RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 (Bill Walton)

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RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 (Bill Walton) 

Post#1 » by trex_8063 » Thu Mar 8, 2018 3:10 pm

1. Michael Jordan
2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3. Lebron James
4. Bill Russell
5. Tim Duncan
6. Wilt Chamberlain
7. Magic Johnson
8. Shaquille O'Neal
9. Hakeem Olajuwon
10. Larry Bird
11. Kobe Bryant
12. Kevin Garnett
13. Oscar Robertson
14. Karl Malone
15. Jerry West
16. Julius Erving
17. Dirk Nowitzki
18. David Robinson
19. Charles Barkley
20. Moses Malone
21. John Stockton
22. Dwyane Wade
23. Chris Paul
24. Bob Pettit
25. George Mikan
26. Steve Nash
27. Patrick Ewing
28. Kevin Durant
29. Stephen Curry
30. Scottie Pippen
31. John Havlicek
32. Elgin Baylor
33. Clyde Drexler
34. Rick Barry
35. Gary Payton
36. Artis Gilmore
37. Jason Kidd
38. Walt Frazier
39. Isiah Thomas
40. Kevin McHale
41. George Gervin
42. Reggie Miller
43. Paul Pierce
44. Dwight Howard
45. Dolph Schayes
46. Bob Cousy
47. Ray Allen
48. Pau Gasol
49. Wes Unseld
50. Robert Parish
51. Russell Westbrook
52. Alonzo Mourning
53. Dikembe Mutombo
54. Manu Ginobili
55. Chauncey Billups
56. Willis Reed
57. Bob Lanier
58. Allen Iverson
59. Adrian Dantley
60. Dave Cowens
61. Elvin Hayes
62. Dominique Wilkins
63. Vince Carter
64. Alex English
65. Tracy McGrady
66. James Harden
67. Nate Thurmond
68. Sam Jones
69. Kevin Johnson
70. Bob McAdoo
71. Sidney Moncrief
72. Paul Arizin
73. Grant Hill
74. Bobby Jones
75. Chris Bosh
76. Tony Parker
77. Shawn Marion
78. Hal Greer
79. Ben Wallace
80. Dan Issel
81. Larry Nance
82. James Worthy
83. Chris Webber
84. Rasheed Wallace
85. Dennis Rodman
86. Horace Grant
87. Elton Brand
88. Terry Porter
89. Maurice Cheeks
90. Carmelo Anthony
91. Tim Hardaway
92. Jack Sikma
93. Billy Cunningham
94. Mookie Blaylock
95. Chet Walker
96. Kawhi Leonard
97. Vlade Divac
98. ???

Three more to go.....

Spoiler:
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#2 » by trex_8063 » Thu Mar 8, 2018 3:17 pm

penbeast0 wrote:.

pandrade83 wrote:.
(quoting his critics; btw penbeast0, I have edited in additions since you read it)

On Walt Bellamy's biggest weakness (edited [again])....

I was watching a bit of the following game from the '71 season the other day......

.....mostly scrutinizing Bellamy on the defensive end, and watching for any other noteworthy tendencies.

I want to point out some plays, but first a preface: bear in mind this isn't even prime Walt Bellamy; this is Bellamy at age 31 and on the down-slope of his career, in his 10th season----having missed just 5 games in the 9+ seasons to this point (which he more than made up for playing 6 extra games in '69, the season of 88 rs games)----while averaging about 38 mpg in his career. jsia: 31 years, and a lotta miles on those legs, and we're looking at a post-prime version (though he would go on to have a somewhat rejuvenated [statistically] season in '72).

Few things I noted just based on this game.....
1) He seems like a very good outlet passer. Not sure if this was the case his whole career, or something he picked up on a later, but it's partially on display in the very first Hawk possession: PHX wins the tip and has a semi-transition opportunity. Bellamy snares the rebound and immediately sees Maravich cherry-pickin', throws a nice outlet catching Pete in stride at half-court.
He has another superb outlet on the defensive rebound at 11:47.
This appears consistent throughout the game (even when he begins to look fatigued); even if he doesn't have an outlet to throw, you see him swivel his head around to look after each and every defensive rebound.
EDIT (again!): He also makes one really nice assist from the high-post to a cutting teammate (Bridges, iirc; early in the 3rd quarter, I think) on the baseline. It's one of those narrow window plays where if he doesn't make the pass quickly [and on the money] the defense will have time to recover and either bat the pass away or at least be able to smother and make difficult the lay-up attempt. But Bellamy hits him square immediately, leading to a minimally contested lay-up.

2) Rebounding -- He boxes out.....fairly consistently. I like that in a big. I don't like the ones who chase the rebounding angles/bounces, potentially just poaching a rebound from a teammate while leaving their man without a body on him. Bellamy's boxing out pretty consistently in the first half; a little less consistently in the second half.

3) Defensively -- I'm not happy with the quality of his post defense on display in this game: he never really bumps as his man comes across the lane or otherwise pushes him off his spot. Granted, they don't seem to allow as much off-ball contact to my eye as they do today, so he may be trying to avoid the whistle. That said, on games I've scouted of Willis Reed, I see Reed fairly consistently pushing guys off their spot. Bellamy more or less lets Neal Walk set up where ever he wants. He's then not quite as physical bodying up as I'd like once Walk receives the pass either. I've not looked at H2H data, but I'd not be surprised to find many centers did better against Bellamy than they did against the rest of the field.
However, his help defense is often pretty good in this game. Some examples:

2:54 - Bellamy sees the play developing, rotates at the ideal moment and blocks the shot on the help D, keeping it in play and igniting the fast break===>in which he hustles down the court on the break (showing pretty good foot-speed for a 31-yr-old high-mileage big man who's supposedly "eaten his way to mediocrity") beating most of the field downcourt and being the recipient of the fast-break pass (gets fouled, goes to line, though misses both iirc).

4:59 - So-so help on Dick Van Arsdale (Pete's man--->Pete does not look good defensively, fwiw; his man is frequently breaking free, scored on the previous play, in fact); could have been better, but does force him into a difficult behind-the-backboard reverse along the baseline, and appears ready to have swatted a more "conventional" shot attempt on the strong-side.

