Page 1 of 2

Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24 (DePaul)

Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:04 pm
by trex_8063
How it works
Simple ballot system: 3 votes/ballots [3-2-1 point system]. The "source" with the most points will take the spot.

It looks like interest in this project is limited, so I'm not going to have a designated time-limit for each place [though I don't want to leave each open for 4-5 days]; we'll probably aim for something in the neighborhood of 48 hours each, but we'll see.
This may be one of those projects that fizzles out quick due to lack of interest, but I'm hoping at least 2-3 people will come along with me for it.
There will be no approval of participants; anyone can pop in at any time to vote/contribute, even on a sporadic or part-time basis. No "arguments" will be required to accompany votes, though a list of notable players from each source being voted for is encouraged.....this will help jog memories, as well as stimulate conversation (and may help clarify the "source" in some rare cases where it is ambiguous). Hopefully we'll pick up some participants along the way.

How you want to consider those universities/sources (in terms of considerations of total players vs quality of players, etc) is entirely up to you [though others may wish to debate your selection criteria].

I'm hoping to make it out to around the top 20 [or so] "sources" of all-time for pro [NBA/ABA/BAA/NBL] players, but we'll see.


The "Talent Sources"
We are going to include non-university sources, as to do otherwise just leaves too many relevant players on the table.
Besides, it occurred to me that when scrutinizing the resulting list, one can just mentally exclude the non-university sources [I'll even colour-code those differently to make it easier], and what's left is an ordered list of the universities (as well as an ordered list of other sources)......two birds, right?
The source can be of the following three types:

a) (an American) University/College - if they played even one year at the university, that will be designated the default "source" of that pro player. If a player played at multiple universities, you can mentally factor that in to consideration for ALL universities played at, give preference to the university he had his BEST years at, or to the university he played LONGER at.....whatever; up to you.

b) a Non-USA Country (if not subject to "a" above) - This one is only to be considered a potential source IF they did not attend an American university. Examples would be guys like Dirk Nowitzki, Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, or Nikola Jokic.......their country of origin is considered the "source".
Someone like Hakeem Olajuwon, otoh, would be considered from the University of Houston [and not Nigeria].

In the event of using this designation, we may have individuals where consensus on just WHERE a player is "from" is debatable. Tony Parker is a good example: born in Belgium to an American father and Dutch mother, but raised in France (confusing already, right?). But most of us consider Tony from France [he played for their national team, too], as that's where he grew up.

And to me, that's what it's more about: where they grew up (rather than where they were born (or the nationality of his parents)). There may end up being a player for whom the "source" country is ambiguous and debatable; but we'll cross that bridge as we come to it (and again: that's why it's good to give at least a partial list of WHO you have in mind when placing a vote, so we can debate things like this as needed).

c) an American Highschool Zone - Self-explanatory: this is for American players who did NOT have a college career, but rather went straight to pro.
Having just "USA" as a single source for all American players who did NOT attend a university is just too great a source......it ends up blowing away all the competition at this point (we've just seen too many great players out of highschool now, it holds too much of a sample-size advantage over any American university).
So I've opted to break it up into three zones, which are as follows....

The East Coast Zone - This includes all states that actually make up part of America's eastern coastline [including Washington D.C. simply because it basically resides within Maryland]. That is: Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticutt. Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland [including D.C.], Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.

The East-Central Zone - This includes the states west of our "East Coast Zone", but east of [or inclusive of, in one case] the Missouri River. That is: West Virginia, Vermont, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Mississippi, Lousiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Missouri.

The Western Zone - All the states that are left: Texas, Arkansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Hawaii.


That's 14 states in the East Coast Zone, 16 in the East-Central Zone, and 20 in the Western Zone.
If you want to know why I broke them up in this manner, I wanted zones that had some geographical rhyme or reason, but also zones that had similar overall population.....
The East Coast Zone has a population of just over 108 million by recent census.
The East-Central Zone has just under 102 million.
The Western Zone has just over 119 million.

