One year run, peak Kawhi or peak KG
Posted: Wed Apr 7, 2021 10:23 pm
To build a team for a one year run, regular season + playoffs, who do you choose as the centerpiece?
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Cavsfansince84 wrote:I'd take 2017 Kawhi and possibly 2016 or 2019 Kawhi over 04 KG.
No-more-rings wrote:Cavsfansince84 wrote:I'd take 2017 Kawhi and possibly 2016 or 2019 Kawhi over 04 KG.
2016 over peak KG is really insane sorry lol.
Cavsfansince84 wrote:No-more-rings wrote:Cavsfansince84 wrote:I'd take 2017 Kawhi and possibly 2016 or 2019 Kawhi over 04 KG.
2016 over peak KG is really insane sorry lol.
I don't really care if people disagree with me but adding the whole sorry lol just comes off as such a childish way to end a comment. You should expect more of yourself in how you interact with others.
No-more-rings wrote:Cavsfansince84 wrote:No-more-rings wrote:2016 over peak KG is really insane sorry lol.
I don't really care if people disagree with me but adding the whole sorry lol just comes off as such a childish way to end a comment. You should expect more of yourself in how you interact with others.
You’re allowed to have a differing opinion from the consensus, but you should explain why. If you’re that easily annoyed by what I said maybe you ought to take a break because it wasn’t intended to be malicious.
McBubbles wrote:I'm inclined to take Peak KG over Peak Kawhi as the former is considerably better at pretty much every single facet of the game besides scoring in which he's considerably worse (though the difference in the offensive environment between 04 and 17-19 can't be overstated). Superior passing and potentially playmaking, superior rebounding, superior defence, superior leadership, bigger matchup problem, etc trump's Kawhi's superior scoring I think.
LukaTheGOAT wrote:People likely say it is too small of a sample size, but 2017 Kawhi is historically underrated and one of the greatest peaks ever. He is deserving to be in this convo. His RS play pales in comparison to 04 Garnett, but Kawhi has a history of elevating his play a lot in the PS, and 2017 was no different. 2017 PS Kawhi was the last year he was arguably a goat level perimeter defender, along with historic scoring and mediocre playmaking. I like how Kawhi fits next to other stars and how his scoring with his consistent mid-range that is impossible to take away will always keep an offense at a decent level. And the PS box-score numbers are unreal:
2017 PS Kawhi
BPM-14.2 (4th all-time)
WS/48-.314 (all-time level stuff btw)
PER-31.5
It isn't even just basic box-score metrics that overhype volume scorers that are in love with him. Impact metrics with plus-minus information love him as well.
PIPM-8.16 (1st all-time for PS runs with at least 163 mins or at least 5 games)
RAPTOR-15.29 (Top 3-5 all-time)
Predator-14.09 (Top 3-5 all-time)
AuPM-10 (maybe #1 all-time)
In comparison
04 PS Kevin Garnett
PIPM-2.42
RAPTOR-7.01
Predator (Predictive Version of RAPTOR)-7.47
AuPM-7.5
*Note AuPM might be slightly off the correct calculation, but relatively close.
I just don't believe Kawhi putting up a historically great PS performance was just due to team construction and hot shooting. It might've played a part, but I truly believe Kawhi was playing like an all-timer. And the magnitude by which he is ahead in this metrics is nothing to sniff at.
I feel more confident in Kawhi honestly.
Max123 wrote:LukaTheGOAT wrote:People likely say it is too small of a sample size, but 2017 Kawhi is historically underrated and one of the greatest peaks ever. He is deserving to be in this convo. His RS play pales in comparison to 04 Garnett, but Kawhi has a history of elevating his play a lot in the PS, and 2017 was no different. 2017 PS Kawhi was the last year he was arguably a goat level perimeter defender, along with historic scoring and mediocre playmaking. I like how Kawhi fits next to other stars and how his scoring with his consistent mid-range that is impossible to take away will always keep an offense at a decent level. And the PS box-score numbers are unreal:
2017 PS Kawhi
BPM-14.2 (4th all-time)
WS/48-.314 (all-time level stuff btw)
PER-31.5
It isn't even just basic box-score metrics that overhype volume scorers that are in love with him. Impact metrics with plus-minus information love him as well.
PIPM-8.16 (1st all-time for PS runs with at least 163 mins or at least 5 games)
RAPTOR-15.29 (Top 3-5 all-time)
Predator-14.09 (Top 3-5 all-time)
AuPM-10 (maybe #1 all-time)
In comparison
04 PS Kevin Garnett
PIPM-2.42
RAPTOR-7.01
Predator (Predictive Version of RAPTOR)-7.47
AuPM-7.5
*Note AuPM might be slightly off the correct calculation, but relatively close.
I just don't believe Kawhi putting up a historically great PS performance was just due to team construction and hot shooting. It might've played a part, but I truly believe Kawhi was playing like an all-timer. And the magnitude by which he is ahead in this metrics is nothing to sniff at.