5:20 - OK, he didn't box out well on the first shot----although to be fair, is it necessarily a good idea to box a guy out 9 feet from the rim (someone else can easily slip inside your boxout when you're that far from the rim)----and Connie Hawkins gets the offensive rebound for PHX. But then Bellamy swats the lay-up attempt away (again keeping it in play: PHX recovers), challenges and severely effects the follow-up shot, and secures the defensive rebound. And then again note he's immediately looking up-court (with the ball above his head, ready to whip an outlet pass if available; they actually do get sort of a semi-transition opportunity, ultimately).

6:48 - Does a good job cutting off the drive by Dick Van Arsdale. Cuts off a second drive by Arsdale a few second later. And though he seems a little slow to recover and contest his man (who receives the pass from DVA), the play really makes Bill Bridges look bad: Bridges has Neal Walk in his field of vision as the play develops but makes no move at all to rotate; he's just sort of standing there defending no one.

8:50 - shades the drive decently on the help.

9:50 - a bit slow/inattentive on the transition D (certainly are a few merely "average" defensive possessions, but this was the first truly "poor" defensive possession I noted in this game).

Anyway, I'll stop there with the detailed reporting. I will admit that his defense seems to slide a little bit later in the game (fatigue becoming a factor???).....just some instances where he's a little slow on the rotation and whatnot. He still does make some nice plays later in the game, though: is one instance early in the 3rd quarter where he anticipates and picks off the entry pass to Walk.
There's another instance (approx middle of the 3rd quarter) where he rotates and makes a good contest on a driving Dick Van Arsdale (*who had burned Maravich again), forcing a miss; Bellamy's man (Walk) then gets the put-back, but you can't put that on Bellamy: if he'd not rotated, DVA would have had an utterly uncontested lay-up.

*Side-note: I know it's just his rookie season, but Pete Maravich is putrid defensively in this game.
By halfway thru the 3rd quarter, I've lost count of the number of times (it is literally 7-8 times minimum)
that Pete has either lost his man off-ball or been burned on the dribble leading to his man getting a clean look, a foul, or otherwise forcing a defensive break-down like the one described above. It's almost shockingly bad, the kind of defense that would make James Harden look like a defensive stud. Bellamy (or anyone else in Bellamy's shoes) has his plate pretty full trying to cover/erase Maravich's errors.


Anyway, small sample reported here, but the ratio of good to bad plays here doesn't well-fit the narrative of a guy who is categorically bad defensively (at least not Enes Kanter bad), even if his post defense does look soft. His help defense appears respectable, and his overall performance in this game is adequate. And again: defense is the single biggest criticism of him as a player.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#3 » by penbeast0 » Thu Mar 8, 2018 4:30 pm

Vote: Mel Daniels
Alternate: Jerry Lucas (Sharman, Howell, Hawkins, Beaty, Marques Johnson, or Dumars)


Why Mel Daniels? It may be winner's bias, but when I see a team win multiple championships, I tend to look more closely at the makeup of the teams to see WHY they are winning. I don't automatically value big minute contributors to championships, I have been down on Bob Cousy's role on those Celtic titles for example. However, I do value the championships a lot and how a team got there. Indiana was the Boston Celtics of the ABA. They didn't have nearly the big name stars of Kentucky (Gilmore, Issel, Dampier), New York (Erving, Kenon), or even San Antonio (Gervin, Silas, Paultz) but they won the most and the most consistently. Breaking those teams down, Slick Leonard was a competent coach but had little success elsewhere and wasn't that highly regarded for either his game management or his player development. Their guards were pretty weak. Freddie Lewis a below average PG, not much of a distributor and only an average shooter and defender, while their 2 guards changed regularly and were unimpressive. Roger Brown at SF was a nice scorer with good range, great handles, and enough variety that his nickname was "the man of a thousand moves." He was definitely a key factor but he didn't play much defense or add much rebounding or playmaking. The PF were Bob Netolicky (the self proclaimed Joe Namath of the ABA) who was another excellent scorer and decent rebounder with no interest in defense then they replaced him with George McGinnis, another volume scorer (less efficient) and a great rebounder who generated a lot of assists, and turnovers. But for me, looking at this franchise's success, it was all built around Mel Daniels in the middle. A good scorer (consistently close to 20 a game on above average efficiency), great rebounder (usually among top in league), and powerful defender (better positionally than in help defense) who set the tone of the team and acted as their enforcer. His career was short and corresponds almost exactly with the rise and fall of the Pacers as a force in the ABA (his rookie year, he apparently shot a lot of long jump shots and had poor efficiency for Minnesota, which Leonard immediately banned when he came to Indiana).


Mel Daniels is certainly the only multiple MVP winner left. Nobody else changed or dominanted on both ends to the same degree for more than 1-1.5 years (Walton, Hawkins). Daniels was the best player on two championship teams plus a willing support role on a third championship though in a weak league (probably better than the pre-Russell 50s though). I tend to value defense, particularly for big men, and Mel was basically the original Alonzo Mourning with more rebounding but less shotblocking or, to use dhsilv2's comp, Moses Malone (without the longevity of course). He was a 1st round NBA pick (the first to sign with the ABA) and in the NBA would probably have been one of the best centers as well, not in the Jabbar league, but contending with Unseld/Cowens for the rebounding leaderboard and 2nd team All-Defense with good scoring (but poor playmaking). The two MVPs show he was valued above his box scores.

DANIELS v. WALTON: Both strong defensive centers (Walton's shotblocking puts him a level above) who will get you a solid 15-20ppg primarily on power moves inside. Walton's passing also gives him a MAJOR benefit over Daniels, it's why Walton gets consideration for top 10 centers of all time while Daniels doesn't. Both starred in weak basketball leagues, even after the merger, the 70s were still an era of rapid expansion with double digits in new teams over the previous decade though Walton's again stronger than Daniels. So, all else being equal, Walton should be considerably more valuable than Mel Daniels. BUT ALL ELSE ISN'T EQUAL! Walton is healthy enough for the playoffs ONCE in his career as a starter (plus a year as a top reserve). Daniels has a strong 5-6 year prime as the best or one of the best centers in the ABA with 2 MVPs and 3 titles. 6 years of prime Daniels is worth more than 1 year of prime Walton, plus a couple of partial seasons where he can't make it to the playoffs. And Daniel's 2-3 years of non-prime play is appreciably closer in value to Walton's non-prime career though I like Walton's reserve season better than Daniel's time in Minnesota or Memphis.

