RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 (Chris Paul)

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RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 (Chris Paul) 

Post#1 » by trex_8063 » Fri Nov 27, 2020 11:42 pm

2020 List
1. LeBron James
2. Michael Jordan
3. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
4. Bill Russell
5. Tim Duncan
6. Wilt Chamberlain
7. Magic Johnson
8. Shaquille O'Neal
9. Hakeem Olajuwon
10. Larry Bird
11. Kevin Garnett
12. Kobe Bryant
13. Jerry West
14. Oscar Robertson
15. Dirk Nowitzki
16. Karl Malone
17. David Robinson
18. Julius Erving
19. George Mikan
20. Moses Malone
21. Charles Barkley
22. Kevin Durant

Target stop-time will be roughly this time of day on Sunday.

Spoiler:
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#2 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 12:26 am

1. Bob Pettit
-10 time all nba 1st team
-what stands out to me as near prototypical size with very good length, athleticism and fluid movement for a pf
-very good shooter which he could do off the dribble
-excellent rebounder
-very good metrics/efficiency for his era(led league in per 4 times, has total ts add of 1757 for his career)
-25.5/15.8 career playoff averages
-won ring and top 4 in mvp voting 8 times

2. John Stockton

-very good prime where he is consistently running offenses that rate very highly in ORtg(top 11 every year from 1990-2003 and top 7 every year from 92-01)
-top 6 in vorp for 10 straight years
-obviously extremely durable and still a very good player until he retired at the age of 40
-career ts add of 2466 and consistently in the 140-200 range for 15 straight years
-led league in assists 9 straight years
-made 5 all defensive 2nd teams
-top 15 in mvp voting 13 times despite being sort of overshadowed by the Mailman
-I think somewhat underrated in terms of how dominant the Jazz were in those playoff runs in the 97/98 seasons until the finals. The Jazz were 22-6 vs the west in those years while going against 4 teams that won 56+ games including a sweep of a 61 win Laker team.

3. Chris Paul
-great all around game with elite athleticism for much of his career
-8x top 7 in mvp voting with a high of 2nd place
-8x all defensive 1st team, 2x 2nd team
-4x all nba 1st team, 4x 2nd team, 1x 3rd team
-6x top 3 in vorp
-6x spg leader, 4x apg leader, 6x leader in ast%
-career ts add of 1264 with 10 seasons of 80 or higher
-I think he's shown the degree to which he can elevate team's offenses with his combination of decision making, outside shooting and low turnovers. NO the year before drafting him ranked 30th in the league in ORtg and just 3 years later ranked 5th and won 56 games. The Clippers the year before he got there ranked 22nd in ORtg and then the next 4 years ranked 4th, 4th, 1st and 1st. Houston went from 55 wins to 65 and a record of 50-5 when CP3, Harden and Capela all played.
-I think overall he's a very good on court leader though I think he tends to wear out his welcome with some guys.
-has his highs and lows as a playoff performer and obviously injury issues as well. I still rank him this high due to being consistently so good over the last 15 years on both offense and defense. Was very close for me between CP3, Nash, Curry and Wade(with Hondo lurking) for this spot. I do feel the gap between CP3 and Nash on defense is too big for Nash to possibly close on offense with roughly equal length primes.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#3 » by eminence » Sat Nov 28, 2020 12:28 am

Anywho, probably enough about Schayes for now, even I'm not actually voting for him quite yet, lol.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#4 » by penbeast0 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 12:54 am

penbeast0 wrote:I've been supporting Curry for a while. Short prime but very dominant.

For the next slot, I have Pettit then either Paul or Stockton. OF the 3, Pettit is the only one who was ever the best player in the league, albeit for the short stretch between Mikan and Russell who easily eclipsed him. And, during the strong league stretch of his career, he was a clear level above every except Russell, Wilt, West, Oscar and Baylor. It's close between Baylor and Pettit and they were contemporaries who both played the PF forward over the same period generally speaking (I have Baylor as more of a PF type than LaRusso) though Baylor was a 4/3 while Pettit was a 4/5. As expected from their positions, Pettit was the better rebounder while Baylor was the better ballhandler. But Pettit has two edges on Baylor that give him the advantage for me. First, he was the more efficient scorer, particularly relative to league since he played his first few years in a much less efficient league than Baylor played his post-Pettit career. Second, from what I've been able to gather from their contemporaries, Pettit was the stronger defender. So, I have Pettit over Baylor.

Still open to the Paul v. Stockton debate. Both provide a terrific lift to their team's offense from what I can see. Paul has a superior turnover efficiency, Stockton the ridiculous assist number and, well, never seems to miss a game. Paul is playing in today's game which I consider the tougher environment and has stronger accolades for what that's worth. I go back and forth. I will go with Stockton for the superior locker room guy since I have them so very close.

Beyond them there is Nash, Frazier, Harden, Wade, Baylor, and Ewing on my radar. Harden is tempting; if it was individual dominance instead of a team game, he'd already be in. Really not seeing the Schayes love, I will probably go Arizin first from the 50s. Scottie Pippen should get a look soon too.

1. Curry
2. Pettit
3. Stockton
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#5 » by colts18 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 2:06 am

Why did the Jazz not win a title? If you look at the drafting history of the Utah Jazz you will find the aswer. Their drafting track record was so bad that I had to write a long post pointing out the incompetence of the Jazz. I analyzed Utah's draft record from the time they draft they drafted Karl Malone in 1985 to 2000. I will post these players VORP's from 1987-2001, the last relevant season of Stockton/Malone. What did they contribute to the Jazz? You will be surprised just how bad it was.

1986
Dell Curry- 15th Pick

Wait, Dell Curry played for the Jazz? You might not remember that. It's ok but he had a brief one-year stint as a rookie with the Jazz before being traded. Curry, 40% career 3 point shooter, would have been the perfect fit with Malone/Stockton. He got traded for Darryl Dawkins and Melvin Turpin. Dawkins is a big name and Turpin was the 6th pick a few years earlier. That sounds like a great haul until you look at closer. Dawkins played just 4 games with the Jazz before being traded to the Bad Boys Pistons. He played a total of 16 games with the Pistons before his NBA career ended. Turpin was an all-time bust. He played 1 year with the Jazz (-1.6 BPM, 14 PER) and one more season with the Bullets before his career ended.