I feel more confident in Kawhi honestly.
I think there is still too much noise to the point where I think if we truly want to grasp what kind of players peak Kawhi and KG were (who we are getting for this one year run) I think it would be good perhaps examine at least one surrounding year for the perceived peak of the player (for KG 2003 and for Kawhi maybe 2016).
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LukaTheGOAT wrote:Max123 wrote:LukaTheGOAT wrote:People likely say it is too small of a sample size, but 2017 Kawhi is historically underrated and one of the greatest peaks ever. He is deserving to be in this convo. His RS play pales in comparison to 04 Garnett, but Kawhi has a history of elevating his play a lot in the PS, and 2017 was no different. 2017 PS Kawhi was the last year he was arguably a goat level perimeter defender, along with historic scoring and mediocre playmaking. I like how Kawhi fits next to other stars and how his scoring with his consistent mid-range that is impossible to take away will always keep an offense at a decent level. And the PS box-score numbers are unreal:
2017 PS Kawhi
BPM-14.2 (4th all-time)
WS/48-.314 (all-time level stuff btw)
PER-31.5
It isn't even just basic box-score metrics that overhype volume scorers that are in love with him. Impact metrics with plus-minus information love him as well.
PIPM-8.16 (1st all-time for PS runs with at least 163 mins or at least 5 games)
RAPTOR-15.29 (Top 3-5 all-time)
Predator-14.09 (Top 3-5 all-time)
AuPM-10 (maybe #1 all-time)
In comparison
04 PS Kevin Garnett
PIPM-2.42
RAPTOR-7.01
Predator (Predictive Version of RAPTOR)-7.47
AuPM-7.5
*Note AuPM might be slightly off the correct calculation, but relatively close.
I just don't believe Kawhi putting up a historically great PS performance was just due to team construction and hot shooting. It might've played a part, but I truly believe Kawhi was playing like an all-timer. And the magnitude by which he is ahead in this metrics is nothing to sniff at.
I feel more confident in Kawhi honestly.
I think there is still too much noise to the point where I think if we truly want to grasp what kind of players peak Kawhi and KG were (who we are getting for this one year run) I think it would be good perhaps examine at least one surrounding year for the perceived peak of the player (for KG 2003 and for Kawhi maybe 2016).
Sent from my iPhone using RealGM Forums
Sure thing. I am still picking Kawhi. As I mentioned in my post, I think Kawhi consistently ups his game in the PS, and I believe that shows in multi-year PS metrics.
Like if we compare Kawhi to Steph for PS play
Kawhi peaks higher than Steph in the PS in:
Multi-Year PIPM
Multi-Year LEBRON
Multi-Year BPM 2.0
2 versions of PS RAPM
Multi-Year RAPTOR
Opinions around Steph in the PS vary greatly here, but that is just an example of his dominance.
From 01-19 (which encompasses almost all of KG's prime and his decline, though KG had high PS plus-miuns in Boston), Kawhi has the 3rd highest PS PIPM in that span, behind only Draymond and Lebron.
There is many sources out there that suggest Kawhi is more impactful in the PS.
LukaTheGOAT wrote:People likely say it is too small of a sample size, but 2017 Kawhi is historically underrated and one of the greatest peaks ever. He is deserving to be in this convo. His RS play pales in comparison to 04 Garnett, but Kawhi has a history of elevating his play a lot in the PS, and 2017 was no different. 2017 PS Kawhi was the last year he was arguably a goat level perimeter defender, along with historic scoring and mediocre playmaking. I like how Kawhi fits next to other stars and how his scoring with his consistent mid-range that is impossible to take away will always keep an offense at a decent level. And the PS box-score numbers are unreal:
2017 PS Kawhi
BPM-14.2 (4th all-time)
WS/48-.314 (all-time level stuff btw)
PER-31.5
It isn't even just basic box-score metrics that overhype volume scorers that are in love with him. Impact metrics with plus-minus information love him as well.
PIPM-8.16 (1st all-time for PS runs with at least 163 mins or at least 5 games)
RAPTOR-15.29 (Top 3-5 all-time)
Predator-14.09 (Top 3-5 all-time)
AuPM-10 (maybe #1 all-time)
In comparison
04 PS Kevin Garnett
PIPM-2.42
RAPTOR-7.01
Predator (Predictive Version of RAPTOR)-7.47
AuPM-7.5
*Note AuPM might be slightly off the correct calculation, but relatively close.
I just don't believe Kawhi putting up a historically great PS performance was just due to team construction and hot shooting. It might've played a part, but I truly believe Kawhi was playing like an all-timer. And the magnitude by which he is ahead in this metrics is nothing to sniff at.
I feel more confident in Kawhi honestly.
