edgymnerch wrote:Which peak was better, and why do you think so? 89-91 Jordan or 77-79 Kareem?
Throwing in another question, who ranks higher in your All-time list?
With all due respect to the OP I'm going to answer the question generally as opposed to fixating on a specific time frame. I'm also going to solely look at this from an era-relative perspective.
Currently I have Kareem at or near apex MJ(probably one of 88, 89, 90) level from 70-77 with him probably being outright better than any MJ in 72 and almost certainly outright better in 77.
A basic outline can be found here:
Kareem's strength is that he seemingly replicated Peak MJ-level or MJ+ liftmultiple times(recall I ignored Oakley to get MJ to 23 wins in 1988), suggesting a higher era-relative baseline. Pair that with a run in 1977 that is probably more "flawless" from a granular perspective than basically any other(including all of Jordan's), scoring that holds up the best against elite defenses of anyone in history, proof of concept in a variety of contexts(top-level floor raiser, most value on a goat-level team probably), you get a peak/prime portfolio that is only really rivalled by Bill and Lebron(the former lacking corroborating evidence, and the latter never having led a wire to wire goat-level team) .
77 specifically looks close to unassailable (basically the only real counter here is that his team didn't win) as Kareem almost certainly is more valuable in the regular season on a team with suboptimal fit(lack of competent ball-handlers is not optimal, a generous "juiced" version of the best Jordan signal doesn't match the lowest possible appraisal of Kareem), and then he elevates in the postseason where even his worst games look like they'd be an all-timer for Mike:
70sFan wrote:9 good contests inside
4 good rotations inside
3 bad rotations inside
2 good P&R coverages
1 good defensive play on perimeter
3 bad defensive plays on perimeter
2 transition stops
3 weak transition defense plays
Along with:
30 points on 62.6 TS%, 4 turnovers, 2 assists and insane inside gravity on offensive end
He also limited Walton to horrible shooting night - 8/22 from the field.
I think it's not a great performance by 1977 Kareem standards, but I definitely wouldn't call it bad. Despite all the flaws he showed on defensive end, he still stopped 13 inside shots and defended Walton very well. He also had some bad turnovers, but it's nothing compared to how many turnovers Lakers guards had.
If that's the game people want to criticize Kareem for, then I guess I was right saying that Kareem played at GOAT level in that season.
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?p=104389351#p104389351capfan33 wrote:OhayoKD wrote:falcolombardi wrote:TBH, Kareem in 77 may be the most consistent GOAT-level performance ever, he basically was a rock for 11 games and 2 series. His worst game by far scoring wise he had 20 rebounds, 7 assists, and 8 blocks lmao. If that's an off-night you're having a hell of a run. His other "off" night game 1 against the Blazers (coming off one of the greatest carry jobs ever where he was clearly fatigued), he had a very mediocre 30 points, 10 boards, and 5 assists on 11-18 shooting. Like yea, definitely feels nitpicky to me.
Tbh, even if the chip is a hold-up, I've yet to see a winning case for MJ vs
71 Kareem who most people consider pre-prime:
1991 makes more sense for 1971 as the end result is similar meaning we can follow how they got there and apply surrounding stuff. With a broad look I'd say Kareem has an edge as
a) no triangle equivalent (bulls srs skyrockets upon implementation)
b) is able to play at a 62 win pace without Oscar next year
Kareem also drops "the biggest numbers of his career" in 71 and 72 and is doing so while his defenses see a 4-point improvement with him on the floor from 71-74(though DBPM insists Kareem was a worse defender

).
Setting aside one-three year comparisons, a strong advantage for the "winning" profile of Kareem is the
replication of his signals...
OhayoKD wrote:Dutchball97 wrote:
Adjusting for help is paramount. It's just that with Kareem I'm not 100% convinced there weren't a couple seasons where getting a bit further was completely impossible.
Let's say for the sake of argument that Kareem's defensive advantage means he's theoretically going to have an edge as consistently "potentially more impactful"(And as I've outlined, it seems looking from a broad and inclusive(if noisier) lens(performance-cast) supports this). If Kareem "falls short" of this potential in some years but still "achieves" a similar amount of lift as Jordan manages in a similar setting, should we counting this as a mark vs Kareem in the comp? This is why I start with estimating help and performance. If player A can replicate the best looking "performance - cast" of player b over a sustained period of time in a variety of contexts(different support-levels, different teams, pre/post expansion) then there being fluctuation(and this is where "could have done more" often comes from) is kind of moot, no?
As it happens, even Kareem's "off-years" look on-par giving Kareem a very strong argument as a flatly more valuable player:
If there are down years, then we can look at the down years, but "when" the down years happened shouldn't really matter in an era-relative comparison. That said, 73-76 includes an all-time per-game carry-job in 75, the Bucks coming within a game of a title despite Kareem's co-stars falling off(Kareem went ballistic all playoffs), and a solid floor-raising job in 76 with a new team and 20ish win help(With Kareem reportedly discontent and not playing to his full potential). Then in 77, the Bucks played like a 55-win team before losing to the eventual champions in what was an all-time performance from Jabbar.
I can literally assume the Lakers didn't get any worse when they traded for Jabbar, and it would still be a better showing of lift than anything MJ has(even with me ignoring Oakley to prop Mike up). Jordan had more help in 1990 than Kareem did in any of these seasons(Triangle takes team from +1 to 1991-level offense, Pippen jumps in the postseason and puts up the same stuff he put from 91-98) and he still lost(doing worse than Kareem managed to in 74). Your current #1 didn't match these down-years you're criticizing from a winning-based perspective(at his apex), and I don't think granular analysis does anything to bridge the gap
All considered Kareem's best postseasons are probably stronger, he has a strong discernible "value" advantage throughout his prime and that advantage mantains in a wide vareity of contexts/situations making it unlikely it's simply a matter of favorable situation.
All considered I think Kareem's a solidly stronger peak(era-relative) in addition to being the arguable best ever high-school and college player, having goat-tier longetvity, and more team success(as many rings, more finals). On an all-time ranking I see Kareem going anywhere from 1-3 with Lebron and Russell. To get him lower you need to
1. start applying very specific caveats
2. use non-basketball factors like popularity and perception
3. speculate wildly("its easier to stack scoring wings than rim protectors!")
Barring a compelling "era-translation case", Kareem seems like an easy pick for me
Amares wrote:70sFan wrote:I am in the minority that ranks Kareem peak and career higher than Jordan. To me, Kareem's ridiculous resiliency as a scorer combined with very underrated defensive impact made him overall more impressive two-way anchor than Jordan.
What do you mean by "very underrated defensive impact"? Where do you rank him defensively all-time or prime among bigs?
I'm asking as at some point he was considered overrated defensively, so wondering if narrative completely changed since then.
With an eye to this specific comparison, I think the general public probably favors Jordan defensively(won a DPOY, more all-nba's, and box-stuff Nate and sometimes even Ben push favor Jordan's defense empirically(though Ben seems to think Kareem is better)). But if we focus on reality/winning, Kareem is making defenses 4-points better for 4 years straight while Jordan doesn't really have a track record as a significant needle mover on that end(which tracks with positional precedent).
No idea if Kareem is overrated or underrated defensively generally, but I feel it's safe to say he'd be significantly underrated relative to Jordan by most(as is basically everyone really).
The defensive side of things is probably why "impact" strongly favors Jabbar even though analysts have consistently pushed Jordan's peak as much better