1970s Top Team Tourney, Ro64, 1971 Bullets @ 1974 Bulls
Posted: Mon Sep 6, 2021 2:55 pm
Don't forget, the home team for the series only benefits from that designation for Game 7. The rankings for these teams are out of 37 (because their are 37 teams in the 1970s tourney). The player stats are SS (ShotShare, percentage of team's shots taken when on the court), and the slash stats are rebounds per game, assists per game and stocks per game (if applicable), all adjusted to a Pace of 100.
The 1971 Baltimore Bullets (#33) @ The 1974 Chicago Bulls (#32)
Overall:
Record: '74 Bulls, 54 wins (21st) > '71 Bullets, 42 wins (37th)
RSRS: '74 Bulls, +3.20 (27th) > '71 Bullets, +0.91 (36th)
PSRS: '71 Bullets, +6.61 (17th) > '74 Bulls, -0.62 (37th, 11 games)
When the '71 Bullets have Possession:
Overall Comparison, '71 Bullets' offense vs '74 Bulls' defense:
Regular Season: -1.0 Offensive Rating (35th) vs -4.1 Defensive Rating (11th): -5.1 expected
Playoffs: +0.4 Offensive Rating (30th) vs +4.7 Defensive Rating (37th): +5.1 expected
Lineup:
PG: Earl Monroe, 25.5% SS on +0.2% rTS, 2.2 / 3.8
SG: Fred Carter, 22.0% SS on -5.4% rTS, 2.8 / 1.8
SF: Jack Marin, 21.7% SS on +1.0% rTS, 5.4 / 2.2
PF: Gus Johnson, 20.1% SS on -0.6% rTS, 14.7 / 2.5 (plays only 4 of the 7 games)
C: Wes Unseld, 14.2% SS on +4.6% rTS, 14.5 / 3.4
6th: Kevin Loughery, 24.9% SS on -3.8% rTS, 2.3 / 3.2
Backup PF: John Tresvant, 14.1% SS on +2.1% rTS, 4.6 / 0.9
When the '74 Bulls have Possession:
Overall Comparison, '74 Bulls' offense vs '71 Bullets' defense:
Regular Season: -1.0 Offensive Rating (34th) vs -1.5 Defensive Rating (29th): -2.5 expected
Playoffs: +3.1 Offensive Rating (10th) vs -5.1 Defensive Rating (11th): -2.0 expected
Lineup:
PG: Norm Van Lier, 20.0% SS on -3.3% rTS, 4.5 / 6.6/ 2.0
SG: Jerry Sloan, 17.2% SS on -1.4% rTS, 6.9 / 1.8 / 2.4 (plays only 4 of the 7 games)
SF: Chet Walker, 24.8% SS on +6.3% rTS, 4.8 / 2.3 / 0.8
PF: Bob Love, 27.6% SS on -4.0% rTS, 5.7 / 1.5 / 1.2
C: Clifford Ray, 12.5% SS on +3.1% rTS, 11.6 / 3.0 / 2.8
6th: Bob Weiss, 17.6% SS on +2.0% rTS, 1.2 / 3.6 / 1.4
Questions:
1) How seriously do we take the Bulls' defensive implosion in the playoffs? My instinct is to be cautious about it - much of that is Kareem ripping them apart with 66% FG and averaging a 35/20 for the series. First off, '74 Kareem was a monster. But second off, it's pretty clear that the Bullets have no big-man scorer even remotely comparable. The Bullets' offense volume comes from the guards, not the bigs.
2) The Bulls' defense were better at generating turnovers than any other team in this tournament. How effective might this be against the Bullets? I don't know; Monroe is known more for scoring than passing (and the Bullets posted really, really low assist numbers overall).
3) Can the Bullets' front-court defense (Unseld and Johnson/Tresvant) exploit the fact that the Bulls' possessions disproportionately end up being taken by the inefficient Bob Love?
I'm not going to post a timeline on how long these are up; the first time I generate these stats it takes a fair amount of time. Once I've done this for every team, the write-ups are the only real time-suck.
