrady. Will post more thoroughly later.
EDIT: Since McAdoo was mentioned, he'd come up for me immediately after the above-mentioned fellows (as would Pau Gasol, fwiw).
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Wed Nov 5, 2014 11:55 pm
by Moonbeam
trex_8063 wrote:Wow, seemed like Reed kinda came out of no where to take that one.
Anyway, I'll likely be voting for Parish once again, though also giving some consideration to Elvin Hayes, as well as Iverson, Cousy, Cowens, Wilkins, English and perhaps even McGrady. Will post more thoroughly later.
EDIT: Since McAdoo was mentioned, he'd come up for me immediately after the above-mentioned fellows (as would Pau Gasol, fwiw).
Where do you have Dantley? How about Mutombo and Sam Jones?
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 12:22 am
by penbeast0
Clyde Frazier wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:Three different groups have my attention now:
Players with long, consistent careers . . . mainly wings: English, Dantley, Sam Jones, Vince Carter, etc. Robert Parish would fall into this group, so would Nique. Numbers say Dantley, my head says English, my heart says Jones, and eye test says Carter. Would like to see some comps between these guys.
Players with reasonable but not long careers and some peak seasons: Dave Cowens, Tracy McGrady, Kevin Johnson, Chauncey Billups.
Players with unreasonably short peaks but who were really extraordinary and special. Bill Walton, Connie Hawkins, Sidney Moncrief. Walton only had 1 year where he made it to the playoffs as a starter; Hawkins similarly only 1 great year though 1 pretty good year after reinventing his game following his first big knee injury; Moncrief 4-5 good years but not as good as the other two.
Vote: Alex English but willing to change my mind.
What are your general thoughts on mcadoo?
Great talent, bad attitude (drug issues), interesting comp with Amare (probably a little better peak, but less duration). How many years would you really want him on your team -- Buffalo dumped him for scrap (John Gianelli and Lonnie Shelton I think) and New York, Boston, and Detroit got rid of him fast too, probably don't want him by 76, maybe even by 75 despite the fact that he continued to put up great numbers for a few more years.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 2:22 am
by trex_8063
Moonbeam wrote:
trex_8063 wrote:Wow, seemed like Reed kinda came out of no where to take that one.
Anyway, I'll likely be voting for Parish once again, though also giving some consideration to Elvin Hayes, as well as Iverson, Cousy, Cowens, Wilkins, English and perhaps even McGrady. Will post more thoroughly later.
EDIT: Since McAdoo was mentioned, he'd come up for me immediately after the above-mentioned fellows (as would Pau Gasol, fwiw).
Where do you have Dantley? How about Mutombo and Sam Jones?
Dantley I presently have at #60 on my ATL (though it's constantly in flux these days). Mutombo I presently have in the late 60's. Sam Jones to me is in a variety of ways comparable to Manu Ginobili with lesser play-making, but better durability; also played in a weaker era. I have him in the early-mid 70's. But again: all this is in flux these days.
EDIT: fwiw, Wes Unseld, Bob Lanier, and Chris Webber will come up for me soon, too (just after most of those guys I mentioned in my original post get voted in).
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 8:33 am
by john248
Just going to cast my vote for Pau Gasol. He's got a strong decade's worth of play as an 18/9/3.5/1.5, 110+ ORTG guy. Lakers 3 Finals years were especially impressive with 22+ PER, .220+ WS/48, and his rebounding picked up too. The championship years, he posted a 124 and 126 ORTG in the playoffs. Good post player, solid mid-range shooter, great passer for his position...much to like about his offensive game where he can pair with any #1 wing option. Spent the majority of his time at center with the Lakers and did very well there going against Dwight and KG. 09 Finals: 19/9/2/2, 65%TS, 132 ORTG, defending Dwight pretty well; 10 FInals: 19/12/4/3, 56%TS, 122 ORTG. 2011 playoffs was rough since Dirk did a number on him...defended Pau's face-ups and torched him on the other end.