Curry's VORP with the Jazz: -0.2
Dawkins/Turpin VORP: 0.0
Verdict: The Jazz got nothing out of that pick

1987
Jose Ortiz- 15th pick

Who? He played just 2 years with the Jazz (-6.4 BPM, 9 PER) before his career was over. A huge bust

VORP with the Jazz: -0.4


1988
Eric Leckner-17th pick

Leckner was an awful player. He was traded after 2 years (-4.5 BPM, 11 PER with Jazz) in the Jeff Malone trade. His career -5.3 BPM is the 3rd worst in history (min. 5,000 MP). #2 worst, Greg Foster, was a starter during the Jazz finals years. :lol:

VORP with the Jazz: -1.0 VORP
Jeff Malone VORP: -0.6 VORP

1989
Blue Edwards- 21st pick

Finally, our first player who started. He plays 3 years for the Jazz as their starting Small Forward averaging 10-7-2. He has an 11 PER, -1.4 BPM in that span. He is traded alongside for Eric Murdock and a 1st round pick for Jay Humphries and Larry Krystowiak. I will get to that trade later.

VORP with the Jazz: 0.9 (Positive!)

1990
No 1st round pick

1991
Eric Murdock

A good player. A career 2.0 BPM and 17 PER. In his 3rd season he averaged 15-7 with 2.4 steals and a 4.0 BPM, 17th in the league. Great player right? The only problem is NONE of that happened with the Jazz. He plays 1 non-descript season as a backup before being traded to Milwaukee in the trade mentioned above. Krystowiak plays 1 season (-2.5 BPM) with the Jazz. Humphries plays 3 seasons (-2.3 BPM) with the Jazz before being traded to Boston. He plays 6 games in Boston before his career is over.

Murdock's VORP: 0.2
Krystowiak/Humphries VORP: -0.5

1992
No 1st round pick

No pick because of the trade mentioned above. To recap, the Jazz traded 3 1st round picks (Edwards, Murdock, and 92 pick) for nothing. This what the Jazz GM said about the trade:

"I think this is another step to take advantage of the abilities of (John Stockton and Karl Malone) in their prime," said General Manager Tim Howells. "We have two or three years to get some things done. :lol: And it's a move, hopefully, to prolong their careers."

Little does he know that Stockton/Malone would last another decade and the players he traded for were useless parts.


1993
Luther Wright- 18th pick

Plays 15 games his rookie year. Finishes the season with 19 Total points, 10 rebounds, 0 assists, 6 turnovers, on 35 FG%. His PER is -0.4. How do you have a negative PER? He was so bad that the Jazz cut him after the season and he never played in the NBA again.

VORP: -0.2

1994
No First round pick

If you are keeping count that is 9 straight drafts without a contribution to the Jazz

1995
Greg Ostertag-28th pick

The first player the Jazz draft that is "decent". He is a starter on the 97 Jazz. In 98, he goes to the bench for Adam keefe. A career 13 PER and -0.6 BPM.

VORP from 95-01: 3.1

1996
Martin Müürsepp- 25th pick

Who? He gets traded to Miami on draft night for a 2000 1st round pick. Lasts only 2 seasons in the NBA

VORP: 0 (never played for the Jazz)

1997
Jacque Vaughn- 27th pick

Remember that list I mentioned of the worst players post merger? His career -3.1 BPM is 61st worst. He plays 4 years with the Jazz as the 3rd string PG.

VORP: -0.7

1998
Nazr Muhammed-28th pick

Traded on draft night for a 1999 1st round pick. The Jazz could have used him.

VORP: 0

1999:
Quincy Lewis- 19th pick

Picked up in the Nazr Muhammed trade. He plays 3 awful years in Utah before leaving.

VORP in 2000 and 2001: -1.0

1999:
Andrei Kirilenko-24th pick

NICE! A great draft pick. Only one problem. He stays in Europe for 2 more years and doesn't come into the NBA until 2002 when Stockton and Malone are 39 and 38 years old. He doesn't have his all-star season until AFTER Stockton/Malone leave.

VORP: 0

1999:
Scott Padgett- 28th pick

Another bench player who doesn't have much of a career. He has a -3.8 BPM, 10 PER in the 2000 and 2001 season. Another negative contribution

VORP in 2000-01: -0.3

2000:
DeShawn Stevenson-23rd pick

He has a long career but doesn't contribute much to the Stockton/Malone Jazz. He has a -7.7 BPM, 4 PER in his rookie year.

VORP in 2001: -0.4


These 11 1st round picks contributed a total of 0.0 VORP to the Jazz. The players who they were traded for contributed even less for the Jazz, -1.1 VORP. For 15 years of drafting, they have a NEGATIVE VORP to show for their 1st round picks. That's Sacramento Kings level of drafting bad. They don't have much to show for their 2nd round picks either. They got 3 years of Shandon Anderson on the bench and they got Bryon Russell, a solid role player (1.0 BPM, 10 VORP). Nothing else after that.

Free agency:


Did the Jazz sign a relevant free agent during Stockton/Malone's career? No. The best free agent they signed up to 1995 was 34 years old Tom Chambers. They did sign Tim Legler who only played 3 games with the Jazz before being waived. He led the NBA in 3 point shooting (52%) a few years later so he could have been a contributor the Jazz. After that, they signed a few bench pieces like 34-year-old Antoine Carr, Greg "2nd worst BPM ever" Foster, Howard Eisley.

Trades:

Did the Jazz make any trades that would help out their squad? None until the Hornacek trade.

The Jazz had Adrian Dantley in 1986 coming off a 30 PPG season. They traded him and did not receive much in return (4.9 BPM).

Dantley for

Kelly Tripucka (averages 9.1 PPG in Utah, -0.7 BPM, 0.9 VORP)
Kent Benson (0.0 VORP in 1 season with Jazz)

Both players do absolutely nothing in Utah. Tripucka goes from 20 PPG in Detroit to 9 PPG in Utah then leaves Utah and goes back to 22 PPG? Benson is traded in the Curry trade mentioned above.

Tripucka gets traded for

Mike Brown (5 seasons in Utah averaging 6-5. -3.1 BPM, -2.0 VORP)

Mike Brown gets traded for

Felton Spencer (-3.5 BPM, -1.7 VORP)

Felton Spencer plays just 19 MPG on the 19 win expansion TWolves. He goes to Utah and that jumps up 28 MPG (30 MPG in the playoffs). Spencer is the starter for Utah for 3 years. You remember the list I mentioned earlier about the worst BPM's since the merger? Spencer is featured prominently on that list. He has the 16th worst career BPM. And this guy was a starter for the Jazz for 3 years of the Stockton/Malone/Hornacek prime lol. Spencer gets traded for 2 players who don't play for the Jazz and the pick that ends up being Kirilenko, too bad he came in late for Stockton/Malone.

If you are keeping score at home, that's a -2.8 VORP for the players that the Jazz received for all-star Adrian Dantley. They could have used him in the 1988-1990 seasons.

I mentioned the Jeff Malone trade earlier. The Jazz traded their starting SG, Bob Hansen, 1st round pick Eric Leckner, and a 1990 1st round pick for Jeff Malone. Jeff Malone has a negative BPM every season for the Jazz.