So the Western Zone has the largest population, BUT that's only by recent census. If we jumped back 60-70 years ago, that was not at all the case. Nearer the start of BAA/NBA history, the Western Zone would have been the LEAST populous zone. The population of states like California, Arizona, Nevada, and even Texas have really taken off in more modern eras.
Basketball also started out East, and spread west more gradually. So I intentionally made it the largest zone [today] to compensate somewhat for that consideration, while still having some manner of geographical demarkation to go with.

Gimme' your top 3 picks [in order] for the #24 spot.....

1. UCLA
2. North Carolina
3. Kentucky
4. Kansas
5. East Coast Zone (highschool)
6. Duke
7. Georgetown
8. East-Central Zone (highschool)
9. Michigan State
10. Wake Forest
11. Houston
12. Ohio State
13. Indiana
14. LSU
15. Arizona
16. Texas
17. Michigan
18. UCONN
19. Marquette
20. Georgia Tech
21. Spain
22. USC
23. Illinois

Spoiler:
Doctor MJ wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

jalengreen wrote:.

falcolombardi wrote:.

Colbini wrote:.

giordunk wrote:.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:41 pm
by falcolombardi
So i have minnesota, notre dame, france and maybe lousiana tech in my radar, gonna look into high school west too

Any other source worth considering at this point? Serbia and australly too maybe

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:54 pm
by trex_8063
St John’s needs a look. I intend to look into them later

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 7:02 pm
by trex_8063
Newly added this round: St. John's and Louisiana Tech. EDIT: and Villanova and San Francisco. EDIT2: And Cincinnati.


Titles (as top 3)
San Francisco - 11 (Bill Russell; additional titles for KC Jones and Bill Cartwright, but likely not as top-3 players)
France - 4 (Tony Parker)
Minnesota - 2 [3?] (Kevin McHale - 2, [Kleggie Hermsen - 1?? with '48 Bullets]; NOTE: McHale does have a 3rd, and Mychal Thompson has two with the Lakers; Whitey Skoog won two with the early 50's Lakers, too; and Don Carlson won two with the 40s/50s Lakers.....just none as top-3 players; lots of BAA/NBA titles represented here, though)
Villanova - 2 (Kyle Lowry - 1, Paul Arizin - 1; additional title for Chris Ford, but likely not top-3 player)
Notre Dame - 2 (Bill Laimbeer)
Cincinnati - 1 (Oscar Robertson)
Western Zone - 1??? (Tyson Chandler on '11 Mavs??)
Serbia - 0
St. John's - 0
Louisiana Tech - 0

Total WS
Notre Dame - 769.0
Minnesota - 751.0
Villanova - 710.2
St. John's - 664.0
Cincinnati - 564.3
Louisiana Tech - 469.6
San Francisco - 429.2
France - 396.7
Western Zone - 317.8
Serbia - 275.9

Total Players (Mean WS)
Notre Dame - 60 (12.8)
St. John's - 55 (12.1)
Villanova - 52 (13.7)
Minnesota - 50 (15.0)
Cincinnati - 39 (14.5)
San Francisco - 25 (17.2)
Serbia - 24 (11.5)
France - 21 (18.89)
Louisiana Tech - 9 (52.2)
Western Zone - 9 identified so far (35.31)

Score [the one I'd previously shared]
Notre Dame - 333.52
St. John's - 315.62
Minnesota - 306.45
Louisiana Tech - 299.29
Villanova - 287.39
Cincinnati - 260.39
France - 206.80
San Francisco - 195.83
Western Zone - 155.11
Serbia - 154.86

All-Star Selections
Cincinnati - 20
Minnesota - 19
Louisiana Tech - 19
Villanova - 19
St. John's - 17 [admittedly, several are from the 1950s]
San Francisco - 17
Notre Dame - 15
France - 9
Serbia - 5
Western Zone - 3

MVP's
San Francisco - 5
Serbia - 2
Louisiana Tech - 2
Cincinnati - 1
Notre Dame/Western Zone/Villanova/France/St. John's/Minnesota - 0 each


Regarding France's numbers [newly added this thread]:
31 players are listed as born in France on bbref......but on closer exam you find several grew up in America and went to American universities. A few others grew up in France, but then attended American universities, most showing dramatic improvement while in that NCAA program. The one exception is Yakhouba Diawara, who entered Pepperdine in his early 20's, playing two seasons there [without showing notable improvement, by the numbers]; so I've credited the second half only of his meager NBA career to France.
Plus there's Tony Parker---who's not listed among those 31 because he was born in Belgium, but we know he's a product of France.

btw, found one more player to be credited to the East Coast Zone: William Howard. Born in France, but grew up in Maryland, came to NBA out of highschool. Played just 2 games in his NBA career. :-?

