#27 - GOAT peaks project (2019)

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#27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#1 » by LA Bird » Sat Sep 28, 2019 6:51 pm

1) Michael Jordan 1990-91
2) LeBron James 2012-13
3) Wilt Chamberlain 1966-67
4) Shaquille O'Neal 1999-00
5) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar 1976-77
6) Tim Duncan 2002-03
7) Larry Bird 1985-86
8) Bill Russell 1963-64
9) Hakeem Olajuwon 1993-94
10) Magic Johnson 1986-87
11) Kevin Garnett 2003-04
12) Julius Erving 1975-76
13) Bill Walton 1976-77
14) Oscar Robertson 1963-64
15) Stephen Curry 2015-16
16) Dwyane Wade 2008-09
17) Jerry West 1965-66
18) David Robinson 1994-95
19) Dirk Nowitzki 2010-11
20) Kobe Bryant 2007-08
21) Tracy McGrady 2002-03
22) Moses Malone 1982-83
23) Patrick Ewing 1989-90
24) Kevin Durant 2013-14
25) Russell Westbrook 2016-17
26) Charles Barkley 1992-93

Please include at least 1 sentence of reasoning for each of your 3 picks. A simple list of names will not be counted.
If you're repeating votes from previous rounds, copy and paste the reasoning because "see previous thread for explanation" will not be counted as a valid vote.

Extended deadline: 3pm October 2 Eastern Time
The deadline will be extended by 24 hours up to twice if there is less than 12 votes or there is a tie for first.


The Voting System:

Everyone gives their 1st choice (4.5 points), 2nd choice (3 points), and 3rd choice (2 points). Highest point-total wins the round.
You can use your 3 choices to vote for more than 1 season of the same player (if you think that the best 3 seasons among the players left belong all to the same player, nothing is stopping you from using all you 3 choices on that player), but you can't continue voting for other seasons of that player once he wins and gets his spot. The final list will be 1 season per player.

Thank you for your participation!

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liamliam1234 wrote:.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#2 » by liamliam1234 » Sat Sep 28, 2019 8:21 pm

Mm, that was kind-of a disappointment. But maybe everyone voting for Barkley because of his offensive impact can finally turn their attention to the guy who had an actual top five offensive peak/career.

1. 2019 Kawhi Leonard
Elevated perpetual second-round exit/chokers into a title team on back of one of the most impressive scoring runs in NBA history (almost certainly top three for a title-winning season). Strong leadership, major offensive load, excellent clutch performances. One of the weakest modern title leaders, sure... but still a title-leader. And now that Moses is in, the list of peak players to achieve that is exceedingly small. Winning a title is hard, and elevating in the playoffs is hard, and elevating in an elimination (or near elimination) scenario is hard, and every time Kawhi rose to the occasion, did as asked, and succeeded. That has consistently been worth a lot to me, and it is not different here. I understand some reticence over his regular season (which was still solid!), but I feel like his ability to outplay Giannis in four straight wins after the Raptors went down 2-0 is perfectly emblematic of why postseason performance simply is more meaningful.
Kawhi had a +13.8 overall postseason net rating, and specifically had a +21.7 offensive postseason net rating despite facing basically the toughest defensive slate possible (without, you know, playing the Raptors). As with all on/off metrics, it is exaggerated by the poor offensive performance of his teammates, but considering it happened in a championship run, that exaggeration is less of a concern (and it also is not too radically off his 2017 postseason offensive impact anyway). I think he pretty clearly was no worse than the third best offensive player in the entire postseason (ahead of Harden and Lillard), and looking at the quality of defensive opposition, I would comfortably take his offence over Jokic as well.
Further discussion available in prior threads.
2. 2007 Steve Nash
3. 2005 Steve Nash

Choosing 2007 over 2005 because I (and his team) value the passing peak of the 2007 postseason more than the scoring peak of the 2005 postseason (and either way he lost to the would-be-champion Spurs). Choosing both over 2006 because that postseason felt comparatively less impressive, with its argument mostly stemming from individual shooting efficiency and on/off impact (which makes sense, given the state of the team that year). And I really hope other Nash voters do the same. :)
A far, far more thorough explanation of his value, especially in 2007, is linked in the below spoiler:
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#3 » by E-Balla » Sat Sep 28, 2019 9:13 pm

1. 1975 Bob McAdoo -
Spoiler:
Buffalo won 49 games and was 5th in SRS in 75. McAdoo [led] the 4th (+2.1) [ranked offense]. McAdoo just so happened to play in the East (where 49 wins got them the 3rd seed and a matchup with Washington in their only round).

McAdoo was the follow up to Dolph Schayes (who was a 90% freethrow shooter in the 60s... insane) and the 2nd great shooting big man. Seriously this is his 50 point game 4 against Washington the day he was announced MVP and he only scores off 8 combined dunks/layups (I'm counting shot attempts he was fouled on too).



Most of his jumpers were either contested turnarounds or out near the 3 point line (21+ feet out). McAdoo was basically Dirk before Dirk and when watching him play it's not hard to imagine him being as accomplished as Dirk if he played in a league more suited to outside play. He could handle the ball but it wasn't until 76 he became a better ball handler and playmaker but his jumper never fell as much as in 75 so he was never as effective overall. Defensively he was a quick guy with the ability to hit the boards hard and decent shot blocking ability. He's a natural PF but played C and was able to hold his own leading Buffalo to an average defense.

[In the playoffs] McAdoo scored 34+ in all 7 games against Washington's #1 defense averaging 37.4 ppg on 53 TS% while leading a +5.6 offense. Meanwhile the Braves defense played bad, but not horrible so I don't have a reason to believe McAdoo played bad on that end in a series where he averaged 2.7 bpg, 9.9 DRBs a night, and 0.9 spg. They had no business going to 7 but they did and they did it with Randy Smith and Jim McMillan being the only other above averaged players on the team.


2. 75 Barry -
Spoiler:
Golden State won 48 games and was 4th. Barry led the 1st ranked offense (+2.7). Barry [played] in the West (where 48 wins got them the 1st seed and they only saw Washington in the Finals).

Rick Barry on the other hand is arguably the best jump shooting wing of the pre 3 point line era. Not the most accurate shooter, but in terms of getting his shot off he was easily #1 and a precursor to the Kobe Bryant, late MJ style of play. He started off as a scoring forward averaging 31/10/3 in his first 2 NBA seasons before getting shipped to the ABA where he kept that same role in Oakland and Washington. Because of the lack of strength in the league at the time and the increased spacing he was the most efficient player by far in the ABA. He then switched teams and finally became a point forward and his efficiency plummeted. Barry was never inefficient going forward but he was never well above average efficiency in the point forward role because he was a bit of a chucker known for taking many pullup jumpers. He was a very good passer placing top 6 in assists 4 times (same amount as LeBron to compare). I'd easily put him in any list of top 3 passing SFs alongside Bird, and Hill. Around this time he became a 90-94% FT shooter too (he shot 92% on FTs from 75 on) and in 1980 as he was falling out of the league, old, and only averaging 12 ppg he was 2nd in 3s made and attempted while shooting 33% from deep in only 25 mpg. Brian Taylor, Downtown Freddie Brown, and Larry Bird were probably the only shooters better league wide. In 75 he also led the league in steals and while he wasn't known for his defense he was a pest on that end causing turnovers and creating easy buckets. Early in his career he was a clear negative on that end but in the mid 70s he started playing defense and it benefitted him tremendously.