Getting mentioned by position:
PG DJ, Archibald
SG Sharman, Dumars, Lou Hudson, Richmond, Hornacek
SF Marques Johnson, Bernard King, Wilkes, Dandridge, Mullin, Hagan
PF Amare, Connie Hawkins, Bailey Howell, Paul Silas, Kemp, McGinnis, Jerry Lucas, Buck Williams, DeBusshcere
C Mel Daniels, Mark Gasol, Bellamy, Yao, Zelmo, Johnston, Walton
“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination,” Andrew Lang.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#4 » by trex_8063 » Thu Mar 8, 2018 5:56 pm

Piggy-backing on post #2 above.....

1st vote: Walt Bellamy
Leaves something to be desired defensively (though as alluded to in post above, perhaps not quite as poor as sometimes indicated), but a heckuva offensive man in the middle and entirely decent rebounder. And he provided that for a good long stretch, as he was more or less an ironman: missed just five games TOTAL in his first ELEVEN seasons, despite playing >35 mpg in 9 of those 11 seasons (>40 mpg in 5 of them); including one season in which (due to a mid-season trade) managed to play 88 rs games (a record I’ll wager will never be broken unless they change the length of the rs). Even in his 12th season he was still playing 37.9 mpg (missed an acceptable 8 games that year), and was still playing 31.7 mpg in his 13th season (was still a 15.2 PER, .107 WS/48, +0.3 BPM player in that 13th season, too).

Pen has in the past remarked that Bellamy “ate his way to mediocrity”, or something to that effect. I’ve never been clear on whether that was his choice of words, or quoting someone (nor have I seen a photo where he looks remotely obese, or even as big as guys like Bob Lanier and DeMarcus Cousins). But when a guy is still----statistically, per minute----an above average player in nearly 32 mpg in his 13th season (at age 34), and had a near All-Star caliber 11th season at age 32, and basically never missed games in his whole career…….idk, it’s collectively not very supportive of this “lazy” or “didn’t take care of himself” narrative.

Bells, in 1,043 career rs games averaged 37.3 mpg (nearly 39,000 career minutes--->42nd all-time in NBA/ABA history) while averaging an estimated 22.2 pts/100 possessions @ +5.91% rTS, 15.1 reb and 2.7 ast per 100 possessions. 19.8 PER and .160 WS/48 over those 13+ big-minute seasons.

fwiw, wrt impact: his prime regressed WOWY is +2.9 (+2.7 for career), which is very respectable.

It’s hard to not give him serious consideration at this point.


2nd vote: Dave DeBusschere
Statistically, DeBusschere’s fairly underwhelming. He was a pinch too willing to pop up those mid-range jumpers for my taste, though that was to no small degree a by-product of era. He’s got range, for sure (have seen him fire away out to ~20 feet or so, even a quick release curling off a screen at the top of the key), and given he was usually playing the PF, that does provide a positive spacing effect; likely would fit better in a 3pt era. I’d be more comfortable with him (likely would have supported him earlier), if he were just a bit more accurate/efficient as a scorer (his FT% could be better, too).
But with DeBusschere, obviously his defense [and rebounding] is where the lion’s share of his value comes from. Widely credited with being one of the very best defensive forwards of his generation, he appears to exhibit versatility, physical play, and decent rebounding for a PF/combo forward.
Closest modern comparison is Draymond Green (but without the playmaking). Dave did his thing for 10 fairly consistent seasons, too (plus one irrelevant injury-hit season), and oddly seemed to hang up his sneakers at the height of game (his final season is one of his very best). Not sure if there was an off-season injury that went into that decision or what.

WOWY data (looking only at W/L column) is a bit inconsistent, though the huge jump the Knicks make in trading Bellamy and Komives for him is certainly in his favour:
WOWY
‘63: 34-46 (.425) with
‘64: 4-11 (.267) with, 19-46 (.292) without
‘65: 31-48 (.392) with, 0-1 without
‘66: 22-57 (.278) with, 0-1 without
‘67: 30-48 (.385) with, 0-3 without
‘68: 38-42 (.475) with, 2-0 without
‘69: Pistons were 11-18 (.379) [DeBusschere played in all 29] prior to trading him for Bellamy and Komives, 21-32 (.396) after the trade. Knicks were 18-17 (.514) before the trade, 36-11 (.766) after obtaining DeBusschere (he played in all 47).
‘70: 57-22 (.722) with, 3-0 without
‘71: 52-29 (.642) with, 0-1 without
‘72: 47-33 (.588) with, 1-1 (.500) without
‘73: 52-25 (.675) with, 5-0 without
‘74: 41-30 (.577) with, 8-3 (.727) with

Elgee’s regressed WOWY (looking at pt differential) rates him as an elite +5.9 for his prime (+5.5 for career).
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#5 » by euroleague » Thu Mar 8, 2018 8:30 pm

Vote - Bill Walton
A big who revolutionized the position as a pass and defense first player, the center on offense and defense of a championship team. Mentioned by Kareem as the best defender he'd ever played against, had more trouble against him on the Celtics than he did against Hakeem. Easily the best player remaining off the list from a peak perspevtive.

Alternate: Connie Hawkins - an elite player who is one of the best scorers ever in his position, getting the nod over Daniels. His acrobatics and scoring were amazing for his time, came in as a rookie and immediately won MVP and a championship. Career cut short, but during his time healthy he paved the way for DrJ as the first of cutter and finisher to dominate the league.

