Bill Russell is the most impactful player ever, and at least #4 all time
Posted: Thu Aug 4, 2022 11:19 am
First of Bill Russell won 11 rings in 13 seasons, and in one of his 2 lost series (finals against pettit) he got injured and only played 4 out of 6 games. He also has 5 mvps, and if they awarded dpoys and fmvps he would be the all time leader in those awards. His stats were about 15/23/4, they didn't track blocks and steals but we can guess he must have had multiple 7 blocks, 2/3 steals seasons, if you consider that he played a lot of minutes, the pace was faster, and most shots were close to the rim.
As you know he wasn't a very good scorer (at his best he scored 17/19 on average efficiency while playing 45 mpg) but he was still a decent offensive player as he was a good passer and knew how to pass as soon as he caught the rebound to push the pace and, well, he could still give you 15-20 a night, he has a couple of finals series at 23 ppg. Anyway, yeah, his offense wasn't nothing to write home about.
Defensively he was the best ever not only due to his god tier athletic gifts but also due to his iq and competitiveness, he was the king of blocking shots directly to his teammates, not jumping for pump-fakes, getting into your head, positional awarenss, things of that nature, Other than that, he won 11 out of 11 winner takes all games in his nba career (10 games seven and 1 game 5), often elevating his game.
I won't argue with you guys that his era (57-69) was as good as the modern era but here we are strictly talking impact. Furthermore, the way I look at it is that, well, for example, bob pettit battled against bill russell, who battled against wilt chamberlain, who battled against kareem, who won fmvp in 1985 and battled with guys like moses and hakeem, who battled against shaq, etc. Like, especially big men, it's not like they would look bad today, and at the end of the day, if you look at guys like wilt and kareem and don't see that they are monsters and that they would dominate today, I have no time for you. Now, Bill is a little different because his talent isn't as eyecatching as kareem and wilt, but I hope people get that that level of athleticism and iq always translates, and that no, we don't have many 6'10, 7'4" wingspan guys that run and jump and move like that. The only athletes that are comparable to him today are giannis and (younger) lebron. Also we can safely guess that today he would be bigger and have way better offensive skills. Ok let's get to the good part.
Why is he the most impactful player ever? What happened in his career (college + nba) is that, there's this team that's average, with below average defense. Bill arrives, the offense doesn't improve but the defense instantly gets to goat tier, 1st in the league with a lot of distance from the 2nd, the team becomes dominant and wins every ring. When he gets injured and misses games the team becomes average again, but when his best teammates get hurt the team remains the same. Then, when he retires, the team and the team's defense become average to below average again. This is Bill Russell's impact. Details about this:
I don't know too much about his college career, but, if you look at what happened, san francisco was a below .500 team the 3 years before he arrived, and never made in to the ncaa tournament, bill gets there and they win 2 championships out of 3, going 57-1 in the last 2 years.
He gets to the nba, the celtics are a slightly above average team with a below average defense, bill arrives, the offense doesn't improve but the defense is ranked n.1 every year of his career but one (2nd ranked), in their best 5 year defensive stretch posting a defensive rating that was 4 to 7 points lower, per 100 possessions, than the 2nd ranked defense (!!!! not 4 to 7 better than average, better than the 2nd best!!!!!), and, well, they won 11 rings out of 13. Then he retires, and the celtics don't make the playoffs and have a below average defense for a couple years. Yes they reached great heights again a few years later winning rings 1974 and 1976, but that's with the arrivals of dave cowens and jojowhite, the only remaining staple of the bill russell celtics was the great john havlicek. Bill russell missed 52 games in his career, and the celtics went 26-26 in those games. By contrast, when some of his best teammates like cousy or havlicek or heinsohn or sharman missed time, the celtics didn't skip a beat.
So I won't say that one player can make a difference between an average to below average team and defense and a goat level team and defense, but yeah, we can assume that most of the defensive impact was given by him, even tho he had good defenders in havlicek and K.C. Jones and most of the other guys were competent.
Another thing about him, he held his opposing all star centers, between 1960 and 1968, at about 3,4 points per 36 minutes below their season average (only thurmond and olajuwon rank above him) on about 5,7 ts% lower than their average (only prime mark eaton ranks above him).