Thurl Bailey for Tyrone Corbin

Bailey had a solid run for the Jazz in the 80's. Corbin ends up playing 3 years for the Jazz averaging 10-6-2, 13 PER, 0.2 BPM, 3.6 VORP.

Tyrone Corbin gets traded for Adam Keefe

Adam Keefe plays 6 years in Utah mostly as a backup. He averages 5-4, 13 PER, -0.6 BPM, 2.6 VORP.

Jeff Malone and 1st round pick for Jeff Hornacek

Finally a great move for Utah. Hornacek plays 7 years in Utah averaging 14 PPG, 3.6 BPM, 20.7 VORP. It's no coincidence that the Jazz take a leap to the next level with Hornacek.


Other relevant moves:

In 1991, the Jazz signed undrafted free agent David Benoit. He averages 11-7 in college at Alabama. Can't even finish on the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd team All-SEC. He goes undrafted and plays 1 year Europe before the Jazz sign him. He starts 2 games as a rookie, but somehow is thrusted into the starting lineup in the playoffs. He plays 5 years with the Jazz, all of them as a playoff starter, averaging 12 PER, -0.8 BPM, 0.4 VORP. In the playoffs he has a 49 TS%, 10 PER, -1.6 BPM.

Remember how I said Felton Spencer was the Jazz 3 year starter from 94-96 and was the 16th worst player? Well, in 1995, Spencer got injured mid season. You would think that's a good thing. Wrong. Somehow the Jazz got even worse. The Jazz signed James Donaldson as his replacement. In 1993, Donaldson played just 6 games as a 35 year old. The next season he plays in Europe. Then the next year the Jazz sign 37 year old James Donaldson midseason. He averages 2.6 PPG, 2.5 Reb, 8 PER, -1.5 BPM playing 40 games as the starter. In the playoffs he averages 2.8 PPG, 1.8 Reb, 9 PER, -0.5 BPM in 15 MPG as the starter playing against Hakeem Olajuwon. After that, he never played another game in the NBA.

This is an old analysis I did comparing Stockton/Malone's supporting cast from 88-94 to other great players. SPOILER: They compared awfully.


88-94 (Doesn't include Stockton/Malone):
# of players with 1+ VORP: 7
2+ VORP: 0
2+ BPM (Min. 1000 MP): 0 (best BPM is Mark Eaton 0.6)

90-96 Spurs (Robinson):
1+ VORP: 22
2+ VORP: 11
2+ BPM: 2

98-04 Lakers (Shaq and Kobe):
1+ VORP: 15
2+ VORP: 6
2+ BPM: 7

87-93 Bulls (MJ and Pippen):
1+ VORP: 9
2+ VORP: 4
2+ BPM: 2

80-86 Lakers (Magic and Kareem):
1+ VORP: 19
2+ VORP: 6
2+ BPM: 2


01-07 Spurs (Duncan):
1+ VORP: 37
2+ VORP: 13
2+ BPM: 20


The Jazz had 0 2+ VORP players in that span while the other franchises averaged 8 of them. The Jazz supporting cast was significantly behind the other teams.


Recap:
-The Jazz had a historically bad drafting run in the 15 years after Stockton/Malone
-They signed no free agents of significance because they were stuck in small market Utah. The best free agent they ever signed was 34 year old Tom Chambers
-Most of their trades sucked. They got negative trade value for All-star Adrian Dantley
-The Jazz made 1 good move during the Stockton/Malone era. The Jeff Hornacek trade. There is a reason why their best playoff runs happen from 1995-1999.
-The Jazz's playoff struggles from 1988-1994 can be explained by all of the above factors and the fact that their best supporting players during that run were Mark Eaton, Tyrone Corbin, and David Benoit.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#6 » by Ancalagon » Sat Nov 28, 2020 3:05 am

colts18 wrote:Why did the Jazz not win a title? If you look at the drafting history of the Utah Jazz you will find the aswer. Their drafting track record was so bad that I had to write a long post pointing out the incompetence of the Jazz. I analyzed Utah's draft record from the time they draft they drafted Karl Malone in 1985 to 2000. I will post these players VORP's from 1987-2001, the last relevant season of Stockton/Malone. What did they contribute to the Jazz? You will be surprised just how bad it was.

1986
Dell Curry- 15th Pick

Wait, Dell Curry played for the Jazz? You might not remember that. It's ok but he had a brief one-year stint as a rookie with the Jazz before being traded. Curry, 40% career 3 point shooter, would have been the perfect fit with Malone/Stockton. He got traded for Darryl Dawkins and Melvin Turpin. Dawkins is a big name and Turpin was the 6th pick a few years earlier. That sounds like a great haul until you look at closer. Dawkins played just 4 games with the Jazz before being traded to the Bad Boys Pistons. He played a total of 16 games with the Pistons before his NBA career ended. Turpin was an all-time bust. He played 1 year with the Jazz (-1.6 BPM, 14 PER) and one more season with the Bullets before his career ended.

Curry's VORP with the Jazz: -0.2
Dawkins/Turpin VORP: 0.0
Verdict: The Jazz got nothing out of that pick

1987
Jose Ortiz- 15th pick

Who? He played just 2 years with the Jazz (-6.4 BPM, 9 PER) before his career was over. A huge bust

VORP with the Jazz: -0.4


1988
Eric Leckner-17th pick

Leckner was an awful player. He was traded after 2 years (-4.5 BPM, 11 PER with Jazz) in the Jeff Malone trade. His career -5.3 BPM is the 3rd worst in history (min. 5,000 MP). #2 worst, Greg Foster, was a starter during the Jazz finals years. :lol:

VORP with the Jazz: -1.0 VORP
Jeff Malone VORP: -0.6 VORP

1989
Blue Edwards- 21st pick

Finally, our first player who started. He plays 3 years for the Jazz as their starting Small Forward averaging 10-7-2. He has an 11 PER, -1.4 BPM in that span. He is traded alongside for Eric Murdock and a 1st round pick for Jay Humphries and Larry Krystowiak. I will get to that trade later.

VORP with the Jazz: 0.9 (Positive!)

1990
No 1st round pick

1991
Eric Murdock

A good player. A career 2.0 BPM and 17 PER. In his 3rd season he averaged 15-7 with 2.4 steals and a 4.0 BPM, 17th in the league. Great player right? The only problem is NONE of that happened with the Jazz. He plays 1 non-descript season as a backup before being traded to Milwaukee in the trade mentioned above. Krystowiak plays 1 season (-2.5 BPM) with the Jazz. Humphries plays 3 seasons (-2.3 BPM) with the Jazz before being traded to Boston. He plays 6 games in Boston before his career is over.