HM: Mel Daniels - great player, better longevity than the two above him, but never a singly dominant force to the extent they were
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#6 » by Doctor MJ » Thu Mar 8, 2018 10:57 pm

Vote: Connie Hawkins
Alt: Bill Walton

I'm going to try to be less snide here, because that's not helpful. I get that this is an imperfect process, and so while there's something about Vlade Divac being talked about her that makes me think "You have got to be kidding me", that's what you get at the tail end of the top 100, and it's always how it's been. Plus Divac can be argued to have been a lot better than the not-really-an-all-star-but-hey-he's a center-on-a-good-team level he was seen at at the time.

And at the same time as on that, I didn't put Hawkins name out there last time, so I have no real right to complain.

But look folks: Connie Hawkins has Win Shares enough that he's not remotely a too-low outlier at this point of this list, and as a player he's far better than Divac. It's basically silly to even have a debate between the two guys for me, so if Divac can get in, hopefully people will stop feeling like Hawkins' career is too fractured at this point to consider.

Putting Walton as my Alt again, but as I've said, I do get why some people will basically vote for anyone else mentioned over Walton. I just hope the next guy to beat Walton is someone I think of as worthy of thinking of.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#7 » by dhsilv2 » Thu Mar 8, 2018 11:08 pm

I gotta ask, why Connie Hawkins over Tiny? Or for some other's out there, Mullins, Dumars, DJ, Sharman, or Kemp?

He had a great first year and a half in the ABA, then came to the NBA and dropped off pretty hard. He seems rather odd to me, unless people are higher on the ABA at that time.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#8 » by Doctor MJ » Thu Mar 8, 2018 11:26 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:I gotta ask, why Connie Hawkins over Tiny? Or for some other's out there, Mullins, Dumars, DJ, Sharman, or Kemp?

He had a great first year and a half in the ABA, then came to the NBA and dropped off pretty hard. He seems rather odd to me, unless people are higher on the ABA at that time.


I don't really feel like Tiny did anything.

I realize he led a team in points & assists while having the best team ORtg...but their offense was still less effective than whatever offense they were going against. When a team is so offense-focused and still sucks, to me it makes everything fool's gold. If he'd continued after that similarly and led better teams the same way it'd be different, but as is, he's fool's gold.

Hawkins is someone that everyone knows was a superstar-level player. His career is fractured no doubt, but I draft him over Elgin Baylor without any hesitation at all.

Obviously part of the question is how impressive it is to be a man among boys in the early ABA, and there I'd emphasize that Hawkins wasn't the only player like that in those early years, but that Hawkins' overall dominance makes all the others (Hayward, Barry) pale in comparison. He was putting up huge numbers on an utterly dominant team, and his peers from then will talk about how he just commanded professionalism like no one else. One might think he's just flash, but his fundamentals and his BBIQ were very strong.

What about the NBA falloff? Well, Phoenix got WAAAAAAY better when he arrived and he finished 5th in MVP voting. Compared to anyone else we're comparing him to, he showed in the NBA a peak that was quite favorable, and did so despite the fact that by that point his injuries were already a thing.

Edit: I think some of the other guys you mentioned are pretty deserving though. I actually hadn't been thinking of Mullin. He's a good choice.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#9 » by HeartBreakKid » Fri Mar 9, 2018 12:39 am

I've always been a proponent of high peak players. I also like to take into account non-NBA work if I think the player had NBA level superstar impact else where.

This makes Bill Walton an easy selection for me. I mean even with longevity taken into account, I would rather have 3 years or so of Bill Walton playing 60ish games than Carmelo Anthony.

Dominant two way centers just give your team such a crazy mismatch advantage. His passing, defense, scoring - I'm not sure if another player could have fit the championship blazers like Walton did - maybe Sabonis.


I vote for Bill Walton
My second vote will go to Anthony Davis
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#10 » by Clyde Frazier » Fri Mar 9, 2018 12:56 am

Vote 1 - Tiny Archibald

Vote 2 - Mel Daniels

- 13 year career
- 5x All NBA (3 1st, 2 2nd)
- 2 top 5 and 3 top 10 MVP finishes
- Only player to ever lead league in scoring and assists (per 100 he still measures as elite, especially for his era)

His ability to get to the line was pretty special for someone his size. He has a career FT rate of .456 with 5 seasons over .500. His prime basically lasted 6 seasons, but he was highly productive and efficient:

Per game: https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/architi01.html#1972-1977-sum:per_game

Advanced: https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/architi01.html#1972-1977-sum:advanced

The lack of playoff success before Boston leaves something to be desired, but he wasn’t exactly on teams rich with talent, either. He was an important piece for the celtics for a few seasons, and played a big role in their 81 title run. His transition into that role post prime / injury is impressive to me.

Even though we should take anecdotal commentary on players with a grain of salt, i always find it rewarding to look back at them for players before my time. In clips from the Sports Illustrated article below, we see a dominant guard who was a precursor to the plethora of drive and kick PGs we see in the NBA today.

Archibald was one of the smallest players to come into the NBA in years, being listed at a bit over six feet and weighing about 150 pounds. He had speed, but the trend was to big guards. The first time that Cincinnati Coach Bob Cousy and General Manager Joe Axel-son met Archibald at a Memphis motel they mistook him for a bellboy. Now Cousy says he might quit the Kings—the team was renamed upon being shifted to Kansas City-Omaha last year—if he ever were to lose Archibald.

- - - - -

[Former teammate Norm Van Lier] “The brother's mean, man. He comes to play every day and he does it to death. I don't believe there is anything he can't do, and his moves are inexhaustible. He'll stand out there 25 to 30 feet away from the basket dribbling. It looks so easy to go up and take the ball away, right? Wrong. Nate's just baiting you. He wants you to make a move for the ball because when you do, you're all his."

"Nate's one of the most unselfish players in the game," says Chicago's Bob Love. "I've seen him go a whole quarter without shooting, and he still killed us whistling those passes in underneath. The fact he led the league in assists explains his unselfishness. If anything, he's underrated."

- - - - -

Archibald's style has altered the order of the NBA. Once the behemoths were the intimidators; now they find themselves helpless as Archibald bears in on them. "I feel like I can draw a foul most every time," he says. "You would think that the big man has an advantage, but I would say I have it, because he has his arms up high and he has to come down on you. I get shots blocked, but not very often, because I don't just shoot a layup. I go right at the big man and make him commit himself, then I make my move." Nowadays many of the league's top teams have a small guard.