The real reason I have so much love for Barry is his passing though. He's Ginobili like with the ball in his hands consistently making amazing plays. This is from ElGee's top 40 list but it's a compilation of Barry's passes in one game.



According to ElGee he only missed one opportunity to make a high quality pass all game. Basically in the modern game I see him as a Manu Ginobili with Kobe's approach to the game.

Barry didn't play as well offensively as McAdoo but he still averaged 29.5 ppg on 52.2 TS% in a very low scoring series alongside 3.5 spg while sweeping Washington to win the NBA Finals. This is especially notable because outside of ROTY Jamaal Wilkes and Clifford Ray they had no other above average players on the roster. He was so much better than the next guy on his team he played 40% more minutes than them. Alongside Hakeem and Dirk, Barry is seen as the player most see as one of the few players to drag a not that good team to a Finals win.


3. 99 Alonzo Mourning -
Spoiler:
I've been alluding to how great and underrated Zo is but I haven't made a full post on it yet. It's pretty odd that looking around you can find write ups either here or from blogs about other players. There's nothing on Zo. I mean articles from professionals from back in the day exist but for some reason I can't find any breakdowns on Zo which is a shame because his impact was tremendous and at his peak he was on the same level as young Duncan, arguably better than Malone who barely won MVP over him, and was comparable to Shaq at the time (who played no defense).

Offensively Zo had a basic post game, and a pretty reliable jumper out to 15 feet (it was shaky outside of that). That's basically all (of course he had the signature Georgetown running hook like Ewing did but it was meh). Most of his points were gained due to his immense physical advantages. His turnaround was money because of the speed of his spin, he got deep position easily with his strength and finished strong, and his faceup drives worked because he had a jumper you had to play while having one of the best first steps for any C ever (Dwight comes to mind as faster). Zo also wanted it, and he played like it. Got him to the line often and got him a decent amount of putbacks. He was undersized but I think that played to his advantage more especially in the post Shaq era. He was in a league environment where teams kept a big plodder on the floor or on the roster and when matched up with one he was unstoppable. He didn't even need his jumper against some of the bigger guys in league history.



His handles weren't great, he wasn't a great mover laterally, he didn't have spin moves or a strong drop step, but he still managed to be a 19-23 ppg scorer on between +5-7 rTS% each of the first 8 years of his career and a 20 ppg on 55 TS% guy in the playoffs.

He didn't pass well at all but Miami in both 98 and 99 had a +2.5ish offense. They had a +2.4 offense in 98 against NY and a +0.9 in 99 against them (that's slight underrated because NY's defense came alive in the playoffs). All in all Zo wasn't great but he was definitely a good enough first option to give you a top 10 offense that would hold in the playoffs against some tough ass squads in tough ass series (arguably the toughest series' ever) if he was the centerpiece with a very good PG and decent third scorer (Tim and Mash).

Overall he averaged 20.1/11.0/1.6 with 3.9 bpg on +5.3 rTS% with a 107 ORTG in the regular season and 21.6/8.2/0.8 with 2.8 blocks and 1.6 steals per game on 57.1 TS% (+8.3 rTS%) with a 106 ORTG (+8 rORTG).

Defensively he's on the shortlist of the GOATs. He was DPOY back to back in 99 and 2000 and watching him it's obvious why. He was someone that chased shots but didn't seem to foul because his jump speed was so fast. Next to Bill Russell he's the most effective shot blocker ever. One thing I always noticed watching Zo is he kept the ball inbounds. If his back was to the basket he went straight up and only flicked his wrist. If he was behind the play he pinned it on the backboard. Either way he always found a way to keep it in play and I'm taking him as the best rim protector ever next to Deke. In this clip you can see exactly how fast he gets off the floor and how effortless it is for him.



His only weakness was his lack of height. Unlike Ben Wallace who seemed to be able to overcome his height issues Zo was not a great man defender at all. Usually this isn't an issue but Zo played at the same time as numbers 4, 9, 18, and 23 on this list. The 4 guys with the highest single season PPG totals for any true C outside of Wilt and Kareem. In these clips you can see how Shaq dominates him at both player's arguable peaks.



Hakeem (who was also undersized - he was listed at 7 feet but is barely taller than Dwight Howard who is 6-9 barefoot and 6-10 in sneakers) is the only one of those centers Zo played well and that's because with his speed and power he was the perfect counter to him. I'd argue no one ever played Hakeem as well as Zo did in the few times I've seen a game featuring the two. Overall he's a 10/10 rim defender, 10/10 help defender, and maybe a 7/10 man defender that still led -4 to -6 defenses at his best.

As far as the season goes it was a lockout but Miami won 33 of the 50 games, going 1-3 without Zo, and lost in a major first round upset to the eventual NBA Finalists while they still had their best player (because Ewing got hurt and they still made the Finals without him). I think that result is why this year is overlooked because Zo played amazing in that series while his team collapsed.

Zo averaged 21.6 ppg on 57.1 TS% like mentioned before but his team? Outside of him they scored 57.4 ppg on 47 TS%. Tim Hardaway went from averaging 17.4 ppg and 7.2 apg on 51.1 TS% with a 13.8 TOV% and 105 ORTG to 9.0 ppg and 6.4 apg on 35.7 TS% with a 22.2 TOV% and 74 ORTG in the series against NY. Without Zo dominating NY sweeps them instead of needing a lucky bounce on an H20 floater to win.

As far as his impact goes I'm not going to dig for the raw +/- numbers (screw NBA.com for ever taking them down) but Zo led the league in RAPM and his yearly finishes from 97 to 99 are:

97 - 7 (this is NPI)
98 - 2 (3rd in NPI)
99 - 1 (2nd in NPI)

TL;DR: Impact stats paint him as the impactful player of that 3 year stretch.

Basically we have it all here, just not the reputation, and that's something recent because in 99 he was runner up to MVP and in 2000 he was 3rd in MVP voting to Shaq and KG. The numbers hold up, the playoff performance holds up, the team strength success holds up (not in 99 specifically but form 97-00), the impact holds up. If it wasn't for his game being limited compared to the other star Cs of his time and him losing head to head matchups against all of them constantly (besides Hakeem) he'd be seen as on their level pretty clearly. As it is he's a half step behind them as the next best great true C if you ask me.

EDIT: And I forgot to mention Zo's impact as a leader. I'm not the biggest intangibles guy unless it bleeds on the floor and boy did it when Zo was out there. He's one of the toughest players ever (he would fight you if he needed to as JVG found out in 98), one of the most well respected players ever (so respected people forget what he did to the Raps to get back to Miami and just like him going back to Miami), and one of the players that played hardest in league history. If I made a short list of players with the most contagious energy in the floor Zo would probably be right under Magic, KG, and Westbrook as far as guys worthy of this list go. He always seemed to lead through big plays, big celebrations, and a crowd/team that exploded when he was ready for them to. I think it's a big part of why that Heat team was so successful and of course we all know while Wade was the best player on the 06 Heat and Zo didn't even start he was the soul of the team turning around each game when he hit the floor.