France is interesting: some nice talent at the top in Tony Parker and Rudy Gobert, followed up with Nicolas Batum, Boris Diaw, Evan Fournier (plus Ian Mahinmi and Alexis Ajinca). But it fairly well falls off a cliff after that. Their weighted avg WS is pretty strong (49.79), and their mean is decent as you can see above. The median WS is just 2.4, though, as there are 10 players with basically non-existent careers ranging from -0.5 to 1.1 WS.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 7:08 pm
by trex_8063
So I added St. John's figures to the above listings, you can see how they rate against the remaining competition (not bad at all).

The half-dozen most notable names are: Chris Mullin, Mark Jackson, Metta World Peace, Dick McGuire, Max Zaslofsky, and Billy Paultz. [not bad at all]

Beyond that, they still have at least a handful of decent role players: *Kevin Loughery [*he did one year at Boston College, two years at St. John's], Leroy Ellis, Maurice Harkless, George Johnson [the lesser one; NOT the really good defensive center], Malik Sealy.

No one worth mentioning after that, though 55 total players.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 7:20 pm
by trex_8063
Also added Louisiana Tech to my above listings.

They're an interesting study in top-heavy/depth-lacking candidates. People are talking about France and Serbia [who have barely over 20 total players, and MOST of those are nobodies]; so I think Louisiana Tech has to come up......

Only 9 total players.

But one of them is Karl Malone.

Another one is Paul Millsap (helluva nice career there, too).

Third-best is PJ Brown: a 15-year career [avg >31 mpg for it]; a career 9/8 "bring your lunch bucket to work" decent defensive PF/C. Has one ring won with the '08 Celtics in his final season [he was a regular rotational player in the playoffs].

4th-best is Mike Green: a one-time ABA All-Star.

Perhaps nobody else worth mentioning (although Jackie Moreland had a fair career, including a couple seasons averaging about 15/8 in the early ABA).

That seems like enough to put them into consideration, imo.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 7:29 pm
by falcolombardi
I think serbia vs san francisco vs australia in later rounds should be interesting

Looked into san francisco and they have bill russel, kc jones, bill cartwright although only 27 player and no one particularly notable i know about (i may be missing some great older player here who didnt get all star consideration but was really good?) Not that bad but a bit too shallow outside the top for this round still

Serbia has jokic short career + peja and divac plus a handful of solid players like bogdanovic, they may slightly beat out san fran to me when i look further

Bogut doesn count for australia as he went to college in utah nor does simmons as he went to lousiana so they dont look too good here

Australia has some good players

Davidson has curry and a dick snyder who seems very solid per total games and career numbers, won a ring with the 79 sonics too but only 5 players total. Not good enough and clearly below san francisco

For top heavy sources there ks germany with dirk...but most of their players seem to be usa raised and schooled, they may still beat out davidson and lousiana based on depth tho if i can find enough germany raised ones. Only have schroder and kleber so far


Lousiana tech doesnt have too many more players (7 per real gm database) but 3 of them are malone, millsap and pj brown

Lets assume that dick snyder ~ PJ brown (someone more knowledgeable here agrees or disagrees?) So it kinda comes down to millsap + malone vs curry...may lean davidson on the tiebreaker here?

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 7:32 pm
by trex_8063
falcolombardi wrote:Lousiana tech doesnt have too many more players (7 per real gm database) but 3 of them are malone, millsap and pj brown


bbref shows 9 players for Louisiana Tech.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Sat Jul 16, 2022 12:29 am
by trex_8063
I think maybe Villanova warrants a look about now, too.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 4:54 am
by falcolombardi
trex_8063 wrote:I think maybe Villanova warrants a look about now, too.


