RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 (Dwight Howard)

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RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 (Dwight Howard) 

Post#1 » by trex_8063 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 1:56 am

2020 List
1. LeBron James
2. Michael Jordan
3. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
4. Bill Russell
5. Tim Duncan
6. Wilt Chamberlain
7. Magic Johnson
8. Shaquille O'Neal
9. Hakeem Olajuwon
10. Larry Bird
11. Kevin Garnett
12. Kobe Bryant
13. Jerry West
14. Oscar Robertson
15. Dirk Nowitzki
16. Karl Malone
17. David Robinson
18. Julius Erving
19. George Mikan
20. Moses Malone
21. Charles Barkley
22. Kevin Durant
23. Chris Paul
24. Stephen Curry
25. Bob Pettit
26. John Stockton
27. Steve Nash
28. Dwyane Wade
29. Patrick Ewing
30. Walt Frazier
31. James Harden
32. Scottie Pippen
33. Elgin Baylor
34. John Havlicek
35. Rick Barry
36. Jason Kidd
37. George Gervin
38. Clyde Drexler
39. Reggie Miller
40. Artis Gilmore
41. Dolph Schayes
42. Kawhi Leonard
43. Isiah Thomas
44. Russell Westbrook
45. Willis Reed
46. Chauncey Billups
47. Paul Pierce
48. Gary Payton
49. Pau Gasol
50. Ray Allen
51. ???

Dwight Howard, Kevin McHale, Manu Ginobili.........REGARDLESS of who you're voting for, please list your order for these three.

Will look to conclude around 7pm EST or so on Saturday.

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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#2 » by Hal14 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 3:08 am

Hal14 wrote:1. Kevin McHale
2. Nate Thurmond
3. Bob Cousy

McHale - did everything you could want from a PF. He could score, he could rebound and is also one of the best post defenders of all time. He beat opposing bigs down the floor and had defensive versatility (at times would defend the 3, 4 and 5)..oh yeah and he won 3 championships, 5 NBA finals appearances. McHale had more effective post up moves than just about any player ever. Only other guys who really are in that conversation are Hakeem and Kareem.



Rebounding-wise he was excellent, especially considering he had to compete for rebounds with 2 other strong rebounders on his own team, Parish and Bird.

I think a good comparison for McHale is Pippen - it's pretty debatable IMO which was better. Both had really good team success while playing as the no. 2 guy alongside one of the best players ever (Bird, Jordan), both had good but not great longevity, both had a solid 3 or 4 years where they were arguably the best in the world at their position and a legit top 5 or 6 player in the league. McHale a better scorer, about even on D, maybe a slight edge on D for Pippen, Pippen did better as his team's no. 1 guy in 93-94 than McHale did in 88-89 but that was also post-surgery McHale playing in a more competitive league than Pippen played in 93-94. By 93-94 there was more expansion teams and the effect of all those additional teams was really starting to cause rosters to be more thin on talent.

Any case you make for Pippen to give him a small edge is canceled out by the fact that a) Pippen refused to go into the game in the final seconds of a crucial playoff game in 94 because his coach drew a play up for a teammate and b) Pippen selfishly sat out 1/2 the season in 97-98 because of a dispute with team management and c) Mchale was always a class act, teammates loved him, coaches loved him, respected by opponents and ALWAYS played, even if he was hurt like in the 87 NBA finals when he played through more pain than just about any player ever in order to try and help his team win a title. Pippen got voted in 14 rounds ago in this poll - how is it that Pippen got voted in 14 rounds ago yet McHale is still on the board? Recency bias.

McHale was not only versatile on defense (guarded the 3 at times with Bird guarding the 4, plus of course McHale guarded 4's and at times even guarded 5's when Parish sat down) but he also had the versatility of being highly effective in both half court offense and fast break offense. Everyone knows about his awesome low post moves in half court, but he was also excellent at running the floor in transition, beating his man down the court, out running and out working opposing bigs to get down court faster for easy buckets. Plus he hustled back on D to prevent fast break buckets by the opposition.

Plus McHale developed an effective outside shot in the mid range and even could hit 3's later in his career.

Gasol already got voted into this poll, but McHale was better IMO because:

McHale was the better scorer by a decent margin and the better defender by a decent margin. Best post moves of any PF ever. More team success than Gasol, despite playing less seasons. And even though Gasol has a longevity edge, that edge isn't as significant when you consider his era was less physical, more days off in between games to recover, more advancements in nutrition, sports science, weight training, strength and conditioning, had better facilities, better equipment and even though he played more seasons, he did miss a ton of games during his career. In his 18 year career, Gasol played in 70+ games and 24+ MPG in the same season just 8 times. McHale did it 7 times.

1) Put Pau's Laker teams in the 80s and he wins 0 titles. Put the Bird/Parish/McHale Celtics in the 2000s and they win 5.

2) Range is comparable. McHale actually developed some really good range on his shot. Then again, it wasn't until both Gasol and McHale were past their prime before either of them really developed strong range, so not sure I would use that as much of a factor here. If we did factor it in, we'd have to account for difference in eras. By that I mean, Gasol simply had better range because in his era, that's the way the game was being played - especially from 2005 on - bigs had to be able to shoot from further away - and overall the entire league was shooting way more 3's than they did in McHale's era. It's like saying "Oh, Nash had better range than Isiah" well yeah no kidding! Look at the era they played in - nobody was shooting 3's in Isiah's era, when he was in college there was no 3 point shot - whereas Nash played in the era when the game revolved around the 3 and it was a much more emphasized part of the game.
3) Pau with superior passing to McHale? Eh, I don't see it as much of a difference there either. Maybe a slight edge for Gasol. The perception is that McHale is this black hole who never passes, but if you actually watch some of his footage you'll see lots of outstanding interior passing as well as good transition passing.

The slight edge Gasol has passing-wise can easily be chalked up to the fact a) he often times played in the high post where he could more easily see the entire floor, hit cutters or dump the ball in to a teammate in high post so it is less about him being a better passer and more about the way he was used on offense and b) he played in an era with less physicality and more floor spacing which makes it easier for him to make good passes whereas McHale played in an era with less spacing and more physicality, he gets the ball in the post with defenders draped all over him so all he could do is either kick the ball back out to the perimeter or try and score.

McHale is the better scorer by a decent margin and the better defender by a decent margin. 2nd best player on what many (including me) consider to be the greatest team of all time, the 86' Celtics. The year after that in 87, McHale finished no. 4 in MVP voting. Yes, despite the fact that he was on the same team as Bird (voted top 10 of all time in this poll, top 5 of all time according to many, including myself, coming off 3 straight MVPs), McHale was STILL top 4 in MVP voting that year. Pau played alongside Kobe, who was an MVP contender. Surely, if Pau is in the same conversation as McHale then Pau would have been an MVP contender while playing on the same team as Kobe (just like McHale was an MVP contender while playing alongside prime Bird), right? Wrong. This is Gasol while on Kobe's team:

2008 - no MVP votes
2009 - no MVP votes
2010 - no MVP votes (Chris Bosh, Stephen Jackson and Joe Johnson did get MVP votes though)
2011 - no MVP votes
2012 - no MVP votes
2013 - no MVP votes (Marc Gasol, Ty Lawson and David Lee did get MVP votes though)
2014 - no MVP votes

In fact, Gasol never once in his career got so much as one single point on the NBA MVP ballot.

McHale meanwhile got points in the MVP voting 3 times.
1986 - 13th in voting, 3 points
1987 - 4th in voting, 254 points
1991 - 19th in voting, 1 point

-McHale 7 all star games, Gasol 6
-Mchale 6 times on the all defensive team, Gasol 0
-McHale 1 time all NBA 1st team, Gasol 0
-McHale 0 times all NBA 2nd team, Gasol 1
-McHale would have undoubtedly made the all NBA 3rd team at least a couple of times but it didn't exist until end of Mchale's prime and after his foot surgery
-3 titles, 5 NBA finals appearances, 7 times in conference finals for McHale compared to 2 titles, 3 NBA finals appearances, 4 times in conference finals for Gasol

This gigantic edge in awards for McHale and going deeper into playoffs more times - despite the fact that he played 5 less seasons than Gasol.

Also keep in mind in 87 when Mchale had his best season - some even think he was even better than Bird that year - again, keep in mind this was Bird in his prime coming off 3 straight MVPs - yet in 87 McHale was seen by many people as just as good as Bird and seen by some people as even better. McHale was having his best season in 87, and the Celtics would have won the title but Mchale had a stress fracture in his foot as well as other key Celtics players who were hurt:

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

There's little doubt in my mind that a healthy Celtics team wins the title in 87. Then we're talking about a guy in Mchale who was not only the 2nd best player on the greatest team of all time in 86, but if the Celtics were healthy in 87 and won the title, Mchale would have been arguably the best player on possibly the 2nd greatest team of all time. Keep in mind, Magic says that he thinks 87 was the best team his Lakers ever had. That tells you how good that 87 Celtics team was when healthy.