Kidd vs Nash up next. Lost my post halfway through so it might be a while before I decide to type it again.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#4 » by Morb » Sat Sep 28, 2019 9:46 pm

Goys, check CP3 2008 stats, really.
1. Bob McAdoo 1975 - Scoring Machine, shooting 6'10, rebounds, historically great series vs DRtg 91.3 (-6.4). Wow.
2. Chris Paul 2008 - Top 3 PG Peak, assists, tempo, midrange, quickness, low tovs, great series vs DRtg 106.1 (-1.4) and good series vs DRtg 101.8 (-5.7).
3. Anthony Davis 2018 - Offense + Defense, 6'11, midrange, 34% threes, 83% FT, athletic, great series vs DRtg 106.4 (-2.2) and good series vs DRtg 107.6 (-1.0).
PG Lebron '09, SG T-Mac '03, SF Durant '14, PF ????, C Wemby '26.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#5 » by liamliam1234 » Sat Sep 28, 2019 11:56 pm

Some more numbers for Nash (with modern comparisons):

Nash NBA.com Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2005: +8.9 / +4.4
2006: +6.0 / +3.6
2007: +8.0 / +5.2

Paul NBA.com Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2008: +6.0 / +4.8
2015: +8.9 / +3.1

Kidd NBA.com Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
1999: +4.3 / bad in three games
2002: +4.2 / +2.3
2003: +6.2 / +4.0

Harden NBA.com Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2018: +7.3 / +4.4
2019: +4.6 / +3.6

Davis NBA.com Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2015: +3.9 / -5.0 in four games against Golden State
2018: +3.9 / +1.0

Howard NBA.com Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2009: +7.0 / +0.0
2011: +6.4 / +2.5

Mourning NBA.com Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
1999: +7.4 / -3.6
2000: +3.4 / +1.1
___________________________________________

Nash NBA.com Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2005: +12.9 / +4.5
2006: +8.2 / +4.9
2007: +11.3 / +6.9 (obligatory “nice”)

Paul NBA.com Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2008: +8.0 / +7.2
2015: +12.7 / +3.7

Kidd NBA.com Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
1999: +5.0 / bad in three games
2002: +5.5 /+2.8
2003: +8.2 / +4.6

Harden NBA.com Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2018: +10.0 / +6.0
2019: +6.3 / +4.5

Davis NBA.com Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2015: +6.1 / -5.6 in four games against Golden State
2018: +5.0 / -0.1

Howard NBA.com Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2009: +10.1 / -0.3
2011: +8.4 / +2.0

Mourning NBA.com Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
1999: +10.9 / -5.4
2000: +5.1 / +2.2

Can we please stop only looking at the basic box scores? I really am not sure what else I can do to convince some of you.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#6 » by Samurai » Sun Sep 29, 2019 1:42 am

1. George Mikan 1949. I understand the concerns about the strength of his era and thus I haven't said anything about him not being voted in yet. But to keep him out of the top 25 altogether seems to be going overboard in one direction. The dominant offensive player in the game, leading the league in scoring and 8th in assists/game. But he was also the dominant defender and rebounder as well. He clearly dominated his peers to a greater extent than anyone left on the board; dropping him to #26 due to questions about league strength seems about right to me.

2. Bob McAdoo 1975. League MVP, he was an outstanding scorer, leading the league with 34.5 ppg, he also led the league in OWS, WS and WS/48. 5th in TS% and 2nd in PER. The knock on him has always been his defense, but 75 was arguably his best defensive season as well. Finished 6th in DWS, 18th in Def Rtg, and 6th in blocks/game.

3. Bob Pettit 1963. Yes, I understand his stats were more dominant in 56 and 59. But the level of competition he faced in those seasons were lower; Schayes, Johnston, Cousy, Sharman and Stokes were pretty much the next tier of stars. In 63, Pettit averaged 28.4/15.1/3.1 in a league that included stars like Wilt, Russell, Oscar, West, Baylor, and Bellamy with next tier stars like Greer, Cousy, DeBusschere, Howell, Gola, Guerin, and Wilkens. But Pettit also raised his game in the playoffs, with a 31.8/15/3 line and leading with a 26.1 PER and .244 WS/48. He also recorded the highest TS% of his playoff career with a .543. Era adjustment is not a precise science and those who penalize his era more heavily will have Pettit farther down the list while those who penalize his era less will have him higher. Your mileage may vary.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#7 » by E-Balla » Sun Sep 29, 2019 2:40 pm

liamliam1234 wrote:Some more numbers for Nash:

Nash NBA Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2005: +8.9 / +4.4
2006: +6.0 / +3.6
2007: +8.0 / +5.2

Nash NBA Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2005: +12.9 / +4.5
2006: +8.2 / +4.9
2007: +11.3 / +6.9 (obligatory “nice”)

And for comparison...

Paul NBA Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2008: +6.0 / +4.8
2015: +8.9 / +3.1

Paul NBA Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2008: +8.0 / +7.2
2015: +12.7 / +3.7

Kidd NBA Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
1999: +4.3 / bad in three games
2002: +4.2 / +2.3
2003: +6.2 / +4.0

Kidd NBA Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
1999: +5.0 / bad in three games
2002: +5.5 /+2.8
2003: +8.2 / +4.6

Harden NBA Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2018: +7.3 / +4.4
2019: +4.6 / +3.6

Harden NBA Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2018: +10.0 / +6.0
2019: +6.3 / +4.5

Davis NBA Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2015: +3.9 / -5.0 in four games against Golden State
2018: +3.9 / +1.0

Davis NBA Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2015: +6.1 / -5.6 in four games against Golden State
2018: +5.0 / -0.1

Howard NBA Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
2009: +7.0 / +0.0
2011: +6.4 / +2.5

Howard NBA Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
2009: +10.1 / -0.3
2011: +8.4 / +2.0

Mourning NBA Plus/Minus (Regular/Postseason)
1999: +7.4 / -3.6
2000: +3.4 / +1.1

Mourning NBA Net Rating (Regular/Postseason)
1999: +10.9 / -5.4
2000: +5.1 / +2.2

Can we please stop only looking at the basic box scores? I really am not sure what else I can do to convince some of you.

IDK where you got these numbers but they all seem to be wrong or labeled wrong or something. I'm completely struggling to follow this post too the layout is hard as hell to follow when you split up each player into 2 groups.

Also as far as +/- goes in every long term study we have Nash comes up as right next to Kidd (example in 98-19 playoff RAPM Kidd and Nash are both in the 50s and in 02-11 RAPM Nash is 8th with Kidd at 12th) and under CP3 and Dwight (who had overlapping careers and better reputations to go along with better boxscore and +/- numbers).
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#8 » by liamliam1234 » Sun Sep 29, 2019 2:51 pm

I thought specifying NBA made it pretty clear. Those are NBA.com’s numbers. I was going to do on/off as well (probably would help Kidd’s 2003 case, judging by basketball reference), but that only seems to go back to 2008 for the “official” values. But just for you, I will edit to make it as explicit as possible.

For a peaks project I do not see an overwhelming amount of value in looking at career calculations, and I think your doing so is confusing the issue. I guess if I could go through some of other regular season RAPM finishes if that is what is needed to convince people, but I already said Nash finished 10th-4th-2nd from 2005-07 using Engelmann’s data, overall finishing third (behind Manu and Duncan) across that three-year period, so unless someone wants to argue that is meaningfully lesser impact than any of the other options, I think it speaks for itself. But even if I did expand the frame, Nash was a perpetual top RAPM finisher until 2011 or 2012, so I am not getting your point there, especially as neither Paul nor Howard were doing better over that period. On a separate note, judging by the various impact numbers for Howard available on NBA.com, i.e. on/off or what I already provided, I am immensely skeptical of any assertion Howard was some dominant playoff force.