Murdock's VORP: 0.2
Krystowiak/Humphries VORP: -0.5

1992
No 1st round pick

No pick because of the trade mentioned above. To recap, the Jazz traded 3 1st round picks (Edwards, Murdock, and 92 pick) for nothing. This what the Jazz GM said about the trade:

"I think this is another step to take advantage of the abilities of (John Stockton and Karl Malone) in their prime," said General Manager Tim Howells. "We have two or three years to get some things done. :lol: And it's a move, hopefully, to prolong their careers."

Little does he know that Stockton/Malone would last another decade and the players he traded for were useless parts.


1993
Luther Wright- 18th pick

Plays 15 games his rookie year. Finishes the season with 19 Total points, 10 rebounds, 0 assists, 6 turnovers, on 35 FG%. His PER is -0.4. How do you have a negative PER? He was so bad that the Jazz cut him after the season and he never played in the NBA again.

VORP: -0.2

1994
No First round pick

If you are keeping count that is 9 straight drafts without a contribution to the Jazz

1995
Greg Ostertag-28th pick

The first player the Jazz draft that is "decent". He is a starter on the 97 Jazz. In 98, he goes to the bench for Adam keefe. A career 13 PER and -0.6 BPM.

VORP from 95-01: 3.1

1996
Martin Müürsepp- 25th pick

Who? He gets traded to Miami on draft night for a 2000 1st round pick. Lasts only 2 seasons in the NBA

VORP: 0 (never played for the Jazz)

1997
Jacque Vaughn- 27th pick

Remember that list I mentioned of the worst players post merger? His career -3.1 BPM is 61st worst. He plays 4 years with the Jazz as the 3rd string PG.

VORP: -0.7

1998
Nazr Muhammed-28th pick

Traded on draft night for a 1999 1st round pick. The Jazz could have used him.

VORP: 0

1999:
Quincy Lewis- 19th pick

Picked up in the Nazr Muhammed trade. He plays 3 awful years in Utah before leaving.

VORP in 2000 and 2001: -1.0

1999:
Andrei Kirilenko-24th pick

NICE! A great draft pick. Only one problem. He stays in Europe for 2 more years and doesn't come into the NBA until 2002 when Stockton and Malone are 39 and 38 years old. He doesn't have his all-star season until AFTER Stockton/Malone leave.

VORP: 0

1999:
Scott Padgett- 28th pick

Another bench player who doesn't have much of a career. He has a -3.8 BPM, 10 PER in the 2000 and 2001 season. Another negative contribution

VORP in 2000-01: -0.3

2000:
DeShawn Stevenson-23rd pick

He has a long career but doesn't contribute much to the Stockton/Malone Jazz. He has a -7.7 BPM, 4 PER in his rookie year.

VORP in 2001: -0.4


These 11 1st round picks contributed a total of 0.0 VORP to the Jazz. The players who they were traded for contributed even less for the Jazz, -1.1 VORP. For 15 years of drafting, they have a NEGATIVE VORP to show for their 1st round picks. That's Sacramento Kings level of drafting bad. They don't have much to show for their 2nd round picks either. They got 3 years of Shandon Anderson on the bench and they got Bryon Russell, a solid role player (1.0 BPM, 10 VORP). Nothing else after that.

Free agency:


Did the Jazz sign a relevant free agent during Stockton/Malone's career? No. The best free agent they signed up to 1995 was 34 years old Tom Chambers. They did sign Tim Legler who only played 3 games with the Jazz before being waived. He led the NBA in 3 point shooting (52%) a few years later so he could have been a contributor the Jazz. After that, they signed a few bench pieces like 34-year-old Antoine Carr, Greg "2nd worst BPM ever" Foster, Howard Eisley.

Trades:

Did the Jazz make any trades that would help out their squad? None until the Hornacek trade.

The Jazz had Adrian Dantley in 1986 coming off a 30 PPG season. They traded him and did not receive much in return (4.9 BPM).

Dantley for

Kelly Tripucka (averages 9.1 PPG in Utah, -0.7 BPM, 0.9 VORP)
Kent Benson (0.0 VORP in 1 season with Jazz)

Both players do absolutely nothing in Utah. Tripucka goes from 20 PPG in Detroit to 9 PPG in Utah then leaves Utah and goes back to 22 PPG? Benson is traded in the Curry trade mentioned above.

Tripucka gets traded for

Mike Brown (5 seasons in Utah averaging 6-5. -3.1 BPM, -2.0 VORP)

Mike Brown gets traded for

Felton Spencer (-3.5 BPM, -1.7 VORP)

Felton Spencer plays just 19 MPG on the 19 win expansion TWolves. He goes to Utah and that jumps up 28 MPG (30 MPG in the playoffs). Spencer is the starter for Utah for 3 years. You remember the list I mentioned earlier about the worst BPM's since the merger? Spencer is featured prominently on that list. He has the 16th worst career BPM. And this guy was a starter for the Jazz for 3 years of the Stockton/Malone/Hornacek prime lol. Spencer gets traded for 2 players who don't play for the Jazz and the pick that ends up being Kirilenko, too bad he came in late for Stockton/Malone.

If you are keeping score at home, that's a -2.8 VORP for the players that the Jazz received for all-star Adrian Dantley. They could have used him in the 1988-1990 seasons.

I mentioned the Jeff Malone trade earlier. The Jazz traded their starting SG, Bob Hansen, 1st round pick Eric Leckner, and a 1990 1st round pick for Jeff Malone. Jeff Malone has a negative BPM every season for the Jazz.

Thurl Bailey for Tyrone Corbin

Bailey had a solid run for the Jazz in the 80's. Corbin ends up playing 3 years for the Jazz averaging 10-6-2, 13 PER, 0.2 BPM, 3.6 VORP.

Tyrone Corbin gets traded for Adam Keefe

Adam Keefe plays 6 years in Utah mostly as a backup. He averages 5-4, 13 PER, -0.6 BPM, 2.6 VORP.

Jeff Malone and 1st round pick for Jeff Hornacek

Finally a great move for Utah. Hornacek plays 7 years in Utah averaging 14 PPG, 3.6 BPM, 20.7 VORP. It's no coincidence that the Jazz take a leap to the next level with Hornacek.


Other relevant moves:

In 1991, the Jazz signed undrafted free agent David Benoit. He averages 11-7 in college at Alabama. Can't even finish on the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd team All-SEC. He goes undrafted and plays 1 year Europe before the Jazz sign him. He starts 2 games as a rookie, but somehow is thrusted into the starting lineup in the playoffs. He plays 5 years with the Jazz, all of them as a playoff starter, averaging 12 PER, -0.8 BPM, 0.4 VORP. In the playoffs he has a 49 TS%, 10 PER, -1.6 BPM.

