why do people rank bird over kob?
Posted: Fri Jul 28, 2023 10:52 am
there been good args against bird in the top 100 so i wanna know what the args for him are
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One_and_Done wrote:Better impact. Kobe is a tool you add to supplenent a contender, Bird is the guy who makes you a contender in the first place. Bird's impact is just higher, so much so that Kobe's longevity isn't enough to overcome it.
ShaqAttac wrote:One_and_Done wrote:Better impact. Kobe is a tool you add to supplenent a contender, Bird is the guy who makes you a contender in the first place. Bird's impact is just higher, so much so that Kobe's longevity isn't enough to overcome it.
kob made the 08-10 lakers a contender...
does bird actually got better impact whatever or r u just saying things
One_and_Done wrote:ShaqAttac wrote:One_and_Done wrote:Better impact. Kobe is a tool you add to supplenent a contender, Bird is the guy who makes you a contender in the first place. Bird's impact is just higher, so much so that Kobe's longevity isn't enough to overcome it.
kob made the 08-10 lakers a contender...
does bird actually got better impact whatever or r u just saying things
The 08-10 Lakers could have won 50 games a year without Kobe. We saw that from what Pau did in Memphis with meh support players.
Bird joined a 29 win team with a minus 4.8 SRS as a rookie and turned them into a 61 win 7.4 SRS team. That's the difference in their impact.
Gibson22 wrote:Bird is just a much better offensive player, with their defensive value being similar. Obviously kobe reduces the gap with longevity but as far as prime there's really no comparison. His combination of shooting, passing, movement, iq just were so good for any offense.
One_and_Done wrote:ShaqAttac wrote:One_and_Done wrote:Better impact. Kobe is a tool you add to supplenent a contender, Bird is the guy who makes you a contender in the first place. Bird's impact is just higher, so much so that Kobe's longevity isn't enough to overcome it.
kob made the 08-10 lakers a contender...
does bird actually got better impact whatever or r u just saying things
The 08-10 Lakers could have won 50 games a year without Kobe. We saw that from what Pau did in Memphis with meh support players.
Bird joined a 29 win team with a minus 4.8 SRS as a rookie and turned them into a 61 win 7.4 SRS team. That's the difference in their impact.
Gibson22 wrote:Bird is just a much better offensive player, with their defensive value being similar. Obviously kobe reduces the gap with longevity but as far as prime there's really no comparison. His combination of shooting, passing, movement, iq just were so good for any offense.
ceoofkobefans wrote:Gibson22 wrote:Bird is just a much better offensive player, with their defensive value being similar. Obviously kobe reduces the gap with longevity but as far as prime there's really no comparison. His combination of shooting, passing, movement, iq just were so good for any offense.
Bird isn’t better offensively than Kobe (although it’s close between the two)
Peak for peak the two are very comparable but Kobe has far superior longevity
trex_8063 wrote:Well, personally I don't anymore.
I used to rank Bird ahead, but I hit a point where I began to feel I put him higher simply because I wanted to, for nostalgia's sake (because I "liked" Bird more, appreciated his career more).
However, it wasn't so clear or easily justified if being honest about my criteria.
Did Bird have greater impact? I suspect he may have, but not by a substantial margin. For more information, I believe there is some data pertaining to both players presented within the bowels of the #9 thread of the current top 100 project.
For my part, I do think Bird peaked a little higher. If I'm comparing "average prime years", I think Bird's are a little better, even though Kobe is a touch more playoff-resilient, fwiw.
However, as I've established for years and years, I'm a total career value [above replacement] kind of guy when it comes to player evaluations (beginning to incorporate a touch of CORP principle, too). And Kobe sort of destroys Bird on the longevity/durability spectrum, which becomes awfully relevant to such an approach.
Take what I might call Kobe's "extended prime" (a slightly liberal view of what might be called "prime" years), what I'd gauge to be '01-'13....