I have also previously linked Nash’s placement in long-term AuPM, WOWYR, and in-game adjusted wowyr (great in all of them!), so at this point I think the case is pretty exhaustive. I know there are like five different resources people use for RAPM, even ignoring Gitlab, but even if I switch around, all the ones I know seem to say Nash was fantastic in 2007 and then that his impact carried over for several years after. A different database marks him as having the fourth best RAPM from 2006-11 (behind Lebron, Dirk, and Garnett), and second best from 2008-11 (behind Lebron), without Howard ever finishing higher than him (despite this being Howard’s clear peak and almost certainly not Nash’s peak), and with Paul only doing so in 2009. This is why in the past I have criticised heavy reliance on RAPM, but if we are going to use it, I am not seeing a way it hurts Nash’s argument.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#9 » by E-Balla » Sun Sep 29, 2019 5:39 pm

liamliam1234 wrote:I thought specifying NBA made it pretty clear. Those are NBA.com’s numbers. I was going to do on/off as well (probably would help Kidd’s 2003 case, judging by basketball reference), but that only seems to go back to 2008 for the “official” values. But just for you, I will edit to make it as explicit as possible.

It's still off but I figured it out. What you're calling +/- is net rating and what you're calling net rating is their on/off.

Also when comparing numbers like these I like using the same calculations for all players. If the true +/- isn't available for both Kidd and Nash I'll use the estimates so we're comparing apples to apples.

For a peaks project I do not see an overwhelming amount of value in looking at career calculations, and I think your doing so is confusing the issue. I guess if I could go through some of other regular season RAPM finishes if that is what is needed to convince people, but I already said Nash finished 10th-4th-2nd from 2005-07 using Engelmann’s data, overall finishing third (behind Manu and Duncan) across that three-year period, so unless someone wants to argue that is meaningfully lesser impact than any of the other options, I think it speaks for itself.

In that same vein Kidd ranked top 5 each year from 02 to 04 and was 6th in 05 (ranking OVER the MVP Steve Nash).

Alonzo Mourning (as has been mentioned) was 7th in 97, 2nd in 98, 1st in 99, and 10th in 00.

Dwight was 4th in 08-11 RAPM, and Chris Paul was 6th, both in a virtual tie with Nash.

Chris Paul was top 10 in RAPM every year from 09 to 18, ranking 2nd in 2014, 3rd in 2015, and 3rd in 2016.

+/- isn't a good argument for Nash here he doesn't separate himself from the pack.

But even if I did expand the frame, Nash was a perpetual top RAPM finisher until 2011 or 2012, so I am not getting your point there, especially as neither Paul nor Howard were doing better over that period. On a separate note, judging by the various impact numbers for Howard available on NBA.com, i.e. on/off or what I already provided, I am immensely skeptical of any assertion Howard was some dominant playoff force.

I have also previously linked Nash’s placement in long-term AuPM, WOWYR, and in-game adjusted wowyr (great in all of them!), so at this point I think the case is pretty exhaustive. I know there are like five different resources people use for RAPM, even ignoring Gitlab, but even if I switch around, all the ones I know seem to say Nash was fantastic in 2007 and then that his impact carried over for several years after. A different database marks him as having the fourth best RAPM from 2006-11 (behind Lebron, Dirk, and Garnett), and second best from 2008-11 (behind Lebron), without Howard ever finishing higher than him (despite this being Howard’s clear peak and almost certainly not Nash’s peak), and with Paul only doing so in 2009. This is why in the past I have criticised heavy reliance on RAPM, but if we are going to use it, I am not seeing a way it hurts Nash’s argument.

I'm not saying it hurts him at all. I'm just saying he's one of many with extremely strong numbers and doesn't necessarily separate himself from the pack. He should be up soon, I don't see myself putting him over CP3, Penny, and Clyde (if I didn't lose that big ass Clyde, CP3, Nash post you'd know why) but he's definitely top 30-35 on my list.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#10 » by liamliam1234 » Sun Sep 29, 2019 6:33 pm

E-Balla wrote:
liamliam1234 wrote:I thought specifying NBA made it pretty clear. Those are NBA.com’s numbers. I was going to do on/off as well (probably would help Kidd’s 2003 case, judging by basketball reference), but that only seems to go back to 2008 for the “official” values. But just for you, I will edit to make it as explicit as possible.

It's still off but I figured it out. What you're calling +/- is net rating and what you're calling net rating is their on/off.


Those are the literal NBA.com designations (well, technically NBA.com said +/-). And designated on/off rating is something else.

I understand these terms are doubled up annoyingly frequently, which is why I was very clear in identifying the context. Similar to how people should differentiate basketball reference’s “rating” numbers from NBA.com’s, which itself needs to be differentiated from the websites’ respective on/off ratings.

Also when comparing numbers like these I like using the same calculations for all players. If the true +/- isn't available for both Kidd and Nash I'll use the estimates so we're comparing apples to apples.


All those numbers are the same. That reasoning is why I said I did not supply their designated on/off numbers — because the NBA.com numbers only went back to 2008 (and basketball-reference’s estimates would only go back to 2001, excluding Mourning).

For a peaks project I do not see an overwhelming amount of value in looking at career calculations, and I think your doing so is confusing the issue. I guess if I could go through some of other regular season RAPM finishes if that is what is needed to convince people, but I already said Nash finished 10th-4th-2nd from 2005-07 using Engelmann’s data, overall finishing third (behind Manu and Duncan) across that three-year period, so unless someone wants to argue that is meaningfully lesser impact than any of the other options, I think it speaks for itself.

In that same vein Kidd ranked top 5 each year from 02 to 04 and was 6th in 05 (ranking OVER the MVP Steve Nash).


Which is why we need to think critically about these numbers. Is that 2005 rating an indication of Nash being less “impactful” than he would be for the next six years, or is it simply a metric struggling to properly measure a new team and new role?

Alonzo Mourning (as has been mentioned) was 7th in 97, 2nd in 98, 1st in 99, and 10th in 00.

Dwight was 4th in 08-11 RAPM, and Chris Paul was 6th, both in a virtual tie with Nash.


Okay, and was 2008-11 Nash’s prime?

Chris Paul was top 10 in RAPM every year from 09 to 18, ranking 2nd in 2014, 3rd in 2015, and 3rd in 2016.

+/- isn't a good argument for Nash here he doesn't separate himself from the pack. I'm not saying it hurts him at all. I'm just saying he's one of many with extremely strong numbers and doesn't necessarily separate himself from the pack.


Which is why I provided everything else. I never, ever made the case that RAPM was the main argument for Nash, or even a main argument. Again, I feel like you never pay attention to the actual content of my comments. There are a lot of metrics supporting Nash over basically everyone (with Paul’s 2015 regular season roughly matching his 2005 regular season, and with Paul’s 2008 postseason roughly matching – maybe exceeding – his 2007 postseason), and I have listed them, and then as an addition in terms of peak RAPM he does as well as can reasonably be expected. I recommend to check my phrasing again. I did not say he beats everyone in terms of peak RAPM; I effectively said no one at this point can clearly be said to beat him. You were the one to bring it up as a different metric to check, and I responded. If Nash wins outright in most of the metrics I have provided, and does not really “lose” in the rest, what exactly does that say?

