Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo?

Moderators: Clyde Frazier, Doctor MJ, trex_8063, penbeast0, PaulieWal

Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo?

Luka
22
100%
Carmelo
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 22

dygaction
General Manager
Posts: 7,623
And1: 4,914
Joined: Sep 20, 2015
 

Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#1 » by dygaction » Mon May 16, 2022 4:46 pm

Carmelo had better 3pt shooting and free throw shooting advantage, and was known for his post up games. Luka has much better handles to get to where he wants. Without considering passing of course, who is the better scorer?

A related question, if they were to play one on one basketball, who is going to have the upper hand?
LukaTheGOAT
Analyst
Posts: 3,264
And1: 2,973
Joined: Dec 25, 2019
 

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#2 » by LukaTheGOAT » Mon May 16, 2022 4:49 pm

Luka is the better scorer in the PS, which I greatly value, so him.

For example, Carmelo has 2 PS runs of at least 10 games. In

09: Inflation Adjusted 28.6 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of 2.6%)

13: Inflation Adjusted 32.4 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of -1.2%)

Luka in this PS run

22: Unadjusted 34.7 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of 4.1%)

If we try and look at Luka's other PS runs for more context:

20: Inflation Adjusted 31.6 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of 5.6%)

21: Inflation Adjusted 34.2 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of 0.9%)

Considering how he generally had his way with the Clippers who have multiple versatile wing defenders, then played against a truly prolific defense in the Suns who had a similar defensive build, I do feel confident in taking Luka over Carmelo. Luka also is statistically a historically underrated finisher, and I think therefore he will generally have a higher floor than someone such as Carmelo who is more liable to pull-up for long 2s.

I think Carmelo has more than a reasonable argument if you weigh the bigger RS sample, but I don't put as much emphasis there.
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 29,902
And1: 25,243
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#3 » by 70sFan » Mon May 16, 2022 6:33 pm

Don't see much of a case for Melo.
dygaction
General Manager
Posts: 7,623
And1: 4,914
Joined: Sep 20, 2015
 

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#4 » by dygaction » Mon May 16, 2022 6:56 pm

70sFan wrote:Don't see much of a case for Melo.


I thought it was at least comparable for scoring only. Melo was an automatic scoring machine, scoring champion, and #11 all time leader (likely passing Shaq for #10 next year if he plays).
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 29,902
And1: 25,243
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#5 » by 70sFan » Mon May 16, 2022 7:27 pm

dygaction wrote:
70sFan wrote:Don't see much of a case for Melo.


I thought it was at least comparable for scoring only. Melo was an automatic scoring machine, scoring champion, and #11 all time leader (likely passing Shaq for #10 next year if he plays).

Melo's scoring is unsustainable for postseason though. Overall number of scored points isn't that relevant to me, unless you want to give someone like Elvin Hayes consideration as well.
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 9,510
And1: 7,112
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#6 » by falcolombardi » Mon May 16, 2022 7:40 pm

LukaTheGOAT wrote:Luka is the better scorer in the PS, which I greatly value, so him.

For example, Carmelo has 2 PS runs of at least 10 games. In

09: Inflation Adjusted 28.6 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of 2.6%)

13: Inflation Adjusted 32.4 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of -1.2%)

Luka in this PS run

22: Unadjusted 34.7 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of 4.1%)

If we try and look at Luka's other PS runs for more context:

20: Inflation Adjusted 31.6 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of 5.6%)

21: Inflation Adjusted 34.2 pts per 75 possessions (rTS% of 0.9%)

Considering how he generally had his way with the Clippers who have multiple versatile wing defenders, then played against a truly prolific defense in the Suns who had a similar defensive build, I do feel confident in taking Luka over Carmelo. Luka also is statistically a historically underrated finisher, and I think therefore he will generally have a higher floor than someone such as Carmelo who is more liable to pull-up for long 2s.

I think Carmelo has more than a reasonable argument if you weigh the bigger RS sample, but I don't put as much emphasis there.


interesting, i was under the impressiong luka efficiency was closer to 1-2% above average when is actually more like 3-4%

that is actually a fairly Prime jordan-like volume/efficiency combo
User avatar
MartinToVaught
RealGM
Posts: 15,707
And1: 17,778
Joined: Oct 19, 2014
     

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#7 » by MartinToVaught » Mon May 16, 2022 7:42 pm

Prime Melo got clamped out of a playoff series by Quinton Ross. Does anyone think that would ever happen to Luka? Sometimes a comparison really is that simple.
Image
dygaction
General Manager
Posts: 7,623
And1: 4,914
Joined: Sep 20, 2015
 

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#8 » by dygaction » Mon May 16, 2022 7:50 pm

70sFan wrote:
dygaction wrote:
70sFan wrote:Don't see much of a case for Melo.


