falcolombardi wrote:Djoker wrote:1993Playoffs wrote:Unpopular opinion: I think 2009 should be #1.
Looking at it objectively 2009 is probably the best season between the 2 players IMO of course
That's a very valid opinion. The problem is that considering two years in either direction, 2009 really looks like an outlier.
this is a weird bit of logic to me that a lot of the board uses
what does it matter what happened in other years when evaluating a season? is incresibly arbitrary. same aa evaluating players by their best consecutivas stretch instead of best stretch
is basically double counting "bad" seasons to diminish better ones
the issues of 2008(who was a pre prime lebron anyway) and 2010 (also pretty overstated) are already accounted when evaluating those seasons
There is no double counting... You naturally have more confidence in a piece of data where other related data shows similar results as opposed to a piece of data where the related data shows something completely different. The second is basically the definition of a statistical outlier.
Per 75 Playoff Numbers:
2007 Lebron: 23.6/7.6/7.5 on -2.5 rTS with 3.1 to (20 games)
2008 Lebron: 27.8/7.7/7.5 on -1.5 rTS with 4.1 to (13 games)
2009 Lebron: 35.6/9.2/7.4 on +7.4 rTS with 2.8 to (14 games) --->
OUTLIER2010 Lebron: 27.1/8.6/7.1 on +6.4 rTS with 3.5 to (11 games)
2011 Lebron: 22.5/8.0/5.6 on +2.2 rTS with 3.0 to (21 games)
Do I consider at 14-game run where a player puts up 35.6 pts on +7.4 rTS an outlier when in the surrounding 65 games the same player puts up 24.7 pts on around +2 rTS? You bet I do.
Of course it doesn't mean I will just dismiss this season. 2009 Lebron is the best version of Lebron ever to play basketball but when comparing it to other insane peak seasons by not just Jordan but also Kareem, Shaq, and Wilt I will slightly downgrade Lebron for scoring that clearly looks like an outlier. It's very hard to take 35.6 points/75 at face value when Lebron only has one another postseason in his whole career above 30 points and it's 31.9 points/75 in 2018.