Remember how I said Felton Spencer was the Jazz 3 year starter from 94-96 and was the 16th worst player? Well, in 1995, Spencer got injured mid season. You would think that's a good thing. Wrong. Somehow the Jazz got even worse. The Jazz signed James Donaldson as his replacement. In 1993, Donaldson played just 6 games as a 35 year old. The next season he plays in Europe. Then the next year the Jazz sign 37 year old James Donaldson midseason. He averages 2.6 PPG, 2.5 Reb, 8 PER, -1.5 BPM playing 40 games as the starter. In the playoffs he averages 2.8 PPG, 1.8 Reb, 9 PER, -0.5 BPM in 15 MPG as the starter playing against Hakeem Olajuwon. After that, he never played another game in the NBA.

This is an old analysis I did comparing Stockton/Malone's supporting cast from 88-94 to other great players. SPOILER: They compared awfully.


88-94 (Doesn't include Stockton/Malone):
# of players with 1+ VORP: 7
2+ VORP: 0
2+ BPM (Min. 1000 MP): 0 (best BPM is Mark Eaton 0.6)

90-96 Spurs (Robinson):
1+ VORP: 22
2+ VORP: 11
2+ BPM: 2

98-04 Lakers (Shaq and Kobe):
1+ VORP: 15
2+ VORP: 6
2+ BPM: 7

87-93 Bulls (MJ and Pippen):
1+ VORP: 9
2+ VORP: 4
2+ BPM: 2

80-86 Lakers (Magic and Kareem):
1+ VORP: 19
2+ VORP: 6
2+ BPM: 2


01-07 Spurs (Duncan):
1+ VORP: 37
2+ VORP: 13
2+ BPM: 20


The Jazz had 0 2+ VORP players in that span while the other franchises averaged 8 of them. The Jazz supporting cast was significantly behind the other teams.


Recap:
-The Jazz had a historically bad drafting run in the 15 years after Stockton/Malone
-They signed no free agents of significance because they were stuck in small market Utah. The best free agent they ever signed was 34 year old Tom Chambers
-Most of their trades sucked. They got negative trade value for All-star Adrian Dantley
-The Jazz made 1 good move during the Stockton/Malone era. The Jeff Hornacek trade. There is a reason why their best playoff runs happen from 1995-1999.
-The Jazz's playoff struggles from 1988-1994 can be explained by all of the above factors and the fact that their best supporting players during that run were Mark Eaton, Tyrone Corbin, and David Benoit.


Great, great post. It helps explain some of the apparent cognitive dissonance in many Jazz fans insisting Malone and Stockton were elite, insisting Sloan was a great coach, and simultaneously explaining away the lack of rings.

I personally think Sloan had some major strengths and some huge weaknesses. But it is the Jazz front office (and ownership) who deserve blame for not getting Stockton and Malone adequate support between 1988 and 1995 in particular.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#7 » by eminence » Sat Nov 28, 2020 3:22 am

Do you legit think Benoit/Corbin were better than Jeff Malone/Thurl Bailey or is that some stat talking?

Tripucka was almost inexplicably bad in Utah.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#8 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 3:38 am

The above is sort of why I have no trouble putting Stockton in my top 25. Because the west was tough from about 1990 until today and even duos like Shaq/Kobe and LeBron/Wade needed major help from role players at times in order to win some of those rings. So combine that with Malone being sort of a subpar playoff guy for a superstar(though still very good at times) and I'm not going to sit here and penalize Stockton that much for the lack of team success in the early 90's. Those teams needed more firepower and even without it Stockton was still leading them to top 7 ORtg's in the league every year from 92-01(including top 3 4 straight years from 96-99).
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#9 » by colts18 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 4:29 am

Part 2 on why the Jazz didn't win a title.

Long story short: the competition was stiff. This is how the Jazz fared in the playoffs in the 90s.

In 1990, they lost to Phoenix.
Suns 54-28, 7.08 SRS (1st)

If they beat Phoenix, they would have to beat the following teams to win a title:
Showtime Lakers- 63-19, 6.74 SRS (2nd)
Blazers- 59-23, 6.48 SRS (3rd)
Bad Boys Pistons- 59-23, 5.48 SRS (4th)

No one ever beat the top 4 teams in the league to win a title.

1991:
Beat Suns 55-27, 6.49 SRS (4th)
Lose to Blazers 63-19, 8.41 SRS (2nd)

Lakers 58-24, 6.73 SRS (3rd)
Bulls 61-21, 8.57 SRS (1st)

Top 4 teams again.

1992:
Beat Clippers 45-37, 1.10 SRS
Beat Sonics 47-35, 1.86 SRS (11th)
Lose to Blazers 57-25, 6.94 SRS (2nd)

Bulls 67-15, 10.07 SRS (1st)

Beat 2 unimpressive teams before losing to the 2nd best team. If they won that, they would have to face a really tough Bulls team

1993:
Lose to Sonics 55-27, 6.66 (1st)

Rockets 55-27, 3.57 SRS (6th)
Suns 62-20, 6.27 SRS (3rd)
Bulls 57-25, 6.19 SRS (4th)

They lose to the best team in the league. They would still need to beat 4 55+ win teams if they wanted to win a title. No one has ever done that except Hakeem

1994:
Beat Spurs 55-27, 5.05 SRS (3rd)
Beat Nuggets 42-40, 1.54 SRS (16th)
Lose to Rockets 58-24, 4.19 SRS (6th)

Knicks 57-25, 6.48 SRS (2nd)

The Jazz beat a really good Spurs team in the 1st round. They catch a lucky break when the Nuggets upset the 63 win Sonics. They end up losing to the championship Rockets. If they win that they would have a battle vs the Pat Riley Knicks.

1995
Lose to Rockets 47-35, 2.32 SRS (11th)

Suns 59-23, 3.86 SRS (6th)
Spurs 62-20, 5.90 SRS (4th)
Magic 57-25 6.44 SRS (3rd)

They lose to a Rockets team that was mediocre in the regular. Their regular season numbers are deceiving as they upped their game in the postseason. Even if they beat the Rockets, they would need to beat 3 teams averaging 60 wins to win a title. Props to Hakeem for winning the toughest championship in history.

1996
Beat Blazers 44-38 2.21 SRS (11th)
Beat Spurs 59-23, 5.98 SRS (4th)
Lose to Sonics 64-18, 7.40 SRS (2nd)

Bulls 72-10, 11.80 SRS (1st)

The Jazz performed as expected. They beat a really good David Robinson Spurs team. Then they lost in 7 to the Sonics. If they won, they would had to face the best team in history.