I know his Memphis years get dismissed or not talked about since they were a 1 round and out team and much of his career success came with the Lakers. He was still a good primary option but simply was just a great secondary option. At this point in this project, my thoughts in regards to Pau here is that I'd much rather have the ideal #2 who has a team impact on offense rather than a better #1 who has some flaws such as not being a strong #1 or not being able to slide into a secondary role. Lakers were 3 games ahead of the #9 seed at the time of the trade then went 22-4 after. He also came into the triangle and excelled quickly which some players never quite do (Payton). Part of this is his high BBIQ and his skill set which we all know. Fundamentally sound player in the high and low post. Able to read defenses, make the pass, keep turnovers to a minimum, held the ball high. Much tougher to stop this style. Really, seeing him in the triple post was really something just so sweet to see.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 4:18 pm
by penbeast0
Alex English -- penbeast0
Tracy McGrady -- ronnymac2
Pau Gasol -- john248
The differentiation is smaller as we move into the fatter part of the bell curve. Please get your votes in; especially if you are passionate about someone at this point. Many of us are looking for guidance and can be swayed now that we are approaching the halfway mark.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 4:20 pm
by Clyde Frazier
So i’m taking a closer look at elvin hayes, and the lack of efficiency is certainly a concern, but he has great longevity and a good playoff resume. Here’s an interesting account on why he didn’t win finals MVP in 78:
Dave Heeren wrote in 1987:
Remember the Elvin Hayes incident? During the 1978 playoffs, the Championship series between Washington and Seattle reached the seventh game. Rick Barry, whose Golden State team had not qualified for the playoffs that year, was announcing that game and doing his usual candid job. He pointed out that one of the referees had a short temper and that he was especially apt to make hasty foul calls against Hayes, whom he did not like because Hayes did a lot of complaining about his calls.
Hayes, who had been the series' outstanding player to that point, picked up his fourth foul during the third quarter and argued before going to the bench. The same official whistled him for his fifth and sixth fouls in quick succession after he reentered the game early in the fourth quarter. Replays showed that Hayes had not committed either of the fouls. On one of them there had been no physical contact at all.
But Hayes was out of the game, and a vindictive referee could have deprived Washington of a league championship becaus the Bullets were ahead by 8 or 10 points when Hayes went out. Paced by Bob Dandridge, the Bullets did hold on to win. But Hayes was deprived of an award he wanted and deserved. Since he had not played during the closing minutes of the championship game, the championship series MVP trophy was given to Wes Unseld. Unseld, then in the twilight of his career, had produced little offense for the Bullets and had been victimized by Seattle center Marvin Webster for 30 points, or a basket more or less, in the final game.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 4:38 pm
by Texas Chuck
Official Vote: Mutombo
Still think he is clearly the best defensive player on the board.
A decade of being the dominant defensive big man while playing in an era where there were a number of really good defensive bigs really says volumes to me about how good he was.
Had some really great playoff runs-- 94 in Denver upsetting Seattle, 97 in Atlanta, and of course 2001 with Philly where an argument can be made that he was more responsible than even AI for their run to the Finals.
Tremendous rebounder.
Great, great, shotblocker, but his impact goes way beyond just the blocks--he was a true deterrent to teams considering going into the lane.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 7:22 pm
by trex_8063
Chuck Texas wrote:Official Vote: Mutombo
Still think he is clearly the best defensive player on the board.
A decade of being the dominant defensive big man while playing in an era where there were a number of really good defensive bigs really says volumes to me about how good he was.
Had some really great playoff runs-- 94 in Denver upsetting Seattle, 97 in Atlanta, and of course 2001 with Philly where an argument can be made that he was more responsible than even AI for their run to the Finals.
Tremendous rebounder.
Great, great, shotblocker, but his impact goes way beyond just the blocks--he was a true deterrent to teams considering going into the lane.
