Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 (Arizona)

Moderators: PaulieWal, Doctor MJ, Clyde Frazier, penbeast0, trex_8063

trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 11,849
And1: 7,265
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 (Arizona) 

Post#1 » by trex_8063 » Mon Jun 27, 2022 11:07 pm

How it works
Simple ballot system: 3 votes/ballots [3-2-1 point system]. The "source" with the most points will take the spot.

It looks like interest in this project is limited, so I'm not going to have a designated time-limit for each place [though I don't want to leave each open for 4-5 days]; we'll probably aim for something in the neighborhood of 48 hours each, but we'll see.
This may be one of those projects that fizzles out quick due to lack of interest, but I'm hoping at least 2-3 people will come along with me for it.
There will be no approval of participants; anyone can pop in at any time to vote/contribute, even on a sporadic or part-time basis. No "arguments" will be required to accompany votes, though a list of notable players from each source being voted for is encouraged.....this will help jog memories, as well as stimulate conversation (and may help clarify the "source" in some rare cases where it is ambiguous). Hopefully we'll pick up some participants along the way.

How you want to consider those universities/sources (in terms of considerations of total players vs quality of players, etc) is entirely up to you [though others may wish to debate your selection criteria].

I'm hoping to make it out to around the top 20 [or so] "sources" of all-time for pro [NBA/ABA/BAA/NBL] players, but we'll see.


The "Talent Sources"
We are going to include non-university sources, as to do otherwise just leaves too many relevant players on the table.
Besides, it occurred to me that when scrutinizing the resulting list, one can just mentally exclude the non-university sources [I'll even colour-code those differently to make it easier], and what's left is an ordered list of the universities (as well as an ordered list of other sources)......two birds, right?
The source can be of the following three types:

a) (an American) University/College - if they played even one year at the university, that will be designated the default "source" of that pro player. If a player played at multiple universities, you can mentally factor that in to consideration for ALL universities played at, give preference to the university he had his BEST years at, or to the university he played LONGER at.....whatever; up to you.

b) a Non-USA Country (if not subject to "a" above) - This one is only to be considered a potential source IF they did not attend an American university. Examples would be guys like Dirk Nowitzki, Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, or Nikola Jokic.......their country of origin is considered the "source".
Someone like Hakeem Olajuwon, otoh, would be considered from the University of Houston [and not Nigeria].

In the event of using this designation, we may have individuals where consensus on just WHERE a player is "from" is debatable. Tony Parker is a good example: born in Belgium to an American father and Dutch mother, but raised in France (confusing already, right?). But most of us consider Tony from France [he played for their national team, too], as that's where he grew up.

And to me, that's what it's more about: where they grew up (rather than where they were born (or the nationality of his parents)). There may end up being a player for whom the "source" country is ambiguous and debatable; but we'll cross that bridge as we come to it (and again: that's why it's good to give at least a partial list of WHO you have in mind when placing a vote, so we can debate things like this as needed).

c) an American Highschool Zone - Self-explanatory: this is for American players who did NOT have a college career, but rather went straight to pro.
Having just "USA" as a single source for all American players who did NOT attend a university is just too great a source......it ends up blowing away all the competition at this point (we've just seen too many great players out of highschool now, it holds too much of a sample-size advantage over any American university).
So I've opted to break it up into three zones, which are as follows....

The East Coast Zone - This includes all states that actually make up part of America's eastern coastline [including Washington D.C. simply because it basically resides within Maryland]. That is: Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticutt. Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland [including D.C.], Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.

The East-Central Zone - This includes the states west of our "East Coast Zone", but east of [or inclusive of, in one case] the Missouri River. That is: West Virginia, Vermont, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Mississippi, Lousiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Missouri.

The Western Zone - All the states that are left: Texas, Arkansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Hawaii.


That's 14 states in the East Coast Zone, 16 in the East-Central Zone, and 20 in the Western Zone.
If you want to know why I broke them up in this manner, I wanted zones that had some geographical rhyme or reason, but also zones that had similar overall population.....
The East Coast Zone has a population of just over 108 million by recent census.
The East-Central Zone has just under 102 million.
The Western Zone has just over 119 million.

So the Western Zone has the largest population, BUT that's only by recent census. If we jumped back 60-70 years ago, that was not at all the case. Nearer the start of BAA/NBA history, the Western Zone would have been the LEAST populous zone. The population of states like California, Arizona, Nevada, and even Texas have really taken off in more modern eras.
Basketball also started out East, and spread west more gradually. So I intentionally made it the largest zone [today] to compensate somewhat for that consideration, while still having some manner of geographical demarkation to go with.