1997:
Beat the Clippers 36-46, -2.66 SRS (20th)
Beat the Lakers 56-26, 3.66 SRS (8th)
Beat the Rockets 57-25, 3.85 SRS (7th)
Lose to the Bulls 69-13, 10.70 SRS (1st)

The Jazz handled their business in the Western conference playoffs. They had an 11-3 record before facing the legendary Chicago Bulls. The Jazz lost in 6 games in a series where they were only outscored by a mere 4 points. They did just as well as they were expected to do.

1998:
Beat the Rockets 41-41, -1.23 SRS (19th)
Beat the Spurs 56-26, 3.30 SRS (9th)
Beat the Lakers 61-21, 6.88 SRS (2nd)
Lose to the Bulls 62-20, 7.24 SRS (1st)

The Jazz beat the 2nd best team in the playoffs. Then they lost to the best team, the Jordan Bulls in another close series

1999:
Beat the Kings 27-23, -0.89 SRS (17th)
Lose to the Blazers 35-15, 5.67 SRS (2nd)

Spurs 37-13, 7.12 SRS (1st)
Knicks 27-23, 1.45 SRS (13th)

They lose to the 2nd best team in the league. Even if they win, they would have go through the Twin Towers Duncan/Robinson Spurs. If they happened to make it to the finals, they would have an easy opponent in the 8 seed Knicks.

Recap:
-The Jazz lost to 10 opponents who averaged 59 wins and a 6.66 SRS (better than the 2020 Lakers).
-If the Jazz beat their opponent during the 8 years they lost before the finals, they would have face an average 2 more teams each year with an average record of 60-22, 6.43 SRS (same SRS as the 2019 Warriors).

How do you expect them to beat teams as good as the championship LeBron Lakers, then beat a team as good as the 2019 Warriors in the WCF, then beat another team as good as the KD/Curry Warriors in the finals? That's a near impossible task.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#10 » by Magic Is Magic » Sat Nov 28, 2020 5:05 am

Voting for the #24 spot:


1. Stephen Curry
2. James Harden
3. Chris Paul

1. Stephen Curry is one of those guys that is hard to rank mostly because he doesn't have that Finals MVP yet but everything else he has done is ridiculous. First of all, being able to make it to 5 straight Finals is amazing. We downplay that because of LeBron but truthfully they are the only two players to ever make 5 straight Finals since probably 1960 or so? Meanwhile guys are trying to slide in Stockton who only ever made 2 Finals for his whole career and never won a ring either.

Curry making 5 straight Finals alone, that right there is amazing, but his greatness goes even further. He also won 3 of them, while achieving the greatest regular season run in the history of our sport. 73 wins, Unanimous MVP. 30 ppg, off a 50/40/90 splits for a full season. He has also has all the three pointer records too: most in a single season, most in the playoffs, and will eventually pass Ray Allen for most all time in the RS, and he has already passed Ray by nearly 100 in playoff 3-pointers. His offensive gravity is remarkable and yet still easy to give dismiss. But think about this, teams in the playoffs were nearly forced to pick him up as soon as he crossed half court or they were repeatedly sending hard doubles at him. No other perimeter player has faced that type of defensive attention. Anyway, in a nut shell: 2x MVP, 3x Rings, 5x Finals, Only U-MVP in league history, 1st in PO 3-pointers, soon to be 1st in RS 3-pointers as well. I can't put a guy with 2 Finals and zero rings or MVPs above that. Nope, no way.

2. Harden dropped 36 ppg in the modern era! He also accumulated three scoring titles, an MVP, and an assist title. Very few have won both an assist and scoring title in their NBA career. Not to mention he is an 8x all-star, but the thing holding him back the most is lack of Finals appearances and rings. He only has 1 Finals appearance, although I feel if the next guy below him (CP3) didn't get hurt in 2018 playoffs then Harden most likely wins his first title and possibly the FMVP. I can't count LeBron out completely in 2018 but if Chris Paul doesn't get hurt in 2018 then Harden likely wins his 1st ring (finally). Harden also has 6x all NBA 1st teams (more than some guys voted before him such as: Barkley, Erving, Dirk, KG, Moses, Robinson, Russell, & Curry/Wade/Nash/Pippen [if people are voting them in]).

2. If Chris Paul had some Finals appearances and or a ring he would be pushed to the front with everything else he has done, but unfortunately for him he does not have that missing piece. Chris Paul plays both sides of the ball extremely well but he also does lack a pick of the offensive firepower when compared to the other modern guys ahead of him (KD, Curry, Harden). Plus all of those guys have an MVP and at least 1 Finals appearance still needs an MVP or a Finals appearance/ring to pass Harden but he is obviously close.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#11 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 5:13 am

Magic Is Magic wrote:
1. Stephen Curry is one of those guys that is hard to rank mostly because he doesn't have that Finals MVP yet but everything else he has done is ridiculous.


Just want to say that I currently don't have Curry on my ballot and it has absolutely nothing to do with lack of fmvps and I think there are others who would say the same. The thing holding him back right now is just too short of a prime which is semi compromised by injuries. Also having only made all nba 1st or 2nd team 5 times. He's only 32 so he could still easily have another 5-6 years left in his career. So keep in mind that people who may not vote for him as top 25 right now could easily have him in their top 20 or 15 when he is actually done with his career.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#12 » by No-more-rings » Sat Nov 28, 2020 5:17 am

Magic Is Magic wrote:Voting for the #24 spot:


1. Stephen Curry
2. James Harden
3. Chris Paul

1. Stephen Curry is one of those guys that is hard to rank mostly because he doesn't have that Finals MVP yet but everything else he has done is ridiculous. First of all, being able to make it to 5 straight Finals is amazing. We downplay that because of LeBron but truthfully they are the only two to every make 5 straight Finals since probably 1960 or so? Meanwhile guys are trying to slide in Stockton who only ever made 2 Finals for his whole career and never won a ring. Curry making 5 straight Finals alone, that right there is amazing, but his greatness goes even further. He also won 3 of them, while achieving the greatest regular season run in the history of our sport. 73 wins. Unanimous MVP. 30 ppg, off a 50/40/90 split season. He has all the three pointer records too, most in a single season, most in the playoffs, and will eventually pass Ray Allen for most all time in the RS, and he has already passed him by nearly 100 in playoff 3-pointers. His offensive gravity is remarkable and easy to give dismiss. Teams in the playoffs were nearly forced to pick him up as soon as he crossed half court or they were repeatedly sending hard doubles at him. No other perimeter player has faced that type of defensive attention. Anyway, in a nut shell. 2x MVP, 3x Rings, 5x Finals, Only U-MVP in league history, 1st in PO 3-pointers, soon to be 1st in RS 3-pointers as well. I can't put a guy with 2 Finals and zero rings or MVPs above that. NOPE.