Although fwiw, he did not have the degree of impact to lead/anchor top tier defenses with any consistency. Below are the team defenses associated with Deke's career:
Denver Nuggets---DRtg relative to league (league rank).....and remember "+" is bad thing, "-" is good. '91 (year before he arrived): +5.8 (27th of 27) '92: +0.4 (13th of 27) *although the offense fell from -2.7 (21st of 27) to -7.5 (27th of 27). '93: -1.7 (8th of 27) '94: -4.0 (5th of 27) '95: -0.1 (14th of 27) '96: +0.5 (17th of 29) '97 (year after he left): +4.5 (24th of 29)
Atlanta Hawks '96 (year before he arrived): +0.4 (16th of 29) '97: -4.4 (3rd of 29) '98: -0.7 (13th of 29) '99: -5.1 (2nd of 29) '00: +3.8 (25th of 29) '01 (Deke traded at the all-star break): +1.3 (18th of 29) '02 (first year he's gone entirely): +1.9 (22nd of 29)
Philly 76'ers '00 (year before he arrives): -4.1 (4th of 29) '01 (Deke arrives after all-star break): -4.1 (5th of 29) '02: -4.2 (4th of 29) '03 (year after he left): -1.1 (12th of 29)
NJ Nets '02 (year before he arrived): -5.0 (1st of 29) '03: -5.5 (1st of 29) '04 (year after he left): -4.9 (4th of 29)
NY Knicks '03 (year before he arrived): +2.6 (23rd of 29) '04: +0.4 (15th of 29) '05 (year after he left): +2.8 (25th of 30)
Houston Rockets '04 (year before he arrived): -3.9 (5th of 29) '05: -4.4 (4th of 30) '06: -2.9 (6th of 30) '07: -5.8 (3rd of 30) '08 (limited games, becoming ineffective): -5.9 (2nd of 30) '09 (Deke basically a non-factor in final season--plays 96 minutes all season): -4.3 (4th of 30)
Still obv quite great on that end, but I disagree that he is "clearly the best defensive player on the board". As long as Nate Thurmond is out there, I don't think that can be said.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 7:39 pm
by trex_8063
Vote: Robert Parish (for now)
Parish was an entirely fine two-way player. Very good (at times even excellent??) rebounder, very good offensive big, and also a very capable defender, especially early in his career. During his first SEVEN seasons in the league he never averaged less than 2.8 blocks per 100 possessions (and as high as 4.4). In both ‘79 and ‘81 he was 4th in the league in bpg despite playing just 31.7 and 28.0 mpg, respectively. Was 5th in ‘82 while playing just 31.7 mpg. He had a cumulative DRtg of ~97-98 in that seven-year span. He led the league in DRtg in ‘79; had a DRtg in the top 8 four times during that 7-year span, three times in the top 3.
Offensively, he was a 7-footer who could run the floor reasonably well, a very competent finisher at the rim (making him somewhat functional in transition), was an excellent low-post scorer, and also had a tiny bit of range (out to 11-13 feet, at least). Was an entirely decent FT-shooter for a big-man (72.1% for his career). The only reason he was averaging just 16-20 ppg during his prime was because he was playing on an extremely stacked team thru most of it. I have no doubt Parish could have avg 23-25 ppg on decent efficiency for a less talent-laden club.
While I don’t think Parish could have been “the man” on a contender, I think we’re well past the point on the list where that is necessarily a consideration. Especially when one has the kind of longevity that Parish had: he had a prime that lasted 13 years (>1,000 rs games), 5 additional seasons as a role player of varying (but certainly relevant) value, and only 3 seasons (years 19-21) that were of minimal value.
While he couldn’t have been #1 on a contender, he certainly could have been the #1 on a 40-45 win playoff participant. And he could have been the #2 on a contender. Indeed, he WAS either the 2nd or 3rd best player on MULTIPLE contenders. He’s got one ring as the clear #2, another as---at worst---the #2B, a third ring as the clear #3, and then a 4th ring as a limited-value bench player.
During his peak in the early 1980’s, he was 7th in MVP voting in ‘81, 4th in MVP voting in ‘82.