"Nate has added an extra dimension to the game," says Portland Guard Charlie Davis. "Cousy and them could clear out the ball, pass it, but there's never been one like Nate who could set those dudes up, score and pass." Says Jerry West, "He looks like a high school kid and plays like a superstar. One step and he's at full speed and gone." When asked if Archibald's "dominance" of the ball could hurt Kansas City, Oscar Robertson looked incredulous, then responded drily, "The only way his style could hurt them is if he played against them.”


https://www.si.com/vault/1973/10/15/618390/tiny-does-very-big-things

Highlights (music NSFW):

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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#11 » by dhsilv2 » Fri Mar 9, 2018 12:56 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:I gotta ask, why Connie Hawkins over Tiny? Or for some other's out there, Mullins, Dumars, DJ, Sharman, or Kemp?

He had a great first year and a half in the ABA, then came to the NBA and dropped off pretty hard. He seems rather odd to me, unless people are higher on the ABA at that time.


I don't really feel like Tiny did anything.

I realize he led a team in points & assists while having the best team ORtg...but their offense was still less effective than whatever offense they were going against. When a team is so offense-focused and still sucks, to me it makes everything fool's gold. If he'd continued after that similarly and led better teams the same way it'd be different, but as is, he's fool's gold.

Hawkins is someone that everyone knows was a superstar-level player. His career is fractured no doubt, but I draft him over Elgin Baylor without any hesitation at all.

Obviously part of the question is how impressive it is to be a man among boys in the early ABA, and there I'd emphasize that Hawkins wasn't the only player like that in those early years, but that Hawkins' overall dominance makes all the others (Hayward, Barry) pale in comparison. He was putting up huge numbers on an utterly dominant team, and his peers from then will talk about how he just commanded professionalism like no one else. One might think he's just flash, but his fundamentals and his BBIQ were very strong.

What about the NBA falloff? Well, Phoenix got WAAAAAAY better when he arrived and he finished 5th in MVP voting. Compared to anyone else we're comparing him to, he showed in the NBA a peak that was quite favorable, and did so despite the fact that by that point his injuries were already a thing.

Edit: I think some of the other guys you mentioned are pretty deserving though. I actually hadn't been thinking of Mullin. He's a good choice.


Just because I can't not bring this up. Tiny was on a team coached by Bob Cousy and he was teammates at the same time with Mike D'Antoni and we're discussing that it was an offensive first team. That has to be the most interesting mix of guys known to be offensive first guy and offensive first minds that we've ever had. And just so it's known I think Tiny was a small but meaningful part of modern basketball's evolution and I think this "thread" of play was a factor. I can't prove it, never heard Mike D comment on him, but I fully believe his influence is greater than people give him credit for. Is that a fair criteria? I dunno but I think it's worth a tie breaker or two.

Anyway I'm still wondering more about why Hawkins and I'll admit he's a guy I'm aware of but don't know enough about (not a shocker given we're around 100 and I legit have 30 or so names in my head who I could consider here). I see the two killer ABA years and then a great first year in the NBA. From there did he really do anything? 3 allstar years that were solid and then he just kinda was around. Tiny by contrast (these are imo a good comp because similar era/crossed paths, Tiny has about 260 more games but both were kinda short lived peaks/primes) had a wonderful and odd 5 year run with Boston where he was a quality starter and for some reason was a 3 time allstar, all nba, and finished 5th and 9th in MVP voting.

You bring up the Hawkins finished 5th in the MVP vote in 70, but given tiny was 5th in 1980, I'm not sold that I should value that vote a lot or you're under selling Tiny a touch here.

Anyway I don't want to argue Tiny vs Connie that much (I do a bit because I'm like the worst Tiny supporter ever, I keep wanting to vote for him, but keep finding alternatives), but better want to see the pitch for hawkins given he doesn't have a lot of playoff clout. He has 1 NBA all nba. His claim to fame is really as a rookie in the ABA which already is a huge red flag for me. And I guess for the last question why not just go with Mel Daniels who has a better career aba record and honestly similar career games/value with a bit more awards?
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#12 » by Outside » Fri Mar 9, 2018 1:16 am

Vote: Bill Walton
Alternate: Mel Daniels


Walton's glorious peak, brief as it was, earns him a spot on a top 100 list. He was a tremendously skilled and gifted player who made an impact on every aspect of the game. Besides being great with Portland, it helps that he was good with the Clippers and very good in his role with the Celtics. Athleticism, skill, intelligence, competitiveness, joy for the game, and belief to the core in playing to maximize the sum of the parts rather than any individual player.

Some info on Walton from a comparison with Vlade in the previous thread:

Walton rebounding:
10.5 - career per game
14.4 - peak season per game (led the league)
17.1 - career per 100
18.3 - peak season per 100 (did that twice)
19.8 - career rebound percentage
20.7 - peak season rebound percentage (lead the league twice)

Walton assists:
3.4 - career per game
5.0 - peak season per game
5.5 - career per 100
7.0 - peak season per 100
17.1 - career assist percentage
22.8 - peak season assist percentage

He was really, really good at all facets of the game, and in addition to all the offensive categories, he was an excellent defender.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#13 » by dhsilv2 » Fri Mar 9, 2018 1:27 am

HeartBreakKid wrote:I've always been a proponent of high peak players. I also like to take into account non-NBA work if I think the player had NBA level superstar impact else where.

This makes Bill Walton an easy selection for me. I mean even with longevity taken into account, I would rather have 3 years or so of Bill Walton playing 60ish games than Carmelo Anthony.

Dominant two way centers just give your team such a crazy mismatch advantage. His passing, defense, scoring - I'm not sure if another player could have fit the championship blazers like Walton did - maybe Sabonis.


I vote for Bill Walton
My second vote will go to Anthony Davis


Since this year doesn't count for AD.