Paul arizin is a sleeper top player at this level and lowry makes for a nice top 2, 50 players total is fairly strong at this stage

As for depth after arizin and lowry it is somewhat limited for high end careers although they got mikal bridges potential

Some solid players like brunson (who still has a lot of potential for a higher end career), randy foye and kerry kittles and the aforementioned bridges etc

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 5:00 am
by falcolombardi
San francisco > lousiana tech ~ germany> davidsom for top heavy sources.

Lousiana and germany have more talent than davidson overall even if curry is the most inpressive player (by peak and accompkishments more than by career value) of the dirk/,malone/curry trio

I have france>~serbia>>greece (really top heavy at nba level)>~australia (no bogut or simmons, good players but lacks stars

Other than france and maybe serbia i am unsure about any of them being good enough to make the next top 3 although a top heavy argument can be made for san frsncisco too

I like minnesota overall over notre dame, dont know what to make of st johns yet. Villanova is also a interesting one

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 6:29 am
by jalengreen
falcolombardi wrote:San francisco > lousiana tech ~ germany> davidsom for top heavy sources.

Lousiana and germany have more talent than davidson overall even if curry is the most inpressive player (by peak and accompkishments more than by career value) of the dirk/,malone/curry trio

I have france>~serbia>>greece (really top heavy at nba level)>~australia (no bogut or simmons, good players but lacks stars

Other than france and maybe serbia i am unsure about any of them being good enough to make the next top 3 although a top heavy argument can be made for san frsncisco too

I like minnesota overall over notre dame, dont know what to make of st johns yet. Villanova is also a interesting one

I think Cincy beats out Davidson as well

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 4:30 pm
by trex_8063
Just a note that I added Villanova and San Francisco to my above post with WS-related scores and figures (plus All-Stars, titles, etc).

DePaul is maybe a source we should take a look at too [George Mikan, fwiw].
Also maybe Oregon State: 36 total players, fair number of decent role players, plus Gary Payton.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2022 4:43 pm
by trex_8063
OK, I'm going to make my tentative picks......

1. Villanova
2. Minnesota
3. San Francisco


Was going to stick with Minnesota as my top pick, but really kinda liking the strength (depth and top names [Arizin, Lowry] power) of Villanova, too. I'm also noting that we still have a lot of "talent potential" left-to-be-played for Villanova, with youngish guys like Mikal Bridges, Jalen Brunson, Josh Hart, Donte DiVincenzo; all of whom are decent/good players in today's deep NBA and relatively early in their careers.

And rounding it out with San Francisco. With Bill Russell sitting there [top 5 all-time for me], plus at least a handful of decent/respectable careers behind that; even some outright GOOD ones: Bill Cartwright, KC Jones, Phil Smith, maybe Fred Scolari.

I mean, idk......it's all so close at this point, it's all kinda gut-feel. But with Russell sitting monolithic on top, it's hard to not give them some consideration at this point.

Top HM: probably Notre Dame......at some point their elite extended depth has to count for something.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 10:30 pm
by trex_8063
falcolombardi wrote:.

jalengreen wrote:.


I think I'm the only one who has voted in this one so far. Project is probably nearing its natural death, but let's maybe get to 25 anyway.....

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2022 11:07 pm
by falcolombardi
trex_8063 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:.

jalengreen wrote:.


I think I'm the only one who has voted in this one so far. Project is probably nearing its natural death, but let's maybe get to 25 anyway.....


I am busy with work today but will vote tonight when i end it, just give me a bit of time lol, sorry

I hope we can make it to top 30 at least

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Wed Jul 20, 2022 1:27 am
by jalengreen
Feeling 1. Villanova 2. Minnesota 3. Cincinnati rn. I like Cincinnati having both Oscar+Twyman along with Van Exel and Martin

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Wed Jul 20, 2022 3:05 am
by trex_8063
jalengreen wrote:Feeling 1. Villanova 2. Minnesota 3. Cincinnati rn. I like Cincinnati having both Oscar+Twyman along with Van Exel and Martin


fwiw, I added Cincinnati to my post above with the various categories.