Playing most of the 87 season with that severe foot injury resulted in a shorter career for McHale and resulted in him being less effective in his later seasons, but that's the way players played in his era. They were tough and they played through pain. They were warriors. And McHale should be recognized for that, and not penalized.

Lastly, I don't think there's really much debate that McHale was arguably the GOAT when it comes to scoring in the low post / most effective post moves. Hakeem? Kareem? Who else is even in the same conversation as McHale when it comes to low post moves/low post scoring? Gasol, meanwhile…is there anything that Gasol is arguably the GOAT at? Of course not.

In this ESPN poll, released in 2016, Mchale ranks as the no. 6 PF of all time, ahead of Pettit, ahead of Gasol, ahed of Schayes and ahead of every PF who is still on the board for this project.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/page/nbarankPFs/ranking-greatest-power-forwards-nba-history

Also in 2016, ESPN ranked McHale the no. 31 player of all time so I think it's about time we vote him in here as the no. 46 player.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/page/nbarank160201/all-nbarank-31-35

Nate Thurmond - right in that same tier with Reed, Gilmore and Ewing. I see those four centers as pretty debatable. Ewing, Gilmore and Reed all got voted in already - it's Thurmond's time now. Thurmond has a strong case for being better than all 3 of them (probably the best defender of the group, but Gilmore has the longevity and ABA Finals MVP, Reed has 2 Finals MVPs so I've got Thurmond just barely ranked behind those other guys).

Thurmond is one of the most underrated players of all time and is top 50, no question in my mind.

https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/warriors/defensive-dominator-thurmond-one-nbas-most-underrated-all-time

Thurmond went against Wilt, Russell, Chamberlain, Kareem, Unseld, Bellamy, Beaty, Cowens, Reed - all in their prime. Yet he still managed:

-7 all star games in 14 seasons

-2 times all defensive 1st team, 3 times all defensive 2nd team...despite the fact that all defense awards didn't exist until his 6th season! Clearly one of the best defensive players of all time and one of the best rebounders of all time

-Did not make a 1st or 2nd team all NBA (obviously those usually went to Wilt/Kareem/Russell) but there's very little question he would have made quite a few all NBA 3rd team selections if it existed back when he played

-Finished 2nd in MVP voting in 66-67, finishing ahead of Russell, Robertson and Barry - Thurmond finished no. 2 behind Wilt who was no. 1. Finished 11th in 69-70, 8th in 70-7, 8th in 71-72, 9th in 72-73 and 8th in 73-74

-Helped his team to NBA Finals in 67, where they lost to arguably the greatest team of all time, the 67 Sixers. That series Thurmond averaged 14 PPG and 26.7 RPG while playing 47 MPG, going head to head vs Wilt. Thurmond's Warriors fell in 6 games to Wilt's Sixers. Let's compare that to the Eastern Division Finals - Russell (while also going against Wilt) averaged less PPG (11) and less RPG (23) than Thurmond, and Russell's Celtics lost in 5 games to Wilt's Sixers. How did Wilt do in each series? His numbers. were better in the Eastern Division Finals, going against Russell than they were in the NBA finals vs Thurmond. Wilt went from 21 PPG, 32 RPG and 10 APG vs Russell down to 17 PPG, 28 RPG and 6 APG vs Thurmond.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#3 » by euroleague » Fri Jan 29, 2021 3:54 am

would've taken Dwight over Ray Allen. Oh well.

1. Bob Cousy
2. Bill Walton
3. Kevin McHale

1. Cousy was a revolutionary player in the NBA, and he was a huge contributor on many championship teams. His stats may not have been good, but as a PG, much of his impact wasn't in his scoring stats. His elite playmaking set the stage for Russell's passing to develop, and his transition offense helped the defense by tiring out opponents. It's no coincidence that the Celtics were consistently first in ppg - his offense also allowed for offensive rebounding to be more effective.

Many people hating on Cousy never actually watched these games. I myself haven't watched enough of them to be an expert, but what I have seen of Cousy has him as an elite floor general whose impact went far beyond his stats.

2. Bill Walton - This may be a lot higher than most have him, but his run at his best was so elite, both in the regular and post-season, i feel comfortable putting him this high. MVP, FMVP, would've won DPOOY, 6MOY with the Celtics on a GOAT level team. McHale had a bigger role on those teams, and will probably be my next selection, but Walton's brief period of being arguably the best player in the league, and winning Portland's only title, put him this high for me.

3. Kevin McHale - One of the best post players ever, and the second man on one of the greatest teams ever. He was the Scottie Pippen of the 80s, except with a higher peak and less availability. Although he was a terrible passer, his defense and elite offensive efficiency compensated for that more than well enough to make him an MVP candidate in a very competitive era - which separates him from the the remaining candidates.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#4 » by penbeast0 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 12:20 pm

Players we are (or should be) talking about at this point:

PG -- Bob Cousy, Bob Davies, Kevin Johnson, Tony Parker
SG -- Manu Ginobili, Sam Jones, Hal Greer
SF -- Adrian Dantley, Alex English, Paul Arizin, Tracy McGrady
PF -- Kevin McHale, Anthony Davis, Chris Webber, Elvin Hayes, Giannis
Antetokounmpo
C -- Dwight Howard, Robert Parish, Dave Cowens, Ben Wallace, Bob Lanier, Nate Thurmond, Bill Walton, Dikembe Mutombo

So,

1. Manu Ginobili -- Limited minutes but reasonable career length and just seemed impressively impactful whenever he was on the court. I'd rate him over Kawhi Leonard for career value at this point in Kawhi's life.
2. Kevin McHale -- Similarly, a second option without great longevity but terrific offensive and defensive skills, willing to take a secondary role and be versatile on a winner.
3. Alex English -- Versatility seems to be a theme here. English doesn't have the stats of Adrian Dantley (though he's close) and probably even Ray Allen looks more impressive in raw stats after adjusting for pace, but English played many roles and always made his teams better no matter what role Denver played him in. One of the most underrated players in history despite having scored more in the 80s than Larry Bird, Isiah Thomas, Dominique Wilkins, Adrian Dantley, or well, anyone else in the game. Also won numerous citizenship awards, one of the great people to play the game.
---
Then: Adrian Dantley
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#5 » by Dutchball97 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 1:03 pm

1. Manu Ginobili - The main case for Manu is his play-off production. He's 20th in play-off WS and 19th in play-off VORP for his career, both of which is the best of anyone left. While he played relatively low minutes, it's not like he has no significant regular season production to speak of either. In the regular season he's 71st in WS and 39th in VORP. Besides that his 2005 peak is one of the strongest peaks left and is only rivaled by players with significantly worse longevity like Walton and AD. His VORP in the 2005 play-offs is the 31st highest single season play-off VORP, only behind 13 players who were all voted in the top 20 in this project. His single season play-off WS is surprisingly (since WS seems to favor bigs more as well as seasons before 74 being avaiable unlike with VORP) also 31st. Which is only behind AD and Dwight among players still on the table. I definitely understand the criticisms of Manu with him playing on stacked teams, playing low minutes, being inconsistent year to year in the play-offs but for the #50 spot I don't think those criticisms are enough to not vote for someone who has the most play-off production of anyone left, while also having one of the strongest peaks left available.

2. Kevin McHale - He has a similar case as Pau Gasol imo. Not quite an elite first option but he provides more than you can reasonably expect from your second best player, which played a major part in the Celtics' success in the mid 80s. Somewhat similar to Manu as well in that he's a bit inconsistent year to year in the post-season but he's right behind Manu at 21th in career play-off VORP. His regular season longevity is better than Manu and even more than that probably one of the best left available as well but his imo somewhat lower peak makes me slot him just behind Manu (who I had just ahead of Gasol for that matter too). My biggest criticism of McHale is that he wasn't able to bring his incredible 1987 season to a positive conclusion in the play-offs but it only puts him behind Manu and Pau for me in terms of players I'd otherwise probably have him ahead of.

3. Paul Arizin - And he's back on the table. I was just going to put Dwight here at first but when I compare them straight up I simply prefer what Arizin has managed to achieve. Dwight played longer than Arizin and has an edge in career WS but we shouldn't forget why that is. Arizin missed the 52/53 and 53/54 seasons due to military service and 54/55 was of course also effected by it due to needing to get back into rhythm. If you account for that gap that was created more by circumstance than by injury or personal neglect the difference in total career production really doesn't seem too far apart even with Arizin playing significantly less. Dwight's prime is more concentrated because of this but Arizin managed to be a top level player from 51 till 61 with only the military break inbetween. Dwight has a high peak but it's not like Arizin can't compete with that. In terms of the play-offs I also come away thinking Arizin was better.

