Ginoboleee wrote:ShotCreator wrote:I don’t ever ponder all-time lists but there were not 20 better players than David Robinson.
Perhaps this was just in jest, a tongue-in-cheek half-truth.
But if it is not, then (the noob says) I am getting really confused.
I hear we are supposed to minimize our unsubstantiated opinions, maximize the clarity of our criteria and corresponding analysis.
Maybe I was wrong in that expectation?
Meanwhile, regarding David Robinson, perhaps there is an argument to made regarding a Peak Season or two, but regarding both Prime and Longevity and Accolades there are certainly more than 20 better players. But I'm a noob, without stats to back it up, so what do I know lol.
What a person means by "not 20 better players" is ambiguous.
And it's a fairly definitive statement that wasn't supported with evidence, so yes just given as an opinion.
Still you've looked at the RealGM lists. Check there for detailed reasoning.
Last time 17, previously 18, 18 (lower in '11 probably real terms lower in earlier lists accounting for new arrivals), whilst voter pool isn't everyone here at the time and the people here at the time change there's the three most recent samplings that had had him at least circa top 20 (they could, especially the two older lists, see his rank hit by climbers).
As I said see voting but as a sampling
elite box composite prime
elite impact metrics in databall era (whilst many have him notionally post-prime)
elite playoff impact metrics in databall era (whilst many have him notionally post-prime)
elite on-off in 94-96 *
strong signs of impact on arrival and in absences (noisy)
*=
for Robinson we've got on-off to an extent (not full play-by-play) for 94-96, numbers per estimated 100 possessions [have previously written this as per 48 minutes, it isn't, it's adjusted for team pace]
94: on +9.4, net 19.9, off -10.5
95: on +10.7, net 19.8, off -9.1
96: on+10.7, net 16.6, off -5.9
net leader 94, 95; 2nd to Penny '96
If one were generous and included the tiny in sample '97 season that's four straight years with an on-off north of 16.5, and 3 of 4 north of 19. If one didn't include '97 ... 3 years ... LeBron 15-17 is super close. Garnett has 2 years north of 19 (north of 20). Caveats: Maybe there are [more?] precedents, consecutiveness doesn't really matter to me, limited to databall era, noisy measure etc. Still (a) I think there's evidence of huge Robinson impact, (b) that run is kinda live on the front end because we don't have '93 data.
Even stuff like MVP shares (which I don't care about, being a very indirect measure and poor for comparing across eras with different voting systems) (15th), doesn't seem to obviously counteract top 20. Ben "ElGee" Taylor's 2017 Backpicks top 40 had him 15. So it doesn't seem like a wild take there, either. Heck Kevin Pelton (some time ago) seemed to put him above O'Neal and Olajuwon.
I don't have a consistent, watertight criteria/process that I'm happy with. Criteria can vary (and mine is lower weighting of playoffs than many - though cf above re databall playoff impact). There have been a lot of great players. But I can certainly see a case that only saying top 20 is erring conservative.