Why AD over Daniels, Hawkins, Alex Groza (google if you need to here, totally a career we were robbed from history), Walt Bellamy, Neil Johnston, Amar'e Stoudemire (i mean AD had defensive issues early on and Amar'e had better playoff results), Anfernee Hardaway (still not in and had more playoff and some peak stats are better). Love and Gobert also have better peak WS stats that AD...AD only made the playoffs once. Also why AD over Cousins? Was 15 really that great for you?
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#14 » by euroleague » Fri Mar 9, 2018 2:28 am

Connie Hawkins career was destroyed by drugs. The drop off wasn't related to the NBA or ABA. He was a cocaine addict in the 70s and drank too much, because he was constantly screwed over by the nba because he was Involved with unsavory people.

I'm not sure how Carmelo/Divac got in over Walton/Mel Daniels. Pretty strange
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#15 » by trex_8063 » Fri Mar 9, 2018 3:30 am

euroleague wrote:Connie Hawkins career was destroyed by drugs. The drop off wasn't related to the NBA or ABA. He was a cocaine addict in the 70s and drank too much, because he was constantly screwed over by the nba because he was Involved with unsavory people.


Source? I've never heard anything about Hawkins and addiction issues. Even doing an internet search for "Connie Hawkins addiction" I can't find any info about that. Are you sure you're not mixing him up with another star (David Thompson, perhaps?)?

Hawkins' drop-off was [as far as I've ever known] related to a knee injury about midway thru the '69 ABA season and subsequent surgery, from which he never recovered to his prior form (as was typical with that type of injury in that era of medicine).
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#16 » by euroleague » Fri Mar 9, 2018 4:22 am

trex_8063 wrote:
euroleague wrote:Connie Hawkins career was destroyed by drugs. The drop off wasn't related to the NBA or ABA. He was a cocaine addict in the 70s and drank too much, because he was constantly screwed over by the nba because he was Involved with unsavory people.


Source? I've never heard anything about Hawkins and addiction issues. Even doing an internet search for "Connie Hawkins addiction" I can't find any info about that. Are you sure you're not mixing him up with another star (David Thompson, perhaps?)?

Hawkins' drop-off was [as far as I've ever known] related to a knee injury about midway thru the '69 ABA season and subsequent surgery, from which he never recovered to his prior form (as was typical with that type of injury in that era of medicine).


Read some biographies on google. His knee injury was also a factor
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#17 » by HeartBreakKid » Fri Mar 9, 2018 4:57 am

dhsilv2 wrote:
HeartBreakKid wrote:I've always been a proponent of high peak players. I also like to take into account non-NBA work if I think the player had NBA level superstar impact else where.

This makes Bill Walton an easy selection for me. I mean even with longevity taken into account, I would rather have 3 years or so of Bill Walton playing 60ish games than Carmelo Anthony.

Dominant two way centers just give your team such a crazy mismatch advantage. His passing, defense, scoring - I'm not sure if another player could have fit the championship blazers like Walton did - maybe Sabonis.


I vote for Bill Walton
My second vote will go to Anthony Davis


Since this year doesn't count for AD.

Why AD over Daniels, Hawkins, Alex Groza (google if you need to here, totally a career we were robbed from history), Walt Bellamy, Neil Johnston, Amar'e Stoudemire (i mean AD had defensive issues early on and Amar'e had better playoff results), Anfernee Hardaway (still not in and had more playoff and some peak stats are better). Love and Gobert also have better peak WS stats that AD...AD only made the playoffs once. Also why AD over Cousins? Was 15 really that great for you?


Why does him making the playoffs matter? He's just as good in 16 and 17 for the most part.

His defensive woes were fixed up last season, and offensively he is a better scorer than all those guys except STAT. He was probably a top 5 player in 2015, and was a top ten player in 16 and 17 - I'm not sure if STAT was ever a top ten player.

Connie Hawkins never really put together a season that looks that great to me. If his ABA seasons were in the 70s it'd be a lot more credible.

I don't know much about Alex Groza.

Neil Johnson is just not a spectacular player to me.

Love flat out just isn't as good as Davis, and never has been - and he hasn't been a star for that much longer either since he had really serious injuries (Davis misses a lot of games, but his game doesn't seem to get affected like Love's does). Gobert? Gobert been good for like 2 seasons, and he wasn't better than Davis last year. He's highly impactful which is why he was a beast in DWS but just having a higher WS doesn't really indicate he is a better player.

I'd consider Mel Daniels and Walt Bellamy. I actually have not thought about Penny, but I suppose I am just convinced that if Davis played with a player as good as Shaq he'd have pretty stellar results. What Penny did in that one season where he didn't have Shaq wasn't anything Davis didn't do.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#18 » by Doctor MJ » Fri Mar 9, 2018 5:10 am

dhsilv2 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:I gotta ask, why Connie Hawkins over Tiny? Or for some other's out there, Mullins, Dumars, DJ, Sharman, or Kemp?

He had a great first year and a half in the ABA, then came to the NBA and dropped off pretty hard. He seems rather odd to me, unless people are higher on the ABA at that time.


I don't really feel like Tiny did anything.

I realize he led a team in points & assists while having the best team ORtg...but their offense was still less effective than whatever offense they were going against. When a team is so offense-focused and still sucks, to me it makes everything fool's gold. If he'd continued after that similarly and led better teams the same way it'd be different, but as is, he's fool's gold.

Hawkins is someone that everyone knows was a superstar-level player. His career is fractured no doubt, but I draft him over Elgin Baylor without any hesitation at all.

Obviously part of the question is how impressive it is to be a man among boys in the early ABA, and there I'd emphasize that Hawkins wasn't the only player like that in those early years, but that Hawkins' overall dominance makes all the others (Hayward, Barry) pale in comparison. He was putting up huge numbers on an utterly dominant team, and his peers from then will talk about how he just commanded professionalism like no one else. One might think he's just flash, but his fundamentals and his BBIQ were very strong.

What about the NBA falloff? Well, Phoenix got WAAAAAAY better when he arrived and he finished 5th in MVP voting. Compared to anyone else we're comparing him to, he showed in the NBA a peak that was quite favorable, and did so despite the fact that by that point his injuries were already a thing.