In the 56 play-offs Arizin beat Dolph Schayes' Nationals. This round did see a big performance from Neil Johnston as well but against #41 Dolph Schayes who also had a solid team around him that doesn't diminish it from being a good win for Arizin since Arizin did outperform Johnston. In the finals against Yardley's Pistons it was a different story. Johnston was infamously outplayed by Pistons center Larry Foust, while Arizin kept up his high level of play and led his team to a 4-1 win in the Finals. In 2009 Dwight has a very good run as well but I do think people look at it with rose tinted glasses. They needed 6 games to beat the Iguodala/Andre Miller led 76ers, they did beat the defending champion Celtics in a tough 7 game series but this looks a lot worse considering KG didn't play and Allen had a bit of a stinker, sure they beat LeBron's Cavs but Dwight didn't outplay Bron or even really came close to it. The difference was the Magic being a deeper team than those dreadful Cavs teams. Once the Magic faced a really strong Lakers team in the finals it became clear they weren't ever truely a contender. Looking at the rest of their play-off careers it looks pretty comparable but Arizin didn't have those first round match ups against teams that had no business even making the play-offs like Dwight had. When faced with strong competition Dwight often had solid but not spectacular results, while Arizin beat some of the best players of All-Time and nearly always showed up in the big moments.

The main reason I decided to go with Arizin here because Dantley and English are starting to get some serious traction as well. No disrespect to Dantley and English but I just don't think they ever reached the level Arizin did and I don't see huge longevity advantages for them over Arizin either. Arizin was top 3 in MVP voting in back to back years, led the league in WS in 52 (ahead of prime Mikan) and led his team to a title in 56, while leading the league in play-off WS. Dantley and English don't have the same play-off resume and neither was ever a top 5 player.

It does make sense to then say why not Cousy? Players like Dantley, English and Sam Jones never made All-NBA first teams or got serious MVP consideration, while Arizin has 3 All-NBA first teams and was a much more serious MVP candidate in multiple years. Cousy got 10 All-NBA first team selections, got serious MVP consideration in more years than Arizin and actually won the award as well so that thought makes sense on first sight. However, when Cousy won MVP in 1957 he had significantly less WS than numbers 2 to 5 in the MVP voting (Pettit, Arizin, Schayes and Yardley). His All-NBA first teams are also not extremely impressive considering his guard competition. The only 'rival' Cousy had for the guard spots was his own teammate Sharman. Meanwhile Arizin had to go up against Pettit, Schayes and Yardley for only 2 first team forward spots.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#6 » by Joao Saraiva » Fri Jan 29, 2021 4:21 pm

Votes
1. Dwight Howard
2. Manu Ginobili
3. Adrian Dantley


I'm super high on his peak and 3 year prime (09-11). He was a ultra defensive force at the time, and seeing those Magic teams rank #1 in DRTG is in large part due to his play. Mobile, fast, great rim protector, covered a lot of ground at his size... he was just amazing.

On offense he wasn't a great shot creator for himself or for others, but he was always an effective offensive force in PnR situations as a roll player. He also forced a ton of fouls and would use the size and strenght mismatch in the post when he had that chance.

3 times DPOY, 8 times all-star, 4 times in the top 5 MVP votes and I believe he should have won it in 2011.

His longevity isn't brutal but it's good, and he's still adding to it today in a smaller role, since he was still useful and got along with it in the Lakers last season.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#7 » by Hal14 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 4:32 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:My biggest criticism of McHale is that he wasn't able to bring his incredible 1987 season to a positive conclusion in the play-offs but it only puts him behind Manu and Pau for me in terms of players I'd otherwise probably have him ahead of.


Huh?

So it's McHale's fault that he fractured a bone in his foot?

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

Instead of criticizing him for it, McHale should be recognized as a guy who did whatever it takes to go out there and try to help his team win, even if it meant risking what was potentially a career-ending injury. He was a warrior he played through more pain than just about any player ever. He knew that him, Bird and company were getting old and so he knew that 87 was probably their last legit shot at a title. So he wanted to be out there on the court playing. He knew that even him at 50% was still better than Greg Kite so the best chance the Celtics had to win was with him out there playing - even with all the pain in his foot.

Even with the pain he was in (and the other injuries the Celtics had) they still made it to the NBA finals - beating the Pistons in the ECF, one of the best conference finals series of all time. And then they gave the Lakers a run for their money in the NBA finals, even with all the injuries the Celtics had and even though Magic says 87 was the Lakers best team he ever played on.

Then McHale had surgery on his foot in the offseason - yet he still came back and played in 64 games the following year in 87-88, making all defensive 1st team and the all star team..not sure if any other player would have come back so strong from such a serious injury + surgery. McHale averaged over 20 PPG in each of the next 3 seasons that immediately followed his foot surgery. Even after his foot surgery he still played 6 more seasons, made 3 more all star teams, made 1st team all defense 1 more time and 2nd team all defense 2 more times.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#8 » by penbeast0 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 5:04 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:....


Nice post for Arizin. He certainly accomplished more for his era than either English or Dantley but I have both ahead of him because that era was the 1950s. Just like I voted Shaq and Hakeem over the much more successful George Mikan. But Arizin was certainly on my short list of players I am currently considering.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#9 » by Dutchball97 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 5:16 pm

Hal14 wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:My biggest criticism of McHale is that he wasn't able to bring his incredible 1987 season to a positive conclusion in the play-offs but it only puts him behind Manu and Pau for me in terms of players I'd otherwise probably have him ahead of.


Huh?

So it's McHale's fault that he fractured a bone in his foot?

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

Instead of criticizing him for it, McHale should be recognized as a guy who did whatever it takes to go out there and try to help his team win, even if it meant risking what was potentially a career-ending injury. He was a warrior he played through more pain than just about any player ever. He knew that him, Bird and company were getting old and so he knew that 87 was probably their last legit shot at a title. So he wanted to be out there on the court playing. He knew that even him at 50% was still better than Greg Kite so the best chance the Celtics had to win was with him out there playing - even with all the pain in his foot.

Even with the pain he was in (and the other injuries the Celtics had) they still made it to the NBA finals - beating the Pistons in the ECF, one of the best conference finals series of all time. And then they gave the Lakers a run for their money in the NBA finals, even with all the injuries the Celtics had and even though Magic says 87 was the Lakers best team he ever played on.

Then McHale had surgery on his foot in the offseason - yet he still came back and played in 64 games the following year in 87-88, making all defensive 1st team and the all star team..not sure if any other player would have come back so strong from such a serious injury + surgery. McHale averaged over 20 PPG in each of the next 3 seasons that immediately followed his foot surgery. Even after his foot surgery he still played 6 more seasons, made 3 more all star teams, made 1st team all defense 1 more time and 2nd team all defense 2 more times.


Getting injured is unfortunate but it is something I take into account. Kevin McHale could've continued his elite level of play from the regular season and helped the Celtics win a title over the best Lakers team of the 80s. It's also entirely possible he wouldn't have been able to do it though. McHale was an inconsistent play-off performer, never in his career did he have two good play-offs in consecutive years so it's not a given he'd have dominated the 87 play-offs if he was fully healthy.

Bird could've had a few more years of elite level play if not for the back injury, which would've seen him rank higher but it wasn't to be. KG could've had a ton of accolades and play-off success if he was drafted or traded to a succesful team early in his career but he wasn't so he doesn't get the top 10 spot he could've had in an alternate reality. I feel the same about McHale here. If he hadn't gotten injured he could've played a huge role in 87 but in that case he would've already have been voted in. I mean, I still have him at #52 now despite the injury, while I would've had him somewhere in the mid 40s at the least if he did have a strong 87 play-offs.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#10 » by trex_8063 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 6:58 pm

1st vote: Dwight Howard
Truly there are a number of guys on my immediate radar for this final spot: Kevin McHale, Robert Parish, and Ray Allen all feel perfectly appropriate to me as well. Everyone else in the immediate vicinity on my ATL have already been voted in. The next-closest competitors for me are probably Bob Lanier, Manu Ginobili, Allen Iverson, and Anthony Davis.......but they're all distinctly separated from the others noted above.