That's 13 seasons (the length of Bird's ENTIRE career). I've just got through saying I think Bird's average prime year is better than Kobe's average prime year; but those 13 years include some of Bird's NON-prime, too. In his full-career avg season, is he better than an average PRIME season of Kobe? Maybe, maybe not. If it is, we're certainly not talking about a notable margin, imo.
And that's before giving recognition to the fact that from '01-'13 Kobe played 76 more games and nearly 3400 more minutes than Bird did [in his whole career]. In short: in terms of availability, Kobe's got ~1 full season more PRIME games/minutes played than Bird played in his whole career.
And Kobe's got some additional value added from '98-'00, too ('97 and '14-'16 are of no consequence to me).
In light of all that, I hit a point where I had a great deal of difficulty putting Bird's 13 years [really it's only 12] ahead of all that [16 years] of relevant Kobe seasons. For awhile [even after recognizing that], I justified keeping Bird ahead by telling myself that Bird was "bigger/more important for the game", "more iconic" than Kobe.
The thing that dispelled that notion was Kobe's death, watching the world react. Realistically, I should have known after the summer of '08 [the Redeem Team]. That spectacle made it clear that Kobe's persona transcended just the sport; he was a cultural touchstone, in a global sense. But somehow I missed it (or simply denied it) until his death.
So, no longer having that "excuse", I made the switch. In a way it was liberating. I stopped playing favourites, stopped bowing to a long-established hierarchy I'd established in my mind [e.g. "Bird cannot go lower than X place..."], and the world didn't end.
OhayoKD wrote:And then they got smashed by the 52-win pace Sixers and only matched that srs mark once thereafter. Kobe turning a contention-level rs team into a +20 playoff side is a way more impressive one-off.
And yet they led similar offenses with similar impact portfolios with Kobe. not Bird, proving he could win without a specific co-star while being forced into difficult isolation looks again and again by the triangle.
Kobe is ... a significantly better scorer who doesn't fold again and again in the playoffs.
iggymcfrack wrote:trex_8063 wrote:Well, personally I don't anymore.
I used to rank Bird ahead, but I hit a point where I began to feel I put him higher simply because I wanted to, for nostalgia's sake (because I "liked" Bird more, appreciated his career more).
However, it wasn't so clear or easily justified if being honest about my criteria.
Did Bird have greater impact? I suspect he may have, but not by a substantial margin. For more information, I believe there is some data pertaining to both players presented within the bowels of the #9 thread of the current top 100 project.
For my part, I do think Bird peaked a little higher. If I'm comparing "average prime years", I think Bird's are a little better, even though Kobe is a touch more playoff-resilient, fwiw.
However, as I've established for years and years, I'm a total career value [above replacement] kind of guy when it comes to player evaluations (beginning to incorporate a touch of CORP principle, too). And Kobe sort of destroys Bird on the longevity/durability spectrum, which becomes awfully relevant to such an approach.
Take what I might call Kobe's "extended prime" (a slightly liberal view of what might be called "prime" years), what I'd gauge to be '01-'13....
That's 13 seasons (the length of Bird's ENTIRE career). I've just got through saying I think Bird's average prime year is better than Kobe's average prime year; but those 13 years include some of Bird's NON-prime, too. In his full-career avg season, is he better than an average PRIME season of Kobe? Maybe, maybe not. If it is, we're certainly not talking about a notable margin, imo.
And that's before giving recognition to the fact that from '01-'13 Kobe played 76 more games and nearly 3400 more minutes than Bird did [in his whole career]. In short: in terms of availability, Kobe's got ~1 full season more PRIME games/minutes played than Bird played in his whole career.
And Kobe's got some additional value added from '98-'00, too ('97 and '14-'16 are of no consequence to me).
In light of all that, I hit a point where I had a great deal of difficulty putting Bird's 13 years [really it's only 12] ahead of all that [16 years] of relevant Kobe seasons. For awhile [even after recognizing that], I justified keeping Bird ahead by telling myself that Bird was "bigger/more important for the game", "more iconic" than Kobe.