A look at his prime production……. Robert Parish (‘79-’91) (13 years: 1022 rs games!) Per 100 (rs): 25.8 pts, 15.6 reb, 2.5 ast, 1.3 stl, 2.5 blk with 3.6 tov @ 58.4% PER 20.2, .168 WS/48, 113 ORtg/102 DRtg (+11) in 32.4 mpg Playoffs: (didn’t have this data previously harvested, and per 100 data windows currently not working on bbref).....but he avg 16.2 ppg/9.8 rpg/1.3 apg/1.8 bpg/2.3 tov @ .551 TS% PER 16.5, .121 WS/48 in 34.9 mpg
Robert Parish (full career) Per 100 (rs): 24.6 pts, 15.5 reb, 2.3 ast, 1.3 stl, 2.5 blk, 3.5 tov @ .571 TS% PER 19.2, .154 WS/48, 111 ORtg/102 DRtg (+9) in 28.4 mpg **And note this is over 21 years, 1611 rs games (more than any other player in history) Per 100 (playoffs): 22.6 pts, 14.2 reb, 1.9 ast, 1.2 stl, 2.5 blk, 3.1 tov @ .547 TS% PER 16.6, .121 WS/48, 109 ORtg/105 DRtg (+4) in 33.6 mpg
Career rs WS: 147.0 (#21 all-time) Career playoff WS: 15.6 (#32 all-time) 9-Time NBA All-Star 2-Time All-NBA (1 - 2nd, 1 - 3rd)
That’s an awful lot of career value, imo.
If the support for Parish just isn't there yet, other guys I'd be more than content to switch my vote to if more support exists for them include: Elvin Hayes, Bob Cousy, Allen Iverson, Dominique Wilkins or Alex English, or maybe Dave Cowens. EDIT: I'd not object to TMac at this point, too. I reserve the right to make a strategic switch of vote as a consensus emerges; but for now, I’m once again putting the feeler vote for Parish out there.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 9:33 pm
by Texas Chuck
Trex,
using that same team defense standard doesnt seem to show any kind of edge for Thurmond. His defenses tended to be good, but being 3rd in the league when there are 9 or 10 teams isn't that impressive.
Now don't get me wrong I think Thurmond is a tremendous defender. I jsut don't see the team defense argument being particularly in his favor over Deke.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 11:36 pm
by E-Balla
I'm voting Tracy McGrady. He has the best prime of anyone still up and easily the best peak. He also happens to couple that with the best/most consistent postseason performances despite having a miniscule sample size.
Prime postseason numbers: 32/7/6 on 54 TS (27 PER). Only negative was it was only 4 series (01-06 is his prime IMO - he missed the playoffs in 05 and 07).
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Thu Nov 6, 2014 11:43 pm
by ronnymac2
This is against the best defensive team in the NBA that year.
To those who may not have McGrady on their radar yet, what questions/concerns do you have about his game?
If he's not on your radar due to longevity concerns, I totally understand that. I'm asking if anybody has concerns about his impact/skillset during his prime.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Fri Nov 7, 2014 12:06 am
by Texas Chuck
ronnymac2 wrote:To those who may not have McGrady on their radar yet, what questions/concerns do you have about his game?
If he's not on your radar due to longevity concerns, I totally understand that. I'm asking if anybody has concerns about his impact/skillset during his prime.
I covered it last thread and won't go into detail again since the TMac supporters weren't concerned with it. But beyond just his lack of longevity, I was bothered by how many games he was missing each year and how that effected his team negatively in terms of lack of playoff success--esp in Houston where the team around him was pretty good.
Im also not fully convinced his individual stats--which admittedly are gaudy--always corresponded with team lifting, but I'm very open to being shown Im wrong in that regard.
Re: RealGM Top 100 List #48
Posted: Fri Nov 7, 2014 12:16 am
by D Nice
Wade = #23 (5-6 Elite Seasons w/ 2-3 being MVP-caliber) Paul = #31(6 Elite Seasons w/ 2 being MVP-caliber) Durant = #36 (5 Elite Seasons w/ 2-3 being MVP-caliber)
McGrady (6 Elite Season w/1 being MVP-caliber) still on board at #48?