Post#34 » by Pablo Novi » Sat Aug 19, 2017 6:26 pm
Post#43 » by Pablo Novi » Fri Aug 11, 2017 11:38 am
penbeast0 wrote:
Do you think this creates a better GOAT list than the MVP award shares?
Pablo Novi wrote:
Elsewhere I've tried to make the case for why ALL-League selections are much more valuable than MVPs an thus a much better criteria for building a GOAT list. (The two main points: The ALL-League selection process is much, much broader AND deals with players by "position": Guards, Forwards, Center; and, historically speaking, I believe the MVP award has been flawed a number of times; whereas I've never had any BIG problems with the ALL-League selections over the last 58 years.
penbeast0 wrote:
By 1st team awards (total awards, then 2nd team as tiebreakers):
1. Kobe Bryant
2. Karl Malone
3. LeBron James
4. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
5. TIm Duncan
6 (tie). Bob Cousy
6 (tie). Jerry West
8 (tie). Michael Jordan
8 (tie). Bob Pettit
10. Elgin Baylor
11. Oscar Robertson
12 (tie). Larry Bird
12 (tie). Magic Johnson
14. Shaquille O'Neal
15. Wilt Chamberlain
16. Dolph Schayes
17. Hakeem Olujawon
18. George Mikan
19. Julius Erving
20. Charles Barkley
21. Rick Barry
22. George Gervin
23. Dwight Howard
24. Kevin Durant
25. Jason Kidd
clyde21 wrote:
Image
Pablo Novi wrote:
The ONE "slight" problem with your top list is that it does NOT represent MY METHODOLOGY.
I don't use ONLY 1st-Team selections; I also include (to a lesser extent; about 60% historically) 2nd-Team selections (and to a lesser extent still: about 60% historically) 3rd-Team selections. Throw in my adjustments for the ever-increasing DEPTH of Top Players (and over-all play of course) and you get:
Column 1: My INITIAL (ALL-League selections-based) Ranking: Column 2: "PTS" (mostly 5 "Pts" for 1st-Team; 3 "Pts" for 2nd-Team ... Column 3: "#" = INITIAL GOAT RANK BY POSITION. Column 4: Player Name
. # .. "PTS" . Pos# .. P L A Y E R
. 1 ... 64.5 ..... 1 ... Abdul-Jabbar, Kareem
. 2 ... 63.9 ..... 1 ... Bryant, Kobe
. 3 ... 62.6 ..... 1 ... Duncan, Tim
. 4 ... 62.6 ..... 2 ... Malone, Karl
. 5 ... 61.0 ..... 1 ... James, LeBron
. 6 ... 55.0 ..... 2 ... West, Jerry (N.B. I have him as a SG rather than as a PG)
. 7 ... 53.0 ..... 2 ... Erving, Julius
. 8 ... 53.0 ..... 3 ... Jordan, Michael
. 9 ... 51.5 ..... 2 ... O'Neal, Shaquille
10 ... 50.0 ..... 1 ... Robertson, Oscar
11 ... 49.0 ..... 2 ... Johnson, Magic
12 ... 48.0 ..... 3 ... Bird, Larry
13 ... 46.2 .... 4 ... Baylor, Elgin
14 ... 44.5 ..... 3 ... Pettit, Bob
15 ... 43.9 ..... 3 ... Olajuwon, Hakeem
16 ... 42.5 ..... 4 ... Chamberlain, Wilt
17 ... 42.5 .... 5 ... Barry, Rick
18 ... 41.3 ..... 4 ... Barkley, Charles
19 ... 40.5 .... 3 ... Cousy, Bob
20 ... 39.9 ..... 5 ... Nowitzki, Dirk
21 ... 33.0 ..... 5 ... Malone, Moses
22 ... 31.9 ..... 4 ... Stockton, John
23 ... 31.9 ..... 6 ... Garnett, Kevin
24 ... 31.7 ..... 6 ... Robinson, David
25 ... 31.4 ..... 7 ... Howard, Dwight
26 ... 31.3 ..... 4 ... Gervin, George
27 ... 31.0 ..... 6 ... Durant, Kevin
28 ... 30.8 ..... 5 ... Paul, Chris
29 ... 30.5 ..... 8 ... Russell, Bill
30 ... 28.2 ..... 7 ... Schayes, Dolph
31 ... 28.0 ..... 6 ... Kidd, Jason
32 ... 27.9 ..... 7 ... Payton, Gary
33 ... 25.6 ..... 8 ... Iverson, Allen
34 ... 24.2 ..... 5 ... Wade, Dwyane
35 ... 24.1 ..... 9 ... Nash, Steve
36 ... 23.6 ..... 7 ... Pippen, Scottie
37 ... 23.0 ..... 9 ... Ewing, Patrick
38 ... 22.5 .... 10 ... Frazier, Walt
39 ... 22.1 ..... 8 ... McGrady, Tracy
40 ... 22.0 .... 11 .. Thomas, Isiah
41 ... 22.0 .... 12 .. Westbrook, Russell
42 ... 20.0 .... 10 .. Gilmore, Artis
43 ... 19.5 .... 13 .. Sharman, Bill
44 ... 19.3 ..... 9 ... Wilkins, Dominique
45 ... 19.0 .... 11 .. Mikan, George
46 ... 18.5 .... 14 .. Archibald, Nate "Tiny"
47 ... 18.0 ..... 6 ... Moncrief, Sidney
48 ... 17.5 ..... 8 ... Lucas, Jerry
49 ... 17.5 ..... 7 ... Greer, Hal
50 ... 17.5 ..... 8 ... Westphal, Paul
To me, for an INITIAL DRAFT - this is one very good list!