Now, that's pretty difficult to argue that there has been any one player who has had more impact to a team than him. That doesn't mean he must be the goat (the era wasn't the best, some players played longer, average offensive player, a few guys look better than him if you look at their skills in a vacuum) and personally I have MJ, LBJ and KAJ above him, but still, you gotta give him credit.
As you know he wasn't a very good scorer (at his best he scored 17/19 on average efficiency while playing 45 mpg) but he was still a decent offensive player as he was a good passer and knew how to pass as soon as he caught the rebound to push the pace and, well, he could still give you 15-20 a night, he has a couple of finals series at 23 ppg. Anyway, yeah, his offense wasn't nothing to write home about.
Defensively he was the best ever not only due to his god tier athletic gifts but also due to his iq and competitiveness, he was the king of blocking shots directly to his teammates, not jumping for pump-fakes, getting into your head, positional awarenss, things of that nature, Other than that, he won 11 out of 11 winner takes all games in his nba career (10 games seven and 1 game 5), often elevating his game.
I won't argue with you guys that his era (57-69) was as good as the modern era but here we are strictly talking impact. Furthermore, the way I look at it is that, well, for example, bob pettit battled against bill russell, who battled against wilt chamberlain, who battled against kareem, who won fmvp in 1985 and battled with guys like moses and hakeem, who battled against shaq, etc. Like, especially big men, it's not like they would look bad today, and at the end of the day, if you look at guys like wilt and kareem and don't see that they are monsters and that they would dominate today, I have no time for you. Now, Bill is a little different because his talent isn't as eyecatching as kareem and wilt, but I hope people get that that level of athleticism and iq always translates, and that no, we don't have many 6'10, 7'4" wingspan guys that run and jump and move like that. The only athletes that are comparable to him today are giannis and (younger) lebron. Also we can safely guess that today he would be bigger and have way better offensive skills. Ok let's get to the good part.
Why is he the most impactful player ever? What happened in his career (college + nba) is that, there's this team that's average, with below average defense. Bill arrives, the offense doesn't improve but the defense instantly gets to goat tier, 1st in the league with a lot of distance from the 2nd, the team becomes dominant and wins every ring. When he gets injured and misses games the team becomes average again, but when his best teammates get hurt the team remains the same. Then, when he retires, the team and the team's defense become average to below average again. This is Bill Russell's impact. Details about this:
I don't know too much about his college career, but, if you look at what happened, san francisco was a below .500 team the 3 years before he arrived, and never made in to the ncaa tournament, bill gets there and they win 2 championships out of 3, going 57-1 in the last 2 years.
He gets to the nba, the celtics are a slightly above average team with a below average defense, bill arrives, the offense doesn't improve but the defense is ranked n.1 every year of his career but one (2nd ranked), in their best 5 year defensive stretch posting a defensive rating that was 4 to 7 points lower, per 100 possessions, than the 2nd ranked defense (!!!! not 4 to 7 better than average, better than the 2nd best!!!!!), and, well, they won 11 rings out of 13. Then he retires, and the celtics don't make the playoffs and have a below average defense for a couple years. Yes they reached great heights again a few years later winning rings 1974 and 1976, but that's with the arrivals of dave cowens and jojowhite, the only remaining staple of the bill russell celtics was the great john havlicek. Bill russell missed 52 games in his career, and the celtics went 26-26 in those games. By contrast, when some of his best teammates like cousy or havlicek or heinsohn or sharman missed time, the celtics didn't skip a beat.
So I won't say that one player can make a difference between an average to below average team and defense and a goat level team and defense, but yeah, we can assume that most of the defensive impact was given by him, even tho he had good defenders in havlicek and K.C. Jones and most of the other guys were competent.
Another thing about him, he held his opposing all star centers, between 1960 and 1968, at about 3,4 points per 36 minutes below their season average (only thurmond and olajuwon rank above him) on about 5,7 ts% lower than their average (only prime mark eaton ranks above him).
Now, that's pretty difficult to argue that there has been any one player who has had more impact to a team than him. That doesn't mean he must be the goat (the era wasn't the best, some players played longer, average offensive player, a few guys look better than him if you look at their skills in a vacuum) and personally I have MJ, LBJ and KAJ above him, but still, you gotta give him credit.