The thing that dispelled that notion was Kobe's death, watching the world react. Realistically, I should have known after the summer of '08 [the Redeem Team]. That spectacle made it clear that Kobe's persona transcended just the sport; he was a cultural touchstone, in a global sense. But somehow I missed it (or simply denied it) until his death.
So, no longer having that "excuse", I made the switch. In a way it was liberating. I stopped playing favourites, stopped bowing to a long-established hierarchy I'd established in my mind [e.g. "Bird cannot go lower than X place..."], and the world didn't end.
Counter-point: Did Kobe really provide much value outside of his prime years? '97 and '98 he's coming off the bench and has a negative BPM in the playoffs. 2013 he has an injury that keeps him from being available for the playoffs (which the Lakers barely made). 2014-2016 he's arguably a negative player. So really, you've got like 14 years at most where he really gives you anything significant. In that 14 year span, Kobe has 72.1 VORP compared to 77.2 VORP for Bird in 13 seasons (really 12 since he missed almost all of '89). IDK, Kobe does have a longevity edge, but I don't think it's gamebreaking or anything. I only have Bird one or two spots ahead of Kobe though so it's not like I would have any kind of major difference between them.
One_and_Done wrote:ShaqAttac wrote:One_and_Done wrote:Better impact. Kobe is a tool you add to supplenent a contender, Bird is the guy who makes you a contender in the first place. Bird's impact is just higher, so much so that Kobe's longevity isn't enough to overcome it.
kob made the 08-10 lakers a contender...
does bird actually got better impact whatever or r u just saying things
The 08-10 Lakers could have won 50 games a year without Kobe. We saw that from what Pau did in Memphis with meh support players.
Bird joined a 29 win team with a minus 4.8 SRS as a rookie and turned them into a 61 win 7.4 SRS team. That's the difference in their impact.
There is a very competitive pro-Kobe argument, but that isn't quite the same as what you're representing here.
tsherkin wrote:OhayoKD wrote:And then they got smashed by the 52-win pace Sixers and only matched that srs mark once thereafter. Kobe turning a contention-level rs team into a +20 playoff side is a way more impressive one-off.
What do you mean "52-win pace" team? Are you looking at their SRS (which was 4th best in the league anyway) or net rating (also 4th) or something? Because that was a 59-win team in reality, one which topped the league in defense. They weren't much able to stop Doctor J and that was a large problem for them.
And yet they led similar offenses with similar impact portfolios with Kobe. not Bird, proving he could win without a specific co-star while being forced into difficult isolation looks again and again by the triangle.
Kobe definitely proved himself as an isolation scorer.
With respect to team offense, peak Boston from 85-88 was at +4.9, +4.6, +5.2 and +7.4 team ORTG. They were at +4.1 in 1980.
Post-Shaq, the Lakers managed +5.5 and +4.5 in 08 and 09. Kobe didn't have a single season with a TS Add comparable to 88 Bird, He peaked in 07 at about 160, a mark which Bird bested 3 times (and was at 250+ in consecutive years).
Draymondgold's WOWY has a 30-game sample filter. IOW, it's basically just looking at 1979. And we have the issue here where outside of when the Celtics defense spikes(6th man Walton is slept on), in 1986, the Celtics never match that one-off. In 87/88(this is the sample Ben chooses for his peak video fwiw), the Celtics are a 45-win team without Bird. 61 win with. Very good. Nowhere near as good as you would hope if you're taking 1980 at face-value.DraymondGold's WOWY look doesn't love his top-end impact relative to Bird. VORP likes Bird a LOT better than Kobe, having him leading the league 4 seasons in a row and with 8+ in 4 straight seasons, 7+ in 6 straight. Kobe hit 7+ twice in his career and never led the league. He also never led the league in WS/48 or OBPM, though his 06 peak is close to Bird's in that regard. Again, these are box score aggregates and all that stuff, sure. But we don't have full PBP data for the older seasons, so we have only so much to work with.
So again, with what quantitative data is present, it isn't all a cheering procession for Kobe, and acting like it is doesn't foster productive conversation.