cecilthesheep wrote:liamliam1234 wrote:cecilthesheep wrote:1990 Nuggets (3 games): 108.0 RS, 105.2 series, -2.8
1990 Trail Blazers (7 games): 110.5 RS, 107.2 series, -3.3
1991 Warriors (4 games): 111.9 RS, 111.7 series, -0.2
1993 Trail Blazers (4 games): 108.3 RS, 105.1 series, -3.2
1993 Suns (6 games): 113.3 RS, 109.9 series, -3.4
1994 Jazz (4 games): 108.6 RS, 110.6 series, +2.0
1995 Nuggets (3 games): 109.1 RS, 103.1 series, -6.0
1995 Lakers (6 games): 109.1 RS, 97.9 series, -11.2 (!)
1995 Rockets (6 games): 109.7 RS, 110.6 series, +0.9 (although we've covered how they added Clyde)
1996 Suns (4 games): 110.3 RS, 109.3 series, -1.0
1996 Jazz (6 games): 113.3 RS, 114.1 series, +0.8
And the one year where he's hurt for the playoffs, this happens:
1992 Suns (3 games): 112.1 RS, 120.7 series, +8.6
It looks like a pretty consistent impact to me. If we average all those series, weighted by how many games each one took, Robinson's Spurs slowed their opponents' offenses in the playoffs by nearly 2.6 points per 100, with only one increase of more than 1 point and two complete slaughters in '95.
Thanks, those are good statistics to provide. However, I do want to be clear that the contention is not that Robinson was outright bad on defence during his prime playoff runs. I also think it is important to remember that we are discussing him comparatively, not in isolation. How do those numbers compare with Ewing, Mourning, or Dikembe?
Dikembe at his offensive peak was nothing close to even D-Rob's bad offensive moments imo; his defense was undeniably on par with anyone's, but I don't think he merits this conversation quite yet. Here's Ewing from his age 24 to 30 seasons:
'88 Celtics (4 games): 115.4 RS, 117.3 series, +1.9
'89 76ers (3 games): 113.0 RS, 107.5 series, -5.5
'89 Bulls (6 games): 109.1 RS, 115.8 series, +6.7
'90 Celtics (5 games): 112.0 RS, 119.3 series, +7.3
'90 Pistons (5 games): 109.9 RS, 114.5 series, +4.6
'91 Bulls (3 games): 114.6 RS, 116.1 series, +1.5
'92 Pistons (5 games): 107.5 RS, 97.6 series, -9.9
'92 Bulls (7 games): 115.5 RS, 111.2 series, -4.3
'93 Pacers (4 games): 111.9 RS, 111.7 series, -0.2
'93 Hornets (5 games): 109.5 RS, 100.5 series, -9.0
'93 Bulls (6 games): 112.9 RS, 112.4 series, -0.5
Overall weighted average: -0.6, a fraction of Robinson's. Now, I bet this probably gets a lot better if you extend through Ewing's remaining All-Star years, like quite a bit better. I'd do that, but frankly the amount of pages I have to click through to get these stats is wearing me down. However I also think it's important to note that the Knicks had other defensive impact players like Starks, Oakley, etc. What great defenders did the Spurs have but Robinson? Was one year of old Rodman the best it got?
For Mourning, I just took his first seven playoff years, as his big injury came at age 30:
'93 Celtics (4 games): 108.7 RS, 108.7 series, 0.0
'93 Knicks (5 games): 106.1 RS, 104.9 series, -1.2
'95 Bulls (4 games): 109.5 RS, 112.2 series, +2.7
'96 Bulls (3 games): 115.2 RS, 119.2 series, +4.0
'97 Magic (5 games): 105.6 RS, 100.2 series, -4.4
'97 Knicks (7 games): 104.4 RS, 97.7 series, -6.7
'97 Bulls (5 games): 114.4 RS, 104.0 series, -10.4 (wow)
'98 Knicks (5 games): 103.0 RS, 105.3 series, +2.2
'99 Knicks (5 games): 98.6 RS, 103.4 series, +4.8
'00 Pistons (3 games): 107.3 RS, 89.2 series, -18.1 (ok, WOW)
'00 Knicks (7 games): 102.5 RS, 97.9 series, -4.6
Average, -2.9. Very very good. I'm not much of a believer in his offense even compared to Robinson's, but maybe I should be thinking about him more.