Now, keep in mind that I ALWAYS have included two more steps; with the 2nd Step addressing ALL other non-ALL-League selection factors; and the 3rd Step "allowing" for the movement of any player up or down my GOAT list by approximately 1 positional-ranking* - and I think it's a darned good system; producing "worthy" results.
The two most important examples of "1 up or down GOAT-positional shifts": MJ lists here at SG#3 (with my assumption that Jerry West is an SG). But his "Points" total is about the same as West's - so taking all the non ALL-League selection factors into account - MJ jumps past Kobe and my GOAT Top 3 SGs are:
MJ then Kobe then Jerry West.
Wilt is just behind Hakeem. So, Wilt jumping up past Shaq as GOAT #2 Center is "allowed" under my system. MY GOAT Centers then are:
KAJ, Wilt, Shaq, Bill Russell **, Hakeem
Bill Russell is THE ONE case where it MIGHT APPEAR that I allow myself a more than 1-positional-ranking shift. But as a HUGE part of Step 2, those 11 Chips in 13 years say he should pass the following Centers ahead of him on my INITIAL GOAT List: DHoward, DRob & Moses (in ascending order).
Btw, my INTENT has always been to do an INITIAL GOAT list based on "ALL-League" selection "Shares" - to see how that might look; but I can't find the actual voting (as opposed to the results of that voting) for most of the years prior to the 1986 season).
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LATE ADD:
I've made two MINOR CHANGES to the earlier version of this post:
1) I've reformatted my INITIAL GOAT listing (so it's easier to read, hopefully). (I replaced all the"!" with "...")
2) I've also added a note about #6, Jerry West based on four things:
a) a quote from Gail Goodrich, who said (paraphrased slightly) : "When we played together, I was the Point Guard & Jerry West was the Shooting Guard". (They played together for about half of Jerry West's seasons);
b) Most of the GOAT lists I've seen have Jerry West classified as a SG;
c) Jerry's stats were more SG-like than PG-like, imo; and
d) There is already a decided preponderance of PGs over SGs in this list - so it helps to balance that a bit.
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The above is a copy-and-past of Post #43 in this thread: Re: Top 25 players of all time based on MVP shares viewtopic.php?f=64&t=1605350&start=40#start_here
Here I'd just like to add three of additional points:
1) My INITIAL GOAT ranking system is based ONLY on REGULAR SEASON ALL-League selections AND tries to include fair balance between: positions, decades and Leagues (I believe it does this better than any other system I've seen);
2) A "PERFECT GOAT CAREER" would get you exactly 100 "Points" - 20 years of ALL-League 1st-Team selections (this number, 100, naturally is quite useful for both comparing players' actual results with a would-be "perfect career); and for comparing players' actual results with each other's).
3) Here is my "pro-rating" system for assigning "Points" based on ALL-League selections PER DECADE:
20170731 Pablo’s Pro-Rating Per Decade:
Increase
% Per ...... ”Points” Per
Decade ..... ALL-League: ........................... "Pts" Per
... DECADE . 1st-Tm; 2d-Tm; 3d-Tm ............... All Tms ... Yr ... Decade
xxx 1930 !! ... 0.33 .. 0.17 ..... x ................... 0.50 ...... 2.5 ... ... 5
300 1940 !! ... 1.33 .. 0.67 ..... x ................... 2.00 ..... 10.0 ... 100
125 1950 !! ... 3 ...... 1.5 ...... x ................... 4.50 ..... 22.5 ... 225
66. 1960 !! ... 5 ...... 2.5 ....... x .................. 7.50 ..... 37.5 ... 375
10. 1970 !! ... 5 ...... 2.5 .... 0.75 ................. 8.25 ..... 41.3 ... 412.5
9.1 1980 !! ... 5 ...... 3 ...... 1.0 ................... 9.00 ..... 45.0 ... 450
3.3 1990 !! ... 5 ...... 3 ...... 1.3 ................... 9.30 ..... 46.5 ... 465
2.7 2000 !! ... 5 ...... 3 ...... 1.55 .................. 9.55 ..... 47.8 ... 477.5
2.6 2010 !! ... 5 ...... 3 ...... 1.8 ................... 9.80 ..... 49.0 ... 490
........................................................ so far 1938-2017 ! 2,902 Total "Points"
........................................................ soon . 1938-2019 ! 3,000 Total "Points"
FUTURE?
... DECADE . 1st-Tm; 2d-Tm; 3d-Tm; 4th-Tm ... All Tms ... Yr ... Decade
2.6 2020 !! ... 5 ...... 3 ...... 1.8 ...... 0.25 ..... 10.10 ..... 50.3 ... 502.5
2.5 2030 !! ... 5 ...... 3 ...... 1.8 ...... 0.50 ..... 10.30 ..... 51.5 ... 515
2.4 2040 !! ... 5 ...... 3 ...... 1.8 ...... 0.75 ..... 10.60 ..... 52.8 ... 527.5
2.4 2050 !! ... 5 ...... 3 ...... 1.8 ...... 1.00 ..... 10.80 ..... 54.0 ... 540