Ironically, the only person who seems to have built their case using RAPM as a primary justification is you, with your case for Mourning. :-?
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#11 » by E-Balla » Sun Sep 29, 2019 8:11 pm

liamliam1234 wrote:All those numbers are the same. That reasoning is why I said I did not supply their designated on/off numbers — because the NBA.com numbers only went back to 2008 (and basketball-reference’s estimates would only go back to 2001, excluding Mourning).

They aren't. NBA.com counts the possessions, Basketball reference estimates possessions and assumes offenses and defenses have the same amount of possessions, and that team rebounds are equal when players are on and off the court. Leads to a small but meaningful difference, for example here's 2019 Jokic according to bball ref:

+4.8 net rating (+2.9 on/off)

And here's his numbers using the accurate possession count from the NBA:


+5.8 net rating (+4.1 on/off)

It's not a big difference, but it's a small difference and that matters when the gap Nash has over some of these guys isn't that big anyway.

Also if you didn't get the pre 01 numbers from either of those sites where'd you get it?

Which is why we need to think critically about these numbers. Is that 2005 rating an indication of Nash being less “impactful” than he would be for the next six years, or is it simply a metric struggling to properly measure a new team and new role?

Of course we do, which is why I keep comparing Nash to Kidd. They had similar roles and similar reputations along with similar impact statistics. It's really as close to 1 to 1 as you can get outside of players on the same exact rosters a year apart. Again I'm not using these numbers as a "ranking" I'm using them to show that all these guys are on the same level because they are.

Okay, and was 2008-11 Nash’s prime?

Yeah it pretty clearly was. Not 2011 but 2008-10 is clearly his prime. They were on pace for 59 wins before they traded for Shaq in 08 with the #1 offense by far. Nash averaged 17.4/3.5/11.8 with a 64.4 TS% and 121 ORTG in 34.1 mpg. That's right in line with his numbers from 05-07 and his team strength. They traded Marion for Shaq and he threw them off so his production and team success fell off but I think you'd struggle to make the argument he fell off at all. That's why in 2010 without Shaq they made the WCF with Nash still producing and coming 3rd in RAPM under Wade and Bron (I'd admit he definitely lost stamina by 2010, but I don't think when he was on the floor he was any worse because they managed his minutes). All in all I think 08-11 numbers represent Nash's level of play the same as the 06-11 numbers, even if due to other factors those aren't in the conversation of being his best seasons (for that matter netiher is 06).

Which is why I provided everything else. I never, ever made the case that RAPM was the main argument for Nash, or even a main argument.

But you used it as a argument, and my point is it isn't a argument for him over them because they look just as impressive by that same standard. I never said you didn't make other good arguments for him, just said that argument wasn't one.

Again, I feel like you never pay attention to the actual content of my comments. There are a lot of metrics supporting Nash over basically everyone (with Paul’s 2015 regular season roughly matching his 2005 regular season, and with Paul’s 2008 postseason roughly matching – maybe exceeding – his 2007 postseason), and I have listed them, and then as an addition in terms of peak RAPM he does as well as can reasonably be expected. I recommend to check my phrasing again. I did not say he beats everyone in terms of peak RAPM; I effectively said no one at this point can clearly be said to beat him.

You didn't, you actually just posted the numbers and said you don't know what else you can say to argue for Nash. Wait to be exact you said:

Can we please stop only looking at the basic box scores?


Which to me makes it seem like you're attempting to make your case with the numbers you posted above, I mean why else post them?

You were the one to bring it up as a different metric to check, and I responded. If Nash wins outright in most of the metrics I have provided, and does not really “lose” in the rest, what exactly does that say?

Nash doesn't really win in any metrics nor does he lose. All these guys are within the ballparks of each other statistically, there's not really a case to be made with numbers outside of "they were all great". Notice my write ups on guys and x vs x posts rarely go into establishing how much greater players were than other players but instead I focus on what makes them different and why what makes one player different outweighs the benefits of the other player. For example in my Kawhi vs Giannis post I contrasted Giannis' benefit of being a freak with extremely great team success along with Kawhi's benefits of fitting better on more teams and being a better postseason scorer.

Like I said to nmr in the last thread (I think it was nmr) you can only change someone's mind on a player if you know why they pick others over them because I don't think anyone here is denying Nash was great and I think your arguments work to describe why he's great, but not why he's better than other players.

Ironically, the only person who seems to have built their case using RAPM as a primary justification is you, with your case for Mourning. :-?

I'm guessing you didn't read my case for Zo at all? My case for Zo was that he's a GOAT level defensive anchor, one of the best leaders in the history of the sport, the 2nd best rim defender ever, at the same time a 19-23 ppg on +5-7 TS% guy that can give you 20 ppg on 55 TS% in the playoffs, and was runner up to MVP and 3rd in back to back seasons with a reputation as one of the best players in the league.

Out of 48 sentences there's 1 mention of RAPM which was just me pointing out he was the top player by RAPM from 98-00, something I didn't linger on at all, but you want to pretend that's the main argument I put up for him? Come on now...
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#12 » by liamliam1234 » Sun Sep 29, 2019 9:40 pm

EDIT: Think I will save some time by putting this at the top.

Before you respond, do you understand what the numbers I posted were? Do you understand they are something different from RAPM? If you do not, say so, and please do not waste either of our time by posting another long response operating under a severe misinterpretation of what you are reading.

E-Balla wrote:
liamliam1234 wrote:All those numbers are the same. That reasoning is why I said I did not supply their designated on/off numbers — because the NBA.com numbers only went back to 2008 (and basketball-reference’s estimates would only go back to 2001, excluding Mourning).

They aren't. NBA.com counts the possessions, Basketball reference estimates possessions and assumes offenses and defenses have the same amount of possessions, and that team rebounds are equal when players are on and off the court. Leads to a small but meaningful difference, for example here's 2019 Jokic according to bball ref:

+4.8 net rating (+2.9 on/off)

And here's his numbers using the accurate possession count from the NBA:

+5.8 net rating (+4.1 on/off)

It's not a big difference, but it's a small difference and that matters when the gap Nash has over some of these guys isn't that big anyway.

Also if you didn't get the pre 01 numbers from either of those sites where'd you get it?


Those numbers explicitly are labeled NBA.com, and you think I took some of them from basketball reference? :banghead: Why does every response you make start with a massive fundamental error? What would be the point of that? Why would I mix and match them but say they all came from the same source?

Plus minus and net rating, the two things I gave and compared, are all from NBA.com. All of those go back to like 1997. I considered also going through its on/off numbers, but those only went to 2008. And I could have posted them side by side with basketball reference, but those estimations only go through 2001. Which is why they are absent. And which is why there is nothing saying, “Here are everyone’s on/off numbers!” But thanks for explaining the differences, as if I had not repeatedly referred to basketball reference’s metric as an estimate. :noway:

I think this has all been spelled out very clearly.

Which is why we need to think critically about these numbers. Is that 2005 rating an indication of Nash being less “impactful” than he would be for the next six years, or is it simply a metric struggling to properly measure a new team and new role?