Popular opinion on Dwight has REALLY dwindled in the last half-dozen or so years. I feel people have forgotten just how good he was in that '09-'11 range. imo, he peaked in the same general vicinity as bigs like Anthony Davis and Patrick Ewing. This was a guy who was anchoring ON AVERAGE a -5.3 rDRTG during those three years (worst was -4.3, best was -6.4===>which, if I've counted right, is tied [with the '12 and '69 Celtics] for the 23rd-best defense EVER; 12 of those ahead belong to either Russell or Duncan [it's better than ANYTHING anchored by Dikembe, Hakeem, or Wilt]).
He did so without an assortment of true defensive specialists around him (decent ones, for sure; but not great ones).
They simultaneously managed to build some fairly successful offenses around him, by basically just surrounding him with shooters and daring teams to double-team him. Dwight was arguably the best big-man finisher outside of prime Shaq when he got the ball down low. He was just so strong and such an explosive leaper......teams were screwed if he got the ball down there.
Surrounded by mostly what I would call "good role players" he actually led one team to the NBA finals in this span.

While his prime dwindled very quickly after his back injury/surgery in '12, it's not like he was instantly ineffective. He still had some fair/decent years out to around '15 or so, and then of course a somewhat happy resurgence in a 6MOY-candidate kind of role for a title team last year. Not to mention he had a few fairly decent years BEFORE that '09-'11 span, too.
All-around it amounts to a career that looks relatively well-positioned for a top 50 placement, imo.


2nd vote: Kevin McHale
I'd be content with Ray Allen or Robert Parish too. But I'm gonna go with McHale. While his longevity is lesser than Allen or Parish, he peaked substantially higher imo, and his average prime year carries more value.
Although I think isolation scoring is generally overvalued by most, McHale was as good at as just about anyone ever. And though he's frequently not giving the ball back [not a playmaker to the degree he was called "the Black Hole"], I never found him to be a "ball-stopper"; always seemed like he was quick/decisive with it when he wanted to score (Dan Issel was the same, fwiw). And MAN could he put the ball in the bucket!
And then he provided solid defense on the other end, pretty versatile too (guarding 3-5 as needed), and frequently the Celtic's leading shot-blocker.


3rd vote: Robert Parish
Parish was an entirely fine two-way player. While I think he’s somewhat more remembered for his offense, he was also a very capable defender thru much of his career (especially early on).

For example, during his first SEVEN seasons in the league......
*He never averaged less than 2.8 blocks per 100 possessions (and as high as 4.4).
**In both ‘79 and ‘81 he was 4th in the league in bpg despite playing just 31.7 and 28.0 mpg; was 5th in ‘82 while playing just 31.7 mpg, too.
***He had a cumulative 97 DRtg, leading the league in DRtg in ‘79; had a DRtg in the top 8 four times (three times in the top 3).

Offensively, he was a 7-footer who ran the floor pretty well, while being a competent finisher (making him one of the more notable transition threats among the centers of his era). He was a very very good low-post scorer (could utilize a little hook shot, or that crazy high-arcing turnaround of his), and also had a tiny bit of range (out to about 12-14 feet, anyway, he was quite effective).
Was an entirely decent FT-shooter for a big-man (72.1% for his career).
The primary reason he was averaging just 16-20 ppg during his prime was because he was playing on an extremely stacked team thru most of it. I've little doubt Parish could have avg ~23-24 ppg for a less talent-laden club.

While I don’t think Parish could have been “the man” on a contender, I think we’re well past the point on the list where that is a necessary consideration. Especially when one has the kind of longevity that Parish had: he had a prime that basically lasted 13 years (>1,000 rs games), and five other seasons as decent role player of varying (but certainly relevant) value; only 3 seasons (years 19-21) that were of negligible or nil value.

While he couldn’t have been #1 on a contender, he certainly could have been the #1 on a 40-45 win playoff participant. I think this was more or less proven in '89 when Bird missed the entire season: Parish was arguably the best player [and a worst a "1B"] on a 42-win team.....this was at age 35 (the single-oldest man on the Celtic roster). No Bird to feed him, but old-man Parish still averaged 18.6 ppg @ +7.0% rTS, to go with 12.5 rpg and 1.5 bpg.

And he was capable of being the #2 on a contender. Indeed, he WAS either the 2nd or 3rd best player on MULTIPLE contenders.
He’s got one ring as the clear #2 ('81), another as---at worst---the #2B ('84), a third ring as the clear #3 ('86), and then a 4th ring as a sparsely used limited-value bench player ('97).

He was 7th in MVP voting in ‘81, 4th in MVP voting in ‘82.

A look at his prime production…….
Robert Parish (‘79-’91) (13 years: 1022 rs games!)
Per 100 (rs): 25.8 pts, 15.6 reb, 2.5 ast, 1.3 stl, 2.5 blk with 3.6 tov @ 58.4% TS
PER 20.2, .168 WS/48, 113 ORtg/102 DRtg (+11) in 32.4 mpg
Playoffs Per 100: 22.9 pts, 13.9 reb, 1.9 ast, 1.2 stl, 2.5 blk, 3.2 tov @ .551 TS%
PER 16.5, .121 WS/48 in 34.9 mpg

Robert Parish (full career)
Per 100 (rs): 24.6 pts, 15.5 reb, 2.3 ast, 1.3 stl, 2.5 blk, 3.5 tov @ .571 TS%
PER 19.2, .154 WS/48, 111 ORtg/102 DRtg (+9) in 28.4 mpg
**And note this is over 21 years, 1611 rs games (more than any other player in history)
Per 100 (playoffs): 22.6 pts, 14.2 reb, 1.9 ast, 1.2 stl, 2.5 blk, 3.1 tov @ .547 TS%
PER 16.6, .121 WS/48, 109 ORtg/105 DRtg (+4) in 33.6 mpg

Career rs WS: 147.0 (#26 all-time)
Career playoff WS: 15.6 (#39 all-time)
9-Time NBA All-Star
2-Time All-NBA (1x 2nd, 1x 3rd)

That’s an awful lot of career value, imo.

I used to rank Parish a little higher than McHale or Howard [and I'm not sure I won't go back to that at some point]. It's only recently I started to question if I was excessively valuing longevity, which caused me to bump him back just a few places.
But all three of the above players [as well as Ray Allen who went last] are clumped in the mid/mid-late 40s of my all-time list. The only reason it's only now that I'm getting around to Parish is that there are multiple players who [imo] went too early on the list (most notably Willis Reed and George Gervin).
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#11 » by Hal14 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:18 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:
Hal14 wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:My biggest criticism of McHale is that he wasn't able to bring his incredible 1987 season to a positive conclusion in the play-offs but it only puts him behind Manu and Pau for me in terms of players I'd otherwise probably have him ahead of.


Huh?

So it's McHale's fault that he fractured a bone in his foot?

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

Instead of criticizing him for it, McHale should be recognized as a guy who did whatever it takes to go out there and try to help his team win, even if it meant risking what was potentially a career-ending injury. He was a warrior he played through more pain than just about any player ever. He knew that him, Bird and company were getting old and so he knew that 87 was probably their last legit shot at a title. So he wanted to be out there on the court playing. He knew that even him at 50% was still better than Greg Kite so the best chance the Celtics had to win was with him out there playing - even with all the pain in his foot.

Even with the pain he was in (and the other injuries the Celtics had) they still made it to the NBA finals - beating the Pistons in the ECF, one of the best conference finals series of all time. And then they gave the Lakers a run for their money in the NBA finals, even with all the injuries the Celtics had and even though Magic says 87 was the Lakers best team he ever played on.

Then McHale had surgery on his foot in the offseason - yet he still came back and played in 64 games the following year in 87-88, making all defensive 1st team and the all star team..not sure if any other player would have come back so strong from such a serious injury + surgery. McHale averaged over 20 PPG in each of the next 3 seasons that immediately followed his foot surgery. Even after his foot surgery he still played 6 more seasons, made 3 more all star teams, made 1st team all defense 1 more time and 2nd team all defense 2 more times.


Getting injured is unfortunate but it is something I take into account. Kevin McHale could've continued his elite level of play from the regular season and helped the Celtics win a title over the best Lakers team of the 80s. It's also entirely possible he wouldn't have been able to do it though. McHale was an inconsistent play-off performer, never in his career did he have two good play-offs in consecutive years so it's not a given he'd have dominated the 87 play-offs if he was fully healthy.

Bird could've had a few more years of elite level play if not for the back injury, which would've seen him rank higher but it wasn't to be. KG could've had a ton of accolades and play-off success if he was drafted or traded to a succesful team early in his career but he wasn't so he doesn't get the top 10 spot he could've had in an alternate reality. I feel the same about McHale here. If he hadn't gotten injured he could've played a huge role in 87 but in that case he would've already have been voted in. I mean, I still have him at #52 now despite the injury, while I would've had him somewhere in the mid 40s at the least if he did have a strong 87 play-offs.

