colts18 wrote:Team Context:1997 Jazz- 90.0 Pace (17th), 11.0 3PA/Game (29th, last place), 35.7 3P% teammates (3.1 Made Per game)
2006 Suns- 95.8 Pace (1st), 25.6 3PA/Game (1st), 39.1 3P% teammates (8.4 Made Per Game)
Nash played in a much more favorable offensive environment to Stockton. Nash's team played fast and had 3 point shooters spreading the floor. By contrast, Stockton's teams were slow and took the least amount of 3 pointers in the league. Nash's teammates scored over 15 more PPG from 3 pointers which inflated Nash's team O rating compared to Stockton's. Could you imagine Stockton getting to play in a fast offense with 3 point shooters to spread the floor?
2006 was clearly an easier environment for perimeter players than 1997. All 10 of the top 10 scorers in 2006 were perimeter players. All 10 of them scored 25+ PPG on 54+ TS%. Only 3 perimeter players accomplished that in 1997 and a total of 4 players reached 25+ PPG. In 2006, 3 players reached 30+ PPG while no player accomplished that feat in 1997, not even Michael Jordan. It was clearly a more favorable environment for Nash in the post handchecking NBA.
Per Game stats:Stockton- 35 MPG, 14.4 PPG,
10.5 AST-3.0 TOV,
55 FG%, 42 3P%,
65.4 TS% (+12 rTS%)
Nash- 35 MPG,
18.8 PPG, 10.5 AST-3.5 TOV, 51 FG,
44 3P%, 63.2 TS% (+9.6 rTS%)
The Per Game stats look pretty close. Both of them played an even amount of minutes. Nash scored better, but Stockton's passing and efficiency rated higher. Remember, Nash played on the fastest offense in the league while Stockton was on a slow offense. Stockton played 82 games while Nash played 79 so that's another slight edge for Stockton.If you adjust for pace, the numbers look close.
Per 75 Possessions:Stockton- 16.4 PPG,
11.9 AST-3.5 TOV, 3.2 Reb,
2.3 STLNash-
20 PPG, 11.1 AST-3.7 TOV,
4.5 Reb, 0.8 STL
The Per game gap shrunk when you adjust for pace.
Advanced Stats:Stockton-
6.6 BPM, 22.1 PER,
.226 WS/48,
6.3 VORPNash- 5.0 BPM,
23.3 PER, .212 WS/48, 4.9 VORP
RAPM:Stockton:
2.3 Off,
1.5 Def,
3.9 TotNash: 2.2 Off, -0.4 Def, 1.9 Tot
When you look at both the box score advanced stats and the advanced impact data, Stockton beats out Nash on both counts. Stockton's offense comes out nearly equal to Nash's while Stockton's defense crushes Nash.
Playoffs:This is where Stockton shined. Stockton stepped up his game in the 97 Playoffs.
Per 75 Possessions:Stockton- 18.2 PPG,
10.7 AST-3.7 TOV,
4.4 Reb,
1.9 STL,
62.7 TS% (+9.5 rTS%)
Nash-
19.9 PPG, 10.0 AST-3.5 TOV, 3.6 Reb, 0.4 STL, 61.5 TS% (+7.9 r TS%)
In the playoffs, Stockton passed better, was more efficient, had 5x more steals than Nash, and outrebounded Nash too. The gap is scoring volume was reduced during the postseason.
Average opponent in the playoffs:Stockton-
57.2 Wins,
4.88 SRS,
104.0 D RatingNash- 50.2 Wins, 3.29 SRS, 104.8 D Rating
Stockton played tougher opponents in the playoffs. He played a 56 win Lakers team, 57 win Rockets team, and a 69 win Bulls team. Nash played a 45 win Lakers team, 47 win Clippers team, and a 60 win Mavericks team. Stockton's numbers look better when you account for the stiff opposition.
Team Results:Stockton-
64-18,
7.97 SRS (2nd),
113.6 O Rating (2nd),
104.0 D Rating (9th)
Nash- 54-28, 5.48 SRS (4th), 111.5 O Rating (2nd), 105.6 D Rating (16th)
Playoff Team Results:Stockton-
7.88 SRS, +6.9 Offense,
-2.1 Defense,
+9.0 Net relative to opponentNash- 4.19 SRS,
+9.5 Offense, +4.5 Defense (bad), +5.0 Net relative to opponent
Stockton's team results beat out Nash's in the regular season. In the playoffs, that gap widens.
Playoff Advanced Stats:Stockton-
7.8 BPM,
22.7 PER,
.201 WS/48,
1.8 VORPNash- 3.7 BPM, 21.3 PER, .153 WS/48, 1.1 VORP
Once again, the gap between them widens in the playoffs for Stockton.
Clutch Play:It would be wrong to mention 1997 Stockton without mentioning how clutch he was in that postseason. That was the year of Stockton's top career highlight, his buzzer beater in Game 6 vs Houston to send the Utah Jazz to their 1st NBA finals. What's forgotten is that Stockton carried the team for the whole 4th quarter. The Jazz were down by 10 points with 3:13 left in the 4th quarter when John Stockton decided to go into Beast Mode. He scores 13 points on 4-4 shooting with 2 Assists and a crucial steal that led to the layup that tied the game. He scored or assisted on all 19 of the Jazz points. He makes a clutch layup with 22 seconds left to tie the game. Then makes a 3 pointer at the buzzer to win the game.
Then in Game 4 of the finals, he takes over the game in the 4th. He forces a critical steal off of Michael Jordan which leads to an easy 2 points. Later he throws his iconic full court baseball pass to Karl Malone for a layup that gives the Jazz the lead.
Based on all of that, I don't see how anyone can rate Nash's 2006 season ahead of Stockton 1997's season. Stockton's statistical and impact stats edge Nash in the regular season and postseason. This season was peak Steve Nash when he won an MVP. 1997 was clearly not Stockton's best season and he still finishes ahead of Nash. In fact, 1997 is Stockton's 11th best season according BPM, 10th best according to PER, and 6th best season according to win shares. If Nash can't really beat out 34 year old Stockton in his 5th-10th best season, then I don't see how anyone can say that Stockton doesn't have a comparable peak.