Of course we do, which is why I keep comparing Nash to Kidd. They had similar roles and similar reputations along with similar impact statistics. It's really as close to 1 to 1 as you can get outside of players on the same exact rosters a year apart. Again I'm not using these numbers as a "ranking" I'm using them to show that all these guys are on the same level because they are.


... Again, do you just write things before you finish reading the post? I already addressed this.

Okay, and was 2008-11 Nash’s prime?

Yeah it pretty clearly was. Not 2011 but 2008-10 is clearly his prime. They were on pace for 59 wins before they traded for Shaq in 08 with the #1 offense by far. Nash averaged 17.4/3.5/11.8 with a 64.4 TS% and 121 ORTG in 34.1 mpg. That's right in line with his numbers from 05-07 and his team strength. They traded Marion for Shaq and he threw them off so his production and team success fell off but I think you'd struggle to make the argument he fell off at all. That's why in 2010 without Shaq they made the WCF with Nash still producing and coming 3rd in RAPM under Wade and Bron (I'd admit he definitely lost stamina by 2010, but I don't think when he was on the floor he was any worse because they managed his minutes). All in all I think 08-11 numbers represent Nash's level of play the same as the 06-11 numbers, even if due to other factors those aren't in the conversation of being his best seasons (for that matter netiher is 06).


I meant to write peak, so I guess that is on me, but this is become increasingly tedious.

Which is why I provided everything else. I never, ever made the case that RAPM was the main argument for Nash, or even a main argument.

But you used it as a argument, and my point is it isn't a argument for him over them because they look just as impressive by that same standard. I never said you didn't make other good arguments for him, just said that argument wasn't one.


Jesus Christ.

1. The post to which you responded had nothing about RAPM in it. You brought it up as a comparison, so do not start talking about how my post was using it to show Nash’s advantage over all these people.

2. In my response to you bringing up those comparative numbers, I explicitly said RAPM simply showed he did not have worse impact by that metric. I did not say it was an advantage over Paul, or Kidd, or anyone apart from kind-of Howard (based on his inability to pass Nash despite it covering his peak better than Nash’s peak). Really, really, really tired of you skipping entire sentences. You seem to still be operating under this presumption that the NBA.com data I offered was RAPM. Either that or you are just intentionally derailing the data.

Part of making a thorough case is trying to cover everything you reasonably can. RAPM may not advantage Nash, but because of how much people value it, it is still worth mentioning that it also does not disadvantage Nash. Is that clear?

Again, I feel like you never pay attention to the actual content of my comments. There are a lot of metrics supporting Nash over basically everyone (with Paul’s 2015 regular season roughly matching his 2005 regular season, and with Paul’s 2008 postseason roughly matching – maybe exceeding – his 2007 postseason), and I have listed them, and then as an addition in terms of peak RAPM he does as well as can reasonably be expected. I recommend to check my phrasing again. I did not say he beats everyone in terms of peak RAPM; I effectively said no one at this point can clearly be said to beat him.

You didn't, you actually just posted the numbers and said you don't know what else you can say to argue for Nash. Wait to be exact you said:

Can we please stop only looking at the basic box scores?


Which to me makes it seem like you're attempting to make your case with the numbers you posted above, I mean why else post them?


Do you think those are RAPM numbers?

You were the one to bring it up as a different metric to check, and I responded. If Nash wins outright in most of the metrics I have provided, and does not really “lose” in the rest, what exactly does that say?

Nash doesn't really win in any metrics nor does he lose. All these guys are within the ballparks of each other statistically, there's not really a case to be made with numbers outside of "they were all great". Notice my write ups on guys and x vs x posts rarely go into establishing how much greater players were than other players but instead I focus on what makes them different and why what makes one player different outweighs the benefits of the other player. For example in my Kawhi vs Giannis post I contrasted Giannis' benefit of being a freak with extremely great team success along with Kawhi's benefits of fitting better on more teams and being a better postseason scorer.


1. Nash had two of the three best regular seasons of that group, and one of the best postseasons. The gap was often significant. Once more, those were not RAPM. Your statement is true in terms of RAPM, but that was not what I shared. Has this sunk in yet.

2. Your method of assessment is not the best means of assessment.

3. Your write-ups are fine as profiles, but when they do not use statistical support they barely function as arguments as to why a person should vote for one player over another. Normally you do incorporate a bit of statistical work, or they have some inherent logical basis, but your Mutombo write-up specifically has basically no real reason in it why people should vote for him over other guys in the discussion. Which is okay if that is all you want to do, but considering how willing you are to push Nash back past where he belongs, that is not really what you are doing in effect.

Like I said to nmr in the last thread (I think it was nmr) you can only change someone's mind on a player if you know why they pick others over them because I don't think anyone here is denying Nash was great and I think your arguments work to describe why he's great, but not why he's better than other players.


Right, which is why I am trying to show a bunch of different numbers supporting Nash.

The only reason you think those numbers do not show why he is better is because you are still acting as though they are all just incorrect RAPM. Or maybe you just want to dismiss them off-hand because they are inconvenient. If you do happen to figure out they are actual numbers separate from RAPM, I am seventy percent sure you will argue they are worse than RAPM anyway so no one should worry about them. Which is what people can choose to do, of course, just as they can choose to ignore any statistic, including RAPM, but your personal feelings are far from the definitive take on the subject, and I am not interested in or worried about convincing you.

Ironically, the only person who seems to have built their case using RAPM as a primary justification is you, with your case for Mourning. :-?

I'm guessing you didn't read my case for Zo at all? My case for Zo was that he's a GOAT level defensive anchor, one of the best leaders in the history of the sport, the 2nd best rim defender ever, at the same time a 19-23 ppg on +5-7 TS% guy that can give you 20 ppg on 55 TS% in the playoffs, and was runner up to MVP and 3rd in back to back seasons with a reputation as one of the best players in the league.

Out of 48 sentences there's 1 mention of RAPM which was just me pointing out he was the top player by RAPM from 98-00, something I didn't linger on at all, but you want to pretend that's the main argument I put up for him? Come on now...


Oh, you do not like it when someone focuses on a tangential mention of RAPM? :-?

None of those are really comparative. Okay, he is an excellent defensive anchor, but there is no valuation of what that is worth relative to other players. You assert he is the second best rim protector without support, but even taking that at face-value, it still is not a means of weighing relative value. Close MVP finishes is applies to basically everyone in the conversation (gee, why would you mention it if it is not an advantage?). And the scoring is offering some actual numbers, but still does not weigh them by comparison with anyone else.

It is akin to me making a case for Nash because he is one of the greatest offensive players ever, one of the greatest shooters ever, and the second-best passer ever, who won two MVPs and led his team to three conference finals (plus another in Dallas), and lost in the playoffs three times to the eventual champions. Cool, that is all great, but obviously it has not really convinced anyone.

And my larger point, which maybe you will only read after offering a knee jerk response to the above two paragraphs, is that a similarly laudatory profile can be written about any of these players, be it Paul or Karl Malone or Dwight Howard or Giannis or Kawhi... And to what end?