1) You say McHale was an inconsistent playoff performer. Ok, well let me ask you this. A healthy player is going to play better than that exact same player injured, correct? Clearly, based on this article, McHale played the 87 playoffs at less than 50%, probably closer to 20-30%

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

Now, let's look at McHale's numbers:
87 regular season = 26 PPG, 10 RPG, 60% FG, made all NBA defensive 1st team
87 playoffs = 22 PPG, 9 RPG, 58% FG
87 NBA finals, 20 PPG, 9 RPG, 58% FG, was physically incapable of guarding James Worthy

So if regular season McHale was at 90-95% health, playoff McHale was at 50% health and NBA Finals McHale was 20-30% health - it only makes logical sense that if playoff mchale and NBA Finals McHale in 87 we saw the exact same player, 86-87 Mchale but we saw him playing at 90-95% health instead of 50% health in playoffs and 20-30% health in the NBA finals, it only makes logical sense that he would have played better if he was healthy, both offensively and defensively.

I mean c'mon, even if you think McHale was an inconsistent playoff performer, you honestly think that it's not a forgone conclusion that McHale at 90-95% health wouldn't have played better in the NBA finals than Mchale at 20-30% health? How much better McHale would have played if healthy, we can't know for sure - but it's pretty obvious IMO that he would have played better if he was healthy.

2) You say that McHale never in his career had 2 good playoffs in consecutive years. And you also say that if he had a strong 87 playoff run that you'd put him in the mid 40s all time. Hmm, I would love to know your criteria for a "good" or "strong" playoffs.

-From 84-85 through 87-88, so that's 4 consecutive playoffs, in each of those 4 playoffs in a row he averaged 21+ PPG, 8+ RPG and over 56% FG while helping the Celtics to 1 title, 3 trips to the NBA finals and 4 trips to the Eastern Conference finals
-Even if you eliminate the 87 playoffs from the conversation because he was weaker defensively in the NBA finals with the fractured foot, that still means he had 84-85 and 85-86 which would both be extremely strong playoff runs in back to back years. Any reason you don't see 85 and 86 as consecutive strong playoffs for McHale?
-I would actually even argue that 84 was also a strong playoffs for McHale. Sure he only averaged 14.8 PPG and started 0 games but if you look at some of the best playoff runs ever by a 6th man, then McHale in 84 has to be up there. Despite coming off the bench, Mchale averaged 30.5 minutes a game, played in 23 playoff games, averaging 14.8 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 1.5 blocks a game, over 50% FG, 77%. on free throws while helping the Celtics win the NBA title over the 84 Lakers (one of the best teams of all time to not win the title)
-Let's ignore the fact that these "good" playoff runs have to be in consecutive years (who cares whether they're consecutive, what matters more is how many good playoff runs they had, right? I mean, a player could play for 18 seasons and have 9 good playoff runs but never had 2 in a row. Is that worse than a player who did have 2 good playoff runs but those were the only 2 good playoff runs he had? So you're saying that 2 good playoff runs is better than 9?

81 = not getting a lot of minutes yet since he was a rookie and the team had Parish and Maxwell in their prime but still a strong contributor for a team that won the NBA title, averaging 8.5 PPG and 54% FG in the playoffs
82 = 16 PPG, 7 RPG, 57% FG, strong defense, made ECF where they lost in grueling 7 game series
83 = team was tanking to try and get Bill Fitch fired, but Mchale still put up double digit scoring, 6 RPG, 55% FG and 1.0 blocks while helping team into the 2nd round of playoffs
84 = Despite coming off the bench, McHale averaged 30.5 minutes a game, played in 23 playoff games, averaging 14.8 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 1.5 blocks a game, over 50% FG, 77%. on free throws while helping the Celtics win the NBA title over the 84 Lakers (one of the best teams of all time to not win the title), all NBA level defender
85 = 22 PPG, 10 RPG, 57% FG, 2.2 blocks a game, all NBA level defender, helped team to NBA finals where they lost in greuling 6 game series to one of the greatest teams of all time
86 = 25 PPG, 9 RPG, 58% FG, 2.4 blocks a game, all NBA level defender, made ECF where they lost in grueling 7 game series, definitely his best postseason run and he was a major contributor for the team many consider to be the best of all time and NBA championship
87 = 21 PPG, 9 RPG, 58% FG, 1.4 blocks, defense dropped off a little bit due to foot injury, helped team to NBA finals where they lost to the team that Magic says was the best Lakers team he ever played on
88 = 25 PPG, 8 RPG, 60% FG, 1.8 blocks, all NBA level defender, helped Celtics to ECF where they lost in a grueling 6 game series, despite being a team that was getting old and had injuries, arguably his best playoff run
89 = 19 PPG, 8 RPG, 49% FG, all NBA defender, team swept in 1st round by the eventual NBA champs Pistons (one of the best teams of all time) while playing without Bird
90 = 22 PPG, 8 RPG, 61% FG, 2 blocks a game, still an all NBA level defender, lost in 1st round but definitely not his fault, had a strong series and it was an extremely competitive series vs a good Knicks team that went the full 5 games
91 = 21 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 53% FG, 1.3 blocks, strong defense, coming off the bench but was team's 2nd leading scorer and averaged over 34 MPG, team lost in eastern conference semi-finals in 6 games to the 2 time defending champs Pistons..and oh by the way developed an outside shot making 6 out of 11 3-pointers in the playoffs
92 = 16.5 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 52% FG, still a pretty good defender, strong contributor still averaging over 30 MPG, helped team to eastern conference semi-finals where they lost in 7 games to a very good Cavs team
93 = McHale's body could barely let him move at this point but the dude still put up 19 PPG (up from his regular season average of 10 PPG) to go with 7 RPG (up from his regular season average of 5 RPG) and 58% FG (up from his regular season average of 46% FG), while still playing 28 MPG, Celtics lost in the 1st round in 4 games to a good Hornets team..McHale made the playoffs in all 13 seasons and this was only the 2nd time out of 13 seasons the Celtics lost in the 1st round

Based on the above, one could argue that he was at least "good" in every playoff run in his 13 seasons. I mean, if we're really being critical I guess we could remove 81, 83, 87 and 89 as being "good" playoff runs since 81 he just wasn't playing enough or contributing enough quite yet, 83 his numbers across the board dropped a little bit to the point where he had his 2nd lowest scoring average of any playoff run and team had a disappointing end by getting swept in the 2nd round, 87 his numbers overall were good but definitely lower than they were in regular season and his defense hurt the team in the NBA finals.. maybe we also remove 89 since that is the only postseason where McHale shot below 50% FG and also the only time the team got swept in the 1st round. That still leaves us with 9 good playoff runs out of 13 seasons.
1/11/24 The birth of a new Hal. From now on being less combative, avoiding confrontation - like Switzerland :)
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#12 » by Dutchball97 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 9:44 pm

Hal14 wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
Hal14 wrote:Huh?

So it's McHale's fault that he fractured a bone in his foot?

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

Instead of criticizing him for it, McHale should be recognized as a guy who did whatever it takes to go out there and try to help his team win, even if it meant risking what was potentially a career-ending injury. He was a warrior he played through more pain than just about any player ever. He knew that him, Bird and company were getting old and so he knew that 87 was probably their last legit shot at a title. So he wanted to be out there on the court playing. He knew that even him at 50% was still better than Greg Kite so the best chance the Celtics had to win was with him out there playing - even with all the pain in his foot.

Even with the pain he was in (and the other injuries the Celtics had) they still made it to the NBA finals - beating the Pistons in the ECF, one of the best conference finals series of all time. And then they gave the Lakers a run for their money in the NBA finals, even with all the injuries the Celtics had and even though Magic says 87 was the Lakers best team he ever played on.

Then McHale had surgery on his foot in the offseason - yet he still came back and played in 64 games the following year in 87-88, making all defensive 1st team and the all star team..not sure if any other player would have come back so strong from such a serious injury + surgery. McHale averaged over 20 PPG in each of the next 3 seasons that immediately followed his foot surgery. Even after his foot surgery he still played 6 more seasons, made 3 more all star teams, made 1st team all defense 1 more time and 2nd team all defense 2 more times.


Getting injured is unfortunate but it is something I take into account. Kevin McHale could've continued his elite level of play from the regular season and helped the Celtics win a title over the best Lakers team of the 80s. It's also entirely possible he wouldn't have been able to do it though. McHale was an inconsistent play-off performer, never in his career did he have two good play-offs in consecutive years so it's not a given he'd have dominated the 87 play-offs if he was fully healthy.

Bird could've had a few more years of elite level play if not for the back injury, which would've seen him rank higher but it wasn't to be. KG could've had a ton of accolades and play-off success if he was drafted or traded to a succesful team early in his career but he wasn't so he doesn't get the top 10 spot he could've had in an alternate reality. I feel the same about McHale here. If he hadn't gotten injured he could've played a huge role in 87 but in that case he would've already have been voted in. I mean, I still have him at #52 now despite the injury, while I would've had him somewhere in the mid 40s at the least if he did have a strong 87 play-offs.