2. 36 ppg in the modern era? Three scoring titles, an MVP, and an assist title. Very few have won both an assist and scoring title. Not to mention he is an 8x all-star, but the thing holding him back the most is lack of Finals appearances and rings. He only has 1 Finals appearance, although I feel if the next guy (CP3) doesn't get hurt in 2018 then he most likely wins his first title and possibly the FMVP. I can't count LeBron out completely but if Chris Paul doesn't get hurt in 2018 then Harden likely wins his 1st ring (finally).

2. If Chris Paul had some Finals appearances and or a ring he would be pushed to the front with everything else he has done, but unfortunately for him he does not have that missing piece. Chris Paul plays both sides of the ball extremely well but he also does lack a pick of the offensive firepower when compared to the other modern guys ahead of him (KD, Curry, Harden). Plus all of those guys have an MVP and at least 1 Finals appearance still needs an MVP or a Finals appearance/ring to pass Harden but he is obviously close.

What’s your argument for Harden over Wade?
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#13 » by Magic Is Magic » Sat Nov 28, 2020 6:28 am

Cavsfansince84 wrote:
Magic Is Magic wrote:
1. Stephen Curry is one of those guys that is hard to rank mostly because he doesn't have that Finals MVP yet but everything else he has done is ridiculous.


Just want to say that I currently don't have Curry on my ballot and it has absolutely nothing to do with lack of fmvps and I think there are others who would say the same. The thing holding him back right now is just too short of a prime which is semi compromised by injuries. Also having only made all nba 1st or 2nd team 5 times. He's only 32 so he could still easily have another 5-6 years left in his career. So keep in mind that people who may not vote for him as top 25 right now could easily have him in their top 20 or 15 when he is actually done with his career.


I get that this longevity isn't up to par compared to others but even if he stopped playing today he has done too much to put someone like Stockton over him

-5 straight Finals (#2 all time besides Lebron since 1970)
-3 rings
-2 MVPs
-73 win season
-Scoring title
-1st and only Unanimous MVP
-steals leader
-50/40/90 season on 30 ppg


No one else is really close to that at this stage are they?
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#14 » by Magic Is Magic » Sat Nov 28, 2020 6:52 am

No-more-rings wrote:
Magic Is Magic wrote:Voting for the #24 spot:


1. Stephen Curry
2. James Harden
3. Chris Paul

1. Stephen Curry is one of those guys that is hard to rank mostly because he doesn't have that Finals MVP yet but everything else he has done is ridiculous. First of all, being able to make it to 5 straight Finals is amazing. We downplay that because of LeBron but truthfully they are the only two to every make 5 straight Finals since probably 1960 or so? Meanwhile guys are trying to slide in Stockton who only ever made 2 Finals for his whole career and never won a ring. Curry making 5 straight Finals alone, that right there is amazing, but his greatness goes even further. He also won 3 of them, while achieving the greatest regular season run in the history of our sport. 73 wins. Unanimous MVP. 30 ppg, off a 50/40/90 split season. He has all the three pointer records too, most in a single season, most in the playoffs, and will eventually pass Ray Allen for most all time in the RS, and he has already passed him by nearly 100 in playoff 3-pointers. His offensive gravity is remarkable and easy to give dismiss. Teams in the playoffs were nearly forced to pick him up as soon as he crossed half court or they were repeatedly sending hard doubles at him. No other perimeter player has faced that type of defensive attention. Anyway, in a nut shell. 2x MVP, 3x Rings, 5x Finals, Only U-MVP in league history, 1st in PO 3-pointers, soon to be 1st in RS 3-pointers as well. I can't put a guy with 2 Finals and zero rings or MVPs above that. NOPE.

2. 36 ppg in the modern era? Three scoring titles, an MVP, and an assist title. Very few have won both an assist and scoring title. Not to mention he is an 8x all-star, but the thing holding him back the most is lack of Finals appearances and rings. He only has 1 Finals appearance, although I feel if the next guy (CP3) doesn't get hurt in 2018 then he most likely wins his first title and possibly the FMVP. I can't count LeBron out completely but if Chris Paul doesn't get hurt in 2018 then Harden likely wins his 1st ring (finally).

2. If Chris Paul had some Finals appearances and or a ring he would be pushed to the front with everything else he has done, but unfortunately for him he does not have that missing piece. Chris Paul plays both sides of the ball extremely well but he also does lack a pick of the offensive firepower when compared to the other modern guys ahead of him (KD, Curry, Harden). Plus all of those guys have an MVP and at least 1 Finals appearance still needs an MVP or a Finals appearance/ring to pass Harden but he is obviously close.

What’s your argument for Harden over Wade?


I'm not going to say they aren't far off at this point because they aren't--they're close no doubt. Unless Harden has a career ending injury he will pass Wade in every regular season totals stat except blocks (points, rebounds, assists, steals). He will also pass Wade in every per-game regular season stat as well (not that I like per game as much due to giving advantages to when people leave the league) but nonetheless he will have better stats than Wade in fewer season due to Wade's injuries. Harden also has better playoff per-game stats at the moment and isn't far behind in total stats in the playoffs. Harden has the MVP and Wade the FMVP (which I'd argue MVP is technically harder to win, ask Cedric Maxwell and Andre Iguodola) but close either way. I also wish Wade won at least 1 MVP (the hardest award to win in the NBA) or had better longevity, or at least had more Finals appearances without LeBron's help. Wade without Lebron = 1 Finals appearance and the controversial D-Whistle chip.

I really like Harden's 6x All-NBA 1st teams to Wade's 2x, that's one of the biggest reasons. Harden also has the incredible ability to lead the league in scoring 3x and also won an Assist title (very rare and elite company to win both scoring and assist title in a career, I believe this has only done by maybe 8 players ever?) Wade is much better on defense but Harden has stepped up a bit. Lastly, Wade only having 23k points is a bit low for a top 25 spot when you don't have an MVP. Again, he missed a lot of games that hurt his longevity whereas Harden could literally pass Wade in scoring this year, in 4 fewer seasons. I think I might have to sneak Wade in soon though. I'm having a tough time with Wade and Pippen since Pippen was the ultimate swiss army knife and it's hard to argue against 6 rings. Also his 3rd in MVP voting matched Wade's best MVP voting season. I also think about Nash since he did win back to back MVPs but then he doesn't even have a Finals appearance so...
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#15 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 7:39 am

Magic Is Magic wrote:
I get that this longevity isn't up to par compared to others but even if he stopped playing today he has done too much to put someone like Stockton over him

-5 straight Finals (#2 all time besides Lebron since 1970)
-3 rings
-2 MVPs
-73 win season
-Scoring title
-1st and only Unanimous MVP
-steals leader
-50/40/90 season on 30 ppg


No one else is really close to that at this stage are they?