They're......OK at this stage. I suppose it again depends on how you weight top talent vs depth, and also perhaps how high you are on Oscar.
They do have a few other decent players after the four you mentioned (e.g. Connie Dierking, Ruben Patterson, Danny Fortson, Lance Stephenson, Pat Cummings). Falls off in somewhat a hurry after that.

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Wed Jul 20, 2022 3:08 am
by falcolombardi
Notredame

total of nba players: 59 ( high)

mvp level players: 0? (low) (dantley?)

notable all star level players: 1 (low) adrian dantley

Borderline stars: laimbeer, wooldridge?

Also motable guys as austin carr, kelly tripucka or joe kleine

Total win shares: 769 (high)

Vs

France

total of nba players: 40 ( mid) (per real gm database)

mvp level players: 0? (low)

notable all star level players: 3 ( mid) (parker, gobert, noah)

Notable players: batum, diaw,

Total win shares: 396 (low)

Vs

Minnesota

total of nba players: 48 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1? (Mid) (Mchale)

notable all star players: 1 ( low) lou hudson

Notable players: bobby jackson, archie clark any other?

Total win shares: 751 (high)

Vs

Cincinnati

total of nba players: 38 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1 (Mid) (Oscar)

notable all star level players: 2 ( mid) van exel?, twiman

Notable high end players:nick van exel? lance stephenson?

Total win shares: 564 (mid)

Vs

DePaul

total of nba players: 37 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1 (Mid) (Mikan)

notable all star players: 1 ( mid) ( terry cummings,mark aguirre, rod strickland)

Notable players: tyrone corbin, quentin richardson, etc

Total win shares: 615 (high)

Vs

San Francisco

total of nba players: 24 ( low)

mvp level players: 1 (Mid) (Russel)

notable all star players: 1 ( low) ( Kc jones)

Notable players: Bill Cartwright

Total win shares: 429 (mid)

Vs

St John's

total of nba players: 48( mid)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star players: 5 ( high) ( Max Zalofzky, metta world peace, marj jackson, Dick McGuire, chris mullin)

Notable players: tyrone corbin, quentin richardson, etc

Total win shares: 664 (high)

Vs

Villanova

Total of nba players (50) (high)

Mvp level players (1) (mid) (paul arizin)

All star level players (1) (low) (kyle lowry)

Notable players: mikal bridges, dante cunningham, randy foye, etc

Total win shares 710 (high)

Vs

Serbia

Total of nba players (24) (low)

Mvp level players (1) (mid) (jokic)

All star level player (2) (mid) (peja stojakovic, divac)

Notable players: Bogdanovic, bjelica

Total win shares 275 (mid)

Vs

Lousiana tech

Total nba players (9)

Mvp level players (1) (mid) (Karl malone)

All star level players (1) (low) (paul millsap)

Notable players: Pj Brown

Total win shares 469 (mid)

Re: Top NBA Talent Sources of All-Time: #24

Posted: Wed Jul 20, 2022 4:00 am
by falcolombardi
For very top heavy sources i am easily convinced it goes: San Francisco > Lousiana tech/davidson

Cincinati has enough talent beyond oscar to match san francisco top 3 decently well, as well as a healthy total players and win shares advantage so i rank them above san fran

Cincinati>san fran>davidson/lousiana tech. I am also considering to take a look at germany once i see which players besides dirk didnt play in american colleges, they may even beat san fran or cincinati since they have a high amount of good germany born players, but most went to usa colleges

Foreign countries
(germany pending to take a deeper look into)

I prefer france over serbia. Their top 2 careers (parker and gobert) match or beat serbia top 2 (jokic and divac) well, at least at this point of jokic career imo. Peja may beat batum by a small margin but france has more nba talent after that

So far we got

France >serbia> ¿Germany?> san francisco> lousiana tech/davidson