1) You say McHale was an inconsistent playoff performer. Ok, well let me ask you this. A healthy player is going to play better than that exact same player injured, correct? Clearly, based on this article, McHale played the 87 playoffs at less than 50%, probably closer to 20-30%

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

Now, let's look at McHale's numbers:
87 regular season = 26 PPG, 10 RPG, 60% FG, made all NBA defensive 1st team
87 playoffs = 22 PPG, 9 RPG, 58% FG
87 NBA finals, 20 PPG, 9 RPG, 58% FG, was physically incapable of guarding James Worthy

So if regular season McHale was at 90-95% health, playoff McHale was at 50% health and NBA Finals McHale was 20-30% health - it only makes logical sense that if playoff mchale and NBA Finals McHale in 87 we saw the exact same player, 86-87 Mchale but we saw him playing at 90-95% health instead of 50% health in playoffs and 20-30% health in the NBA finals, it only makes logical sense that he would have played better if he was healthy, both offensively and defensively.

I mean c'mon, even if you think McHale was an inconsistent playoff performer, you honestly think that it's not a forgone conclusion that McHale at 90-95% health wouldn't have played better in the NBA finals than Mchale at 20-30% health? How much better McHale would have played if healthy, we can't know for sure - but it's pretty obvious IMO that he would have played better if he was healthy.

2) You say that McHale never in his career had 2 good playoffs in consecutive years. And you also say that if he had a strong 87 playoff run that you'd put him in the mid 40s all time. Hmm, I would love to know your criteria for a "good" or "strong" playoffs.

-From 84-85 through 87-88, so that's 4 consecutive playoffs, in each of those 4 playoffs in a row he averaged 21+ PPG, 8+ RPG and over 56% FG while helping the Celtics to 1 title, 3 trips to the NBA finals and 4 trips to the Eastern Conference finals
-Even if you eliminate the 87 playoffs from the conversation because he was weaker defensively in the NBA finals with the fractured foot, that still means he had 84-85 and 85-86 which would both be extremely strong playoff runs in back to back years. Any reason you don't see 85 and 86 as consecutive strong playoffs for McHale?
-I would actually even argue that 84 was also a strong playoffs for McHale. Sure he only averaged 14.8 PPG and started 0 games but if you look at some of the best playoff runs ever by a 6th man, then McHale in 84 has to be up there. Despite coming off the bench, Mchale averaged 30.5 minutes a game, played in 23 playoff games, averaging 14.8 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 1.5 blocks a game, over 50% FG, 77%. on free throws while helping the Celtics win the NBA title over the 84 Lakers (one of the best teams of all time to not win the title)
-Let's ignore the fact that these "good" playoff runs have to be in consecutive years (who cares whether they're consecutive, what matters more is how many good playoff runs they had, right? I mean, a player could play for 18 seasons and have 9 good playoff runs but never had 2 in a row. Is that worse than a player who did have 2 good playoff runs but those were the only 2 good playoff runs he had? So you're saying that 2 good playoff runs is better than 9?

81 = not getting a lot of minutes yet since he was a rookie and the team had Parish and Maxwell in their prime but still a strong contributor for a team that won the NBA title, averaging 8.5 PPG and 54% FG in the playoffs
82 = 16 PPG, 7 RPG, 57% FG, strong defense, made ECF where they lost in grueling 7 game series
83 = team was tanking to try and get Bill Fitch fired, but Mchale still put up double digit scoring, 6 RPG, 55% FG and 1.0 blocks while helping team into the 2nd round of playoffs
84 = Despite coming off the bench, McHale averaged 30.5 minutes a game, played in 23 playoff games, averaging 14.8 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 1.5 blocks a game, over 50% FG, 77%. on free throws while helping the Celtics win the NBA title over the 84 Lakers (one of the best teams of all time to not win the title), all NBA level defender
85 = 22 PPG, 10 RPG, 57% FG, 2.2 blocks a game, all NBA level defender, helped team to NBA finals where they lost in greuling 6 game series to one of the greatest teams of all time
86 = 25 PPG, 9 RPG, 58% FG, 2.4 blocks a game, all NBA level defender, made ECF where they lost in grueling 7 game series, definitely his best postseason run and he was a major contributor for the team many consider to be the best of all time and NBA championship
87 = 21 PPG, 9 RPG, 58% FG, 1.4 blocks, defense dropped off a little bit due to foot injury, helped team to NBA finals where they lost to the team that Magic says was the best Lakers team he ever played on
88 = 25 PPG, 8 RPG, 60% FG, 1.8 blocks, all NBA level defender, helped Celtics to ECF where they lost in a grueling 6 game series, despite being a team that was getting old and had injuries, arguably his best playoff run
89 = 19 PPG, 8 RPG, 49% FG, all NBA defender, team swept in 1st round by the eventual NBA champs Pistons (one of the best teams of all time) while playing without Bird
90 = 22 PPG, 8 RPG, 61% FG, 2 blocks a game, still an all NBA level defender, lost in 1st round but definitely not his fault, had a strong series and it was an extremely competitive series vs a good Knicks team that went the full 5 games
91 = 21 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 53% FG, 1.3 blocks, strong defense, coming off the bench but was team's 2nd leading scorer and averaged over 34 MPG, team lost in eastern conference semi-finals in 6 games to the 2 time defending champs Pistons..and oh by the way developed an outside shot making 6 out of 11 3-pointers in the playoffs
92 = 16.5 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 52% FG, still a pretty good defender, strong contributor still averaging over 30 MPG, helped team to eastern conference semi-finals where they lost in 7 games to a very good Cavs team
93 = McHale's body could barely let him move at this point but the dude still put up 19 PPG (up from his regular season average of 10 PPG) to go with 7 RPG (up from his regular season average of 5 RPG) and 58% FG (up from his regular season average of 46% FG), Celtics lost in the 1st round in 4 games to a good Hornets team..McHale made the playoffs in all 13 seasons and this was only the 2nd time out of 13 seasons the Celtics lost in the 1st round


I think I've already addressed point 1 plenty. In an alternate reality where he didn't get injured he'd have had a better play-offs but this isn't that alternate reality and we're left with what we actually got. I don't rank players on what they could've done.

As to point 2, I think he's had 2 great post-seasons in 86 and 88. 82 was solid but he played the fourth most minutes on the team, while the Celtics fizzled out in the second round. 91 is another solid one but like 82, not something that really sways my opinion for comparisons among the all-time greats. You could make a case for 85 as a solid run as well but PPG, RPG and FG% aren't going to do it for me.

And again, I don't know why you're arguing with me. I have McHale as my second choice, no?
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#13 » by trex_8063 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 10:59 pm

Thru post #12:

Dwight Howard - 2 (Joao Saraiva, trex_8063)
Manu Ginobili - 2 (Dutchball97, penbeast0)
Kevin McHale - 1 (Hal14)
Bob Cousy - 1 (euroleague)


Likely about 26 hours left for this one.
And again: I suspect this one will come down to Howard, Manu, or McHale [depending on who shows up to vote before the deadline; we've had a few participants go MIA in the last few threads].
So it'd be nice to know your order on those three ahead of time. If two or more of those three bolded players are missing from your ballot--->I'm talking to you.

Spoiler:
Ainosterhaspie wrote:.

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Baski wrote:.

bidofo wrote:.

Blackmill wrote:.

Cavsfansince84 wrote:.

Clyde Frazier wrote:.

Doctor MJ wrote:.

DQuinn1575 wrote:.

Dr Positivity wrote:.

drza wrote:.

Dutchball97 wrote:.

Eddy_JukeZ wrote:.

eminence wrote:.

euroleague wrote:.

Franco wrote:.

Gregoire wrote:.

Hal14 wrote:.

HeartBreakKid wrote:.

Hornet Mania wrote:.

iggymcfrack wrote:.

Jaivl wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

Joey Wheeler wrote:.

Jordan Syndrome wrote:.

LA Bird wrote:.

lebron3-14-3 wrote:.

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Magic Is Magic wrote:.

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Odinn21 wrote:.

Owly wrote:.

O_6 wrote:.

PaulieWal wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

PistolPeteJR wrote:.

RSCD3_ wrote:.

[quote=”sansterre”].[/quote]
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ZeppelinPage wrote:.

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876Stephen wrote:.

90sAllDecade wrote:.
"Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience." -George Carlin

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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#14 » by freethedevil » Fri Jan 29, 2021 11:03 pm

Hal14 wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:My biggest criticism of McHale is that he wasn't able to bring his incredible 1987 season to a positive conclusion in the play-offs but it only puts him behind Manu and Pau for me in terms of players I'd otherwise probably have him ahead of.


Huh?

So it's McHale's fault that he fractured a bone in his foot?