I thought it was at least comparable for scoring only. Melo was an automatic scoring machine, scoring champion, and #11 all time leader (likely passing Shaq for #10 next year if he plays).

Melo's scoring is unsustainable for postseason though. Overall number of scored points isn't that relevant to me, unless you want to give someone like Elvin Hayes consideration as well.


Have to look at regular seasons. Hard to find players to compare with playoff Luka as he not only sustain but elevate scoring in both efficiency and volume.
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 29,902
And1: 25,243
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#9 » by 70sFan » Mon May 16, 2022 8:03 pm

dygaction wrote:
70sFan wrote:
dygaction wrote:
I thought it was at least comparable for scoring only. Melo was an automatic scoring machine, scoring champion, and #11 all time leader (likely passing Shaq for #10 next year if he plays).

Melo's scoring is unsustainable for postseason though. Overall number of scored points isn't that relevant to me, unless you want to give someone like Elvin Hayes consideration as well.


Have to look at regular seasons. Hard to find players to compare with playoff Luka as he not only sustain but elevate scoring in both efficiency and volume.

Sure, but Melo doesn't have huge edge in RS either. He had a few better regular seasons than Luka's best so far, but the gap isn't large and he didn't even sustain his production in postseason, let alone elevate it.
dygaction
General Manager
Posts: 7,623
And1: 4,914
Joined: Sep 20, 2015
 

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#10 » by dygaction » Mon May 16, 2022 8:09 pm

70sFan wrote:
dygaction wrote:
70sFan wrote:Melo's scoring is unsustainable for postseason though. Overall number of scored points isn't that relevant to me, unless you want to give someone like Elvin Hayes consideration as well.


Have to look at regular seasons. Hard to find players to compare with playoff Luka as he not only sustain but elevate scoring in both efficiency and volume.

Sure, but Melo doesn't have huge edge in RS either. He had a few better regular seasons than Luka's best so far, but the gap isn't large and he didn't even sustain his production in postseason, let alone elevate it.


That's fair, and you know I like to hear Luka wins this..
Just cannot think of another player with similar height, weight, long-range, mid-range and post up game. Paul Pierce is one level below.
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 29,902
And1: 25,243
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#11 » by 70sFan » Mon May 16, 2022 8:11 pm

dygaction wrote:
70sFan wrote:
dygaction wrote:
Have to look at regular seasons. Hard to find players to compare with playoff Luka as he not only sustain but elevate scoring in both efficiency and volume.

Sure, but Melo doesn't have huge edge in RS either. He had a few better regular seasons than Luka's best so far, but the gap isn't large and he didn't even sustain his production in postseason, let alone elevate it.


That's fair, and you know I like to hear Luka wins this..
Just cannot think of another player with similar height, weight, long-range, mid-range and post up game. Paul Pierce is one level below.

I made another Luka historical comparison thread that you may like.
Ascrilas
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,396
And1: 2,647
Joined: Nov 13, 2012
Location: Munich, Germany
   

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#12 » by Ascrilas » Tue May 17, 2022 1:48 am

Melo's efficiency took a nosedive in the post-season (.543 TS% vs. .513 TS%), and that's not a good thing when you were a meh-efficiency volume scorer in the first place. In his prime, he had three playoffs with a TS% above 55%. In his three runs with the Knicks, he averaged a true shooting percantage of .505, .489 and .497. You have countless games of him just jab-stepping endlessly and then chucking up a contested mid-range jumper. He also was a very poor 3-pt shooter in the playoffs.

Melo is better at free throws and maybe equal in the post (although he never embraced the PF role as he should have), but I don't see him on Luka's level anywhere else scoring-wise.
mikejames23
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,604
And1: 745
Joined: Nov 28, 2012
         

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#13 » by mikejames23 » Tue May 17, 2022 2:14 am

Melo was one of the best scorers ever, but he didn't pickup his game against hard defenses as much as Luka does. It still felt like you could throw Melo off a little bit in his scoring game, but Luka is flat out scary. Carmelo at his peak performed at around 51 TS% vs Pacers, it wasn't all that great. Luka at his best destroyed a 60+ win Suns, in comparison.
User avatar
TheGOATRises007
RealGM
Posts: 21,477
And1: 20,144
Joined: Oct 05, 2013
         

Re: Scoring only, Luka or Carmelo? 

Post#14 » by TheGOATRises007 » Tue May 17, 2022 2:21 am

Not even close.

Luka is clear of him as a scorer.

Return to Player Comparisons