I give the numbers because those are tangible. People can look at them and see, “Oh, this says x player is better than y.” If someone is all about WinShares and box plus minus, hey, Nash is screwed. So it is important to say, “Wait, no, there are other (better) ways to look at Nash which show he is actually one of the best and most deserving of a vote!” That is the point, and that is what I did, and that is what I am trying to do. If you do not care about numbers like that, fine. But other people do. And they are the ones I want to convince.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#13 » by E-Balla » Sun Sep 29, 2019 10:11 pm

liamliam1234 wrote:EDIT: Think I will save some time by putting this at the top.

Before you respond, do you understand what the numbers I posted were? Do you understand they are something different from RAPM? If you do not, say so, and please do not waste either of our time by posting another long response operating under a severe misinterpretation of what you are reading.

I'm not and I don't think I'm misinterpreting you. I think you're operating under some assumption I'm arguing against Nash. I'm not. I was trying to say his +/- numbers (which is what you posted) aren't meaningfully better than anyone else up here so I don't get why you'd post them as if they are. You said that wasn't your intention. It was over when you said that, I just posted why I thought that's what you meant because your post made it seem like you meant to argue Nash has better +/- numbers. IDK why you're still posting as if that part hasn't been cleared up.

Those numbers explicitly are labeled NBA.com, and you think I took some of them from basketball reference? :banghead: Why does every response you make start with a massive fundamental error? What would be the point of that? Why would I mix and match them but say they all came from the same source?

Yeah I'm dropping it here. You didn't read my post. You said the NBA.com numbers and bball ref numbers are the same. I directly quoted that removing all the other parts of your post prior which was you explaining where you got the numbers to post the difference between them. You, since you only post to attack others and can't comprehend someone posting information genuinely trying to clear up a misconception you had, decided this was me saying I thought the numbers came from bball ref?

You need to do better either saying things clearly the first time or not throwing a fit when asked to clarify. Either that or stop being so pissed you aren't able to change anyone's opinions here or get your guy picked higher. I'm good, I'm doing this for fun and to have documented write-ups on some of my favorite players/reorder my ATL finally. There's been plenty of arguments for and against guys so far that's changed my list and will continue to and apparently I've done that for other people too because there's no way Westbrook is 25th, Moses is 22nd, and Robinson drops to 18th if my posts didn't shift some opinions (along with others that took up the cause). If you can't say the same, maybe you need to take a different approach here because it's telling you keep butting heads with various posters constantly and no one else is butting heads here outside of when HBK dropped in and the injured Curry debate.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#14 » by liamliam1234 » Sun Sep 29, 2019 10:41 pm

E-Balla wrote:
liamliam1234 wrote:EDIT: Think I will save some time by putting this at the top.

Before you respond, do you understand what the numbers I posted were? Do you understand they are something different from RAPM? If you do not, say so, and please do not waste either of our time by posting another long response operating under a severe misinterpretation of what you are reading.

I'm not and I don't think I'm misinterpreting you. I think you're operating under some assumption I'm arguing against Nash. I'm not. I was trying to say his +/- numbers (which is what you posted) aren't meaningfully better than anyone else up here so I don't get why you'd post them as if they are. You said that wasn't your intention. It was over when you said that, I just posted why I thought that's what you meant because your post made it seem like you meant to argue Nash has better +/- numbers. IDK why you're still posting as if that part hasn't been cleared up.


Because I do not not see how you can look at "+12.9" and "+6.0" and go, "Yeah, that looks the same to me."

Those numbers explicitly are labeled NBA.com, and you think I took some of them from basketball reference? :banghead: Why does every response you make start with a massive fundamental error? What would be the point of that? Why would I mix and match them but say they all came from the same source?

Yeah I'm dropping it here. You didn't read my post. You said the NBA.com numbers and bball ref numbers are the same. I directly quoted that removing all the other parts of your post prior which was you explaining where you got the numbers to post the difference between them.


How is it a genuine misinterpretation when it happens every single time. Maybe I could buy that it was an issue other people kept having with my phrasing, but no, it is always you.

I did not say the numbers present on basketball reference and NBA.com were the same. I said, and I quote, "All those numbers are the same." Now, in isolation, is that potentially unclear? Sure. But in the context of a.) basic rationality saying there is no reason I would possibly need to draw from two separate sources if they were the same, b.) me already saying and specifying that all those numbers came from NBA.com (why would I need to specify if it did not matter), and c.) me saying that immediately after saying this:
Similar to how people should differentiate basketball reference’s “rating” numbers from NBA.com’s, which itself needs to be differentiated from the websites’ respective on/off ratings.

... I would say that pretty clearly should indicate I was not saying basketball reference and NBA.com used the same numbers.

But you never think critically about this. Almost every time, you misinterpret what I am saying and go straight for the least rational interpretation. And you wonder why I have no patience for you?

****, I already wrote this, basically one sentence after you “stopped reading”! Let me quote myself, my one post ago:

Those numbers explicitly are labeled NBA.com, and you think I took some of them from basketball reference? :banghead: Why does every response you make start with a massive fundamental error? What would be the point of that? Why would I mix and match them but say they all came from the same source?

Plus minus and net rating, the two things I gave and compared, are all from NBA.com. All of those go back to like 1997. I considered also going through its on/off numbers, but those only went to 2008. And I could have posted them side by side with basketball reference, but those estimations only go through 2001. Which is why they are absent. And which is why there is nothing saying, “Here are everyone’s on/off numbers!” But thanks for explaining the differences, as if I had not repeatedly referred to basketball reference’s metric as an estimate. :noway:


I have never met someone who conducts these debates in worse faith than you. You come to terribly irrational conclusions but claim to stop reading before I call them out. To how much of this will you respond? I will set the over/under at a generous 15%; oh, wait, since this time I discredited you quickly, you will just let it sit. But you accomplished what you wanted, right? You illegitimately claimed I was being unreasonable and responded to nothing, as always, but that claim will sit because no one else cares to read this conversations enough to call you on your bull.

I have accused you of gaslighting, but maybe that is giving too much credit. It is not about tricking me on what I said; it is about trying to cast doubt in the eyes of everyone else. It is bloody vile, and you say you are having a good time doing it.

You, since you only post to attack others and can't comprehend someone posting information genuinely trying to clear up a misconception you had, decided this was me saying I thought the numbers came from bball ref?


I just loooooooove the subtle "misconception you had". Really, I had a misconception about the numbers I took straight off the NBA website? After repeatedly distinguishing NBA.com from basketball reference, I had a misconception about the differences between the two? As always, hilarious how you perpetually accuse me of "trying to win", even though you can never admit you were wrong, even though every thread I need to tell you outright, "No, you are misreading that and making poor assumptions off that misreading."

You need to do better either saying things clearly the first time or not throwing a fit when asked to clarify.


1. Rich, absolutely rich, considering you immediately pitched a thread-long fit, without any prior provocation, back when I asked you to clarify the numbers in your Ewing/Robinson comparison. But here you baselessly claim I used the wrong numbers and mislabeled them (nope), do not engage with the material at all beyond, again, baselessly dismissing the differences, fail to actually figure it out for yourself even though these numbers are immediately accessible (in contrast to when you basically told me to do the calculations myself with Ewing/Robinson...), push a different and unrelated point, and then complain that metric you brought up does not work as proof of “my” point, and you want to say I was unreasonable in my response!? How many more times are you going to outright lie about what I am using and what my intent is before hostility is justified? How many more times do I get to watch you do that, knowing most of the people here immediately tune out and thus only see you accusing me of some nonexistent error.