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

Instead of criticizing him for it, McHale should be recognized as a guy who did whatever it takes to go out there and try to help his team win, even if it meant risking what was potentially a career-ending injury. He was a warrior he played through more pain than just about any player ever. He knew that him, Bird and company were getting old and so he knew that 87 was probably their last legit shot at a title. So he wanted to be out there on the court playing. He knew that even him at 50% was still better than Greg Kite so the best chance the Celtics had to win was with him out there playing - even with all the pain in his foot.

Even with the pain he was in (and the other injuries the Celtics had) they still made it to the NBA finals - beating the Pistons in the ECF, one of the best conference finals series of all time. And then they gave the Lakers a run for their money in the NBA finals, even with all the injuries the Celtics had and even though Magic says 87 was the Lakers best team he ever played on.

Then McHale had surgery on his foot in the offseason - yet he still came back and played in 64 games the following year in 87-88, making all defensive 1st team and the all star team..not sure if any other player would have come back so strong from such a serious injury + surgery. McHale averaged over 20 PPG in each of the next 3 seasons that immediately followed his foot surgery. Even after his foot surgery he still played 6 more seasons, made 3 more all star teams, made 1st team all defense 1 more time and 2nd team all defense 2 more times.

I think derrick rose should have been voted into the top 30 for being willing to play despite career nuking injuries. You agree don't you? Wait you don't? Why is that?

Oh right, because players are rated based on what they contribute, not what they could have contributed if healthy.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#15 » by freethedevil » Fri Jan 29, 2021 11:17 pm

1. Dwight Howard, because he peaked way higher than mchale on better longetvity, was the best player in the regular seaosn in 2011 and a top 5 playoff player from 09-12. Lockerooom issues hurt a bit, but outplaying harden in the 14 postseason makes up for that. Also provided quality contibutions on an atg title team.

2. Manu Gnoblim, longetvity, longetvity longetvity, essentially mchale-level at his peak but with a signficantly longer prime.


3. Draymond Green. 16 and 7 Dray is the second highest peak of anyone here. Had a 5 year run as the clear cut best postseasn defender in the league anchoring the best postseason defense of his era. His 2016 finals is arguably --the-- best series performance of anyone left, and is the most portable player left. ATG Defense+a perfect cog on an atg offense on the team that defined the decade, made 5 straight finals. three of those finals were with draymond as the clear second best player, and his postseason impact has regular rated in the top 10. Also gets big off-court bonus as the main playcaller on both ends for the warriors and has demonstrated his knick as a second coach turning wiggins into a good defender.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#16 » by Hal14 » Sat Jan 30, 2021 12:33 am

freethedevil wrote:
Hal14 wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:My biggest criticism of McHale is that he wasn't able to bring his incredible 1987 season to a positive conclusion in the play-offs but it only puts him behind Manu and Pau for me in terms of players I'd otherwise probably have him ahead of.


Huh?

So it's McHale's fault that he fractured a bone in his foot?

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1987-06-04-sp-4497-story.html

Instead of criticizing him for it, McHale should be recognized as a guy who did whatever it takes to go out there and try to help his team win, even if it meant risking what was potentially a career-ending injury. He was a warrior he played through more pain than just about any player ever. He knew that him, Bird and company were getting old and so he knew that 87 was probably their last legit shot at a title. So he wanted to be out there on the court playing. He knew that even him at 50% was still better than Greg Kite so the best chance the Celtics had to win was with him out there playing - even with all the pain in his foot.

Even with the pain he was in (and the other injuries the Celtics had) they still made it to the NBA finals - beating the Pistons in the ECF, one of the best conference finals series of all time. And then they gave the Lakers a run for their money in the NBA finals, even with all the injuries the Celtics had and even though Magic says 87 was the Lakers best team he ever played on.

Then McHale had surgery on his foot in the offseason - yet he still came back and played in 64 games the following year in 87-88, making all defensive 1st team and the all star team..not sure if any other player would have come back so strong from such a serious injury + surgery. McHale averaged over 20 PPG in each of the next 3 seasons that immediately followed his foot surgery. Even after his foot surgery he still played 6 more seasons, made 3 more all star teams, made 1st team all defense 1 more time and 2nd team all defense 2 more times.

I think derrick rose should have been voted into the top 30 for being willing to play despite career nuking injuries. You agree don't you? Wait you don't? Why is that?

Oh right, because players are rated based on what they contribute, not what they could have contributed if healthy.

Thanks for coming in out of left field with an apples to oranges comparison.
1/11/24 The birth of a new Hal. From now on being less combative, avoiding confrontation - like Switzerland :)
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#17 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:07 am

51. Dave Cowens
-Great combination of scoring, rebounding, defense and playmaking which led to very high win teams
-Very strong playoff performer, averaging 18.9/14.4/3.7 for his career. Led league in ps win shares in 76 despite not getting fmvp
-career treb% of 17.1 and ast % of 13.7 which are both good for a pf/c(Shaq's career %'s were 17.8/13.9)
-2x nba champ
-1x nba mvp
-4x top 4 in mvp voting(shows how highly regarded he was in his era)
-3x all nba 2nd team
-3x all defensive(1x 1st, 2x 2nd)
-Had 4 years with a ts+ above 100 in his prime so wasn't that inefficient as a scorer
-prime length of 9 years imo which is right there with most players despite career more or less ending at 31

52. Sam Jones
-Going with Jones here for sustained excellence in both rs and ps and obviously his role in the greatest dynasty in nba history which I think his role in is probably underrated in general. I'm just going to go through and post his rank on those teams in win shares for both the rs and ps from 62-67 to show what I am talking about. rs first and ps second(62-66 all being title teams)
62: 2nd 2nd
63: 2nd 2nd
64: 2nd 1st
65: 2nd 2nd
66: 2nd 2nd
67: 4th 1st(tie)
So as we can see and which the actual numbers do a better job of showing is the degree to which it was Russell and Jones at the top and then usually quite a large gap between them and everyone else on those teams. His role on 5 of those title teams was very large which is something no one else left can match when it comes to contributing to post season success imo(granted Cousy could be argued but I think Jones was better).

-3x all nba 2nd team
-3x top 10 in mvp voting(high of 4th)
-6 seasons averaging over 19ppg with career ts+ of 104(highly efficient for a wing)
-5 playoff runs averaging over 23ppg all at or above .516 ts%(when league average was under 50%)
-career ws/48 of .182 which ranks 35th all time
-known as clutch playoff scorer
-from 1962-1966 the Celtics played in 6 decisive game 5 or game 7's and Jones averaged 32.5ppg in those games which were all wins(most by 3 pts or less).

53. Bob Lanier
-this pick may change but for right now I like his combination of peak, prime and overall longevity plus some very good playoff performances even if his teams never made it very far
-good career ast % for a big man of 14.4(better than Shaq)
-Posted 7 straight seasons with at least 21.3/11.3
-career ts+ of 109 which is obviously very good
-top 10 in mvp voting 4 times(high of 4th)
-54th in career win shares
-5 playoff runs with a bpm of 6.0 or higher

With regard to the perceived favorites in this thread I would go Manu>McHale>Dwight
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#18 » by Hal14 » Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:11 am

freethedevil wrote:2. Manu Gnoblim, longetvity, longetvity longetvity, essentially mchale-level at his peak but with a signficantly longer prime

McHale level at his peak...seriously?

McHale at his peak was:
-All NBA 1st team
-All NBA defensive 1st team
-4th in MVP voting
-All star
-6th leading scorer in NBA

He did all of that in the same season.

Ginobili's peak season of 2010-2011:
-All NBA 3rd team
-Did not make all defensive team
-8th in MVP voting
-All star
-31st leading scorer in NBA

At his peak, McHale was on the short list for best scorers in the league and one of the best defenders in the league. Ginobili meanwhile was never considered an elite scorer, never averaged more than 20 PPG in the regular season or playoffs, never made a 1st or 2nd team all NBA team and never made an all NBA defensive team.

So Ginobili was a worse scorer, despite playing in an era where it was easier to score since there was more floor spacing, defensive 3 seconds so bigs couldn't camp out in the paint - both of these factors allowed for more space for a guy like Manu to slash to the rim, plus there was the hand checking rule which made it easier for players to score - and overall less emphasis across the league on defense - a shift towards a more offensive game around 05-06. Also, since there was less quality defensive players from 05 on, and Manu still never made an all defensive team it's really an eyebrow raiser. Meanwhile Mchale played when there was a higher concentration in the league of high quality defensive players and he still made all defensive team 6 times and was a better scorer.

You say Manu had better longevity...but what if McHale accomplishes more in less seasons? 7 all star games for McHale...only 2 for Manu. 6 all NBA defensive teams for McHale...0 for Manu. 1 all NBA 1st team selection for Mchale and 1 top 5 finish in MVP voting...0 for Manu.