I'm a bit disappointed in this post Cecil, as you're usually a bit more thorough and precise with posting things like this. You say that the overall weighted defensive showing of Ewing's Knicks through the 92-93 season was but "a fraction" of Robinson's, before summarily glossing over the fact that "it probably gets a lot better if you extend through the rest of Ewing's career"......Gee....ya think? I feel like you shouldn't have posted incomplete data on Ewing that leaves out the entire back half of his career after he became a much more intelligent defender (despite being less athletic) and switched playing styles altogether to one that was more defensive oriented. By focusing primarily on the earliest of Ewing's playoff series, where 1.) He had a weaker supporting cast than Robinson had in his first few years (they had about equal supporting casts by 91-92) and 2.) The average regular season rank for the oRTG of Ewing's playoff opponents for the years you listed was 6th. The average regular season rank for the oRTG of Robinson's playoff opponents for the years you listed was 8th (8.3 to be precise), it appears falsely framed. Ewing had a more difficult task in so far as he was trying to stop more potent offenses than Robinson was in just the years you cited. But lets extend the numbers for Ewing's entire Knick career and see what we find....
For starters.....here are Robinson's pre-Duncan numbers again
Robinson
==================
89-90 Nuggets (Reg Season oRTG = 108) 14th in league (Series oRTG = 105.2) = 3 games (won series) Diff = -2.8
89-90 Blazers (Reg Season oRTG = 110.5) 9th in league (Series oRTG = 107.2) = 7 games (lost series) Diff = -3.3
90-91 Warriors (Reg Season oRTG = 111.9) 6th in league (Series oRTG = 111.7) = 4 games (lost series) Diff = -0.2
*92-93 Blazers (Reg Season oRTG = 108.3) 14th in league (Series oRTG = 105.1) = 4 games (won series) Diff = -3.2
* (if we exclude game 1 where Drexler did not play then (Series oRTG = 108.5 in games 2-4) Diff = +0.2
92-93 Suns (Reg Season oRTG = 113.3) 1st in league (Series oRTG = 109.9) = 6 games (lost series) Diff = -3.4
93-94 Jazz (Reg Season oRTG = 108.6) 7th in league (Series oRTG = 110.6) = 4 games (lost series) Diff = +2
94-95 Nuggets (Reg Season oRTG = 109.1) 11th in league (Series oRTG = 103.1) = 3 games (won series) Diff = -6
94-95 Lakers (Reg Season oRTG = 109.1) 12th in league (Series oRTG = 97.9) = 6 games (won series) Diff = -11.2
94-95 Rockets (Reg Season oRTG = 109.7) 7th in league (Series oRTG = 110.6) = 6 games (lost series) Diff = +0.9
95-96 Suns (Reg season oRTG = 110.3) 8th in league (Series oRTG = 109.3) = 4 games (won series) Diff = -1
95-96 Jazz (Reg Season oRTG = 113.3) 2nd in league (Series oRTG = 114.1) = 6 games (lost series) Diff = +0.8
Avg oRTG faced: 110.2
Avg oRTG rank faced: 8.3
Avg oRTG diff = -2.57
Avg oRTG diff (adjusted for Drexler missing game 1 of the 93 Portland series) = -2.36
Faced the #1 oRTG in the league: one time
Lost all 3 series where his opponent's oRTG for their playoff series increased from their regular season oRTG
Now here's Patrick.....