2. Again, yet again, this is a pattern. How many times have I had to say, "No, you misread that, that was explicitly not my meaning." Yet you keep making assumptions, and you keep derailing threads and derailing my posts because you can never be bothered to simply make sure you understand what you are reading before building a response off that assumption.

Either that or stop being so pissed you aren't able to change anyone's opinions here or get your guy picked higher.


If asking what more people want me to show to help Nash's case is "pissed", I wonder how you think (should you ever take the time to self-reflect) your constant responses throughout this project come across. Or maybe, as with everything else, this is a dishonest accusation made with the expectation that most people have not been following closely enough to bother judging for themselves.

I'm good, I'm doing this for fun and to have documented write-ups on some of my favorite players/reorder my ATL finally. There's been plenty of arguments for and against guys so far that's changed my list and will continue to and apparently I've done that for other people too because there's no way Westbrook is 25th, Moses is 22nd, and Robinson drops to 18th if my posts didn't shift some opinions (along with others that took up the cause). If you can't say the same, maybe you need to take a different approach here because it's telling you keep butting heads with various posters constantly and no one else is butting heads here outside of when HBK dropped in and the injured Curry debate.


Really? Constantly butting heads with other posters? Name them.

It is you and FTD (at a 2 to 1 ratio in frequency, and like a 12:1 ratio in terms of words I need to waste in response). And, as usual, fantastic amount of self-obliviousness considering you have engaged in long disputes with several more people than I have. Plus an even greater amount of self-obliviousness as to how these start. You never go back to read previous posts, and you pretty frequently misremember, but if you did, you would find the past several have been me making a relatively small comment which you expanded into a massive lengthy debate. It happened here. It happened with Harden. It has happened multiple times with Kawhi (although I will claim responsibility for the first time). It happened with Ewing/Robinson when you were furious at me trying to get you to clarify your data. And that is ignoring last thread’s Barkley confusion, which at least was not adversarial but did feature something like six consecutive posts of you reading past my point (and who knows, if Barkley had not been voted in, maybe you would have continued it in this thread).

And you want to blame me for butting heads? No, it does not seem to matter whether I am thorough and try to anticipate you, or whether I am curt and try to keep it focused on a specific point, or how precise I am in responding; if I make a comment, I can almost always trust you to twist it and blow it up into a debate spanning pages, dropping or dismissing points as you see fit and expanding other bits as needed to ensure the overall posts grow progressively longer and less likely to be read by anyone else.

And now, to top it all off, you have the gall to accuse me of being impatient and needlessly combative. How many more glass houses do you need to shatter before you figure out the pattern? You used to accuse me of not doing enough work, but now you cannot even do the work to honestly think about what I am saying. It is like you make this snap judgement, go to discredit it (oh, look, yet another thing you have in previous disagreements hypocritically and dishonestly accused me of doing), and then continue making half-assed responses ignoring the bulk of whatever I write after that point. This pattern may not be a “gish gallop”, as you ever wrongly accuse others of committing, but the effect is not far off. And then you get to claim that I am being needlessly ornery, after you sidetracked the original point completely and wasted cumulative hours of my time. Really wonderful stuff. Truly a mystery why I find this frustrating.

Also, I "'lost" two votes from when I entered spanning to Tracy McGrady (one of which was Robinson). If we are pointing to the scoreboard, I would hardly say you are drowning in success there.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#15 » by trex_8063 » Mon Sep 30, 2019 3:18 am

1st ballot - '15 Chris Paul - Wicked efficiency (both in terms of shooting and turnover economy) while leading a top-tier offense, and also being one of the best defensive PG's in the game. Played brilliantly in the playoffs, too, the only blemished being that he missed two playoff games [and did that cost them something?]; which was ironic, given he didn't miss a single game in the long rs.
I could see going for '08, but I just feel his defense was better in the later portions of his career, and his on-court impact has perhaps never looked better than in '15.


2nd ballot - '08 Chris Paul - More explosive, better athlete than his '15 version, which left him with better endurance and ability to penetrate the paint. But he wasn't yet the mid-range shooter that he was in '15, nor did he yet have the defensive IQ that he would in '15. Those are the primary reasons I put this season a pinch behind '15.


3rd ballot - '19 Giannis Antetokounmpo - I don't have a ton of time just now, but suffice to say he was a fairly dominant offensive player during the rs (still easily and All-Star level offensive player in the playoffs, too), while arguably being a top 2 DPOY candidate thru the whole season.

NOTE: I may end up switching that 3rd ballot. Also thinking on Anthony Davis, Karl Malone, James Harden, Kawhi Leonard, Dwight Howard, or perhaps McAdoo, Nash, Pettit, Baylor, or Gilmore. If I don't change it before the deadline, I'm OK going with Giannis, though.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#16 » by Morb » Mon Sep 30, 2019 5:13 am

liamliam1234 wrote:Can we please stop only looking at the basic box scores? I really am not sure what else I can do to convince some of you.

Just post highlights.
PG Lebron '09, SG T-Mac '03, SF Durant '14, PF ????, C Wemby '26.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#17 » by freethedevil » Mon Sep 30, 2019 6:12 am

2019 giannis
-> anchored a historically great team on both ends, both as the primary facilitator, defensive anchor, and scoring weapon. It took an atg championship winning defense giving him the pistons treatment to stop him and even then it was by the slimmest of margins. His decimation of a strong celtics defense was quite impressive as well. His passing limitations cost him vs the raptors but no one yet to be listed is strong enough of an offensive threat to warrant anything close to the defensive attention giannis warranted and when you add that to being one of the game's best scorers and a top 5 defender, you get a worthy pick for this spot. He has the highest corp +/- evaluation and the second highest corp. I'm hesitant to put him below the #1 in corp here, largely because I disagree with ben's analysis of kd's portability, but more on that later.

For vote two I'll go 2017 westbrook. Coming off playoffs where he outplayed, arguably, peak durant, his three point shot dramtically improved in 2017. From a small po sample he has a gigantic imapct and while the sample size is an issue, I think we can infer what 2017 westbrook was capable of from his large 2016 sample without a great shot.

2016 kawhi for now, i can be made to reconsider him for my #1 vote or to replace him with someone else.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#18 » by GeorgeMarcus » Mon Sep 30, 2019 6:14 am

Sorry, this doesn't pertain to the GOAT project but I'm hoping for a quick answer and know the Stat board isn't especially active. Does anyone know where I can find a "trips to the line" per possession stat, or at least the information needed to get there? Rather than just using FTA per poss, which differs because of 3pt fouls and And-1s
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#19 » by liamliam1234 » Mon Sep 30, 2019 6:24 am

freethedevil wrote:
For vote two I'll go 2017 westbrook. Coming off playoffs where he outplayed, arguably, peak durant, his three point shot dramtically improved in 2017. From a small po sample he has a gigantic imapct and while the sample size is an issue, I think we can infer what 2017 westbrook was capable of from his large 2016 sample without a great shot.


For the second thread in a row, Westbrook was already admitted.
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Re: #27 - GOAT peaks project (2019) 

Post#20 » by liamliam1234 » Mon Sep 30, 2019 6:27 am

Morb wrote:
liamliam1234 wrote:Can we please stop only looking at the basic box scores? I really am not sure what else I can do to convince some of you.

Just post highlights.


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