Gimme' your top 3 picks [in order] for the #15 spot.....

1. UCLA
2. North Carolina
3. Kentucky
4. Kansas
5. East Coast Zone (highschool)
6. Duke
7. Georgetown
8. East-Central Zone (highschool)
9. Michigan State
10. Wake Forest
11. Houston
12. Ohio State
13. Indiana
14. LSU

Spoiler:
Doctor MJ wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

jalengreen wrote:.

falcolombardi wrote:.

Colbini wrote:.

giordunk wrote:.
"Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience." -George Carlin

"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#2 » by falcolombardi » Tue Jun 28, 2022 12:39 am

Missed the last threas to make my argumebt although at least my vote counted

I voted lousiana over texas,arizona (or uconn which i didnt think about until i saw the vote but i think would have gone lousiana over them regardless)

As much as i am somewhat low on their depth is not actually bad depth per se, they have a trult impressive top 2, one of the best in the whole project imo, and respectable high end talent and depth

Arizona, texas and uccon are deeper but among the doubts i lean to the side with most top talent
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#3 » by falcolombardi » Tue Jun 28, 2022 12:41 am

I think we are at the point where spain and serbia are not unreasonable choices but would need to compare them first to marquette,texas, uconn and arizona

Michigan and west coast high school i am gonna take a look into as well as florida to see and notre dame to see what they offer
Tim Lehrbach
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 24,923
And1: 2,958
Joined: Jul 29, 2001
   

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#4 » by Tim Lehrbach » Tue Jun 28, 2022 2:29 am

How deep does this go before Bill Russell drags my Dons into consideration?

https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/colleges.fcgi?college=sanfran

Only five players of note, but over 300 WS total... and that one dude nabbed 5 MVP awards and 11 championships. :dontknow:
Clipsz 4 Life
January 20, 2002-May 17, 2006
Saxon
February 20, 2001-August 9, 2007
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#5 » by falcolombardi » Tue Jun 28, 2022 2:40 am

Tim Lehrbach wrote:How deep does this go before Bill Russell drags my Dons into consideration?

https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/colleges.fcgi?college=sanfran

Only five players of note, but over 300 WS total... and that one dude nabbed 5 MVP awards and 11 championships. :dontknow:


Is definetelt gonna be the best of the one notable player sources
User avatar
giordunk
Analyst
Posts: 3,716
And1: 493
Joined: Nov 19, 2007

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#6 » by giordunk » Tue Jun 28, 2022 7:34 pm

Spain
Serbia
Arizona
i like peanuts
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 11,849
And1: 7,265
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#7 » by trex_8063 » Tue Jun 28, 2022 11:11 pm

giordunk wrote:Spain
Serbia
Arizona


Are these votes/ballots (in order)?
"Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience." -George Carlin

"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 11,849
And1: 7,265
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#8 » by trex_8063 » Tue Jun 28, 2022 11:54 pm

Added a new category: top 3 player on a title-winning team....

Titles (as top 3)
Marquette - 4 (DWade - 3, Maurice Lucas - 1)
France - 4 (Tony Parker)
Spain - 2 (Pau Gasol)
Texas - 2 (Kevin Durant)
Georgia Tech - 2 (Chris Bosh)
Notre Dame - 2 (Bill Laimbeer)
UCONN - 1 [2??] (Ray Allen, [Richard Hamilton??])
Michigan - 1 (Glen Rice)
Arizona - 1 (Jason Terry) (EDIT: I suppose some might try to argue 2, for Iggy in '15; he did win FMVP; but most would conclude Steph/Dray/Klay, I think)
Western Zone - 1??? (Tyson Chandler on '11 Mavs??)
Illinois - 1??? (Red Kerr on '55 Nationals??)
Serbia - 0

Total WS
Arizona - 974.3
Michigan - 897.7
UCONN - 828.9
Georgia Tech - 797.7
Notre Dame - 769.0
Texas - 746.6
Illinois - 695.9
Marquette - 671.9
Spain - 537.9
France - 396.7
Western Zone - 317.8
Serbia - 275.9

Total Players (Mean WS)
Arizona - 62 (15.7)
Michigan - 62 (14.5)
Notre Dame - 60 (12.8)
Illinois - 46 (15.1)
Marquette - 43 (15.6)
Georgia Tech - 41 (19.5)
UCONN - 39 (21.3)
Texas - 37 (20.2)
Spain - 28 (19.21)
Serbia - 24 (11.5)
France - 21 (18.89)
Western Zone - 9 identified so far (35.31)