Ewing
==========
87-88: Celtics (Reg Season oRTG = 115.4), 1st in league (Series oRTG = 117.3) = 4 games (lost series) Diff = +1.9
88-89: Sixers (Reg Season oRTG = 113.1), 3rd in league (Series oRTG = 107.5) = 3 games (won series) Diff = -5.6
88-89: Bulls (Reg Season oRTG = 109.1), 12th in league (Series oRTG = 115.8) = 6 games (lost series) Diff = +6.7
89-90: Celtics (Reg Season oRTG = 112), 6th in league (Series oRTG = 119.3) = 5 games (won series) Diff = +7.3
89-90: Pistons (Reg Season oRTG = 109.9) 11th in league (Series oRTG = 114.5) = 5 games (lost series) Diff = +4.6
90-91: Bulls (Reg Season oRTG = 114.6) 1st in league (Series oRTG = 116.1) = 3 games (lost series) Diff = +1.5
91-92: Pistons (Reg Season oRTG = 107.5) 15th in league (Series oRTG = 97.6) = 5 games (won series) Diff = -9.9
91-92 Bulls (Reg Season oRTG = 115.5) 1st in league (Series oRTG = 111.2) = 7 games (lost series) Diff = -4.3
92-93 Pacers (Reg Season oRTG = 111.9) 5th in league (Series oRTG = 111.7) = 4 games (won series) Diff = -0.2
92-93 Hornets (Reg Season oRTG = 109.5) 9th in league (Series oRTG = 100.5) = 5 games (won series) Diff = -9
92-93 Bulls (Reg Season oRTG = 112.9) 2nd in league (Series oRTG = 112.4) = 6 games (lost series) Diff = -0.5
93-94 Nets (Reg Season oRTG = 107.2) 13th in league (Series oRTG = 95.9) = 4 games (won series) Diff = -11.3
93-94 Bulls (Reg Season oRTG = 106.1) 14th in league (Series oRTG = 106.7) = 7 games (won series) Diff = +0.6
93-94 Pacers (Reg Season oRTG = 107.8) 11th in league (Series oRTG = 100.1) = 7 games (won series) Diff = -7.7
93-94 Rockets (Reg Season oRTG = 105.9) 15th in league (Series oRTG = 100.1) = 7 games (lost series) Diff = -5.8
94-95 Cavs (Reg Season oRTG = 105.3) 22nd in league (Series oRTG = 97.6) = 4 games (won series) Diff = -7.7
94-95 Pacers (Reg Season oRTG = 109.6) 8th in league (Series oRTG = 106.9) = 7 games (lost series) Diff = -2.7
95-96 Cavs (Reg Season oRTG = 109.9) 10th in league (Series oRTG = 99.9) = 3 games (won series) Diff = -10
95-96 Bulls (Reg Season oRTG = 115.2) 1st in league (Series oRTG = 105.2) = 5 games (lost series) Diff = -10
96-97 Hornets (Reg Season oRTG = 110.9) 4th in league (Series oRTG = 110.4) = 3 games (won series) Diff = -0.5
96-97 Heat (Reg Season oRTG = 106.8) 12th in league (Series oRTG = 99.2) = 7 games (lost series) Diff = -7.6
97-98 Pacers (Reg Season oRTG = 108.4) 4th in league (Series oRTG = 106.5) = 5 games (lost series) Diff = -1.9
98-99 Heat (Reg Season oRTG = 104.7) 9th in league (Series oRTG = 98.4) = 5 games (won series) Diff = -6.3
98-99 Hawks (Reg Season oRTG = 100.5) 19th in league (Series oRTG = 89.3) = 4 games (won series) Diff = -11.2
*98-99 Pacers (Reg Season oRTG = 108.7) 1st in league (Series oRTG = 106.15) = 2 games (of 6) (won series) Diff = -2.6
*Ewing played in games 1 and 2 of this series, before injuring himself at the end of game 2 and missing the rest of the playoffs. The series oRTG here is for the 2 games in which he played.
99-00 Raptors (Reg Season oRTG = 104.7) 15th in league (Series oRTG = 98.1) = 3 games (won series) Diff = -6.6
99-00 Heat (Reg Season oRTG = 104.5) 17th in league (Series oRTG = 96.9) = 7 games (won series) Diff = -7.6
99-00 Pacers (Reg Season oRTG = 108.5) 1st in league (Series oRTG = 109.5) = 6 games (lost series) Diff = +1
Avg oRTG faced: 109.2
Avg oRTG rank faced: 8.6
Avg oRTG diff: -3.68
Faced #1 regular season oRTG: six times
Won 2 series where his playoff opponent's oRTG for their series increased from the regular season
So we see that despite Ewing's entire Knick playoff record, and Robinson's entire pre-Duncan playoff record has them facing about the same strength of offensive opponent on average, by both actual oRTG (110.2 to 109.2) and oRTG rank relative to the league (8.6 to 8.3, or, both roughly faced the 8th best oRTG on average), Ewing comes out more than a full point better in oRTG point differential (-3.68 to -2.57), and if we use the adjusted difference that accounts for Drexler missing part of the 93 series, it's (-3.68 to -2.36).