Max123 wrote:LukaTheGOAT wrote:Max123 wrote:I think there is still too much noise to the point where I think if we truly want to grasp what kind of players peak Kawhi and KG were (who we are getting for this one year run) I think it would be good perhaps examine at least one surrounding year for the perceived peak of the player (for KG 2003 and for Kawhi maybe 2016).
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Sure thing. I am still picking Kawhi. As I mentioned in my post, I think Kawhi consistently ups his game in the PS, and I believe that shows in multi-year PS metrics.
Like if we compare Kawhi to Steph for PS play
Kawhi peaks higher than Steph in the PS in:
Multi-Year PIPM
Multi-Year LEBRON
Multi-Year BPM 2.0
2 versions of PS RAPM
Multi-Year RAPTOR
Opinions around Steph in the PS vary greatly here, but that is just an example of his dominance.
From 01-19 (which encompasses almost all of KG's prime and his decline, though KG had high PS plus-miuns in Boston), Kawhi has the 3rd highest PS PIPM in that span, behind only Draymond and Lebron.
There is many sources out there that suggest Kawhi is more impactful in the PS.
Do you have KG’s numbers in ’08? Can you plug a site for these playoff metrics?
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No-more-rings wrote:LukaTheGOAT wrote:People likely say it is too small of a sample size, but 2017 Kawhi is historically underrated and one of the greatest peaks ever. He is deserving to be in this convo. His RS play pales in comparison to 04 Garnett, but Kawhi has a history of elevating his play a lot in the PS, and 2017 was no different. 2017 PS Kawhi was the last year he was arguably a goat level perimeter defender, along with historic scoring and mediocre playmaking. I like how Kawhi fits next to other stars and how his scoring with his consistent mid-range that is impossible to take away will always keep an offense at a decent level. And the PS box-score numbers are unreal:
2017 PS Kawhi
BPM-14.2 (4th all-time)
WS/48-.314 (all-time level stuff btw)
PER-31.5
It isn't even just basic box-score metrics that overhype volume scorers that are in love with him. Impact metrics with plus-minus information love him as well.
PIPM-8.16 (1st all-time for PS runs with at least 163 mins or at least 5 games)
RAPTOR-15.29 (Top 3-5 all-time)
Predator-14.09 (Top 3-5 all-time)
AuPM-10 (maybe #1 all-time)
In comparison
04 PS Kevin Garnett
PIPM-2.42
RAPTOR-7.01
Predator (Predictive Version of RAPTOR)-7.47
AuPM-7.5
*Note AuPM might be slightly off the correct calculation, but relatively close.
I just don't believe Kawhi putting up a historically great PS performance was just due to team construction and hot shooting. It might've played a part, but I truly believe Kawhi was playing like an all-timer. And the magnitude by which he is ahead in this metrics is nothing to sniff at.
I feel more confident in Kawhi honestly.
You’re also ignoring that those postseason numbers are heavily skewed by his first round series, Tony Allen was out and they had no one who could remotely check Kawhi. His series against Houston was good but nowhere near the same level. He dominated game 1 against Golden State but whether or not he would’ve kept that up is purely speculation.
Calling it some goat level type peak because of one outlier series is a stretch too much for me.
LukaTheGOAT wrote:Max123 wrote:LukaTheGOAT wrote:
Sure thing. I am still picking Kawhi. As I mentioned in my post, I think Kawhi consistently ups his game in the PS, and I believe that shows in multi-year PS metrics.
Like if we compare Kawhi to Steph for PS play
Kawhi peaks higher than Steph in the PS in:
Multi-Year PIPM
Multi-Year LEBRON
Multi-Year BPM 2.0
2 versions of PS RAPM
Multi-Year RAPTOR
Opinions around Steph in the PS vary greatly here, but that is just an example of his dominance.
From 01-19 (which encompasses almost all of KG's prime and his decline, though KG had high PS plus-miuns in Boston), Kawhi has the 3rd highest PS PIPM in that span, behind only Draymond and Lebron.
There is many sources out there that suggest Kawhi is more impactful in the PS.
Do you have KG’s numbers in ’08? Can you plug a site for these playoff metrics?
Sent from my iPhone using RealGM Forums
Single Year PS PIPM up until 18 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13pGq-utIRXi7trNXPjVas6qw7wFnTDHfJX-fVvbHv8Y/edit#gid=90945325
18-20 PS playoff LEBRON data (all that is available) https://www.bball-index.com/playoff-lebron-database/
RAPTOR and Predator that goes up to 19 I believe https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nDJeA-98k9_3UlOriCT5_Mq8KG_2kbavK4mMUaqqU5E/edit#gid=1947464433
I can't find the mutliple versions of PS RAPM at the moment unfortunately. And the multi-year PS PIPM tool sadly is no longer available as Mr. Goldstein was hired, but I definitely took notes of some of his results before it was deleted. You might be able to go back through his twitter and get some more PS results that Jacob Goldstein has posted for the public.