Score [the one I'd previously shared]
Arizona - 414.89
Michigan - 360.12
UCONN - 359.22
Notre Dame - 333.52
Georgia Tech - 326.66
Illinois - 324.78
Texas - 318.60
Marquette - 311.79
Spain - 237.13
France - 206.80
Western Zone - 155.11
Serbia - 154.86

All-Star Selections
Marquette - 30
Texas - 27
Illinois - 24 (6 were ABA All-Stars [also a few from early 1950's; but otoh Illinois also claims Derek Harper, Eddie Johnson, Nick Anderson, and Kendall Gill.......who were all dubiously snubbed their entire careers)
UCONN - 22
Michigan - 18
Georgia Tech - 18
Notre Dame - 15
Spain - 11
France - 9
Arizona - 6 (although note they have Mike Bibby, Richard Jefferson, Jason Terry, and DeAndre Ayton......all of whom have had at least 1 or 2 All-Star level seasons, even if they weren't recognized; Iggy only got one, too)
Serbia - 5
Western Zone - 3

MVP's
Serbia - 2
Texas - 1
Michigan/Arizona/UCONN/Georgia Tech/Notre Dame/Spain/Western Zone/Illinois/Marquette/France - 0 each


Regarding Spain's figures:

Doncic was obviously already a very promising young player from a very young age growing up in Slovenia. But then he largely played in Spain from the age of 13 onward before entering the NBA. So I'm "crediting" Spain with all except his rookie season.

Serge Ibaka grew up in the Republic of Congo, and was a promising national prospect by age 16-17. They moved when he was 17, and he then played two seasons in Spain [one in a sort of junior semi-pro league, one in an actual pro league]. So I'm crediting Spain with a chunk of his early career, including what might be the bulk of his prime: '10-'16 [seven seasons, all his time in OKC].

EDIT: Edited Spain's numbers to reflect at least partial careers of multiple players born in other countries, but who played SOME in pro league of Spain prior to NBA.


Regarding France's numbers [newly added this thread]:
31 players are listed as born in France on bbref......but on closer exam you find several grew up in America and went to American universities. A few others grew up in France, but then attended American universities, most showing dramatic improvement while in that NCAA program. The one exception is Yakhouba Diawara, who entered Pepperdine in his early 20's, playing two seasons there [without showing notable improvement, by the numbers]; so I've credited the second half only of his meager NBA career to France.
Plus there's Tony Parker---who's not listed among those 31 because he was born in Belgium, but we know he's a product of France.

btw, found one more player to be credited to the East Coast Zone: William Howard. Born in France, but grew up in Maryland, came to NBA out of highschool. Played just 2 games in his NBA career. :-?

France is interesting: some nice talent at the top in Tony Parker and Rudy Gobert, followed up with Nicolas Batum, Boris Diaw, Evan Fournier (plus Ian Mahinmi and Alexis Ajinca). But it fairly well falls off a cliff after that. Their weighted avg WS is pretty strong (49.79), and their mean is decent as you can see above. The median WS is just 2.4, though, as there are 10 players with basically non-existent careers ranging from -0.5 to 1.1 WS.


Among foreign country sources, Spain still looks like the top candidate (unless putting huge stock in Jokic and his two MVP's).
"Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience." -George Carlin

"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#9 » by falcolombardi » Wed Jun 29, 2022 4:36 am

Marquette

total of nba players: 41 ( mid)

mvp level players: 2 (high) (wade, butler?)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (wade, butler, maurice lucas?)

Borderline stars 1 (low): doc rivers?

Total win shares: 670 (mid)

Vs

Texas

total of nba players: 38 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1 (mid) (durant)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (durant, aldridge, slater martin)

Borderline stars 1 (low): pj tucker? Jarret allen?

Total win shares: 747 (mid*) my high cut-off point is 750

Vs

arizona

total of nba players: 62 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star level players: 2 ( low) (Iguodala, arenas)

Borderline stars 4 (mid): ayton(really short career handicap), richard jefferson, terry, bibby

Total win shares:974(high)

Vs

Uconn

total of nba players: 37 ( mid)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star level players: 1 ( low) ray allen

Borderline stars 4 (mid): kemba walker, cliff robinson,emeka okafor, richard hamilton

Total win shares:360(low)

Vs

Spain

total of nba players: 20( low)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (pau, marc, luka)

Borderline stars 2 (low): rubio?, ibaka ?