Edit: I think some of the other guys you mentioned are pretty deserving though. I actually hadn't been thinking of Mullin. He's a good choice.


Just because I can't not bring this up. Tiny was on a team coached by Bob Cousy and he was teammates at the same time with Mike D'Antoni and we're discussing that it was an offensive first team. That has to be the most interesting mix of guys known to be offensive first guy and offensive first minds that we've ever had. And just so it's known I think Tiny was a small but meaningful part of modern basketball's evolution and I think this "thread" of play was a factor. I can't prove it, never heard Mike D comment on him, but I fully believe his influence is greater than people give him credit for. Is that a fair criteria? I dunno but I think it's worth a tie breaker or two.

Anyway I'm still wondering more about why Hawkins and I'll admit he's a guy I'm aware of but don't know enough about (not a shocker given we're around 100 and I legit have 30 or so names in my head who I could consider here). I see the two killer ABA years and then a great first year in the NBA. From there did he really do anything? 3 allstar years that were solid and then he just kinda was around. Tiny by contrast (these are imo a good comp because similar era/crossed paths, Tiny has about 260 more games but both were kinda short lived peaks/primes) had a wonderful and odd 5 year run with Boston where he was a quality starter and for some reason was a 3 time allstar, all nba, and finished 5th and 9th in MVP voting.

You bring up the Hawkins finished 5th in the MVP vote in 70, but given tiny was 5th in 1980, I'm not sold that I should value that vote a lot or you're under selling Tiny a touch here.


As I've said several times, Hawkins has comparable Win Shares to the other guys like Tiny. It make no sense to say "Yeah but aside from his superior peak and his comparable career production despite playing less time, what did he do?", as those facts alone swing the debate to him decisively.

Of course you're entitled to your opinion. If you think Tiny's peak was better than Hawkins' peak, I get why you'd side with him, and that's where we'd have to agree to disagree.

As I've said, leading the best offense just doesn't mean anything to me if on average you're run a less effective offense than whoever you are playing against. When we talk about "offense-oriented team", it goes without saying that the team in question is actually a quality team.

It's also worth noting that Tiny entered the league in 1970 and up until he was on the same team as Larry Bird in 1979, every single season was on a team with a negative SRS, so the idea that anyone was watching he and his team, "Wow, now that's how we should play basketball" just isn't realistic. Tiny the star lost. It's what he did. He was a lovable loser up until the team he got Bird, and then the next year the team had one of the most dramatic improvements in the history of the NBA. He then continued to play in Boston until 1983, after which the Celtics got better.

In the end, I see Tiny as not someone I want as a star, and not particularly well suited to being a role player.

Re: MVP voting. I didn't bring up Hawkins MVP voting to prove to you he was a good player, I did it to emphasize that it's wrong to argue that he wasn't seen as a star in the NBA. Certainly though if you really believe Tiny deserved to be seen as the 5th best player in the league that year, then I'd expect you to vote him over Hawkins.

dhsilv2 wrote:Anyway I don't want to argue Tiny vs Connie that much (I do a bit because I'm like the worst Tiny supporter ever, I keep wanting to vote for him, but keep finding alternatives), but better want to see the pitch for hawkins given he doesn't have a lot of playoff clout. He has 1 NBA all nba. His claim to fame is really as a rookie in the ABA which already is a huge red flag for me. And I guess for the last question why not just go with Mel Daniels who has a better career aba record and honestly similar career games/value with a bit more awards?


Again, look at the Win Shares man. Hawkins has considerably more overall Win Shares than Daniels, and everyone knows he was a better player at his best.

I don't how to get through to people this stuff. All people seem to be thinking is "Oh, Hawkins only played a fraction of a normal career.", and while I don't disagree with that, he still has the cumulative productivity stats to match up just fine with the other guys being discussed. If people are really willing to knock Hawkins the player cool, but the longevity-based arguments against him fall flat at this low level of competition.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#19 » by dhsilv2 » Fri Mar 9, 2018 12:55 pm

HeartBreakKid wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
HeartBreakKid wrote:I've always been a proponent of high peak players. I also like to take into account non-NBA work if I think the player had NBA level superstar impact else where.

This makes Bill Walton an easy selection for me. I mean even with longevity taken into account, I would rather have 3 years or so of Bill Walton playing 60ish games than Carmelo Anthony.

Dominant two way centers just give your team such a crazy mismatch advantage. His passing, defense, scoring - I'm not sure if another player could have fit the championship blazers like Walton did - maybe Sabonis.


I vote for Bill Walton
My second vote will go to Anthony Davis


Since this year doesn't count for AD.

Why AD over Daniels, Hawkins, Alex Groza (google if you need to here, totally a career we were robbed from history), Walt Bellamy, Neil Johnston, Amar'e Stoudemire (i mean AD had defensive issues early on and Amar'e had better playoff results), Anfernee Hardaway (still not in and had more playoff and some peak stats are better). Love and Gobert also have better peak WS stats that AD...AD only made the playoffs once. Also why AD over Cousins? Was 15 really that great for you?


Why does him making the playoffs matter? He's just as good in 16 and 17 for the most part.

His defensive woes were fixed up last season, and offensively he is a better scorer than all those guys except STAT. He was probably a top 5 player in 2015, and was a top ten player in 16 and 17 - I'm not sure if STAT was ever a top ten player.

Connie Hawkins never really put together a season that looks that great to me. If his ABA seasons were in the 70s it'd be a lot more credible.

I don't know much about Alex Groza.

Neil Johnson is just not a spectacular player to me.

Love flat out just isn't as good as Davis, and never has been - and he hasn't been a star for that much longer either since he had really serious injuries (Davis misses a lot of games, but his game doesn't seem to get affected like Love's does). Gobert? Gobert been good for like 2 seasons, and he wasn't better than Davis last year. He's highly impactful which is why he was a beast in DWS but just having a higher WS doesn't really indicate he is a better player.

I'd consider Mel Daniels and Walt Bellamy. I actually have not thought about Penny, but I suppose I am just convinced that if Davis played with a player as good as Shaq he'd have pretty stellar results. What Penny did in that one season where he didn't have Shaq wasn't anything Davis didn't do.