It really depends on what you value and what you think it brings to a team I suppose. Is a scoring title somehow greater in the scheme of things then like 7 straight assists titles? Or leading the league in steals once compared to 4 times? His mvps are a big thing. In terms of peak he definitely beats out Stockton. Just not based on career value for me yet. In 5-6 years that will likely change.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#16 » by Owly » Sat Nov 28, 2020 10:48 am

eminence wrote:Do you legit think Benoit/Corbin were better than Jeff Malone/Thurl Bailey or is that some stat talking?

Corbin was better than Bailey by the time of the trade. He was younger, better production for the past 3 years (mentally aggregating the B-Ref box-y composites), better intangibles (Corbin considered elite here, per Rick Barry and Jordan Cohn) and better on D (Bailey slipping).

colts18 wrote:Why did the Jazz not win a title? ...

Some thoughts on the post in general.

Utah were a bit unlucky with Humphries collapsing exactly after they acquired him, it looked like they were getting ... say a league average starter (maybe better, if he shook of the effects of a neck injury nagging him the prior year) as their 3rd guard. Also Murdock is overrated by the boxscores (super aggressive gambleer on D, offensive point instincts questioned too) and unlikely to find a role due to being exclusively a 1 given his size (Humphries - a combo guard - fit better). It didn't work out, which is what matters here, but even if you think they gave up too much (though Humphries would - reasonably enough I think - have been regarded as a sure thing in his role, the pieces the other way not so much), it's understandable. The "three firsts" angle is mean, part of the reason for the bad picks is they're picking low because Stockton and Malone are good: it's a 21st, a 21st and a 23rd (in a 27 team league).

Did the Jazz make any trades that would help out their squad? None until the Hornacek trade.

Yes. See Corbin above. I think given what was given up for him the Jeff Malone deal is perhaps undersold here, based on the above statement. I would tend to agree with the net sentiment that the front office did a bad job and the "didn't win a title so ..." angle is missing this context.

The VORP table isn't necessarily calibrated to my tastes (even if I was higher on BPM). If you were high minutes on a good team, given the low bar to be positive in VORP if you can get in the vicinity of 3000 minutes you don't have to be that good to get to 2 VORP (Willie Anderson, young Sean Elliott, Avery Johnson) and so it's as much about do you have a stable (high-end [in minutes - not talent] heavy) rotation. I didn't love the inclusion of single players (Robinson and Duncan) or at least they should have been separate imo, there's just more stats to consume (and a greater share of team-based credit available in a way that might junk up the comparison. This maybe be a result of recycling material from an old post and a different context.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#17 » by freethedevil » Sat Nov 28, 2020 11:27 am

1. curry

2. Nash

3. Pippen
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#18 » by Dutchball97 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 11:33 am

1. Steph Curry - KD finally got in so I'm moving on to another guy I already view as top 15. The case against Curry is his relative lack of longevity. He has 7 years of high level play from 2013-2019, which isn't the best but at this point it's not something that bothers me too much. Especially when you consider what Curry has achieved in those years. Back to back MVPs, including the first unanimous MVP for what could very well be the best regular season ever. Five straight finals and three rings is also an insane achievement. His 2015 and 2017 play-off runs especially were absolutely elite and on top of that he has played at a high level every year he's been in the play-offs, even though his level in the play-offs isn't as historically insane as his regular season. If you remove the longevity argument, Curry is a guy who can already make a case for top 10 and with longevity not being a priority for me, there is little holding me back from voting him in here.

2. Dwyane Wade - Before the project began I thought I'd probably vote for Dirk and Wade right after each other. Now this time it's not because Wade fell a lot more spots than I thought but because Dirk was voted in much earlier than I expected. Wade is another guy who doesn't have the best longevity but his prime is nothing to scoff at. Really high regular season peak in 2009 and 2010, plenty of great play-off runs as well like 2006 and 2011. The thing that hurts him the most and what puts him towards the back end of this tier of players is that he was somewhat inconsistent in the play-offs. A few too many bad years in his prime to put him much higher but there are also very few guys left that reached the heights that Wade did.

3. Bob Pettit - He briefly was the best player in the league between Mikan and Russell. He was also elite for the entirety of his 10 year career. Pettit won 2 MVPs and a ring in the late 50s, which wasn't the strongest era of course. However, he held up just fine in the early 60s against some All-Time greats already on the list. I'm not too fixated on where Pettit gets voted in exactly but I do firmly believe he was a better player than Elgin Baylor.

I'm pretty sure I'm going for CP3 after the guys on my ballot are voted in but after that the field is wide open again for me.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#19 » by freethedevil » Sat Nov 28, 2020 1:58 pm

Cavsfansince84 wrote:
Magic Is Magic wrote:
1. Stephen Curry is one of those guys that is hard to rank mostly because he doesn't have that Finals MVP yet but everything else he has done is ridiculous.


Just want to say that I currently don't have Curry on my ballot and it has absolutely nothing to do with lack of fmvps and I think there are others who would say the same. The thing holding him back right now is just too short of a prime which is semi compromised by injuries. Also having only made all nba 1st or 2nd team 5 times. He's only 32 so he could still easily have another 5-6 years left in his career. So keep in mind that people who may not vote for him as top 25 right now could easily have him in their top 20 or 15 when he is actually done with his career.

Oddly enough, Curry's longetivty is actually ~ Durants if you go by playoff contribution

I dont really understand while durant is perceived as some karl malone when he's had a margianlly longer rs prime and an identially shoert playoff prime.

He doesn't have a meningful longevity advantage over curry and its basiclaly nothing over harden.

And as far as affecting winning goes, Curry was already close to as good as peak rs durant by 2013-2014.


As far as accumulative championship equity goes, curry is comfortably the #1 option of anyone left and has been for the last 5 spots.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #23 

Post#20 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sat Nov 28, 2020 3:58 pm

freethedevil wrote:Oddly enough, Curry's longetivty is actually ~ Durants if you go by playoff contribution

I dont really understand while durant is perceived as some karl malone when he's had a margianlly longer rs prime and an identially shoert playoff prime.

He doesn't have a meningful longevity advantage over curry and its basiclaly nothing over harden.

And as far as affecting winning goes, Curry was already close to as good as peak rs durant by 2013-2014.


As far as accumulative championship equity goes, curry is comfortably the #1 option of anyone left and has been for the last 5 spots.


I'm not going to go into much depth since Durant is already off the board so there's not much point in debating between them but KD is still ahead of Steph in both ps win shares and vorp by a reasonable margin and saying that Steph was as good as him in 2014 seems pretty out there imo. KD's rs prime is at least 3 years longer and we're talking 3 years where he finished 2nd, 5th and 2nd in mvp voting.

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