Not only does looking at the complete picture show us that Ewing's average playoff oRTG differential wasn't "a fraction" of Robinson's as you claimed....but rather, his -3.68 mark is outright
better than both Robinson (adjusted or unadjusted)
and Mourning's. And if we just look at the playoff point differentials for Ewing during the Riley/Van Gundy years it becomes much more pronounced, but we don't have to only look at the Riley/Van Gundy years. Ewing still comes out ahead even when we include the Stu Jackson, Rick Pitino, and John MacLeod years (by a comfortable margin).
Furthermore, Robinson's best point differential in any given series was the 95 Lakers at -11.2. Ewing's best mark of -11.3 (against the Nets in 94) not only beats this, but he has another differential equal to Robinson's best, of -11.2 vs. the Hawks in 99 (with none of the same teammates!). In fact, after the Lakers series in 95, Robinson's next best single season oRTG point differential was a -6, against the Nuggets that same year. Ewing has
TWELVE (!!!!) single series that are better than Robinson's second best of -6, six of which are -9 or better. Also, Robinson's Spurs held the league best oRTG Phoenix Suns to a -3.6 in their 93 playoff series. Impressive for sure. Now let's note that Ewing's Knicks held the league best oRTG Chicago Bulls to a -4.3 in their 1992 playoff series, and the league best oRTG 72 win 1996 Chicago Bulls to a -10 in their 1996 playoff series.
Of course, Robinson starts to look better as a playoff defender once Duncan arrives, but Ewing never had the luxury of playing with another top 10 player so it's only fair that we look at their results when both Ewing and Robinson were the most important players on their teams. So the idea that Robinson was vastly superior as a playoff defensive anchor to Ewing just doesn't seem to hold water. And, if you've been reading the previous threads regarding Robinson and his pre-Duncan playoff foibles, you'll remember that Ewing was going up against
much better playoff defenses on a yearly basis than Drob, and still performing better offensively. So....Robinson's offense suffered more against easier defenses.....Robinson's defense (in the context that you have presented: regular season to playoff oRTG differentials) is worse despite them both playing relatively equal offensive units....so what exactly is the argument for pre-Duncan Robinson being a better playoff performer (or even a better player period) than Ewing agian?
Oh, that's right....
cecilthesheep wrote:
However I also think it's important to note that the Knicks had other defensive impact players like Starks, Oakley, etc. What great defenders did the Spurs have but Robinson? Was one year of old Rodman the best it got?
As usual, people want to assign the lion's share of that defensive impact to the schemes and style of play, to his coaches, and/or his teammates instead of giving it to, you know, the only single person (player or coach) who was there for every one of these seasons.
FWIW, Rodman was 1st team All D in 95 and 2nd team All D in 94 (also for the Spurs). Starks was 2nd team all D in 94. Oakley was 1st team all D in 94 and 2nd team all D in 98. It wasn't like either Ewing or Robinson had a roster overflowing with perennial All D selections as teammates. Starks had a positive DBPM once his entire career....a 0.2 in 93-94. Robinson had SIX teammates playing at least 15mpg with a DBPM greater than that in the 1991 season alone. He had four teammates playing at least 14 mpg per game in 1995 with a DBPM above Starks career high. Oakley and Mason were legitimately great defensive players, and while Starks was
good he certainly wasn't Bruce Bowen. Ewing did have more defensive minded teammates over the course of both of their careers, Robinson had more offensive help to balance that out.
As for Oakley and Mason...Mason was no longer a Knick by 96-97 and Oakley was traded in 98-99. Ewing's avg playoff oRTG differential after Mason was traded:
-4.83 (!!!), and Ewing's avg playoff oRTG differential after Oakley was traded:
-5.5 (!!!!).....
but yea, let's give all that credit to Starks, Oakley and Mason.
And on the topic of credit and blame....if we are going to place all of the blame on Rodman for the Spurs losing to the Rockets in 95, are we also going to give him any of the credit for that -11.2 differential vs the Lakers or the -6 differential vs the Nuggets that same postseason where he played well in both of those series?