The playoffs matter in that if a player is having an all time great peak (and I assume you're basing your vote for davis on his peak), I'd expect the team to at least make the playoffs. Certainly he has had team issues and his coach imo is a moron, but none the less since this year is no part of the project, 15 is the only year Davis seemed to have the kind of impact needed to really move wins and losses. All the other players I listed imo at least seemed to do that more so in their peak seasons. That isn't to say they are better choices here, but that they had peaks that lead to more wins.
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Re: RealGM 2017 Top 100 #98 

Post#20 » by dhsilv2 » Fri Mar 9, 2018 1:05 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
I don't really feel like Tiny did anything.

I realize he led a team in points & assists while having the best team ORtg...but their offense was still less effective than whatever offense they were going against. When a team is so offense-focused and still sucks, to me it makes everything fool's gold. If he'd continued after that similarly and led better teams the same way it'd be different, but as is, he's fool's gold.

Hawkins is someone that everyone knows was a superstar-level player. His career is fractured no doubt, but I draft him over Elgin Baylor without any hesitation at all.

Obviously part of the question is how impressive it is to be a man among boys in the early ABA, and there I'd emphasize that Hawkins wasn't the only player like that in those early years, but that Hawkins' overall dominance makes all the others (Hayward, Barry) pale in comparison. He was putting up huge numbers on an utterly dominant team, and his peers from then will talk about how he just commanded professionalism like no one else. One might think he's just flash, but his fundamentals and his BBIQ were very strong.

What about the NBA falloff? Well, Phoenix got WAAAAAAY better when he arrived and he finished 5th in MVP voting. Compared to anyone else we're comparing him to, he showed in the NBA a peak that was quite favorable, and did so despite the fact that by that point his injuries were already a thing.

Edit: I think some of the other guys you mentioned are pretty deserving though. I actually hadn't been thinking of Mullin. He's a good choice.


Just because I can't not bring this up. Tiny was on a team coached by Bob Cousy and he was teammates at the same time with Mike D'Antoni and we're discussing that it was an offensive first team. That has to be the most interesting mix of guys known to be offensive first guy and offensive first minds that we've ever had. And just so it's known I think Tiny was a small but meaningful part of modern basketball's evolution and I think this "thread" of play was a factor. I can't prove it, never heard Mike D comment on him, but I fully believe his influence is greater than people give him credit for. Is that a fair criteria? I dunno but I think it's worth a tie breaker or two.

Anyway I'm still wondering more about why Hawkins and I'll admit he's a guy I'm aware of but don't know enough about (not a shocker given we're around 100 and I legit have 30 or so names in my head who I could consider here). I see the two killer ABA years and then a great first year in the NBA. From there did he really do anything? 3 allstar years that were solid and then he just kinda was around. Tiny by contrast (these are imo a good comp because similar era/crossed paths, Tiny has about 260 more games but both were kinda short lived peaks/primes) had a wonderful and odd 5 year run with Boston where he was a quality starter and for some reason was a 3 time allstar, all nba, and finished 5th and 9th in MVP voting.

You bring up the Hawkins finished 5th in the MVP vote in 70, but given tiny was 5th in 1980, I'm not sold that I should value that vote a lot or you're under selling Tiny a touch here.


As I've said several times, Hawkins has comparable Win Shares to the other guys like Tiny. It make no sense to say "Yeah but aside from his superior peak and his comparable career production despite playing less time, what did he do?", as those facts alone swing the debate to him decisively.

Of course you're entitled to your opinion. If you think Tiny's peak was better than Hawkins' peak, I get why you'd side with him, and that's where we'd have to agree to disagree.

As I've said, leading the best offense just doesn't mean anything to me if on average you're run a less effective offense than whoever you are playing against. When we talk about "offense-oriented team", it goes without saying that the team in question is actually a quality team.

It's also worth noting that Tiny entered the league in 1970 and up until he was on the same team as Larry Bird in 1979, every single season was on a team with a negative SRS, so the idea that anyone was watching he and his team, "Wow, now that's how we should play basketball" just isn't realistic. Tiny the star lost. It's what he did. He was a lovable loser up until the team he got Bird, and then the next year the team had one of the most dramatic improvements in the history of the NBA. He then continued to play in Boston until 1983, after which the Celtics got better.

In the end, I see Tiny as not someone I want as a star, and not particularly well suited to being a role player.

Re: MVP voting. I didn't bring up Hawkins MVP voting to prove to you he was a good player, I did it to emphasize that it's wrong to argue that he wasn't seen as a star in the NBA. Certainly though if you really believe Tiny deserved to be seen as the 5th best player in the league that year, then I'd expect you to vote him over Hawkins.

dhsilv2 wrote:Anyway I don't want to argue Tiny vs Connie that much (I do a bit because I'm like the worst Tiny supporter ever, I keep wanting to vote for him, but keep finding alternatives), but better want to see the pitch for hawkins given he doesn't have a lot of playoff clout. He has 1 NBA all nba. His claim to fame is really as a rookie in the ABA which already is a huge red flag for me. And I guess for the last question why not just go with Mel Daniels who has a better career aba record and honestly similar career games/value with a bit more awards?


Again, look at the Win Shares man. Hawkins has considerably more overall Win Shares than Daniels, and everyone knows he was a better player at his best.

I don't how to get through to people this stuff. All people seem to be thinking is "Oh, Hawkins only played a fraction of a normal career.", and while I don't disagree with that, he still has the cumulative productivity stats to match up just fine with the other guys being discussed. If people are really willing to knock Hawkins the player cool, but the longevity-based arguments against him fall flat at this low level of competition.


WS is a great metric, but I can't see considering ABA ws and nba WS to be the same. Connie got nearly 30 career WS in his two ABA seasons. That's 40% of his career value. So if we discount that at all, that would swing WS in Tiny's favor.

As for Daniels, we could go the opposite direction. Though I'd point out most of his career is without a full box score so WS might be over or underrating vs what it would with the full box score. I was somewhat assuming he was a decent shot block, perhaps I'm off?

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