Post with who you would pick to win this series, ideally with the number of games. And if you have any insight into these players or matchups beyond what is above please don't hesitate to post; the goal (as always) is for us all to walk away with more knowledge than we started with. Lord knows I don't know a ton about these teams
The 1971 Baltimore Bullets (#33) @ The 1974 Chicago Bulls (#32)
Overall:
Record: '74 Bulls, 54 wins (21st) > '71 Bullets, 42 wins (37th)
RSRS: '74 Bulls, +3.20 (27th) > '71 Bullets, +0.91 (36th)
PSRS: '71 Bullets, +6.61 (17th) > '74 Bulls, -0.62 (37th, 11 games)
When the '71 Bullets have Possession:
Overall Comparison, '71 Bullets' offense vs '74 Bulls' defense:
Regular Season: -1.0 Offensive Rating (35th) vs -4.1 Defensive Rating (11th): -5.1 expected
Playoffs: +0.4 Offensive Rating (30th) vs +4.7 Defensive Rating (37th): +5.1 expected
Lineup:
PG: Earl Monroe, 25.5% SS on +0.2% rTS, 2.2 / 3.8
SG: Fred Carter, 22.0% SS on -5.4% rTS, 2.8 / 1.8
SF: Jack Marin, 21.7% SS on +1.0% rTS, 5.4 / 2.2
PF: Gus Johnson, 20.1% SS on -0.6% rTS, 14.7 / 2.5 (plays only 4 of the 7 games)
C: Wes Unseld, 14.2% SS on +4.6% rTS, 14.5 / 3.4
6th: Kevin Loughery, 24.9% SS on -3.8% rTS, 2.3 / 3.2
Backup PF: John Tresvant, 14.1% SS on +2.1% rTS, 4.6 / 0.9
When the '74 Bulls have Possession:
Overall Comparison, '74 Bulls' offense vs '71 Bullets' defense:
Regular Season: -1.0 Offensive Rating (34th) vs -1.5 Defensive Rating (29th): -2.5 expected
Playoffs: +3.1 Offensive Rating (10th) vs -5.1 Defensive Rating (11th): -2.0 expected
Lineup:
PG: Norm Van Lier, 20.0% SS on -3.3% rTS, 4.5 / 6.6/ 2.0
SG: Jerry Sloan, 17.2% SS on -1.4% rTS, 6.9 / 1.8 / 2.4 (plays only 4 of the 7 games)
SF: Chet Walker, 24.8% SS on +6.3% rTS, 4.8 / 2.3 / 0.8
PF: Bob Love, 27.6% SS on -4.0% rTS, 5.7 / 1.5 / 1.2
C: Clifford Ray, 12.5% SS on +3.1% rTS, 11.6 / 3.0 / 2.8
6th: Bob Weiss, 17.6% SS on +2.0% rTS, 1.2 / 3.6 / 1.4
Questions:
1) How seriously do we take the Bulls' defensive implosion in the playoffs? My instinct is to be cautious about it - much of that is Kareem ripping them apart with 66% FG and averaging a 35/20 for the series. First off, '74 Kareem was a monster. But second off, it's pretty clear that the Bullets have no big-man scorer even remotely comparable. The Bullets' offense volume comes from the guards, not the bigs.
2) The Bulls' defense were better at generating turnovers than any other team in this tournament. How effective might this be against the Bullets? I don't know; Monroe is known more for scoring than passing (and the Bullets posted really, really low assist numbers overall).
3) Can the Bullets' front-court defense (Unseld and Johnson/Tresvant) exploit the fact that the Bulls' possessions disproportionately end up being taken by the inefficient Bob Love?
I'm not going to post a timeline on how long these are up; the first time I generate these stats it takes a fair amount of time. Once I've done this for every team, the write-ups are the only real time-suck.
Post with who you would pick to win this series, ideally with the number of games. And if you have any insight into these players or matchups beyond what is above please don't hesitate to post; the goal (as always) is for us all to walk away with more knowledge than we started with. Lord knows I don't know a ton about these teams