Ginobili really doesn't have much of a longevity edge when you consider:
-It was easier for Ginobili to play more seasons because he conserved his energy by playing less minutes. Number of seasons they played 30+ MPG = Ginobili with 2, Mchale with 8
-Number of seasons averaging more than 1/2 the game, more than 24 MPG = Manu with 8 seasons, McHale with 11
-Still think Ginobili has a massive longevity edge? Well consider that In McHale's era, players careers simply didn't last as long because:

-more physical game, hand checking was allowed, hard fouls were allowed, flagrant fouls weren't enforced
-More possessions per game/faster pace, which means players use more energy during the course of a game, the game is more physically draining for them so they are playing the game more tired/fatigued than modern players
-Less teams in the league so higher concentration of talent on each time, which meant every game was a battle, no cupcake easy wins, you had to bring it every night so the games and the season were more draining
-Less days off in between games for players to recover
-Players played hurt and played through injuries much more frequently. In modern era, the slightest injury and you sit. Heck, you even see players sit in the modern era even if they're completely healthy (load management) so they are more rested for the playoffs.
-Worse facilities
-Worse equipment
-Less advancements in nutrition and sports science
-Less advancements in dietary supplements, weight training, strength/conditioning, etc.
-As Isiah talks about in this video (from the 5:30 mark to the 9:30 mark) the game was also more mentally draining back in that era as well:

https://youtu.be/9DmQT9MRe9s

Bill Simmons interviews Larry Bird. At the 34:00 mark, Simmons says a lot of the reason why players last longer in modern era is better "diet and conditioning" and Bird says more emphasis on "core work" in modern era to keep players in better shape and says in his day his off-season training was "running on roads and playing basketball on asphalt which isn't gonna be good for you"

1/11/24 The birth of a new Hal. From now on being less combative, avoiding confrontation - like Switzerland :)
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #51 

Post#19 » by freethedevil » Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:48 am

Hal14 wrote:
freethedevil wrote:2. Manu Gnoblim, longetvity, longetvity longetvity, essentially mchale-level at his peak but with a signficantly longer prime

McHale level at his peak...seriously?

McHale at his peak was:
-All NBA 1st team
-All NBA defensive 1st team
-4th in MVP voting
-All star
-6th leading scorer in NBA

He did all of that in the same season.

Ginobili's peak season of 2010-2011:
-All NBA 3rd team
-Did not make all defensive team
-8th in MVP voting
-All star
-31st leading scorer in NBA

At his peak, McHale was on the short list for best scorers in the league and one of the best defenders in the league. Ginobili meanwhile was never considered an elite scorer, never averaged more than 20 PPG in the regular season or playoffs, never made a 1st or 2nd team all NBA team and never made an all NBA defensive team.

You say Manu had better longevity...but what if McHale accomplishes more in less seasons? 7 all star games for McHale...only 2 for Manu. 6 all NBA defensive teams for McHale...0 for Manu. 1 all NBA 1st team selection for Mchale and 1 top 5 finish in MVP voting...0 for Manu.

Ginobili really doesn't have much of a longevity edge when you consider:
-It was easier for Ginobili to play more seasons because he conserved his energy by playing less minutes. Number of seasons they played 30+ MPG = Ginobili with 2, Mchale with 8
-Number of seasons averaging more than 1/2 the game, more than 24 MPG = Manu with 8 seasons, McHale with 11
-Still think Ginobili has a massive longevity edge? Well consider that In McHale's era, players careers simply didn't last as long because:

-more physical game, hand checking was allowed, hard fouls were allowed, flagrant fouls weren't enforced
-More possessions per game/faster pace, which means players use more energy during the course of a game, the game is more physically draining for them so they are playing the game more tired/fatigued than modern players
-Less teams in the league so higher concentration of talent on each time, which meant every game was a battle, no cupcake easy wins, you had to bring it every night so the games and the season were more draining
-Less days off in between games for players to recover
-Players played hurt and played through injuries much more frequently. In modern era, the slightest injury and you sit. Heck, you even see players sit in the modern era even if they're completely healthy (load management) so they are more rested for the playoffs.
-Worse facilities
-Worse equipment
-Less advancements in nutrition and sports science
-Less advancements in dietary supplements, weight training, strength/conditioning, etc.
-As Isiah talks about in this video (from the 5:30 mark to the 9:30 mark) the game was also more mentally draining back in that era as well:

https://youtu.be/9DmQT9MRe9s

Bill Simmons interviews Larry Bird. At the 34:00 mark, Simmons says a lot of the reason why players last longer in modern era is better "diet and conditioning" and Bird says more emphasis on "core work" in modern era to keep players in better shape and says in his day his off-season training was "running on roads and playing basketball on asphalt which isn't gonna be good for you"


Don't care about the regular season to much an dreally don't care about media voting. If you want to make a case mchale had a signifcantly better playoffs than 04-05 manu, go ahead. I see comparable scoring, better passing, stron gperimiter defense and signficantly less of a blackhole which is fairly relevant when discussiong players his low on the value scale. (celtics were perfectly fine without mchale).
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Analysis/Vote 

Post#20 » by JoeMalburg » Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:49 am

Players on my board:

Low efficiency, High fan-appeal - Bob Cousy, Allen Iverson

Big Men, Short Careers - Dave Cowens, Wes Unseld, Bill Walton

Still Active and over 80 inches tall - Giannis Antetokounmpo, Anthony Davis, Dwight Howard

First thought: I have Cousy at #30, so obviously I think he belongs here are real soon after. He checks a lot of boxes that no one left can.

-He has 10 all-NBA first team selections, no remaining player has more than half that many.
-He won a title and the MVP in the same season. He's the only guy left to make that claim in the NBA.
-He was a member of the 25th and 35th anniversary teams, one of the 50 greatest in 1996 and the first superstar little-man in the NBA.

I won't bother arguing about his obvious flaws, especially statistically, but they simply weren't nearly as problematic then as they'd be today and his resume and reputation reinforce that absolutely. I think basing anything on Bob Cousy's shooting percentage is really missing the point.

Iverson is another guy who this community tends to look down upon for an efficiency flaw that was much less of a concern in his era. Despite his inefficiency, he put together a very impressive resume, indisputably better than a few contemporaries who have been selected above him, based on hypothetical projections/suppositions. If we are going to do the hypothetical game, it seems highly probable that a modern Iverson both benefits from the improved spacing and spends much more time developing his three-point shot which would be a much bigger part of his offense you'd have to assume. His efficiency likely improves significantly with the advantage of better strategy and coaching.

Iverson and Cousy both represent for me this community properly pointing some flaws that were probably overlooked too much in their time, but putting much emphasis on them retroactively and punishing these players to an excessive degree.

On to the old centers. 1969 MVP Wes Unseld, 1973 MVP Dave Cowens and 1978 MVP Bill Walton. They all added titles to their resume as star players and team leaders and Walton and Unseld added Finals MVP awards.

The list of guys left with MVP's and Rings as a lead player is pretty short. It's these three and Cousy. And that's what elevates them into this bracket for me. Reaching one of the highest levels of individual success and team success. Walton has the highest peak, followed by Cowens and then Unseld. Unseld has the longest prime followed by Cowens then Walton. I prefer peak to prime and both to longevity, but it's hard to ignore that these guys don't stack up in terms of length of peak, prime or career with most more modern stars being considered right now.

I'm interested in takes on Walton. It seems to me that if just finishes out the 1978 season and the Blazers win the title and then he just has 6-7 more solid healthy seasons where he is at least an all-NBA player, he's a top 10-15 lock. So that's hard to ignore, even though he didn't have the longevity. In just under two prime years he accomplished more all but maybe 10-15 of players in terms of the peak he reached.

With Willis Reed off the board, I expect Cowens to go pretty soon. They are two pretty comparable players in terms of resume from roughly the same era. It's hard for me to separate them too much. I have Reed one spot above Cowens in the late-40's to early 50s range these days.

Unseld I struggle with. Does he belong in the Cowens/Reed/Gilmore class? Or is he better placed with Parish/McAdoo/Lanier/Mourning/Thurmond?

As for the active players remaining on my board, I ask sincerely, how do Ray Allen and Paul Pierce rank above a two-time MVP and a 4-time All-NBA first team player with a ring in a superstar 1B role?

I understand the longevity argument, but you're talking about no all-NBA first teams between the two of them and never better than a 7th or 9th place finish in the MVP race. They are just not the same level players as Davis and Giannis who have been at some point of their career, the best player at their position in the league. Would everyone really rather have a Pierce or Allen career over almost a decade of Giannis or Davis we've had so far?

Anyway, those are my thoughts, here is my vote:


First Vote: Bob Cousy



Second Vote: Bill Walton



Third Vote: Anthony Davis

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