Total win shares: 400 (mid)

Vs

michigan

total of nba players: 59 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star level players: 3 ( mid) (glen rice, webber, tomjamovich)

Total win shares: 897 (high)

Vs

Georgia tech

total of nba players: 40 ( mid)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star level players: 3 ( mid) (bosh, mark price, marbury?/thadeus young)

Total win shares: 797 (high)
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#10 » by falcolombardi » Wed Jun 29, 2022 4:40 am

Uconn and spain inmediately stand out for its low win shares and although i love spain top 3 at this point of the project (marc, pau and luka short career)

they have relatively few nba players even if i included spain league guys like ayon, campazzo and scola it woulsnt move the needle much (unless we want to give credit to scola or rubio for fiva careers)

Uconn has a great player in ray allen, a few nice players but not stars on the level of ray and somehwat weak after (corroborated somewhat by thw weaker win shares) so i will leave those two for later
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#11 » by falcolombardi » Wed Jun 29, 2022 4:45 am

Georgia tech vs arizona is interesting but while i think bosh may be the best career/player among the two schools(?) Is by a small enough amount it doesnt weight that much in my comparision as shaq would do with lousiana

Arizona has just more quality players and win shares corroborates tgis to a degree

So arizona>georgia> spain and uccon(?) So far
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#12 » by falcolombardi » Wed Jun 29, 2022 4:54 am

Marquete vs arizona vs texas are my top 3

Marquette and texas have the top end talent arizona lacks so i will compare them first

Durant/aldridge/slater martin(?) vs wade/butler/lucas(?) Is very close overall, not too familiar with slater martin (at all) or lucas so i will defer on them for the comparision other than knowing they are considered as very high quality players

The difference in total players is negligible

Doc rivers seems like he was a better player than pj tucker but neither was a big star and tucker was a ultra elite role player - and - texas got the short but prpmising career of jarret allent to bridge the gap a bit(?). I would give this to marquete still tho

Win shares is slightly more impressive for texas suggesting better player depth after the most notable players

I am very unsure here but i have said before that i use top players as tiebreakers and i consider marquette top 4 just a bit mpre impressive overall as i am higher on butler than aldridge career and comparable in wade vs durant

Marquette also has a slight edge in all star selections fwiw
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#13 » by falcolombardi » Wed Jun 29, 2022 4:58 am

Texas vs arizona is interesting

I guess iguodala vs aldridge is a close comparision and durant clearly is way better career than arenas

Dursnt is gonna be a tough thingh to overcome for arizona

Durant>>>> arenas
Aldridge=iggy(?)
Slater martin >terry(?) (Yes i am going off all star picks here since i dont know much of slater)
Pj tucker= mike bibby (?) Both are really good players with very little reflectors

Then arizona still has people like jefferson and ayton career so far which i dont really think comes even close to overcoming dursnt here for me
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 8,468
And1: 5,987
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#14 » by falcolombardi » Wed Jun 29, 2022 4:59 am

My final picks

1-Marquette
2-Texas
3- arizona
jalengreen
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,451
And1: 1,086
Joined: Aug 09, 2021
   

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#15 » by jalengreen » Wed Jun 29, 2022 5:44 am

Still favoring Texas over the rest of the pack here. All-time great at the top and solid amount of quantity players behind him IMO.

Behind them right now I'm thinking that Arizona>Michigan>UConn. And I'm leaning towards Marquette over Arizona for now.

1. Texas
2. Arizona
3. Marquette

is my current thinking.
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 11,849
And1: 7,265
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#16 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jun 29, 2022 2:36 pm

I'm sticking with my same picks from last round, as I haven't seen convincing reason to change them. I think, ultimately, I'll be the nice counter-balance to other posters who are clearly more "star power" or "top-heavy" in their considerations. The Scully to your Mulder, as it were :D .

1. Arizona
2. Michigan
3. UCONN


Top HM??.......not really sure. Texas maybe? Georgia Tech? Notre Dame and Illinois both look good, too. Spain coming up on the outside, perhaps, along with the next group for me (unis like Marquette, St. John's, Minnesota).
"Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience." -George Carlin

"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 11,849
And1: 7,265
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #15 

Post#17 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jun 29, 2022 2:40 pm

Score thus far (am including our pop-in 4th voter, giordunk, assuming he was listing those in order).....

Arizona - 7 pts
Texas - 5 pts
Marquette - 4 pts
Spain - 3 pts
Serbia, Michigan - 2 pts each
UCONN - 1 pt

Although giordunk wasn't 100% clear those were his intended votes, Arizona would be the slim winner [with 6 pts] regardless.

I'll call it, and get the next up....
"Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience." -George Carlin

"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd

Return to Player Comparisons